New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1884-08-31
TINE pROSpECT

The Astounding falsehoods and unlimited
boasts of the Democrats lead some Republicans
to ask for candid statement of the prospect.
The only objection to such statement is that
IL may encourage over-confdence and neglect
of needed effort Ii must be clearly under
stood as q basis and necessary condition OF
every estimate. that the supporters OF Mr..
Blaine are to work ~ faithfully and earnestly
az if each doubtful vote might turn the
scale; that their organization. already the
best ever seen In Presidential cam
paign. IL to be perfected at every point :;
and that their vigilance In detecting aud eX-
pnsing Democratic frauds aud forgCrcs IL to
know no relapse
No Democrat really hopes for success in any
New England State. They are now represent
ing that II Republican majority of 10000 III
Maine will be "a Republican defeat Butler
will probably get more votes in Massachusetts
than Cleveland. and great many in Con-
nccticut and Ncw-llampshrc, but there Is no
sense in doubling that Mr.. Blaine will have a
clear majority in every Ncw-England state.
The chatter of Free Traders about supposed
uncertainties at the West need not disturb any
body With anything like full vote, the Re-
of opposition, rs past returns indiSputably
prove I'm every Western State except Ohio and
Indiana. The last full vote IN Indiana was in
1850; the Democrats have not since pollcd IA
many votes ms the 225. 600 cast for Hancock,
and President Garfield then had $500 major
ity. The last full vote in Iowa was for Cover
nor; Republican $4,000. Democratic
$4,000, Grccnback $4,000. The last
full vote ~ Michigan was in 1850;
the greatest vote since pollCd for Il
fusion candidate falls $1,000 short OF the votes
then cast for Hancock and Weaver and those
together were 10000 short of the vote east for
Garfield Finally, in Dino the Democrats sue
cccdcd 10y a bare majority Of 1900 last year,
with the liquor interest, thc wool growers, and
much Republican indccisi0n Of purpose to
help them. Everybody who helped them then
has been cheated. and rcscuts It. In brief,
rs 10 all these States the Republicans start
with n clear lead. and III all they
arc more united and enthusiastic than they
have been in any other campaign for many
wears, while the open support of Mr.. Blaine by
thousands of Democrats in each of these States
gives thcmin increased assurance of success. Addto
this tlc fact that General Butler is a candidate
and that Mr.. Cleveland Is personally rcpugnant
to his own party, and the situation Is not un-
favorable.
The contest turns, as was known from the
first upon the votes of Ncw-Yorh and New
Jersey There are ut least four Southern States
in which Mr. Blaine will have a majority Of the
honest votes. Bat these votes viii never be
counted for him if it is possible TO defeat him
10y counting them falsely In New-York and
Ncw-Jerscy the result turns on the opinions of
the men who are engaged in manufactures aud
mining in regard to the tariff. If they desire 70
sustain the party by which the Morrison bill
was framed and almost passed last spring, they
will support Mr.. Cleveland. 1t does not seem
to THE tribune that there is much chance of
a Free Trade victory in either State, bat no
one can tell what infamous frauds may yet be
devised by party which selects the c0ntriver
of the MOrey forgery as its manager.