The Hocking sentinel. [volume] (Logan, Ohio) 1871-1906, 1885-05-21
WHO WILL GET ITp
That is the COnundrum
as to the Next House.
ssne Intere<Ng Figures as
% Probabilities and P0S-
siblllties.

I
letter giving the prospects concern
ing the possibilities and probabi'i-
ties of the next State Senate may
be properly supplemented ny an
analysis of the chances for the two
parties to control the House of the
9Th General Assembly.
The next House will consist o'
10 members, s more than the late
House. Belmont, Columbiana
Nuskingum. Montgomery. and
Trumbu!l gam one member each
Montgomery gains one sure for the
Democrats; Columbiana two sure
for the Republicans, and Belmont
and Muskingum two doubtful
I think it safe to assume that in
nearly every case when either par
! ty had 800 majority and over in q
county in October last, it may be
at down as for a Democratic or he
publican Representatives, as the
case nay be, provided good nomin-
atoms are made, and no fac;ional
candidate for the United States
Senate steps in and lnterferes with
party all egiances.
Assuming this, it divides the
State into sure Democratic, sure
Republican, doubtful Democratic
and doubtful Republican counties,
az follows with the majorities OF
October 1884
Sure Democratic: Allen. 1858
Ashland. 723; Augla,ze. 2OI2
Brown, 11l3; Butler, 1906; Gosh
octon, 656; Crawford, 22l3, Darke
1922; Defiance and Paulding, 1908;
Erie, 9O3; Fairfield, 1875 Frank
lin, 1874; Hancock, 376, Henry,
1887; Hooking, 1893; Holmes, 20
IS; Licking, 1873; Marion, TAI
Mercer, 223s; Moncoe, 1894; Mont
gomery, $50; Ottawa, 1873; Picka-
way, 1885; Pike, 579; Putnam. Is
81; Richland. 1915; Sandusky. 667;
Seneca, 1915; Shelby, 1926: Tusca-
rawas, 1915, Wayne, 375; Wyan
dot, $50.
OF these assumed certain Demo :
cratic counties Franklin and Mont
gomery elect 3 Representatives.
each, Defiance and Paulding one
jointly and the remainder one each.
or 36 in all.
Sure Republic n: Ashtabula,
1914; Athens, 1865: Carroll. 594;
Champaign, 1919; Clarke, 1868;
Clinton, 1872; Columbiana, 2173;
Cuyahoga, 2O59; Delaware, 31S;
Fayet,e, 923; Fulton, s3s; Gallia,
1906; Geauga and Lake, 353s;
Greene, 2l46; Guernsey. 767; Ham
ilton. 24SS; Hardin, $40; Harris
son.641: Huron. 1173; jackson.
6S5, jefferson. 1872; Lawrence, IL
SO; Logan. 1893; Lor ain. 2l34; Lu
cas-. 337; Mahoning. l196; Medina.
1916; Neigs, 1881; Miami, sS7;
Morgan. 497; Morrow. 40S; Noble,
3l4; Portage. 564; Scioto. 722; Sum
nit. 1886; Trumbull, BIAS, Union.
1854; Warren, 1743; Wood, 643.
of these Cayahoga elects 6, Col
umbiana, 2 Hamilton 10 f; Lucas 2;
Trumbull 2; Geauga and Lake one
jointly, and the others one each or
IS in all. just one half Of the House.
Doubtful Democratic: Adams,
n; Knox, Z; Perry. 125; Ross, 151;
Stark, 22s; Vinton, 18S, William,
16. Of these counties Stark elects
two and the others one each, total
of 80.
Doubtful Republican: Belmont.
242; Clermont. 63; High!aa d, 6S;
Madison. 165; Muskingum, Z; Preb
BILE, 2S4; Van Vert. 81; Washing
ton, sc. Of these Belmont and
Musk,ngum elect two zach and the
others one each. a total of 10.
If the Democrats should carry all
of these doubtful counties, they
would exactly tie the Republicans
in the House without having a sin
gle member from either Hamilton
or Cuyahoya.
The counties classstl. as doubtful
Democratic were all, with the ex-
ception of Perry, represented BY
Democrats in the 66th General AS
sembly. and of the doubtful Re
publican coun;ics, Clermont, Mad
isou, Muskingum aid Washington
had Democratic Representatives :
Lucas county is really u doubtful
county with the chances in favor Of
too Democratic membe s.
Hence, with good nominations IN
tie close and doub .fu codnties, It is
possible for the Democrats to tie
the House or b we two or three ma
jority, withou: breaking into the
solid delegations Of Hamilton and
Cuyahoga A break in these would
make a Democratic Legislature
sure.
But the question as TO who WILL
be the next Bnltcd States Senator
will bo settled in Hamilton and
Cuyahoga. Lucas, and Is counties
cIassed as doubtful abovo.
/ have thus presented a careful
OF the vote of last year
and The possibilities for this, to the
end the Democra may make a
Democratic Lesisture not only pos
s.blo but reasonably sure by the
character Of their n0minations.-|