New-York tribune., 1878-03-02
THE FRENCH REPUBLIC.

vATIvEs AID REPUBLICASs-How THE PEOPLE
ARE DIVIDED POLrTIC4LLY-THE SOCIALISTS CIV
ING TROUBLE-M. GANBETTA's TACTICS.
! lPRoM \ REGULAR CORRESPONDENT on TIE TRIBuSE.l
| PARIS Jan. 3O.-Thc real battle of the Republic
| is being fought now, step by step, every day. The
chances in Its favor, the probabilities of It's dura-
tion are SO strong that the rage of the Conserve
tives IS rapidly getting beyond all bounds. On tho
other hanl DIVISION in greater less degree. is
to be noted not only in one Of the two parties, but
| in both.
The Conservatives are divdsd--of that there is
no doubt-and the dissensions of Legitimists Bona
partsts and Orleanists, are the talk OF tho
town. The discords arc. however decreasing,
| whereas the disagrcements among the Republicans
! are just beginning to appear. Both were iDevi'
| table, and there can be no in Disgusting any
| feature of what constitutes the general po-
| tical aspect of the times The Conservatives
have split up into SO many smaller shades
that at the present hour it would probably be true
to declare that the Orleaniss take the lead and that
while the Bonapartsts are the least in number and
Importance, they are the most noisy. Now the fact
of the Oreanist undercurrent is one which cannot
| be too closely observed because its consequences
are at once contradictory and of great weight The
semi-adhesion of the pure Oreanists Or they are
now styled Constitutionalists, to the republic,
obliges tho latter to be, far possible. Left
Centre" and Moderate In this way all the money!
| getting, timorOus class of commercial men rally
| round the now existing institutions making. as
Gambetta said the other day in the Chamber, five
| millions TO three millions" But 1t is the minority
of three millions" which must be studied to attain
to genuine appreciation Of the balance of power
! in the electoral mass of the country Al these three
millions are not MonarchIsts or reactionaries
may bo pretty accurately divided thus: 100000
| ID -nn n.l.
sts and about 100000 Socialists Iput under this
denomination all the dreamers eostatics and ire
cOnciia5es, as they are termed. This is a very
harmless host IN reality, but it troublesome one
all the same and t is beginning to show its teeth.
1t il provoked do this by the necessity of the Re-
prbllcans to become, and TO show that they havo
become, a Government. and not merely an oppose
! ton. IL is essential that foreigners shOuld seizo
these intrcacies of French domestic politics, or hey
may be led astray by certain appearances This ex-
trene Tor Socialisic) party which exists more or
! les. all over the world, has been disciplined and
kcp; down so long ~ the struggle lasted out
of which issued the Republic ncontcstibly; but now
it is already mUrmuIng and giving signs ITS
mi,chievous tendencies This quarrel must be
fourht ont ii is Inevitable. and the only thing 10
be attended 20 is HE proportions it may take, and
the harm it miglt nlict. 1t can, in sober earnest,
l
Sociqli-;s can, and viii, make a great NOISE They
do not number in the Chamber Of Deputies more
tLgn twenty Therefore should ;Ley proceed to the
worst eXtrcmities, and join with tae utr Royaist3
and ultra DOnapar,ists, the alliance could command
sovcnty-yo eighty, never more. 50 that the Cow
eminent would always retain its unatcTable ma
! jority of over one hundred.
! However, so far as ls complication goes. believe
we are on the eve Of seeing 1t come 10 life. 1t IS
Gambetta's first great public trial, and he must 90
through IT, Ii he is TO remain the master he now IS
of the real majority, and if he Is 10 make hat major
| ity serve stable governing policy, lie VIII very
soon have to turn round on the little group OF his
"Paul dc CaSsagnars" and tell them to do their
worst. When once his is done the great leader Will
then find il necessary t0 take the Ministry itsef IN
| hand, and obtain from them all such measures OF
progress and reform IS shall leave 10 rrct"xt for
! complaint to any modern Liberal in the country.
This Is by far the most dicult part Of the task but
il must be achieved. AID its achleTomeut has been
! begun by no less person than NJ. Dufaure.
| Gambettas chief object at this moment Is TO get
! the Budget voted, an bloc. whole and entire: for
! this purpose he has to unite In his own hand the
complete majority of the Republican Deputies, with
| or without the few Utras have just spoken of
! If they cannot be brought to reason. why they
must be virtually deied, OF, by their own fault
! LETT ont in the cold;' but the hundred and odd
votes must be secured for the Budget. Now. il was
for tins that Gambetta made his recent fierce. but
| thoroughly deserved attack on the Conserva-
tives in the discussion on the annnlmcnt OF
| tho Duke de BlSaccla's election Whenever
! Gambctta seems to get angry aud makes
! vigorous attack, his ntina'es know that no
! has 4 special purpose in view. HIS aim on the
day allude to- was to pulyenzc tho Rght So as 10
put into good huluor the entire mass of his Repub-
| hcan colleagues, and obtain from their enthusiasm
certain and incontcstable majority for the Budget.
lie has done this, but, on cother hand the Govern.
mcnt has 10 give Its pledges TO the Republic and
that has been done twice within the last three days
by VI. Dufaure, who did an act which no one had
even yentured 10 expect from HIM, and which is
rarely never taken IN this rcd-tape loving state.
He revoked d whole batch OF judges and other mag
| stratcs, who believed themselves invulnCrsblc and
did 50 a. chastisrmeut for their unworthy conduct
under the reign Of Messrs. de Broglie aud Eourtou.
The intense surprise the public al large had rot had
time to subside. when yesterday NJ Dutaurc, from
| the tribune, passed sentence upon the lniqntous
! iutrigucs of the Government and tho Eysee be-
tween the 10th of May and nth of December.
! The Bonapartists tired might and main TO etace
the dates and have the amnesty applied to offences
before the 10th of May and after the I'LL OF Decem-
ber but NJ Dufaurc bustling all over Ike unto tho
wild boar" he has been nlcknaIncd, showed his
tusks, and so gored his enemies on all sides that
the vote was 80 to 8: where had fled the 200
no ono has yet been able to say. But the
seven months rule of the Conservatives has
received punishment such as the plotters OF It
Will not easily recover from. NJ. Dufaurc deigned
to specify that lie held to those two dsies as mark.
| ing q period during which an Administration had
existed which was disaster for the Nation! This
| is pledge given by the Cabinet to the Republic
which will insure the possession OF compact and
immense majority for many weeks to como, but 1T
will not suffice | fancy. to gag the "ilreconclla-
bles." They are on the road to noisy discomfort,
and because they are so few, they are reduced TO
| noise like NJ de Cassaguac and his band.
One thing is for the present undenable. and that
is, the perfectly correct conduct of the Marshal.
There is not complaint to be made. lie follows
strictly the path marked out for him by his
Ministers, and shows no sign even of l-hunlor at
what Is demanded of him. Not so, la fdrtchdtas
She has begun to spin anew all her former webs
IL WnII ANIL flIN