The New York herald., 1879-09-25

Democratic majority in city. .............. 36,O1A
Danforth (rep.), in State without city,. 339,410
Bradley (dem.) State, without city 26S, 735
Republican majority in State. exclusive of
city. 1O,61o
1t viii thus be seen that only once in the last
seven years have the democratic candidates been
elected by majority OF votes in the state exclusive
of the vote of the city OF New York. and that was
when Mr.. Tilden ran for Governor i'll 1874. In 1872
and 1878 large republican majorites OF 1906 in
the former and 70675 in the latter year. cast in the
state excluding the city. wiped out demo-
cratic majorities in the city OF 2l.625 and
S6.ol4 respectively. In the four remaining
years the democratic party elected it's candidates
only by the democratic majority in the city OF
New York, overcoming republican majorties in the
rest of the State Of "a 19 in 1873 of IA in 1876
OF POSTS in 1876 and of 1880 in 1877. This makes
it clear that the New York democracy must depend
for success on its great strength IN the metropolis
and that without good round majority in the ciiy
it is tolerably certain of defeat in when
the republican sentiment is powerfully appealed
to and the reserve force of that party drawn out
TAMMANY's POWER
Starting from this point, it is evident that the re-
suit of the approaching election depends upon Mr..
Tammsny democracy in the city of New York. Can
he do SO? In considering this important portion Of
sion OF the Tammany delegation from the Syra-
cuse Convention was in accordance with the
Instructions Of the General Committee, represent,
will. 1t is said by many on the Robinson side that
Mr.. John Kelly ceases to become power in the city
soon as he steps outside the democratic party
But they overlook the fact that the democratic
party in the city is the Tammany democracy and
that Mr. Kelly does not step outside that organiza-
ton but travels with it hand in hand in opposing
Governor Robinson Now. Tammany has very
important local election to attend to this year. upon
which depend its continued patronage and
power. 1t has to put forward its can.
didates for numerous lucrative and influential
oflices-for a sheriff. county clerk. judges. civil
justices. coroners. senators. assemblymen and
aldermen. These candidates will be selected from
among the strongest men in Tammany. the men
the organization in every election district In the
city. If Mr.. Kelly stood alone as boiling candi-
date for Governor against regular candidate his
strength might not be great as to be alarming;
but. representing as he does, an old and compact
ORGANIZATION that will have its full local and legsla
tive tickets in the field TO uphold and il possible
elect he is likely to poll vote in the city that will
be a surprise to those who already regard him as
THE LOCAL CONTEST
On this feature of the political situation CONVEX
sation occurred between the HERALD correspondent
and pro mnent member of the Tammany General
Committee. who has been visiting the State capital,
which sets forth the views of the Tammany side.
In response to question to the probable strength
OF Tammany in the local contest this year. the COM
mitteeman said-
II have no reason to suppose that Tammany will
lose any material portion OF the strength she had
last year. and believe that her aggregate vote will
be greater than it for Mr. Scheu in consequence
of exciting issues that have been forced upon
well because Of the natural increase in guber
Material election the Of the Presidential
amount OF patronage TO bestow, and have, be-
sides, to vindicate our own party for the wrongs
done to US by partisan Executive. Tammany will
support her sheriff, county clerk, judges coroners,
senators. assembly men and aldermen with far more
earnestness and vigor than she has before dia
played on behalf of her candidates, and nearly all
the votes will be given for Mr.. Kelly. 1t is abb
surd to suppose that we shall yield our citadel at
this time when we have our arch-enemy virtually
''But may not you find your candidates seeking
favor with the other side in the belief that the Tam
many bolt is o mistake? Have not some, indeed,
already gone over to the Robinson party?'
There is no fear whatever in that direction. The
lines between Tammany ard anti-Tammany were
pretty closely drawn last year in the Mayoralty
canvass, when Tammany got sixty thousand
votes and anti-Tammany about twenty five thou
sand. We have lost few sef-interested men this
year. but in return we have now with us the actual
bone ana sinew OF the antiIammany
party as &C eA1s,ea Is%as nRr;oy N,e aesve
and others. The antiTammany organization takes
the lead in the opposition to John Kelly. and no
Tammany man of prominence could hope to obtain
recognition from such leaders as John Fox, Hubert
o. Thompson, Supervisor CostigaD, Maurice Power
Tammany democrat placing himself under such
leadership is absurd No; the Tam many candidates
will remain true to their organization; the organiza-
ton will support them; they will. in my firm be-
lief, poll larger vote than Mr.. Schell
polled last year, because imagine there will be
larger registry, and as there can be no union and
bargain this year between the republicans and their
anti-Tammany allies of last year, they WILL in my
judgment. assuredly be elected In this local con-
test Mr. Kelly will gain great strength and his vote
in New York without counting the detection against
Robinson in Kings, Albany. syracuse Buffalo. Onon-
uaga, Monroe, Erie ana tnrouRuout the state, Will
most assuredly defeat Robinson"
''Do you think large vote will be polled?"
"Well. don't like making predictions on figures.
but will venture to let you write down my
prophecy that there will be polled in round num-
bers 1866 900 votes in New York city November
and that they will be divided follows Tam
many, 65.OOO; republican. $4,000; anti rammany
$4,000. In that event Cornell would lead Robinson
III the city 10000 votes. In 1876. when Robinson
for Governor. over 10000 votes polled in
the city, and he received there more than 81 200
majority. But that was Presidential year."
AFTER 1879.
While this Is Of course a hopeful view of Tam
many's present prospects there can be question
that the inf of the local contest the thorough
organization OF Tammany III every district ana the
broken condition of the anti-Tammany party
may enable Tammany to retain its strength
tins year. Its future exclusion from State
Conventions and the loss of its regularity will,
however, eventually destroy its power aud
complete reconstruction OF the democratic organi-
cation But this year. in consequence of the impor
tant Tammany interests involved in the local cleo
tion the general opinion among well informed and
impartial persons is that the vote of that organza-
ton will be well maintained and that Mr.. Cornclrs
election is tolorably certain.