National Republican., 1878-09-17

'l'l, uhu tnls ncinel W utitNl "h'' q"
neither of these States do the results justify
he assumptions of the Democrats that they
'ortcnd Democratic majority over all
opposition in the next House of
Three Statcs-Orcgon,
Vermont and Maine have held elections for
resulting in the election of
five Republicans two RepublicanG Green
backcrs, one Democratic. tic.Greenbac;Cr, and |
one straight Democrat; and yet the Democ- |
cracy seems to be iuhilant over this.
The Post last Friday had an article headed |
The Actual Prospect" in which il pretended |
to give the plans and purposes of the Re-
publican party. but failed in everything ex-
cept exposing its own ignorance, aud then
proceeded with just as much intelligence to
figure out how large the Democratic ma
iority would be in the next House. Accord
ing to that figuring there are to be l55 to
l6O Democrats, 100 to 105 Republicans, and
32 to 81 Greenbackers in that body. To
accomplish this result it resorts to
q sort Of reasoning utterly incom-
prchensiblc TO any one except Demo-
NlNblS NhliOls II CldlluS lytlllbNltNlN
Representative from every district in
the south; predicts Republican losses in New
England, New York, Pennsylvania, Mchi-
gan, Minnesota, Kansas, and Nebraska, and,
in fact lays claim to everything within
reach aud thereby figures out the results
above given. Our figures, based upon
careful review of the whole situation, lead
to quite different conclusion, provided
the will of the people is permitted full ex-
preston at the ballot-boX. Whatever else
may be the outcome of the October and
November elections, we are convinced that
the Democrats will not organize the next
House of Representatives, if such thing as
n free election can be held in the South.
In all their calculations the Democrats
count upon solid South, excluding Mis-
souri, from the list of Southern States We
deny that there can be q solid South in the
next House, unless it be brought about by
process ofoutpge and intimidation. The
Republicans now have nine districts in that
section, including the fifth Louisiana, the
seat OF which is vacant on account of the
Ntsilh VI .hls lsLpNAhl' W lll NlliHS
like fair elections all of these districts can
he held, andw should by rights have many
more We are not Of those, however, who
believe that the South has been. thoroughly
converted from the error of its political ways
by the new policy Of reconciliation, and
therefore in many localities the shotgun
electioneering plan will be put into full op-
Grafton aud the Republicans will be thereby
deprived of districts which rightfully belong
to them. Despite this fact We have hopes
that besides holding the districts we now
have, our people will fairly and lcgitimatcly
capture others, or by combinations defeat
the straight-Out Democrats. In the second
Alabama district, for instance, there is Il
very powerful opposition TO Mr.. HERBERT
the present representative, on account OF
his opposition to the Texas Pacific Railroad
and honorable terms may be made with the
Independent candidate. The fourth dis
trct OF that State can and, we believe
will he rsgidncd by the Republicans
At the last election Mr.. SHELLEY, Demo
crat, was returned elected because OF split
in the Republican party, which has now
: been healed The Democratic vote was
0,Gsj, while the Republican vote, divided
between Mr. HARRISON and Mr.. RAPIER
was 1591l--a Republican majority of ovei
/ 5000. Count one gain, therefore, in Ala.
bama.
Ia Florida ii is believed we can hold the
first district and regain the second.
In Maryland the sixth district is close
with chances largely in favor Of the Rcpub'
lican nominee. At the last election Mr.
WALSH had only IA majority. In Vir
ginia we have fighting chance of wrest
ing the fredericksburg district from tn,
Democracy.
Here then we have an increase of fou
Republican votes, leaving the South Caro-
lima aud the Mississippi delegations rs the,
are, although in all justice they belong
wholly to the Republicans. 1t may be rca
sounbly expected that the delegation from
the South will stand thirteen Republican
against nine in the present House; or,
not Republicans nt least opposition 10 III
Democracy, and such opposition as wi!
prevent the Bourbons from organizing til
House.
So far as the New England States ar
concerned, Vermont and Maine have toll
their stories. Taking the results there us
criterion, we may assume that whateve
, strength the Greenback party may devclo
, in the other States of that section will h
drawn from the Democratic party Bot
the districts of Massachusetts, now misrcI
{ resented by Democrats will be wrestc
t from them. In New Hampshire we expcc
= solid Republican delegation, for NJ
: FRANK JONl.s' money will not enter 5
= largely into the contest this year Til
t New England delegation now stand
3. twenty-five Republicans to six Democrat
0 Giving them Mr. LADD, who was electe
f also us a GrcenbaclScr, and assuming thj
s he will vote with the Democrats, the Ne
y England delegation will most likely stan
t twcnty-four Republican or opposition
y four Democrats, and this estimate gives
C the Democrats all the districts they no
c hold in Connecticut, some Of which the