New-York tribune., 1879-10-25
NEU.YORK NEXT YE1R.

We have repeatedly warned our friends not
to put too much trust in ID mocratic divisions.
There j. always n chance that at the last mo-
ment these quarrcls may be composed. There
Is "a possibility that the extent of the differ
ences has been exaggerated, and that the ap
parent enthusiasm of Mr.. Kelly's audiences
VIII prove to be-, in large part. only the cX-
cltement Of curiosity. There is time yet for a
great many changes in the relative strength
Of the Democratic factions, and boilers,
alarmed for the fate Of their party next year,
may surrender, even at the last hour TO the
regular nominees. None of these suppositions
is likely 70 lie verified, but the Republicans
ought to be prepared tor all of them and to
make their own victory sure, whatever course
the other side may adopt. 1t would be very
bad generalship to base n campaign entirely
upon the estimated mistakes OF the enemy.
The defeat of Tdcnism viii relieve New
York Of the danger and disgrace of giving It's
electoral votes to the chief Of the cipher con-
splracy of 1876. and viii, perhaps, dispose
forever of an influence which has long been
mischievous both in State and National poll
tics. Mr.. Tilden's famous "relOrm " cam
pagn deceived many of us for a while. but
1t is well understood now, and, by the dis
credit it has cast upon professions Of admin
istrativc severity and purity it has done ser-
Gus damage to the cause of good government,
precisely a. tie cant of hypOcrtes is an in
Jury to religion. 1t will be good thing to
get rid Of political chicanery which wears the
disguise of superior virtae. But if the credit
of defeating Tlldenlsm Is mOnOpOliztd by
John Kelly, we are not sure that the cOndi-
tion of affairs will lie much improved.
If there should be no great increase i'll the
Republican vote of New-YOrk this year, 10
such uprising Of the people as we have seen
in Ohio and Iowa. but only considerable
shifting of Democratic votes from Robinson
to Kelly, the principal significance of the
election would be in the tendency of such Il
result to transfer the supreme control of the
New-YOrk State Democracy to Tammany
Hall. We hear ii said sometimes that john
Kelly will make himself the party dictator if he
destroys Tilden. In reality Tammany and not
Mr.. Kelly would gather the laurels and the
spoils of such victory. John Kelly is only
the temporary head of an organization which
has gIaspcd power and wealth in tins city
during many generations, and is likely to be
Il danger to tie metropolis for many years TO
come. Sachcms rise and fail. Tweed leigns
to-day Kelly SITS IN Twoeds chair to-mor-
row; it may be somebody else next week;
always II l. the strength of the organization
that rules, and not The personal force of its
chief officer, Mr.. Kelly's private character is
respected, and since Tammany exists we are
glad that he is at the head of it, because we
believe he does the best he can with the rough
material at bis disposal. Yet the character of
Tammauy does not change. The Christening
influence of the Tweed disaster is not get cx-
haustcd. but many OF the same men who sur
rounded Tweed are still persons OF consider
alton at the Fourteenth-st. establishment
and hundreds of others of the same class are
ready to combine with them at the first op-
portunity. As "A matter of fact, the rank and
file of Tammany are just what they were In
1870; and that the baser elements of the So
ciety will take control of it whenever it wakes
strong and prosperous is as sure as sunrise.
IL will not be more than a half-victOry for
good government therefore on the 4th of No
vember unless the Republicans infiict IA severe
defeat upon Tammany and Tildenism both.
This they can do, If they will make proper
efforts to get out their full vote, and enforce
few sacrifices of personal interest here and