New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1880-04-13
THE OUTLOOK FROM WASHINGTON.

ItuOIlluht1OD VI OEuOI0l OIdhV OsAe AVs S~~N~~~~o
Republican success.
THE OUTLOOK FROM WASHINGTON.
THE TuIRp-rERM MOVEMENT STILL FORMIDABLE.
BUT GROWING LESS so EVERY DAY-THE Posi-
TON OF MR.. CAMERON AND Mr.. coNKLING-
WHAT POLITICIANS SAY.
IFRoM THE REGULAR CORRESPONDENT OF THE TRIBUNE
WASHINGTON, April 12.-The third-term move
ment seems to q dispassionate Washington observer
TO be IN imminent danger Of ending does rocket.
The movement started last Autumn with much
brilliancy and promise. The promoters OF 1t had
unbOunded faith that the simple suggestion OF Gen.
eral Grants nomination would be received with 30
much enthusiasm by the people that long before
this there would be other candidate In the field.
The advocates of the ex-Presidents nomination
said Senator Blaine and Secretary Sber-
man will have no cause to complain Gen
eral Grant will not be candidate at
all unless his reelection 10 spontaneously demanded
by large majority Of the Republican party, and
against that demand neither would wish TO oppose
his personal ambition. Nobody could blame Gem
eral Grant for accepting the Presidency for third
time IL it had been thrust upon him by the en-
thusiastic wish Of the American people. Conscious
of no uDpatriotic purpose, har0orng no amDition
the qualification of which to him seems dangerous
TO republican institutions, lover OF our form OF
government and in an imperialist 1t IS not
strange that he should in this particular fail TO dis
play that far-seeing craftsmanship which caused
the fathers of the Republic insist rotation in
Office even when it sent them from the ChleI
Magistracy back to private life.
But If there has ever been time since he landed
in San Francisco when the people Of this country
seemed as with one voice to demand General Grants
renomination his nearest friends will admit that 1t
has passed. No longer Is it put forth a. condition
of his candidacy that there shall be spontaneous
call upon him, even by the Republican party. 10
dav he ia before the people In exactly the same at-
tude that other occupy when friends ask for
| them n suppOrt in the Chicago Convention. He
will accept the nomination n it can be obtained
and by his silence at least he assents to the en-
ployment Of any political agencies 10 secure his sue
oesa which his powerful representatives may 6e able
| TO command.
There was a time Just after the Utica Convention
| when IL seemed as though the Senatoria, trumvi-
rate Conkling, Cameron and Logan, would be able
70 mt all their plans for third term nomination
into execution and to force General Grant upon tno
Republican party next June. The votes OF New
York and Pennsylvania secured, that OF ILLINOIS
almost certain the iaexplicable popularity OF the
ex-President among the Republicans In some parts
| 80 the south. the confident manner in which the
,hird term leaders claimed the delegation In every
| s,ata in which the Republicans had expressed no
nreference. all seemed to conspire to one end-the
| triumph of General Grant In letter written
| about that time attempted TO show how fofmida-
| ble the third term movement had become, ana now
necessary t was that those opposed to u should not
rrdorastimate it's strength. Since that time there
hos been marked changein the political situation
and It seems to me that by this time oven the pro-
motera of the Grant boom must have discovered
1 n. 49, -.
that AZ Presidential candidate tho ex-President 10
not a. popular as they expected him to be-
few weeks ago Senator Cameron remarked that
there was not single State except Maine the dele
cation from which Mr.. Blaine could positively
count mon securing. Since that time very few
orart delegates have been chosen, while almost
svervwhere there have been Blaine victories. From
pennsylvania 1t is reported on the best authority.
,hat twenty-two of the delegates will vote for Mr..
blaine ON the first ballot and several from New
| YorL have announced their determination, 1t 10
soid IN follow their example. careful canvass OF
all of the States fails to show where General Grant
| can get DELEGATES enough to nominate him on the
| frat ballot In o prolonged contest, SUCH as now
a,raars lkely to take place, he s certain t0 lose
| rather than gain votes.
| THIRD TERM MEN FOR BLAINE.
! Again. there is every reason To Delieve tnat many
- ,o roet active members of the third term move
| ,,ort urofer the nomination of Senator Blaine to
that of any other candidate except General Grant.
Senator Cameron is one of Mr.. Blaine's best per-
| sonal friends, and their intimacy has continued
aince the Harrisburg Convention without any ap-
Doront interruption. More than this even, Senator
Cameron has said repeatedly, and SAID u 10 tne
orosonce of Pennsylvania Republican politicians.
thot his second choice for the nomination is Mr..
blaine and that IL General Grants name should DC
vithdrawn. he should use bis influence for MT.
plo,ne,s success There Is nothing to be wondered
~ IN this Even 30 powerful politician as Senator
Cameron IA can lead only by keeping IN harmony
| With the MAS of his party. The Harrisburg per
formance was very perilous one. ano Only W ne
it,t,ed IN political sense by its necessity anu its
.nccass. Its necessity was o personal one to Mr..
Cornoron Aa he said himself, he had pledged the
| vota NJ Pennsylvania for Grant at time wnen
there had been no expression OF popular opinion In
the marty. and when be supposed he was repfesens'
,nO the sentiment Of the Republicans Of the State
S;S Ia had been unable to redeem that pledge. he
thoroht il would have degraded and disgraced him
politically.
pnt .be Senator knows the temper of the Pennsyl-
,onia Renublicans well enough to understand bet
tor than anyone can tell him, that with General
Grant ont of the field 1t will be utterly impossible
for him tn control his delegation at Chicago. unless
ha laads it in accordance with tho popular Will OF
tho state; and that. as every one knows. demands
the nomination Of Senator Blaine. There are the
vcrv beat reasons therefore, for believing that the
assurances given by Mr.. Cameron to Mr. Blaine and
bis friends are given In good faith.
At the Cincinnati Convention In 1875 after II
became apparent that Governor Hartranft conia
not be nominated, Mr. Csidsron proposed tnst tne
vota of the State should be transferred to Blaine
Int this wns so strenuously opposed by two Of ths
.-s.,.a., rartv iealers fsom that State that ths