Orleans County monitor. [volume] (Barton, Vt.) 1872-1953, 1880-05-17
THE CHICAGO TALLY.

Three-fourths OF the States have now
chosen their delegations to the Chicago
Convention, comprising four-6fths of
the whole number of delegates. 1t is
possible therefore to gain a fair idea of
the relative standing which the various
candidates have now obtained and are
likely to maintain, without important
change, up to the time of the Conyen-
ton, provided all of them remain in the
field. This is made the more feasible
because the preferences of the Republic
can party in the ten States which are
still to elect delegates are pretty we'll
understood, except in the case of Hi
nois and two or three of the Southern
States. On another page will be found
careful article summing up the re-
suits of the State Conventions which
have been held, so far, and only so far,
as those results are definitely under
stood. The full list of delegates from
each State is also given, and the arti-
Gle will be useful to all who desire to
follow the proceedings of the Chicago
Convention three weeks hence with in
telligent interest. The Tribune, in
order to give all sides fair hearing,
presents with its own estimate of the
vote of the 600 delegates thus far elect
ed the various estimates made by rec
ognized friends of General Grant, Mr..
Blaine and Mr.. Sherman.
The Tribmne'S estimate, made with
the sole aim of accuracy. gives 24l of
these 600 votes to Mr.. Blaine, 224 to
General Grant, and less than 100 to
Secretary Sherman. In making this
division, only moderate share of the
the New York and Pennsylvania dele
cations has been assigned to Mr.. Blaine,
and the figures of his vote will be con-
siderably increased if the predictions of
his friends concerning the strength of
the revolt in those delegations are full
filled. Our estimates are believed to be
as accurate and fair to all as it is now
possible to make them. 1t is easy to
find points on which authentic informa-
ton might warrant some changes. Thus
with Kentucky delegate presiding at
the Anti-Third Term Convention in st.
Louis, it is certain that Kentucky is
not now solid for Grant, as set down in
The Tribune table. In the main, how
ever, we think it moderate and i'm
partial statement of the general results
thus far attained But it should be
remembered that these observations are
taken on rising Blaine tide, so that
their tendency is to understate his
strength, and perhaps also to under.
state that of Mr.. Sherman.
While speculations upon the probable
success of any candidate at this stage Of
tho canvass, based upon these figures
would be useless, one result seems al.
ready assured-the defeat of the move.
ment for third term. General Gran
is now more than $50 votes away from
majority, and conceding to him all thu
delegates yet to be chosen whom he cal
possibly obtain, he will still be sixty
nine votes away from majority. An,
other candidate in the same position
might look confidently forward to
nomination. But his position is pecu
liar. He has been the one issue of tn
canvass. The delegates who have no
been elected for him have been elected
against him, and it seems idle for hi
friends to expect his strength to be fet
by hostile votes. 1t does not seem DOS
sible the General Grant should be nom
mated at all unless he is nominated Of
the first ballot, and the figures present
ed to-day seem to show that he canno
be nom mated on the first ballot. Ne,
York Tribune.
Lord Mayor Gray, of Dublin, say
that the distress in ireland is as grea
as ever; and he fears that it will