The daily dispatch. [volume] (Richmond [Va.]) 1850-1884, 1884-05-28
Mr Blaina,s Chnncos.


Mr.. Blaine's Chances.
The Chicago Convention presses so close
ly upoa us that we cannot bnt return to the
subject Of the probability Of Mr.. BLAISE's
nomination. He was defeated Of the nomi'
nation IN Cincinnati IN 1875 and again In
Chicago In 1880. VIII he have better luck
in 1ss4s Are not the circumstances very
much the sames VIII not the surround
mrs n the Convention OF next week be
like those OF the two conventions that re-
iccfed hims Let us point out some dii-
ferences.
First OF all. Mr.. CoSgI.rNo win not lead
the forces Of the anti-Blnine,tes next
week. and there Is amongst the Stalwarts no
other man who can take his place. lie was
in 1876 and again in 1880 especially In
1sso-the foremost man in the Republican
partv. He was leader such as tgat party
never before had. and such as II viii never
again have. lie ruled with an iron sway
persons who gloried in being his servitors.
He held The GRANT forces 10 hand until the
last moment.
Secondly. Mr.. COMBINES candidate 10
1850 General GRANT was the greatest hero
OF The war between the States, even in the
ewes OF the members Of the very Conyen-
ton that refused TO nominate him. Mr.
BLAINE went into that Convention with
only Isl votes. That was his strength on
the first ballot. General GRANTS was SOa.
Mr.. BLAINE was the only man IN the
United States that could have defeated
General GRANT of nomination. He ala
more in that single act than be wilt do II
he succeeds next week in securing the
nomination for himself over such men
as are now running against him. In
the Convention OF 1880, Mr.. BLAINE was
not, we repeat, the leading candidate atany
time. In the Convention OF 1884, he Will
not only be the leading candidate, but will
get on the first ballot almost votes enough
to nominate him. In fact, we are inclined
to think that he will be nominated on the
first or second ballot. In 1880, he was not
only second on the list, but lacked more
than 100 votes OF majority. In 1884, he
will, at the most, lack on the first ballot
only seventy votes OF the number required
to make the nomination.
Thirdly, Mr.. BLAINE will in the Conven-
ton Of this year be for the first time the
second choice OF large majority OF the
delegates, counting OF course those whose
first choice he is among them. That is TO
say, when the lowest candidates are drop
ped, be will fall heir TO more OF the sup
porters of the dropped candidates than
any other man.
Fourthly, Mr.. BLAEE's friends in Ohio,
Pennsylvania. and New York will be fully
represented this year. He is not only
much stronger by reason of the increased
number Of his supporters, but by reason
OF the fact that so many Of them hail this
year from the great States named.
Filthy, there viii be no bosses at the
head OF the Illinois, New York, Ohio, or
Pennsylvania delegations. The BLAINE
delegates were elected by districts, and
there viii be no CONKLING, or CAMERON. or
LOGAN. TO transfer such delegates from
Que candidate to another.
Sixthly, MIR. BLAINE viii be recognized
at Chicago next week as the great leader OF
the Hali-Breeds, and as the heir to the
popularity Of Mr.. GARFIELD. The feeling
with which Mr.. BLAINE is regarded in the
Western Reserve Of Ohio, which will send
its thousands to Chicago, is akin to
the feeling which has given Mr.. TIL
DEN the right and the power to re-
fuse or to accept the nomination
OF the Democratic National Convention.
Mr.. BLAINE is to finish the work begun by
MIR. GARFIELD. As to Mr.. ARTHUR, his
nomination would be hateful to the Hall
Breeds, especially those OF Ohio, and is
not for a moment to be thought OF by men
who consult policy. And ARTHUR Is
BLAINE's chief competitor. What can
Arthur do after his name is dropped to
prevent seventy of his three hundred dele
gates from going over to BLAINE?
That's enough. We will not present the
other side OF the question. We will leave
that task TO those who do not believe in the
magnetism" OF BLAINE.