The Republican. [volume] (Oakland, Md.) 1877-current, 1884-07-12
The Figures.

The Republican ticket has now been
long enough before the country to call
out whatever opposition it is likely
to meet. The Democrats have no
hope of success against it in any State
west of PENNSYLVANIA. The feeling
iiFa lis favor ct the West rs Iiarvei-
Iously strong. Ohio, naturally Re-
publican State in Presidential con-
tests, was twisted over to Democracy
in the State election by promises to
the liquor interest and to the WOOL
growers. The promises to both have
all been broken. The Scott law is
not to be repealed, but the Democrats
have contrived, by means of the Su-
preme Court decision, to take the
only course that could be more un-
popular than either the repeal or the
enforcement of the law. The party
not only refused to restore the wool
tariff, as it had promised, but four
tifths of its members voted for
further reduction. Under almost
any circumstances conceivable, those
things made Ohio certain for the Re
publican ticket. but the nomination
of the friend of President Garfield
has aroused feeling which nothing
can resist. The same influences and
interests prevail to great extent in
Indiana, and the popularity of Gen
eral Logan in both States, with pub.
lie appreciation Of the manly Ameri-
can policy of Mr.. Blaine, seem to
have settled the matter as far as it can
be settled before the votes have been
actually cast and counted. 1t is sig
nifcant, too, that no Democrat now
| talks of the possibility of securing
the votes of any Pacific States.
Pennsylvania, of course, is beyond
doubt. In New England. the Repub-
lican ticket has shown less strength.
Maine doubtless, will give heavy
majority for it, and no one doubts the
result in New Hampshire, Vermont
or Rhode Island. In estimating the
probabilities in Massachusetts, it
must be remembered that the Re-
publican majority for President Gar
field was AZ 1893. General Butler gain
ed many votes which no other Dem
ocratic candidate can. Asagainst any
other. the majority to be overcome is
too large to permit the State to he
considered doubtful. The protest of
1900 voters, half Democratic, does
not mean much in a State where a
transfer of 10000 votes would not
change the result. Connecticut is ex-
ceedingly slow to change, and its ma
jority of 2,600 for Garfield is really
more difficult to overcome than the
majority of 47.0O0 in Massachusetts.
The States already enumerated cast
203 electoral votes, and would elect
Blaine and Logan if no other State
should be carried.
But the Republicans have better
chances ofsuccess than the Democrats
in New York and New Jersey, on
account of the tariff issue, and because
of the remarkable strength of Mr..
Blaine's American policy with the
people. Other reasons will occur
to every well-informed reader. 1t
may be said with strict truth that it
is more probable that Mr.. Blaine will
carry either of these States than that
he will lose any one of those above
enumerated as casting 203 electoral
votes.
In addition, there is West Virginia,
in which the Democratic majority in
1880 was only 2,069 in total vote of
112,713. Within four years great
number of new mines, furnaces, coke
works and other manufactures have
been opened, which employ laborers
who are directly interested in the pro-
tective policy. The number of work.
men who are thus employed, and
were not four years ago, is more than
1000. Besides, the development of
industries has given new ideas and
aims to thousands of other voters.
and particularly to farmers, who. find
new market for products. The build.
ing of railroads. also, has brought in
to the State new men and new in
fluences. Those who promised the
, electoral votes of West Virginia to
Mr.. Blaine were not careless or ignor-
ant.
} In Virginia. there has been simi-
! lar change in the elements of popula-
t ton. The majority in 1880 was 12,-
$40 in total vote of 2l7 1915, and is
not too large to be overcome. IL
| North Carolina, too, the majority was
/. only S,334 in total of 4l ,208. With