The New York herald., 1878-11-05
THE OLD BAY STATE.

LATEST ESTIMATES AS TO THE PROBABLE RE-
suit OF THE NEUTRALITY-SUSPICIOUS. SAN
GU1NE OF sUccEss-BUTLERs AWFUL AND
WONDERFUL CAMPAIGN.
Boston, Mass, Nov. 4, 1873.
Tomorrow will decide whether Benjamin F. Butler
will take another step forward in his scramble for the
Presidency or be shelved politically forever His
sanguine friends willing to admit that if he is
beaten this year his prestige in the Bay State will
wither beneath the killing FROST" He has conducted
of the most extraordinary campaigns ever wit
messed here, speaking in almost every city. town,
village and hamlet in the Commonwealth, addressing
on some days three different audiences. His CAM
paign has been solely State issues. except on
the financial question. Wherever he touched this
he advocated the softest of soft money. His election
would be square Endorsement by the State Of Massa
chusets of the financial heresies Of Voorhees, Kelley
Phillips Butler ct III genus Besides this. it
would be regarded in many quarters encourage
ment to Kearneyism, which has cropped out here in
large cities under the fostering of the sand
lot orator from California. There many intelli-
gent. patriotic and honorable in the Butler
movement. but the bulk of his following is from
among the restless classes. who are somewhat
pinched by the stress Of the times. Against
these arrayed the merchants, manufacturers,
bankers and the 'solid men" of the State.
There Is doubt that the indiscriminate abuse Of
General Butler by the Republican State Committee
and the antiButer press has made him many friends
because he has refued ninetenths of all tho charges
against him soon they published. The
campaign has been ono of personalities; the military.
Legislative and legal record of the Essex statesman
has been overhauled in Washington. New Orleans,
Boston, Lowell and Gloucester. where he has at
time another resided; but the accusations of mis-
appropriation neicency and plumber urged against.
him could not in all hold water. His
following is personal to great extent and the effect
OF campaign literature has not been marked
might be expected. The movement to make Judge Alb
bot the regular democratic nominee designed first
to preserve the organization from being gobbled by
Butler, and secondly to give honest democrats
chance to vote according TO conscience The antip-
however, strong that fair percentage Of the
quoted on the Abbot lists will vote for Talbot
simply to swell the plurality to be rolled up against
Butlcrisn.
THE EFFoRT-ARREsrs THREATENED.
With to-night's rallies the preliminary battle ends
Tomorrow the real struggle will begin In this city
the most strenuous efforts will be made to get every
voter to the polls. The republicans thoroughly
organized, have plenty of money and . firm deter
mnation to maintain their hold on the State govern
ment. Carriages will be ready at every polling pre-
cinct to convey voters from distance; of the
and counting housesand spend the day at the polls
personally exhortng all their friends to vote for tho
party now in power. The United States law for the
FIRST time takes effect in Boston, and supervisors,
rarshals and deputy marshals will be present at
every precinct to prevent fraudulent voting and to
make arrests in of necessity. Warrants have
already been sworn out against about $50
men. whose registration is said to bc fraudulent.
Parker q. Chandler. son of Pclcg W. Chandler. is
personally looking after this portion of the campaign
work. He has been conducting q bureau Of inspcc-
ton in Scars Building for over three weeks About
fifteen clerks employed and many canvasscrs.
who go from house to house collecting evidence
which to arrest parties who may attempt
to vote fraudulcnuy Bills will be posted all through
the city early tomorrow morning. warning all men
against whom evidence of that nature exists to stay
away from the polls or they viii be arrested.
GUESSING RESULT.
A visit to the several headquarters this forenoon
showed that the campaign committees were hard
at work. No more documents to be sent
abroad. but the details. of printing tickets, In
structing ward officers. &c. occupied tho at
tcntion of the managers. There is still
the two leading parties AT the Talbot headquarters
the information furnished that that the republi-
the Butler headqarers il was claimed that tho General
would have from $4,000 to $4,000 plurality with the
balance of the ticket falling below these figures
900 II 900 votes. Both parties almost agree
the vote to be cast for Abbot and Miner placing that
OF the former at from 25.Ooo to 10000, and
mates so widely divergent. 1t Is hard to
draw anything like reliable conclusion The moro
moderate men of both parties agree that the vote will
be close.
The aggregate vote for Governor may be set down
At about 245Ooo. In 1876 for the Presidential ecc-
ton, there polled 25S,0O0the largest
cast in tho State. The following year for Governor
there were polled $4,000 showing falling OF Of
$4,000 Allowing for the interest taken in this years
contest and the fact that 1t is Congressional year IL
may be safe to assume that CO. 0UU more voters will
come out this year than last. In 1876 the vote
divided between Hayes and Tden. follows:--layes.
l5o,Oj3 Ten, los, iSSshowiug plurality Of 4l 215.
In 1871 tho record showed tor Governor :--liico.
81, ,255; CASTOR, 73, 1856; Pitman, 1894 Phillips.
3.552a majority against Rice of 1885, and plural
ity for him over CASTOR OF 1s,070-almost the same
proportion. This year, supposing there be cast
2l5. 900. it will be divided follows. according TO the
hgures of very shrewd caculators Talbot, ll0.00O
Butler. l0l. .O00 Abbott, ~ .OOO Miner. 1000.
These figures based estimates furnished at
the repubncan headquarters. In order that Talbot
should get 10000 IL will DE necessary for the republic
cans bring out in all 10000 $4,000 votes, for
from 10000 70 10000 will vote fox ButlNx. This Aldad