The Elk County advocate. [volume] (Ridgway, Pa.) 1868-1883, 1879-10-09
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THE ADVOCATE.
The Outlook for 1850.
[Phila. Weekly Press.1

tions in New York and Ohio, and the
not unreasonable conclusion that their
vote this year forecasts their verdict
next year, have led the Louisville
COurier-Journdl to conclude that the
Republican party has at length sue
ceeded in confronting a solid South
with a solid North. Other Democratic
journals, however, are not so easily
discouraged, and endeavor to figure
up enough electoral votes for their
candidates without the aid of the two
States on which their hopes have
hitherto been centcred.
The 13S votes from the sixteen
Southern States are taken out of the
region of speculation. They are as
certain as anything can be certain to
be cast solidly for the Democratic can
didate, whomever he may be and on
whatsoever platform he may run The
81 remaining votes which are required
to make up the necessary 1S5 consti
tute difficulty which, without the
assistance of New Yorl's 95 or Ohio's
%, the Democracy cannot overcome.
The Northern States heretofore
claimed with the greatest confidence
by the Democrats as certain to cast
their electoral vote for the Democratic
candidates next year, are Indiana,
New Jersey, Connecticut, California
and Oregon. Indiana, always a doubt
full State, has for the last ten years
been pretty consistently Democratic.
Though it gave Grant a majority in
1872 of 5,OS4, the gubernatorial election
of the month preceding was better
test of the relative strength of parties,
when Hendrick was elected over the
Republican candidate by a majority of
1,1S4.
In the same way New Jersey is not
unrcasonably relied on to give its vote
with Indiana and the solid South. In
1860 New Jersey alone of all the
Northern States failed to give it's en-
tire electoral vote to Lincoln and
Han.lin; in 1864 it contributed with
Kentucky and Delaware the 21 votes
received by Mcclellan and Pendleton,
and in 1868 it joined New York and
Oregon in giving 43 Northern votes
for Seymour. Though it refused to
support Mr.. Greeley in 1872, the State
vote in the year before and at every
election since shows substantial
Democratic majority. Adding then
the Is votes of Indiana and the votes
of New Jersey to the 1873 from the
South, but % yet remain to be provided.
Connecticut, California and Oregon
can together furnish but Is of this
number, even if they do not prefer to
cast their vote for the Republican can
didatcs. Connecticut, with but one
exception, that of 1876, has given a
majority for every Republican presi-
Dental candidate, including Fremont.
In off years it has, it is true, a ten
dency to occasionally elect a Demo
cratic Governor, but in 1873, with both
a National and Prohibition ticket in
the field, the Republicans elected their
candidate, and it is by no means evil
dent that in the coming national
struggle of 1880 Connecticut will not
resume her old place in the Republi-
can column.
California is relied on by the Demo-
Gratis, though it is hard to tell why.
Should the Workingmen keep up
their organization, and have presi-
Dental candidate of their own, as is
Kearney's programme, the State is
sure for the Republicans, and should
the contest be between the two regular
parties there is no reason why the
State should reverse her verdict OF
1876, when she gave Hayes majority
over all of 2,73S. Oregon has always
majority either way has seldom been
more than few hundred, and this
since the war has generally fallen to
the Democrats. The stream of immi-
grafton which is at present, and has
for the last four years, been pouring
into that State, chiefly from the
North, will have to be taken into ac-
count in any estimate of the vote OF
next year.
Should these five Northern States
vote next year for the Democratic can
didates, and in the last three named
we have seen the chances are in favor
of Republican success, there still re-
main eight votes necessary to elect
The States suggested-from one OF
more of which these lacking votes
may possibly be obtained-are New
Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Wis
consin. New Hampshire could give
but five of these. even if the small Re
publican majority in that State could
not still be relied on to be cast next
year, as it has been in every national
campaign since the reorganization of the
Republican party. Pennsylvania's
twenty-nine votes are claimed as
doubtful by some sanguine Democrats.
although the State for more than
twenty years in national and guberna-
torial elections has never failed to give
decisive majorities for the Republican