The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1879-11-12

cendancy in the Senate until 1883. When they had it
in that body they didn't guard it carefully they
should. ard consequently lost several Senators
from the South. whose votes and in the i'm
mediate future would come in proptiously. in q
partisan sense
"And what those casualtiesi"
''There are SIX Senators who hold over until the
Forty-eighth Congress who now. as democrats. rep
resent republican States. States that will be.
They are Senators Grover and Slater. Of Oregon;
Farley, of California; Davis counting him Of
the oppostion) of Illinois; Pendleton. of Ohio and
Mcpherson, Of New Jersey The death. resignation
removal from the Senate from any cause Of any
OF these would be followed by the election Of
o republican successor. II such a casualty should
and Senator Kellogg should be retained
in his seat, the election of republican Senators
to the Forty-seventh Congress in Ohio. Penn
sylvania, Connecticut, Indiana, New Jersey and
New York to succeed Senators Thurman. Wal
lace, Eaton. Mcdonald. Randolph and Herman
would give the republicans bare working majority,
even if Judge Davis should not act with them. The
democrats. as it now appears, will gain only one
Senator by the elections of 1ssl-the successor to
Senator Bruce Of Mississippi. although there is q
bare possibility that Senator Mcdonald may either
succeed himself or be succeeded by another Of his
own party"
WILL KELLOGG BE uNsEArED?
isThese close calculations"
EYES, but not too close in view Of the gravity Of
the political situation. I have been led, with
Others to look into these possible contingencies
while considering Senator Kellogg's case, now
pending before the Committee ON Privileges and
Elections OF course our democratic friends have
calculated all these chances and should do the
same It's always well to measure the strength aud
the motives of your adversary in such contest as
this one over Mr.. Kelloggs seat and there's no bet
ter O motives n
this instance than to inquire into their partisan
Looking ut the matter this light. and also in the
light Of the contingencies have alluded to, they
may so ahead. sooner or later. with An attempt to
unseat him..
"why do you say sooner or later?"
| "well. it would be poor policy for them to push
| OF 1880. II they make up their minds not to
seat him they will probably render report very
soon. But If they determined that he shall go.
they will wait until after the national election next
year"
Easy enough. You zee. Mr.. Conkling especially
and the newspapers generally have made issue,
it is called of this in this falls campaigns In
understanding of the Importance of Senator Keoggs
removal to the democrats and the equal Importance
to the republicans OF his retention In other words
the has been discussed in all its bearings, and
to extent had influence in the result Of the
late elections. The conspiracy to remove him has
been made to appear in its true light-as partisan
manGuvre TO make solid South in the Senate. for
Messrs. Kellogg and Bruce are the only republican
Senators left from that section. And the democrats
are not foolish enough to give further evidence Of
such partisan recklecsness until after the national
unseat him before that time they would have to
for it ut the polls while, If they wait until
plenty Of time-four months in which to do as they
..And IL they do GUST him?"
eff they do it will be by the exercise OF the most
arbitrary and unconstitutional power. and in viola
ton of all law and precedent Why. he holds his
seat by better tenure than that by which Governor
Vance holds his for that matter than that of any
other senator in the body. except perhaps. Mr.. But
Ter. who was seated In the same way he was He was
not admitted the ordinary way because his certin-
cate acceptable and accepted but the Senate
went behind the prima face evidence. examined into
the merits of his claim to seat and decided that
claim its merits In his favor II he had been ad-
mitted simply on his certificate he would have been
has been soemnly investigated. carefully and rigidy
inquired into and his title declared to be complete
The wording of the resolution adopted by the Senate
upon which he was admitted shows that his is
GRANT AND THE DEMocRArs.
"well, to switch of from the Senatorial question
You remarked the other day that General Grant, II
nominated. would be clectedY
Eyes, that's what l said, and might have added
that. II elected, ho will be inaugurated."
''what do you mean by that remark
EXACTLY what say. He'll be inaugurated despite
the efforts that may be made to prevent it. I'm not
an alarmist and don't want to be reported such;
but see in for it with you. and might as well
90 on with'a prediction that I've often made of late
II Is that the democrats will protest against the
count of the electoral vote OF some one or more of
Joint convention for that duty in February. 1881.
They will base their protest upon what they will
aleqe to have been unconstitutional exercise of
federal power in the execution of the national cleo
ton laws. They may take California for this pur-
pose New York. or PENNSYLVANIA, or any State
wherein the slightest pretense. manufactured
for the express object, may be furnished Then the
two houses viii separate, ana one or eoth VIII srs
thrown out, and it will be declared that there
election. aud the House will assume to elect a
And then what will happcnf"
"weu, the preliminary arrangements for that
emergency will be made in the House, the same as
they attempting to make them in the Senate by
dsseang Mr.. Kellogg, so that the democratic nomi.
nee President will be elected under the form and
color of law. one step has already been taken in
the House in this direction by the unseatng OF Mr..
Bisbee. Of Florida. and the seating OF Mr. Hull in his
States to the democrats so that the House now
stands such vote nineteen democratic States to
nineteen republican Understanding the Indiana
rreenback nicnber with the opposition. But I'm that
TAR of December session, whom the kellogg case Will
will be no longer influential upon any coming cleo
ton. they may unseat Mr.. Ortiz OF Indiana, or some
these cases adversely to the present would
qve their seats to democratic contestants and insure
q democ ratio majority by states In the House."
FUTURE nEpREsESTWIoS
"And you really believe these predictions may be
roalizedr'
lied 1 don't say they will be, but they may be.
And In view of that possibility 1t is the part Of wis.,
dom TO take them into careful consideration now.
Forcwarned is forearmed. one reason why believe
these things all occur IL the knowledge tho
democrats nave-the same AS we have-that the next
census will materially alter the relative sectional
strength of tho two parties as represented in the
House, conceding. Of course. that the parties arc
sectional, as they really are, and they likely
| 10 continue TO be for some time to come. This
| alteration, or change. according to the best
| information I can get. will be favorable to
| the republicans. That is, the increase of Repre-
| sentatives in the House will be from the
| North Texas is the only growing State in the
south; the others falling of or at standstill.
But the haf-dozen or more additional members that
| will be due to Texas and the South after the next
ratio of shall have been fixed will be
| more than overshadowed; viii be overwhelmed