Richmond dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1884-1903, 1884-09-27

sion "A TO this thifd.part vote would be
entirely suppoxitious. The best-tniormcd
(,Yccnhackelp do not coupt on more fnan
9, 600 remaining members Of the ureenback
ofrsnization, while others equally a. wei
Informed, not members OF that party, put
the number at between 5000 and 800. vi
these percentage viii not fuse on the
State ticket with the Republicans. but WIZ
vote for Wilson for Governor. IL 10 SAFE.
therefore, TO estimate the number OF TINS
element that Will vote with the Republicans
against Wilson at not exceeding o,ooo'
INCREASE on TuR DEMOCRATIC SIDE.
Adding to GarfieId's vote OF 10000 an
increase by immigration OF 10 per cent. ana
a natural increase Those coming OF age 'n
excess OF deaths aud removslsl OF 10 per
cent, and adding the 5000 oil Greenback-
ers. and Wilson's opponent would receive
60. 600 votes. or about 1900 more than Han
cock received in 1850. Now. II will be
seen. n these figures are substantially cor
rcct. that 10 make IL possible for Republic
can success one must assume the utterly
foilae,ous theory that there has not been
any gain In the Democratic vote by reason
az natural increase, immigration, or Access
sions from the Grccnback party. 1t Is well
known that hundreds OF Greenbackers
have ioiued the Democratic party since
1880. and that these far Oufnumber those
who have gone into the Republican ranks.
Two thousand would be n safe estimate
of the net access.ons from tins quarter.
Admit that there has been only an increase
by immigration Of Eve per cent on Han
cocks vote, there would from this source
be added at least $500 more votes. Then
add ten per cent. more for natural increase,
making over $500, and the Democratic in
crease swells up TO 10000. Add this 10 the
Hancock vote and you will have $1,000 as
against 10000, giving the State 20 Wilson
Nv over 1000. With the effort which your
correspondent knows Is going on by Demo
cratic paItisans 10 yet out fuller vote than
usual. and Masking allowance for Republic
can effort IN the same direction. which i
pushed with energy and tact, A. least 3,00C
more can safely be ADDED. which will give
the State 10 the Democrats in October by
IL, 900, provided but 1000 voters east their
ballots. II the number should be greater
THE Democratic majority will be increased
IN proportion.
THE VOTE by COUNTIES.
The counties west Of the kanawhs. nine
in number. none OF which are Republican,
will give 5000 majority. The mountain
countie. nearest to Old Virginia, ten in
number. all Democratic, will give $500
majority. Four counties OF the Kanawba
Valley will give about 1000 Republican
majority. Three OF them are 80 close that
from 100 TO 200 votes viii carry them either
way. and the other, Kanawha. IL only made
largely Republican 10y reason OF an almost
complete fusion Of 200 Groenbackers with
the Republicans. The interior grazing
counties, twelve in number, OF which but
two are Republican, will give 1900 Demo
cratic majority. The counties near the
Ohio river. above the kanawha, in
Guiding the Pan handle. eleven in
number. az which six are Repu )lican
and FIVE are Democratic. will give proba-
blv 1OO majority 10 the Republicans. The
counties through which the main branch OF
the Baltimore and ONO railroad runs and
those bordering Pennsylvania and Mary
land. eight in number. only three OF which
are Democratic. will give less than 1000
Republican majority. Recapitulated, the
Democratic maiorities will be 1880; Re-
publican. 800; net Democratic majority.
10, 400.
OF the fifty-fOur counties but fifteen eln
be certainly counted rs Republican, with n
possibility Of one more. Thee will likely
give $500 Republican majority, while the
ihirly-nine or forty Democratic counties
will likely give 10000 majority.
ELEMENTS OF WILSON'S POPULARITY.
In making these figures no account is
taken OF accesSiOns TO the Republican party
from the Democrats. for there are none
worthy OF notice. and what few there are
are more than Offset by Republicans who
are dissatisfied with the fusion arrange
ment and by German Republicans in some
Of the cities and larger towns, who have
Joined the Democrats. Nor has any atten-
ton been given TO many hundreds Of TIE
labor element who will vote for Wilson for
the reason that they are in sympathy with
his anli-monopoly legislation, and approve
OF his record. West Virginia is more like
Is TO elect Wilson by majority greater
than 10000 than TO go below il.