New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1880-05-19
FORECASTS AND CoNJECTUREs.

two-days' session.
FORECASTS AND CONJECTURES.
THE FORCES GATHERED AT SPRINGFIELD IN LARGE
NUMBRRs-CoMPLICATIONS IN THE SITUATION
A soLIp GRANT DELEGATION TO BE SENT TO
CHICAGO IF POSSIBLE.
IBY TELEGRAPH TO THE, TRIBUNE.l
SpRINGFIfLD, ILL.,, May 1S.-A large majority OF
the delegates to the Illinois Republican ConVen-
ton are now on the ground. Veteran oo-
servers say it is the most hotly-contesteu
and most numerous Convention OF either party III
this State since the war. The situation OWING 10
the trouble in Cook County and the uncertainty OF
its adjustment, is one OF the most colnPieA o'0A
witnessed in State Convention.
II is still further complicated by the fact that the
whole list of six State officers, from Governor down.
is TO be nominated and each oil the numerous
candidates for these positions uses his influence
for himself, without regard to the result his conf
binations may have the more important issues
All the candidates have, by an instinct
of self-preservaton. exerted themselves IN
favor of compromise and harmony, ana
this united action has undoubtedly had some eff
feet. Out of the whrls and eddes of gossip and
lying assertion and contradiction, this sylOgsm OF
the Convention may be extracted:
First.-That the Grant men have majority OF
the Convention outside altogether of Cook County.
The Blaine and Washburne men, many of them, adj
nit this, though they say the majority is very
small. They rate it as low as 80, while some
of the Grant men put it above 100
Seoopd,-That the ant-Grant delegates from Chi
caQo assert that this is majority only
on Grant that some, at least. OF the
men who are In favor of Grant will not
vote to exclude or to offend the ant-Grant delegates
from Chicago. who unQuestionably represent the
regular organization. The fact is that the state
al.oN ANl1 1n
jeopardzed by such action.
IRird.-That if the anti-Grant delegation from
Chicago should be admitted entire, and the Conven-
ton should thus come under the control of the
opponents of a thrd-term, there would be no
instructions and no attempt at the Pennsylvania
MAN of smotherng the voice of the Congressional
Districts In that case the delegation would be
divided about as follows: Grant, 1G; Blaine, 12 !;
Washburne 10; with four delegates-at-large, anti
Grant.
Fourtk-That, if the Grant people find they have
the power, they will unquestioDably force
through solid Grant delegation. In this
case there certainly will be a bolt fol-
lowed by contesting delegation to Chicago.
This last possibility is even moro than prob
ability The Grant leaders are evidently consider
ing it, even if they have not determined upon it.
TALK WITH GENERAL LOGAN.
General Logan, who is tho head and front of the
Geant movement, said to-day, when l asked him O
general question about the Convention: " / think
we shall have Grant Convention. We shall have
full delegation"
"Do YOU mean solid delegation 7"-"Yes SIT, a
solid delegation. We will have solid delegation,
OF we won't have any,"
"But where Congressional Districts elect their
delegates will you undertake torevse their action
To this General Logan replied pleasantly enough !:
"I speak only in general terms; You can draw
your OVID differences" Then after moment he
added: "Well, you may say this from me, 90 upon
the principle that majorities have a right to rule
The party is represented in National Conventions
by States, not by districts. The call of the National
Committee calls for representation by States, not
by districts"
This seems sufficiently explicit as to General
Logan's views on this subject. One very important
fact is that the Grant men In connection with the
Cook County matter. following the lead of The Chicago
Inter-Ocean, have lowered their demands. At first
they swore they would have all the nnty-two votes
of Cook County, as they themselves would
bolt Now they simply ask that they be
allowed the Senatorial Districts which they
carried at the primaries. SuppOsing that these
claims should be allowed to them. they would then
have tbrty-six and Blaine and Washburne to-
gether fifty-six of the nipety-two Chicago dele
gates. So the Grant people are now asking for a
minority instead of the whole number.
BID FOR SYMPATHY.
This morning the Grant delegation from Chicago
made clever bid for popular sympathy. The dele
CATION met at their headquarters at the Le-
land House, to the number of about fifty,
with Robert Lincoln In the chair, and
Stephen A. Douglas acting as secretary-a strange
conjunction, to those who remembered the exciting
personal canvass of the fathers of these for a
seat in the United States Senate The following
resolutions were unanimously adopted;
Bhereas There is contest to the delegations from
the several Senatorial districts III Cook County to the
TheTeas This delegation. representing the friends Of
General Grant. have, confidence IN the justice Of
9s State ''@ss coaventiou @ 10 ana also in the sense
right and the 70 40 T @
passing upon and testing the questions ut Issue In the
Resoired. That we viii submit case to the State
Convention and, as true and reliable Repubcahs we
will in good faith abide by It's decision.
prominent Grant Republican of Chicago said
to-day that the Grant managers were trying to
make up for their blunders in the Cook County
matter. The Grant men generally seem disposed TO
admit that their case there was "botched" in the
highest style of the art.
The adoption of this resolution unquestiOnably
gives the Grant delegation an advantage. 1t
makes them seem strong; for the average
man will argue that they would not be 80
ready to accept the decision of the Convention
unless they were confident Of getting favorable
one. Under other circumstances 1t might look like
an attempt to do their own letting down aud make
easy but there can be no letting down for Gen.
eral Grants friends in General Grants own
State. It must be victory or annihla-
ton. II the Grant men were not
sanguine Of winning they would be talking "bolt "
here with the zeal Of Tammany Democrats. 1t is
the anti Grant men who are talking bolt" and
that fact puts them somewhat at disadvantage in
the eyes Of men who worship routine and regularity
in the party.
Some Of the anti-Grant men do not hesitate to
sav openIy that they cannot vote for Grant under