New-York tribune., 1880-06-23
and New-York for admission to the aOor, but with
out the right to take part in the temporary organi
REVIEW OF THE FIELD.

AT THE sTART-A BARREL ON TAP AT BAfARDs
HEAnoUARTERs-A DRMAND FOR THE TICKET
OF 1S76-THE DARK HORSES INSPECTED.
IBY TELEGRAPH TO THE TRIBUNE
CINCINNATI. June 22.-The chaotic elements OF
the National Democratic Convention began to show
signs of crystallization tonight. Slowly the pro-
cess of political chemistry has gone on, until the
outlines of form are dimly visible, but 1T has not
yet advanced so far that there is not still more than
possibility Of its being arrested and the wnoie
mass again converted into state of formlcss con-
fusion.
To drop metaphor and come down to plain Ian
guage two of the leading candidates have since
last night made material gains; but, while both OF
them will enter the Convention with large follow
ings, neither will have votes enough to nominate
him the first ballot at the start Is there visi
BILE reversionary interest belonging to either in
enough votes to make him the candidate at any other
time. Both will enter the race hoping that the old
political motto that the wavering votes 90 to the
strong" will prove true in his favor.
Taking up the candidates in the order of their ap-
parent strength tonight Senator Bayard heads the
list The Delaware Senator is the only one of all
the candidates who has gained from the very out
set. Before the Democratic clans began to gather
in Cincinnati, the Bayard movement was little more
than sentiment. There were committed to him
great many very prominent men, including perhaps
majority of Mr.. Bayard's Southern colleagues in
the Senate but these men are, as general thlng
influential in their own States and in the councils
of the Nation rather for their general ability than
on account of their personal familiarity with the
methods by which bOoms" for canL dates are set
in motion.
NRw AND POTENT INFLUENCE.
But when people began to gather in this city pre-
paratory to the opening of the Convention. it was
ok.1o. ysK,fi,R of fr-nr
Senator Bayards behalf and very potent one, too.
Il was nothing less than barrel" brought here
by August Belmont, OF New-York The Senator'S
friends say that he objected to the OF tue Gus
tOmary means of carrying on canvass; indeed
that lie stood up straight on this question that ne
leaned over backward. II is probable that he never
gave his consent TO the opening OF headquarters
here but his supporters, who know how little SEN
timcnt has to do with the choice of Democratic
candidates for the Presidency. and who have great
contempt for it. have entered the race to win VIC
tory by the same that tho managers for other
candidates employ; and tue fruits of their labors
are everywhere visible.
Mr. Bayard can have almost the solid vote Of the
Southern delegates if the men from that section
can be convinced that lie will be strong candidate
in the North. TO clear up this point his representa-
tiycs havo yesterday and to-day been sending to
the Southern delegates prominent Northern men.
assuring them that Senator Bayard IL particularly
strong in the three doubtful States of New-YOrk,
New-Jersny and Connecticut; and they have GER
tany made decided impression. There will be
Hancock and Hendricks and Payne and Field votes
in the Southern delegations; but all these can
be easily transferred to Bayard if he needs them
and if he can secure sufficient support In the North
to nominate him.
In the North too. no has made some gains. The
Al VII
delegation to-day will not, of course. be available
since the unit rule gives the full vote Of the Empire
State to Payne; but Pennsylvania has unit rule,
and Bayard not only has votes in that delegation
which will probably be cast for him the first bal
ot but he is also the secoud choice of Randall and
Hancock men from that State. Senator Wallace Is
reported TO have personal preference Tor Bayard
over Hancock. but it is said he supports the latter
because he believes him to be the stronger candi-
date Senator Bayard is the only candidate whose
name will be presented to the Convention who
could in any event receive the solid voteOf Pennsyl-
vania The movement that was on foot last night
to transfer the Randall vote in Pennsylvania to
Bayard, and which at one time seemed likely to be
successful, was finally abandoned; although the
Randall and Bayard men are exceedingly friendly
with each other, and will probably act in concert.
In New-England Bayard has many friends they
are counted in Maine, Eew-Hampshirc, Vermont
latter IIancock's withdrawaD, Massachusetts,, and
in scattering numbers all through the North.
WEAK POINTS OF THE BAYARD MOVEMENT.
The weakness Of the Bayard movement lies in
the fact that he Is from Southern State. and that
he is being pressed upon the Convention rs South
ern candidate. An influential Northwestern Demo-
crat SAID to-day that Mr.. Bayard's nomination
would make General Garfeld's election certain.
There will never be elected to the Presidency of
the United States during the present generation"
ho declared. any man who lived in Slave State
during the war, and who was not pronounced and
aggressive Union man. don't care what his quail
fcations may be, that one thing will be fatal to
him. This feeling is very widespread among dele
gates, and Will deter many from voting for Mr..
Bayard who would prefer to see him made Pres-
dent of the United States rather than any else
who has been named.
Tic fact that Bayard is being put forward by a
nearly solid South is also damaging to his prospects,
II would be thrown in the teeth of the Northern
Democracy from ono end of the country to the
other, aud from the beginning of the campaign
until its close. Bayard would have had q much |
better chance Of success If his supporters had re-
manned IN the background, quietly secured pledges
for Bayard at some stage of the contest after the
lines had begun to be drawn. aud finally brought |
HIM forward as compromise candidate apparently |
suggested by some Northern delegation.
But despite all the disadvantages and discourage
ments under which the Bayard mon labor, he re- |
mains probably the strongest candidate at the starts
and 1t would not be at all strange if he should make
such demonstration In the Convention as to remain
before it for some time OF the two leading |
candidates and in a Convention like this in which |
there are 10 master controlling spirits with the ever
present danger that it will become an uncontrola-
BILE mob there will be continual possibility of his
nomination. II the Convention keeps it's head and |
GOES through it's work with a reasonable degrae of
order the objections mentioned will in the end be
fatal to Bayard's candidacy.
MIR. PAYNEs PROSPECTS.