Daily Republican., 1879-11-12
The Fusure OF tho senate.

" The Fusare OF tho senate.
Though some fifteen months must
slapss yet before the political character
of the next United States Senate can
possibly be changed, the fact that such
. change is merely possible must create
considerable speculation amongst poll,
ticians Of all parties. The elections
which have taken place this fall, while
they pretty clearly indicate that Re.
publican House will succeed the pres
ent rebel brigadier concern, still leaves
the whole matter dependent upon next
falls elections when the entire House
is to be chosen, but with the Senate the
contest is narrowed to the result in one
I State, and that State is Indiana. The
present Senate 10 composed Of seventy
six members, thirty mine being q ma
jority of two and thirty-sight being q
tie. Counting Judge Davis, of Illinois,
- Dsmoorat, though he was elected
- an Independent, the Senate polit-
icslly stands at present forty-three
Democrats and thirty-three Rspub-
licans, q Democratic majority of ten.
The terms OF twenty-five Senators sx-
pire with the closing Of the present
C,ngress on the fourth Of March, 1881,
fourteen Of whom are Democrats and
eleven are Republicans. EigNof these
Democrats are from the Southern States
and according 70 the present Demo-
cratic shotgun policy sof that re-
sisn. 80 ardsntly supported by
esnssor Bayard, either they will
saccssd themselves or other Democrats
viii succeed them, though If fair cleo
tion. which is not likely should happen
to be held in the South, there is no
doubt some Republicans would be elect
ID. This however cannot be counted
upon, and the thought might as we'll be
dismissed. Six Of these Democratic
Senators are from the North-namely,
Ration Of Connecticut, Herman Of New
York, Randolph ofNsw-Jsrsey, Wallace
Of Pennsylvania, Thurman of Ohio, and
Mcdonald of Indiana. The defeat of
all Of these Senators named except Nc
Donald has been assured by the recent
elections which have just taken place
and they will be succeeded each by .
Republican. In the case of Mr.. McDon-
aid the Legislature which elects Sem
ator in his place will not be elected un-
I'll next fall. Indiana, the State from
which he halls is Democratic now, but
with the present revolution in politics
that has been going on through the
North and West, there is NO reason to
surposs that Indiana will not be Re-
publican also and elect a Republican
Senator to succeed Mcdonald.
OF the eleven Republicans whose
terms expire with the present Congress,
ten of them are sure to be returned eth
er themselves or other Republicans in
their places, only one, Bruce the colored
Senator from Mississippi, being sure to
be succeeded by a Democrat. Taking
then the foregoing IS basis, it is rea-
sonably sure that the next Senate will
be composed of 3S Democrats including
Judge Davis and thirty-sight Rspub-
licans, making tie. Should Indiana,
elect Democrat to succeed Mcdonald,
then the Senate would stand thirty. nine
Democrats and thirty-seven Rspubli-
cans. Again, should Judge Davis appear
disposed to kick in Democratic traces,
In case of a tie he can throw the pre-.
ponderance in favor Of the Republicans
in the passage of bills, but by throw
ing his vote in favor Of the Democrats
he can defeat Republican measures but
could not pass Democratic measures.
Should there be a Democratic majority
in the Senate, including
the Judge, he could defeat Democratic
measures by voting with the Rspubli
cans, but he would fail to pass Repub-
lican measures. In either case the
Judge is placed in position where he
San sway despotic power and the pass
age of all measures, no matter whether
emanating from Democratic or Republi-
can, success will depend entirely upon
his vote. Should Mcdonald be defeat
ed next year in Indiana there would
then only be seven Democrats, including
Judge Davis, left in the Senate from the
great North and West-namely, Davis
Of Illinois, Grover Of Oregon, Slater OF
the same State, Farley of California,
Voohees Of Illinois, Pendleton Of Ohio,
and Mel Pherson of New Jersey. The terms
Of three Of them expire March 4, 1883
and if the present revulsion Of politi-
cal sentiment continues they will
be succeeded by three Republicans
which will than make the Senate stand |
forty-one Republicans to thirty-fve
Democrats. After this there will only
be five Democrats left in the Senate
namely. Voorhees,. Slater Farley. Pend |