The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1879-11-03

northern and western parts OF the State now pro-
pose to connect the missing links" in my CORE
spondence and give the specuatons of the politicians
OF the interior. When starting out on my political
mission gave in letter from Port Jervis the
issues upon which politicians and Spectators
might critcise and watch for the results OF the
present exciting campaign The issues stand to-day
as they did then The outlook too. is just as mixed
as ever. except that party lines carefully
drawn and the voters understand more thoroughly
the merits of the fight that is to take place next
Tuesday. The hopes and fears of all the factions
may be truthfuly summarized as follows:-
Fust-Will Mr.. John Kelly be able to poll more
than 10000 votes in the State of New York? II not
Governor Robinson has q reasonable chance Of re-
election.
Secont-Have the republicans injured their cause
by assisting the Kelly "boom" throughout the
State. by the influence of local leaders. partisan
newspapers and paid agents?
7hpd-will the ''bloody shirt" argument-"solid
South" dangers OF the government falling into
rebel hands, Chisholm massacre and "shot gun"
policy-bc sufic ent to hold firmly the republican
vote OF the State. al to bury all issues of per-
sonal complaint between gubernatorial candidates?
Fourh-what will the "scratchers." prohibition
and greenback republican vote amount to? Can
those factions DRAW OF sufficient number Of votes
to counterbalance the Kelly detection? 1T is urged
by Robinson democrats that at least fifty thousand
votes will be cast in this way.l
FJM-It is conceded that there are about seventy
five thousand independent votes in the State of New
York. Where will the majority OF these votes go?
They are said to be neither democrats nor repubi-
cans, but always ready in tight like this to cast
their ballots Tor the best men, irrespective OF
politics.
SOME RESULTS OF INVESTIGATION.
Now such. find. are the main and vital questions.
the answer to which must determine the election in
noisy partisans both sides to claim enormous
lnajorIties, but IL they to be frank in their
statements they must concede that the election is
about AS mixed and uncertain as any that has ever
taken place IN the State or New YORK.
have travelled during the past four weeks
through many republican counties. and am free to
that it not for the bitter aud vigorous
canvass carried on by the republicans solely Oh
tional issues Governor Robinson would undoubtedly
be reelected by handsome majority. How deep
seated are the prejudices again refunded
in the hearts or independent republicans
against democratic brethren by partisan appeals is
question that can only be answered ut the ballot
box. have met some temperate. sensible republic
shaken in their faces far too often in the present
campaign They do not any sign whatever of the
ocratic party carry the State They recos nize the
importance OF having honest. incorruptible State
administration. removed from Canal Ring and
ons and other public institutions and
Offices OF the State may not the risk Of being
again placed under the control OF plunderers.
They recognize too. the republican civil service
platform 1876. and look with wonder at the spec
tacle OF Secretaries sherman and Evarts advocating
the claims OF gentleman to the governorship whom
they recently turned out Of the Custom House for
incompetency Such are the sentiments OF some
republicans with whom conversed. / must say
these gentlemen were few and far between.
TO REPUBLICAN DETECTION.
have failed to discover in the counties through
which travelled any evidences of strong republi-
detection; III fact the open evidences quite
respect to democrats they contend that the ma
jorIty Of dlsatfected republicans will not give
open evidence before election of tho faith
that is in them, but will go quietly to
fully scratched. or the name of Lucius Robinson
substituted Tor that Of Aonzo b. Cornell. That is
their theory and the majority feel enthusiastically
sanguine to the truth of this estimate Is it
tain that they will not be disappointed upon the
night of election? The republican leaders each OF
look upon them simply ridiculous. Will the hopes
Of these gentlemen, too. be realized at the
time? Some people to be bitterly undeceived
after the closing of the polls Tuesday afternoon.
ESTIMATES OF POLITICAL THINKERS.
spent considerable time with two gentlemen here
sense-taking up each county separately and examn-
ing the condition OF each IRON all standpoints
Ono of these is an independent republican and the
other Robinson democrat. Both have had num-
they have exercised calm unbiased Judgment in the
estimates furnished as to the probable vote for
Governor in eacn county Of the State Tuesday
next.
The calculations based the supposition that
$50 900 votes will be cast 1t is also estimated the
votes the whole State. which, OF course. includes
New York city. Tho estimates given majorties
for the two candidates in the various counties as
follows:-