Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1884-11-03
A Close Contest.

Close Contest.
One OF the republican calculations Is that Blaine
can be elected without the vote OF New York while
Cleveland cannot. In emitting the Empire state
nom republican calculations some Of the party
gans and leaders have included what they consider
fair prospects In several southern states But the
close figuring Mr.. Blaines chances is confined 10
the northern states. Election results often
prising, and ample allowance for the unexpected
should be made, but 1t would. perhaps, astOund
both parties more thanSanything else that could
occur IL any southern state should vote for Blaine
and Logan. The states mentioned IS holding cut
some hope TO the republicans Virginia, North
Carolina, Florida and louisiana There can be no
doubt that the republicans Of Virginia, many Of
them at least, seriously believe that there is q
chance for them TO carry the state. The earnest
work they are doing Is proof that they
are encouraged to hope. At the outset Of
the canvass, the people OF Virginia, members Of
both parties, evinced a manifest Indifference to-
wards politics. This feeling continued, and was
specially noticeable among the democrats. Repub-
ncanS began TO hope that they might win through
democratic apathy, and they set TO work SYSTEM
ateally TO bring out their vote The democrats
discovered this and redoubled their efforts Speak
ers were sent into every county and documents
were distributed by the thousand. The democratic
managers assert that they have succeeded in stir
ring their party TO realizing sense of the situ-
alton, and that they have fear OF the loss OF the
State Their estimate Is that the second and fourth
congressional districts will not give exceeding
1900 republican majority, and they think that the
facti0nal fight in the fourth may reduce that They
count upon about 4.500 democratic majority in Mr.
Barbour's district, $500 in OFerrals LOCO each In
the first and NINTH 600 IN the TENTH 5000 in Tuck
er'S district. $500 in Cabells. and 500 in the Rich
mOnd district, total of 20.0t0. This would give
the democrats majority in the state or 9.OOO and
they contend that this is the minimum Of their cal
culations
AS 10 North Carolina the democrats speak with a
confidence that has no appearance OF being
feigned They have madea thorough canvass of
the state, and have employed every means at their
command TO induce their voters TO turn out. They
Claim that York, the fuslonst candidate for gov
ernor, was unacceptable TO republicans in the first
place, and that his speeches have driven republi-
cans from him. Such divisions as existed in the
democratic party related only TO state policy, so
the leaders say, and they predict full vote To-
morrow.
According TO the latest trustworthy adyices
Florida Is quite certain 10 so democratic The
republican party there has been in a rather de-
mOraiZed condition for several years and there is
lack OF harmony in this contest. The democratic
state ticket is being openly supported by some
republicans, and though they protest their loyalty
70 Blaine and Logan. the division VIII. perhaps.
reduce the vote somewhat on the national ticket
The democratic managers may be disappointed in
their expectations Ofan increased majority but
the indications that they viii carry the state
In Louisiana, early in the canvass there was a
disposition among the sugar planters and among
manufacturers 10 support Blaine on the tariff ISSUE
but most OF this dissatisfaction seems TO have been
ellayed by the nomination Of democratic protec-
uonists for Congress The entire election ma
oh1nery OF the state is controlled by what is known
as the estate ring" and WILL no doubt be used re-
lentesSiy for the democratic party. calm con-
sderation OF the situation tends to the conclusion
that the states Of Virginia, North Carolina Florida
and louisiana viii help to maintain the democratic
Solidfty OF the south
Taking the northern states with their
e4S electoral votes, republicans contend that
Mr.. Blaine will receive sufficient number OF
them 10 put him in the presidential chair This
would not be difficult feat II New York could be
SAFELY counted on the Blaine side But republicans
who have been actively connected With the national
management from the opening OF the contest, de-
clare that their candidate can win without the
Empire state. Taking New York and her SC
votes from the list reduces the number
upon which the republican candidate would have
10 rely, 10 212- New Jersey, with her nine electo
raj votes Is depended upon by the democrats TO
help them through week ago reports from that
state represented the situation favorable to the
republicans pu- now it is claimed by the deInoc-
racy that the tide sets in their favor. The change
Is Claimed 10 have been wrought by desperate
work on the part OF the democrats during The last
Few days They became alarmed at the manifesto
tons OF Blaines strength. and the national demo-
cratic committee united with the party machinery
OF the state IN laborng 20 hold the voters In line
With New York and New Jersey against him. Mr.
Blaine would still have northern electoral votes
enough TO carry him through, but there would not
be state 10 spare Even the additional loss OF
Nevada. with her three votes. would defeat him Ia
say nothing OF Indiana and Connecticut both ad
mittedly doubtful California too would have to
be seriously considered IN any estimate OF the cleo
ton OF Mr.. Blaine without New York In 1881
with a total vote OF 164. 226 Hancock got a pluraI
ity Of only 78 But In 1882 with a total vote OF
16i6'9, the democratic candidate for governor was
elected by aplurality OF SIS and solid democratic
delegation 70 Congress was chosen. That wear
the prohibltionists cast SIP and the greenbacers
1,020 votes Estimates for tomorrow are confused
by reason OF an unusual fncreasei In the voting
strength OF the state. In san Francisco the regis
tration has gone about 700 above the hlghes;
estimate OF the voting population OF the city, Each
party charges the other with colonizng. The party
that gets the biggest share OF the new vote viii
carry the state
-Four years ago Nevada gave Hancock a majority
OF sss out OF total vote OF IS 3f3 Two years ago
the total vote fell on TO 43O5 and the democratic
Candidate for governor was elected by l. S35 major
fty. The decrease IN the vote OF the state is AZ
counted for by emigration from 1t, resulting from
steady falling-on In the products OF the mines
In the past, money has been a potent factor I'm
carrying elections in Nevada II Is not improbable
that the party with the longest purse will get the
state this year. but in view OF the close figuring ON
the result of the presidential contest. little Nevada