New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1883-09-14
THE FAC7 ABOUT NEW.YoRK.

III Is common to hear men say " Inc Demo-
Gratis may be united in Newly ork this year,
"and if they are they will win." The remark
betravs n lamentable ignorance of the State.
New York is a State of political surprises to
those who do not understand its constituent
elements. Bargains and combinations have
much TO do with results in unimportant cleo
tons and are generally thought 10 be far
more effective than they really are. The
stay-at-homen vote, which mounted to
2OO. 900 last year, generally has more influ-
ence upon the result than all the tricks and
bargains of all the politicians. Fraud turned
the scale in 1868, but the machinery and
methods of that time can no longer be en-
ployed. The "bottom fact" is that the State
has a Republican majority when the full vote
is polled. The largest vote ever cast in this
State was in 1880, when ], 103,955 votes were
polled for Presidential electors, and General
Garfield had plurality of $1,000, with the
largest vote ever cast for any candidate OF
either party. The people who assert that
General Hancock was stabbed by Mr.. Tilden,
or that he was beaten by Tammany, have not
been able to produce any evidence OF their
assertions, because they have studiously
ignored the fact that the vote for General
Garfield was overwhelmingly large, not in
some places only, but all over the State.
In 1868, fraudulent votes and returns made
the small majority for Seymour In 1872, the
full vote should have been 100000, but the
vote cast was 62 600 less, and, III spite OF the
loss of a body of Liberals which even at
later day appeared to number over 10000,
the Republican vote increased TO 10000. In
1876, part of these same Liberals were cap
tured by Mr.. Tildens cry of reform and his
personal strength, and yet the vote for PIesi-
dent Hayes was 1897 Had all Republican
votes been united then, the number would
have much exceeded 100000 Four years
later, full vote was polcd again, $4,000
larger than in 1876. The Republicans gave
to President Garfield 10000 more votes than
they had given to President Hayes while the
Democrats gave to General Hancock over
10000 more than they had given to MIR.
Tilden. The discrepancy in increase was
mainly due to tlfc fact that the
former Liberals who had been induced
to trust Mr.. Tiden's professions were unanl-
nous and earnest in the support OF General
Garfield If they numbered 10000, the re-
naming increase in the Republican vote was
about 10000, and in all other votes about
$4,000. Now there is no reason to suppose
that the natural. increase Of Republican
votes has not Been greater than the increase
of Democratic votes 1t may be assumed that
there are about 1,200, 600 votes to be east next
year in this State, and, if the Republicans
have only half of the increase since 1850,
there ought TO be over COS, 900 of them who
are anxious to have nomination made upon
which they can all concentrate.
Last year the siay-at-home voters, who had
voted in 1850 but did not vote for Governor
Cleveland or either of his opponents, num-
bered over $4,000. Hence the Democrats
had a great majority, over which they are fond
of Boosting to-day as if it belonged to them.
Yet Governor Cleveland, though he received
more votes than Hancock or Tilden. did not
come within 10000 of the vote actually cast
two years before for Republican President.
At that time the Democrats were more COM
petely united than they can expect to be
again even in Presidential election, and they
had the direct aid OF some Republicans, and
yet they polled in all only $50, 31S votes Ii will
take over 10000 more to carry the State in
1884 against a united Republican party, and
there is no reason TO suppose that, out OF
100000 new voters since 1880, the Demo-
Gratis can gain 10000.
The Democrats are welcome to their hopes
and their boasts. The only question which
Republicans find it necessary to consider is
whether they can nominate a candidate who
can poll their full vote in this State Ii they
can, they will carry the State, whether it be
this year or next year, against Democrats
united OF Democrats divided. If the Demo-
Gratis please to disagree, so that the work of
the Republicans shall be easier and the result
more certain, very well. But they need not
expect majority in the State against full
Republican vote, even If they concentrate
upon one candidate every New Yorker who
has ever called himself Democrat. A full
and united Republican vote means Demo-
cratic defeat, whether the Democrats vote for
one man or for fifty.
THE DUTY or REPUBLICANS TONIGHT