The Greenville times. [volume] (Greenville, Miss.) 1868-1917, 1884-10-25
The Outlook for the Next Congress.

Especial TO the Pieayune.l
Washington, Oct. 1.-THE Pres
idential election is not absorbing
all the attention of the politicians
in this city. Tho complexion of
the next House of Representa-
tives has been carefully eanvassed.
At present the De moerats have
10 majority, SO that it will require
a Republican gain of at least SO
members to oyerturn the present
Democratic majority. If there
were Republican tidal wave this
might be effected, but no such
popular movement is indicated by
an election in State always Re-
publican in Presidential years, and
where, after spending near a mil
lion dollars and employing an arm
ed force of murderers and cnt-
throats, this party, so far from
gaining, sustains a loss of 5000
votes on the election four years
ago.
Four States have voted so far
for Congressman, Oregon electing
l Republican, Vermont three Re-
publicans, and Ohio electing 10
Republicans and IL Democrats.
In Ohio the seats of Butterworth,
Brown and Romeis will probably
be contested; but assuming them
to have been legally elected, we
have in these four States a Repub-
liean gain of three. Estimating the
other States upon the most liberal
possible basis for the Republicans,
and conceding to them the gains
claimed by them which many of
the Democrats repudiate, we have
the following changes in the Con-
gressional delegations as they
now stand: Alabama l Republi-
can gain, California 3 Republican
gain, Connecticut / Republican
gain, Florida l Democratic gain.
Illinois / Republican gain, Indi-
ana 2 Republican gain, Iowa Re.
publican gain, Kentucky 2 Demo
cratic gain, Maryland l Democrat
ic gain, Massachusetts 2 Republi-
can gain, Michigan 8 Republican
gain, Mississippi 1 Democratic
gain, Missouri 2 Republican gain,
New York 3 Republican gain,
North Carolina l Democratic gain,
Pennsylvania 3 Republican gain,
Texas l Democratic gain, Virginia
2 Democratic gain, West Virginia
l Democratic gain, Wisconsin 3
Republican gain.
This added to the elections al.
ready held makes total Republi.
can gain of twenty eight on tho
tidal wave Congress, aud Demo.
cratic gain of ten, or net Repub-
lican gain of eighteen. Adding
eighteen to the Republicans and
deducting the same number from
the Democrats, would still leave a
Democratic majority Of over thirty
members.
The Democratic gains noted
above are in southern districts
where they are reasonably sure
to occur, and where districts were
lost two years ago by special
causes not now existing. On the
other hand the gains credited to
the Republicans are partly specu
lative, as in New York, Connecti-
cut, Iowa, Indiana and Michigan ;
and it is by no means certain
that they will occur.
The whole calculation is ex-
tremely favorable to the Repnbli.
cans. 1t will be remembered that
the Democratic party, beginning
with the year 1874, have carried
the House of Representatives four
times out of five, and their chances
for success in this quarter are even
better than in respect to the
Presidency. There seems to be
no doubt but that this will be the
result this year, whether Blaine
be elected or not. In any event,
the House Of Representatives will
be Democratic.