Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1886-09-03

The Congressional Sttaasiea In Sew
Ysrk-Probabtltstes and Possibilities
Of the Comtmg ElecttOa.

The Congressional Sit0att0n In SeW
York-Probablltstes And Possibilities
81 the CSmiaG Election.
Special Dispatch 10 Tue EVENING STAR.
ALBANY, Sept 3-Neither the democratic nor
the republican party has yet made any norni-
nations for Congress In this state. and no dis
trict conventions will be held until ne a week.
Ii II conceded, however. that the republicans
will certainly gain one and probably two Con-
grcssmen In the delegation TO be elected In No
vember
In the present Congress New York Is repre-
sented by i. democrats and Ia republicans.
or the "a districts In the state only 9 can 10
deemed at all doubtful, though a strong nght IL
sometimes made i'm the others. The demo
cratic apportionment OF 1883 gave the demo
Gratis the nrst Ii districts of the state including
New YORK, Brooklyn, and their suburbs, except
the I'D district, by such majorities that q re-
publican contest in any one OF them f. a waste
OF money and energy. In the Sd district repub-
together.
10y that apportioninent were massed I'm central,
northern and western New York districts,
where no serious contest Is ever made by the
d, nlocrats. Ten dIstricts-the sixteenth,
eighteenth, twenty-first, twenty-second twen-
ty-ifth, twenty-siNth, twenty-seventh, twenty
ninth, tnirty-nrst & ana thirty-iourth give each
are not disputaDie territory. Two more dis
tricts are certain To be carried by the republi-
George West has stated that he does not care
for another term, he Is TO be renominated, and
will be reelected.
The SD, or Buffalo district, elected Major
Farquhar, republican, by no means strong in
the party, agh inst Dan Lock wood. the strong
est democrat ia the district, when Cleveland
was running Tor President, and Il certain to
elect a republican this year. Buffalo strongly
desires a federal appropriation Tor the Erie
canal, and on this issue Will increase this year
its normal republican congressional majority.
The same cause Will contribute the re-e,ec.
tion oil Mr.. Weber, republican. In the thirty.
third, one OF the eight doubtful districts u
the state.
The seven remaining doubtful districts are
now represented by four democrats and three
republicans. The 18th district, represented by
the late Lewis Beach, is tradilionally the clos
est i'm the state. Mr.. Beach's personal popular.
ity has held IL for the democrats; but his death
and local disputes over the federal patronage
give the republicans even chance OF carry
Ing it. The 18th district, now represented by
Mr.. Lindsey, republican, Ii "A center OF prohibi-
ton activity. The prohibitonists have aread v
set up candidates for Congress through the
| state, and are making an especially active cam
lose Mr.. Lindsey's district IL will be through
temperance agitation, but the chances favor
counties comprising the district gave Daven-
port 200 net majority, although the district
was well organized for Gov. Hin. The niue
teenth or Albany district is normally reliable
democratic district; but DIR. John Swinburne.
the present republican i.Icumoent, polls u
heavy democratic labor vote. He will he re-
Nominated and reelected. The twenty-third
or I tlca district, represented by Mr.. Spriggs,
| has u heavy republican majority; but the cuil-
gres>ionai chair has been made the basis Ior
deals Or has been sacrificed 10y republican
factional quarreis. The republican nominee
will probably be State senator Henry j. Cogges-
hall, and arrangements will be made 10 eject
him II ne Is nominated. Ii Is altogether prob
aole that Mr.. Spriggs successor will be "a repuD-
llcap. A contest Is usually made in the twenty
lourtn district, represented by Mr. John y. Pin-
dar, democrat; but The zeal Of the prohibitions
lists In the counties OF the district Will make the
democratic nomination equivalent To AN cleo
tion. The twenty-eighth district volun-
tarlly abandoned by the republican managers
| in the canvass OF 1854 in order to prevent the
democratic nominee, Mr.. John Arnot, an Elmirn
| To Lieut.. Gov. Hill 10 corduct the local
canvass for President Cleveland. The
scheme was successful. MIR. Arnot was elected
without opposition, aud the republican presi.
normal level Gov. Hill will make Z
| strong effort to elect democratic rep
resentative from the district this year,
but the local republican managers count
on gaining the Congressman. The tnirtieth Or
Rochester district Is normally republican, and
republican candidates. return is threatened
| this year only 10y the restoration oi harmony
between local warning democratic factious In
the thirty-third district the federal appropria-
lion to the Erie canal is the issue wuicu re-
publicans expect with reason 10 re-elect Mt.
| Weber.
The congressional situation i'm this state may
therefore be briefly summed up follows:
Thirteen districts are surely democratic and
thirteen surely republican,. OI the debatabls
districts the republicans will probably RETAIN
| the seventeenth, nineteenth, thirtieIh aud
| thlrty-thlru and tie democrats Will retain the
twenty-iourth, ana probably the fiiteenth. the
| republicans are likely 10 gain the twenty Third
anu tne twenty-elgntu districts.