National Republican. (Washington City (D.C.)) 1872-1888, 1886-05-29
BRIGHT REPUBLICAN, OUTLOOK.
Probable Gains in tho House--The
Coming State Contest-A Chance in
Tennessee,

Tennessee.
New York Tribune.1
In tho present House the Democrats have
majority of A. one-half their majority in the
previous House. To judge by tho feeling
among Republicans here and the reports that
come from various parts Of the country the
prospects arc good for Republican majority
in the next House. The failure Of the Domo-
Gratis to redeem their promises and the dissat-
isfaction caused over the distribution OF pat
ronage has naturally had bad effect on their
party Mr.. Hubbell, OF Michigan, says that
there will be gain of three and perhaps Of
four Republican congressman in that state.
Edfidge, Democrat who was elected by n plu-
rnity of has no chance Tor reelection. Com
stock who had $3.50 plurality, and Winans, who
had 100 plurality, are both In districts which
will give good Republican mnloritics while
Tarsney is not much better Off In Wisconsin,
Hudds district is claimed by the Republicans,
while Gen: Bragg Is said to be in danger.
Lawler will probably be succeeded by Re-
publican in Illinois. There are five districts
in Indiana which offer fair prospects of Re
publican success. Hall, who had 73 plurality
IN the first district In Iowa, and Weaver, G7 in
the sixth, will probably be succeeded BY Re-
publicans. The grin of several districts in
1 Ohio T. certain, while there T. Q fair prospect
, of gains In Missouri and West Virginia and
other states.
Chairman Cole, Of tho New York Republican
state committee, has Just returned home after
years, He has been looking over the political
field nom this point of View, aud he is con-
WINGED that the Democrats under the lead Of
Gov Hill Will make a great effort TO capture
the assembly by q majority large enough TO
elect the next United States senator. Mr.. Cole
does not think that they will succeed, but he
says that in recognizing the nqueduct board,
and in placing the chairman of the Democratic
state committee In control of the Broadway
railroad, and In other ways the governor has
laid plans for n campaign In which the Demo
crats win use money freely. As TO the stories
about hostility between the governor and tho
President Il will not be safe for Republicans to
bS nTt any filth 6ih,. in them The res, state and
ing together In this matter. Mr.
in the canvass Of 1884, IS in virtual control Of
the patronage OF the Treasury Department.
He IS shrewd and skillful politician, brought
up under the tutelHge of Smith NJ. Weed, aud
he is almost daily making changes In the
Treasury Department for the purpose of
strengthening the Democrats in tue coming
fight. Col. Lamont and Secretary Whitney
are equally willing and experts In these mat.
,sTs and great activity In the Brooklyn navy
election. Chairman Cole says that 1t is impos.
sible that state. convention will be called this
year in New York, though that Is question
the state committee will decide, as II was Az.
thorized TO do by the last c invention. The
only state Office TO be filed Is that of Justice
ofthe court of,appeals to succeed Mr.; Miller.
So far as talk here Is concerned tho Demo
cfats appear TO be more interested in choosing
members of the assembly than members Of
Congress. "For my part said New York
city member, ~ would as leave as not see the
Republicans have majority In the next
House. With n Democratic President they
could do nothing, and they would be RESPONSE
BILE for OIL legislation" A Louisiana; mem
hope to capture the Senate, and, of course, we
ought in that event to have the House. Be
sides, the Republicans would go to work and
pass q lot of civil service ana other laws
which the President would be Obliged to APP
prove, and that would play the mischief with
us in 1888. No, we must have the next House.
Ihe s0 0 c Will Geme SR solid IS propose to
will be no deputy marshals, and II any are up.
pointed they win all be Democrats"
New York Republicans expect to carry ut
least three districts this year which are now
represented by Democrats and hope for still
other gains. The twenty.third district, now
represented by spriggs, Of Utica, has fair Re.
publican majority. Spriggs was chosen by S57
plurality, owing to iactional divisions on the
Republican side. As there is no reason what
ever for continuing that old feeling, the Re-
publicnns expect to recover that district They
hope also to cary the twcnty-fourth district.
now represented by Plndar. His plurality was
Liz, but the Republicans look upon the dis.
trct rs fair fighting ground. The fifth district,
represented by Bliss, and the fourteenth, by
Stahlneckcr, are also hopeful for Republicans.
All the New IotS aud Brooklyn members, ex-
cepting Mr.. Hewitt, are candidates for re-
nomination, aud even Mr.. Hewitt, IL IL wills.
pered, would not refuse q denomination.
Among those from the two cities who will not
be TenOminated, according TO reports here are
Bliss and Mah9ney, Of Brooklyn, and Adams,
tain Brooklyn could lose nothing In leaving
Bliss and Mahoncy at home.
The first state election to be held this year
will be that of Oregon on June 7. Owing to the
divisions growing out of the senatorial contest
in that state the Republicans are not in rs good
shape as they might be under other circum-
stances; but fair majority is expected. Ala
bama viii follow on Aug2. The Republicans
are not likely to waste time In trying to elect
anybody in that state, though they have an ad.
mittedly large majority. The court Is in tho
hands ofthe Democrats and they have a re-
turning board in each county which has full
authority to revise the returns. 1t matters not
what the Republican majority may be in dis
sOlutely secure. On Aug. Tennessee has an
election for supreme court judges and In No.
yember II elects governor both branches OF
the legislature, and members of Congress. Tho
legislature will choose United States senator.
| Tennessee is probably the only state In the
| south, unless It be West Virginia, which offers
| prospect of Il fair election and a probability
| ofRepublcan success. In 1881 Cleveland had
| only 0,1s0 minority in that state. There is a
| large white Republican vote in Tennessee, and
many, protection. Democrats. The state has
large iron industries and protective tariff is
| vital TO the success Of that industry. The Re
| publican state convention meets In Nashville
June l6, and the party leaders are hopeful this
trouble with them is the lack of means to carry
| on a canvass and get out the vote. Arkansas
| holds state election on Sept. Q; but Arkansas
Vermont twill viii be the hrst IN northern state to
| hold an election this year, excepting Oregon.
| The Vermont election takes place September 4,
while Maine follows September, 10. The Dem
| ocrats do not expect apparently TO carry Yer
mont. It has a safe Republican majority, the
| only question of importance being that In re-
gard TO the successor TO Mr.. Edmunds In the
Senate, which question the Democrats have
brought prominently TO the front. II Congress
| adjourns early enough and Mr.. Edmunds's
health permits, his friends here expect that he
CANVASS rs no He has supporeps Roweyer WHO arc
| hard at work In his Interest In Maine the Re.
publican state convention meets on June o,
and the election takes place September -, II Is
will be the nominee for governor. The canvass
| in that state Is expected to be lively one.
Chairman Manley, OF the state committee, has
members of Congress to make speeches there.
As Ohio has abolished the October election
unusual interest Will be taken IN the contest in
Maine.
The Republican state convention OF Penn
| sylvania will meet at Harrisburg June 80. The
enormous majority by which Blaine carried tho
Keystone state makes it safe beyond doubt for
| the party. General Beaver, who was the de-
feated candidate IN the memorable canvass
| four years ago, Will apparently again be the
candidate for governor. The general was car
| ried down before by an opposition to bossism,
and not TO himself personally. He did good
| service In the Blaine canvass and IL nomi.
| mated will undoubtedly be elected. EX.Gov.
ernor Curtin is said to be angling rthe Demo
| cratic-Greenback.L INSTRUMENTATION; hence his
| desire to take the special labor committee OF
| the House through Pennsylvania on u Junket-
ing investigation. W, l.. Scott is also talked Of
| us Democratic candidate for governor.
1.-THE Senate Is acting on nominations pre-
| cisely as 1t would do II we had u Republican
administration" Senator Chace remarked
| sidered on their merits. Our Mugwump
| friends, presume, will make loud complaints
| after time that we have confirmed rasGals
| but now they ask for favorable action ON about
| every nominee. Not having access to all the
| papers, we cannot always tell the character Of
| Il hominee, but If there are no substautiated
| charges affecting his fitness for the office, we
| confirm him." Similar remarks can be heard
| every day from Republican senators. outside
| of the Senate chamber, however the general
| impression among Republicans here Is that
the Senate Ia too lenipnt with the President I'm