Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1880-04-20
The Candidate. at Cincinnati.

The democratic party is so engaged with Til
den at present that 1t has very little time to
discuss its other candidates for the presidential
nomination and therefore IL is difficult to esti-
mate how much OF boom the several aspirants
have behind them Until recently IL was gene
rally conceded that Tilden had stronger back
Ing than any man In his party for the nominal
ton, but the last few weeks have developed the
fact that he is unacceptable to a large element
OF his party, and this has operated against him.
Nothing has weakened Tilden so much as the
evidences OF intense hostility to him In the
southern states. Practical democrats admit
that their party cannot hope to elect President
except with the aid of the solid south Since
this southern opposition to Tilden has been
manifested few of his friends have advised
him TO push on his fight for the nomi-
nation In spite Of the south; to let that section
oppose him and that very opposition would
bring to his support sufficient northern states
to make up the loss This is an impractically
absurd view OF the subject and has only been
urged by certain men who could command
great deal with Tilden as President. Their sell
nsnneSS blinded their Judgment. Democratic
leaders who have the good OF their party unset
nshly at heart can generally be found now
among the opponents of Tilden. Even ex-Sen-
ator Barnum, who upon the termination of the
presidential struggle in 1876 began to work ear
nestly for denomination of the Old ticket, has
admitted that Tilden could not be elected and
must not be nominated. Ex-CongreS5maa
Hewitt Is also now claSSed among those who
believe that Tilden means defeat. and. while it
Is matter of absolute impOSSibiltty to fore
fell what political convention will do It must
DE admitted that the present indications all
point to the defeat of Tilden for the nomination
at Cincinnati, even should he continue his eff
forts up to the meeting of the convention
After Tilden, who is most likely to get
the nomination? That is an interest
Ing question, and though 1t cannot be
answered positively, the probabilities can be
arrived at. OF the candidates in the field
the indications are that Senator Bayard
VIII have larger support than any other He
VIII have some of the southern delegations solid,
and any sort OF favorable movement towards
him In the convention would readily bring the
entire south to his support. He has strong
friends In New York, Pennsylvania and all the
New England states, and Will get votes from
all those states whenever the breaking I'D or
departure from the unit rules shall commence.
Many OF the ablest and most influential leaders
OF the south are openly urging him. With but
twoor three exceptions the southern Senators
favor him, and the fact that he would be an &C
ceptable and strong candidate In New York
VIII workto his advantage. Next to Bayard
Hendricks will probably have a larger number
OF votes than any other candidate, and on the
first ballot he will, perhaps, have even more
imam Bayard. Hendricks will have Indiana
solid and answering. He will get part of the
Tennessee delegation probably, and some votes
from western and few possibly from eastern
states. His main element Of strength Will be
bhe determined support his own state will give
him. Hancock Will, in all probability, have
Pennsylvania and Louisiana, with some votes
from other states. Thurman Will have Ohio
and perhaps West Virginia. In considering
the possibilities at Cincinnati, however,
from the basis of present appearances,
Ex-Governor Seymour, of New York, must not
be omitted. There is feeling, almost a convic-
tfon, peryading the national democracy to-day
that he is the strongest man that could be
named for President; that he could heal the Diff
ferenceS In New York and carry the state, and
II he consents TO accept the nomination, 1t is
more than probable that II will be rendered to
him unanimously. Even If seymour fails to
publicly announce that he will not accept the
nomination, the chances are that the conven-
toh will conStrue his silence into a willingness
TO serve his party, and make him the candidate
Should he positively refuse to run, then Mr.
Bayards friends Will push his name and with
hopes OF success, for much OF the Seymour SEN
timent would take Bayard as second choice
The New York convention, In session at SYRIA
cuSe, Will determine the question as to whether
or not Tilden means to continue his fight for the
nomination. Should the convention choose a
Tilden delegation TO Cincinnati, then the process
OF killing of Tilden" must go on in the other
states