New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1884-06-02
THE OCTOBER STATES.
WHAT Is REQUIRED TO CARRY THE ELECTIONS
THAT PRECEDE THE NATIONAL CONTEST
lBY TELEGRAPH TO THE rRrBUNBI


lBY TELEGRAPH TO THE rRrBUNB1
CHICAGO, June 1.-The necessity of Republican
success in the September and October States as
condition precedent TO victory in November is
daily becoming more apparent to Republicans gen
orally and the discussions here to-day showed that
it IS likely 10 be fully recognized by the majority
of the convention. Men who are willing to concede
that Arthur could carry New-York, either deny OF
express doubts of the probability OF Repub-
lican success in Ohio in October If ne is nominated
They are influenced by the positive statements OF
men like W. c. Cooper. of Ohio who asserts that
Arthur cannot carry the State. On the other hand
no such feeling is expressed as to Mr.. Blaine and
the Republicans of West Virginia, the only other
October State assert, and many of the shrewdest
Democrats in that State privately admit, that with
Blaine the Presidential candidate West Virginia
would almost certainly Join the Republican column
in October
Among the prominent Democrats who are of this
opinion it is. understood, is Democratic ex-Unted
states Senator from West Virginia. whose knowl-
edge of its political affairs and tendencies IS prob
ably more extensive and thorough than that OF any
other Democrat. Senator Farley Of California Is
another prominent Democrat, who has given con
siderable attention to the politics of Virginia as
well as of West Virginia. Hereceutly expressed
the fear 1t il said that IN case of Blaines nOmina
ton. West Virginia will be lost to the Democrats
many of whom. especially among the young men,
he believes to have an unwarranted admiration for
the Maine statesman. The healthy and steady
growth of Republican sentiment IN West y rglnia IN
the last six years is generally attributed by
Republicans there to his influence and they INSIST
that with him rs the National standard bearer Of the
Republican party the State can be redeemed.
Il snot forgotten that in September. 1850, the
Republicans lost Maine by few hundred votes. Il
is easy to see that like IN Maine this year
would have more disastrous effect than it did four
wears ago. when no Democrat was so hopeful as 20
expect Democratic victory in Ohio, state which
gave a large Democratic majority year ago and IN
winch the Democrats Will strain every nerve TO win
victory in October. The Democrats will go into
this fight m Ohio with prestige which they have
never before enjoyed since the organization OF the
Republican party and conservative Rrpubl .cans are
beginning 90 insist that this IS not good time 20 Jy
| any experiments m that state.
Another fact urged IN the discussions about the
| October and september states is thaU an over
! whrmiug majority of the Republicans III those
States Is opposed 10 the nomination OF Arthur lWO
of them have elected solid Blaine delegations 90 the
National Convention ana "A large majority of the
Ohio delegates prefer him 20 any other cand date,
while he is the second choice OF all the resi- lheSe
facts only supplement ana emphasize the still more
mporfaut one that large majority OF the hcpuDll-
cans i'm every state which is sure to contribute cleo
toral votes to the Republican candidate Is IN faVor
Of Mr. Blaine. nom nation, while the only approach
20 soldtv IN behalf of Arthur is IN tho solid south
tycnty-four Arthur delegates from Georgia com
/ posed mainly of Office holders and representing
~ 600 votes afford to disregard the preferences of
the twelve Blaine delegates from Maine, who repre-
Blaine delegates from Iowa who represent $4,000
Republican votes