St. Paul daily globe., 1884-04-05
could not carry New York, and this would
defeat the party.''

could not carry New York, and this would
defeat the party.''
| The boom for Logan, which a month ago
had some vigor and life, like the ground hog,
has gone back to its hole to hibernate. In
the discussion of candidates, Logan is not
now given prominence. He has now be-
hind him the Grand Army of the Republic
organization, but report of this kind is
more ephemeral than fixed. The prominence
OF Lincoln for second place is also against
Logan. OF course, Illinois cannot get the
head and tail of the ticket. Of all the can
didates, Logan is the only one who is forcing
the fighting. Already pictures of the famous
war general appear at cross-road village stores
kindly furnished by -, no one knows
who.
The candidacy Of Edmunds seems to be
confined to that pent-up Utica called New
England. Politicians from the south and
west do not talk of him as factor in the
tight. In New England the drift is for him,
because, outside of Maine, Blaine
is not popular, and the ''holier
than thou" element feel easier in
supporting Edmunds than Arthur, although
it is believed that the Edmunds strength Will
eventually go to Arthur against either Blaine
or Logan. With Edmunds and Arthur out
of the way, there is reason to believe that the
sentiment of Massachusetts, is for John Sher-
man.
1t is more than three months before the
Democratic hosts will assemble at Chicago
to nominate a president. As with the Re
publicans the Democrats are all at sea as to
who will be the nominee. No one seems to
covet the Democratic nomination, unless it
be Joe Mcdonald, of Indiana, and Morrison,
OF illinois, whose prospects have been
utterly ruined by the tariff bill, and Roswell
P. Flower, of New York, whose candidacy is
forced by the pabulum (which makes the
mare go.''
The uncertainty as to Tilden's desires add
mystery to the situation. 1t is conceded that
if he will accept the nomination he already has
it, He talks enough to interviewers, but all
OF it carries with it no deep-rooted conviction
that he is not in the field, 1t is Irritating g
and unsatisfactory in the extreme. Con-
sidering Tilden to be out OF the race, the
coolest and clearest-headed Democrats narrow
down to two men, Henry B. Payne, of Ohio,
and Samuel j. Randall, of Pennsylvania.
Some times these names are linked
together, with Payne at the head.
Payne is stronger than Randall, because of
sense of security that he would carry Ohio
in the October election, and thus set the
drift afoat toward him a month in advance
in the greater contest. As with Tilden,
though there is the same element of uncer-
tainty as Mr.. Payne's, no one believes him
him to be a candidate in the sense that he
seeks the nomination. There are but few
who do not candidly take
him at his word as averse
to it. Still, if it were conviction that he
in spite of his aversion to the nomination,
would accept it for the good of his party, his
name stands, next to Tilden, foremost of
all the candidates. With Payne the candi-
date, the Republicans could not array the
business classes of the country against him,
and thus would be spiked the weapon which
at the eleventh hour was turned against Han
cock to defeat him. For few days Represen
tative Foran, not at all impetuous in any
thing, has been making a quiet
canvas as to the sentiment of
the southern members of congress
toward Payne. Yesterday he said to me:
"You would be surprised at the decided
sentiment in Payn's favor in this section.
On all sides find there is a conviction that
Payne could be elected.'
"Did you find his tariff record quoted
against himE'
''Not at ALL" said Mr.. Foran. ''There is a
growing impression that inasmuch as the
tariff can not be revised by this congress
it is better to let it alone rather than
jeopardize Democratic success in Ohio and
New York. find that the more astute of
the southern members concede that the presi-
dental battle is to be fought in New York,
Ohio, New Jersey, Connecticut and California.
They are willing to accept any candidate
these states may agree upon, and were not
antagonistic to the interest of the people
thereof"
To sum up the situation, the chances of
Mr. Payne's positive and emphatic declina-
tions are twenty to one as against any other
candidate. Ii Mr. Tilden is not candidate
he prefers that Payne should be.