St. Paul daily globe., 1886-10-25

majority. and Mr.. Lovely cannot possibly
if the testimony of reliable men, Demo-
Gratis and Republicans, is worth any
thing-get majority in any counties
except Freeborn, OlmSted and Fillmore
not to exceed 500 ION liberal estimate) In
Freeborn and Omsted and 500 in Fillmore.
Steele, Houston, Mower and Dodge, will
give very small majOrities. as likely for
Wilson as for Lovely. So they may really
be called stand-otf. Lovely has chance
for from 100 to 200 majority in Mower and
Dodge and Wilson the same in Steele and
Houston. This may. in fact. be reversed
just the other way, so uncertain is the re-
suit in these counties. But there will not,
it is believed, be
FIVE HUNDRED MAJORITY EITHER WAY
in these four counties. COnceding 500 for
Lovely, however. in these four counties.
which he cannot, under any possible con-
tingency, get the totals would stand for
Lovely: Freeburn. Olmsted and Fillmore,
l. 100; Steele, Houston, Mower and Dodge,
500; totals, 1,6O0. Fol Wilson: Winona
and Wabasha, $500 ION low estimate),
leaving a majority for Wilson of 700. This
is believed to be the very lowest figure to
which Wilson's majority can be reduced.
and it is the impression of the shrewdest
and best posted men that it will
be double that, and may reach
3 900. Lovely, however, is hoping to get
large Knights of Labor vote in Winona and
reduce Wilson's majority there. Take the
case of Fillmore county. for instance, and
see how fallaciouS is the reasoning on
which they figure out LOvely'S majority.
They hope to get 1,0O0 majority in that
county. How they figure it out is beyond
the comprehension of the average mortal
who knows anything about the situation in
that county. A gentleman who has lived
there for twenty years, and has always
been active in politics, explains the situa-
ton in this wise: In 1884 Blaine received
2. 915 votes in Fillmore county and Cleve
land l, 1,S0O-a majority of 1,115 for Blaine.
1t is believed that at least 500 Irshmen
voted for Blaine whose sympathes are with
the Democratic party. But say therel are
$50 of these Irishmen who come back to
the Democratic fold. This will add 250 to
the Democratic vote and take that much off
the Republican, making difference of
500. This will reduce the Republican ma
jority to 615. Senator Mehan, who knows
the Irish of the county thoroughly, believes
there are 500 who voted for Blaine
and will now vote for Wilson. So
the $50 is very reasonable estimate.
There were 459 votes cast for Butler.
Almost without exception these were
Democrats. 1t is safe to say that $50 of
them, anyhow. will vote for Wilson. This
is conceding 100 to Lovely, bringing the
Republican majority down to 365. If this
whole Butler vote is for Wilson-which it
is believed is true-the majority will be
only 165. There we're only
ABOUT $50 PROHIBITION VOTES
cast in 1884. 1t is believed that rn1s vote
will reach at least 400 this fall, an increase
of $50. This will come almost wholly from
the Republican ranks, which will wipe out
the alleged majority for Lovely and leave
small margin for Wilson if the 459 Butler
votes are given to him. This does not take
into account the widespread disaffection
against Lovely in the county. which the in
fiuence of Milo White will certainly
strengthen before election day. 1t is very
conservative to say that $50 Republicans
who voted for Milo White for congress will
not vote for Lovely. This will make diff
ference of 500 votes. which will represent
majority of about that figure for Wilson.
1t is believed that he will have at least 300
But, even if Fillmore county should prove
stand-off, what show has Lovely for cleo