Clarksville weekly chronicle. (Clarksville, Tenn.) 1873-1890, 1880-10-30

Florida .................- Total IA
Adding the doubtful democratic
to the certain democratic states and
we have, as the total electoral vote
that Gen. Hancock has the best
chances for receiving, i206.
Adding the doubtful republican
to the certain republican vote and
we have, as the sum total of Gar
fields chances, 1853; necessary to
choice 1876. In this table we have
tried to state the case fairly, and be-
lieve it represents the situation just
as it is. 1t will be seen that the
democrats, Notwithstanding the loss
of Indiana, still have the odds in
their favor. There are one hundred
and thirty-two votes counted for
Hancock ,and are his beyond any dis
pute, and no republican will think
of claiming any one Of them. The
same may be said of the states cast
ing one hundred and fOrty-twO for
Garfield, although there are dem
ocrats who would put Pennsylvania,
Illinois and Wisconsin in the doubt
full group, but we do not believe
with good reason. ThegrOup of six
doubtful states which will be fought
for desperately by both parties, en-
brace those which are inclined
more to be democratic than repub-
Iican, and all, or the greater part of
which the democrats may fairly ex-
pect to carry. Let us examine them
in detail: New York is a demo-
cratic state, and, although the re-
publicans will make a desperate
fight for it, the chances are strongly
against them. Tilden carried it
four years ago by a majority of 49,
600, and it has been democratic
with but two exceptions since 1868,
and, in the case of these exceptions,
the party was divided. With
united party, such as the democrat
ic party now is, it can hardly fail
to give a democratic majority in
November. Virginia has usually
been classed with the certain demo-
cratic states, and republicans have
always so conceded it. But since
their victory in Indiana, and be-
cause there is a division in the DEM
ocratic party in Virginia the repub-
llcans have been claiming that they
will secure its electoral vote, and
will, no doubt, make an attempt in
that direction. For this reason we
have grouped ii with the doubtful
states, but there is very little ques-
tiOn that its electoral vote will go
to Hancock. The same thing may
be said of Florida. Connecticut is
the most doubtful of the group.
Four years ago TiIden carried the
state by nearly 5000 mljority, and
although generally democratic, il
has trick of going republican
sometimes. With hard work, this
year, it may he counted on as prob
able to go democratic. Indiana
was carried by the republicans last
Tuesday by about G,000 majority.
1t may go the same way in NOvem-
Der, but the chances are that it will
not. Nevada went for Hayes in
1876 by 1000 majority, but ON ac-
count Of certain dissensions in
the party there now, will probably
go democratic i'm November.
Taken altogether, there is very
little doubt that the democrats will
carry New York, Virginia, Florida
and Connecticut, which will give
them one hundred and eighty-eight
votes, or three more than enough to
elect, and with excellent chances to
add to these eighteen votes of Ne
vada and Indiana. They might
lose Virginia, and by means of In
diana's fifteen still elect Hancock,
or might lose Virginia and Connect
icgt and win with Indiana and Ne
vada. They can lose Indiana, and
still have Votes enough and to spare.
OF the doubtful republican States,
California may be set down as UeyY
ly balanced. The democrats are
much more likely TO carry it than
the republicans are to carry either
Indiana or Connecticut.
New Hampshire is usually repuh-
liean, but By small majority, The
democrats have an unusually strong
ticket there and may overcome 1t.
Oregon Is most likely to go repub-
lican, although 1t Is as likely to go
democratic as Florida is republic
can.
Maine was carried by the fusion
lists in September by about 300 ma
jority. 1t is about as likaly 10 go
one way as the other In November.
1t is fair fighting ground for both
parties. 1t may fairly Offset Con-
necticut in the list of doubtful dem
ocratic states. If the republicans
carry all these states they will lack
twenty-five votes Of majority,
ana the chances that they viii do
so are anything but as good as that
the democrats will carry aIl doubt
full states set down in their column.
The situation is a hopeful one for
the democracy. Winfield Scatt
Hancock will certainly he elected
president ON the first Tuesday in
November next,
MR. BLAINE says 1t Is impudent