Savannah morning news. [volume] (Savannah) 1868-1887, 1882-10-30
FoIger,s chances In Sew YORK.

If the press of New YoTk-and in
deed of the North-affOrd any reliable
indication of the result of the election
to come off in that State tomorrow
week. it would seem that Folger's guber.
material chances are at a minimum, and
the success of Cleveland and the De-
mocracy is certain. Although matters
look so bright for the Democratic party
in the Empire State of the North, how
ever, aud although Mr.. Cleveland and
the ticket of which he is the head is
undoubtedly very popular, still there are
many circumstances existing which, to
say the least, tend to make the result I'M
certain.
1t is admitted that Mr.. Arthur's politi-
cal future is staked upon this con-
test. He has made it a personal fight.
He himself worked the machine TO
secure FOlger's nomination, and that
gentleman is looked upon as nothing
more nor less than the candidate of the
administration. Besides this, it is evident
that if Mr.. Arthur expects to maintain
his position as the leader of the stalwart
wing of his party, with the view to
being brought out in 1894 as his own
successor, his State must go for the
Republican ticket. His great opponent
Blaine-has already succeeded in carry
ing Maine for his party, and therefore
enjoys the prestige of being indOrsed by
his State. Should Mr.. Arthur fail TO
secure the Endorsement of New York he
will, it is plain, be placed at a serious,
if not fatal, disadvantage, and Mr.. Blaine
will have scored a decided victory over
his rival aspirant for the Republican
Presidential nomination.
1t is absolutely certain therefore that
Mr.. Arthur will bring the whole power
and patronage of the administration to
bear to carry New York for Folger and
the Republican party, and, as is we'll
known, the influence of the Federal ex-
ecutive. with his army of Of1cehold-
ers at command, is very great and far
reaching. This had been proven in
Virginia, and it is fact which cannot
be overlooked. The only point to be de-
cided is, sis the administration stronger
and more powerful than the peoplef"
Ordinarily it is not, and if it ever be-
comes so then farewell to our republican
system. The era of Capitalization and q
strong government will be already at
hand, and the Republic, in everything
but name, will be thing of the past.
But in New York it is impossible to
foretell what may happen. The result
rests wholly upon the unity and harmony
of the Democratic party. If the various
factions of the Democracy in that State,
and specially in New York city, have
really and in good faith buried
the hatchet and will work to-
gether for the success of Cleveland,
his election is assured. But will they do
itP John Kelly and his Tammany braves
have sold out to Arthur twice already
once, when Kelly openly bolted the
Democratic ticket and ran for Governor
to compass the triumph of Cornell and
the custom house ring, and again in 80,
when, though protesting to support
Hancock, he secretly worked against
him, and gave the State to Garfield. He
has long been recognized as being COM
pletely subject to Arthur. and what he
has done twice, he may do again.
A great deal, then, depends upon KEEL
US course. If he and his followers re-
main true to their professions, and give
the Democratic State ticket cordial and
earnest support, its SUCCESS is beyond
question. If he docs rot, and acts to-
wards Cleveland as he did towards Han
cock, then the result will be doubtful.
Cleveland's personal popularity and the
shameful fraud attending Folgers nomi-
nation may prove too strong for even
Kelly to resist, but Tammany's detection
at the last moment would certainly have
the effect of jeopardiziug the cause of
the Democratic party in the State, and
might bring about its defeat now as it
did in 1879 and 1880.