Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1884-10-31

AADon hhnAANT-NOSflOkNC6I IN THk HLkCIlON oF
Special Correspondents Of rxI Evxxrse star.
BUFFALO. N. Y, october Sa-Afrer talking with
number OF the best posted men Of both parties and
carefully weighing the facts and estimates brought
forward by each, Il must be confessed the impress
sion left Is that the republicans OF this section have
the best OF It. They seem to have, in the first
place, more thorough and business-like organiza-
ton, ana this Is shown BY the more accurate and
minute knowledge Of the factors In the problem
which their leaders possess They are more ready
to give figures and reasons In detail for the conf
dence they profess than the democrats, and they
seem to be animated by complete and cheerful
sense Of security that they VIII win. AS before
shown, the democrats rely largely for success on
hibltionfst There is good reason for believing to
be well-founded the claims OF the republicans that
and are to St the
part OF the state admits that this is OF his
ton, and he is himself prohioitionisI he says
there were week ago nearly double the number
OF ST. John men TO be found to-day in his town. He
Tears the present strength OK his party Will De re-
The STAR correspondent this morning had a
short talk with Mr. o. G. Warren managing editor OF
Is son OF j. d. Warren. chairman Of the republi-
can state committee. He is admitted to be one OF
the best posted men In Buffalo on local politics,
and he talked frankly and without any appearance
OF partisan bias
'tGarf1eld carried this state by some q 600 ma
tority over Hancock four years ago" he said. SNOW
Blaine consider to be weaker than Garfield in one
respect He will lose good many independent
and stalwart votes. On the other hand, he has
In the first place. there is doubt that he is going
to get O large number OF Tammany votes in New
YORK city Then, in 1889, Hancock, being soldier.
vote This year the soldier vote Will be almost
solid for Logan, who was a dashing leader in the
armies OF the Union, as against Hendricks, who
took rather the ODD0SiIe Side OF the question,
Blaine, too during the war was fighting the bat
ties of the Union In the House Of Representatives..
while Cleveland was a nonentity and cnpperhead
democrat here in Buffalo. BlaineS third point OF
strength lies in the undenable movement towards
him OF large numbers OF Irish democrats. The
democrats In Buffalo saw this and sought early in
the campaign to offset 1t by getting ScnurZ here TO
draw Germans to their side. The German repub-
tcans, however, I have every reason TO be-
lieve, are standing firmly by US There IS
another thing which makes Blaine strong, and
that Is his position on the tariff. We will make
positive gains on this issue from the democrats
Men In that party who are high protectionists have
come over TO US openly in iDcolSiderable num-
Blaine he sesp wifi remsn
cans, because they do not believe In free trade.
Many Irish workmen will also vote for Blaine on
that Issue. know OF one shop IN the flrst ward,
the strongest Irish ward in the city, where there
are 49 workmen. Heretofore large majority OF
these men have been democrats. This year only
one OF them will vote for Cleveland"
"What strength do you allow the independence
"That is, OF course, unknown quantity; but
ynelr claims OF Et1c county Sllfl-
ply ridiculous. When the New York Times cores
pendent was here some time ago they could show
but $50 names with all their boastng. I live In
the wealthleSt ward In the city, and do not know
In it a half dozen republicans who will vote for
Cleveland.
ain Erie county there is only one way in which
the democrats beat us. That Is by throwing In
large quantity OF money There Is beyond QueS-
ton honest republican majority Of 5000 in the
county. Any way can figure 1t, can't make out
how we can get less than 1900. except by the
means have indicated Mr. Bissell, Gov. Cleve-
lands law partner, Is perhaps asweil posted as
am On Buffalo politics He claims the county for
the democrats by 2,OO0 do for the republicans.
The other day made an estimate OF the probable
vote OF the city by wards. 1 gave the democrats
every vote which considered doubtful This eSti-
| mate showed a republican majority OF 200.
showed my figures on the wards to a well-known
democratic of1ice holder here, who, think, way
down in his heart would like TO Cleveland de-
feated, although he is working for him. l asked
this man II he could pick out any flaws In my eSti-
mates on the wards He said: TO be candid with
you, am afraid you have got It about right. l
can't ind any fault with your figures The third
ward, which is strongly Irish, gave to the demo-
Gratis by ESQ., although 1t has heretofore given demo-
cratic majorities ranging from 200 to LOO have
since learned the democratic poll OF the ward
shows republican majority All these thing shows
how the tide Is setting. am confident Blaine VIII
have handsome ajority in the state When
say handsome mean $4,000 in round numbers.
think this election is going TO be election OF sur
pr,ses, and believe republicans will be agreeably
surprised" NJ. S.