Wheeling register. [volume] (Wheeling, W. Va.) 1878-1935, 1884-10-11
THE PIVOTAL COUNTY.

Democratic and Republican Estimates on
the Result In Hamilton County, Ohio
Both Sides Claim the Advantage An
Analysis OF the Votes.
CINCINNATI October l0.-If one could
believe all that he hears both parties will
carry Hamilton county. This county is a
very important part of the situation in Ohio,
1t will give an aggregate of from seventy to
seventy-fve thousand votes. 1t gave sixty
FIVE thousand four years ago, thirty-6ve
thousand of which were for Garfield. Last
fall the Republican vote fell of little
more than six thousand, while the Demo
cratic vote was larger by nearly a thousand
than that given to Hancock. The total
vote in the State last year was but six thou
sand less than it was for President in 1880,
and about all Of the six thousand was lost
here in Cincinnati. Both parties substan-
tally agree that the vote this year will show
an increase of about ten thousand over the
largest poll every before made. The differ,
enee of opinion is as to which party will get
the better of the increase. So widely diff
ferent are the claims on this point that it is
worth while to give the party analysis.
The Republican Analysis.
Chairman Cox, of the Republican County
Committee, an intelligent, keen-eyed gen.
tleman, who does his work in his shirt
sleeves and seems to understand himself,
said to-day that he had no doubt whatever
of getting majority Of twenty-five hundred
He couldn't see how it could 60 below two
thousand. This, find, is the average ofthe
Republican claim, although it is conceded
BY both sides that the contest is close. Mr..
Cox says he is relying upon the new voters
and the return of many Of the Germans who
went off with the Democrats. He calculates
upon getting for the Republicans seventy
FIVE per cent. Of the new vote. He does not
expect all the Germans to return to the Re-
publican ticket but so many Of them will do
so that the Democrats will get small ad
vsntagdrom
The Disafection.
He estimates the Independent Republicans
who will go for the Democratic ticket at
not more than three hundred He has
list of thirteen hundred Irish Democrats,
who, he says, viii vote for Blaine, but just
what proportion of them will vote Repub
lican next week he could not say, possibly
two or three hundred. The vote for the Pro-
hibition ticket and scattering he regards as
too insignificant to figure with. On the cal
culation Of Chairman Cox the figures show,
taking Garfield majority of 5000 as basis
and adding to this 200 excess of Repubi-
can increase over Democratic increase Of
vote, an apparent Republican majority Of
ten thousand. Out of this must come an
acknowledged detection of German and In
dependent votes Of between three and four
thousand. This added to the Democrats
reduces the Republican majority to between
two and three thousand. The Republican
chairman does not believe that more than
20 per cent of the Germans are Democrats
and very little more than that per cent.
will 90 with the Democrats this year. The
Republican organization in the county is
good, and there is much more spirit shown I,
at the party headquarters here than at Co
lnmbus.
The Democratic Analysis.
1t required much more skill to get at Dem
ocratic Chairman Mulvihill, and when
reached he was not so satisfactory in his
statements. His view of the situation is
quite different HIS first claim is that Ham
ilton county will give Democratic MAORI
ty of three thousand at least, and he hopes
to put it up TO four or FIVE. He is certain
of three. Mr. Mulvhill does not entirely
agree with many other Democrats that there
will be an increase OF ten thousand in the
total vote, and what increase there is he be-
ocrats as the Republicans, He made what
was an entirely new statement-that the
The Brewers
and their employees were not united last fall
in behalf Of Hoadly, but that they are
united this year in support Of Newman, the
Democratic candidate for Secretary Of
State 1t was their practically unanimous
support of Newman two years ago, he claims,
that gave him eleven thousand majority in
Hamilton county. If they had been for
Roadly last fall his majority would have
gone up to nine or ten thousand. So, he
saws, there really was not very conslders-
Die accession of German votes last fall
which can be lost this year: SOn the con-
irary. he is certain that the practically
unanimous support gwen Newman two
years ago will be given him again this year.
BE names several leading brewers who were
not for Hoadly lost fall who are now for the
Democratic ticket.