The Wellington enterprise. [volume] (Wellington, Ohio) 1867-188?, 1883-05-16

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The Democrats insist that New York
is not q doubtful State any longer, and
the Republicans point to the fact that
Ohio has always given its Presidential
voice for the Republican candidate, in
cluding Fremont, 8 It was one of the
eleven Republican States in 1856, and
has never faltered at any Presidential
election since, however much wobbling
it may do between spells. New York,
however, is really q doubtful quantity
at all elections, State and National II
Governor Cleveland should make .
good record, and, like Tlden and Sey-
mour before him, carry the Convention.
he would probably carry the State, For
the purposes of this calculation we win
take both of these States out of the
doubtful list. The result would then
be, Republican, 177; Democratic, 1856;
doubtful, So. r zs
California is almost sure to go Re-
publican. notwithstanding the infa-
nous Morey letter it was carried for
Garfield in 1880. It ought not to be
classed as q doubtful State, especially
since the Chinese question has been set
tied to the satisfaction of the Pacific
slope. Nevada is not so calculable, and
must continue to be reckoned as doubt
full. Taking California out of the du-
bious category and placing it where it
belongs, the result stands: Republican,
1856; Democratic, 1856; doubtful, so. s
With all the States classified with one
party or the other, except these three,
Indiana, Virginia and Nevada, the
Democrats still have an advantage, for
either Indiana or any two of the three
States would give them majority OF
electoral votes. --s-.t
Indiana alone, or Virginia and Ne
vada combined, would either give the
Democrats 201 votes to 200 for the Re
publican ticket. On the other hand,
the Republicans could lose one of the
two minor States If they carried Indi-
ana and the other one. Indiana and
Nevada added to the list give as the
net result 203 Republican electoral
votes, and Indiana and Virginia 212.
Virginia is much more likely to go
Republican than. Democratic. Malone
and his fellow Readjusters have got q
firm grip upon the State, and already
announce that they have done once for
all time with the old Bourbon party.
This means, of course, that they will
pool their issues on the Presidency with
the Republicans, and if that should be
done, and no break occurs anywhere
along the line, that would insure Re-
publican victory in the Old Dominion in
1884, and the situation will be well
enough understood year hence to
eliminate the State from classification
as doubtful, Assuming Virginia to be
Republican the case stands, Republican,
1917; Democrats, 1856; doubtful, 1S.
We have now reached a final ANALYSIS
Indiana is necessity to each party.
Nevada alone would give the Republic
ans 200, Just as near as Tilden came in
1876. That little State may therefore
be eliminated from the doubtful cate
CORY, and Indiana stands out, not by
any forced construction, but by natu.
raj sequence of probabilities, as the
pivotal State. 1t was not so, in, 1880
Then New York held the balance o.
power Had its -S5 votes been taker
from Garfielfs PA and added to Han
cocks 155 the latter would have beer
elected; but now the scepter has depart
ed, and, politically speaking, Indiana i
the Empire State, provided, of course
that in its zeal to capture Hoosierdon
the Democrats do not sacrifice New
York. They will find it no easy task t<
ride both of these horses. Indiana can
not be put off again with the Yice-Pres-
identiaf sop, and New York's Goyernol
would scorn to be the tail-feather Of (
prairie-chicken. If, on the other hand
Mcdonald should be set aside for Cleve
land, or any other man, there would b,
blood ON the moon Czseago Lntsl
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