New-York tribune., 1880-10-26

cent, which, of course, we naturally assume
applies to the vOte of the whole city.
The vote of this city usually falls snort
of the registration only about per cent
in Presidential years" The vote on this
basis will, therefore, be about 2OO,OOO.
We believe that it will be less, because of the
Indifference of the Democrats. But let us as
sume, for the purpose of this calculation, that
the vote will be 100000 in round numbers.
In the election of 1876. Mr.. rilden received
65.3 of the whole vote cast; Mr. Hayes 34'' per
cent. We do not believe that, III the absence
of thorough organization such as TIlden lau
General HancOck's party can poll an eqiai per
centage. But adopting the same basis, we ma
that his total vote out OF 2OO,OOO would DC
13O, 900. Consequently there would remain To
Garfield SO, 400 votes. But if the 5.33 per cent
gain in registration holds good in the vote
there will nc a difference of TO- GOO votes. De
duct half of this number from Hancock ana add
half to Gar field, and tnc votes will stand: Han
cock, 12j,330, aud Garfield, 1880. or
majority for Hancock of only 1860.
In Kings County the figures are even more
encouraging. In the Republican W ARDS
namely. the Ist, Hid, XIXth, XAth, AAlld,
and XXVth. the aggregate registration tnls
year is 27.S41. as against 20,676 last yeai
a gain of 7,16j OF percentage OF 34.oo III
all the Others. which are Democratic Wards, the
aggregate this year is S6,2j9. as against
6S. .452 gain of 1896, or percentage 81
p. This indIea!es an advantage In reglstia-
Zion for the Republicans of about 10 per cent.
The total registration of l ll4.O99 will result IN
a total vote, if we deduct 5 pei cent loss OF
1O5 500. or say in round numbers lO5 900. We
are confident il will be no more. Mr.. lllden
pollrd 60 per cent and Mr.. Hayes 10 per cent
Of the total vote of 1876. These same percen-
tages if mantained this year will give General
Hancock a vote of 63, 900 and General Garfield
~ 900 But n chaI ge of 10 per cent Will make
q difference OF 1O,500 votes, which, dlNIoed as
in the former instance, will make the vote stand
thus: Hancock 57,750 Garfield, 4721o; ;
Democratic majority in Kings County, 1O,50O.
This would give in the two counties mayor
inv for Hancock of only 60,10O. The Demo
cratic managers do not claim that they will get
their usual 5000 majority III Qneens, Sunolh'
and Richmond Counties, owing to dsSenSlon'
there; but allow it to them, and 1t VIII stu DC
seen bat we have only about $4,000 majority
below Harlem River to wipe out. Last year,
with all the difficulties and discOuIagemeh's oI
the canvass, we came down to the Harlem RIVER
with larger Republican majority than that III
NAV be added that these figures are more llDefai
than the Republican local managers allow. Inc
calculations are based upon the figures only
and no allowance is made for the falling Oh IN
the Democratic vote 10y indifference desertlon
70 ouI ranks, or the return home OF the large
number of business Republicans who voted for
rilden in 1876.
We send greeting, therefore, to our friends
of the interior. You are Ill no danger OF
being swamped by an overwhelming adverse
majority here. You have it IN your power TO
carry the State handsomely. Trust the Repud-
Gccns of thiS city, ard do gow duty!