The Indianapolis sentinel. [volume] (Indianapolis, Ind.) 1880-1904, 1885-05-11
Uncertainty as Ia War or Peace Be-
tween Russia and England-Ar.
bitration a Failure.
The French About to Resign the
6lories Of War in Tonquin
and Mao ageScar.
AFGHAN NEGOTIATIONS.
Russian Diplomartsts Get the Better of
Gladstone aud Granville on ALI
Points Yet Dtscussed.

fa1ny. II IS ABSOLUTELY lmoOsklDle 10 predict what
day may bring forth. No sooner had the people
begun become reconciled TO the idea OF tie sub
mission OF the difficulty to arbitration. thai re
ports Begin to prevail questioning the probability
of there being any arbitration. after all the talk
as to the great things 1t was about to accomplish
Tonight one processes to understand what the
precise condition OF the negotiations with Russia
cult, II not absolutely impossible. to disabuse
himself OF the feeling that, whatever Mr.. Glad
stone and Earl Granville may say to the contrary,
lions has w redounded 70 Ru s al,
talking. the Russian railroad has been actively
pushed toward the Afghan frontier. and the Rus
are facts. and the average Briton grows impatient
when the attempt - made 10 bedttle their I'M
portance. Tue position OF affairs tonight is so in.
yolved IN uncertainty and doubt as TO create
general feeling of insecurity. The feeling that
the proposed arbitration is likely to fall through
there is likely to De considerable delay in prepar
ing the preliminary details. There Is no denying
people en With sme The delay It Is said VIII b.
necessary in order to allow the Cabinets OF tie
two countries 10 come to decision on the precise
points to 5e submitted to the arbitrator. Some
people profess think that this process of arriv
ing at q preliminary understanding will be so
arbitration taking place at all decidedly slight.
The Cabinet. it is thought. may find themselves
much sea in deciding what shall be submitted
the arbitrator they were in trying to come to
an understanding IN regard TO the original diff.
S1ily; ~ Is numoiousiy suggested tnat tney may
order TO determine what shall be submitted to the
arbitrator. The possibilities OF this sort of diplom
scy open up rich field 10 the imaginative states
man.
This view Of the situation gains additional like
Ih0od when one considers the last exchange Of
vile, Secretary of Stare for Foreign Affairs aud
Baron De Staal, the Russian Minister. Between
these diplomats differences OF opinion about sucn
primary questions as the scope OF the proposed
arbitration and the zone of delimita,ion still re.
= main unsettled. When these divergent views can
be rec0nciled and common standard reached
from which TO consider tae main question is by
no means certain. Baron De Staal has proposed
that the who scheme of arbitration shall be
abandoned in case comparison OF the evidence
regarding the Penjdeh incident shall oe found 10
sustain Russ as Interpretation o. the agreement
OF MaTcn II. Earl Granville is inclined 10 sccede
to.tb:s proposition, but only on condition that
Russia grant definite treaty, IN which she shall
pledge herself not 10 make any further advance
into Aighanlstsn. There is little likelihood that
Russia would make such treaty as Earl Gran
vile suggests. There is increasing reason to be-
lieye that the possession Of Peujceh mas whet.ed
that nothing but Herat wilt long aDpesss its
cravings. Russians here in London, who
terms OF intimacy with ohic.als OF the Russian
Russia intends 10 take Herst. Tney assert that ii
will be an easy matter to obtain the assent OF the
that no treaty when should propose Russias re.
lease OF this object would be binding.
When the opportunity comes or is made to seize
Herst. Herat VIII be seized. no matter wha, any
treaty may be- They say further thai Russia does
PH S In tne , OF
the local tribes together with the aerattes shall
ask Tor the lection of the zar Russia is bound
TO incorporate them in her dominion. English
men. familiar with the annexation of Merv, think
they understand what Russians mean whey they
of the Car. There is a shrewd suspicion afoat
that the importunate asking for protection by the
NERVE. which the Gar had no heart to Withstand,
was entirely free from compulsion.
These expressions OF opinion and belief on the
part OF Russians who have access to the Russian
Embassy are fair reflection OF the tone of Baron
vile.
The diplomatic position of Earl Granville has
been weakened by the recent advces received
from L0rd Dufierin on the present state OF affairs
the Afghans are not quite Is enthusiastic in their
devotion to the British cause the declaration
of Abdurrahman at Rawal-Plndi would seem TO
indicate. Another source OF disturbance is fur
nished by the emissaries OF Ayoub- Khan, the de.
posed ruler at Herat who is low in exile st
instance of the British Minister to prevent his
contemplated escape to his own people. These
interest among the people between Baik and Herats
Ii is not improbable that thcyare in the pay OF Rus.
STA: at any rate they are carrying on the wishes
people that if Ayoub Is restored to power the
Russisns will guarantee them independence and
freedc m from the tributes now levied by Abdur-
rahmsn. Friends CT Abdurrshman have warned
him that the advances OF the British beyond
Quetta would be the signal for general revolt OF
Baikh. This movement they assure him would
at once receive material assistance from the Rus
sians
These sdvices and others of similar nature
Clearly indicate that an advance of the British
beyond Candahar would probably be impossible
without engaging ia combat with the Afghans.
This probability of resistance on the part OF their
supposed allies makes the problem of an advance
has been calculated upon.
Earl Dufferin's report on the Afghan question
Is EXERCISING potent influence upon the action
the week that Earl Dufe1i1 had resigned MS post
because OF his inability to agree with the Govern
ments policy had absolutely no foundation. abe
Niceroy Is in complete accord with the Gov rn-
OF railway Candshar and the erection of
strong Notifications which should serve IS the
inst line OF outworks liz the dsfense OF India.
Public opinion in India among the ERglish and
native communities regarding the prospects of
peace IS hy no means uniform. The military and
civil officers disappointed at the turn affairs
nave taken and continue TO clsmor for
The trading centers, however. sucn as Bombay.
calcutta, Madras bail the prospect OF peace with
expressions OF grateful relief
There are next TO no signs OF any relaxation.
eltDer N England or ln.e. OF the preparations for
war- The action OF tie flenary Cabinet Council,
tnls afternoon. IN directing cancellation If the
orders providing Tor the Dispatch of 1000 troops to
inola II thought by TO be significant OF
purpose 20 eurtall the waE measures.
IL Is esumated that rors than f).C000 coo has
me the military and navy equipment. The mill
taIy papers IN London dsnounce the governments
policy. Inc Army and Navy Gazette states that
one euect OF the paiehed-up truce is to furnish
Russia reileI irom the coal famine from VIII len she
Is al present suffering. The stock of coal had be-
come 20 low, according 10 this journal, at 81.
Petersburg that the Russian feet Could not have
gone to sea- Manufactures had been fore ID 10
close their shops, and work has been retarded al
the imperial cock-yarcs and arsenals