Daily Republican., 1880-08-02
PItOt states,

Conce ling the solid South with one
hundred and thirty-eight electoral
votes to the Democrats there are several
States in the North claimed by both
parties which may very properly be
call I'd pivotal States. These States are
Maine, Connecticut, New York, New
Jersey and Indiana. These doubtful
St Lies SO called, have saventy.two
votes. The number Of votes rot in
clud ID in the s,lid South is two hun
dred and twenty one. 1t is generally
conceded that the Republicans will have
no difficulty in carrying all the North
except the States named. This would
give them one hundred and forty-nine
electoral votes--twenty-six short of q
sufficient number to elect. New York
State alone having thirty'fve votes
would eject the Republican candidate
with nine votes to spare. Without
Nsw York, Indiana, Connecticut and
Maine would do it with two votes to
spare. Without Maine, Indiana, Con-
uecticut and New Jersey would elect
with four votes to spare. New York is
not essential to the success Of the Re
publicans like it is to the Democrats.
How will It be with the Democrats 7
They have one hundred and thirty
eight votes to begin with-falling forty
seven short of an election. As with
the Republicans, New York alone could
not save them, for they would fall
twelve short Of an election. New York
and Indiana would save them with three
votes to spare. Without Indiana
New York, New Jersey and Connecticut
would save them with three over.
Without Indiana and New Jersey, New
York with Connecticut and Maine
would save them with one to spare.
without New York and allowing the
Democrats Indiana, New Jersey and
Connecticut and Maine the Democrats
would fall ten short Of an election. 1t
will be seen from this presentation OF
the casa that in whatever combination
of votes that are made the Democrats
must have New York TO elect their can.
didate, without the latter State they
have no possibility Of electing their
candidate unless they carry all OF the
other doubtful States we have named,
and California with five votes, Oregon
with three, and-but where shall we
End two more? They cannot be found
and it is just about as likely that Cen
eral Hancock their candidate will be
struck with lightning as that Cali
fornia, Oregon or Maine will cast their
electoral votes for the Democrats. 10
any and every case 1t is important that
the Democrats carry New York if they
expect any show Of success. Senator
BAyard saw this when he made an eff
fort to have Commissioner and Chief
Supervisor Of Elections Davenport re-
moved from his Office in New York, that
some sixty four thousand unnaturalized
citizens might be allowed to vote on
fraudulent naturalization papers.
Though the Democrats carried New
York, Indiana, New Jersey, Connecti'
cut and Oregon in 1876, they have all
since been carried by the Republican,,
and the prospects now are that they
will all be carried next November by
increased Republican msjorities. In
the calculations that we have made We
have counted amongst the doubtful
States simply because the Democrats
themselves count it So-indeed we have
conceded all and counted all the States
the Democrats counted doubtful. We
might have went to the South and coll
tested with them Virginia, North Caro-
lima, South Carolina, Florida and Louis
lana, but we have for the sake Of not
being thought unreasonable, generally
conceded to the Democratic party the
whole solid South. Should it re-
suit different on election day it
will be clear Republican gain. We do
0ot, however, admit that there is any
grounds for suPposing that Maine will
not cast her seven electoral votes for
the Republicans in November. Even
if it should not got for the Republicans
it will not be wholly Democratic for in
the unholy fusion made in that State
between the D emocrats and Greenback-
ers, the first are allowed three and the
latter four electoral votes. As it is, the
election of Garfield and Arthur is clear
ly within the reach Of the Republican
party and by united front Garfield
will be elected by the vote of q solid
North with 23l electoral votes against
a solid South for Hancock with 1873
votes.
WE REGRET that the negro Democratic
ofatof Harris, met with such rough