The Portland daily press., 1884-11-06

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A Republican Victory Probable.
We think that the Republicans have won
in the great contest. Now, as heretofore, it
appears that New York State, with its 80
electoral votes, is the key of the situation.
Although some of the latest dispatches
gives the State to Cleveland, this con-
clusion does not seem to be consistent
with the definite statements of the vote in
other dispatches.
The corrected returns of New York and
Kings counties, that is the cities Of New
York and Brooklyn, give Cleveland ma
jority in those two counties of 1898. Out
side of these two cities there are, we under
stand, 1894 voting districts. Returns from
1,742 of these give Blaine 3S9, 404 and Ceve-
land 332, 100, majority for Blaine of 81, ,295
A later despatch says that the remaining 254
(probably 252) voting districts gave in 1880
Republican majority of 4243. II we esti-
mate the Republican loss in these districts
! at 243, it will be much larger than the aver
age in the State outside of the two counties
named. The result of this calculation is as
follows:
Republican majority in 1,742 outside dis
tricts 81 1856
Republican majority in 252 outside districts 1000
Total Republican majority outside the two
cities ........................6 81 ,295
Democratic majority in the two cities. ... 81 93s
Net Republican majority. .................3,35 1857
This is small majority in SO large vote
but If it is confirmed and holds it is suffi-
cient to give Blaine and Logan New York's
electoral votes, and without these we see no
chance that the Democrats have of getting
4S necessary electoral votes in the Northern
States to elect Cleveland, even if they have
secured the 15S votes of the Solid South,
which there is reason to doubt. New Jer-
seY and Connecticut the Democrats have
carried. IL is not certain that they have
carried another Northern States, although
Indiana and Michigan seem to be somewhat
in doubt. In the latter as the dispatches
inform us, the vote for Cleveland and But
Ter must be combined to arrive at the aggre-
gate vote for the fusion ticket. In that case
fusion appears to have a majority in the
parts of the State heard from; bat the por-
tions yet to be reported are Republican
strongholds. Indiana is yet claimed BY
both parties but the Republican gains ap-
pear to be sufficient if continued to give the
State TO the Republicans. If the Democrats
carry both these States as well as New Jer-
sey and Connecticut they will still want
five votes of the 4s they need, conceding the
South to them.
But there is reason to hope that the South
is not solidly Democratic after all. We
have made important gains in West Virgin
la. If we have done as well in the rest of
the State as in the portions heard
from she has taken a place beside
the great states of the North with which
she has so many common interests. Vir-
ginia is still claimed by both parties and evi-
IDENTIFY the vote is close, SO close that the
Republicans have good ground to hope that
s too has come out from the congregation
of the Bourbons. There are also favor
able reports from Tennessee and Florida,
but not of a character to warrant confident
expectations of their redemption.
On the whole then we judge thai the bat
tie is won, that the Republican cause has
prevailed, and that Blaine and Logan will
in due time become President and Vice
President of the United States,