New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1880-10-22
THE NEW-YORK CAMPAIGN.

STRIFE 1ETwEES TuR METROPOLIS AND THE RURAL
DIsTRfCrs-EFFECT or THE WESTERN VICTORIES
-REPUBLIcAr EFFORT IN DEMOCRATIC STRONG
HOLUs-rHE OUTLOOK IN THE CONGRESSIONAL
DISTRICTS.
rrRox A STAFF CORRESPONDENT or TIE rRBUNEl
ALBANY Oct 20.-ro the minds OF most people
out-ide New York the Empire State resembles IT. It's
political action what the school children call a
tester-board. II Is evenly balanced that little
weight on either enc will make side go up and
the other down. Now one party wins and now the
otl.er The simile is not q bad one but do these
people ever think what magnificent Republican
State this would bo if the little corner south OF
the Harlem River were cut off There would
be no State in the Union which could approach it
in The size and steadiness of its Republican major
ities The Democratic end OF the see-saw Is very
small end, but it is loaded with an enormous DEM
ocratic vote. The Republican end comprises the
whole State north of the metrspoll, with the ex-
ccption of few Counties and the Republican ma
iorties spreas pretty evenly all over the rira
districts. Last year tho Republican majority
north of the Harlem River on the vote for
Leutenaut-Governor, which was the tairest
test of the strength Of the two parties, was 6i6s7
Where il there another state that can show such
result as thiss Massachusetts, is left far behind
and even tie ever-faithful State OF Iowa, with its
big Republican majorities cannot equal It, III Man
haitian Island Long Island and Staten Island were
separated from New-YcrE, she would be the banner
Republican State Of the Union, and would scarcely
have rival IN any election for the post
az honor at the head of the Renubhcan column
Rat those three little islands, with their dense pop
uIation drawn from all parts of the world balance
tue board They gave a Democratic majority last
year for Potter Of 64,377
CITY AGAINST COUNTRY.
In all New-York elections there is q struggle be-
tween the Democratic metropolis and the Repubil-
ca State. Politicians ask first, how large VIII De
the Democratic majority south of the Harlem River
Then they figure on the probable Republican
majority north of that unique political boundary
line and see whether the short end Of the board Is
likely to tip I'D the long end, The present Republ-
| can Innate Of Hanc0ck's majority in New-York
CITY. Brooklyn aud Staten Island is 65,OO0 Before
the Ohio aud Indiana elections 10000 was pretty
geno rally conceded. The disastrous defeat OF tne
| DemocI ats in these States has greatly weakened
| the party IN the metropolis and its depend
encies. and the estimate or loss
| of 10000 votes Is not an extravagant
one There are cool-headed people who think this
estimate inside the mark, and who believe the
| democracy Of the cities is wasting away to such
! extent under the influence OF dIscouragement ana
of the agitation of the tariff question that it will
not meet the state at High Bridge with over $4,000
majority 1t is better however, 70 pa the estmote
I'm 10 the highest limit of probability Let
J then chat the Republicans of the State muse come
70 the city with owe, $4,000 majority TO carry
! their electoral ticket. Can they do ltf NhY
| not when they had over $1,000 lass year
| The total Republican vote Is alyavs heavier ana
the maorti - in Republican cOunties larger IN Pres
lido ntial years than in GuberuatOrial years. There
/. no reason 10 look for any exception to the rule
now Under the influence of the stirring canvass
and of the great National 4ssues which inspire 1t,
! snd with the stimulus ot the victory which Indiana
and Chic show Ms is in the air the 81, 6S7 majority
| Of 1879 ought TO grow to 10000 at least If there
| is work and organization the Republican side
sucb a. carr ed Indiana II will mount up to 10000,
and NAV even 90 as high as 100000. New-lork Is
| a. CERTAIN for Garfield as Ohio If the Republican
campaign work is pushed vigorously and unre-
mittingly in city and country during the two
weeks that remain of the canvass
HOW THE CONTEST STANDS.
The Democrats do not give mp the State yet, and
If they did thew should not be taken at their word
| Their superstition about HancOcks popularity
| ia not wholly dispeiled by the rude
| shock they got from tne West last
4 week They still inacine that this State feels
frantic admiration for tue unfortunate etter-"rter
| of Governors Island. Everything was ready to
carry New-York Tor niII, they say II Indiana mad
| gone right Having put their Darty machinery IN
shape 70 accomplish victorious result, as they De-
| lieved they are not likely to stop Its operations
| because of their disappointment over the October
elections There is still chance to win. they think,
and they will do their best to MAKE the most
of il. :. far as the Democratic. managers are
eoacerned the Republicans must not expect
! f. surrender m this State advance of
/ the November fight. True IL is hard work for them
! IN pluck I'D courage, and harder work 10 raise
moIav but they vii nevertheless manage TO get oil
the voters to the polls vho want to vote for Han
| COCK and his dreadful Indiana partner. Victory Is
not going to drop like rpa pear into the mouths OF
| the Republicans because IIdiana and OhlJ have
| shaken the tree. The fruit must be gathered by
| hard work
The chief benefit to the Republicans Of the
| result of the October elections Is that their
work in NewYprk Is no longer mp
! hill work They now that the great
electoral vote OF Now-Yorl and with it the Pres!
deucy is surely theirs if they make the right effort
TO seize and hold it. Their Organization Is not yet
"a good in some localities, and especially in Demo
cratic counties. it ought to be, but there is time
! TO perfect 1t. One Lesson of the Indiana victory
should be applied here namely, that there is just as
much 10 be gained by a strong organization IN Dem
ocratlc counties as ia Republican counties, There
has been too much disposition IN tho past 10 et to
Democrats have their own way IN their own strong
holds. More votes be gained this year IN such
| counties as Albany, schObarie ana Greene
| than in St. Lawrence OnOndaga. The cities OF
New-York aud Brooklyn are a particularly fe.tlle
| Ged with the disbursement fnat prevails among
the Democratic local leaders and the tarlh agta-
ton among the workingmen. This, THINK Is well
understood by the State Committed
THE CONGRESSIONAL. OUTLOOK.
The following Is q summary OF the talk hear
from well-infor<ed Republicans about the prospect
IN the Congressional Districts The Ist District IS
Democratc, bat lot hopelessly So The I'D IS con-
| ceded TO the Democrats. The lid VIII
[ -..-.. lhtttnrdan Rennthcan by heavy