The Hickman courier. [volume] (Hickman, Ky.) 1859-current, 1879-08-29

Surprising that there will be no contest
regarding the vote of any, state, the can
didate receiving the majority, or lS5, Of
these votes will be entitled to tho PresI-
Dental Office. In 1876 Mr.. Tilden carried
all the Southern States except Florida,
South Carolina aud Louisiana. In the
Forth he captured the Electoral votes of
New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and
Indiana. His total vote in the College,
as decided by Congress, under the
scheme devised by the Electoral Commis-
zion was ISL. OF this number he received
10 from southern and 50 from Northern
States. About these lS4 votes there was
no dispute. Mr.. Hayes received l66 votes
from Northern and l9'from the disputed
states of Louisiana, South Carolina and
florida, making total of lS5.
1t is, Of course, impossible,at.this carly
day 10 wisely foreteIl results in the next
election in any of the really doubtful
States, but the prevailing impression
unong well-informed observers on both
sides is that the South will be solid for
he Democratic ticket. Judging by the
isst Presidential election and the Con-
--essionGl and State elections held'since,
alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida,
Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Mississippi, Missouri. North Carolina,
Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and West
Virginia will 5hCse Democratic Electors
in 1880. This would give the Democrats
ticket 1873 votes. In order to secure the
Presidential prize the Democrats must
get T. additional votes from the North.
By n strange coin edence the two North
rrn States which they feel most confident
ia carrying-New York and Indiana
Save precisely the number of votes neces-
c7snry to swell the 1873 from the South to
Tie los tkst will elect. In the event Of
these States giving Democratic MAORI
lies, the relative strength of the parties
IN tie Electoral College would be the same
rs in The Presidential contest, though the
majority Of one vote would be shifted to
the Democratic side.
A. a matter of COURSE, if the Democrats
lose New York their chances for victory
will be utterly destroyed. All the other
Northern States that can By an exercise OF
orithmetical ingenuity be tortured into
the doubtful column would not make up
for the loss Of New York's thirty-hve
votes. They can find no comfort in New
Jersey. tor if New York goes Republican,
New Jersey will do likewise If they
were 10 carry Connecticut, California,
Nevada and Oregon, and lose New York
they would still be out of reach of the
great PRIV. The deductions from these
figures and the indications of the present
arc that New York win he the great bat
ilc-ground in the next campaign. If the
Republicans carry the State their ticket
viii hc elected certainly. They might
lose New York and still elect, but the risk
would be very great. Ii the Democrats
lose New York, their defeat is inevitable
They may carry the State and still lose
tho election, but under the circumstances
that is a most improbable contingency. 1t
Is the vast importance of New York that
makes Tiden5 chances-of nomination so
strong, and the same reason will compel
the Republicans TO pick out for their ban
ner- bearer The man most likely to over
throw the Democracy Of the Empire State.
OUR VIEWS.
Il will be seen that New York is the
pivotal State in his estimate, and that the
difference between the two parties in the
Electoral College is but one vote. II is
conceded the Democrats are certain of
ljS votes, but the Republicans imagine it
IS impossible to get the remaining AZ
without New York.
Now it is barely possible the Republi-
cans will lose Maine, and if they do,
where arc their chances2 And then how
about Ohio 1t Is not impossible that the
Democrats may lose New York and yet
elect the President. For example, the
States OF Ohio, %; Indiana, 10; Oregon, 3,
aud Maine I, make total of 47-just
enough. Or the figures may be done
thus: