New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1886-05-23
HOME RULE PROSPECTS.
AIR. HENRY LABOUCHERE ON THE ACTUAL
SITUATION,
little CHANCE FOR THE BILL IN IFS PhhSENi
suAPE-TuE QUEENS OPPosiTioN-DlssoL'-
TON SURE TO FOLLOW defeat
CHAMBERLAIN NlSTAkFs,

Copvricht; lsso; North CGb!, Ners Co.
IoxpoN. MAY 22-Through the courtesy of Will
lam Henry Hurbcrt TIRE TRIBUNE correspondent
IS enabled to send the following communication on
the actual situation 1t was received by him from
Mr.. Labouchere:
The Liberal Radical malcOntents now muster
about nnety-ve, as far as | and others can ga'her
of those about fifty are entirely opposed to the
principles of Home Rule, while about iiv are 'n'
nersonal adhcrents of Mr.. Chamberlain. OF the
remaining forty there are numDer WHO ",
frightened at the prospect of dlssoiu'lon' '""
49,. oo ,rxions to come 10 some sort OF terms
,,,h NJ Gladstone The real fact Is thau MI
Chamberlain and his personal adhereh's arc ~
tho positon of foxes who have burnt their tals on
and they are now doing their utmost 20 prevent
those other foxes who are IN the same state from
retaining their tails 1t might not be lmpoS'loie
10 pass the bill with assurance that the secohu
reading IS only TO be regarded as recognition ol
the principles of domestic legislature lor
1ro,ond and that after this the bill will
be withdrawn as having Passeu tnc
second reading and another bill will be brought
IN in m autumn session. There are some men,
hers. however who hope this Will not be neces-
gary and who think the bill will pass the second
reading as II STANDS. My own opinion is that in
face of the present opposition there will be little
chance Of passing such bill through It's successive
stages. Mr. Gladstone is still convinced that the
bill will he passed. tut should there be majority
against it on he second reading know, as fact
that there will he an immediate dissolution In
chat case the malcontents Will have to fall back
the Conservatives for support their constituencies
and a great many of them will 60 to the wall The
change of the Irish vote in England from the Con-
seryAtlves to the Liberals. 1t is known, VIII give
the Liberals about twenty-five Conservative seats
Ii Is trne on the other hand, that where the NAL
contents are strong, we should, owing 10 the
combination between Conservatives and Liberals,
lose few seats. but the party managers think
that we shall have largemargin to draw upon and
that when Mr.. Gladstone appeals TO the con-
stituencies he will come back with majority. l
NAV tell You that the Queen is as strongly op-
posed to Mr. Gladstone as and that she dsllkes
the bill.
| Iunderstan that the Marquis of Salisbury has
advised the Queen 10 refuse Mr.. Gladstone per-
mission to dissolve. If she were to refuse an
appeal 10 the country it would be made clear to the
Qneen perfectly plain in fact, as well as to those
about her that she would have to listen to the voice
Of the people and to the wishes of her Ministers
in the House of Commons and that If she did not
give way all parliamentary government would be
impossible No one can tell when the division will
take place. WIN MI. ulduStouc -Ni'
Iarnell it Is question of waiting. We can
keep the debate going ON for a month or six weeks
longer if ii be desirable can shut 1t up when
we please Time Is helping Mr.. Gladstone, and
little further delay Will help some of the malcon-
tents to see the error of their ways OF course II
MIR. Gladstone knows that he cannot get majority
he will throw up the sponge and go to the country.
The whips are working very hard, and the moment
they assure Mr.. Gladstone either that he can rely
upon a majority the reverse, the end Will come
aud he will wind up the debate.
The Conservatives we need not be troubled
with. They will not extend the debate. Lord
Randolph Churchill told me he would oppose the
adjournment of the debate last night, but very
quickly settled his hash by telling aim Mr.. Parnel
had a man ready who would be able and willing
t. speak for three hours beginning at Il o'clock.
and that at there would be another
one ready to continue for the pc
rod. and 50 on. Why, the Irish members
themselves cOuld keep the debate going on for a
month Mr.. Schnadhorst is here. toO busy at work.
He has seen Mr.. Gladstone and told him the cOun-
try may be relied upon 10 give him majority. but
be thinks it will be a close shave. His opinion Is
rather comforting TO one or two of the weak Lib
erals Mr. Chamberlain has made mess of II all
through and especially over the information Igave
him from Gladstone SchnadhOrst thinks Chamber
lain has made grea; mistake, and they are not
now IN the same boat. II. LABOUCHERE.