Daily globe. [volume] (St. Paul, Minn.) 1878-1884, 1880-10-16
Gloss Calculation of Chances.
IChicago Times.

Chlcag0 Ilmes.
1t will be the duty of the Democratic party
leaders, of course, to prove that Hancock and
English can be elected without Indiana. They
can point out with considerable show of
plausability, that they are reasonably sure of
New York, with its thirty-fve votes, and New
jersey with its nine votes, and that they have
only to win another State, be it ever so small q
one, to give them, added to the 1873 votes of
the solid South, the necessary 1S5 votes in the
electoral college. New Jersey gave IL. 445
Mcclellan in 1877, and there is no reason
to suppose that it has changed Its politics,
or that Hancock would not be as popular
there as either Tilden or Mcclellan. Then
there is Connecticut, which gave Tilden ma
jority of 1900 in 1876, and which cast in 1878
Democratic and Greenback vote of 64,699,
against q combined Republican and Prohibit
ton vote of 49,946. And then there are Cali
fornia and Oregon, where the feeling against
Garfield on account of his oppositiOn to anti
Chinese legislation has been by no means re-
moved by his specious, insinoere, and perfect
ly transparent advocacy of such legislation in
his letter of acceptance. From all these doubt
full States should not Hancock be able to get
three votes?
Out of them all he would get three, unqes-
tionably, and good many more, if Indiana
had not unfortunately deserted him. ITO
him that hath shall be given, and from him
that hath not shall be taken even that he
hath" This cruel proverb is nowhere so true
as in politics. The other proverb-not 30 an
oient as this, but just as true-that Nothing
succeeds like success" might be accompanied
by another, that Nothing fails like failure" :"
Indiana was hardly regarded by the Democratic
leaders as doubtful q few days ago. Fur
thermore, the doubtful northern States,
aside from New Jersey. have shown
an unfortunate tendency to drift back into tha
Republican ranks of late. Connecticut has a
Republican governor-elected, it is true, by a
minority, and by the aid Of the Greenbackers,
but the Greenbackers have ticket in the field
this year as well. California has favored the
Republicans lately, and Oregon has chosen a
Republican member of Congress this year.
New York and New jersey may, after Indiana,
be fairly classed as doubtful, although the
Democrats are reasonably sure of carrying them
both. With them both, however. and with
what is enormously called the solid South,-
erroneously because the region includes two or
three States which do not belong to the South
at all-Hancock aud Hnglish will get only 1S2
votes in the electoral college. But if they shall
get 80 many they will probably have the salts
faction of preventing the election of Presi-
dent by the people. The constitution re-
quires majority of all the votes cast for the
election of the President. Now, the choice of
four electors in Maine who will vote for Mr..
Weaver for President has been made almost
Certain by the concurrence of the Democrats
and both factions of the Greenbackers in that
State in the nomination of four Greenback
electors; but the other three electors in Maine
will be for Garfield. This would make the
electoral college stand:
6arneIo .....''..'....' ..'.".-'....... Iot
Hancock. lo5
Weaver