Daily Republican., 1884-02-19
The Electoral Vote.

The present lSeSlueil'iai 'i'o'oi'i
college consists of 401 electoral votes
that being the entire number OF mem
hers of Congress axd United States
Senators combined, 325 being Repre-
seAtatives and Is being Senators. 1t
will require, TO elect President, a
majority of the electoral college, which
IL 2O2. OF this majority the solid
South will give the Democratic candi-
date l52 votes to begin with. only %
more are needed to elect, Where Will
they be got? New Jersey, California
and Nevada, were all Of the Northern
States that voted for Hancock i'll 1850.
If they vote the same way a. thisPresi-
Dental election they will give the Dem
pcratic candidate 20 of the needed votes
To elect. This will still leave 80 more
votes to elect. Where can they be had :
Clearly, from some of the States that
voted for Garfield in 1880. Which O!
them can the Democrats depend upon
with the greatest degree of certainty ?
1t is evident that New York, Ohio and
Indiana are the States that are depend
ell upon. They are all great States and
together cast a electoral votes.
In 1882 New York rushed lnadly into
the Democratic torrent, and gave l4,
600 majority for Democratic Govern
or. In lSS3 she seemed To have repent
al of what she had done, and elected
not only Republican Legislature, but
a Republican Secretary of State by
10000, but at the same time elected
other Democratic State officers by about
2O,oo0 majority This has left the
State in position of delightful uncer-
tainty. She has IS electoral votes, and
should the State be carried by the
Democrats. the 80 votes needed to elect
will have been secured with six over.
With New York secure the Democrats
would have no need for either Ohio or
Indiana.
But on the other hand, supposing
New York 10 east in her lot with the
Republicans, Ohio and Indiana still
hold out for the Democrats the beacon
of hope. Ohio, in 1850, gave Garfield
over ~ ,UOu majority, but last year She
elected Il Democratic Governor by l., ,000
majority and the year before that she
gave over l4.uur prmocratic majority.
Her Legislature i Democratic and
the whole machinery Of the State Gov
ernmeui is for the rir>J time since the
war in the h"lus ut the Democrats.
W s,l. !
political feeling il would look as ifOhiC
was more certain - cast her vote for 4
Democratic President than any othe,
Northern STATE Bat Ohio, though :
great STATE. Nith - electoral votes
would tal. seven short Of the needed 80
Admitting. then. that ohio goes Demo
cratic ,whrr- can the other needed >eveI
votes br got.
Clearly, then. they must come from
Indiana. How does luGlana stand. Il
1850 she gave Garfield G.".N majority
but in l>s- she -ave over 10000 Demo
cratic majority i"r a Secretary Of state
Herr. then, J. chance fur tie Demo
Gratis, This STATE has fifteen ,lrctura
votes, and should Size give them to tn
Democratic candidate they will rlrc
him with : votes to spar.
This then. appears lo t." about III
summary @; the situation, counting a.
the southern States, New Jersey. Cal.
toruia and Nevada a> surely Democrat
ic. and New York, ohio and Iudlaua a
doubtful. With the solid South. New
JERSEY. California, Nevada and Nry
York. the Democrats Will elect thrl
candidate 10y d majority. Ii lHr,
carry all the states Lamrl except NrN
York and carry Ohio and Indiana, The
will elect their candidate hy majorit
Of eight
In these estimates no allowance
have been made for the ISSUES involved
Ii protection is to lr the main lrauiu
issue. it can hardly he reasonably ~
pected that the Democrats, with ;l~I
free trade tendencies. will he abb +
carry any Of the now doubtful Ecpuhl.
can States. and extremely dobhttH,
they can even hold New Jersey, Cali
tornia and Nevada, With protection
as the issue it is more prnhsar tha
the contest will disclose a solid E.put
lican North against solid Drmocr"Ii
South