New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1882-10-02


County is very strong. as was shown in the renomi-
nation by the regular convention of Congressman
Bayne, Notwithstanding the determined opposition
of the Cameron forces, backed by all the Federal and
State patronage.
In Huntington County the vote for stewart was
placed at 1900 Last year Wolfe polled 400 votes
in this county. But the Independent feeling Is so
strong this year that when the County Committee
came to be elected the Stewart men controlled it
and made stanch Independent Republican chair
man of it, and now control the party machinery.
There are 1000 Republican votes in the county,
and notwithstanding the fact that the In depen-
dents control the machinery to be the safe side
only 1,500 votes were allowed TO Stewart. The
Independent State Committee claims 9, 900 votes
and the Cameron leaders cOncede considerable in
crease the Wolfe vote. The Journal,
the leading Republican paper in the county,
has within two weeks taken down the
Beaver ticket and placed the Stewart ticket ct the
head OF its columns. Last year, when Mr.. Wolfe
spoke IN the county he could get no Republican to
preside at his meeting, which indicates the growth
OF the Independent movement In Crawford County
Wolfe pOlled $50 votes. Stewart was allowed
1000 this year. which is a little over One-fourth
the Republican vote in the county. ;. Is. Dick, n
resident OF the county, who was candidate Tor
Congressman Large at the Harrisburg COnyen-
ton and who is known rs Cameron Republican,
admits that the Independent Republicans are likely
to poll large vote in the county, probably 1000
votes.
This will give a fair idea OF how the estimate of
$1,000 votes for Stewart was made up. No un-
bassed person, acquainted with the facts, Will deny
that II Is a fair estimate and below rather than
above the probable vote, Wolfe was the only
speaker last year. This year there are host OF
prominent Republicans doing yeOman service for
the independent ticket. In Berks County last year
Wolfe had only 13O votes. At the Stewart meeting
in Reading the other night there were almost that
number of business men who acted as officers OF Lhe
meeting In suSsgqehanna County Wolfe poIled
l27 votes. This year 200 voters In
MOntrose the county seat, have signed paper
declaring for the Independent ticket. In Columbia
Lancaster County, Wolfe pOlled lGS votes. lhls
year 375 voters have joined Stewart Club. The
regular committee in Mercer County refused 70 In
dOrse the Beaver ticket III the Butler County COM
mittee a motion TO lndOrse Beaver was defeated by
majority and II the Nenango County COMMITTEES
such a mOdOn was laid on the table, While the
Union and Huntington County committees lndorsed
the stewart ticket.
These are facts which GO far to give strong prob
ability 10 the claim Of 10000 votes for the indie
pendent ticket Chairman Cooper thinks there will
Draw G large the l'0f Democrats Ss "aSp and thus thus
AID Beaver In this he is more than likely to be
deceived The large labor vote pOled in 1878
came mostly from the mining districts and FOL
lowed the large strikes In the coal mines This
year the vote will be pocd principally in the iron
districts, and will follow the big strike there. The
cOdI-mners are nearly all Democrats, wnle the IRON
workers principally Republicans. lhe LABOR
candidate for Governor Is also Republican. Hence
the labor vote of this year IS more likely TO draw
from the Republican than the Democratic party.
IT is es estimaCed that there Will b. 100000 votes
poled IN the State this year. The natural Republ-
majority Is about 30 OOO votes. a tair estimate
places the labor vote at 10000. one-half of which
will come from tie Republican party and the pro-
hibitiOn vote at 1000 all drawn from the Republ-
cans. This will leave 100000 votes to be DIVIDED
between stewart aud Beaver If One-half the labor
vote is taken from me $4,000 Democratic votes, lt
leaves BIS 600 for IL mag be presumed that
5000 OF these will be induced by pecunIary con-
si,lerafious to vote for Beaver, which Will leave
10000 Pattison votes Allowing Beaver the
5000 Democratic votes Stewart would need only
80 900 Republican votes To defeat him. Tie Is
pretty sure of 900 and It is not improbable that
he viii get 10 900. Allowing for a wide dIyerg-
ence from these figures whicn meet the views oi
experienced poltIcIansl in favor of Beaver, ant
still his election will be- out of ne question.