Daily globe. [volume] (St. Paul, Minn.) 1878-1884, 1880-05-10
ESTIMATES.
4 Batch of SpecmlattOns as to Presidential
Prospects on Both Sides of the House.
New York Special, May 8


Prospects on Both Sides of the House.
New York Special, May
The Tribune makes the following estimates
of the chances in the Chicago convention: Six
hundred of the 756 delegates who will compose
the Chicago convention have been elected.
They come from twenty eight States and six
Territories. Ten States and three Territories
are still to elect. OF these 600 delegates the
Tribune, after most careful examination of
the conflicting claims of the partisans of the
various candidates, assigns 241 to Senator
Blaine, 224 to Gen. Grant, 81 to Secretary
Sherman, 81 to Senator Edmunds and Ii to the
Hon. E. B. Washburne. This gives no candi-
date majority of the convention, $40 votes.
Mr.. Blame lacks 1873 votes, Gen. Grant 1885,
Secretary Sherman 2SS and Mr.: Edmunds $685.
In making this estimate the Tribune assigns to
Mr.. Blaine only fourteen of the New York dele
gates and twenty-five of the Pennsylvania del
egates, although the Blaine club at Washing
ton claims twenty-five of the former and TWEEN
ty-eight of the latter. The estimate is made
on the superstition that the Chicago convention
will decide that the uuit rule cannot be en-
forced, IN accordance with unvarying
precedent. The States which are still to
| elect delegates are Nevada, Florida, MIchi-
gan, West Virginia, Illinois, Nebraska, Min
| nesota Alabama, Louisiana, and Colorado.
| They will elect l46 delegates. There are four
| to be elected in Massachusetts, and six from the
| territories. OF these States, Michigan, Colo
| rado West Virginia. Nebraska, Nevada and
Minnesota are counted as certain for Blaine,
giving him 80 more votes carrying his total
up to PSI. Grant hopes for the solid delega-
| tions of Florida and Alabama, % votes, but ne
| is sure of only portion of Louisiana's 16
votes, and portion only of Illinois AZ. There
| is the best reason, also for thinking that Ala
bama and Florida will both be divided. Never
theless, giving all the votes of these four
| States-Alabama 20, Florida s, Louisiana 16,
and Illinois 42-he will get only Sc. votes,
bringing his total up to $40, or SO less than a
majority. Instead of these going solid for
| Grant, however, it is now quite likely that
Blaine will get enough of them to bring his
vote up to above 800, with corresponding re-
duction on Grants vote below 300.
| Chas. NordhOff telegraphs to the Herald from
Washington: 1t is freely said here by men
| who think themselves well inform that at least
80 of the Pennsylvania delegation and 25 OF
the New York delegation will be found at Chi
| cogo unalterably opposed to the third term, and
| that the number is likely to be even larger.
This is almost equivalent to eliminating the
| whole Pennsylvania vote from the ex-Presl-
dents list. The condition of the Illinois dele
| cation is Just now subject of great anxiety to
| the friends of all the candidates. Nothing is
| certainly known here of it, aud the era of po-
litical lying has set in so furiously that no re
ports about 1t, printed or otherwise are trust.
worthy. But it is generally admitted that the
result of the Cook county convention, which
includes Chicago, and which is to be held or
Monday will decide whether the Illinois delega
ton will be for or against the third term. The
extreme bitterness with which the third-term
ers have suddenly begun to attack Mr.. Wash
burne, and bully everybody else in Chicago
shows that they are nervous out there abou1
| the result.
Among the New Workers to-day the bearing
of the opposition to third term in their State
upon the elecston was discussed, Fand to the
question whether it was dangerous for the party
to cross Senator Conkling's wishes the genera
| reply was that Mr.. Conkling would be power
less to hurt the party this fall. Besides The
Presidential election, there is involved the
election of a Legislature, which is to choose s
United States Senator, and the gentlemen look
ing for this place and their friends would take
care that the State should not be lost to the
| Republicans, whoever the Presidential candi
date might be. The machine has got to work
true, whoever is nominated at Chicago, because
| the machine candidate for the Senate does moi
| mean to be sacrificed. Curiously enough, the
same thing is true in Pennsylvania, where 6
United States Senator in place of Senator Wal
| lace is to be chosen next winter, a fact likely
| to give trouble to Mr.. Cameron.