New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1884-02-08

According to the information that can possibly he
obtained there were raised in these fifteen years
473j 367 bushels OF wheat and there were exported
in the same years from the point Of great exhaustion Of
stocks July l. 1867 the later point OF great klaus
ton. July 1882, 1903 239 7j5 bushels This leaves
for home consumption in all ways 3472 067 6l2 bushels
Ii Is safe To say that accurate statement OF the
quantity actually consumed during any past period OF
Fifteen years ever has been obtained.
The consumption depends partly upon the acreage
sown during the year following that in
which the crop Is grown. The aggregate acre
age sown in fifteen years after July /, 1867
which includes the acreage for the crops Of lssj
inclusive wac 405.1G2,5s9 Formerly it was supposed
that an average OF y bushels used Tor seed to the
acre. later the tatiscian of the Department OF Aecu
rc asoertaned that lls bushels would be more nearly
correct and more thorough investigation showed that
80 bushels were used for the crop Of 1882, and 1877
for the crop Of 1ss3 Allowing only 80 bushels 70 the
acre FOR the fifteen years in question. the quantity re-
ouircd for seed was 500 l75,909 bushels, and the
quantity which actually remained for consumption IS
food or in during fifteen years was thsre
fore 2.9Os. 1913 bushels.
II has been the habit in estimating consumption Of
wheat per capita basis estimates of popua-
ton which progress at regular arithmetical or geomet-
rca census 70 census But IN point OF TACT
population does increase t il greatly affected by
the tide of Immigration, ebbing ana then swelling
The increase from other must perforce be con-
its variation from year to year But allowance can be
made for varying additions by immigration and such
allowance leads TO important differences from the usually
accepted estimates OF population Again II has been Inc
custom to assume the consumption is determined by
the number OF inhabitants 40 the beginning or at the END
of the fiscal or crop year But is easily that the
consumption really depends upon the average or mean
population OF years thus the number Of people fed
during the crop year ls30'sl not the 50
shown by the have been in the country July
1880 nor the u 800 who estimating the regular in
crease from other causes and adding G69,43l imun-
grants were doubtless In the country July l. 1851, bat
the mean OF those numbers-say 5O,99l 900. Calcu-
aiing thus closely the mean population Of each con
sunng year. ind that the aggregate for the fifteen
wears in question 6js, 500 600 persons II follows
that the consumption Of zoos ,s0l63 bushels during
the fifteen years Wa. at the rate OF Az bushels per-
capita.
Iii. possible to object that the consumption IN some
kind, Of manufacture has been constant hut pro-
gressve This doubtless true; but the quantity used
othcri. than Tor food cannot Thus the report
OF the Commissioner Of Internal Revenue shows that
there was used in the manufacture Of 720O00OO gallons
OF spirits ouly sGOOO0O bushels Of grain OF which only
Dol 36s bushels wheat For practical purposes the
consumption otherwise than for seed may safely be e.
tiInated on the basis OF populaon and tue records or
fifteen years establish the ot that "ccorul- 10 l1 s,
outainahc Information the average consumption l.
II remains What has happened since July J.
1872 The crop produced that car was 2oI.l-'f 80
wheat and -four eXpore imports was equiv 1ent 10
l4J9IS9i7 bushels Ot wheat. The quantity used for
seed according Bureau ratio OF Us bushels tO the
acre for 81 j4O3G3 10 producc The crop OF
IS- WAS 500 7Ol bushels. Thus there were used for
seed or exported l97,724,G4S bushels. l'aving
BOG 4GOs22 bushels for food. The mean population OF
the year Was jI,4G7.J9j: at Ar per cdtd the con
sinp un should been 2iOj~3667 bushels, leaving
"A stock of 6JS77ljJ bushels OF old wheat To be carried
over into current crop year IN addition 10 the dc
pirtcd stock left la the country july J. lS~2.
The yield OF 1883 officially reported as 40 3d.
500 b-hcs This, with the stock carried over makes an
available supply OF 4-6O3I 100 bushels. The population
july l. i--j calculated upon the basis above cXphlurd
was 5531J B79 and the Increase IN ak months, Al te
rate per yearly. j53,ZJ9. while tue nin-
grafton from July 10 January was 23c.31 l. rms
would give population January !, 1881 or 56ll1Je9
which may be assumed the mean population Tor the
current consuming year. The consumption ~ food
would therefore be 247s7l 800 bushels. at 44l7 per
eqDita This 6O.2G5 bushels for export and
for seed The quantity exported from all the principal
ports January according 10 the report OF the Bureau
statistics. GO216.232 bushels II may be assumed
that soWn for next years crop will be about
~ large ~ sOwn last year. II 50, 52OOOOOO bushels
have been will be consumed "a seed before july j.
This leaves available for export between January and
July no less than 10 O33 bushels But the ex-
pots last wear during those months were less than
SO 900 900 bushels Hence u would seem probable that
about 7G.OOG.OOO bushels would remain July 10 be
carried over - another crop year. ". ~ q.
Non Ifsf Feb 4 - ~