Chariton courier. (Keytesville, Chariton County, Mo.) 1878-current, 1884-09-05
Progress of the Campaign.

Inc state OF Cne preSloenIlal cam
paign is matter of general interest
to the people. There is no other
election in which it is possible to
arouse so universal a concern. There
are certain facts with respect to the
choice of a president under existing
party conditions which are not in
question, and others which are so
nearly certain as to attract little at
+ention. Every state of that quar-
ter of the Union known as the South,
excepting only West Virginia, is re-
garded as quite sure to the Demo-
cratic party, and there is little rea-
son to doubt that West Virginlais al
so Democratic, as it has been for
twenty years. With respect to most
Of the other states, there are grounds
of doubt. From the aspect of the
canvass Indiana is regarded as rea-
spnably sure to the Democrats.
There has been no time In recent
years when Indiana has been thought
to be so certain to the Democratic
party as 1t ls now. 1t will be y rev.
elation IL that state does not cast its
electoral vote for Cleveland and
Hendricks. These points being set
tied, 167 electoral votes are TINS as
sured to the Democratic candidates.
There will remain, therefore, thirty
four votes to be carried out of the
remaining states. ALI eyes are at
once turned to New York. That
state has thirty-five votes, and these
gained by the Democrats the con-
test is settled. But what of New
York? First of all, our friends on
the ground regard the state as almost
certain to cast It's vote for the Demo-
cratic nominees. There are, howev-
er, some uncertain elements in New
York. The powerful influence Of
Tammany has not yet been openly
pledged to the Democratic ticket,
and, If it had the spirit prevalent
among the recognized leaders of that
organization, would create some
doubt as to the sincerity and unan-
unity of the support to be expected.
Viewing the elements in that import
ant state, what may nationally be ex-
pected at the approaching election?
New York had, in 1880, 5,082, ,871
population, of whom 1871 ,492 were
native born and 1,211,379 foreign
born. OF the native born population
65, ,104 were eolored. OF the foreign
horn population 499, ,445 were born
in Ireland, 355 1913 in Germany, 84,-
1872 in British America and 20, ,321 in
France. There were lie, 1862 born in
England, 28,066 in Scotland and T.
224 in Wales. The foreign-born vote
will therefore exercise great infu-
ence in determing the election in that
state. How is it affected in the pres
ent campaign? There is lite reason
to doubt that more Germans will vote
for Cleveland and Hendricks than
have voted for any Democratic ticket
for twenty years. Respecting Irish
born voters there is much speculation
There is no evidence Of any general
detection Of that nationality from the
Democratic party. 1t seems entire
Iy safe to assume that the gain from
the German-born element will much
more than balance the possible loss
from the Irish vote. Then comes to
be considered the lukewarmness of
Tammany. 1t may be conceded that
this will cost the Democrats some
votes. To offset this is the independ
ent Republican vote, known to be
considerable. Weighing all these
elements of uncertainty the prospect
in New York appears to those best
informed to be greatly in favor Of
the Democracy. New JeseY is an
exceedingly close state, but has been
almost uniformly Democratic in pres
idential years. If any untoward
event should turn West Virginia to
the Republicans, New Jerseys votes
would still make up the necessary
pol electoral votes and leave five to
spare. Democrats expect to carry
Nevada and California, and have
hopes of getting Colorado, Oregon
and Connecticut; This is the reason
able forecast Of the situation reckon
ed from precedent and the most OBJ
vious data. But it by no means in
cludes all the chances in favor Of the
Democratic ticket. There are strong
probabilities of Ohio and Wisconsin
going Democratic, and much more
than hope that Illinois and Michi-
gan may go the same way. Nor are
the Republicans at rest in Kansas,
Iowa and Minnesota. The confidence
of Democrats increases as the can
vass progresses. The field, fairly
viewed, justlfies such confidence, but
effort will be intensified on all sides
from this to the election. In truth,
the warm work seems but to have be-