New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1883-11-17
IBY TELEGRAPH TO THE TRBUSE.l

HOW THE MEMBERS on THE GROUND WILL
VOTE.
IBY TELEGRAPH TO THE TRIBUSE'I
wAsuINGToN, Nov 10.-A patient mvestiga'ion
ond comparison Of the " claims" mace pS ,no
friends of the three leading Candidates % io C1 nv
Speakership show that on the first pai,o' ,,,ai,
Isle will receive ninety-two votes M IT,
ninety votes and Mr.. Cox seventys 80 -
6o,res make n total of 25S votes. Inc total n''o'i
"su n.i - 49, onrosentatiyes-excludng the Nir-
- poodirsters and two or three Independents
;o 100 Therefore unless there are errors Soih'
bara in the estimates, at least slAty-eishV No'oo
- 10 obtained outside of the Democratic caucus.
Resides the two candidates now here-MeSsIs. Oar-
1isle and Cox--the Democratic Congressmeh III lIe
cit1- today numbered Twenty-Five OF trlhe more
tbon one-ninth of the entire number OF these
eleven are put down for Mr.. Carlisle, as follows:
r,bompson XVI Mills Miller and Welborn (TeXasl,
Herbert and Pryor (Ala.l Murphy Qa.), Cassidy
Nevl. Rosecrans Call, Young Crenn.l, and Gibson
NV Val Six are assigned to Mr.. Cox, as follows:
Slocpm a. " Williens and Hill Ohio ,Matsoh ana
Ward 1nd). and Henley Call. -Four are for Mr.
Rapdall-Hopkins PENN, Mitchell Conn CaDen
Va.l and Barbour (Ya). One, Mr.. Glasscock Call
is not committed. 49,,
II is expected that after the first ballot MI mn
will vote for Carlisle and Messrs Wilkins ana Iieh-
lev for Randall General ROsecrans has Deeh
claimed hV the COX men, DuO IL llO" DN0'A'' N~'
that he will vote and work for the election OF MI
Carlisle. and it is said to be probable that IN the
ooncns he will second that sentleman's nomination
and make a speech in his behalf 1t is UNDERSTOOD
that Mr.. Carlisle's name will be presented by his
colleague Mr.. Blackburn.
THE CANVASS TO BEGIN IN EARNEST NEXT WEEk'
On Monday next Mr. Randall will be on the
cround and the canvass will then begin IN earnest
us will have his personal headquarters at tho Eb-
f,.., l. s,r.in ha pn
other hotels TO watch and guard his interests Mr..
Carlisle will open his personal headquarters on
Monday at the Metropolitan Hotel, which is also
+be fayorite place of sojourn of large number OF
Southern and Southwestern Representatives, Mr.
Carlisle is put forward as distinctvely the South
Crn candidate, and his prospects OF success largely
if not mainly depend upon his ability TO prevent
his competitors from securing many Southern No'es
Mr. Cox has already established himself at WIZ
lard's where it is expected Mr.. CarllsSs western
lieutenant Colonel Morrison, will also bo stationed
Among the recent arrivals is Senator Beck who
naturally feels deep and warm interest III the
success of the Kentucky candidate. Senator Beck
thinks the only DANCER before Mr.. Carlisle Will be
avcrted f the caucus can be induced to adopt res
olution to vote viva voce, and determined ehort
is to he made to have that done. Mr.. Beck said he
felt no doubt of Mr.. Carisles success from the
BEGINNING. As for Mr. Randall, the Senator does
not thing he ought TO be regarded as seriously III
the contest.
"Why." exclaimed Mr.. Beck, to-day ait seems
pcrfectly absurd to talk about Democrats voting to
make man Speaker who isopposed to them on inc
great question of the tariff, or for n man who IS
opepIy in favor of abolishing the internal taxes
The latter thing alone should defeat Randall OF
any other man who favored it, IN Democratic
caucus. The idea of taking the taxes OFF whlskey
and tobacco and keeping it on blankets, hats-n
f,ct ron all the poor mans neccssaTes of life il IS
too ridiculous to talk about
THE STRUGGLE TO BE BITTER ONE.
There are already strong symptoms that the
struggle is to be very bitter one. The circulation
Of printed handbills which purpOrt to disclose
aRandalls record" and of others designed 10 show
that Mr. Carlise's record has been of hostility
seward oppropriations for the Mississippi River
were only the nitiatOry steps toward most I'M
centle conflict Mr. Carlisle is supposed to know
the identity of the author of the circular against
him To TRIBUNE correspondent to-day he SAID
that the statements in the circular are tissue ol
lies and misrepresentation easily refuted by an eX
animation of The Congressional Record lie men
TONED one instance in winch he was represented as
voting against bill for the benefit Of the MlssiN-
sippi River when, matter OF tact hc was ID
Kentucky at the time on business. ialr state
ment of his attitude respecting internal improve
ments Mr. Carlisle thinks will not injue bis pros
poets.
He was a member of the special committee OF the
last Congress which investigated the Mississippi
River improvements and it is understood he agreed
with his colleagues that the construction and re-
pair of the evees is not essential to the improve
ment of navigation Two members of the com
mittee Messrs. Ellis and Thomas submitted mi
nority report favoring certain appropriations ltls
understood that Mr.. Ellis is now a supporter OF MI
Carlisle Several months ago Mr. Carlisle wrote
letter in which he explained his regret that he had
felt compelled to vote against several bills which
contained appropriations for the Improvement OF
the Mississippi, because they also contained items
for small harbors.
Mr. COz's opposition to river and habor apprOpri-
ations is based on constitutional grounds. When
the River and HarbOr bill was under consideration
last March Mr.. Randall said: 4" ] am in favor of
making appropriations for the purpose OF e1pcrl.
menting upon the improvement OF the navigation oi
the Mississippi River until shall at last succeed
in finding the solution of this great problem
RECORDS on THE TARIFF.
There is already much searching of The Con-
gressiOndI Record for expressions by the candidates
in regard to the tariff and internal revenue laws.
On February 10, in discussing an amendment TO the
Tariff BILL Mr. Cox declared that under the opera
tion of the tariff the wages of American labor have
been cut down TO starvation rates. Mr.. Randall
in a speech advocating the same measure, May D,
1882 said that he favored total abolition OF inter
nal taxation and said that he would vote for al,
EQUALIZATION of the duties on imports. In his speech
against the Tariff Commission Dlll Nr Carlsle de-
TO devise a tariff system more unequal and unjust
than the present