The daily Cairo bulletin. (Cairo, Ill.) 1878-1???, 1883-10-09
THE PIVOTAL STATE.
Both Parties in Ohio on the Ragged
Edge Of Uncertainty.
What Tomorrow May Bring Forth
Germans in France Wagoner's
Oharge-A Fistc FisSle-Notes From
WaShingtOn-An Injunction Refused
Other News,

the streets and in places Of resort on The
| day preceding IN election In Cincinnati
than there IL to-day, The whole town Is
astir. Many politicians from the rural dis
tricts are here taking observations. Ham.
| llton county is regarded as the KEY 10 the
situation in The state, and along with Guy
ahoga county IL is counted upon by the
| Democrats to give them their majority. On
one point there is no difference in opinion
now, and that is that an overwhelming vote
Will be cast all over the state.
The second amendment rage, which has
| run over the state like fire over dry
| prairie, will bring out all the votes that
| pa ty zeal fails TO bring. There is some
alarm here onsaccount Of the probable adop-
| ton OF that amendment. No one doubts
that it will get an immense vote, but those
who are pecuniarily interested in opposing
| i console themselves with the belief that
! onc-third Of the voters will not vote on
sither amendment, aud that the second will
tall short OF getting majority OF all the
votes cast. But the danger OF its passing
| is SO real that II excites anxiety and fear
| here.
Both parties, speaking conseryatiycly
now, believe that the vote for Governor
will be close. The best judges estimate
that neither party will have large major.
| ity in 1.-THE Legislature Here in Hamilton
county the Democrats claim ability to elect
their Highland House ticket, but bets are
obtainabe only that they will elect major
lty OF It, There il so much about the
present situation, both in Hamilton county
| and the state that 1t is impossible TO
| make any safe forecast OF the probable re-
suit.
From the outset ii has been difficult to
forecast this coming Ohio election, compIi-
Gated as II is, with petty local discords in
one party and the temperance question IN
both parties. The suddenness with which
the prospect OF the second amendment be-
coming part OK the constitution dawned
upon the leaders Of both great parties il
phenomenal. In 1894, when the question
OF license or no license was submitted to
separate vote OF the people along with the
constitution which they rejected, fifty. five
counties gave majoritie5 against, and thirty.
three majorities for license, and
II was defeated ia the state by majority OF
trfie above !, 900 majority in total vote
Of $50 900, in round numbers, or AT about
half as much as is the vote on next Tues
| lay.
The surprise at the time OF that vote was
| thatIwenty three Of the counties giving
majJrtties against license were Democratic,
and OF the counties giving majority in IA
yor OF license niue were Republican The
present indications are that there has beer
in both parties latent senti-
mcnt in favor OF restricting the sale OF
liquors pervasiye to an extent never
dreamed OF By the leaders OF the two par
ties until since it has been called into activi-
IT, by the tremendous campaign Of the ad-
vocates Of the second amendment. There
is speck OF danger in the way Of the full
vote on this amendment ayailing. The
amendment as presented is a compound
one, namely; For license, yes or no;"
For prohibition, yes or no. There is a
very prevalent notion that any voter may
vote for both these amendments and have
both his votes count. The Hamilton coun.
~ Temperance Alliance called upon emf.
nent legal counsel less than week ago.
and learned that voting for both amend.
ments would be equivalent to voting for
neither, and consequently TO throwing such
votes away. This and other complications
in the count and after the count are likely
10 embarrsss this amendment, even IL IL
should get the requisite majority Of votes.
No political party in this state on any occa-
sion ever made such a tremendous and
thoroughly searching canvass as the temper
ance classes have made in this campaign and
that without an organ in the shape Of daily
newspaper. Many hold that II is possible
for both clauses of the temperance amend
ment TO pass, inasmuch as the sale OF
liquors for other purposes than beverage
would not be prohibited and IL It a license
for the sale for lawful uses would not be
incompatible with the prohibition OF its
manufacture and sale for unlawful pur-
poses.
In 1874 the counties in OHIO were classified
As forty one Republican and forty. seven
Democratic. Take them now on the basis
OF the ma)orties given at the election last
fall on Secretary OF State and they will
stand: Counties giving Republican MOTOR
tiles, AZ. Counties giving Democratic
majorities, 46.
Carry the analysis further, CHASING all
counties as close whose majorties are less
NhnH NV per CcHl' Ol lUelr tOtal vote, and IL
shows: Number of counties Republican but
close, 10; number Of counties Democratic
but close, IL. This will also give thirty.
two counties undoubtedly Republican and
thirty-tive counties undoubtedly Democrat
10 on the basis of the vote in October,
1882.
The ten counties close, but Republican,
Is classified above are Delaware, Madison,
Mahoning, Noble, Perry, Portage, Prebc,
Scioto, Van Vert and Williams.
The eleven close Democratic counties are
Adams, Belmont, Ccrmont, Hancock,
Highland, Knox, Muskogoe, Paulding,
Il ss, Stark and Washington.
Or the above twenty one counties there
may be classed AS doubtful:
Belmont, 1850 Rep. in 80; Dem. in
1882
Highland, l5s Rep. in 80; 40 Dem. In
1882
Pauldng, 06 Rep. in so; o5 Dem. in
1882.
Perry, 81 Dem. in 80; Rep. in 1882.
Scioto, 727 Rep. In 80; Al Rep. In 1882.
Washington, 30 Rep. in 80; 1877 Dem.
in 80.
DULY the count on next Tuesday night
can give the true measure OF the forces that
have operated Ia this campaign and that
count, no doubt, will abound In surprises |