The Austin weekly statesman. (Austin, Tex.) 1883-1898, 1884-10-16
THE pRoBABLE REvo1rr1oN.

Z
It's nature, can hardly be estimated, !
and cannot be known until after the
November elections. The Germans
are lovers of pure government; and in
in the same relation they have Joined
with the anti-high tariff people to es-
tablish, if possible, a govern
ment for the people instead !
of one for classes. The STATES
MAN has mentioned the fact that out
of seventy-two German papers pub
lished ID Illinois, not one remains do
ing service today in the cause of Mr..
Blaine's election. Much hope is in
dulged in as to the redemption OF that
state from republican control, and the
same influences that are operating IN
Illinois are active and influential in
Michigan. A well informed cores
pondent of the New York Herald, in
vestigating the condition of politics
in the last named state, gives
some interesting points concern
ing political tendencies there. For
twenty-eight years, at every cleo
ton since the foundation OF
the Republican party, the republican
candidates for president have had in
Michigan majorities varying from 49,
O82 for Lincoln in 1864 to 57,179 for
Grant in 1872. Fremont, the party's
first candidate, had 1923 majority;
Grant, in 1868, had 1880 majority
Hayes, 25,439 and Garneld, 53,73 ma
jority. In thirty years the democrats
have not elected governor. Up to
1852 the Democrats had ordinarily
carried the state. With the birth of
the republican party its first candidate,
Bingham, carried the state by 5000
majority in total vote of $1,000. BE
increased his majority in 1856 to IT,
317. Bagley had sc, 644 majority,in 1872;
Jerome had Al, 273 in 1880. Two years
ago Begole, republican, turned
Greenbacker, and the candidate OF a
fusion between the greenbackers and
democrats, was elected by a majority
of 5.572 over Jerome, who had made
himself exceedingly unpopular as
governor. Every other candidate on
the republican state ticket, however,
was elected by an average ma
jority of 1900. Garield's
majority of 1912 promised. certainly
enough, a majority for the republican
candidate of TOUR years later, and yet
this letter writer asserts he has
not found republican in the state
who places Blaine's probable majority
at more than 1900, and that five out
of six republicans express doubt as to
the state being carried for him. Dem
ocrats and labor party leaders express
hone that the state will be carried
against the Blaine electoral ticket.
Prohibition has been an lactive issue
in Michigan for over thirty years.
In 1858 a prohibitory law was passed;
subsequently it was repealed. In 1876
there were 1850 votes in the electic n
for governor, in 1878 the greenback
candidate had 63,313 votes, the DEM
ocratic candidate 77,503 and the re-
publican 126,280. Two years before
the republican candidate for governor
had l65,926 votes. In 1880 Weaver
had 1885 votes; Hancock, 131, 596;
Garfield, 185,335. In 1882 Begole; can
didate Of the fusion for governor, had
154,269 votes; Jerome, republican, 49,
697. But Crosby, republican candi-
date for lieutenant governor, had
1904 votes, as against 149,443 votes
for Pringle, the fusion candidate.
The same proportion very nearly OBJ
tanned with nearly all the other can
didates except the governor
Thus it is seen steady inroads have
been made on the republican vote
and yet it is reasonable to suppose a
presidential year will now bring the
full party vote to the front. The pro.
h1bition sentiment is strong; two
years ago legislature was chosen
pledged to present to the people pro
hibitory amendment which it then re-
fused to do. The prohobitionists be.
1 came incensed at this conduct on the
part of republicans whom they trusted
and the result is they now
have gubernatorial candidate in the
field, who, it is thought, will secure
1900 prohibition votes. Being lead.
ing methodist, it is thought he will
carry 5000 methodist votes, which will
give him probable majority of 2OOCc
votes. Ninety per cent. of this vote
it is said, is republican, which would
in this event make detection from
the republican ranks of 1900 votes
The Germans, as stated, are leav.
Ing the party like rats leave a
sinking ship, and a fusion of polit-
ical elements has been formed
Idichigan has thirteen electoral votes
The fusion dominates a joint ticket of
twelve electors. Then each party to
it dominates a separate thirteenth
elector, each party to vote for its own
candidate. The twelve electors, if
chosen, are to be divided for Butler
and Cleveland proportionately to the
vote for these two separate candidates
When the Douglas and Bell parties
fused in New York in 1860, each nom.
mating an agreed upon number of
electors, the Douglas people voted for
their own electors and the Bell peo-
pie for theirs-each trusting in the
good faith of the other. The Michi-
gan fusion, as will be readily seen
puts this out of the question. It is to
the direct interest of both parties to
vote jointly for all of the twelve cleo
tors. There are untaken bets in De-
troit that Begole, the fusion candidate
for governor, will be elected, and there
are causes operating more directly
n favor of the election of the fusion
electoral ticket than the state ticket.
COTTON BANKING.
1NNa rr1rr