Daily globe. [volume] (St. Paul, Minn.) 1878-1884, 1879-09-17
THE SITUATION IN NEW YORK.

The recent split in the Democratic party
of New York has very naturally cast all
other political movements in the shade.
New York, besides being the most populous
State in the Union, is the pivot upon which
the next Presidential election will rest.
Without the electoral vote of that State
neither party can hope to attain success.
With the thirty-fve electors to be chosen a
little more than year hence, either will be
certain of electing their candidates for
President and Vice President. The South
ern States, with one hundred and thirty
electoral votes, will be solidly Democratic
With the aid of Indiana, New JERSEY and
Connecticut, which control thirty additional
votes and are reasonably certain to cast their
strength with the Democracy, the party
would still lack seventeen votes of major
ity. This can orly be secured by the vote
of New York, Ohio or Illinois. Of the two
latter we have but little hope, but are san
guine of the result in New York
provided the present breach in the
party is healed either by the withdrawal
of Tammany from the field of contest or
by the total disruption of the organizations,
OF the two, we prefer to witness the latter
contamination, for it cannot be denied that
the adhesion of this society of ill-repute to
the Democratic party of New York has been
source of great weakness to it. g.. 81 .>
AS to the strength which Tammany will
develop in the pending campaign, opinions
differ widely, and are influenced. no doubt,
BY the political bias of those who give them.
The more radical of the Republican press
predict that Kelly will poll from forty to six
ty thousand votes in New York city and
Brooklyn, while the Tammany organ places
the figures still higher. The more oonserva-
tive of the Republican journals, including
the Herald and Times, declare that his sup
port will be uncomfortable, and that the
bulk of the membership of Tammany Hall
Will desert it and cling to
the regular Democratic organization. This
opinion is emphatically approved by both
the World and the Sun. Desertions from
the society have already begun, headed by
Elk Gov. Hoffman, one of the most infiu-,
entail men in the party, while he has been
followed by a considerable number of Lesser;
lights. It is, indeed, probable that the dis.
Indignation of the society has already begun
and will continue until it will be numbered
among the things Of the past a consumma-
ton devoutly to be wished. If it should
happen that the strength of Tammany
dwindles as expected, by these apparently
we'll posted journals there will be no doubt
whatever of Gov. Robinson's reelection, for
he is infinitely stronger than his Republican
opponent both ip the cities and throughout
the State. He can afford to lose twenty
thousand votes, for II his poll will
no. doubt be much larger than
in 1876, when his majority over
all competitors amounted to about twenty
five thousand. II he shall succeed in being
elected there is no doubt whatever but New
York may be reckoned among the Demo
cratic States in 1880, and the choice of a
Democratic President will be assured. If
he is defeated tho doubt as to the result next
year caused by such defeat will inspire the
Republicans with renewed hope, and cause
them to make tremendous exertions to carry
the State. If, however, despite the nnuaud |