The new dominion. [volume] (Morgantown, W. Va.) 1876-1904, 1884-10-25

Jersey is no more debatable than IS
Massachusetts,. 1t is within the
range of possibility that Indiana
and New Jersey might be carried
by the Republicans and that ILL
nois and Massachusetts, might be
carried by the Democrats. but
neither is now at all probable.
The following are the really debata-
Bile States in which both parties
will make exhaustive battle:
California;. SINew York;. SO
Connecticut. 6|Wisconsin..... IL
Michigan....... Is =
Nevada.......... 3 Total. ..........s1
N. Hampshire. A
Of the POI electoral votes neces-
sary to elect, Cleveland has rea-
sonably assured TT and Blaine I43.
The addition of New York to the
Cleveland vote would give him 2I3,
or IL more than the requisite ma
jority; but if he loses New York
he must sesure ID votes from the
other doubtful States, and that
would be most improbable. Ad-
ding New York to Blaine's I43
votes, it would leave him ~ short
Of an election, but the sweep that
would carry New York to Blaine
would be certain to carry Connec-
ticut and New Hampshire, with
more than an even chance for all
the other States classed as doubtful.
After all calculation is exhausted,
the Presidential election comes
down practically to New York, and
the successful candidate in that
State will be reasonably certain of
an election. And how stands New
York? is the natural inquiry. To-
day all the signs point strongly to
the success of Cleveland in his own
State and by decided majority.
Indeed it is not only possible but
even probable that, if Cleveland
shold hold his present vantage
ground, he will carry his State out
side of New York city. Kelly and
Tammany may help or may hinder
Cleveland, but it is not at all as
sured that Tammany will be the
controlling factor of the New York
contest. Tammany in accord with
the Democracyis strong; Tammany
against the national Democracy
would not control 10000 votes,
and it would end Tammany's exis-
tence as Democratic organization.
That is what Kelly and Tammany
cannot afford.
There are distinctive and poten-
tial elements against Blaine in New
York that were unknown or en-
tirely unfelt in Maine and Ohio.
The Independent Republicans are
large in numbers, ably led, and are
veterans in independent voting.
They have taught independence
for years, and they have the high
example of Blaine's leaders in bolt
ing Folger and electing Cleveland
Governor by 1872, 900. They are
a power in every county of New
York, and they will poll not less
than IS, 600 votes directly for Cleve-
land. Another element peculiar
to New York and implacable in its
antagonism to Blaine, is the ex-
IRENE Stalwart or Conkling wing
Of the Republicans. Conkling
voiced its feeling in the contest
when he said substantially: "If
Cleveland was regarded by Mr..
Blaine and his friends as a good
enough man to elect Governor over
Folger, there may be many Re-
publicans ready to accept Cleve-
land as a good enough man to
elect President over Blaine" That
element is strong in New York and
it is more bitter in its hostility to
Blaine than any other element of
the Blaine opposition. These are
important factors peculiar to New
York and they are in themselves
more than enough to overcome any
probable Democratic detection from
Cleveland. Without these elements
Of Republican opposition in Ohio,
the most exhaustive. and costly
efforts of Blaine and his leaders
saved positive Republican State
by majority that gives no prom
Use Of a popular tide for Blaine, and
what does that promise Blaine in