Wheeling register. [volume] (Wheeling, W. Va.) 1878-1935, 1883-11-05
THE MORROW'S FIGHT,
A Careful Estimate of the Result
in Pennsylvania.
PRESIDENT ARTHUR ON VIRGINIA
Mahone's Success the ONLY Assurance -o
Republican Victory Next Year
How the Massachusetts,
Campaign Ends.

PHILADELPHIA, november 4.-lne llHles,
in speaking Of the contest in Pennsylvania,
says
The extreme sluggishness that prevailed
in both parties in this State, when the
Ohio election came to shock the Republi.
cans and to inspire the Democrats, has
been materially changed within the last
two weeks. The Democrats regarded the
State as hopelessly lost and their ticket as
leading forlorn hope until the sweeping
Ohio victory gave them courage and ami
nation, and the Republicans confidently
expected to carry Pennsylvania by default
until the Ohio chill sent them shivering
back to their camp-fires to counsel
About RaIlying Their Forces.
But for Ohio the vote OF Pennsylvania
this year would be the lightest cast for
years-hardly equaling the one sided
election for State Treasurer in 1870; but
Ohio revived the hope of the Democrats
and quickened their organization, and the
sudden and unexpected peril forced the
Republican leaders 10 exhaust their ma.
chinery and appliances to poll their vote:
The new energy infused into our contest
by the Ohio election will add fully 5OO,-
COO TO the aggregate vote to be polled on
Tuesday next.
has varied as much as 342, AS in single
year. The vote for State Treasurer in 1879
was 532, ,294, and in 1850 the vote for Presi-
dent. the largest ever cast, was S74, ,i59
In ISL, in the contest for State Treasurer,
the vote fell down TO G9G 233, and last year
when Governor, COnGressmen and Legls-
lature were to be chosen, the vote was
AZ, .H3. or lJ0,9i6 less than the Presiden.
tial vote OF 1850. PattisOn was elected
Governor last year by 3j5,I9l votes, being
1867.
Less than the Democrats
polied for Hancock two years before, and
3,5Il less than the aggregate Republican
vote cast for Beaver and Stewart. In tue
general political chaos OF last year, the
Greenbsck vote that had fallen down TO IA,
976 in 1881, vas increased to % 4S4. This
year. the Greenback vote will hardly bs
half as much as it was last year, and tue
Independent Republican vote OF 1885, for
Wolfe in lsS1 and of 1918 for Stewart in
1882, will entirely disappear as separate
political element. The vote OF the State will
be likely to range from 100000 to G5O,OJ0,
and General Beaver is quite right in
His Recent Public Prediction
that the party that polls 525,6 ,6U0 votes will
win
The table OF majorities for President in
1850 and for Governor in 1882 in the coun
ties and wards Of the city, given in to day $
paper, together with the party estimates by
counties, furnish an interesting study for
the politicians of all sides. The strange
contrast between the maiorities of 1850
and 1852, and the large vote polled for the
Independents and GreenbaCkerS last year,
are liointealy suggestive of the growing in
de, ender ce of the voters OF the State.
a Party that COULD POLL
4II 79l votes for President in 1880, and
could poll only 3l5, $50 two years later for
so worthy soldier as General Beaver, has
abundant aImonition that mere party dis
cip)ine won't preserve party maJorItleS,
and tue party that polled 401, ,42S votes for
President in 1850, and could poll only ;:65,'
79l for Governor two years thereafter, when
the opposition was broken into wrangling
fyctions, has little on which TO plume itself
as the dominant power OF the State. Both
parties have unmistakable notice that they
are tolerated rather than
Heartily Supported by the People.
and they will be judged with intelligent
and infexible fairness when their use or
abuse of power is to be weighed at the
polls.
Ii is worthy Of note that the estimates
from the best informed circles Of the two
parties, given in to days psper, don vary
over 10000. The Republicans calculate on
less than $1,000 majority; the Democrats
OIL less than 1000. The claimed Republi-
can majority is little more than two per
cent. and the claimed Democratic ma iOrity
is little more than one per cent. OF the
vote
Likely 10 he POI!ed;
and lie two unties of Philadelphia ard
Allegheny could easily swallow up the es'
timated Democratic ma jority, and the
three counties of Philadelphis, Allegheny
and Lancaster could wipe out the estimated
Republican majority, if they were TO faIter
as they did in 1874 and 1877. There is lit.
tic to give assurance OF the correctness OF
any estimate made this year, when neither
party is well disciplined, and when
The Excess OF Sluggards
to the extent OF only two per cent. OF the
vote would probably defeat either side
The Republicans have the advantage OF the
Democrats on State issues, as the extrs
sess ion prohigacy and disgrace weigh like
a u il!stone upon the Democracy but the
ReIUbliCsns are facing the chilling Ohio
dist ster, and the result will depend wholly
upon the relative success of the leaders in
polling their vote. The nearness OF the
Presidential contest, and the confessed
bearing the vote in Pennsylvania mus;
have or the
Great Battle of Next Year,
have helped both sides in rsllying tn air
voters: and the verdict of Tuesday will be
accepted as deciding whether change OF
national administration is unerringly de-
m, nded BY tie eople, CT whe eth, r Demo
cratic President must De elected, II elected
at H.. on the Issues of next year, and with
PEI nsyivania in the Republican column.