Vermont phÅ“nix. [volume] (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1834-1955, 1884-06-27
THE FIGURES.
what the New York Tribune claims
To-

what the New h0rh IriDume CAhlmh
for Blaine,
tFrom The Tribune, Esd inst1
The Republican ticket has now been long
enough before the country TO call out what
ever opposition il is likely TO meet. The
Democrats have no nope Of success against
il in any state west OF Pennsylvania The
feeling in its favor at the West is marvellous
ly strong. Ohio, naturally Republican
state in presidential contests, was twisted
over to Democracy in the state election by
promises to the liquor interest and TO the
wool.growers. The promises to both have
all been broken. The Scott law is not TO be
repealed, but the Democrats have contrived,
by means Of the supreme court decision, to
take the only course that could be more I'M
popular than either the repeal or the enforce
ment OF the law. The party not only re-
fused to restore the wool tariff, Rs II had
promised, but four-ffths Of its members vot
ed for a further reduction. Under almost
any circumstances conceivable, those things
made Ohio certain for the Republican ticket,
but the nomination of the friend Of Presi-
dent Garfield has aroused a feeling which
nothing can resist. The same influences and
interests prevail to great extent in Indiana,
and the popularity of Gen. Logan in both
states, with public appreciation OF the manly
American policy Of Mr.. Blaine seem to have
settled the matter as far as 1t can be settled
before the votes have been actually cast and
counted. It is significant, too, that no Dem
ocrat now talks of the possibility of securing
the votes of any Pacific states.
Pennsylvania, of course, is beyond doubt.
In New England the Republican ticket has
shown less strength. Maine, doubtless, will
give heavy majority for 1t, and no one
doubts the result in New Hampshire, Yer
mont or Rhode Island. In estimating the
probabilities in Massachusetts,, it must be re-
membered that the Republican majority for
President Garfield was AZ 1893. Gen. Butler
gained many votes which no other Democrat
io candidate can. As against any other, the
majority to be overcome is too large to per
NIT the state TO be considered doubtful. The
protest of 1,500 voters, half Democratic,
does not mean much in a state where trans
fer of 30, 900 votes would not change the re-
suit. Connecticut is exceedingly slow to
change, and its majority Of 9, 600 for Garfield
is really more difficult to overcome than the
majority of AZ, 600 in Massachusetts,.
The states already enumerated cast 203
electoral votes, and would elect Blaine and
Logan il no other state should be carried.
But the Republicans have better chances
of success than the Democrats in New York
and New Jersey, on account of the tariff is
sue, and because Of the remarkable strength
of Mr.. Blaine's American policy with the
! people. Other reasons will occur to every
well.informed reader. 1t may be said with
strict truth that il is more probable that Mr..
/ Blaine will carry either of these states than
that he will lose any one of those above
| enumerated as casting 203 electoral votes.
In addition there is West Virginia, in which
the Democratic majority in 1880 was only p
| 0G0 in a total vote of 1l2, 7l3. Within four
| years a great number of new mines, furnaces,
coke works and other manufactures have
been opened, which employ laborers who are
directly interested in the protective policy.
The number OF workmen who are thus EN-.
ployed, and were not four years ago, is more
than 1000. Besides, the development Of in.
dustries has given new aims to thousands OF
other voters, and particularly to farmers, who
find new market for products. The build.
ing of railroads, also, has brought into the
state new men and new influences. Those
who promised the electoral votes Of West Vir.
ginia to Mr.. Blaine were not careless or ig.
norant
In Virginia there has been q similar change
in the elements of population. The MAORI
ty in 1880 was ~, $40 in q total vote Of 2l7,
Gl5 and it is not too large to be overcome
In North Carolina, too the majority was on.
ly 1894 in q total of 2il POS. With free
and honest vote, there is the best reason to
believe that MIR. Blaine would carry these
states, and the circumstances justify hope
that such a vote may be had.
There remain Florida and Louisiana, where
new influences threaten the Democrats New
population in Florida might easily overcome
the small majority of 4, 200 in 1880, and the
intense feeling in louisiana on the sugar ques
ton makes the protective policy strong, anC
the course of the Democratic party during
the last session peculiarly unpopular.
But Republicans know that it would not b.
wise to count upon a single Southern vote
because there can be no certainty that the
election will be free or henest They car
carry every Northern state, and that is enough
They ought to carry without doubt agains
any candidate, that can be named, 203 eiocto
raj votes from the North, besides having tbt
best chance in New York and New Jersey
Take away the foreign influence and the pos
sibitities of fraud within ten miles of New
York city hall, and there would be no ques
ton as to the result in every Northern state