The Londonderry sifter. (South Londonderry, Vt.) 1883-19??, 1884-07-17
The Prospect.

"rhc standards are planted, the ca
giles are set" VIII it be President
Blaine OF President Cleveland? Lot us
examine the figures. in 1880 tie close
States were California, COnnccticut,
Indiana. New jersey and New York.
California went Democratic By 49,;
Connecticut went Republican by 2656;
Indiana went Republicans by 6Gl2;
New Jersey went Democratic by 2jl0;
New York went Republican b. y ,U33.
These are also the doubtful states to-
day n. \. casts IS electoral votes,
Connecticut 6, New Jersey 9, Indiana
10. and California 8. There are 1o5
electoral votes which are ordinarily re-
garded as sure to be Democratic, Ia
electoral votes which are set down as
surely Republican, and a electoral
votes that are doubtful. There are in
all 4Ol electors, and the votes of POI OF
them are necessary to choose prcSl-
dent. Now, the Democrats, having 1913
sure, need IS more to give them the
majority; and the Republicans, having
ia sure, need q to give them a major
ity.
If the Republicans carry New York
they will elect Mr.. Blaine, even though
California, Connecticut, Indiana and
New Jersey should 90 to the Demo-
Gratis. On the other hand. if the DEM
ocrats hold all the States that are con-
coded to them, and in addition carry
California, Connecticut, Indiana and
New Jersey, and not New York, they
will still come ten short Of Il majority,
while if they carry New York and H.
diana, or New York and any two of
the other doubtful States, they will
have votes enough and their candidate
will be elected.
The Democrats must carry New York
and Indiana, or New York and two Of
the other doubtful States, i'll order to
win, while New York is not indispcn.
sable to the Republicans since we could
loose New York and still win, for Indi
ana with New Jersey, and Connecticut
or Indiana with Connecticut and Cali
fornia would give us the victory. How
are these doubtful States likely TO %
this year. In 1882 these States all wen
Democratic by the following pluralities
California, 23,5l9; Connecticut, 416l
Indiana, 10,4l2; New Jersey, 2l13
New York, 1872, S54. New York AM
Connecticut returned to the Republi
can column in 1888, but New Jerse
remained Democratic. Our judgmen
is that Blaine will carry all these doubt
ful States. On the tariff issue he wi
carry Connecticut, New York and Ind
ana: his anti-Chinese attitude will Civ
him California. There is a tightin
chance for Blaine in some of the Sontl
ern States. Here are some figures frol
the Utica Herald on this point. In Il
election of 1872, West Virginia ga,
Grant a majority of 2264. In 1876, |
resort TO methods which il is unnece
sary to characterize, the Democrats S
cured a majority of 1854 for the
candidate. In 1880, the Democrat
majority in West Virginia fell to POS
and in one State campaign since il h
been even smaller. Tennessee is ligf
inc ground as good as West Virgin
Tn 1876 the Democratic majority the
was Al 600; in 1880, it was 14,598;
1894. it will be made Republics
State again as it has always been
rights, if there is an efficient canva
and an honest count. Virginia ga
her electoral votes to Grant In lS'
Tilden had 44,112 majority, and lila
cock 1850. Bourbonism has SIN
been shaken to her very foundation
that State. Not even Danville ric
can preserve Virginia bourbonism
1884. The Republicans carried Nor
Carolina by 24,675 majority in 1872.
1876 the Democrats stole the State
1900 majority, and again in 1880
1926 majority. There has never been
wear in which North Carolina was no
estlv Democratic. The same is true
Florida, south Carolina and Louisal
-[Herald.