The Morristown gazette. [volume] (Morristown, Tenn.) 1867-1920, 1880-09-08
POLITICAL HOROSCOPE
Colonel BlantOl DulCdlS
SOLUTION OF THE PRESI-
DENTAL PROBLEM.
Hancock9s Election
a Certainty.
New York Telegram.

Blanton Duncan, of Kentucky, will
be found deeply interesting, The
Colonel has been a guest OF General
on Governors Island, aud
has bestowed great attention on the
subject of which he treats. There
are few men of his years SO thor~
oughly versed in political history.
His past estimates Of political con-
tests have been marked with extra
ordinary accuracy. On the 31st of
June, 1872, the Colonel declared
that certain States would vote for
Grant by named majorities and that
his electoral vote would be not less
than 283; while Greeley's would not
exceed So. This was published at
that date in Southern paper. Prior
to the Cincinnati Convention Col
onel Duncan maintained persistent
ly that Hancock would be nominal
ed, when very few thought it prob
able. On the 22d of March last he
published in another paper that
Hancock would receive 10 votes on
the first ballot. He received III.
On the 1st Of May he published a
statement giving the votes of the
States which would vote for Bayard
and Hancock as fsllows:-
"The Bayard and Hancock votes
will number s68 delegates on the
irst ballot" The vote actually was
Hancock, III, Bayard, 1853, with
Arkansas and Kansas for Hancock,
but casting complimentary votes on
the first ballet for Field and Ewing.
Their % votes would have brought
the actual strength to 1854. Col
oneI Duncan gave up Maine last
year in July, though his friends
claimed it up to the day Of election.
HANCoCK's DAILY INCREASING STRENGTH
In view of these predictions, a
Telegram reporter called on Colonel
Duncan and asked whether he had
any objection to give in detail the
calculations from which he deduced
these results.
Il shall be very glad to do So"
said the Colonel cheerfully, "for l
have come to regard the Telegram as
a paper that has been marked by
wonderful ability and enterprise,
and in the domaia of politics, by ex-
ceediugly keen foresight.
"Havs you made any estimates.
Coloael, en- the approaching Presi-
dental electien?'
at is almsst too early to be posi-
tive ia regard to such matters, as
the contest cannot be fairly said to
have commenced and, just as in
great battles there are fluctuations
before a final decision, We may ex
pect similar developments as thu
political battle grows hot. I car
give you my judgment Of the States
to-day. which I think will become
more favorable to Gen. Hancock
during each month of the canvass.
The Southern States can be dispos-
ed of with very little discussion, and
the Republicans. though the leaders
are fully aware that free and cour-
teous debates would be held with
their prominent Northern speakers
in every Southern State, will scarce
ly take the trouble to send speakers
to q field so barren Of hopes fol-
them. The only possible chance fol-
the Republicans will be in Florida,
and that State will be carried by B.
900 for Hancock. There will be at
tention paid to it's canvass and or
ganization this year, which was neg
lected in 1876, and in the conse-
quence was q fraudulent vote in the
heavy negro counties which overbal-
snced the fair vote in the more nu-
merous Democratic counties.
ESTIMATED MAJoRITIEs
"Arkansas will give from 10000
to $4,000; Alabama. $4,000; Dele
ware. $500; Georgia. $4,000; Ken
lucky. $4,000; Louisiana, 10000
Maryland, $4,000; Mississippi, CO..
600; Missouri, 10000; North Caro-
lima. 25, 900; South Carolina, Is, 900;
Tennessee, $4,000; Texas, $4,000;
Virginia. 10000; West Virginia. So
600. The Radical party is complete
ly disrupted and disbandad in near
ly all the Southern States. If the
negroes could be transferred, like so
many figures on a blackboard. it
would be possible for the local OPP
position in several States, like Ala.
bama, Arkansas and Mississippi, to
make q fight, under the guiss OF a
greenback ticket; but that can't be
done. Even Mr.. Lowe. the Con,
0raaamap from Alabama. has declar-
cd his adhesion to General Hancock.
With 8 Radical ticket running in
each State separately, the figures
given by me will be found less than
the actual Democratic plural ty
where three tickets are run. In
Kentucky there will not be over 3d.,
600 Republican votes cast. The
fnll Democratic vote, if it could be
.oIIod ia not less than 220, 600, and