Wheeling register. [volume] (Wheeling, W. Va.) 1878-1935, 1880-06-23
NEUTRALITY-SUSPICIOUS. 1850.

have l53 electoral votes. Ine states
conceded to be Republican have l55
electoral votes.
The doubtful States have the balance,
81 votes, for which the fight must be
made
The Democrats, therefore, must get
81 votes out OF the 81 doubtful, and the
Republicans must get 80.
II the Democrats carry New York,
they will have two votes over MAORI
ty, to spare. 1. they fail 10 carry New
York, then in order to succeed they
must must carry Ohio l22l with either
California C6l and Connecticut (G), or
New Jersey co., ami either one OF the
other doubtful States.
Ii the Republicans 10 not carry New
York, they cannot succeed even If they
carry every other doubtful State. Leay-
iug New York ont OF the count, there
are only 46 remaining electoral votes
that are doubtful, and the Republicans
will need 80. In other words, if the Re
publicans DO not carry New York they
will be defeated, even ii the Democrats
lose Ohio, New Jersey, Connecticut,
California and Oregon.
There is only one salvation Tor the
Republicans ii they lose New York,
and that is that they carry Indiana
We have not included Indiana in the
doubtful States, because it is thoroughly
/ Democratic, and although it is spoken
/ OF as one ni the doubtful States, it is
only So because it may become a dire
necessity to the Republicans. Yet i,S
Democratic majority in 1872 was nearly
as large as the Democratic majority in
West Virginia, and it would be quite as
reasonable to say that West Virginia is
doubtful as TO say that Indiana is.
The Republicans, with GARFIELD as
their candidate, make no clam to any
/ of the Southern States from which the
/ 1913 Democratic votes are principally
claimed. But the Democrats do not
consider that all the States are ahso-
lutely certain 70 go Republican from
which they must get the l3j electoral
votes we have conceded them.
Now let us look for a mOmaut at the
standing Of the so called doub,iul States.
/ New York, rs we have shown, is the
pivotal State in the contest-au absolute
Necessity % Republican success. What
are the chances?
Whenever New York has been fairly
/ contested between the two great parties
it has been Democratic. In lSGS tine
/ Republican candidate was L. :. GRANT
and the Democratic candidate was Hlo-
RATIO SEYMOUR, and the latter carried it
By ten thousand majority. In 1872
/ GRANT was again the candidate, aud
GRLELEY was put mp against HIM. The
"straight-Out' Democrats We're sore, and
put up CHARLES O'CoNoR. GRANT had
a walk over in New York, as elsewhere,
carving that State by over $4,000 ma
iority., In 1876 TlLDEN converted that
$1,000 Republican majority into
over $4,000 Democratic majority. Last
year CORNELL, the Republican candidate
for Governor, though failing TO receive
a majority OF all the votes, was elected
by plurality OF 42,777 over ROBINSON,
Democrat This victory was owing to
the war waged by john KELLY against
TlLDES aud his man RonINsoN. The
KELLY faction polled 1856 votes, thus
indirectly electing a Republican Gov
ernor. While New York has thus oscil-
lated in the past between the Democrats
and Republicans, il is only for this
reason that it is placed among the doubt
ful States, rs fair fight has always
demonstrated that it is Democratic. Ii
could only be in the event OF very OBJ
iec,ionable nomination being made at
Cincinnati that the Republicans have
any reasonable expectations OF carrying
New York.
Yet while New York is the Republic
can party's only hope, and 4 "iorlom
hope" as We have show, yet the Demo
Gratis can afford to lose New York, and
yet have a reasonable chance OF success.
For example, Ohio is a very uncertain
State. The job Of carrying Ohio for the
Democrats is not so great as that OF car
rying New York for the Republicans.
We do not think it policy for the DEM
ocrats to count on Ohio, but rather con-
centrate their energies on New York.
And vet it is not to be forgotten that the
Democratic party has been growing in
Ohio. From a Republican majority OF
Al 600 in 1868 to another OF $4,000 in
1872, the majority was reduced in 1876,
with an Ohio man as the Republican
nominee, to 2,74I.
Ii it were absolutely necessary to
Democratic success we might carry Ohio,
and we are not right certain that We
will not anyhow. And then OF the
other so-called doubtful States, both
New Jersey and Connecticut went Dem
ocratic in 1876, and will do SO again in
1850, though we shall not need them If
we get New York.
The fact is, that an impartial view OF
the situation shows that only by the
most Objectionable nomination at Gin
cinuati can the Democratic party fail OF
success this TALL.