The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1879-01-01

the commercial CiIs-n Aul hoW can tic
tobacco taN hc passed without the os-
slstancc Of the Natonal-Libcials, who
have repeatedly declared against tY
Indeed, how can BISMARCK govern at all
without the concurrence Of that party to
which lac has never vouchsafrd any voice.
either In the Imperial or prus,lan Cabinets.
and with which ne formally hrrkoon The 1i4-
solution "a the la@' Parliament? Tits tiuo
that iu the late session OF thrucW Roich..ur
q truce seems to have been patched upuu,lcr
ia" pressure of the national resentment
against the kaiscr's as.as-ins. But it de.
ponds. probably. on the action dictated by
the Vatican 10 the Uitramon,anc ncinbcrs.
how long this hollow ma ill-ns4Duted league
between BIsMABCK and The German Liberals
will last
There is no State in Europe more likely
during the coming year to undergo internal
perturbation than the dual monarchy 81
Austro-liungary. On questions Of finance
aud distribution OF public burdens this i'll
compactcd empire has moro than once been
threatened with dislocaticn, hut no pre-
viuus embarrassmcuts are at all compare
bic with those cntailcd hy the Bosnian
annexation. Ii tho provinces occupied
beyond tho Save were really 20 I've
restored to the Porte on payment
of the actual expenses. It Dc plain that AUS.
tran diplomacy would become the laughing
stock Of Europe. The sunposition Of sur
render Is scarcely tenaOlo; but. OH the
other hand. the problem Of Incorporation
seems TO raise insupcroblc diniculties How
is it possible to absorb the now territory. &c.
Of t.s. I 1
treasure, without destroying the cquilib-
rium between the two factors Of the empire.
and kindlng into flame those othnic ieui-
ousies and cnmties which are but partially
smothcrcd under the existing constitution ?
This il matter which Will tax the shrewd.
est Statesmen at Vienna and Buda-Pcsth
during the next twelveuonth.
As regards ltaiy. Il is not probable that
the grave social danger latent in the fright.
ful privat!ons OF the peasant class through.
out the south OF the peninsula Will culiui-
nate in the year that now begins. But We
shall watch with interest tho STEPS taken
10 coniure catastrophe which. IL the
Judgment Of such keen Observers as
De GURERNATis. threatens the worry
structure OF society. The task Of gov
eminent intrusted TO Slgnor DEPRrrIs
IS one Of no little difficulty under the pres
ent political conditions and would be rem
dcred quito impracticablo should the cler-
lcal party be encouraged or permitted by
the Vatican 10 take part in the elections.
And here we may refer TO the inomentous e.-
feet. both on Italy and Germany. OF decided
change in the Papol policy. 1t may be- that
the twelve new Cardinals whose early crca-
ton is announced will materially affect the
attitude OF the Sacred College. At all events
there Is good reason 10 think The aims ami
intentions of the new Pontin will be dis
tinetly disclosed during the year ls79
So far as late events enable us 10 form n
judgment ou this first day OK the year. the
Turkish difficulty is likely e. he arranged
upon the basis " q faithful compliance with
the treaty OF Berlin. This dispos.t ion OF the
question Is n happy one for the housc o..
RoMANOTF. if not for Russia. FOR II leaves
the dynasty NJ leisure - apply itself
with undimlni-hed military prestige to
the adjustment Of its fiscal and SOCIAL em-
barrassment- With bulge. rcvealiu,
every year growing deficit. and with !lttlc
or no credit on the exchanges 81 Europe
it Is absolutely necessary 10 curtai OK
perditures; Yet this step will hot Ice
easily reconciled with the rapacous
claims OF corrupt bureaucracy. Nor
should We undcuate the gravity ul
the dangers latent in the Nih.lis; move
nent which is steadily sapp.ug the -cut.-
ment OF loyalty. which has already infected
| the mercantile aui prufes siunal classes nd
/ may az any moment turn It's whole ma
! chinery - propaganda upon the rural pouu-
/ lation. For the BoAANoFFs. therefore. as
well a. the HApsnr EGHs, the n-vt year oi
/ grace may prove u be wear OF tribulation.
IL -ecms 10 boz settled. o- We hage .l.d.
that further term Of respite aud one more
/ opportunity OF reform win be offered 20 the
Ottoman empire during the coming twelve
month. But Sc ueed not point cut thar the
question of administrative ana Judicial rc-
construction is complicated with 4 nnau.
cial problem and that neither can be
/ solved without tie aid ot England
Whether that assistance IS forthcoming
( will depend entirely on the relative
strength Of political parties il Grea; Brt-
ain during the yeai ls1s. The Issue OF tAe
| Same contest between Liberals and Consei'
natives Tor the controlof public opinion viii
determine the future policy Of the lndlu
Government, ana tx the nature and limits
Of the advantages tO be reaped from tins
successes lately reported in A'ghanistan.