Savannah morning news. [volume] (Savannah) 1868-1887, 1884-05-05
GUESSING IN WASHINGTON.
What Friends of the Candidates Say
Some Wild Estimates.


The returns from all the States and Ter
ritories are in, says a Washington special
to the New York Times, and the friends
of the candidates for President are anus
ing themselves with making canvasses
which vary a good deal, according to the
preferences, rather than the knowledge
of the partisans who make them. Mr..
Blaine's friends, who are many, are de-
termined to have Blaine ahead, and Col.
Bayne, of Pennsylvania, foots up 425
votes for him on the first ballot. He has
gone over the estimates made by
a number of newspaper writer's.
and says that none of them give Blaine
strength enough. He SAYS that Blaine
will get 10 delegates from Alabama, at
least from Florida, y in Georgia, from
Kentucky, all the Louisiana delegation,
16, and from Massachusetts, though by
The highest estimates he is given none in
either of these States. In MARYLAND he
will get IA instead of 13 allotted him by
the conservative estimates, 2 instead of
in New Hampshire, in Ohio % instead of
q, in Tennessee instead of 4, in Penn
sylvania 4S or 30, and in the Territories
Y. He thinks that the straightouts from
Virginia will be recognized at Chicago,
thus making a solid delegation of "a from
that State for Blaine. This would give
Blaine something like 425, more than
enough to give him the nomination.
This is about the most sanguine outlook
discovered for Mr.. Blaine. Mr.. Bayne
does not find many persons who are will
ing to accept his figures without ques-
tion. A Pennsylvania Blaine paper gives
Blaine 357 votes and Arthur 2S2. This is
criticised by Arthur's friends as an eX-
traYagant estimate. The President has
''kept count" of the delegates as chosen,
and with the knowledge of their prefer
ences obtained at the White House it is
said that the President finds Blaine slight
ly in the lead with the historical BOG votes,
while there are 29S delegates pronounced
for Arthur. The remaining delegates are
credited to Edmunds, Logan, Sherman,
Hawley, Gresham, Fairchild and Grant.
1t is admitted that Blaine cannot ex-
pect to gain any of the Edmunds vote.
The assault upon Edmunds by Blaine has
cut off all expectation of recruiting from
that quarter. The friends of Mr.. Blaine,
who find each of the leading candidates
yet needing nearly 100 votes of a nomina-
tion, are comforting themselves with the
assurance that they will capture many of
the votes credited to Arthur, particularly
in the South. They do not count upon
ex-senator kellogg and the Louisiana
delegation, but upon Georgia and Ala
bama. They sweep aside Logan and
Sherman, and appropriate their delegates
with the calmest assurance. But the
Arthur men say that there are weak spots
in States set down for Blaine, and that
Arthur can depend upon getting all the
Edmunds vote, many of the votes given
to Logan, and all of those counted for
Hawley, Gresham and Fairehild. The
reasons given for expecting these changes
are about as clear as those which lead
Blaine and Arthur men to insist that
their man is sure to be nominated on the
second ballot.
An Eastern Senator, who talked about
the situation this evening, said he was
convinced that both Arthur and Blaine
would fail to get the nomination. 1t
pleased him to learn that Rhode Island
could be counted upon, as could Massa-
chusetts, to go to the convention free to
vote for the candidate who would unite
the party. From his knowledge of the
feeling i'll New York State. he was conf
dent that Arthur's nomination would lead
to a Democratic victory in the State only
1882. ''With Blaine as a candidate" he
continued ''the bitterness would be trans
ferred from one faction to the other. / do
not believe Mr.. Arthur could get votes
enough in New York city, even with the
most liberal allowance of soap to over
come the neglect that would be discovered
in the country districts. Blaine might get
big country vote, but he would be
'knifeP in the city districts in which Ar
thur would be strongest"