New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1878-08-19
NOT A BAD OUTLOOK.
Unity THE ONLY REQUISITE FOR sUcoEss-MR'
CoNKLING, THE HAYES MEN, ETc.

fairs even In his own county.
Tmet to-day, in the Delavan House, Republi-
can from Syracuse who makes it his business to keep
informed all the year in regard to the changing cur
rents of popular opinion, and whose Judgment ana
predictions have in former years learned to accept
with great confidence. Our conversation, which IS
herewith repeated in substance conveys the infor-
nation obtained in brefer and more readable form
than it could otherwise be given.
81 suppose the Fall campaign has not opened yet
IN Central New-YOrk," remarked the correspondent
of The TRIBUNE "haye the Republicans begun
the discussion of the political issues among them
selves in your section of the State p
every little" was the reply. We never begin to
think much about the election or the issues 1t to
involve until after the State Convention is held If
Won were to visit the political centres in the interior
of the State to-day, you might gather individual
opinions-very little more"
"Is the sentiment among the Republicans as far
osvou have observed it, in favor of holding State
Convention this yearP
ooh the uass of the Republicans do not seem to
care In Syracuse, where reside, both of our Re-
publican newspapers have favored convention,
and suppose the weight of opinion is IN the same
direction. At the same time there is no excitement
over the subject and the interest in the convention
if one is held will be slight in Congressional
District that if it meets in Saratoga there Will not
be tuan enough hcpuDiiCdlH III tuO wv NOuH-
ties willing to 90, to fill the delegation. There are
not more than twenty men in the whole district who
really care whether a convention is held or not"
"How do Mr. Conklings friends seem to feel on
this subjecti"
az have not talked with the Senator himself on
this question. Those who recognized as his
friends were at first opposed to having any conven-
ton; since the new appointments in the New-York
Custom House. there has been some change Of senti-
ment among them and think they would now vote
that convention should be called"
81 suppose the New-York Custom House changes
have been freely discussed among the Republicans
In the interior Of the State. What has been tho
general drift of comment upon themP
"You can hardly say that there has been any gem
eral drift Those changes have, Of course, pleased
or displeascd Republicans as they sympathize with
MIR Conkling or with the Administration"
Are there many Administration Republicans in
Central New-YOrkp
"Of course there are. / know more about the
Congressional District in which live than of any
Other, aud there 1 think the Republicans are about
equally divided. There are in the Republican party
last about as many Hayes men as there are of those
who look with suspicion distTust upon the Adj
1nin'sration or who openly attack II. In Syracuse
think the Hayes party a little the stronger. Mr.
Conkling has no longer any newspaper advocate in
that city, The Journal which formerly supported
him through thick and thin now attacks him openly,
and The Standard which has always represented
the an.i-C onkng Republicans, shows disposition
10 remain silent. Il does not attack the Senator as
formerly nor can it be said to support him. Before
The changes in the New-York Custom House many
Of the Administration Republicans were really ugly.
They said that tie Administration would neither as
ser itself nor allow its friends TO fight its battles for
it. They were tired of the Conlling dctation, and
10 xrauffb he
Senator's reelection so long he had control of the
"machne," they were about ready directly or indi-
rectiy. to aid IN the election of a Democrat. This
class OF men are now showing much better TEN
pcr They accent the removal Of Arthur and Cor
nell as an assurance that the Senatorial contests to
be fought out in the Legislature next Winter with
ont the interference of the Federal Ofce-hOders IN
the State These men now profess a willingness to
60 in and help elect Republican Assembly, and
take their chances OF beating Mr.. Conkling IN the
caucus next Winter
"Then you do not think that the Custom House
changes are likely TO have the unfayOrable effect
upon the election which many have fearedp
"On the contrary, believe we are much more
likely TO carry the Legislature than we would have
been il the changes had not been made. Of course,
Mr. COnkling's friends will make just as great an
effort as IL nothing had occurred, and the feeling
among those opposed to him IN favor of saving the
Assembly Is much better than it was. believe we
shall have majority III the Legislature, and have
very decided opinions Also in regard 70 the result
Of the Senatorial contest next Winter. but think
il wise not TO discuss that subject now"
what is the feeling among Republicans in Cen
tral New-York IN regard to Senator COnklng's OPP
position 10 the Administration. Has he generally
the sympathy of his party friendsp
" have already told you that estimate that
one-half Of the Republicans may be counted as sup
porters Of the Administration. and that sentiment
is growing in the party. There is widespread feel
ing among Republicans that no one, no matter how
high position he may hold, has right to foment
discord in the party and especially that this Is not
the proper time to wash dirty linen Of any kind.
have heard many Republicans say that Mr. hayes
is Republican President and that if Mr.. COnkling
does not like him his policy, it is his duty to make
the best Of it, and not be going around with CHIP
on his shoulder inviting the Administration to
knock It of. Senator Conkling lost many friends
by mis- course at the Rochester Convention q year
ago, even among those who then supported HIM,
and as friend OF the Senator, may say here that
be can do nothing that will tend much to endan-
ger bis success next Winter to repeat those per
formances this Fall"
!" You DO not suppose there is any question about
bis controlling the State Convention if one is held,
do you -
Ipresume not expect he will have the con-
yentiCn any way ! am certain he Will control 1t II
be adopts conciliatory policy. 1 don't know that
be viii ask my advice, but if he should, / should
tell him either to stay away from the convention
altogether. Or If he went there, to avoid bringing
~ any question that would provoke heated discus
sion. 1 said, q few minutes ago, that before the
changes in the NeW-York Custom House there were
many Republicans who were feeling very ugly.
There viii be men next Winter who viii either have