Green-Mountain freeman. [volume] (Montpelier, Vt.) 1844-1884, 1880-04-21
Next June.

Next June.
1t is very evident that folks are getting
interested in what is to be the outcome at
Chicago and Cincinnati. The political
showers of April are falling in rather
deluging way and in the political world
are quite as raging as the hurricanes that
are taking up their summer residences in
the west.
Among the republicans the contentious
of the democracy are borne with philo-
sophie resignation, and we fail 10 see
among democrats that hearty sympathy
for republican tribulations which common
humanity would seem to suggest. There
are prophecies without number hut wheth.
er they shall faIi-all of them-is not GER
tain.
There are bureaus and there are figures,
and neither bureaus nor fgures agree.
With this exception, the Sherman bureau
thus far appears to be so large in proper
ton TO its figures that the latter are not
vet disputed. But Grant and Blaine COM
putations are strangely dissimilar, good
Grant mathematician being able TO show
that POP Grant delegates are now chosen
while drst-rate Blaine accountant will
pull down Grants vote already secured to
about $50.
What they do with the delegates elected
however does not compare at all with
what they are able to accomplish with
those yet to be chosen. These are COM
puted by differential calculus. Grant is
sure to have 431 votes on the first ballot
and Blaine at least 500. As but 156 dele
gates can have seats 10 the Chicago con-
vention and as there will be some Ed
munds and Sherman delegates there is a
mysterious fascination for the man who
used to study Adams arithmetic in the
wonderful results ob.ainable when you
really know what to DO with figures.
The fact appears to be that Grant has
about 100 delegates, more than half OF
those as yet chosen. He needs about 1870
more. Some 300 delegates are yet to be
chosen in the south and Grant will have 4
round majority OF them We think. He
may get the Illinois delegation where
there is r sharp contest between his fol-
lowers and those of Blaine, and is likely
to pick up par: OF the vote of Wisconsin
and perhaps New Jersey.
The outlook there is that Gen. Grants
friends stand much more than an even
chance Of controlling the Chicago nomi.
nation. But we take it there will be al
that convention talking over OF matter:
among republicans of different sections
and that one of the elements to be consid'
cred will be the strength Of a candidate
at the polls.
1t will probably result in this that ii
there is reasonable assurance that Gen.
Gran. can be elected he will receive the
nomination; otherwise that E1munds or
Washburne or some man not vet promi-
nently named will b, taken. The result.
should be obtained only after careful
weighing of evidence as TO to the prospect
i've loss of republican votes, German votes
aud the independent vote in case Grant i:
nominated, and that as TO the prospective
gains in New York. in Virginia and any
other southern states by reason Of Grant's
nomination.
Here it may be said that the tone Of
leading journals supporting Gen. Grant
and the arguments Of many Of his sup
porters in favor Of his candidacy are
strangely at variance with the general s
own views as expressed in his Cairo
speech and elsewhere.
But uncertain as Chicago matters are
they are not more so than those of Gin
cinnati OF late there has seemed to be {
very general uprising among the demo
Gratis against Mr.. Tilden's nomination
But four or FIVE states that have chosen
delegates have sent Tilden delegations
The most important convention was tina
of New York which WAS held Yesterday.
In fact yesterday was very much of
convention day in Syracuse. The regula
democrats met in Wieiting Hall and til
kellyites in Shakespeare Hall. Netwith
standing what had been predicted of Til
dens weakness in the regular conventio
bis friends controlled it three to one, an
while they did no. instruct the delegates
they adopted the unit rule which answer
ust as well.
The Tammany convention wanted
conference bat didn't get it. In fact th
kellyites appear to have given away an
claim to be regarded as democrats in goo
standing By the national convention
Their organization is irregular an
although they head their delegation wit
such men as Judge Parker and Mr.. Dor
sheimer they are no more within the den
ocratic organization than are the mos
rabid republicans.
The regular democratic convention az
peared to realize this and their delegatio
to Cincinnati, headed By Governor Robin
SON, one that will carry the weight theI
tina, fiye-sixths of the democratic vote
New York ought to carry. Whether Nj
Tilden is to be nominated or not depend
very much on his own will; and he wi
probably not make up his mind until afte
the Chicago convention has named it
man. 1t may be remarked that the lette
of Mr.. Tilden announcing his Withdrawal
which was to have been read at the Syr:
cuse convention, was not read ut the Syri
cuse convention.