Daily Los Angeles herald., 1884-06-15

In all the political calculations we
have seen that have been male by Re
publicans. the reckoning has been on
the basis Of the vote cast for Hancock
and Garfield IN 1880. In the entire I'm
ion, in that contest, out of over nine
millions Of votes, Garfield only had
plurality OF very few thousands over
Genl Hancock. Since thon the great
tidal wave year of so has passed, which
Witnessed the wholesale detection OF the
Germans from the Republican ranks,
and the great Democratic triumphs in
New York, Ohio, California, and other
States. In this year OF "a the vote cast
for Hancock and Garfield counts for but
little. The Germans have left the RI
publican party never to return. Their
vote alone, would be sufficient to turn
the scale of victory for the Democrats.
Also, this will be the first presidential
campaign since Fort Sumpter was fired
on, that any of the generation of Ameri-
cans born since then will have vote.
There will DO hundreds OF Thousands of
young men, born since 1861, who will
support the Democratic ticket all over
the Union, and will form most import
apt factor in the general result. Young
men generally by nature are liberal and
progressive, and the old bloody.shirt
prejudices and stale falsehoods of twenty.
three years standing, worn thread bare
by the friction of everlasting iteration,
will have little effect upon their minds.
They will look at the present and future,
and not ut the dead and fossiliferous
past. They will let the issues that were
settled generation ago, remain settled;
and will vote on the questions of the
present, as they are presented to-day,
without regard to what some garrulous
relic may assert as to something that
might or could have occurred quarter
Of century ago. The new generation
with the keen and quick perception of
youth will discern that the Democratic
party is the party of reform aud progress
while the Republican party represents
only tho mummiiied corruption of a
quarter of century of misrule, coupled
with the most intense desire to perpetu
ate themselves in the fat offices they
have so long dishonored. Besides all this,
in 1880 there was no Republican
disaffection. General Gariields
party. as soon as the Convention which
nominated him was over, r,was as solid for
him rs stone wall. The adherents of
both Blaine and Grant-"lI "lIalf-breeds'
and " "Stalwarts with each other
In rendering him enthusiastic support.
How different is the situation nowl
Many Of the most prominent Republicans
thro Ighout the East are openly opposing
Blaine. They are strongly backed by
the most powerful papers of their organ
ization, and the disaffiected element has
10 much force that they even talk of
putting third tick ct in the field to
compete for the White House, itself. The
moving causes must indeed be deep and
great which call from the classic shades
OF Cambridge such modest and mighty
minds as that of President Elliot, to
take part in political campaign, and
join with the conmonest of their fellow
citizens in the tolls and troubles of
fierce contest at the polls. So that it will
be seen that the situation has changed
essentially since 1850. With the most
ordinary sagacity on the part OF the
Democratic Convention at Chicago in
presenting Presidential ticket for the
suffrages of the American people, any
unprejudiced man who has not been 50
completely mesmerized by Blaine's fero
cious magnetism" as to entirely lose
his powers OF thought must admit that
outside the white hat and pampas grass
plume enthusiasm of certain Califor-
> nians, who see post offices and collector
ships and other inviting positions loom
ing up grandly before their hungry
visions, that the chances of the Republi
can nominee, at this writing, for success
are just about as poor as they possibly
could be. OF course no one can tell what
a day may bring forth, but il Blane's
prospects continue to fail as they have
done thus far, there is little doubt that
at the November election he will be the
worst beaten man who ever ran for
President.