St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1885-11-01
TWO STATES IN SIGHT
Some Good Figures Indicating Coming
Democratic Victories in New
York and Virginia.
Business Men Meet in New York City
and Ratify Gov. Hills
Candidacy.
Fears Expressed That Mahone May
Possibly Capture the Virginia
Legislature.
Bozeman. Mont, Officials VIII Seek
a Vindication--A Democrat
Leading in Dubuque.
Guessing on HilI's Majority.

Special to the Globe
Nrw YORK, Oct. 31.-Granting that
Gov. Hill and the other state candidates ara
s,1nnorted in entire good faith by all of the
elements OF his party and the probable di-
neosions of their vote become an interesting
tonjc Tor speculation. A prominent Demo
crar of New York, who has been cOnspic-
uouslv identified with local and state poll
tics for Il quarter OF a century, and who has
a reputation for good pTe-election guessing,
has furnished the GLOBE correspondent
with these figures: Total registration,
2i6, 900: deduct 10 per cent. for
ahsentees. 21 600 leaves a probable
aggregate of 1914. 400. The largest ReDub-
lican vote ever polied in New York city at
4 guberuat0rial election was $4,000; an in
crease of 10000 is allowed Davenport,
which is claimed to be much larger than is
indicated by the registration. The figures
then stand: Total vote, 1914. 900; Hill, 1922
200: Davenport, 20, 600; Prohibition and
Grcepback. ,. 600; Hill over Davenport, 52,-
200. The same authority estimates Hills
excess over Davenport III Brooklyn at s, 900,
making the aggregate majority f0r the
former in the two cities 81, 300, which elects
him by about twenty thousand ms Is
rather a rose-colored view Of the situation,
but it is shown by the register. John
Kelly. the Tammany Sachenl, stakes MS
REPUTATION AS \ POLITICAL PROPHET
upon the approximate correctness OF tLle
figures below, Total vote, 1872 900; H!il'
194 OO0. Davenport, IS, Coo; excess for Hill,
Sc, 600. Mr.. Reilly. as VIII be observed
leaves the tsreenbacl and Prohibition tick
els entirely out OF his calculation. The
Butlar and St. John vote in the city last
year was onlv only /. 80, and the estimate
of :. 600 made by the first authority quoted
will certainly prove liberal one. At the
Ppnubllcan headquarters Hill is not
conceded more than $4,000 majority
in New York city and $4,000
in BROOKLYN. ard the Democrat claims
are secuted rs pYeposterOus. 1t is pointed
cut that Hancock carried the city by only
Il .0O0 and Cleveland by only As 900, WAen
the full votes were poled, and that, leaving
the tidal wave of 1852 out OF consideration,
no such majority as is now predicted Tor
Hill has been received by any candidate for
president or governor in many years. In
BROOKLYN. which was the MugWump storm
center last wear, the existing complications
are numerous and bewildering. Cleveland
carried Kings county by an excess OF 10, l4S
over Blaine: and i'll 1880 UancOckS plurality
was 9,3l1.
INDEPENDENT VOTING IS MUCH IN VOGUE
in BROOKLYN, and there is no community III
the country in which dividing lines between
Oarties are so mdistinct ALr. Cleveland'S
majority was largely due to the efforts Of
Heniw Ward Beecher whose influence is
still q potent factor in the politics Of Brook
lyn. This year Mr.. Beecher is supporting
the Davenport ticket with considera-
bic vigor, and so also are most OF the
prominent gentlemen who acted with him
last Year. At an early stage in the cam
paign there was quite thriving colony of
Democratic mugwumps across the bridge,
but Foraker's bloody shirt speeches and as
saults upon the administration have almost
decinated its ranks. However, it Is con-
ceded that Gov Hill will not poll the aver
ace Democratic vote in Brooklyn.