The Dallas daily herald. [volume] (Dallas, Tex.) 1873-1887, 1884-09-03
STATE ELECTIONS.
FORE TRE PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Tiezres and Comparisons From Previous
Contests-The Certainties, Uneer-
families and Probabilities in
Ohio and West Virginia.

The 6rst State election is that OF Yer
mont. Nobody disputes that the Re-
publicans will carry it. At the last
election, which WAS in 1882, they had
1883 majority in total vote Of 81, $40.
In the Presidential election OF 1880 their
majority was 26,O00, and in 1876 it was
1900. The only doubt is how near they
will come 10 these majorities.
The State election in Maine occurs on
Monday, September 8. The present Re
publican Governor, Frederick Robbie, is
candidate tor reelection, anu the Dem
eerats are running John b. Redman
against him. Iu 1882, out OF a total vote
ofI33,372, tho Republicans had a major
ity Of 7,l75, hut in the Presidential cleo
hOn'O 1890 their majority over both the
Democratic and Greenback candidates
was only AGO; though in 1875 they had
l6,4S3, This year it is doubtful what
they will have, though it Is admitted on
all sides that the State will be theirs.
We find 1t reported in the Tribune that
"thore 10 every prospect of Gov.
Robie being reelected by about 1900
majority" while from the Philadelphia
Times we learn that the Democrats are
making "a stubborn fight to keep Ro-
bie's majority below 10000. They will
done" But there will be nothing decis-
i've about il either way.
After Maine, the next elections are
those of ONO ana West Virginia, and
these will really be Of Importance, that
of Ohio especially They both take
place on tho same day, ruenday, Octo-
her A. In Presidential years, West Vir-
GINA il regularly Democratic, rs Ohio
is a Republican state, but parties are
now so divided and broken that change
in either or both is looked for by the
managers Vi both sidvs. But ii seems
difficult, or rather Impossible, 10 know
what is the truth about them until
1t Is shown by the final count OF the
votes.
In West Virginia, in 1876, Mr.. Tilden
had B,4S votes, against 42,0i6 for Hayes;
but in 1880 Hancock had 81 1890, against
B,2i3 for Garfield, and 0,079 for Weaver,
the Greenback candidate. OF tho State
election in lSS0-the Governor il chosen
every four years-the official returns are
not at hand, but unoiiicially they are
given As Democratic, 5S,407; Republican,
43,O72, anu GrUenDack, 1896. In 1882
members of Congress were elected, and
tho aggregate vote stood: Democratic,
1861, and RepuDIi an, 1910.
In making the nominations this year
q serious quarrel broke out over the
Democratic candidate for Governor, and
many Intelligent persons have reported
that this would probably give the State
to the Republicans; hut, on the other
hand, we are assured that no such CON
sequences are to DO looked tor, and that
the Democrats will win, as usual, The
republicans are also expecting an ad.
vantage from pressing the tariff ques-
tlon, the people of West Virginia being
represented as favorable TO protection
ISL opinions: "The people ofthis State.u
writes the editor of the State Journal.
believe in tariff, and stiff one"
a"Fusion is fact he also saws; and this
he thinks affords another reason for a
shange Of the State from the Democrats
to the Fusionists, that is, from Clsye-
land to Butler and Blaine.
n In ono the uncertainty seems even
hereafter than in West Virginia. Last
A'thr, in u total vote Of rs, 256, the Demo-
IclNt had IL majority of l2,629 over the
tRebublicans, and majority OF about
l,SQ over Republicans, Prohibitionists
and Nreenbackers together; and vet in
lSO Garfield and Hancock by $4,000
This great change in three years was
id0u0t'esS due Ia tho liquor question, and
10 tho separation from the Republican
party OF large proportion of the
German voters of the State, and
w we could know beforehand how
\ nie Germans and the Prohibitionists
will 81 tins year, might calculate with
some accuracy the probable result of the
iOclober election. Both parties claim
the German vote, the Democrats because
they had II last year, the Republicans
because they have always had IL before,
and because the Democrats passed no
new law o.. the traffic in beer and spir-
ltS, though one was expected from them
~ tho Germans. They also think the
Ariif agitation will help them, while the
Democrats say IL will not.
One thing, however, is certain, and
FMS is that ii the Democrats should hold
West Virginia aud carry Ohio in Octo-
per, the event would do more to bring
ebout the election of MIR. Cleveland in
November than anything else that we
pan imagine; and it the Republicans
ehould carry both Ohio and West Vir-
tlnia in October, they would have rea-
pom to think the final victory was
pretty surely theirs. But If the Repub-
llcans should carry West Virginia and
the Democrats Ohio, each party would
ftill have ground for hope, though tho
preponderance of advantage would be
on the Democratic side New York
Sun.