The Indianapolis sentinel. [volume] (Indianapolis, Ind.) 1880-1904, 1885-05-10
LOWERING WAR CLOUDS
Uncertainty as to War or Peace Be-
tween Russia and EBglapd-lr.
bitratiOn n Failure.
Tho French About to Resign the
Glories OF War in Tonquin
and Madagascar.
AFGHAN NEGOTIATIONS.
Rus sian Diplomatfsts Get the Better of
Gladstone aud Granville on All
Points Yet Discussed.


coz tinues to be enye'oped in cloud OF uncer-
tainty. 1t absolutely impossible to predict what
day may bring forth. No soone. had the people
begun to become reconeiled to the idea OF the sub
mission OF the difficulty 10 arbitration, than re
ports begun TO prevail questioning the probability
of there being any arbitration. after sll thu talk
SIS to the great things 1t was about to accomplish.
Tonight no one processes to understand what the
precise condition of the negotiations with Russia
may be. The average Ebglishman hnds it dini-
cult, If not absolutely impossible, to disabuse
himself of the feeling that, whatever Nj. Glad
stone snd Earl Granville may say to the contrary,
Of the British. Every delay in the negctia-
lions has redounded TO Russs's ad-
taking, the Russian railroad has been actively
pushed towsTd the Afghan frontier. aud the Rls-
lian troops hsve seized debetable territory. These
are facts, and the average Briton grows impatient
when the attempt 10 made to belittle their i'm
portsnce. The position OF affairs tonight is in.
volved in uncertainty and doubt as to create q
general feeling of insecurity. The feeling that
the proposed ar oitTstion Is likely to fall through
gains weight from the announcement to day that
there is likely to ee considerable delay in prepar
ing the preliminary details. There Is no denying
that this announcement is received bv msnJ
necessary in order TO allow the Cabinets OF the
two countries 70 come to decision on the precise
points to be submitted to the arbitrator. Some
people profess TO think that this process OF arry
ing al preliminary understanding viii be so
fruitful source of delay that the chances of the
arbitration taking place at ali are decioedIy slight
The Cabinet IL is tho-ght, may find themselves
as much at sea in deciding what shall be ubmitted
TO the arbitrator as they were in trying to come TO
an understanding in regard TO the original diff
Guilty. II is humorously suggested that they may
be ooigsd 10 resort to preliminary arbitration in
arbitrator The possibilities OF this sort OF dipOm
scy open up r,ch field TO the imaginative states
man.
This view of the situation gains additional like
lihood when one considers the last exchange OF
views which has taken place between Earl Gran
Hille, Secretary OF stare for Foreign Affairs. aud
Baron De Staal, the Russian Minister. Between
these diplomats differences OF opinion about such
primary questions as the scope OF the proposed
srbitration and the zone of deimitation still re-
main unsettled. When these divergent views can
be reconciled aud a common standard reached
from which to consider tue main question is By
no means certain. Baron De Staal has proposed
that the whoe scheme OF arbitration shall be
aban doned in case q comparison o. the evidence
regarding the Penjdeh incident sh ali be found to
sustain Russs's Interpretation OF the agreement
OF Match a. Earl Granville Is inclined 10 accsde
to this proposition. but only on condition that
pledge herself not 10 make aoy further advance
into Afghansian. There is little likelihood that
Vile suggests. There is increasing reason to be-
ifsv< that the NOSES ION - peujteh bee whetted
the appetite OF the vorscous Russian Bear. ana
that nothing but Herat VIII long aDpease its
cravings. Russians here in London who are on
terms OF intimacy with officials of the Russian
EN- bsssy 90 net hesitate TO declare openly that
Russia intends to take Herat. Tney assert that it
will be an easy matter TO obtain the assent OF the
Ameer 10 Russian occupation. and they declare
lease of this object would be binding
When the opportunity comes or is m ade to seize
treaty may be. They say further that Russia does
net contemplate intervening In the affairs OF
Hera proprio mater OF her 10Y, oTn & acceTd But when
ask Tor the pro ectiOn OF the Cat Russia is bound
TO incorporate them in her dominion. Easlish
men, familiar with the annexation OF Aery, think
they understand what Russians mean whey they
spesk OF the loyal tribes asking" the projection
OF the Car. There is shrewd suspicion All oat
Meryie, which the Car had no hesIt 10 Withstand,
wss entirely free iiom eompulsion.
These expressions OF opinion ana belief on the
part of Russians who have access 10 tue Russian
EmbsSsay are fair reflection OF the tone OF Baron
De Stalls recent communication TO Earl Gran
vile.
The diplomatic position OF Earl Granville has
been weskened By the recent advices received
in Afghanistan. The advice makes il clear that
the Afgbans are not quite as enthusiastic In their
devotion TO the British cause the declaration
OF AkduIrahman at Rawal-Pindi would seem to
indicate Another source of disturbance is fur.
nished by the emissaries of AyOnb- X han, the de.
posed ruler at Herat, VINO is Low in exile at
Tehsrsn and was recently cast into prison at the
instance OF the British Minister 10 prevent his
contemplated escape 10 his own people. These
emissaIies are actively engaged in working in his
interest among the people between Balk aud Herat
ft is not i'm probable that theysre in the pay OF
sia; at any rate they are carrying on the wishes
o. the Russian propaganda They promise the
people that if Ayoub is restored to power the
Russians viii gusrsntee them independence aud
freedom from the tributes now levied by Abdur-
rabmsn. Friends cf AbdurTahman nave warned
him that the advances of the British beyond
Quetta would be the signal for general revolt OF
Balkh. This movement they assure him would
at once receive material assistance from the Rus
slams.
These sdvioes snd Others of a similar nature
clearly indicate that advance of the British
beyond Candahsr would probably be impossible
Without engsging i'll combat with the Afghans
q " mir sisfa rt Of fbof-
supposed allies makes the problem OF an advance
through AfghaIistsn much more serious than
has been calculated upon.
Earl Dufer1n's report on the Afghan q1esioa
is exercising potent influence upon tue action
ot lne government ne fumor current early IN
the week that Earl Duderin had resigned mis- post
because OF his inability TO seree with the Govern
mont policy had absolutely no foundation. 1he
ceroy is in complete accord with the Gov.
ment, except that he recommends the construction
Of railway to Csndahar md the erection of
slroDg Notifications which should serve as the
first line OF outworks in the defense OF Iudia.
Public opinion ia India among the EaglIsh aud
native communities resarding The prospects OF
peace j. by no means uniform. Toe military and
civil officers are disappointed the turn affairs
have taken. and continue TO clamor for war.
ihe trsding eenters however. SUCH as Bombay.
expressions of grateful relief.
There are next 10 no signs OF Any relaxation
either in England or Incis, oil the preparations for
war. The action of the Plensiy Cabinet Co1ncil,
this afternoon. directing a cancellation Of the
orders providing for the dispatch of 1000 troops o
purpose 10 curtail the measures.
IL is estimated that NOR than ) 600 900 has
been expended by the government in strengthen
ing the military and navy equipment. TIE mili
tary papers in London denouuce the governments
policy. The Army and Navy Gazette states that
one eject OF the patched up truce is to furnish
Russia relief from the coil famine from which she
is 81 present suffering The stock of coal had be
come go low, sccoId ding 10 this journal, at St.
Petersburg, that the Russian feet Could not have
gone TO sea. Manufacturers had been fore ID 10
close their shops, and work has been retarded at
the imperial dock yards and arsenals.
RUSSO AFGHAN FROM TIER.