Eureka daily sentinel. [volume] (Eureka, Nev.) 1871-1887, 1884-04-22

Blaine and Arthur According to the
Herald's Figures.


Elsewhere we give by telegram q ensus
taken by the New York Herald Of delegates
to the Republican National Convention, at
which will be nominated candidates for
States. The dispatch says the census is
exciting a great deal Of attention. One
can readily understand this, for it, no
doubt, is approximat ely correct. Absolute
figures for such a calculation cannot be
obtained generally, but. with the means OF
information at the command Of the Herald,
a very satisfactory estimate can be made Of
the strength Of candidates, unless they are
neck and neck in the race. Where there
comes in an uncertain calculation in the
shape OF a half-doZen votes, then a canvass
may be turned into speculation pure and
simple. The assurance is given, also, in
regard to the Herald census, that it is
based on reliable information. That the
great metropolitan journal has taken the
greatest pains to be as nearly correct in
its figures a. possible there can be no
reasonable question. Now, then, what
does this census show ? Something Of in
terest to everybody-Democrats as we'll as
Republicans-for while the latter want to
know whom TO speculate on as the
standard bearer, the former are keen
to find out the chief whom they
will have to meet and unhorse.
The Herald's census claims 217 votes for
Arthur and "a for Blaine. This will be q
startling announcement to many who have
supposed sll along, while the Blaine body
has been growing and swelling until it
seemed getting too big for any other, that
the man from Maine would sweep the
country. The indications are that Mr..
Arthur's friends have been doing a good
deal OF work. OF course. he got all Of his
217 votes in the South, except IS; but it
must have required some manipulation to
get that many votes for the incumbent
President who has not very much enthused
his party in any section Of the country.
But the figures Of the Herald do not indi-
cate that Mr.. Blaine is beaten; far from ii.
Only 1877 votes are accounted for. The
convention will be comprised Of Q mem
bership Of 8~18-double the number OF
members Of the Electoral College (401)
and two delegates from each Of the
eight Territories. Mr.. Arthur Is away
ahead thus far, but the big end
Of the fight has to come yet.
There are still AL delegates to
be figured on. In what proportion will
Mr.. Arthur and Mr. Blaine add to their
217 and 81 out Of this remainder? 1t
would be difficult TO calculate, except that
Mr.. Blaine will get more than Mr.. Arthur.
The now weaker candidates on the list
may come up and scatter the 431 to the
winds. Mr.. Ar thur will have to work like
the political warhorse that his friends say
he is to hinder Mr.. Blaine from increas-
ing his "a very formidably. In order to
90 TO the convention with o majority OF
votes Mr.. Blaine will have to swell his
number by BIG votes more. He can get q
great many more, but can he get that
many? Mr.. Arthur, in order TO have the
same majority in the convention IA major
ity dominates in the Republican Conven-
ton, the two-thirds not being recognized)
will have to add TO his number only
1893. But can be get them? He has
exhausted his stronghold, the South;
still we suspect he'll yet find good
pickings in the North. We don't
believe he can possibly muster enough
more for q majority; nor do we believe
Mr.. Blaine can. 1t looks, now, regarding
the prospects all round, and figuring on
the 431 delegates yet to be heard from,
and taking the Herald census for correct,
that neither will go to the convention
strong enough to seize the nomination at
once. They will both go to Chicago, how
ever, overlapping Logan and Sherman and
all the rest. There they will probably
lock horns-and both get left for a COM
paratively new man, or an entirely dark
horse, who has not got near enough to the
pair to be gored by either OF them.
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