Memphis daily appeal. [volume] (Memphis, Tenn.) 1847-1886, 1883-06-29
JUDGE TOURGEE
Ga the Probabilities and Possibilities for
the Democratic Campaign in 1884
A Candid Review Of the
Candidates Who Have Been Put Forward
by Their Friends-New York or In.
diana Will Name the Man.

1OUIBEes Vi Nud SOtALHL,lit, has al /
article on the poliiicsl probabilities OF 1884, |
in he current number of that periodical, In |
which he states that he ouiy element Of |
doubt affecting the Democratic canvass OF |
1884 il the fringe OF Northern electoral |
voles necessary 10 make majority of the |
Z ectoral College when Joined to the South
ern phalanx New York, New Jersey, Con- |
uecticuf, Indians, Colorado and California |
are the real dsbstable ground. To these |
might be added Ohio, were il not for its per
verse way OF going for one party on the "off
years." and the other In national elections,
with smszing regulaiitE. New York with
one of the oihers, sr Indiana with two of
them, establishes victory in their behalf. 1t
is with relation TO the vote OF these States,
therefore, thai the nominations will be
made. If a man is found whom the
majority of the Convention feel perfectly
confident can carry the State of New York,
tn st m an will be nominated. The endeavor,
however, will no doubt be TO select a ticket
that shall be exceptionally strong in two Of
these S,ates-mest probably in New York
aud Indiana, Fachonal preferences and po-
litical msneuvering will be more poteutisi
factor in the Democratic than in the R,pub-
licau nomination, from The fact that the lead
eTs of the different wings of the Democracy
in New York have tue uudoubted power to
defeat the choice of the other. AS TO the in
dividuals likely TO be named in connection
with the fret place, the probabilities Affect
ing their choice are in the main easy TO de-
termine.
BAYARD.
Mr.. Baysrd is upquesiionsbly the first
Democratic statesman of the land. He is Of
record on all the issues OF the last quarter OF
a century, and is Senator from Delaware.
His State is sure for his party, and his record
contains dynamite possibilities a score Of
years old which his party associa'es will be
in no haste to thrust into the campaign OF
1884.
THURMAN, PENDLEToN AND PAYNE.
These cons, ltule an Ohio triumvirate, each
OF whom st ands 10 the others way, and ef-
fectuslly excludes him from the chances he
| might otherwise possess All of these sre
veterans of their party, whose eminence has
been largely acquired by their prominence
in ontests which he party will be especially
| anxious TO ignore in this conflict as tending
| To distract attention from matters more
| favorable TO the party clsims. Mr.. Pendle-
| tons Civil Service bi for the nomination
was very untimey and ill-advised as
| par measure. Ia sentiment ii was entire
| ly at vari ance with the traditions of the De-
| mocracy, and, being now fixed element of
| our law, it ceases to be, at the best, anything
| more than a mere feather in the cap OF it's
| champion.
| CLEVELAND, BUTLER AND PATTIs5N.
This trio, usually known as the "acci-
| dentap governors, because swept into place
/ by the remark bic tidal wave of last autumn,
l while naturally associated in the minds OF
| all, have, as regards the Presidential nomi-
nation, no common grounds Of probabilities
Mr.. Pattson's chances are probably as re-
/ mote as those OF almost any man in his par
| ty, and 50 not worth considering.
| As to Gov. Cleveland, the managers of his
party in the State have very little lovs for
him, and if he should be nominated for the
| Presidency it would be solely in the hope
that the m an who got nearly 100000 majority
| last fall might hold enough to give him the
electoral votes next year. Whether he car
| do that and still retain the support OF those
| who will control the delegation from that
State is a question TO be decided by the inter
| veniHg time.
II Gen. Butler carries Massachusetts again
this fall he will be a strong competitor Tor
the nomination, because OF the undoubted
fact that he would secure large Republican
vote. Despite the QUERY that has been m adt
against him, perhaps for that reason, there
are many who think the man has beer
tres ted unfaiTly. In private life and in bust.
ness he has horne himself honorably; pro
fessionally he has attained an emia, nee tina
I few can rival; in Legislation no faint OF job
| berry attaches to his name, and when tbs
country needed his services he stood no, upo.
the order oil his going. Should the idea con
tinue to prevail that the opposition 10 him il
chiefly personal, and based in any degree
upon the fact that ne does not belong TO tina
peculiar aristocracy which has so long douai
mated the Bay State, it ia by no meaus i'm
possible that he may develop such strength
as to secure a reelection and become Presi
Dental possibility of no mean Importance
The prejudice against him at the Soulf
| would no more prevent his receiving the cleo
toraI votes OF those States than would hit
suppression of the draft riots prevent kit
| receiving the enthu-iaslic support of the
Irish element of New York City. Indeed
his personal popularity with this element ii
a factor that may be Of considerable i'm
portance, especially in view of a concerted
| action Of the American branches of tn,
Land League upon questions that may seri
ously affect the campaign.
| HANCOCK.
| Gen. Hancock is Ususliv held responsible
for his own defeat in 1880, and there is lit
tie prospect that he will have any considera
BILE support for the nomination.
| MCCLELLAN.
| 1t is the general belief that George B
Mcclellan is coming out from the obscurity
that hiss enshrouded him since his election
as Governor Of New Jersey, with the idea o
getting in the way OF being struck by Presi
| Dental lightning. His chances are tn,
same as that Of the ordinary rank and fill
of his psrty-say one in 100000 or 80.
RANDALL.
1t is supposed that Mr.. Randall expects Il
step from the Speakers chair into the Pfesi
dency. He will be wise TO take the former
if he can get it-not as a masns but as al
end. Peunsy wanna is one OF The s. stes mos
unlikely TO furnish candidate for his part,
next year. Indeed, considering its rank il
wealth and population, the State has Away
been peculiarly barren in Presidential 20 sci
bildes. Buchanan and Hsncock are III
only candidates il has furnished, aud just a
this time it would r'quire very peculia
strength to bring the Democratic nominatioI
TO bis State. Mr.. Randall, while having
fair party record, has none of those elements
of popularity that would give e1csptiona
strength in the States where Dem cratic sue
cess must be deemed most likely TO be OBJ
| tainable.
TILDEN AND HENDRICKS.
There is no ground for supposirg tha
eth OF these men could be nominated, saw
upon the csim OF Fighting what the part,
holds 10 have been wrong in the election o
1876 This sentiment was not s'roug enougl
to control the Convention of 1880, and ia stil
lees likely 10 affect that of next year. Th
| fact is that these men are waIth more 10 thei
party in The position of uncemplainini
martyrs than as candidates. The redress Q
mere personal grievance is too narrow
ground for national party TO stand upon
while the public retri butiou-if the act wa
evils m tde lst complete by tn
ascsndancy o. the party az by the elec' ION Q
"ibe old ticket" az il is ca led. Besides thi.
however, both of the men have reached ex
IRENE age, both have weli-known and psril
Gus physical ipfrmi les, and one has JOIN
| Kelly and he other Senator Mcdonald as al
obstacle in his path.
| MDoNALD
| S-nstor Mcdonald hss little prospect o
obtaining the FIRST place upon the ticket, sn'
his chances for the second are impaired by
the fact that the last two Vice-Presideniia
candidates were from that State. Tough
was carried ID 1876 by The Democracy,
was lost by still heavier vote in 1880. Will
there is scarcely any prospect Of Mr.. Hen
drIcks's nomination, it is not at all probabl
that ne would be friendly to Mr.. Mcdonald
success. These fac,s render it reasonable 4
expect that, should the Pre- idential candi
date be taken from the East, as it is almos
certain that be viii, The Vict Presidency vii
90 either TO Illinois or Ohio.
PALMER
Gen. Palmer, of Illinois, is strongly urges
as q candidate. His war record is good II,
was a Republican, End lett that party will
so much Of personal pique as to render hin