The New York herald., 1879-11-29

being able to comply with your request. am per-
sonally sorry that cannot render YOU any further
service in this matter. Believe me. &C., &C..
..RANC"
NJ. JULES SIMON.
found myself disappointed in this quarter. con-
fessedly the most interesting of ALL reasoned
myself that the most important of the adversaries of
NJ. ciant5etta would be the most likely penetrate
the policy and the aims of the President of the
Chamber. With this conviction naturally turned
my efforts In the direction NJ. Jules Simon, tho
most formidable of the persons who had endcavored
to checkmate him and at the same time the most
dangerous Of his enemies much from the power
full influence which he exercises over certain po-
litcal groups as from his high personal value.
therefore endeavored to obtain interview with
Nj. Simon. and addressing myself to of his inti
mate friends forwarded my request through him.
accompanying 1t with list of the questions which
desired to put to the former Minister Of NJ. Theirs.
They were follows:-
l. Does NJ. Jules Simon think that a Ministerial
crisis is impending?
q On what question is the Ministry likely fall?
3. What will be the political elements of the next
Ministry of what ndividualities will
4. What will be the fate of Article z?
s. What will be that of the anl,listic pieiiere5
g. Will the scrutin dc iste be voted, and if it be
will there be dissolution?
T. What will be the prepondcrant group in the new
Chamber?
lily intermediary. who protested to know the opn-
ions Of M. Jules Simon al points, offered to sat
isfy my curiosity at and accepted tho proposal
awaiting the interview. He thereupon made to
me the following statement. which he declared to be
almost textual reproduction OF an expose of the
situation made privately to his friends by NJ. Jules
Simon.
AN AUTHENTIC EXPOSE
"rhere is no actual peril menacng the Ministry
at present 1t will fall neither the question OF
article nor that of the ansnistie pe,iefe. The
Cabinet has acted wisely in. taking Arm stand upon
the last of these issues which will be raised by NJ.
Louis Banc and which will not in the Cham
ber more than hundred and fifty Republican
votes with the addition of those OF few Bonapart-
lists. such NJ. Paul de Cassagnac. AS regards the
Senate there only fourteen members of that
body in favor Of it, and these would probably alb
stain from voting if, is improbable. the discus
sion of the question should get tar the Luxem-
bourg. Therefore there is nothing to be appre-
herdod for the Ministry that ISSUE AS regards
article 7, the only member Of the Cabinet likely to
be endangered by it is NJ Jules Ferry. should he
prove Obstinate upon the question. in which he
notoriously embarked III obedience to orders
from NJ. Gambetta- The Ministry. as body,
has no need, and in fact has no desire,
to ally its fate with that Of the Grand
Master Of the University. whom. how ever it would
oe pity to sacrificed, for he has all the quail
ties necessary to good Minister of Public Instruc
tion And the Cabinet to think it its duty to
stake its existence this Article z, would ascend
the tribune lit is NJ. Jules Simon who still speaks) to
oppose it and to declare that it would be better to
proong the life Of this government, which is known
to us, than to open a door to the marionnettes Of
NJ. Gambetta, who would select ready to sur
pass the electioneering feats Of NM de Broglie and
Eortou in to he cOnstituences-sucl
as NM. de Freycinet Paul Bert and Chalamel
Lacour. The Ministry will fall one Of
these two questions than on the other The present
hesations Of the organ Of NJ. Gambetta. the Repub-
Hque Francaise guarantee to it of the prolonga-
ton of its existence. And the fate of Article
itself. it will be rejected in the Senate by the 122
votes OF the Right. with the addition Of from
twentyeight to thirty other votes, which will give
a majority Of from seven to eight votes. In the
future what NJ Gambetta is desirous OF obtaining
substitution of the cruin de e for the present
electoral law. He will get elected by it's aid in
many departments possible-in forty according
to his calculation in twenty according to mine.
Then he will visit M. Jules Grevy ana say to him,
You now see that the rerdbie elu of France me,
| chosen yesterday by universal suffrage. while you
were elected by chamber that is no longer in exis-
tence You must. therefore. get out of the way and
yield mo your place. To arrive at this consumma-
law the scrutin de se must be passed. and there
is every reason suppose that the Electoral
law that the Ministry will fall NJ. Gambetta feels,
however. that even this question he going
too fast, for, after having convinced NJ. Bardoux,
who had constituted himself the promoter Of the
sc,pt,n de Iste, he is holding him back. The
Electoral revised there would naturally be
q dissolution or the Chamber. Many of the am-
aistits will enter the but the majority less
advanced than that of the present Chamber. will
belong to tho conservativeliberal republican ele-
ment. and will be opposed to NJ. Gambetta."
NJ. JULES SIMON JUDGED.
Thus spoke my informant. whom again ques-
toned as to the attitude Of NJ. Jules Simon who in
his quality the vanquished of the 10th of May,
expected to be more militant than he has been
since the fall OF Marshal MacAahon.
''Since N. Jules Simon dispossessed M. Gambctta
of the dictatorship 1871" the reply che is to.
the latter like Banquo's ghost. 1t is unquestionably
the fear of this opposition growing too formidable
and rising against him which makes witnesses Of
the strange political spectacle chief MAJOR
ity who daro not be Prime Minister. NJ. Gambetta
wants arrive at bound ut the Presidency Of tho
Republic. without passing through struggle
President of the Council. That il why he has taken
refuge in the Paais Bourbon: and to NJ. Jules
Simon, who Is as well aware any that alin-
istry which does not include NJ Gambetta will be
merely an abnormal Cabinet. there no moro reason
why he should run amuck against it than against a
windmill. 1t is not because has had the oppor
tunity that NJ. Jules Simon is not Minister to-day
The votes had scarcely boon counted clectng the
successor of Marshal MacMahon when M. Grevy
offered him the Presidency OF tho Council. NJ. Simon
at refused 1t on the ground that any Ministry
that had not been chosen by NJ. Gambetta would not
last for twenty-four hours"
VISIT THE AcADEMrcIAN
I wrote down carefully all the leading points in
tho statement OF my informant. who had volun-
tarily constituted himself the mouthpicce of NJ.
Jules Smonthat Is to say. all that have just
rated for the benefit of your readcrs-and the fol-
lowing day. having received u note from the latter
gentleman authorizing to call upon him eleven