St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1885-11-02
IF FIGURES DON'T LIE
The Democracy VIII Capture New York
TO-Morrow, and Possibly Iowa
and Virginia.
New York Republicans Badly Disoour-
aged, and Gov. Hill Now in
the Lead.
In Iowa the Democratic Cand1date
for Chief Executive is very
Hopeful.
aIr. Coon,s Little Talk on Ohio Fo1-
itics is What Caused His Sudden
Decapitation.
F FIGURES DON'T LIE
pr,gbt Democratic outlook.

ur5ght Democratic Outlook.
Special to the Globe
A1pA1y. Nov. 1.-The last week OF the
ramnaien closes with Gov. Hill and his
managers more hopeful as to the result than
at anv previous time since the nominations
were made. while the Republicans display
increasing nervousness owing TO the TENOR
of the reports from various portions OF tne
state with a handful of winning cards at
the beginning of the game. These gentle
men have made a succession of bad plays
which have all but destroyed their chances
of success, and it Is conceded now that II
Davenport wins at all it will be by narrow
margin. The largely increased registration
in New York city is accepted as presagng
a Democratic majority Of from 10000 to
d, coo majority in the metropolis. Some OF
Gov. Hills enthusiastic supporters, indeed,
predict that he will carry the city by 3d.
OOO. but the more cool-headed and con-
seryative incline to the figures first named.
The situation in Brooklyn is COM
plicated by the municipal contest,
which overshadows the state campaign
in popular interest, and it is hardly
safe to count on an excess OF more than
5000 for Hill in Kings county, although
Cleveland carried it a year ago by nearly
II. OOO. If Gov. Hill receives 80. 600 more
votes than Davenport in New York city and
BROOKLYN he will be elected, and everything
indicates that he will do this well, it the
leaders Of several ''halls' support him Ill
good faith. Of course there is more or less
fear of treachery at their hands, and there
can be no absolute certainty that the Demo-
cratic ticket
WILL NOT BE SLAUGHTERED
through deal with the Republican ma
shine. But the temptations for trading are
very much smaller than in former CAM
naicns. and this fact greatly strengthens
the confidence of Hill'S managers. The
Hill campaign has been conducted in the
interior upon the basis Of outspoken sup
port of President CIeyeland'S policy, and no
effort has been spared to identify Gov. Hill
in the popular estimation with the admin
istration. BY this course a very large ele-
ment. which was either openly hostile or
taciflv Indifferent to Gov. Hill i'm
mediately after his nomination, has been
brought into line Foraker'S and Carrs
bloody-shirt oratory has also served
to check the growth of Democratic mug
wumpery, which promised early III the
campaign to develop into something very
formidable. The great preponderance OF
the labor vote, including all that was cast
Tor Butler last year, seems assured 1or
Hill largely owing to the very Systematic
auafttfectiye work which has been done
among the woTkingmen OF the state through
theft organizations, and by the clever man
arels OF the Democratic campaign. 10
sunh UP it may be said that Gov Hill and
his llieutenants, while not oversangulne,
ARE EXCEEDINGLY HOPEFUL
as to the result on Tuesday, basing their
expectation largely upon the facts above
enumerated. They make no eXtravagant
predictions as to maiorities, and freely adj
nit that the contest promises to be too
close to be comfortable,
One thing is certain. the Democrats are
thoroughly organized all over the state. and
every possible provision has been made fol
getting their full vote. The Republicans
rest their hopes for success upon the
attitude of the independents or mug
wumps upon an anticipated Ideal, y
which will reduce HillS plurality IN
New York city to something like
80, 900 and upon an assumed apathy among
the Democratic rank and file arising from
supposed disaffection toward the admins
tration. The bulk of the AIugwump vote
will, of course, go to Davenport, and thus
far the hopes Of his managers are well
grounded, but, for the reasons already
stated, the hoped-for deal does not seem
likely to be consummated, while the can
yass has proved beyond a doubt the strong
hold which the administration has upon the
people of the state. without much regard
TO party lines. The Republican managers
are well supplied with money from Mr..
Davenport's buIging barrel, and it will be
literally used on election day. But the
stalwart disaifection has assumed alarming
proportions in Oneida, Ontario, Erie anc
other counties. The Blaine rishmen have
very generally found their way back to the
Democratic camp, and there are numerous
other causes apparent for the nervousness
which exists in Davenport circles. Two
weeks ago it looked as if Mr.. Davenport
would be swept into the governors chair OF
p tidal wave; tonight his chances of reach
ing the goal appear to be very little better
than those OF his competitor.