New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1880-04-12

making wholesale claims of strength for their can
didate, Another crumb of comfort for the 1rahV
people ia the prospect securing the four
at large from Massachusetts, at the worcester Col-
yentiop next Wednesday. Of this they profess u
be certain, but my information leads me to think
that the delegation will be for Edmunds first and
Washburne second, aud only for Grant IN case IL IL
compelled TO choose between him and Blaine.
To offset the loss of Virginia the Blame men nave
a good deal of encouraging news. Inc enormous nous
majority their candidate will have IN the Iowa CON
yeDtlon shows they say, the drift OF Opnlon III the
West and will exert o strong influence 9u tne
neighboring States of Illinois. wisconsin anu & nidiio
neSota They clam that Grant Will not eet sgie te
vote from the Western line of PennsyT 10 un9
Pacific coast, save what he gets ID llLo: to hat n
many of them believe they T eSd eS his candidacy
before the Convention meets. Everybody now re-
CARDS illinois as the key to the situation. II Gen
co into the Convention wit fair chaneeo OF succeSs
II he cannot, his case ia hopeless. IL he cOni9
count upon solid Southern vote be be. c0gla 0T6
81 State; s;oSyns saf the n0~ sd%h @ tie tSTd
term project and uniting it with dDa Pen M1
get good many Southern votes-soine Iroir Ioun ui
Carolina, some from Tennessee, some from Missis
sinni and two or three from Texas. sherman VIII
also have some strength from that section. Ihus,
between them. they will make serious break INTO
Grants Southern column. For every V1le % NItp EIahI
loses IN the South he must gain one IN tne N9rei
outside of New York. Pennsylvania and Illinois, II
he is to be nominated, and it Is not easy to see
where he can make such gains He must also make
nm somewhere for the delegates from Pennsylyanla
who will disregard their State instructions and lali
back on the resolutions of thercounty conventions.
While in Philadelphia the other day was tod that
there are TWENTY-FIVE such delegates who nave oe-
clared their nteption TO vote for Blame on the rsI
ballot Mr.. Blaines friends here claim stu larger
number and even talk of taking the deleRatl9n
bodily away from Grant under the unit rule. froD-
ably their expectations exaggerated. III he gets
fifteen OF twenty Pennsylvania votes on the nIst
ballot. the Grant Slate will be broken beyond the
possibility of mendinR - ~, c,-..,
Not much faith is expressed in Mr.. Shermanss
candidacy here, outside the bureau which General
Fearing of Ohio, is running for hlm TO dlstriDuie
documents. IL is evident that he has very nttlo
original first-choice strength. Pretty large CLAIMS
ore made in his behalf but have found no one VINO
can definitely indicate thirty votes for hm on hrst
ballot outside of Ohio. He can only become
formidable by q transfer to him OF 2 large snare OF
the Grant strength the consolidation oi the
Blaine forces with his under his leadership. Inc
former contingency is not improbable the latter Is
O very remote possibility. A.,
AS the field looks now 1t seems to me that the
most likely outcome of tho Chicago Convention IS
the nomination Of Mr.. Blaine on the second ballot
by the transfer to him of the vote of Ohloi the
second result IN the order of probability being Ihe
nomination of Washburne or some much darker
horse by the combination against Blaine OF all inc
elements not favorable to him. L. W o