New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1883-11-28
EACH SURE OF THE PLACE.
FIGURES WHICH ELECTTwo MEN SPEAKER.
SOME AMENITIES OF THE. CANvAss-cox STICKS
AND SPRINGER NOT YET WITHDRAWN.

Speakership has entered earnest stage, and
until Saturday night it will grow 10 intensity and probably
in bitterness Mr. Randall took pains to-day say that
so far as practicable he has discounenanced brag and
Dster on the part of his supporters; that his
mas Deen free from abuse Of his opponents but effective;
that he has doubt of success because more Of
the Democratic do believe
the best interests OF Democratic party dictate the cleo
ton OF Mr. Carlisle Despite moderate expressions
Of their leader good many OF Mr. Randas supporters
have not snted their abuse of Mr. Carlisle and Of
them hint at damaging disclosures which to break
him down before the caucus is held
He has been informed by OF his friends that
tack Is to be made upon him for his part in the passage
through the House in the first session the Congress
OF the bill to extend the bonded period OF whskey.
Carlisles informant said there story circulation
among of his opponents that his action gov
| erned by pecunary considerations.
Mr. Carlsle's limited pecunagy means being suggested
as sufficient refuaton OF this story II replied that
he an nveterate gambler and lost the money cards
Another story TO the effect that he h unfit to be
Speaker because of his habitual temperance The other
equally credible story that he stole OF mules in
Kentucky and narrowly escaped the penentary has noe
yet been put in circulation Now, far the Whiskey
bill Is concerned, 1t unanimously reported favor
ably by the Ways and Means Committee Of
which both Mr.. Carlisle and Mr.. Randall were
members. There to the effect that improper
influences had been exerted by the friends OF the
ure both at the Treasury Department and before Con-
founded As for the stories that Mr. Carlisle is gambler
drnkard everybody knows them to be utterly
and sladerOus Probably there is not public life
OF more unimpeachable integrity, unsullied char
acter, irreproachable conduct than is
John G. Carlisle. That stories derogatory to him
personally whispered among his opponents,
would seem to imply desperate fear OF his II
he is 10 be defeated it by wOrther than
those which OF his opponents willing to
ploy.
CARLISLE PREPARED TO RETALIATE.
Mr.. Carlisle said to-day that he had tried to conduct
his high ground, but that If his opponents
should attempt resort to slander and mud-throwing
they would find that he prepared for them and
ready aggressive campaign that plan also.
tie, OF COURSE sincerely hopes that necessity may
drive him 10 such a
Mr. Carlisle and his friends still extremely
ndent OF While OF the Southern states do
quite previous expectations they say gains in
the West than offset the losses Mr.. Willis, OF
Kentucky who has turn for figures prepared an est-
to-day showing Mr.. Carlisles probable strength
the first ballot and the number Of votes that r Ran
dali will probably receive This estimate is prelicated
the belief that Messrs. Carlisle and Randall will bo
only candidates before the caucus, and is follows:
For Randall-Alabama 4, Arkansas l. California 2,
Connecticut g. Delaware L. Florida l. Georgia z, Illinois
l, Indiana l, Iowa l. Louisiana g. Maryland 4, Missouri
/, New-Jersey 3, NewYork II, North Carolina s., Ohio
10. Pennsylvania IL, south Carolina 2, Tennessee 5,
Texas l, Virginia g. West Virginia l. Total, 50.
For Carllsle-Alabama H. Arkansas 4, California 4,
Georgia g. Illinois 8, Indiana 9, Iowa 3, Kentuckys s,
Louisiana ., Massachusetts, g. Michigan g. Mississippi 5,
Missouri 49, Nevada l. New-YOrk o, North Carolina
Ohio 8, South Carolina Tennessee g. Texas 0, Virginia
/, West Virginia 2, Wisconsin g. Total. Ill.
a RANDALL ESTIMATE.
An intimate friend OF Mr.. Randall also exercised his
skill in making estimate showing how many votes
Mr. Randall will probably receive second third
ballot 1t is follows Alabama 5. Arkansas H. Califor-
MA 4, Connecticut g. Delaware l, Florida l. Georgia z,
Illinois 8. Indiana 3, Iowa 1, Louisiana B. Maryland 4,
Massachusetts @ Michigan l. Missouri T. North Carolina
T. New-York II. New-Jersey 3, Ohio II, Pennsylvania
IL, South Carolina 2, Tennessee D. Texas 2 Virginia 80
West Virginia Q. Wisconsin p These would make total
According the foregoing estimates Mr. Carlisle will DO
elected by majority of . and Mr. Randall will be
chosen by majority of 80 votes II the Speaker Is TO be
selected because he represents the views OF majority OF
the Democratic C9ngesSnen on the tarin MI oafI&ie, &
who favors tariff reduction, VIII be the man. ana hls
friends fully Justified I'm the claim that he Will Do
mnIv Other % clements enter into the contest, and Mr.
Randall Is an adept IN e art OF making the most Oh
every one which tells In his favor.
RANDALLS CAMPAIGN WORK.
While the Carlisle men have generally conented them
selves with using the stock arguments OF free traders and
refOmers in favor Of reopenng the arif agit-
ton, Mr.. Randall has pursued more comprehensive
policy. Every relation OF ebusiness and social, as
well blood reationshiphasb been used TO bring doubt
ful his support The fact that some Of Mr. Car
isles partisans have been open in their
sneers and unreserved in their denunciatons OF the
business of the country which in their minds
olies aggregated capital" and various other things
has been used with much effect by Mr. Randall and his
who, while they sympaze with MI Carllslcs views on
the tariff at the time unwilling To take step
which may the hostility OF the nlch abused
business Interests In the conduct of his canvass MI
Carlisle depends almost wholly the assistance OF tho
Representatives friendly 10 his election In addition To
like aid Mr.. Randall has the services IN washington ana
elsewhere Of large number OF shrewd trained poncai
workers" only from his own state but from New
York. Ohio. Missouri and other states-en wao e ta1r
oughy understand the politics or Their respective states
and know the influences which can bc brought to bear
The Carlisle men have already discovered that OF
the congressman! who have indicated strong pr renee
for him have been tmmpcred with by "emissai1es or
men who have been counted solid for the Kentucky
Gus. To prevent this various expedens have been sn-
gcstcd. One OF them Is to require every carlisle man 10
vote an open ballot in the caucus 1t being generally con-
ceed that resolution fora a'Fa Noce vote c"hho' 10
carried.
THE HOPEFUL MR.. cox.
The estimates of the Carlisle men and the Randall men
both exclude Mr. Cox the list OF candidates. For
his part Mr. Cox shows disposition to submit TO be
thus thrust unceremonouSy aside He still seems to 10
hopeful OF his election and lie maintains with much
energy and apparent sincerity that with the exception OF
Mr. Muller the Ncwlork Representatives will stand by
him No other prominent politician can be found who
shares Mr. Cox's opinion this subject. While he re-
tans his cheerfuness and viyacy and talks about tho
quarters, one finds no crowd Of followers feels no
atmosphere OF enthusiasm hears no sounds OF busy
preparation, the quiet headquarters of the NcwYork
candidate General SlOcum and two more faithful
friends usually be found there but they not kep1
busy and Mr. Cox himself uds plenty ofte to converse
with his friends about nusc art, household decoration
and a variety of other subjects.
SPRINGER STILL DIsCOvERABLE.
At Mr.. Sprngers headquarters also finds an at
mosphere OF repose. Two Of his colleagues sand firmly
by him. and this afternoon there was startling rumor
that he had picked mp in the Arkansas delegation
There pretty well defined growing suspicion that
II Mr.. Springer finds lie cannot he elected he VIII exert
his Influence I'm favor of Mr. Randall. stranger things
than have happened IN previous contests for the
Speakership.
SpPIGGS OE UrIIA For RANDALL.