The Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1877-1885, 1883-07-17
TIT: COMING MAN.
sssrIt CT Careful Canvass of the
eferences of the
People. k
Blaine Leads the Republican string
aud Tilden the Democratic
Arthur and Mcdonald
Second.

sive forecasts Of presidential campaign
ever prepared 1t covers at least seven and
half pages Of that paper, and presents all
shades OF opinion from which most careful and
accurate protaE ihties are deduced. Early in
June The Times sent letters to over 400 points
in the thirty eight states, asking answers to
the following questions:
l. Who is most frequently spoken of by
Republicans in your vicinity as their first
choice for Presidential candidate in 1884.
2. What other names are mentionedt
., Who is moSG frequently mentioned by
Demo rats ia your neighborhood as their
lll-se ci6iee sor Presidential candidate in 1884,
!. What other names are mentioned, in
about What order as indicating their popu-
iaritN-i
The Times says that answers have been re-
ceived fryoa 3if of these points, the number
vstiynlg from folty.foua' in New York to one
il Nevada, or au average OF nine from each
state, The attempt had been to obtain the
preferences of the people--the voters-rather
than t!.e choice of the workers
of political machinery The information
has been, gathered by trustworthy
men of hoth parties whose interests oblige
them 10 keep thoroughly informed in politi
cal matters. The result as given may be
Trusted, therefore, as accurately outlining the
present desires of the members of the two
great parties
REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES.
The attic ion OF the Republican party is
row Girs;el toward the following presi-
dental candidates, forty-one in number:
Charles Francis Adams, jr., Massachusetts
William Allison, Iowa; Chester A Arthur.
New York; James G. Blaine, Maine; Omar
D. Conger, Michigan; Roscoe ConShng
New York; Gen George Crook, OHIO
Shelly II. Culom, Illinois; DAVID Davis
Illinois; George F. Edmunds, Vermont;
William NJ. Evarts. New York; Lucius
Flirehild Wisconsin; Joseph B. Foraker,
Chic. Charles Foster, Ohio; Frederick T.
Fcrlmghuysen, New Jersey; Ulysses Grant,
New Work; Walter q Gresham, Indiana;
Eugene Hale. Maine; George A. Halsey, New
Jersey; Benjamin Harrison, Indiana; Joseph
r. Hawley, Connecticut; Henry NJ.
Hoyt Pennsylvania; John A. Kas-
son, lows, Robert T. Lincoln, Illinois;
John A. y.ogan, Illinois, Seth Low New
YDrk; Wayne Macveagh, Pennsylvania;
Samuel + Miller, Iowa; Richard 0glesby,
IiiluOl>. W fs4luiH W dtJ5t uelltS, 4NCn cCASSN =
Abort q. Porter, Indiana; Frederick A.
Potts, New Jersey; Green B. Raum, Illinois;
Clarence Seward, New York; Philip ii.
Sheridan, Ohio; John Sherman, Ohio. Gen,
W T. Sherman, Ohio; Henry NJ. Teller, Col
oradc, Elhu B. WashburHe. Illinois; james
F Wilson Iowa; William Window, Mime
sUta
OF these eighteen are mentioned IN various
sections of the thirty eight states as the first
,'h1ice Of the Republicans Mr., Blaine, how
cver, is a head and shoulders in front of the
,thers, being named as the preference at 104
u nearly one-third of the number of points
sore a choice is most expressed. Apart from
his own state he finds favor in the middle and
western states, nearly all the great Republi-
can states, and his strength is probably greater
than is thus indicated, as in many instances a
preference is expressed for Others in the belief
that he will not enter the race.
President Arthur is next in strength, and
his friends are pretty evenly distribute
throughout the country, and the favorable
feeling toward him is almost everywhere re-
ported as increasing constantly. In the
south the officholders are noted of course
IN his interest, 1t is clearly shown in the let
ters from the south that large part of or
indeed the entire vote OF that part of the
country will be cast in the National conven-
ton for Chester A. Arthur, There is no
reasonable doubt to be entertained at present
that the BOG votes of the old slave holding
states will be given to the present incumbent
of the presidential chair. Mr.. Blaine and
every other candidate must face this solid
fact
Third in the contest is Mr. EdnHInds, and
not much behind Mr.. Arthur. His strength
also is very evenly distributed in the differ
cnt states and the expression in his favor
perhaps more than in any other case, appears
to be spontaneous and due entirely to his
merits. He is stronger, indeed, as a second
choice than as first, and leads the other can
didateS when that question is considered.
These three gentlemen received the voice of
224}z of the S24 places which express a pref
crcncc-Blaine los, Arthur "a, Edmunds
J7l5
Robert r. Lincoln stands pre-eminently
among the new candidates, only three, Gen.
Grant. John Sherman, and Gen Logan, com
ing between him and the leaders He is
everywhere kindly spoken Of, and his ability
and honored name make him regarded as a
good man for the Office The possibility of
his selection is rarely left out of the discus
sions.
The following Of all the gentleman after
the three leaders is small, and in some cases
merely the expressions of complimentary
wishes
DEMO CRATIC CANDIDATES.
The number of aspirants for the Demo
cratic nomination is forty, and their names
arc as follows: Thomas F. Bayard, Della
ware; Jere G. Black, Pennsylvania; Joseph
L Brown, Georgia; Benjamin F. Butler,
Massachusetts; John g. Carlisle, Kentucky
Grover Cleveland, New York, Samuel
S. Cox, New York; Charles A Dana,
New York; David Davis, Illinois
William W Eaton, Connecticut; William
II. English, Indiana; Stephen J. Field, Cali.
fornia; Roswell p Flower, New York; Win.
field s. Hancock, New York; Carter Il
Harrison, Illinois; Thomas A. Hendricks
Indiana; Abram s. Hewitt, New York
| George Hoadly, Ohio; William s. Holman,
Indiana; Hugh J. Jewett, New York; John
Kelly, New York; George B. Mcclellan
New York; Joseph E. Mcdonald Indi
diana; William r. Morrison, Illinois
William. E. Niblack, Indiana; John NJ
Ps-mer, Illinois; Joel Parker, New Jersey
Robert L. Pattison, Pennsylvania; Henry B
PAYNE, Ohio; George H. Pendleton, Ohio
Sailnr J. Randall, Pennsylvania; Theodore
| + KGad0pb, New Jersey; Allen g. Thur
man, C,jio; Samuel J. Tflden, New York
| Lyman isi;nbull, Illinois; John Turnkey
PeEns-i, .s.aia; William F. Villas, Wisconsin
Danisl ~ voorhees,, Indiana; William A
Wallace Pennsylvania; William F. Whit
becit i%1aA
EisS'osp Il these stand forth as claimant
of flFsE+AsssA Whatever is the cause how
ever, SsH.ssl J. Tlden leads his party ever
m0ss maSssdly than Blaine leads in the Re
p4Ilis1- tsA,iug Twsffths of the point
reporting award him first choice, and hi
strength, again, like that of Blaine, woult
have been increased if he had come GU
promptly ard demanded the nomination 1
is not always the ''old ticket, however, q
Hendricks seems TO have fallen into disfavo
in some quarters. There are only sever
states which give Tilden no favor, and Their
appears little doubt at present that he can b
the nominee If he desires
| Mcdonald comes next to Tilden, 721S point
to the latters 100 Geographically, the east
| ern miJlla and axtran,a 1yaStaro states alon