Richmond dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1884-1903, 1886-10-17

,,ose that Alexander III. has renounced his
designs upon Consiantinople. They are
and ever must be the objective Of any
Russian sovereign. which Is an out
iet N the south and into the
Mediterranean. Thither tends the Rus
s,sn noIicy: Russia holds Turkey
hv rnenia. which she cannot defend, and
sIe holds Austria and Germany by the
needs felt In both empires for peace, a.
we'll ne by her formidable army, which In
snircs oven in Bismarck so much respect
,bat no has NOT beltated to throw himself
info tho arms OF M. de Giers. The Chan
rellor appreciated the danger, and 10
averi n sacrificed one OF the most bril-
liant of Germany's sons. And now
comes the oucry, what next? Here the
wisest prophet must'be all 81 sea. Grave
results often come from apparently insig-
ni,can, causes. The question OF the
duchies brouebt on the Austro-Prussian
war. the candidacy OF Prince IIoheuzol-
i.ro was followed by the ACKNOWLEDGMENT
q, France. end the HerZcgoylniau insur-
r,c,,on In 1s7f was the preface 10 Plcvna.
me Triple Alliance seems compromised, as
Z, Il NOT clear how Bismarck can manage
% co,,ciliate the aspirations OF Russia and
Austria 10 predomipance in the Bal.
ions. which neither Power Is will
inc 10 share with the other. To
allow the complete classification Of Bnl-
ooria would be suicidal for Austria, while
II would be the disappearance from the Eu.
ropean map Of the Kingdoms Of ServIa and
Roumapia. Austria cannot permit the
Danube 10 become Russian river. which
twill become after that occupation OF Bul-
paria by Russian troops now apparently so
probable. and how can she prevent this ex-
cept by war lin which II is possible that
Germany may abandon he. former ally?
on the other hand. Nelidof seems to be
on the eve OF contracting that alliance with
Turkey. which has been Russia's aim since
1878. and which will be OF greater adj
vantage 10 her than could be the conquest
Of the Ottoman Empire. A Russian pro-
tectorate at COnstantinople will procure all
the profits Of the most successful war.
On condition that the Russians can have
n free passage through the Oar ianelles
they will guarantee TO the Sultan all
the present territory, especially Egypt
aud Gambia, which England bankers after.
There is a great reyulslon OF feeling among
the Turks, who are sickened with British
promises never fulfilled, and still more by
her greed, as there is rumor In the East
that one OF the earliest moves, should the
treaty be concluded, will be an advance OF
Ottoman troops through Syria and from
Tripoli upon Egypt. Decidedly England is
abandoned. The continentals mock at her
much-vaunted fleet, only formidable TO open
towns, and thought may lombard Smyrna
and Saloniea like Alexandria, it cannot
steam up the Martha to Philippopolis. nor
prevent the passage OF the Danube by a
Russian army. IL is not there. then, that
the shock need be expected; II is in ASIA,
and, though the moment must depend upon
the Austro-Russian situation although,
until that be settled, there can be no serious
collision in Asia-it is coming, and this both
the rivals know. Sir Z. Cost has told how
the strategic railroad from Bolan to Quettlh
will permit an AnglO.Indlan army TO cover
Herat or to take In its flanks any eXpedi-
tionary column which, starting from THIS
point as base, would move upon kaibar.
The Russians feel quite at their ease. Their
trans Caspian railway is terminated a. far
as Merv; they have thrown bridge across
the Moughrab, and bv the month Of Octo.
Der their railway communications will be
complete as far as Tehardini, on the AmOo-
Daria, whence it will lead TO Bukharia
and Samarcand. The extreme point
southwark and on the Afghan side
is Merry, for the line Tchardini-
Rukharia turns toward the North to finish
In Russian Turkestan, and thence 10 the
Sea Of Aral. But it must be borne in mind
that at Tchardiui the railway is in commu.
nicatien with a flotilla Of steamboats,, which
can descend the AmoO-Daria as far Is
Kodja. Sabh-that is 20 say, TO ONLY half q
degree distance from Balieh. In spite OF
the optimism OF the Under Secretary OF
state for India must, as amiltaTy man,
believe in victory of the Bear over the Lion
wht n they shall meet