New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1880-05-08
DELEGATES TO CHICAGO.
A MAJORITY ALREADY ASSURED AGAINST A
THIRD TERN,

THIRD TERM
GENERAL GRANT Ass VOTES SHORT OF A MAJORITY,
WITH NO APPARENT PROSPECT OF HIS GAINISG
MORE THAN SO ADDITIONAL DFLEdATEs-
BLAINE AHEAD OF GRANT. BUT 15S VOTES
SHORT OF ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF TIE
BLAINE, GRANT AND SHERMAN MANAGERS.
Six hundred of the 756 delegates who will
compose the Chicago Convention have been
elected. They come from twenty-eight States
and six Territories. Ten States and three Ter
ritories are still to elect. Of these 900 dele
gates, THE TRIBUNE, after a most careful ex-
animation of the conflicting claims of the par
tisans of the various candidates, assigns
94I to Senator Blaine, 22A to General
Grant, Oh to Secretary Sherman, 81
to Senator Edmunds, and 13 to the
Hon. E.. B. Washburne. This gives no candt-
date a majority of the Convention, 379 votes.
Mr.. Blaine lacks 13S votes, General Grant 155,
Secretary Sherman 2SS, and Mr.. Edmunds
S66. In making this estimate THE TRIBUNE
assigns to Mr.. Blaine only IA of the New
York delegates and % of the Pennsylvania
delegates, although the Blaine Club at
Washington claims % of the former and %
of the latter. The estimate is made on the
suDpOsition that the Chicago Convention will
accordance with unvarying precedent. When
the question came up in the Cincinnati Con-
vention of 1875, Chairman Mcpherson decided
that each and every member had the right
to vote his sentiments in the Convention. An
appeal was taken from the ruling, and the
Convention sustained the chair by vote of 395
to $50. During the debate, the Hon. Eugene
Hale called attention to the fact that
the same question arose in the Con-
ventiOn which nominated Grant in 1868, and
was decided in the same way by an over
whelming majority.
In order that all sides may have a fair
hearing, the estimates of the immediate repre-
sentatives of the leading candidates are given
with that Of TIE TRIBUNE. The Blaine and
Sherman estimates are made by the Washington
Clubs of those candidates, and the Grant esti-
mate is made by the Hon. A. NJ. Clapp, Edi-
tor of the Grant newspaper at Washington.
The Sherman estimate is given on him only.
The States which are still to elect
delegates are Nevada on May IL, Flor
ida, Michigan and West Virginia on May
II, Illinois, Nebraska and Minnesota on May
10. Alabama on May 20, Louisiana on May "a.
and Colorado on May %. They will elect 146
delegates. There are four to be elected in
Massachusetts, and six from the Territories.
or these States, Michigan, Colorado, West Vir-
ginia, Nebraska, Nevada and Minnesota are
counted as certain for Blaine, giving
him 60 more votes, carrying his total
up to 2sI. Grant hopes for the solid dele
cations of Florida and Alabama-28 votes
but he is sure of only portion of Louisiana's
16 votes, and portion only of IllinOis's AZ.
There is the best reason also for thinking that
Alabama and Florida will both be divided.
Nevertheless, giving him all the votes Of these
four States, Alabama 20, Florida 8, Louisiana
16, and Illinois AZ, he will get only SO votes,
bringing his total up to $40, or 80 less than
majority. Instead of these going solid for
Grant, however, 1t Is now, quite likely that
Blaine will get enough of them to bring. his
vote up to above 300, with corresponding
reduction on Grants vote below 800.
STANDING OF THE DELEGATES