The Salt Lake herald. [volume] (Salt Lake City [Utah]) 1870-1909, 1883-11-08
THE ELECTION-NEXT YEAR.

degree of certainty as to the outcome
Of the more important contest next
year. In the battleH day before yes
terday, neither of the great parties
has done much Of which to feel
proud. Whatever of triumph has
been scored is on the side OF the
Democrats. Massachusetts, is mats
urally Republican, and that party
has simply regained possession of
its own. Its grip is not so firm as
it was before the shrewd old Butler
worked it lose last year, though the
hold is fast enough to last over the
Presidential election. The Demo-
Gratis have gained satisfactorily In
New Jersey. They were showed
under in Pennsylvania, as they
might have expected. The last
named State is Republican to the
core. Now and then, as was the
case last year, the people rise against
corruption and turn the Republican
rascals cut, but they promptly and
regularly return to their vomit. In
New York the Democrats have held
their own in the face of an opposi-
tiou that was well>organized, des-
perate and determined. People
who are claiming Democratic de-
feat in New York, base their asSer-
tions upon last years election,
which was simply phenomenal, and
ought not to be taken into account
in making comparisons or prepar-
ing estimates. In 1892, the Repub-
licans being disguised not only by
their gubernatorial candidate, but
also by the fraudulent manner in
which he was nominated rebuked
him by staying away from tie polls.
The Democrats voted as usual, and
rolled up a majority which startled
people who did not take the trouble
to analyze the returns and note the
smallness of the Republican vote.
If Tuesdays election in New York
means anything it is that the Demo-
Gratis accomplished all they could
have hoped to do. In Virginia the
only real victory was won, where the
Democrats wrested their State from
the hands of the renegade demo-
gogue Malone. This is an event
that should call forth hearty con-
gratalations from honest men of
whatever party.
After all, the elections were in
significant. except rs indicating
with some degree of defniteness
what will be the result in 1884, when
the life or death struggle is to take
place. It is now clear enough that
the Democratic nominee for Presi-
dent next year will have the sup
port Of the solid south with its 153
electoral votes. 1t is equally trans
parent that the Republican candi-
date will have at his back the entire
north, with the exception of FIVE
States. These latter are California,
Indiana, New Jersey, New York
and Ohio, having an aggregate
electoral vote of 81. These
doubtful" States are all Democratic !
to-day; that is to say, they were |
carried at their last elections by that |
party, but their msjorities were |
such as to leave them in doubt next |
year. The table then stands-Re-l
pGbncans, II northern States, 1871 |
electoral votes; Democrats, 16 south.
ern States, 153 electoral votes; doubt
full, 5 northern States, 81 electoral
votes. The Democrats require 4s |
votes to elect, and there are 81 from |
which to get them. If they can get
New York and Ohio or Indiana
they viii be safe; or they can lose
New York and still elect their man
while the case is exactly the same
with the Republicans. But the
outlook to-day is that the Demo
Gratis Will carry all of the doubtful
States. They are the ''ins" in all of |
them, the machinery of government
is in their hands, the patronage is
with them, and nothing but the
most outrageous laundering can
make them lose what is within their |
sassy grasp. There is one thing
that will assure them the victory,
and that is the nomination of |
the old ticket. Tilden and Hends
rieks will at once remove New
York and Indiana from the doubtful |
column, each of those able STATES
men carrying his own State. and |
the combined vote thus ensured |