The Russellville Democrat. [volume] (Russellville, Ark.) 1875-1898, 1886-03-25
1T rs A BIG LOTTERY.
SpeculatiOns as to Senatorial
Chances Next Year.

The uncertainty Of retaining con-
troll Of the senate in the elections Of
the present year in the states which
now give the republicans their ma
jority has caused the party managers
to look about them to ascertain the
weak points III their own lines and
to discover those in the lines Of their
political adversaries.
On next fourth Of March twenty
FIVE senatorships will expire, Of
which sixteen are now represented
by republicans and nine by demo
Gratis. In the republican list are
Of California; Hawley, of
Connecticut; Harrison, Of Indiana,
Hale, OF Maine; Dawes, of Massachu-
sets; Conger, of Michigan; McMil
Ian, Of Minnesota: Van Wycx, Of
Nebraska; Sewell, of New Jersey;
Miller, of New York; Sherman, Of
Ohio; Mitchell. Of Pennsylvania;
Aldrich, of Rhode Island; Edmunds,
of Vermont; Malone, Of Virginia,
and Sawyer. Of Wisconsin, and in
the democratic list are Gray. of Del
aware; Jones, of Florida; German, Of
Maryland, George, Of Mississippi;
CockrelI, Of Missouri; Fair, Of Ne
vada; jackson, Of Tennessee; Max
ey, OF Texas, and Camden, OF West
Virginia. The present politlcalcom
plexion OF the senate is forty two re-
publicans and thirty four democrats.
1t will therefore require four more
democratic senators to make tie.
In the republican states Senator
Sherman has been re elected. In
the democratic states German, Of
Maryland. and George, Of Mississip-
p,, have been re elected. In Vir-
ginia, in the defeat OF Senator Ma
hone b7 Mr.. Daniel, the republicans
lose one and the democrats gain one
of the four necessary to tie.
In estimating the probabilities Of
the future the certain republican
states are Maine, Massachusetts,
Minnesota, Nebraska, Pennsylvania,
Rhode Island and Vermont. The
certain democratic slater are Della
ware, Florida, Missouri and Texas.
The present (1SS6) republican
majority on joint ballot in the New
York legislature is thirty-six. In
California the republican chances
are favorable in the present political
status Of the assembly, which is thir-
ty eight republican majority on joint
ballot, is = fair ground OF estimating
the probabilities Of the elecsing leg
islature.
In Connecticut the relations Of
parties are not 50 widely separated.
the republican majority on joint bal
lot being but IS. The republicans
have the advantage in the arrange
ment of districts. In Indiana the
democratic majority in the legisla-
ture is 46. A majority Of the hold
over senators who will vote for the
next senator are democrats, leaving
the margin for the republicans con
tinuing in control OF the next SEN
ato-ship there exceedingly small.
In Michigan, where the republi.
cans in the present Legislature have
but the slight majority Of eight over
the fusion aud democratic vote, there
ls q movement on foot TO try to con-
tinue the fusion on the Legislative
ticket, but the democratic leaders OF
greatest influence do not favor this,
as the control Of the choice Of the
candidate might be taken out OF
their hands. They prefer to run a
straightout democratic Legislative
ticket. Unless the leaders are To
gain something by the fusion they
do not intend to give their support
In Nevada, now represented by Fair,
democrat, the republicans hold the
present legislature by 36 on joint
ballot. Fairs friends, while nd
hitting that the Legislature is nat
urally republican by large vote
claim with great positiveness thai
he can be re elected. The republi
cans claim that the present politica
situation will bring every voter intt
line and that a republican will bs
chosen. A determined effort will b
made to carry that point, in order Z
esake up for the loss OF republican
senator In Virginia. In New jersey
the present legislature is l3 republi