The home journal. (Winchester, Tenn.) 1858-188?, 1883-11-28
How the Case Stands.
From the. American Registcr.l

The preliminary skirmish Of the year
is now over, and both parties can sur
vey the field and cast up the result.
Neither party can boast very much
over what has been achieved, all things
considered but the careful examiner
must conclude that the Democratic par
ty have much the best of it. The ire
mcndous tidal wave Of last fall, when
Republican States cut loose from party
Affiliations and ranged themselves on
the Democratic side, has not gained aG-
ditlonal momentum; but when all the
facts in the case are carefully considered
it is plain that the Democracy have
suffered no particular reverse. Two
States which have always been Republic.
can on national issues have been re-.
claimed by the Republican party; but
aside from that the dominant party has
nothing to crow over. To have saved
anything from what the appearance of
Il general wreck, Of course is n matter
of profound congratulation to them, and
il this narrow escape from total annihi-
alton upon the eve of a national election
makes our Republican friends cheerful,
it would be cruel to deny them the reas-
enable comfort which is necessary to
enable them to make fight next year
Briefly sketchcd, the condition is about
as follows:
Ohio is Democratic after the hardest
| fight ever waged in that State, and all
its officers, from governor down, will be
Democratic during the national cam
paign. This is n big gain, and the Re-
publcans do not attempt to underrate
its importance. New Jersey is Demo-
cratic after n campaign Of abusive war
fare on the part Of the Republicans,
and that State enters the national strug-
gle upon the side Of Democracy. New
York is doubtful because Of Democratic
laundering, and not from any change of
political sentiment there. But enough
has occurred to caution the Democracy
of that State Maryland has affirmed
her faith in Democratic principles, and
settled her electoral vote next year.
Virginia has returned to Democracy,
and by Il decisive victory overthrown
the last hope Of Malone and his allies.
Pennsylvania, of which no Democrat
expected much, returns to its party al
legance, and Massachusetts, which was
torn up over Butler, elects Il Republican
governor. The Democrats have won
three States announced as doubtful,
viz: New jersey, Virginia and Mary
land; the Republicans have reclaimed
two which no Democrat ever hoped to
hold on national issues, and New York
remains to be fought for again, with the
chances very plainly on the Democratic
side. This is in brief of the facts of the
situation, and the people can now deter
mine for themselves what the outlook
is. Speaking reasonably and soberly,
there is nothing in this condition OF
things to encourage the Republican par
;. tyto believe that Il winning fight awaits
them, and everything to encourage the
Democratic party to renewed exertion
and effort. To carry two States that
were never considered doubtful fora ma
tional Republican ticket, and which
were never put down as necessary to
success upon any Democratic calcula-
ton, and to lose three which were con-
sidercd decidedly doubtful, and to elect
only the head Of the Republican ticket
by the evident mistake Of party man
ayers in the great State of New York,
furnishes no grounds for Republican
hope in the greater struggle beyond
The plan of the enemy for 1884 will
now have to be entirely changed, for no
chance is now left them to get single
electoral vote South. All the strength
of that great section will be thrown for
the Democratic nominee, and it will on,
ly require AZ electoral votes more to
win. Counting the States of New
York, New Jersey, Ohio, Indiana, Ne.
vada, California and Oregon as fairly
doubtful, taken as n whole, We have 81
votes, out of which tho necessary IS are
to be secured. When it is considered
that New Jersey, Indiana and Callfor.
mia are almost certain to 60 Democratic,
1t is evident that it needs but the vote
Of Now York to solve the problem. And
when it is further considered that the
whole Democratic State ticket of New
York was elected by an average MAORI
ty Of about 5000, excluding the secre-
tary Of the State, who was beaten not
because he was u Democrat, but because
he was a Prohibitionist, 1t is evident
that Il satisfactory Democratic nominee
will not have much difficulty in getting
the 80 electoral votes of that deciding
state. In discussing the chances there
IS no need of deceiving ourselves or
claiming anything which the facts reas-
'nab!y stated do not warrant, and act
ng upon this rule, it may be fairly as.
umed that with the exercise of average
common sense and the selection of
81 g., :,l,, -, Al