The Indianapolis journal. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1867-1904, 1884-10-28
A Close Canvass Reveals but Few Anti-Blaine
Republicans, and 1t Is Thought CIeve-
land Will Be Beaten by 26,OOO.
Responsibilities of Christian Ministers
in the Present Campaign.
Progress of the Campaing in Indiana
Brief Reports of Republican Meetings
in Various Parts of the State.
THE SITUATION IN NEW YORK.
a Conservative Estimate of the Probabilities
in the City and State.

n conservative Estimate of the Probabilities
in the City and State.
PHILADELPHIA, Oct 27.-The Press publishes
the following estimate on New York, furnished
by Charles E. Smith editor of that paper:
"The Republican leaders here are entirely
confident of carrying New York. l find sim
cere and undoubting conviction that the State is
absolutely secure Ten days ago there were two
elements of uncertainty-the Prohibition vote
of the interior and the feeling among business
men and their employees in the city. Both of
these problems have cleared up and can be
calculated with reasonable assurance
Il have taken special pains to examine the
currents in the interior of the State, and have
personally seen representative and thoroughly
informed men from different sections They
uniformly tell me, first, that there are no anti
Blaine Republicans of any serious account; sec
ond, that the threatened Prohibition vote is
steadily declining. and will not be a formidable
factor and third, that the losses from Cleveland
either to Butler or to Blaine will largely exceed
the losses from Blaine. Three weeks ago |
found such Discerning Republican leaders as ex-
Governor Cornell and Ellis H. Roberts ready to
eoncede Prohibition vote of 5000 to 20,0oO
perhaps even higher. Now nobody gives them
such figures"
SIN New York city the atmosphere has cleared
amazingly The demonstrations of the business
men during the week have removed doubts and
had most wholesome effect. The great assem-
blage of last Monday undoubtedly the
largest meeting in New York since the memor-
able Union Square meeting of 1861 1t sur
prsed everybody. The separate trade meetings
since have shown a similar spirit. There are
undoubtedly many anti Blaine bolting Repub-
icans in New York and Brooklyn, as there are
not in the INTERIOR but they are clearly outnum-
bered by the accessions from other quarters. As
a very keen observer said The losses are indi-
viduals, while the gains are generally in classes
of various descriptions, so that the numbers will
be largely to our advantage
With these developments and with the feel
ing that Tammany will take care of itself | do
not find that intelligent and candid Democrats
look for more than 10000 plurality for Cleve-
land in New York city. Many good judges put
it at much less The Democratic hopes really
rest upon the assurances of their independent
allies that there is a large body of Independents
in the interior But from my own inquiries I
am satisfied that they will not materializc in
this election
Il send you as guide to intelligent judgments
table of estimated majorities by counties. It
has been submitted to political experts long
familiar with the ins and outs of politics in this
State, and is regarded very moderate and
conservative exhibit. 1 have before me
another exhibit prepared by trained
the State, and santioned by of the leading
editors of the interior. 1t gives Cleveland 1000
less in Albany than the table which appears be-
low, and Blaine 500 more in St Lawrence. 700
more in Jefferson, 800 more in Oneida, 200 moro
in Delaware, 200 more in Dutchess, 500 more in
Clinton, and so on. The comparison strength
ems the conviction that the appended table
does not err in favor of Blaine My conviction
is that the Blaine maiorities will be larger than
here given
The table gives aggregate estimated major
tiles for Blaine amounting to 1850; for Cleve-
land, 4S 500 Cleveland is given so, 900 in New
York county, and 5000 in Kings county.l