The Salt Lake herald. [volume] (Salt Lake City [Utah]) 1870-1909, 1886-07-21
THE CROPS.
The Prospect for Cereals on
the LIST of July.
CALIFORNIA; NEW SENATOR
On the Turf-The National Game-A
Heavy observation-disclosures
Market Reports-Etc.
Crop Report.


mept of the crop condition on the first
day of July, compiled by Professor
Dodge, statistician of the agricultural
department, and telegraphed to the
press on the 10th instant, Is to-day
supplemented by fuller report giving
additional facts and figures OF an in
teresting character.
In the report, the professor says: The
area of corn is steadily increasing, with
only the slightest impetus from foreign
demand and still less from the spirit
manufacturers. The increase in seven
wears Stree 1879 has been about 20 per
cent. and the present area is about U.s.
600 900 acres. The increase is rapid in
the more recently settled western
states, for two reasons; first, from
settlement and home making; second,
from the substitution of corn for wheat.
The settlers find the demand for wheat
fixed and little variation. except that
the worlds supply affects the demand
everywhere while the demand for corn
is elastic and may be doubled with
prices sufficiently low. Wheat is the
snort of Spectators while corn has
seldom>been cornered. OF spring wheat
the report SAYS: The condition of spring
wheat hes declined from 1874 in June
to S3.3 in consequence of the high
temperature, drying winds and
want of rain. Last year the average
condition was 50 IN July, and in conse-
queuce Of the high temperature, a
critical period, fell to So at the time OF
harvesting. 1t is a sudden fall, and
though only per cent. lower than last
years corn at harvest, a continuance
of the injurious weather would be
likely to threaten further and serious
disaster. The apparent depreciation
in June is fifteen points, but 1t would be
a serious error to apply that reduction
to AS ,0OO,OOO bushels OF spring wheat
harvested. which represented the con-
dition of 1886 at harvesting, only three
points above the present condition.
Should there be no further reduction,
the present condition should insure
about l39 900 900 bushels. 1t should be
understood, however, that the loss Of
vitality so early in the season exposes
the crop to further I'M ries by
the heat of July and August, and
renders it highly probable that
the average condition at harvest may
be still lower. In this point Of view the
injury is more serious than the average
reported status of crops would make it.
With favorable weather in July and
| August, the increased condition may be
maintained, though the chances are
confessedly against il. Making some al
| lowanceS for probability, judicious
and reasonable Interpretation of the
July report of winter and spring wheat
would show prospect for an
| increase of about 100000 bush
els above the official report OF
the estimate for 1885. The results OF
three hing of winter wheat and meteor
illogical conditions for the next two
months may easily add 1900, 900 to
! these figures or substract quite as large
an amount. The winter wheat area
already assures nearly enough for home
consumption and seed. The average
expectation of wheat aud -four for the
past four years has been 1l6,OOO,OOO
| bushels. The present expectation fav-
ors a product nearly If not quite sui
| ficient for the rate of expectation in adj
dition to consumption. The exports OF
| the past year are some million bushels
less than this average. The surplus
will probably be ample. therefore, for
any foreign demand likely to arise.
| The distribution of the past year is as
follows: Estimated C assumption for
food, 271 ,0O0, 900; seed, 81 ,474,OOO. Ex-
ports from preliminary statement, 49,.
i
1885. 357, 112.OO0. Drawn from crops OF
1888. IS. 959. $50. The visible upply has
been decreased during the year
about 100000 bushels leaving
about 100000 bushels to come
from surplus in the hands of the
farmers. In view of the present sur
plus, visible and invisible, which is still
a fair average, last years ofsiclaCe s-
innate is verified, and the 5000, OOe
lower estimates, so strenuously insisted
on by ambitious crop stausti.
clans. is discredited with marked
emphasis. The condition Of oat:
is lower than in any former July
report since 1879, when the yield aver,
age % bushels per acre. The present
condition is 50, s against 81, in July Of
that year. .
The average for rye is 95.6.against s.
last year. 1t is nearly the same rs II
1881. The condition of barley IS some
what lower at the present date than a
the LIST July IN any recent year, yet th'
differences is not sufficient to reduc'
greatly the prospective yield. 1t aver
ages 50. against 90 last July, and IS II
July of previous years