The Democratic advocate. [volume] (Westminster, Md.) 1865-1972, 1884-08-16
THE POLITICAL SITUATE ON.
Reports from Various Stafes-GloOmy
Prospects for Blaine.


Prospects for Blaine.
The Washington correspondent of the New York
Sun gives the following review of the political stu
alton throughout the country, as gathered from re
ports received at the respective political headqu ar
tiers in the capital city:
Mr. Blaine last winter said that the rank and file
of the two parties would not decide the battle but
the deserters would and he knew that his candidacy
friends dtd not believe it. He did While the Null
ligan powder may have been burned, it left in its
burning very deep scar on the Republcan party,
and one knew that better than Blaine himself.
1t supposed that the fateful minority would be
mainly confined to New York. but the reports al
ready received show that it exists throughout the
country. Mr.. Blaine himself regards the choice of
Cleveland an unwise one for the Democratic
party, yet he thinks that in spite of bad nomina-
ton the deserters are going TO be great enough in
some states now regarded surely Republican to
| cost the party those states
The Republican managers, both of the National
Congressional Committee and the National Commit
tee, while they do not share Blaine's gloom, are
very anxious about some of the states that have
been counted surely Republican. Unless there be a
change of sentiment in these states before Novem-
some of them, and is certain to lose others.
Taking some of the states from which the conf
mittees have received bad news it will be found
that there is much to justify alarm Beginning
with California, the report comes that Blaines
puted popularity there is confined to San Francisco
Republicans write that they fear the state is hope
lessly Democratic. There will be great Republi-
can detection from Blaine; the German and Prohi-
party. But the truth is. the Republicans have gain
ed strength there for some years. while the DEM
Ocrats have. The private advices received set the
state down anti Republican by ten thousand
No news comes from Nevada that cheers the Re-
publican managers either by the committee here or
in New York. The state is confidently claimed by
the Democratic managers, and is privately conceded
to them by the Republicans. The rich Republic
cans who once were there are there no longer and
the rich Democrats who nominally live there will
take care that money enough is provided to keepup
the very good Democratic organization they have
cording to the information received At the recent
convention in Pittsburgh the Kansas delegates said
thousand votes i'll that state, and that nine
of them would come from the old Republican Or
ganization No more Jealous Prohibitlonists are in
the country than those of Kansas. Aside from the
earnestness with which they avow their principles
they have special reason for giving Gov. st. John
cause he was beaten when he ran for Governor on
the prohibition issue, and they hold the Republican
party responsible for that defeat.
The Republican managers do not believe that
Gov. St John can get thirty thousand votes in Kan
sas but they admit that if the Prohibition canvass
is correct the state becomes doubtful. In Kansas,
too, is found the curious political Inconsistency
which is very noticeable in some other states, and
that is that the German vote is now hostile to the
Republican ticket because the conviction has seized
these people that Blaine is Prohibionist, and be-
cause the Republican party is responsible for the
sumptuary laws that have been enacted in many
states. Now the Prohibitonists opposing the
Republican party because they assert it is not for
suppression of the liquor traffic. Between these
two. the Republicans of Kansas run some risk of
falling into minority. There are some twenty-five
thousand German voters i'll that state. Reports
ceived here show very serious disaffection one
careful canvaSser estimating that at least 10 600 Ger
man Republicans will not vote the Republican
ticket. Some Republicans too, are known to have
repudiated Blaine account of his record, though
there to be less of this Kansas than in some
other states. But if the 1900 Germans and the
10000 Prohibitionists leave the Republican party,
Kansas is lost to the Republicans.
From Illinois comes some interesting news, and
of a kind that makes it plain that the canvass will
be complicated. There are about 10000 German
voters in Illinois. Eighty per cent of those are
naturally Republicans. But the high-license and
local-option liquor law passed by the Republican
Legislature had caused many of them to become
disafIected before Blaine's nomination. They have
the idea that cannot be driven from the minds of
the Germans all through the West, that Blaine him
selfis Prohbtionst. The result is that every day
the news that comes from the German districts of
the state gets worse and worse. In Chicago alone
the feeling is strong that Mayor Harrison, who is
10000, and he predicts that the state will give
Democratic plurality of 10000. The Republican
managers here OF course say that Iiarrlsons claim
state is that causes them anxiety: One estimate
is that at least 10000 German Republica ms will not
vote for Blaine. This was made by one of the most
intelligent German Republicans of Chicago. The
Prohbtonists assert that their ticket will receive
$4,000 votes in the state If the estimate OF the Ger
man vote that will be lost to the Republicans and
the Prohibition strength be correct, it is admitted
that Carter Harrison is not so far out of the way
after all in his prediction.
The news from Wisconsin is very gloomy for the
Republicans Appeals for money are already be-
ginning to be received from the state coupled with
the assertion that unless substantial caEvassng of
that sort is done at once in Wisconsin, the state is
lost Wisconsin gave Democratic plurality of 5000
in 1882, and while Garfield carried it by 10000 i'll
1880, Hayes received only 5000 in 1876. The same
combination that threatens the Republicans in
Kansas and Illinois is still more dangerously threat
ening in Wisconsin The German vote is reported
TO be almost solidlr antiRepublican, and the Pro-
hibitionists claim 10000 votes. The German press
of the state is hostile to Blaine and the reports re-
ceiyed at Democratic headquarters here that the
Republican ticket will be in minority OF ten
thOuSnu1 unless the situation changes
tween this and November. No news has been re-
ceived by the Republican managers that warrants
them i'll making any very energetic denial OF this
claim.
Michigan is going to bear very close watching
Its 1000 Republican plurality i'll 1889 was altered
to 5000 Democratic plurality in 1882 The tidal
wave swept over the state with greater force than
causes of discomfort that effected this great change
still exist 1t is reported too, that there are many
Republicans, especially in the upper peninsula,
who have declared their inability to support Blaine
and while there has been no effort to organize this
element, some pains have been taken to learn how
extensive this detection is 1t is found that in the
upper peninsula, in the large mining towns of Ne
gaunce, Ispemng and Calumet, the disatfection has
spread like epidemic almost. 1t is not confined
to those who work for weekly wages, but the cap
italiSts there many of them, openly announce that
they cannot support Blaine, because they believe
him to have led corrupt political life and because
they fear that he will cut up some dido in the White
House that will imperil business interests. one
manufacturer near Hancock, who employs some
five hundred men, said that, though naturally Re-
publican he believed that seventy-live per cent of
them would not vote the Republican Ticket ana
that he should not do 50 himself. This personal
and unorganized opposition to Blaine ON account OF
his record is more striking in Michigan than III
many other states because it is more aggressive.
The Prohibitionists expect to poll 10000 votes i'll
Michigan.
The Republican managers hear nothing but bad
news from Indiana At the Democratic committee
they assert that the Republicans cannot carry
the state There will be of the Dorsey strategy
this year. though there will be good deal of money
spent by the Republicans i'll the state. Dorsey
bought the state in 1850, but Tildcn carried it by
nearly 5000 majority. and ut the latest election
there was Democratic plurality of 10000. The
tens TO work so fatally i'll other Western States
promises to defeat the Republican ticketeven if the
state were not naturally democratic.
As To Ohio accounts differ. 1t gave lioadly 10000
plurality the entire state administration is in the
hands of the Democrats the Democratic organiZl-
ton is said to be excellent the Germans reported
to be almost solidly against the Republican ticket
and the PrOhibitionistS expect 10 poll 90 900 votes
With such conditions the Democratic managers
claim that the state that has just given 10000 Demo-
cratic plurality, and i'll which Hayes plurality was
only 900, may fairly be regarded as very doubtful
even if Garfield did receive $1,000. The Republican
managers admit that there some odds against
them, but claim that the Republican strongholds in
the state Will roll up majority large enough to
overcome the adverse influences. But their infor
They have determined TO make back breaking eff
fort TO carry the state in October but the Demo-
cratic managers differ rs 70 the policy to be pur
sued. Some of them claim that 1t would be folly to
risk all on state that has always been Republican
In n federal election.
Who Is to Do TIP