Lancaster daily intelligencer. [volume] (Lancaster, Pa.) 1864-1928, 1886-09-14
rHE wHsAr PKOsrkOr ABSoAD.

A Promise Of AN Increased Export OF Grain
and flour from the United safes.
PROM the Baltimore sun.
IfMr Rains Jack son has correctly studied
the European situation with regard To the
wheat crop aud the quality OF foreign wheat
aud broadstuns that will bo required to make
up the deficiency, there Is promise OF
much larger export of grain and Hour from
the United States than last year Wriuagto
the British Edrmcr under dato OF August 10,
he states that "there is not single crop in
the United X indom which is likely 10 attain
an average yield. Tue harvest for all sorts OF
cereals has been seldom 40 backward as it Is
thus year, and existing probabilities are that
while oats, beans aud peas Will bo almost
nve per cent short, wheat and barley Will TOO
quite ten per cont under the average In
Russia an average yield was not looked for.
owing ~ the change from heat and drought
To rain, a wet fortnight had reduced the har.
vest promise to serious extent The wheat
In Austria Hungary had been threshed and
the yield found to be ten per cent below tho
average. Spain, Italy and Portugal have fair
crops, but are likely to require sixteen mil.
lion bushels of foreign wheat. Switzerland
will require oight million, buying usually
from Austria and Southern France. In sum
ming up Mr. Jackson assumes that twenty
million bushels of foreign wheat will bo
required by England over and above the
imports Of last year, and the demands OF
france Will be Increased 10 ths saiiie estou'i
and that Southern Europe will want eight
millions of bushels more-naking altogether
torty-eight millions OF bushels IN excess Of
the requirements last year. This estimate IN
partly borne out, ~ lar a- tho l nited King
dom in concerned, 10y the British agricultural
returns, which show u steady decline in The
acreage devoted to wheat The total wheat
product has fallen oil in like manner. In
Guiding Ireland, the total yield In 1881 WAS
s2,O65, p5i bushels in 1885, T0,63j,76J bushels,
and for this year, according To the Econc-
mist, Easing its estimates on the official
returns, the aggregate yield Will not exceed
$3.50, 600 bushels But this estimate was
made when reports OF uniaNofabie weather
and OF mildew and rust were prevalent.
Since then the weather has much improved
and the harvest has been going on under
more favorable conditions The economist
expresses the opinion, after survey OF the
entire field, that Great Britain will require
OF foreign wheat to meet the deficiency for
consumption l52, 600 OF bushels More
moderate computations put the probable
demaud at not over Is, OOO, 600 bushels, an
estimate which may turn out to be as much
too low ~ II IL claimed that OF the econ
omst Is too high. But all estimates must
necessarily be more or less speculative,
being based not only upon what Is con-
jectured will be tho yield OF the home hsr
vest, but also on what quantity OF wheat
aud Hour the people will consume within a
given year. 1t is vol known that the con-
sumption OF meats aud breadstuils is regu-
lated by the conditions of trade. When
business il brisk and employment active
tho consumption of both increases. When
1t ~ dull and large numbers OF people are
idle they are compelled 10 restrict their pur.
chases auG in many cases to resort to coarser
and more inexpensive articles OF food. But,
taking the known tact that the acreage de-
voted to wheat in Great Britain has declined
from :, COS, SD in 1854 To . 80, O64 acres tho
present ear, while In the meantime popula-
ton has gone on steadily increasing, IL Is obvi
Gus that the smaller quantity OF W heat grown
by the British farmer will have To be met by
larger import Of foreign wheat, aud that
any falling OFT below the average yield must
create a corresponding additional demand
TO make up for the deficiency