Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1880-01-10
THE SENATORIAL SITUATION.


There are twenty-five United States Senators
whose terms will expire on the Sd of March,
1881. OF these fourteen are democrats and
eleven are republicans. The democrats are
Messrs. Eaton, Bayard, Jones, OF Florida Nc
Donald Whyte, Cockrell, Randolph; Herman.
Thurman, Wallace, Bailey, Maxey, Withers and
Hereford. The republicans are Messrs Booth,
Hamlin, Dawes, Baldwin, Mcmillan, Bruce,
Paddock, Sharon, Burnside, Edmunds and Cam
eron, of Wisconsin. Three elections for Sena-
ready taken place, and a fourth will occur next
Tuesday in Mississippi. OF these four the re-
publtcans gain one in Ohio. the democrats gain
e land and pessby he have lost one
in Virginia, as nobody can tell how General
Malone will vote. OF the twenty-one Senators
who remain to be chosen there is no
single one, while the probabilities are that
they will lose at least four in the states
OF Connecticut, New Jersey, New York and
Pennsylvania. The legislatures in all four of
these states are now largely republican, and
that party has every assurance OF maintaining
its hold. In New jersey and Connecticut the
m senator's %no @
hold over. In New York all OF the present
state senators will take part in the senatorial
election next winter, aud of the 80 the republ-
cans have "a, so that the democrats will have to
elect very large majority Of the representa-
tives in order to overbalance the large republi-
can preponderance in the senate. In PennSyl-
vania the republicans have controlled the leg
islature for several years past, and it Is hardly
probable that they will lose it next fall.
CERTAINTIEs AND PROBABILITIES
The republicans are certain to elect senators
to succeed Messrs. Hamlin, Dawes, Baldwin,
Mcmillan, Paddock, Sharon, Burnside, Edmunds
and Cameron of Wisconsin, The most enthus1-
astic democrat cannot count upon gain in
senators. The combination of democrats and
greenbackers might have caused the result in
mtted to the result of the recent election. But
their counting out scheme has made Maine sure
for the republicans at the next election. No
body doubts that now.
The democrats are certain to elect Senators to
succeed Messrs. Bayard Jones Fla.), Cockrell,
Bailey, Maxey ana Hereford. The chances in
Indiana, too, are favorable to the democrats as
the legislature will be chosen at the presiden-
tial election, and the entire strength Of the
party will be put FORTH California may fairly
beclassed as doubtful, with chances in favor of
the republicans. In the present legislature of
that state the republicans have very small
majority, but in that of last year the democrats
had majority of 43. The influence of the pres
dential election will probably have the effect of
uniting the democrats of California, and If that
is brought about they may carry the legislature.
In fact negotiations looking to union of demo-
Gratis and Workingmen in the coming fall elec-
ton have already been entered into with some
may lose Senator in California.
SUMMARY.
To summarize: OF the II republican Senators
to retire next year, that party is certain to re-
place 10 of them, with all the probabilities in
favor of their gaining at least 4. The demo-
Gratis are certain to elect seven Senators in place
will be from the states of Delaware, Florida
Maryland, (alleady chosen,) Missouri, Tennes
see: Texas and West Virginia. They gain one
in Mississippi, which makes in all The Sena-
tors whose terms will not expire until after
1881, are 81 in number, of whom 2s are demo-
Gratis, % republicans, and independent, Judge
Dav1sl Add the the democrats are
them sure of s6. The 10 that are
ing, will give that party 80; but with the they
have Sc; equal to the democrats. This leaves
the two doubtful states OF California and Indi-
ana, together with General Malone. from Vir-
balance OF power Should the democrats carry
Indiana. which is very probable. and the repub-
l1cans California-equally probable-then Sena-
tors Davis and Malone will have it in their
power to determine the political complexion Of
the Senate. Men who profess to know General
Mahones sentiments say he will stand with the
demo democratic party in Congress. and Senator
Davis has frequently demonstrated that his par
tial1ties lie in that direction.
THE DEMOCRATIC CHANCES.
Therefore, the chances are that the demo-
Gratis will maintain their ascendency In the
Senate but by very slender majority. Should
the republicans carry Indiana and California. IL
will give them 3S SenatOrS-1uSt half-and then
in all political matters the Vice President, who
would have the casting vote, would give the
control OF the body to the republicans, OF
course it is possible for the democrats to carry
the legislature In one or more of the four states
of New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and
pennsylvania. and If they Succeen in carving
but one OF them it will make their hold upoa
the Senate secure until 1888, at least.
COMMITTEE CHANGES.
AS new administration will be installed on
the 4th Of March next year, the Senate will, no
doubt, be called together in executive session
Immediately. The committees WILL of course
be reorganized, but as the rule of promoting the
Senator highest on the committee list is always
observed, 1t Is easy to point out some of the
changes that will take place. This can be done
as far as the Senators who have already been
retired are concerned, at least. Sena.
tor Ransom will have the choice Of
taking the charmansnip of the Committee on
printing. now held by Mr.. Whyte, but as Mr..
Ransom is chairman of the committee on rail.
roads ne may prefer to retain that. If he
chooses the printing committee then Mr. Lamar
VIII become chairman Of the railroad committee.
AS Senator Mcpherson is chairman of the
naval committee, he will not be likely to aban-
don that to take the chairmanship OF the
committee on pensions, to be vacated by Mr.
W1thers and this will pur Mr.. Groome at the
head OF the latter committee.