New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1882-10-18
THE NEXT CONGRESS.

THE NEXT CONGRESS-.
MR. HUBBELL'S HOPEFUL VIEWS.
A REPUBLICAN, MAJORITY POSSIBLE AND PROBABLE
NOTHING NEEDED But CONFIDENCE IN Sue
CEss-THE FIGURES BY WHICH HE MAINTAINS
HIS POSITION.
LBY TELEGRAPH TO THE rRIBUSE.l
WAsHINGToN, Oct. 1.-THE Democrats in Wash
ington during the last week have had everything
pretty much their own way, and few Republicans
have appeared to possess the courage to dispute the
claim Of Democratic majority in the House OF
Representatives. When Chairman Hubbell arrived
here two or three days ago he had somewhat Of the
same feeling; but after very careful and thor
ough examination and survey OF the field in the
light OF the information at the headquarters of the
Congressional Committee, he now declares most
emphaticlliy that the Republican prospects of
majority III the next House are at least
90 per cent better than they were in regard to the
present House on this day two years ago. He to-
day showed to a TRIBUNE correspondent tables
which he has prepared showing the number of dis
tricts which he declares the Republicans will GER
tainly carry in each state, and the number Of
doubtful districts in each state, with his
estimate of the probable number of doubt
full Districts that the Republicans will
carry. In this estimate he carries to the
Republican column only the very hopeful doubt
full districts. According to Mr.. Hubbelps tables
there are 1874 sure Republican districts 113 sure
Democratic districts and seventy-eoht doubtful
districts. Of the districts classed as doubtful he
feels certain that the Republicans will carry at least
forty In the course of conversation with
Chairman Hubbel to-day, the correspondents
asked:
What the prospect relative to the field in gen
eral p
After a careful examination of the whole po-
ltical field. find that far elections have
been held, the Democracy have made a
gain of five That whole gain was in the
state of Ohio, where in my Judgment the
Republican party IN an attempt to esp5use the
of temperance failed go far enough in their
declaration Of principles to secure the Prohibition
vote, while any step II the direction
of temperance to lose them
the German vote. The whole defeat
in Ohio can be attributed to just that alone
and nothing more. There We're divided councils On
the subject; not enough positive assurances on the
temperance question to satisfy temperance nsn that
We were IN earnest, ana enough to drive from us
every anti-tempertnce interest,"
How about the situation IN New-HorkY
snow IN New Ork, while do not care TO express
any opinion on the GuOernatOral contest, for / am
not well enough advised to give any, | have 10
doubt that we shall be able TO return from that
State twenty-Oue Republicans out of the entire
delegation. We have at present twenty think
number l claim. In Pennsylvania the con-
test in the party does not go into
tne CONGRESSIONAL districts. indeed oolh wings OF
the Republican party II may so term them, are
anxious To retuln Republican members OF Congress,
and DO, will have in the main the same candidates
on thsir tickets so that In pennsylvania we shall
elect eighteen Republicans"
II see the Democrats claiming two Congress
men IN Connecticut
There is no reason for any such claim in Con-
nectIcut at all In fact tine contest Is as hopeful as
1t can be- In general terms there are seventy-eight
doubtful districts N che whole country. vi the
very hopeful doubtful ones claim tOfty-slX, when
would make the Republican numbers IL the next
House Isl"
In the remaining New-England States l sup
pose the prospects are about as hopeful as oyerr
" There Is 40 question about tine New-Engldnd
States They viii hold their own. HE question
of the revision of the artt and all the great ques
tiOns which cluster about Republican success make
it absolutely certain that we shall hold on TO our
own
Now, going back 10 the West, what effect viii
the OHIO defeat have Oh Indiana r.
Z. The Ono defeat IS going TO strengthen the Re
publican party in Indiana beyond 4 question. Ac-
cOrding to adyices which reach me daily from
that state the Republicans of Indiana are not
az all discouraged, and IN order TO secure
the next House by far working majority IL Is
only Necessary for the Republicans 70 stand nrmly
together the great questions which divide the
two partles-the tariff, internal revenue taxation
and RIndTed questions"
&" Is the temperance question in Iowa going TO
make any trouble in the Congressional districts r
IL Is making little trouble. There are three
doubtful districts: HendersOn's tarwelPs and Nc
Gods but am not alarmed ABOUT them ana eA-
pect to carry every one OF them"
B" Give NE "a general idea about what the pros
poets are IN the South T. ,
We ought TO make large gains in the Southern
States Louisiana Is In a mudule, and no man can
tell just what the result will be. There are three
candidates IN kellOggs district Either heIlog OF
Beatte will be elected, and thlnk 4lcMIIlan
the With District viii be also. MY
idea is that, if the Republican party want
reforms they mad better try TO effect them wlthIh
the party than to try 70 get them through the Dem
ocratlc party In other words, the paramo unit duIy
of the hour Is to secure the next House, and 1t Won't
do 10 give il up because the chances are so great
that there is no possible III cOncedlng 1t TO the
Democracy With only a little united acton ana
a little common sense brought TO Dear, when OA
course will sweep away the IOOshness winch Is sur
rounding this campaign, II Is easier TO succeed To-
daY than 1t was TWO years ago. -
The question OF the revision OF the tarl1-also as
to whether 1t is to be submitted TO a Democratic |
House or & Republican HOuse-Ought 10 settle IL pc
yond all doubt The fight IS 80 hOpetu, the gIeaD
manufacturing interests OF the country are SO deeply
involved, that, throwing aside all questions as W
whether the committees organized are proper com
mittees or whether the method OF raising funds Is
a proper method; IL seems to me tnat the sensible
people of the country ought to look 81 TINS Inl-s
alone and come to the determination that the Sc |
curing of the next House to the Republican party |
is their paramount duty l claim, If the next House
Of Representatives not hepupiicah, |
IL will be because the Republican, |
party do not want 1t to be kepuDiIcan'"
THE ARMY AND NAVY.
WAsu1NcToN Oct 1.-THE extension or |