Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1884-10-08

All accounts rom Ohio indicate a close and
doubtful contest at the polls next Tuesday. For
the first time since the original republican victory
In the state leaders OF that party admit the posi-
bility, If not the probability OF defeat at the cleo
ton Just preceding the presidential contest 1t is
true that republicans speak OF the result with
mJre confidence than their opponents, put they
usually put saving clause in their predictions OF
success. Hitherto the battle has been between
two opposing political forces, each with It's lines
cOmpactly formed and IL was not very difficult
aTter careful canvass, 10 fOrete-l the outcome
But this year the situation is complicated by the
existence Of several elements. each possessing
more or less political strength. which almost dees
computation The prohibition vote IS an uncertain
quantity There IS prohibition state ticket In the
field, but whether it Will receive the support OF
those who believe in string ent legislation for the
suppression OF the liquor trade or not, cannot be
definitely ascertained A part OF the prohibition
vote VIII undoubtedly be cast for the republican
state ticket as the most effective way OF antagoniz
Ing the liquor interest, but Just what proportion
VIII stick TO their own ticket becomes an important
matter FOR consideration. In Il contest SO close
several thousand votes thrown away upon hope
less ticket may have a telling effect upon the re-
suit. Then there are some independent or anti
Blaine republicans IN Ohio. Not as many as In
some other states IT is true but in view OF the fact
that some OF them express a determination TO vote
for the democratic state ticket as the surest
InethO1 Of killing of the republican presidential
caEdidate. they count for something The liquor
organizations are working more secretly in Ohio
tais year than In past elections, which increases
the difficulty of fOrecaStinZ the result On the
democratic side there is the Irish detection. which
Is organized and OutSp0Sen in places. Hostility TO
Cleveland gave rise TO this movement and origi-
nally it was organized for use in November But
the republican argument that a vote for their
ticket in october helps Blaine In November has had
Some effect part OF the anti cleveland Irish
Vote VIII go against the democratic state ticket.
The wool growers who voted against the republi-
cans last year on the ground that they were re-
sponsole for the reduction Of the wool tariff are
now against the democrats because they refused to
restore the old duty. This will make difference
or several thousand votes. Another fact OF no
httle consequence, perhaps. developed by the can
VaSs Is that the emigration has been much heavier
from the republican section OF the state than from
the democratic. From that republican stronghold
the western reserve. some thousands of young re-
pubucans have gone 10 seek homes farther west,
while In the strong democratic counties the tmi-
grafton has exceeded the emigration so that there
Is an absolute increase OF population.
The chances are that Newman, for secretary Of
state, VIII run ahead OF his ticket, during his in
cunbency OF the office he has managed 10 secure
the favor OF the Germans and liquor dealers The
republican candidate for secretary Of state is also
unpopular with the liquor interests because OF his
past activity in the temperance cause. The demo-
Gratis are admirably organized in northern Ohio.
but are neither IN good nghtlng shape nor harmo-
Nous in the southern part OF the state This Is in
brief, a review OF the advantages and disadvant-
ages Claimed BY each party. now almost on the eve
o. The election The republicans rely largely upon
the TACT that they have never Yet been beaten In
October OF presidential year, and upon the fact
that they have majority OF the voters. The visit
Gf Nr Inn ap,.y hts
aroused enthusiasm 10 high pitch. 1t has in
spired the party with Its old time fighting vim, and
Counting upon full vote the republicans expect to
carry the state.