New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1882-10-06
OHIO CONGRESSMAN.
o,rrr oou IN THE VARIOUS DISTRICTS.


CoruNnus. Ohio. Oct 1,-Poltlcians were
never further at sea in regard to the OUTCOME
of a campaign in which they we're engaged
tban are those of Ohio at this moment. Some OF
the Democratic managers here at the state capHh
ara to he sure asserting that they have sure
thing by sweeping majorlties, for nearly everything
that is pending. but these statements are oe'eVeu
TO 10 in accordance simply with Mr.. Ihompsohs
motto to clam everything and concede nothing"
and they convey no meaning to those who are ac-
Guainted with the Democratic ticket There Is
but one day IN the year." said Republican, in
which our friends do not make these great
claims; that is the day after election. On the
second day they begin to put in their claims for the
next year." There is that in the condition OF
affairs which gives encouragement to both the
great parties and politicians and others who have
anything to gain OF lose by the result are working
like beavers to tip the scales to their own side.
Notwithstanding the generally nebulous appear
ance of the political skies, there are few clrcum"
stances which may form narrow basis OF calcula-
tion and few influences at work the direction, IL
not the extent. OF which may be estimated, each
serving to restrict the wide margin of uncertainty
close student of the course of events, one VINO IS
in possession of the most exact information attain
able, said u day two ago that he felt warranted
IN the belief that the Republicans would elect their
70
Democrats would increase their Congressional rep
resentation by two three members, In which
event both parties would claim the victory. The
reasons upon which this opinion was based may be
given and the reader can judge for himself OF their
soundness 1t is reasonable belief that the Ger
man secession from the Republican party reached Its
maximum at the time of the spring municipal cleo
TONS following. as they did, closely upon the ac-
ton of the State Legislature on the liquor ques-
ton and that the worst the Republicans have to
fear as result of that action is repetition OF the
vote then cast. That movement was the manifes-
tation of spasm of fear or anger, and the months
which have elapsed cannot have failed to convince
the more thoughtful of the seceders that the course
they adopted UNDER the leadership of the brew
ers and distilers, the one best calculated to
create an antiGerman, anti-liquor party, which
would sink all other issues, temporarily, In the
demand for prohibition. 1t is a slanderous assump-
zion of the Democracy that the Germans az class,
so universally regarded a steady going reflective
and industrious race, given over to their cups,
as the one thing worth struggling and voting for and
are willing permanently to abandon everything
else for the sake of maintaining a questionable
privilege unrestricted and without surveillance
even to the constitutional extent of providing
against the evils thereof" The belief of the Dem
ocratic leaders that the German vote is their own,
ference in the making and selling of intoxicants Is
therefore unreasonable, and it is probable that
election day will witness considerable sprinkling
Of Germans voting, usual, the Republican ticket,
while larger number perhaps will abstain from
voting. Granting, however, that fifteen thousand
Republicans, influenced by the liquor question
alone will next month vote for the Democratic
nominees for the State Offices and this is liberal
estimate, it will barely neutraze the usual Repub-
lican majority, leaving the issue still doubtful
one On the other hand, the Republicans have GER
tany made some gains from the prohibition party,
while it is almost as certain that the Democrats will
lose considerably through the disaflecton of the
temperance of that party. These influences, If
the vote is even up to the small average in " off
years." should still leave the balances of the advan-
tages with the Republicans.
In respect to the Congressional battle ground, the
following statement in detail dlscloses the condi
ton of affairs and the prospects they appear to
wel-lnformed and impartial Observers
Five districts, namely, the IVtn, Vtb Xth. XlIIth
and XVIth, conceded to the Democrats by the
Republican leaders and politicians The Dem
ocratic candidates in the first four named the
present Congressman lie Eevre, Seney, Hurd, and
Converse The districts not geographically the
same as those they now represent, but Democratic
maiorities In the counties which have been added
arc sufficient in each to offset those in the
counties detached. The XVIth District is COM
posed of five counties. four OF which customarly |
give large Democratic majorilies. while the Repub-
lican majority in the fifth is very small There is
bare possibility that Hurd may be defeated in the !
Xth District, but if this result, so much to be de-
sired, is realized, it will be a most agreeable sur
prise 10 Republicans in other parts of the State.
Seven districts are believed 10 be safely Repub- |
lican az follows: The lid. in which Congressman |
Emanuel S9nH rs of
give about eighteen hundred Republican majority, |
and one county which has an average Democratic
majority of about eight hundred. The Republi-
cans are well organized and all advices favor
able to their cause. The With NNlllth, and
XlXth. are Keifer's, McKinley's and Tay lor's re-
spectiyely and have never been doubtful The
XIth comprises four counties which together are
thought to be good for three thousand Republican
majority, and two counties which are expected to
give u Democratic majority of about four hundred.
J. w Mccormack is the Republican nominee. The
Xllth DIstrict under ordinary circumstances would
be expected 10 give Republican majority OF about
one thousand. Mr. Alphonso Hart, the Republican
nominee, is a lawyer OF TALENT, an experienced or
ganizer, and popular man. lie has little fight in
one of his Republican counties growing out of
personal matters, but it is believed that IL will
not endsnger his election. In the XVIlth District
secure nomination. and it has lett a condition of
affairs which will somewhat reduce the usual Re
publican majority of about three Thousand, but the
district Is still believed to be safely Republican.
There five districts which should he cassed as
doubtful, with strong Republican tendencies The
IXth, now represented by General Robinson, com
prlses four counties which together have recently
averaged about fourteen hundred Democratic ma
jority, and two counties which have given some
smaller Republican majority. General Rob
inson carried the district two years ago by about
nine hundred majority The Democrats have nom,
mated r. +. Powell, rather popular lawyer, and
are making an active fight.
The XlVth is ordinarily good for twenty-five
hundred Republican majority. but owing to some
rersonal entangements IN which candidate IlOrr
has become involved, this majority will be consider:
ably cut down. 1t looked short time ago as If
the district would be lost to the Republicans, but
fNrfon GhnU anh.l m ~ la
The XVIII District is composed of the same coun-
ties which formed it two years ego, and the same
men again the competitors Tor Congress.
Dawes the Republican, was then successful against
General Warner Of Silver bill y fame. by betMeen