New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1880-05-08
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THE CHICAGO TALLY.

Tbree-fourths of the States have now chosen
their delegations to the Chicago Convention,
comprising four-ffths of the whole number of
delegates 1t is possible therefore to gain fair
idea of the relative standing which the various
candidates have now obtained and are likely
to maintain, without important change, up to
the time of the Convention, provided all OF them
remain in the field This is made the more fea-
sible because the preferences Of the Republican
party in the ten States which still to elect del
egates are pretty well understood, except Ill the
case of Illinois and two or three of the Southern
States. On another page will be found care
full article summing up the results of the State
Conventions which have been held, so far, and
only so fawas those results are definitely UNI
derstOod. The full list of delegates from each
State is also given, and the article will be useful
to all who desire to follow the proceedings of
the Chicago Convention three weeks hence
with intelligent interest. THE TRIBUNE, In
order TO give all sides fair hearing, presents
with its own estimate of the vote of the 600
delegates thus far elected the various estimates
made by recognized friends Of General Grant,
Mr. Blaine and Mr.. Sherman.
q THE TRIBUNE's estimate, made with the
sole aim of accuracy, gives 24l Of
these 600 votes to Mr.. Blaine, 224
to General Grant, and less than 100 to Sccre-
tary Sherman In making this division, only
moderate share of the Ncw-York and Pennsyl-
vania delegations has been assigned to Mr..
Blaine, and the figures of his vote VIII be con-
siderably increased if the predictions of bis
friends concerning the strength OF the revolt III
those delegations are fulfilled. Our estimates
are believed to be as accurate and fair to all as
it is now possible to make them. 1t is easy to
find points on which authentic information
might warrant some changes. Thus, with
Kentucky delegate presiding at the Anti-Thnd
Term Convention in st. Louis, it is certain that
Kentucky is not now solid for Grant, as set
down in TIE TRIBUNE table. In the main,
however we think it n moderate and impartial
statement of the general results thus far at
famed. But it should be remembered that
these observations are taken on rising Blaine
tide. SO that their tendency is to undcrstate
his strength, and perhaps also to understato
that of Mr.. Sherman.
While speculalions upon the probable
SUCCESS of any candidate at this stage
of tho canvass, based upon these fig
ures, would DO useless, one result Hsecms
already assured-the defeat Of the movement
for q third term. General Grant is now more
than $50 votes away from a majority, and con-
cedng TO him all the delegates yet to be chosen
whom ho can possibly obtain, he will still bo
s,xty-nine votes away from n majority. Any
other candidate in the same position might look
confidently forward to nomination. But his
postion Is peculiar. lie has been The one issue
of the canvass. The delegates who have not
| loov ,loctod for him have hpou elected against
him. and it seems idle for his friends to expect
his strength to be fed by hostile votes. 1t does
not seem possible that General Graut should be
nominated at nll unless he is nominated on the
first ballot, and the figures presented to-day
seem to show that he cannot be nominated Oh
the first ballot.