New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1883-08-28
THE NEXT SPEAKERSHIP.
VIEWS OF A DEMOCRATIC POLITICIAN.
THE REAL STRUGGLE SAID TO BE BETWEEN CAR
Isle AND RANDALL
IBr TELEGRAPH TO TUE rRIBUSE.l

fBY TELEGRAPH TO TUE TRIBUsE.I
WASHINGTON, Aug. PA shrewd Demo-
cratic politician OF National reputation. who is much In
in the result of the the Speakershp
and who has for time been busy ia collecting data
respecting the prospects and relative strength OF the
several candidates, expresses the opinion that Mr.
Carlisle has strong lead, with fair prospects OF success
It understood that Mr. Carlisle who is soIournng at
the White Sulphur springs where he enjoys excellent
opportunities obtain trustworthy information from
leading Democratic politicians from the southern anu
Western states. holds the opinion.
The candidates the order OF their respective strength
as put down follows: Carlisle, Randall,
Cox aud Springer. According to this Mr. BiackDurns
chances do seem to be worth mentioning. Mr.
sprngers candidacy is regarded formidable, and
it IA expected that he will drop out OF the race
after the second ballot, his supporters going
to Carlisle whose friends claim for him
the almost undivided support OF the Western Democrats
on the third ballot It is asserted that the first ballot
he will receive sA of the nine Democratic votes from
Indiana. and on the third ballot all of them. John e.
Lamb OF tho Terre Haute District, will, 1t is thoIgb
vote once or twice for Randall and will nen change to
Carlisle under the advice of Senator Voorhees, gwen at
the request OF ex-senator Mcdonald who Is said 10 DC
warmly Interested in Mr.. Carise's success. Mr..
McDonalds friends IL may be remarked count ON solid
Kentucky delegation IL his favor at the National Con-
yention Messrs Holman and Mattson are counted for
y.
because he has occupied seat near Mr.. Cox In the
House and has listened TO and enjoyed many OF his
wittcisms and Mr. Mattson because New forks iavor
ite son made pilgrimage to Green Castle TO address the
college students several months ago and was Matsons
guest After the second ballot IL Is expected that both
Holman and Mattson will transfer their votes to Car
isle It conceded that Mr.. Randall is strong in Vlr-
gnia ana OF the other Southern States, although
Mr. Carlisle counts the support Of large majority OF
the Southern Representatives. To considerable num-
ber OF thel however. Mr. RsndalIs views respecting
the tarlf are not Objectionable many moro OF them
remember and admire the bulldog courage and tenacly
shown by him In the memorable struggle when he led
the minority opposition to the Force bill and time
has weaL eDed their feelings of gratitude. Moreover
Mr. Carses friends are obliyous Of the fact that
Mr. Randas candidacy is favored by some OF the most
influential Democratic newspapers In the South
II appears that Nessrs Cox and Springer have been
writing letters to TO
those who members OF the last House-solic-
ing tner yotes One OF the new members from South
ern state said day or two agv that he had not heard
ANYTHING from Randall or Carlisle but that OOth Springer
and Cox hnd written him aud ask ed support He
will ,oe for Carlisle The friends OF Nc Carlisle be-
eve after the second or third ballot the struggle
Will be narrowed down TO between him aud Mr..
Randall with the chances decidedly in favor OF the
They admit however, that there Is one element
of uncernnty-and that s the votes OF after
g. s. Cox drops out OF the III Randall can secure
a majority Of those votes he VIII become DANGEROUS
competitor, but tne friends OF the kentucsy canndae
count upon the hostility OF Cox TO Randall to prevent
such contingency. Tney say IL would be a.personal
aront TO Coz for any OF his friends TO go 10 RANDALL
anu some OF them believe that he canot turn over his
votes Carlisle ehort will be made to create diver
sion IN favor OF other New YORK man. The names
OF General socum and Mr. Dorsheimer are mentioned
the latter quite frequenty-oy MI Carlisles most conn
dental frieDds although 1t said that the name OF Ten
cral slocum Is often favoraby suggested in the West
To sum up the result OF the observations and nvesti
entions OF The Democratic politician before mentioned.
who Carlisle man. ~ appears that Carlisle leads tne
can secure OF Newiork after b b. Cox Is ou
OF the field.