The sun., 1886-06-03
onryRLAND and BLAINE
Are They Net Likely 90 ne Fitted Against
Each other In reeee

Each Other In 1885,
| From Me Precedence Journal
Mr.. Cleveland's nearest friends firmly be-
| lieve that he will be renominated In 1888. Mr..
| Cleveland himself un doubtedly has some such
an idea. As a thoughtful man he cannot help
surveying tho political horizon from time to
time to sec which way tho popular wind is
blowing. He fully expects that Blaine Will
be put up again by the Republicans. and he
probably reasons that nothing would be moro
natural than that he should ngain to asked to
try conclusions with the man from Maine.
| Can Mr.. Cleveland be renominatedr The
average Democratic leader will tell you that he
cannot; but the average Democrat is not al
ways sagaoious and foresighted.
| Mr.. Cleveland in the first place. has firm
grip on the party achinery In New York stnte.
Mr.. Manning Is stlll his loyal and unwavering
supporter. The County Democracy orRaniza-
ton In New York city. headed by Edward
Cooper and Hubert o. Thompson. has yet con-
troll Of tho Custom House by grace OF Mr..
Cleveland. and. In spite OF growls and protests
here and there. will give Cleveland solid vote
when he needs It. as against Gov. Hill or any
other man. This organization was opposed to
| Hills nomination last fall. and the Governor
hos since affiliated more with the Tammany
faction. This action will not make votes for
Mr.. Hill in National Convention.
doubt. however. whether Hill will be q can
didate against Cleveland two years hence. MIR.
Hill is young man and will lose nothing by
| waiting. He may lose great deal BY being In
too great a hurry. II Mr.. Cleveland is really
| candidate and Gov. Hill also enters the race.
division of the delegation will be the inevita-
| bio result. and neither man can win. Mr.. Hill
| Is too shrewd politician not to see this. am
inclined to think. therefore. that Mr.. Hill will
first try to see II he can capture the Legislature
next winter. and go to the United States Sem
| ate. and that falling In that. rs he probably
| will. he will accept a denomination for Cover
| nor In 1888. and serve as running mate for
Mr.. Cleveland, provided the latter gets tho
| Presidential nomination.
The solid South will give great many votos
| to Cleveland II he wants denomination.
There is essgrowlng In Tint section than in
any other part Of tho country. Mr.. Cleveland
has recognized the leading politicians Of the
Southern States In making appointments.
Tho Democratic Senators from thoso States
have had ali the patronage thoy wanted Some
old-timo Confederate statesmen havo been
slowed away in comfortable foreign missions.
and their Rcowls nre not heard. Senators like
Brown and Coauitt Of Georgia. Hampton and
Butler of South Carolina. Pugh and Morgan OF
Alabama Beck OF Kentucky Ransom Of North
Carolina. Gibson OF Louisiana. Coke and Maxey
Of Texas. and Vest and Cockrell Qf Missouri,
although they critlcise souS features OF the
Administration policy. have reason to be
friendly to Mr.. Cleveland md there is no rea-
son why they should not prefer him for another
term to Hill or Carlisle. whom they cannot con-
troll with any moro certainty
In tho House OF Represent atves you will find
three Democrats out OF four would prefer Car
Isle for President to Cleveland, HILL or any
other man: but some Of the shrcwier polti-
clans among them appreciate the importance
OF making New York sure: and they admit
that thoy do not know how Carlisle would run
in that State. In estimating Cleveland's
chances for denomination the power OF Federal
patronage must not be lost sight Of. Tho skill
ful and energetic work done by Postmaster
General Villas In organizing the Democratic
House to defeat tho subsidy for American
steamship lines shows that departments may
be manipulated so as to be powerful factor in
tho National Convention. Then there Is the
Treasury Department controlled by mon. every
one OF whom will work earnestly for Mr.. Cleve-
lands success.
Have the Custom Houses and tho revenue
collectors and special agents and nil the other
forces that 1t commands lost their vigcr in this
era OF reform? Don't you believe 1t. When
the time comes around for electing delegates
to a National Convention. organization is going
to tell powerfully In favor OF tho man who
holds the relns. II a National Convention wero
TO be held this fall. tho fight would como be-
tween Cleveland and Carlisle. 1t would be hard
to say which would stand the better chance.
Probably Carlisle would be In the lead. but
think machine organization would beat him
before tho balloting was done. A surprising
number OF very actively interested ofIicehold-
ers would suddenly spring into the field in
spite Of tho civil service rules and do some
very fine wire pulling.
Cloveand's friends firmly believe that Hill
will not bo in their way when they want to take
the field. They say that he has always been
loyal to the Manning machine. and that while
he is ambitious to be u Presidential candidate.
many things may happen between now and
1888. and neither Blaine nor Cleveland may be
possibilities Mt that time. A little moro than
two years before the Convention OF 1884 MIR.
Cleveands nRme was not known outside OF
Buffalo. and that astute political manager. Mr..
Manning. had never heard OF him or seen him.
Mr.. Biaino was consricuOus at that time it Ia |
true. but his chances were not SO good as were |
President Arthurs for tho nomination OF |
1884, We have no Gubernntorial elections this
year to bring out new tidal-wave Governors
and possible Presidential candidates. and we
shall have to select from tho old stock Mr.. |
Hendricks Is dead, Mr.. Mcdonald Is shelyed. |
Mr.. Thurman Is far advanced in years. and |
Mr.. Bayard's popularity has waned. II Mr.. |
Cleveland seeks tho denomination. he has no. |
body to fear but Carlisle and Hill. and probably |
the latter may be out Of the way. MIR. Blaine. |
on tho other slo. seems to bs equally fortu- |
nate or his old opponents, Arthur ia not like |
ly to be nlive two years hence. and John Sher- |
mans friends admit that his own State Is hope-
lessly divided against him. Mr.. Edmunds GER
tainly will not figure in tho next Republican |
Convention.
Great Increnae OF Trade Journals.
Prom the CIotticr Gnd FEgnisher