New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1880-10-14

| ent Republican gain OF one, hepuohc'ii'
National being replaced by straight ReDub-
Iican. But NJ the sitting member has Repub-
lican affiliations. it would be wiser, in esti-
mating the margin to be overcome to reverse
the majority in the House. not to count tliis
as a gain. This brings us to the Octoper
States, in which some districts are in doubt.
The election Of Mr. Heilman, the Republican
candidate in the LIST Indiana District, which
has been in dispute, is now conceded. The
election of Peele, Republican candidate IN the
With District, is reported by the Associated
Press as probable, while that of Taylor in
the XIIth, is doubtful. Leaving the two I'M
settled Districts out of consideration, the Re-
publicans have seven Congressman. The
Democrats cOncede this, while the Republl-
cans are claiming eight with good reason. A
Republican gain of one Congressman is as
sured, with an excellent prospect OF gain OF
| two, and chance of three.
Ohio makes the noble contribution OF SIX
additional Republican members to the next
House. At midnight the Republicans and
Democrats agree that fifteen Republicans and
five Democrats have been elected, as against
nine Republicans and eleven Democrats IN the
present House. These figures seem to be es-
tablished beyond doubt. gain OF
one Congressman in Oregon, one in In
diana, and six in Ohio, makes to-
tai of eight If the Republicans shall
be found to have elected eight Congressman
in Indiana. as is probable, the total gain will
be nine. If the Indiana score rises to nine,
the total gain will be ten.
The present House of Representatives is di-
vided as follows: Republicans, 100; DEM
ocrats, 149 Republican Nationals, 5 Demo-
cratic Nationals. 7 Nationals, the whole
number 293. The Republican and Democratic
Nationals will usually act upon National issues,
with the parties with which they are already
somewhat affiliated Reclassifying them in this
way, the present House stands: Republi-
cans, 1876 Democrats. 1856; Nationals, 2.
A majority OF the House is 147 votes.
The Republicans would need, therefore, to
gain twelve votes to get control. They have
already a sure gain of eight. If the gain
proves to be nine, they will be only three
votes away from majOrIty-supposing that
the Republican Nationals would always act
with them. But the Republican party
does not want any uncertain support.
Put the five Republican Nationals out
Of consideration, and the Republicans now
have 40 members. They need II to make
majority. Elections in five States have
given them eight, or one-half the number,
and perhaps nine. But at the worst,
and counting all Republican Nationals
against us, the Republican party
is now only nine votes away from majority
OF the House of epresentatves-with 33
States to hear from.
There is sill more in this most pregnant
vote of Tuesday. Mr. Hendricks comedies the
election of a Republican Legislature in Indi
ana, which will send Republican to the United
States Senate in place of Mr.. Mcdonald There
has never been any doubt of the politics of
Mr. Kernan's successor from this State with
Republican majority of eighteen in the
State Senate. But Tuesdays vote means IA
Republican Assembly also, and the last Dem
Ocratic ioOphoe is closed. Mr.. Humans
place will be filed by a Republican, and
Senator Wallaces also. The Republicans
now have thirty three Senators, one of whom,
Senator Bruce, they will lose. Adding the |
certain gain OF four Senators just noted, the |
Republican strength next March will be SO. |
There are two contingencies here-that the !
Republicans may lose seat they now hope |
to hold, but Of this there seems to be no
chance the other is that when the cleo |
ton is over, the Democrats may expel |
Senator Kellogg. But in New-Jersey |
and Connecticut the Republicans have |
the strongest hopes of replacing Messrs. |
Randolph and Eaton with Republicans. This |
gain, added to the figures above, would give |
the Republicans 80 votes tie the Senate, and |
give the Republican Vice-P President the casting
vote. The election of a Republican in the
place of Senator Jones. of Florida, would give
the Republicans a majority of one.
The election of Republican President and
Republican House seems assured A Republic
can Senate is inevitable. within two years at
least. The hour of doom has struck for the
Democratic party.