The Indianapolis journal. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1867-1904, 1886-06-21

I were to travel over the whole field of hope,
but will direct your attention to some impor
tant features: First we have the uudoubted fact
that of the Irish votes in Great Britain, which
were given at the general election to the Con
servatives, we can transfer at least fifty seats
now held by Tories to the Liberal party This
will make one hundred on division, and will con-
vert the majority of thirty against the bill into
majority of seventy for it. There are also
at least fifty constituencies now held by small
majorities by Liberals where the Irish vote can
turn the small majority into a large one.
But you will ask me whether there are not
some Liberal seats which may be captured
by the Tories There are undoubtedly some;
how many it is impossible to cay, as 1t
depends upon the extent of the schism in the
Liberal ranks; but am inclined TO think that
this loss will be nearly. ii not quite balanced by
the gain of seats now held by Liberal dissension-
lists, many of whom will be beaten by minis
terial candidates. and some of whom consider
their chances so hopeless that they have already
withdrawn from the contest AS an example of
this may mention that out of eight Welsh
Liberal members who voted against the bill, four
have already announced that they will not seek
reelection. Much, however, will depend upon
the result Of Gladstones visit to Scotland, of
which the portents are very favorable, and
should 1t have the effect many anticipate, a
larger majority than the seventy which l now
calculate as the result Of the general election
may be looked for.
SOrrtSpOHuout-lu ueu you 40 not dOtdcu Strl-
GUS Importance to the Harrington Chamberlain
combinationP
Mr.. Parnell-There is no real comb mbination be-
tween Lord Hortington and Mr.. Chamberlain,
either in programme or in action. AS matter
OF fact, the Cham berlain party, so far as mem
bers Of Parliament go, may be reckoned on the
fingers of one hand. About twenty-five Radicals
voted against the bill, but they did so from vari
Gus motives, and very few are really in unison
with Chamberlain. The remainder of the Lib
AZ CarS how
are Wings, and there can be little doubt that
about half of these will lose their seats / am
told that the Tories expect to increase their num-
bers by fifty, but, as have shown already, this
does not appear in the remotest degree possible
However, agree that of the three. sections of
the opponents of the bil-the Tories, Wings and
Radicals-the former is the only party which
can possibly increase its numbers at all in the
general election In estimating the position of
the Wings and their chances of success, we must
remember that their opposition to the bill is
really stimulated by their hatred of progress
and their desire to keep the Liberal
party occupied and divided by the Irish ques
tion. In this way they hope to postpone useful
reforms for the English masses, and the latter are
quite clever enough to see it was mainly due to
Gladstone's influence that the Wings have been
so long tolerated as principal factor in Liberal
politics, and certainly had it not been for his
shield and name many of them would have been
brushed aside at the recent elections. The Rad
offered them, and. the Wings have broken
with them over this question: the Radicals will
take care TO exterminate them politically as far
as possible. so that they may never again domi-
nate and delay the Radical programme. You
see, then, that | regard the late reverse not as
defeat not even as a check. but as
necessary in order to bring about that clearing
of the decks which is so essential to carry sat
isfactory bill through Parliament. Gladstone is
certain to triumph. if his health and strength
last His appeals to the English democracy
will go home, and the working classes will see
that a settlement of the Irish question is una
yodable if those great reforms for which Great
Britain now waits with regard to land and social
problems are to be attended to.
Correspondent II suppose you count conf
IDENTIFY on continuance of Irish and American
support to see you through this fght2
Mr. Parnell-Yes, do; and I regard with
great satisfaction the evidence of active .sym-
pathy with the Irish cause furnished by the
large contributions which the cable informs US
are being so generously made by all sections of
the American people. The universal express
sions of approval of Mr.. Gladstones policy com
ing from all parts of the United States have
been one of the largest factors in the settlement
of this question, and have given the English peo-
pie confidence that they are on the right road,
which otherwise might not have been so largely