St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1884-11-04
a Review of the Situation.

NEW YoRK, Nov. 3.-A review Of the sitl-
alton in thls, the last hours of the campaign,
might properly begin and end with this state.
As goes New York so falls the presidency Of
1854. The great newspapers Of this city
spread all over the states Of New Jersey and
Connecticut; Their people are controlled, in
national affairs, by the same influence that
direct public sentiment here. Thousands OF
them have their business in this city, and
the interests, assertions, methods of thought
end social lie Of all Of them
are in common with those Of the
people of this state. The utteTances
Of New York public men overrun the imsg-
mary lines separating these states and ap-
peal to their citizens as to one community.
The dership is conceded 10 this state q.
Hence tie universal question is: What win
New York's l, 200, 00o voters say tomorrow :
An impartial spectator, if such could now be
found, of the great Blaine parade last week,
would have regarded Il as fair promise Of
Republican success 10 this state. but II he
witnessed the magnificent demonstration for
Cleveland Saturday evening, he would have
felt ashamed of himself for forming the opin-
ion. The array of men in line were less
significant of popular feeling-than the Won
derful enthusiasm of the mulutudes that
thronged the streets. So heartily and con
tinuously did they express their approval OF
the man and the occasion that the whole vast
throng along the line Of march and at the re-
view stand became one tremendous ovation.
,f.vx- tot hac ~ a1
ternate presidential elections from one party
to the other. The Republicans had it in
1864, the Democrats in 1868, the
Republicans again in 1872, only to
yield it to the Democrats in 1876
and then regain it in 1880. According
to this rule it is due the Democracy this year.
The majorities on these occasions are worth
nothing as vindicating the wide transitions
its politics often make. That of Lincoln in
1864 was 6, 749, while four years later Sey-
mour won it by 10000. In 1872 Grant had
81, 500, and in 1876 Tilden carried it by 26,-
SOS. In 1880 Garfield had S,G65. Remember
these figures are maiorities, not pluralities
Probably the most puzzling point in the
state TO those who like TO reckon over the fig
ures is in forcastlng results in tho
city of New York. The tota
vote here an Tilden aud Hayes wa:
10, ,O91, of which the former received I12..
$50, giving him majority of 5S,96e. II
1880 the total Hancock Garfield vote was
204, 745, with majority OF 4l,2S5 for Tia,
former. Cleveland's majority in 1889 wa
az, 1873 While it is not wise to rest too mucl
on the phenomenal vote Of two years ago a
a basis of judging to-morrow's result, it fur
nishes some very strong points in proof o
the claim made by the Independents tina
they have 75, 600 votes in the state. Brook
lyn, or Kings county, with the exception o
five small towns, in 1876 gave Tilden is, 49,
majority. IN 1880 Hancock had 9,311 owe
Garfield, but in 1882 it gave Cleveland a ma
jority of 80, ass. Thus it appears that, Will
in this city his majority was less than doubl
that of Hancock, in Brooklyn it was NOR
than four times Hancock's. There is n
doubt but that the strength of the Independ
eut Republicans in Kings county viii b
shown tomorrow as very great. In no par
of the state have they been so earnest an
persistent, almost vindictive, in campaign
ing. They have made the fight red hot. an
by their zeal and enthusiasm have inspire
the contest with q zest and bitterness neve
before known here.
As to the Butler vote in the state, il is prof
ably not far wrong to set Il of against thl
of ST. John. In 1889 the Prohibition candi
date for governor received 25s700 votes.
; it be of any value to him the Weaver vote {
that year-12, ,379-might be given Butler, {
it goes along with the greenback part of b
free-for-all platform. Out of total vote i
1880 of ], 900, ,055, Garfield crept throug
, with a plurality of but 1000. This yes
the vote viii probably reach 1,250,000. tt
registration in this city shows PAL 900, 10, ,0C
voters being added the past year by natural
zation alone.
The bets went $40 TO 81 that Clevelan
would win the state before Saturdays den
onstration. That has knocked the odds sti
lower. In short, Cleyeland's chances wer
never better than now, on the eve of ele
ton day. 1t does not seem possible for hi
to lose this state, but rather that he shoul
: win it and by a surprising majority.
As TO New Jersey, why should the Republ
= cans think of getting thatl 1t is somethin
they have done but once in presidents
] election since 1852. That was in the Greel'
campaign and that never counts in any cs
. culation. Besides, Gov. Albeit is very po
ular and the Democrats have more than ke
their side of the campaign up.
The Democratic majority in ConnecticI
in 1876 was 1,712. The Republican majo
: ity in $50 was but /, ,7Ss, and 1880 was n
d regarded as very good Democratic yea
: With Gov. Waller at the head Of the sta