Evening star., 1884-10-27

With the presidential election only a week OF,
the result seems to be much in doubt as prior to
the october elections. Looking underneath the
bravadO which political managers so often indulge
IN, tt Is apparent that both parties regard the
struggle as close, as one calling for every exertion
every agency that can be commanded. The party
leaders on either side express about equal conf
dence IN the result. The claims on the democratic
side, as expressed in Washington, at this date,
about follows: They prot sss TO feel quite sure
about New York, and they think that the
thTty-Sx electoral votes OF that state Will
decide the Issue. Taking the estimate os
the independent republicans that their vote IN
New York for cleveland viii reach sixty thousand
democrats maintain that IL will more than Offset
all loss 10 Cleveland from all cause.-the trading
or local factions the Butler and the Irish dis
affection included With regard TO the Irish vote
1t Il maintained that the feeling Of hostility to
Cleveland which did exist rested upon misappre-
hensi0n. and that having been removed. and Cleve-
lands record cleared up. the Irish democrats have
generally fallen into line. In proof OF this the
change In the attitude of certain papers. rejecting
Irish sentiment, notably the Catholic Telegraph, is
referred TO. Another reason assigned by democrats
for their hopeful view as to New York IS that the
bottom has fallen out OF the Butler boom, and that
he Will not now draw democratic votes enough to
render him dangerous. The prohibition vote Is
made an important factor OF democratic cacula-
seyen-tenths Of this vote. It is maintained will be
cast By republicans. The democratic factiOnal
fight in New York city causes the party managers
uneasiness. as they cannot estimate the extent OF
trading that may be done 1t is claimed however,
that the Independent vote for CieyelOnd VIII more
than balance any loss he may suffer by be-
Ing traded of
There IS more anxiety IN the democratic camp
about Indiana than with regard 10 any other state
that has been counted upon 10 pull Cleveland
through The republicans have a superior organi-
zation. and their canvass is entrusted to skilful
politicians Mr. Hendricks affects to feel secure of
The state, but democrats remember that he was
confident OF Ohio, and they fear that he is over
sanguine- In Indiana there Is vote of about
24OOO, which claims allegiance TO neither of the old
parties. II Is drifting element that one year
res the state one way and the next year another.
The result IN the state depends upon securing the
greater proportion OF this vote Except Mr.. Hen
bricks. democratic leaders confess that the strug-
gle is close and doubtful there, but with proper aid
rom the national committee they hope to win.
In Connecticut the independent republicans are
organized. and democratic leaders expect with
their assistance TO get the state Representatives
Eaton and Mitchell have recently declared that the
Butler vote in Connecticut Will be small 1t is
thought that the Independent vote for Cleveland
Will more than counterbaance It The ST. John
vote is counted for something In state so close
tations, by not few republicans who are opposed
10 Blaine, but are unwilling support democrat
In New Jersey the fight Is hot and close, the
democrats relying great deal, did the republt-
cans In Ohio, upon the fact that the state has
usually been theirs in presidential elections The
republicans are making their fight in New Jersey |
and Connecticut, also, mainly upon the tariff |
The democrats maintain that this issue Is not so
effective this year as formerly. owing to the |
failure OF high protective tariff to keep factories
running and workmen employed The presence OF |
Gov. Cleveland in Newark this afternoon indicates
that the democrats realize that work Is necessary
TO save them. In connection with his visit !
the fact is emphasized, on every occasion. that |
Cleveland is "Jersey boy" having been born. |
IN that state; state pride is thus appealed to |
Assuming that the drift OF sentiment In New York
Is with them, the democrats count q great deal |
upon its favorable influence in New Jersey and |
Connecticut They point to the big business mems
demonstration Saturday, and say that as many |
men doing business in the metropolis reside and |
vote In New Jersey and Connecticut It's effect will
be felt In those states
Nevada, with It's three electoral votes, also en-
tiers into the democratic calculations. The state |
was carried by Hancock and has been held by the |
democrats since Senator Fairs influence and the |
weight of his purse Is with the democrats while |
the republicans have no millionaire TO help them
out
On the other hand the republican leaders claim
70 be In altogether the most hopeful situation, as
they have good prospect of carrying New York,
but elect Blaine without the vote of that state
while tie democrats must have it to elect Cleve- |
land