Morning journal and courier., 1880-08-28
HOW IT LOOKS TO-DAY.

For several weeks the Democratic orators have been bowling their alleged confidence in the certainty of Hancocks election. Tho Democratic press has been gloating over the alleged approaching dissolution and ruin of the party that abolished slavery and saved the Union. And the Democratic rank and file have been drunk with alleged enthusi- asm, and in many cases with something else as the records of the police courts show
 But time which, according to the old copy books, is ''the tried and final friend of truth, D has worked change. The Demo cratic party, which nominated Hancock to conceal it's own character and delude the ig- norant and minimizing has failed to accom- plish it's purpose. The Hancock boom" has seen it's best days. The Republican party, on the other hand is in 6 much better position than it few weeks ago. While the Democrats have been eproceshing, making @ noise and letting of unlimited fireworks, the Republicans have been busy exposing ic party and their work has had just the ef- feet to be expected from it. The sober sec ond thought of e large majority of the peo- pie has, we believe, convinced them that it is not yet safe to trust the party which brought on the rebellion and has ever since stood in the way of good government.
 This being the case, the Republican party with well grounded hope of success. A look at the probabilities in respect to these votes is exceedingly encouraging. Well informed Democrats do not claim that there is any hope for Hancock at the North outside of the four States of New York, New Jersey, Connecti- cut and Indiana. If he receives the support of the solid South (138 electoral votes) he must have 47 more to give him majority in the electoral college. If he should carry h. diana, New Jersey, Connecticut, Maine, Cal ifornia and Oregon he would still lack one vote of a majority, these States having 46 votes. To win, even with solid South, he must carry New York and Indiana, or New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, or New York and other northern States which are not considered doubtful.
 But in addition to the probability that the Democrats will not get 47 electoral votes at the North, there is a possibility that they VIII uOb SSG dA Guo FObcS III tuo OOubA- Ou- less the fight between the Democrats in Vir- ginia is stopped (and there are at present no signs that it will be) the Republicans will have the Il electoral votes of that State In that event Hancock will need 58 votes from the North. Republicans also hope, and with good reason, for the four electoral votes of Florida
 It is virtually conceded that General Gar field is now sure of 1G6 votes from the North ern States. With these he lacks but 19 of a majority. He needs only to carry New York, or Indiana and Connecticut, or New Jersey and Virginia or Indiana and Florida, or In- diana and New Jersey.
 It will thus be seen that the Republicans have much the advantage in the probabilities. They can also be sure of considerable help from the Democratic party as the canvass progresses, for that party can be depended on to furnish effective weapons for it's own defeat. If the Republicans do not grow over confident and relax effort they win we think, he victoriouS