The daily gazette., 1881-10-12
NEW YORK POLITICS.
From the N. Y. Sun, Oct. II.
Three Weeks from To,nax

From the N. Y. Sun, Oct. II.
Three Weeks from To.Dayi
SYRACUSE, Oct. 10.-One of the
brightest, if not the oldest, of the
Democratic managers of the State
spent Sunday ill town, on his way to
the Albany Convention. l found him
exultant over the prospects of his
party. TO question as to the result
OF the November elections. he replied,
in substance, referring once or twice
to some figures on paper, substan-
italy as follows:
"Without exact knowledge who ls
to be nominated at ALBANY, predict
that the average majority for our
Stale ticket will be 10000. Our nomi-
nee for Treasurer will have nearer co.
900, while our candidate for Secretary
of State, whoever he may be, may get
less than 10000. You see, | expect
the fight to be more or less personal :
that is, on the Republican side. Gen.
Carr will be considerably ahead of his
ticket. He is good fellow, a gen :
tleman, and soldier, standing very
we'll in veteran circles. He Is not fac
ZIONIST enough to be offensive to either
wing Of his party. Hustled will be un-
mercifully cut by the Stalwarts all
over the State. So will Davenport to
a less extent. The Bath Senator will
have an especially hard row to hoe up
in Erie and nelghboring counties,
where the Warren machine rules
They are all very bitter against DAY.
enport-partly because he is Sherman
5. Rogers brother-in-law. He was
frightened from taking a Senatorial
nomination again by their threats. -
That is true, too, of Hustled, who until
very lately had been figuring to sue
coed Robertson as Senator from the
Westchester District. 1t was only at
the last moment that he concluded not
to risk it,"
"But why should Hustled and DAY.
export, if they were afraid of the Stall.
wart cut in single Senatorial dis
trict, want nominations on q ticket
which can be cut all over the whole
State s''
Sat the time the ticket was put up,
the corridors of the Fifth Avenue Ho-
tel were surcharged with the impres>
sion that President Arthur would take
a personal interest in the success of
the ticket that he would feel the me-
cessity of having his own States en-
dorsement two months after his acces.
sion, and would keep his Stalwart
friends In line to secure such an en-
dorsement. The Half Breeds crowded
on the ticket with the Idea that Arthur
was bound to pull them through. But
they hadn't got their headaches worked
off the next day before they discovered
their mistake, and by the end of next
week they will all be desperate. The
is going TO deliberately
and calmly sacrifice the ticket in this
State"
But won't Republican defeat in
his own State hurt Arthur ~
"Hurt him, how2 He has got three
years and half of administration sure.
lie naturally wants to spend that long
time among friends instead of enemies.
He will have his friends in as soon as 1t
can be decorously arranged. Well, he
eau furnish all these friends with we'd
ding garments, so to speak, before they
come ID, by simply letting the country
see that they are really the ablest ele-
ment in the Republican party. In effect
he can say when l was Committee
Tom Platt was lieutenant,
and Conkling and Grant made speeches.
We carried Democratic New York by
10000. This year l was unable, be-
cause OF my position, to do any work,
and my three friends were drummed to
the rear. 1t appears that the gentle
men who took charge lost Republican
New York by 10000 or $4,000, and it
would be we'll II my friends were
brought up from the rear again. That
sums up, in few words, what take to |
be the philosophy of the thing. A
Ealf-breed defeat would fur
nish Arthur just what he most wants
a good public reason for making the
Administration all Stalwart. And it's |
going to be lhorough,golng defeat.
The Slalwarts are bound that the Legis.
latnre shall be lost, too. Why, In
own Oneida district the
Stalwarts run boiling candidate for
the Assembly SO as to elect Demo-
crat.n
"Wbat about Kelly Pr
"Nothing about Kelly. We shall hear
or care no more about him a fortnight
hence than the Republicans did last
year about the Prohibition ticket. He
hasn't many votes to deliver this time,
and If be hal, there's no market for
them. Who Is be TO trade WITH Not
the Slalwarts, for they have nothing to
buy. No more the Half-breeds, for they
have nothing to trade with. don't
doubt bis disposition to make trouble,
but he hasn't the power. There will be
q very light vote this fall-probably not
over $4,000. Our total vote In this
5 ate fuctuates Immensely. In 1876
there were 1,0l5,000 voters out, the In.
.erest In Tilden being then very great.
Next year 1t sank to $4,000, both sides