New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1878-10-29
THE CAMPAIGN IN MICHIGAN.
BRIGHT REPUBLICAN PROSPECTS.

REPUBLICAN VICTORY PREDICTED.
iYrnM AN OCCASIONAL CORRESPONDENT OF THE TRiBUNEI
DETROIT, Oct. 26.-The political campaign IN
Michigan this wear is in some respects peculiar. II
not unprecedented For the first time IN the history
Of the State third party has made its appearance,
strong enough to challenge the active opposition of
botI the old parties and to be counted as a momen-
tous factor in the result We have had third parties
before-tle "Kuow-Nothngs." the Americans"
the ProhibitiOnists the Workingmcn, and the
Greenbaekers-but their votes have hardly been
worth enumerating, except rs scattering" now
however we have third party Of formidable power
ia the field, whose strength, though unknown anu
not to be accurately estimated, is great enough 10
contest with the Democrats the second place III the
popular vote and 30 derange all calculations Dased
on previous election returns.
The Observation-Disclosures party was successful IN
the April municipal and township elections this year
to an extent which surprised itself. There was no
election in tins city, but it carried Grand hapus
1.-THE second city in the Statel, Jackson, Lansing
Flint. Adrian. Battle Creek, Hilsdale, Coldwater,
Marshall. Jonesyille and many smaller towns, also
winning partial victory at Bay City. The Nation
ais claim that they poled $4,000 votes. This claim
is doubtless exaggerated in the absence of any OIL
cal compilation Of the votes in the varions CITIES
and towns and il is not probable that they pOlled
moro han 90 900 IN total vote OF perhaps 2OO-
900. But they were very greatly encouraged by
the result, and were first in the hed WIN
a State ticket, Their State Convention, held at
Grand Rapids, June o. healed a quarrel between
the two factions of the party, one led by Moses W.
Field, who has been the head and front OF the
reenback agitation in that State. and the other by
Ralph Hoyt, disciple of Brlck Pomeroy, and nom
mated ticket headed by Henry S. Smith, of Grand
Rapids. for Governor The nominee is a wealthy
-lxf of puh
who owed his nomination to the lucky incident Of
having been elected Mayor of Grand Rapids in the
tdal-wave of the Spring election. The rest of the
ticket was made up of even poorer material; but 1t
seems good enough for the average National"
The Republican Convention met in Detroit June
l3, renominatcd Governor Croswel, with an adj
mirable and popular State ticket behind him, took
the strongest ground in favor of resumption, and
appointed ex-senator Chandler chairman OF the
State Central Committee The Democratic Con-
vention met at Lansing July 10, adopted hard
money platform after an unexpectedly small oppo-
BtIOn and with characteristic Inconsistency placed
upon il as the candidate for Governor the Hon. o.
NJ. Barnes, Of Lansing. who has been conspicuous
among the sOftest Of the sOlt-mODey Democrats
Of the State. From the moment of the
meeting of the State Democratic Convention
Il was evident that the Democrats had TO hope or
and their leaders were demoralized by Wholesale de-
sertions to the Grcenback party. Many counties in
the western part Of the State, where the initiation
craze has been most violent, sent bardW0ncy dele
gates TO the Democratic Convention, simply because
the rank and file Of the party had gone over en-
maSse the Grecnbackers leaving only The skeleton
Of the party. At the outset of the campaign the
Republicans realized that their most formidable OPP
ponents were the Nationals OF CTeenbackers. They
have therefore. made the financial issue the most
prominent. The Republican press, led by Tho
Pot aRd Tribune has done most effective
service in educating the people up to the
support OF resumption and honest money. The
speakers have also laid especial stresl upon this
point and the State has been and is being very
thoroughly canyassed by the Republicans Tx
Senator Chandler, Senator Ferry, Ex-Governor Bag
ley and all the Republican candidates for Congress
are speaking daily and nightly. More than 800
speeches are now being made every day in this
State. Among the Republican speakers from
abroad who have made and making powerful
pleas for honest finance senator Blaine General
Stewart l.. WOOdford, Of Newly OTk, and Congress
men Garfield Poster and Monroe. of Ohio, and
Baker and Williams, of Indiana. Besides these,
the Honest Money League" non-partisan or.
aanization, has kept the Hon. O. T. Beard DENY
and the Hon. Roland l.. Trowbridge rep, in the
Geld most Of the Summer and Fall. doing splendid
service for the cause of honest money. Every Re
publican ballot polled this Fall viii be a solid,
bona-fde. whole-hoarted vote against initiation and
Tor specie resumption.
The Democratic canvass, on the other hand, has
been spritess and amid Democrats realize that
they are being ground TO pieces between the upper
and neither millstODes of Republican hard money
and the fiat delusOn. They arc making no effort
whatever to elect their State ticket, and no con-
certed effort for congressman, though several Of
their Congressional nominees working hard
their own account. j. c. s. Blackburn. of Ken
lucky is the only speaker from outside the State of
any National reputation and his two speeches both
In this district have hurt the Democrats more than
they have helped them. The Nationals. on the other
hand have been very active. sam. Cary has ira
yersed the State from end TO the other. Cnusu-
ally complete ward and township organizations
have been effected. and the PROSECUTING work has
been very vigorous.
TO sum M the probabilities Of the State election
First-A very large vote will be pOllcd though not
as large as that of lST6-3l6, 1889. Second-The Re
publicans will have a large plurality, casting III all
perhaps 12J, 900 yetes. Ihlrd-Ihe Democrats and
GreenbackcIs Will divide the remaining votes be-
tween thom, the Democrats casting perhaps 100,-
900. and the Nationals about GO,O00. After the
Maine election il looked as though the Green
baekerssgOuld lead the Democrats largely III the
popular vote Of the State but the returns from the
Ohio aud Indiana elections have been great dsap-
pointncnt TO them and they are now losing
strength daily. Ii Is perfectly safe, however, to
predict that the Republicans will elect their entire
State ticket By a plurality of at least $4,000
their strongest adversary and Will have an over
whelming majority in both branches of the State
Legislature.
There is moro OF uncertainty in regard to some of
the Congressional Districts, but at the present time
the prospects of the Republicans arc favorable IN
every ono of them Two or three may fairly be con-
sidefed doubtful, but ia each Of these the chances
Of the Republican candidate are the best. and you
need not be at all surprised If Michigan sends a
solid Republican delegation to the next Congress.
In this the Ist District. the Republican candidate is
John :. Newberry, an able lawyer and very sue