The Indianapolis journal. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1867-1904, 1884-04-30

Mr.. Bayne gives Arthur on the first ballot
New York 25; Pennsylvania, 5; Kansas, 2;
total, 80.
He gives Edmunds-New York, IA Michigan,
4; Massachusetts, %; Vermont, s; New Hamp-
shire, G; total, 80.
Logan-nlinois, 40; Kansas, 3 Nebraska, 1;
total; 49,
Among the other candidates these totals are
reached: Sherman, 49, Hawley, H. Fairchild,
TO- doubtful, 25'
'These are States which promise Republican
majorites continued Mr.. Bayne, "and if Blaine
be nominated he VIII carry every one of them
The States that will elect a Republican Presi-
dent give Blaine, according to my calculation
3O5 votes in the convention. Now if you add all
outside the Blaine vote together you have but
1871. Notably among these the votes for Logan,
Sherman, Hawley and Fairchild are compli-
mentary The delegates who will cast these
votes, and the constituents back of them, are at
heart for Blaine. In estimating therefore Blaines
ealsstrength in the Republican States, there
should be added to the 305 votes that will be cast
for him on the first ballot, SO MORE which shows
that out of total of 496 delegates from Repub-
ican States, Blaine has 1888, or nearly four
fifth. Arthur has less than ne-fifteenth, al
though he will be second in the convention. I
shall not point outin detail what think Blaine's
vote will be from the Southern or minority
States; but, after somewhat careful inquiry I
predict that Blaine will have from ITO to l20
votes the first ball OF, and if the straight Re-
publican delegation from Virginia be admitted
as it ought to be, he will have from 1874 to IA
votes from these States on the first ballot. That
~
than are neces ssary to nominate. Now, [ ask
those who may doubt the accuracy of my prog
nostications to cut that out of your newspaper,
and pin it in their hats for the purpose of com
parison with the actual vote at Chicago"
"How has the canvass for Blaine been con
ductedl"
why without organization, and by the spon-
taneous, voluntary action of the people. Blaines
supporters have fought, and will fight this bat
tie to the end on clean principles. If they can
not win fairly, honorably and honestly they
don't want to win. The delegates at large from
New York have but eighty delegates out of 800
who really sympathize with them, and 10 who
really hated them; but because 10 hated Blaine,
and his friends more, they united with the
eighty and elected delegates at large from New
York.
''why did the 10 delegates do thatl" was
asked.
ut was because they know that Blaine, ii
elected President, will pursue substantially the
same course that Garfield did and would have
dOne had he lived, and that course involves the
sure and inevitable overthrow of the machine"
'It is said the Edmunds delegates from New
York will do their best at Chicago, to create the
belief that Blaine cannot carry New York.
Every likely they will try that, but they could
not carly New York. l should rather trust the
Republicans who elected 24O delegates from the
Republican counties of New York to the State
convention than those who elected but eighty
from mostly Democratic counties. There isn't
doubt about Blaine carrying New York. The
people of New York are not going to place the
destinies of this country, especially its vast
fiscal system and interests, in the hands of the
Democratic party. The people of New York,
more generally, perhaps, than those Of any
other State in the Union, will not run the risk
of free coinage of silver, the overthrow of the
national banking system, and the reduction Of
tariff duties so low as to cause the expectation
of their gold'
The Journal correspondent talked tonight
with General Browne upon the correctness of
Bayne's figures He said he did not know much
about those outside of Indiana. but Of those he