National Republican. (Washington City (D.C.)) 1872-1888, 1884-09-20
LIGHT In THE SOUTH.
THE HOPEFUL CONDITION OF AFFAIRS IN
NORTH CAROLINA.
Factories and Schools Sounding the Kneli OF
Bourbonlsm-Tho Progress Of the Debate
Between the Candidates for Governor-IiOb
yance's ''Homestead'' Lost-The Exposition.

yance's "IIomestead'' Lost-The Exposition.
RALEIGH, N. c., Sept. 19.-It is by no
means an improbabiity that the election
of the next president of these United
States may depend upon the eleven cleo
toral votes of North Carolina. If such
should turn out to be the case THE RE-
PUBLICAN correspondent, after canvass
Of this state, is now prepared to give out
the statement, as his honest conviction,
that James G.. Blaine will be duly in
stalled in tho white house on the 4th of
next March. Tho possibility of republic
can success in North Carolina in Novem-
ber next has been limited at by nearly all
tho great republican dailies of the north,
an ID the bourbon press Of tho country has
as frequently entered general denial
but no paper has thus far taken the pains
to lay before its readers an impartial ac-
count of tho "truo inwardness' of the
situation here. This letter is designed to
give some information on this point.
1t is perceptiblo to every observing
mind that mighty political revolution
in tho south is almost imminent, and
nowhere Is tho embryo movement more
manifest than in the Old North State.
The primo cause is the tariff question.
Ton years ago there were not six cotton
factori IS in North Carolina-now there
are more than sixty. Manufactures of
all other kinds which to-day intest every
city and large town in this state,
were an unknown quantity ten years
ago. Then tho people were for free
trade because they had nothing to pro-
i tbar 20 mr.
ocrats here whose financial equilibrium
depends upon tho success of the republi-
can national and congressional tickets.
They are Just realizing this fact, and
there will be thousands of ballots secretly
cast by this element of democrats for tho
republican electors in November. 1t is
because of this fact that 1t is, in my
Judgment, probable that Blaine will
run ahead of Dr. Tyre York, the coalition
gubernatorial candidate, although the
latter will secure the votes of some who
may not vote for the republican presi-
Dental nominee.
DIR. York and Gen. A. NJ. Scales, tho
two candidates for governor, are now
engaged in joint discussion, and have
been since the campaign formally opened,
month ago. Neither of them are gifted
orators, but both are able men and shrewd
politicians. When the joint canvass first
opened York's manner and the tactics he
pursued completely unhorsed the bourbon
candidate, and although the general has
| learned somewhat from experience, there
is no question that the coalition candi-
date is moro than match for him. York
belabors his opponent soundly on his
vote for the Morrison bill. He has the
advantage on all state issues, and, together
with his personal popularity, 1t is more
than likely that his majority over Scales
will exceed 10000. In my opinion,
Blaine's majority will not fall short ono
single vote of that number.
Figures do not often lie. Here are q
few pertinent ones calculated to bear out
the above prediction In 1876 Senator
Zeb. Vance was elected governor by 14,000
majority; in 1880 Gov. Jarvis succeeded
in beating Judge Buxton, the re publican
nominee, by not quite $500; in 1882 Con-
gresham large Risden T. Bennett de-
feated Col. o. II. Dockery, republican, by
400 only. No election has been held since.
There was no falling Off ut these elections
of the total vote, but o steady increase in
the republican vote. A like ratio would
give the republicans the state in N ovem-
Der next by over 5000, and 1t is much
more likely to be double that.
In the present congress there is only
one republican member from North Caro-
lima, and he is q colored man, OHara,
who represents the second (''shoe string
district, where there is negro majority
of nearly 10000. In the next congress 1t
is reasonably certain that there will be
at least three, If not four, anti-bourbon
representatives from this state.
For sixteen years Hon. Robert b.
Vance, brother to the SENATOR has repre-
sented the eight district in congress.
During all that time he was elected,
generally without opposition, and as q
protectionist for tho last few terms. No
man dared poke his head up against Bob
Vance in the democratic congressional
convention, and the district has of late
years been known as "Vance's home
stead" Well, Mr.. Vance voted for the
Morrison bill at the last session OF con-
gress, and short while ago the demo-
Gratis of his homestead" assembled in
convention to nominate candidate for
congress. Probably to Gen. Bob's sur
prise as we'll as chagrin several heads
bobbed up in opposition to him, and the
count of the first ballot showed Vance to
be the last man on the list. Col. Thomas
d. Johnston, a lawyer of Asheville and a
protectionist, received the nomination,
and Gen. Vance hasn't any Homestead
any more. The democrats of his district
assured your correspondent that his vote
on the tariff question alone did 1t.
None are more apprehensive of the
{ probable outcome Of the pending struggle
here than the native bourbons. They
have seen the chirography on the wall
They at last begin to realize that in 1875
they put in pickle the rod of county gov,
ernment, with which their own backs are
now soon to be striped. They see the
L,, ha ,ff hf
state daily, and by the thousands, turning
their backs upon the old hideboupd vol
of "free trade and starvation" They
| hear the busy hum of the loom, Of the fac.
tory's whistle, and they know they art
but death h-knells to bourbonism. They
, see before them system OF universa
education in operation, and they too wei
know that such an intellectual engin,
, will knock out bourbon majority any
wherein time. 1t 10 because of tbes'
t things that they to-day cry aloud in theil
= anguish and are, for the first time in thei
, lives, appealing to the negro for his vote
On the first day Of next month tn,
: state exposition opens in this city, to con
. tinue throughout the month of October
| 1t will be the greatest event in the his
tory of the state since the war. Man,
: thousands of people from other states
principally from the north-New Eng
land, especially-have made known theil
intention to be here during the exposition
At least one-third OF the voters Of tn
, state will be here from time to time dur
ing the month, and tho heavy work o
: the campaign will be put in during tina
z time. Senator Hawley, Of Connecticut
4 who is North Carolinian by birth. will
0 deliver the address, and President Arthu
has been invited to formally open the OK
hibition Recent advices from him indi
cate that he will be present.
IS 1t will be grand and fitting close G
d this exhibition of the progress of indus
k trial arts in the state when North Caro-