New-York tribune., 1880-06-22
THE PROSPECTS OF THE CANDIDATES.

TIE DEMOCKA1IC N0MINATI0N-HOw 1ILDEX
VOTES ARE snIFTING-ASOTHKR INDIANA CAN
DiDATE- --GENERAL UNCERTAINTY.
lBY ILLEGEApn THE TKiBUNEl
CIXCINNAII June 21.-Vcry little that can be
called order has to-day been resolved out of the
ehnos and confusion that prevailed yesterday.
Several 0f the candidate, have dropped out OF the
raee during the last two days, and their disappear
anee has sinplifed the situation in few dclcga-
tiOus, while in others it has increased the con-
fusion aud uncertainty by loos'ng the
bonds that held them together aud allow
Eng them to scatter to the four winds.
No one talks any more of the nomination
ofseymour. The last letter convinced the last
dosbter that the Sage of Deeriield was in earnest
tn his refusal to accept the nomination. Mr. Seymour
was the one man who could probably have been
nominated the first ballot If his consent to he
candidate could have been obtained and announced
week ago. The original Seymour strength has
been distributed to half a dozen other candidates.
Hemay be given few complimentary votes on the
FIRST ballot.
Of Mr. Tildcn's disappearance very little remains
to be SAID. The most interesting feature Of it to-day
has been the breaking-np Of his followers nnd the
apparent drifting of the control of the Convention
out of the hands of his friends. The New-York dele
CATION and that from Nebraska. it true, will remain
loyal oTildens political helr-Payne-and many of
voting for the choice of the old man." TO these
must be added the total vote of ONO. On the other
hand many of the Tilden votes going to other
candidates; those in Pennsylvania, for instance to
Randall, and three from kentucky under the lead
Of Henry Watterson to Bayard
Senator Tburnans slaughter is the latest Of those
of the great leaders. His removal from the list
of candidates causes very few changes.
He never had much strength except in
Ohio, and even here it was not Of a very earnest
kind. II could not be expected to stick long. and
was not inspired by any hope OF success. This de-
feat probab bly, closes Senator Thurnans career and
takes out of active politics Of the abest
Democrats who have led their party in late years.
Senator 1hurman's decline may be dated from |
the time that he yielded to the press
ure Of the crazy iuilatiOnists in his |
party in this State, surrendered his life, |
long convictions turned from the traditional prin-
cples OF the Democratic party and tempOrlzed on |
the currency question An admirer OF senator |
Thurman remarked to-day that IL he had had the
backbone to stand up against popular clamOr five |
or six wears ago, he would to-day he the strongest
Democrat IN the country, and would probably be |
the choice Of this Convention as Its candidate for
the Presidency.
RAYARD'S PROSPECTS.
OF the candidates still alive Senator Bayard stands
at the head of the list and his friends think he will
receive the largest vote the first ballot. The ell
ements of his strength and the sources of his weak
ness have been discussed in other dispatches to
THx tribune. and need not be repeated here.
Next to Bayards islands Payne, whose prominence at
this time is solely due to the support which Tidens
friends are giving him. This support cannot be de-
pended upon to stick much as though it had been
astraeted TO Payne BY his prom.nenoe in the party
or his influence in ITS organ zatiOC There Is very
little esprit de corps in it and almost no enthusiasm
The chief bond that holds the Payne forces together
y the desire of certain DemocFatic leaders to retain
or regain control of the party machinery. III the
support of any other candidate would hetD them TO