New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1884-06-23
THD ETGTRES

the FIG URES
The Republican ticket has now been long
enough before the country to call ont whatever
opposition it is likely to meet. The Democrats
have no hope Of success against il in any State
wet of Pcnnsylvauia. The feeling in its favor
n, the West is maryellou,ly strong Ohio
naturally a Republican state IN Preslden''a'
contests wa, twisted ovcrto Democracy IN
the state election by promises to the liquor In
forest and 10 the wool growers The promises
~ both have all been broken. The Scott law Is
not TO bc repealed. hut the Democrats nave
c1nfrivcd. ~ means of the Suprcm" Court de-
cisiou % take the only course That colld DC
more unpopular than either the repeal or the
enforcement of thc law. The party not onIJ
refused To restore the wool tariff as u had
promised. hut four-Glth- OF IT, members voted
fora further reduction. Under a!most any en-
c,lmstaurps conceivable. those THINGS made
ohio certain for thn Republican ticket, "di
denomination OF tho lend of President V"r-
field ha. aroused q feeling which nothing can
resist. The sam. influence and interests pre-
vail to great extent I'm Indiana. ANA the
popu'rit. OF e. neral Logan IN both states
with public appreciation of the manly Amer
can policy of Mr.. Blaine. seem 10 have settled
Do, matter as fan 70, il can b. settled before the
vote, have been actually cast aud counted. II d,
significant. too that no Democrat now talks OBJ
the possibility of securing the votes of any
Pacific States
Pcuu.llyliil. of course Is beyond doubt. IN
England, The Republican ticket has shown
les, strength. Maine doubtless. viii give ii
heavy majority for IT, and no one doubts the
result n NcV-Ilampshirc, Vermont or Rhode
Island. I'm estimating the probabilities IN
Massachusetts, il must Doe remembered that the
Republican majority for President Garfield was
i7.-9~. General Butler gained many votes
which mo- other Democratic candidate can. a.
against any other. the majority 10 be overcome
i, toolalg, To permit the state to br considered
doubtful The protest of Loo voters. hall
Democratic. does not mean much ina state where
a transfer of %. 900 vote, would change the
result. Connecticut is exceedingly slow 10
change, and it. majority Of 1900 for Garfield
i, really more difficult to overcome than the
majority Of 1900 in Massachusetts.
The states already enumerated east BOB cleo
toral votes. and would elect Blaine and Logan
if no other State should be- carried.
But the Republicans have better chances Of
success, than the Democrats in Ncw-Iork and
Ncw-Jcrsey, on account of the tariff issue, and
because of the remarkable strength Of Mr.
Blainc's American policywi;h the people. Other
reasons will occur to every weil-infoTned
reader. Il may be said with strict truth that it
is more probable that Mr. Blaine will carry
either of these States than that he will lose any
one of those above enumerated as casting 2O3
electoral votes.
In addition. there is West Virginia, in which
the democratic majority in 1850 was only
.. O69 in "a total vote of 112,7l3. Within four
wears great number of new mines, furnaces,
coke work, and other manufactures have been
opcncd. which employ laborers who are directly
interested in the protective policy. The mum
Der of vorkmcn who are thus employed, and
were not four year, ago, is more than 1000.
Besides. the development of industries has Civ
en- new ideas and aims TO thousands OF other
voters, and particularly to farmers, who find
new market for products. Tho building OF
railroads Also has brought into the State new
men audncw influences. Those who promised
the electoral votes of West Virginia to Nh.
Blaine were not careless or ignorant.
In Virginia, there has been a similar change
in the elements of population. The majority il
L
and is not too large to be overcome. In North
Carolina. too, the majority was only 1884 in
total of 2Il POS. With free and honest vote
there is the best reason to believe that Mr.
Blaine would carry these States, and the cir
Justify hope that such vote may
be had
There remain Florida and Louisiana, where
new influences threaten the Democrats. New |
population in Florida might easily over
,ome the small majority of 1920 i'll 1850, and |
he intense feeling in Louisiana on the
sugar question makes the protective policy |
.trong, and the course Of the Democratic party |
Turing the last session peculiarly unpopular.
But Republicans know that 1t would not be |
wise to count upon a single Southern vote, be-
,ause there can be no certainty that the cleo
ion will be free or honest. They can carry
very Northern State, and that is enough.
they ought to carry without doubt, against
my candidate that can be named, 203 electoral
,otes from the North, besides having the best
nance in New-YOrk and New Jersey. Take
way the foreign influence and the possibilities
# fraud within ten miles of the New York City
Iall, and there would be no question as to the
esut in every Northern State.