Daily Republican., 1883-08-27
MONDAY, AUGUST -, 1883.
The Next Presidential Election.

cfleAnS L lilies gives us d tanlt SHp"lhS
the southern states to be solid for the
Democrats no matter who the candidate
may be. This, however, only gives
l53 votes, which falls 4S short OF an cleo
sion, as the electoral vote is now 4Ol and
a majority of that will be 2ol. One
thing is to be already observed in this
calculation, and that is that the south is
TO be carried solidly for the Democratic
candidate no matter whether fair or
foul. The well known Republican ma
jOrities that exist in South Carolina,
North Carolina, Mississippi and Florida
are not to count feather in the scale.
They are to be counted in for the Demo
cratic candidate no matter how they
vote and if enough northern states can
be induced to vote for the Democratic
candidate to increase the electora! vote
for him from l.Jf sure southern votes to
3Ol thel We are TO have "A President
elected by fraud and another farce will
b. ma,ie OF a Presidential election in
sixteen states OF The Union.
Under these considerations the results
Df the next Presidential election may
be considered uncertain and liable to
be definitely changed and effected by
acts which may occur during the next
ha l. ,,i,
view which Republicans can take is
hat whii- there is no assured prospect
of Republican success there is less pros
pect for Dem ocratic success. There are
certain States " hose electoral votes can
stitute a majority Of the whole for
either party. For instance there wi be
Kentucky, Arkansas, Tennessee, South
Carolina aud Mississippi for the Demo
setts, Rhode Island, Vermont, Iowa,
Nebraska and Kansas for the Rrpubli-
respectable show 50 far rs electoral
votes 90, ia far short of an election.
A reasonable view of the election
from the present stand oint can give
the Rel ublican party not more than
I'll eleCtOra votes, 80 short Of an elec'
h0n an! the Democrats IL electoral
votes, 81 Shor' of an election These re-
suits are obtained as follows Colorado
with 3 votes, Illinois -, Iowa Is, Kan.
sas9, Maine Il, NJ ,achusetts II, Michi-
gan Is, Minnesota I, Nebraska ), New
Hampshire 4. ohio %, Oregon 3 Penn
sylvania 30, khod- Island i, Vermont
4 and Wisconsin II, total III for 'hc
Republicans. For the Democrats,
Alabama with 10 votes, Arkansas :,
Georgia ,, kentucky Is, LoUisia ma G,
Maryland :, Mississippi =, Missouri ii,
South Carolina ., Trnu-sS"r T. aud
Texas Is, total IL may reasonably be
allowed
Still there rrmain ll3 votes for
which we hav" not taken any account
except AZ they exist. Thu, far it is
only asoertaineh that of the pp, I'VE
States for either party the Eepnbti-
Gans would have majority VI a.
But what Of the other ll3 votes We
can only elias them something liEr
this
ProbtbIy Erpuoyirln California <
votes, Connecticut i, FOorida t, In
diana l5, and Nevada ). Total, ST.
Probably Drmu"ratIc: Delaware ID,
New Jersey ., North Carolina II,
West Virginia &. Total, g. IWo
States are left to be cIassed u. rX-
7remely uncertain They are Nrw
York 36 votes and Virginia H. Total,
~. The only difference we can make
bet ween these 'wO Stales is tHat Sew
Sort is more likely 20 g l;"puhurlu.
than Virginia.
We think tn" fairness and accuracy
Uf This computation wil, haM,r bel
seriously challenged We are toId
that Ohio is questionable, BAT it ucruI,
40 US tiIat DhlV ha, ury,r vuird for a
Demo"ra lc candidate since the Repair.
iican party was organized, though She
has in tina. time had Democratic Gov
ernDrS.
LOON a. the Democratic majority IL
PennSy yJvauia last year says an euthu.
siastIc Democrat, and in the face Of
that will You count her sure tor the
Republicans In our opinion there
was never anything surer. Even with
two Republican tickets in the fod
last year the Democrats got but A
small pInraIityand failed Of d majority.
Now the party is united and Influenced
by the pernlCiJn1 free trade principle.
that the Democrats are advocating, she
will Civ" without dOub the largest ma
JOrity she has ever yet given except IN
the great G'eeI"y cAunpiign prur,r,-
vania like ONO has never ,ot"d for
other than Republican President
since the organization Of the EepubDGail
party, and what is more there has not
been "a President Of the United States
OF whatever shade Of politics that Pom
sylvsnia did not vote for.
In the liz Of States that we hav"
given as most sure to q Drmurrat,r
~ Maryland, whose tenure Of Dnuo.
cracy is growing "Xcordingty veal,
and the cord that binds il lay snap a'
she nYt election. There tao are South
CaroIhA and Mississippi, each Of which
!