New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1883-10-29

iBY TELEGRAPH TO THE TRTBUNE.l
WASHINGTON, Oct. 2S.- Six weeks from to-
morrow the XLVIIIth Congress win assemble In the
House the Democrats have majority OF 90 and there
premonitory signs Of bitter and exciting struggle on
their side for division Of the spos Unless they are re-
strained by the fear that they may blast all prospects OK
securing the greater prize which they hope TO win next
year, the contest tho speakersnhp
and subordinate offices and the patronage Of the House
will be desperate The preliminary canvass for the
Speakership has disclosed at this early date the aeDy
no means one IN the history Of the modern Demo-
cratic parythat the result is not likely to depend upon
the preferences Of the majority principles but upon
the desire TO make the country believe that should the
Democratic party gain control Of National affairs 10
would adopt conservative policy and upon other con-
sderations not remotely related to committee chairman
ships.
Thus It happens that while s5 of the 1913 Democratic
Representatives who have expressed themselves have do
cared with emphasis that it is the bounden duty OF the
Democratic majority to reopen the tariff question and
pass bill providing for radical reduction OF customs
duties and while scarce dozen Of the remainder have
dared to protest against such course, the prevailing
opinion among careful political observers Is That Mr.
Randall sOpeny opposed to II, VIII be maze
and will select for the Ways and Means Committee
majority composed Of men whose views on that su1ec9
coincide with his 1t is true that some OF the friends
Of Mr. Carlisle trying convince the country that his
agitation which would disturb business Interests, but the
majority Of them insist that be should be elected in order
to convince the people that the Democrats mean some
thing by their professions Of devotion TO principle.
The result OF the elections next week 10 slight
extent affect the visible prospects of some of the can
ddaes 1t viii have little influence in the matter OF
votes
MR.. CARLISLE LOSING GROUND.
While the earnest partisans OF each Of the three
leading candidates Randall Carlisle and Cox, are claim
ing" sufficient number Of pledged" votes to nominate
their candidate the first ballot In the caucus those VINO
have cooler make such mistake In the last month
Mr. Carlisle had been losing rather than gaming ground
month ago he felt pretty Of 81 vOtesncudng tho
vote OF Thomas p Ochiitree, Of Texas. Probably he
would be willing TO abae that estimate now by at leaso
30 votes were for thing Five or six weeks ago
it was whispered that Mr.. Carlisle and Mr. Cox had
arrived at an understanding" between themselves
which would insure the formers success. fortnight
ago was tentatively proposed and urged that the friends
Of all the candidates opposed to Mr. Randall should agree
30 pool" their strength and vote sody for tnat cand
date who had the most votes That scheme 1t was soon
ascerained could succeed Now, the friends OF r.
Carlisle in Washington assert with confidence that Mr.
Cox is virtually out Of and that he remains in the
Geld nOminally only consolidate his support In order TO
transfer to the Kentucky candidate when the proper
time arrives The number Of votes which he can thus
dispose OF h variousy estimated at from eleven TO hry
"A sufficient number. all events, as Mr. Carlisles
friends believe, 10 give him majority OF the caucus
Nothing had been heard OF this scheme here before
Mr. Coxs last visit Washington. Since then Mr. Car
isles friends 10 have found new hope and courage
WHY CAELIsLF's STRENGTH DECLINED.
Various causes were assigned for his loss OF strength
prior TO the new arrangement" While the tariff ques-
ton Is prominent in the canvass, that OF internal I'M
proyements Is hardly less So The Demo-
cratic Representatives TQm the Southern
States which border on the Mississippi
AA.g- Io,z For al QnnTD
tions TO build and repair leyees. AS member OF tho
House Special Committee last winter Mr. Carlisle was
understood to agree with those members OF it who re-
ported against such appropriations Finding That this
was urged against him Mississippi he consented TO tho
While the letter may have senced the obicc ons rom
the champions OF evees il unfortunately contained eS,
pressons about ponds and trout streams whlcni
were not calculated TO arouse enthusiasm IN Ills benat
among the Representatives nom Aa3ama, l.nieShsse, h
Texas the CarOnas ana Other parts Oh Tue oOul3 90
the demand for big river and harbor appropriations ~
loud aud constant. ,, q, l., o,,
ia that although earnestly invited TO mako
political speeches in the Ohio cain6agp au ne reSS ESQ
utey declined do so, whereas both Mr. kanaa, ana anu
Mr. Cox took an active part Agn u asserted o 'nai a5
that should he be elected Speaker M BaSknutn & m
could not only expect no help ron en,dI nun IN
sbp. sbG ''iiya'' but would be likely to encounter
him as an opposing candidate strengthened 20 some eA
tent by his elevation TO the Speakersip II M blasE
burn believes this, Mr. Carlisle may have more trouble
than he bargains in his contest against MI Randall
SOME OF RANDALL's ADVANTAGES.
Mr. Cox and Mr.. Springer both being ont OK
rho race according to Mr.. Carlislcs frieLds, tho
struggle Is narrowed down to one between
him and Mr. Randall. The latter has never claimed"
ninety-one votes but he will probably receive at least
seyenty-six votes the first ballot before Cox and
sprpger are formally withdrawn. II Mr. Randall does re-
ceye seventysx votes the first ballot he Will inevitably
be nominated whenever the break comes He hasa lohcy
and frankly advocates IL. In common with all Deinocrats
ba maintains that the revenues of the Government are
largely I'm excess OF its needs and unlike his cOettos
he has plan to cut OF the This gives MI Kan
dali great advantage. Again he missed no opportunity
Last winter 70 say good wOrd l9r sh .no
Mississippi River Improvements and In that Ne las lns
adyantage of both Mr. Carlisle and Mr. Cox NeEsr da
he make any unpleasant alltSons 10 Ponus anu
trout streams" Moreover, when he Was Speaker nc SO
constituted the Commerce Committee that the tSlNer anu
Uarhor bills were larger than ever DeIOrc' M.
Randall Is also n loud apostle or economy
and reform and it Is asserted by many persons In WASH
nyton thai ne il Mr. Tilden's candidate "a dstlneuon
witch the friends either OF the other candidates cou1
certainly feel no right claim for their ayorte although
they would be glad 10 do u. -, -, 49,.
Taking the Carlisle men at their word, therefore, ano
assuming that Mr.. Cox's candidacy Is only Ou h Ine
interest of Mr. Carlisle, II seems altogether prObaDe uat
MIR Randall will be the next Speaker. II the Ereo
Traders should try 10 unite Colonel Mori1O as hey
NAV do and il il should become apparent that MI ran
dali could not win George L. Converse, OF oo might 10
the caucus nominee