Vermont watchman and State journal. [volume] (Montpelier, Vt.) 1836-1883, 1878-10-23
Our Washington Letter.

times. The odds, Mt least, are favorable to this
view, and nothing short Of II surprising gain by
the Republicans on the fifth of November can
make it otherwise The main question now is
upon the supposition that an
ELECTION ny THE HOUSE
will be necessary to decide the Presidential con-
test in 1881 This s extremely likely to occur
from the present condition Of politics, there be-
ing strong probability Of three candidates being
in the field all sufficiently strong as to preclude
the possibility OF either securing a majority of
electoral votes. A failure by the people to elect
President throws the election into the House of
Representatives, and twenty states, voting as
units will be required to elect. Neither party
has control Of the present House, in such an event.
as there are nineteen states whose delegations are
Republican, seventeen that are democratic, and
two-Florida and Californa-whose delegations
are tied, and It takes majority Of all the states
to elect, which makes it as bad for the Republic
ans as II Florida and California sent democratic
delegations Despite the fact that in the late
elections the democrats have gained three out of
the nineteen Republican delegations of the pres
ent House, viz. Ohio, Indiana and Oregon, there
is still abundant reason for believing that the Re
publicans can easily make mp for this loss in the
November elections, rs we shall undertake to
show. The Republicans have already gained one
to start with-Colorado--au two other states
must certainly be gained by the coming elections
in Connecticut and New Jersey, which now have
democratic delegations in the House. The Repub-
lcans are making gallant fight in Connecticut
and very sanguine Of carrying the two districts
now represented by Tanders and Warner, demo-
Gratis General Joe Tlawley is the nominee against
Ianders, and is bound to win. In New Jersey
the Republicans moro than ever aroused, and
are carr, ing the war into the enemy camp under
able leaders and with the brightest prospects of
success Even the democrats have given up all
hopes of retaining control Of this delegation in the
next House, and only hope to elect three out Of
the seven Congressman. BY gain of Colorado
Connecticut and New Jersey, an offset is made
against the loss of Ohio, Indiana and Oregon
The remaining fourteen Of the seventeen present
democratic states are beyond the control of any
other party comprising as they do the solid
South" with the exception of South Carolina
now represented by Republican majority.
Assuming, then, that the democracy will retain
the vote by units of seventeen states in the next
House, the eye naturally turns to the two states
whose present delegations are tied as q possible
escape from the dilemma in which the House is at
present California, at the first glance, il not an
inviting field for Republican encouragement, as
its legislature has recently elected democratic
senator to succeed Sargent, and H. to all outward
appearance a democratic state There is really
no reason, however, to believe that the Repub-
Leans will lose any of the districts which they
now hold in that state, and with this assurance we
20 lao ho In ft,rt1o tkar
is more reason for hope 1t is confidently ex-
pected that both of the two Congressional dis
tricts will elect Republican representatives.. SEN
ator Conover is running in one and is certain OF
success, while strong hopes are entertained OF
carrying the other. Nothing more disastrous
than tie ensue, mt all events, either in this
state or California, and should the parties be d-
vided in the next House as they are in the pres
cnt, emergencies like it have been met and CON
| quered, and can be again.
That the next House will be largely made mp OF
SEw MATERIAL
can be readily seen already 10y noting how many
| prominent members Of the present House have
thus far failed to secure denomination or re-elec
| ton The loss of such noted leaders as Hale o
| Maine, Foster of Ohio, General Banks, Genera
| Butler Governor Hendee and Burchard Of Illinois
from the Republican side, aud Potter of New
yor, sarlar If Ohio Ce,eral P,nring Lynda ,i
| Wisconsin and Rice of Ohio from, tho den,ncrati,
| sido learos a void hard IN he 6Ilod h, re,v ana
,,,r;oa man r., be s,re ,ya bo,e I, ,boir ,iace,
| coyarror Ton, youpy of obio C,dlove : ortb a
Indian. ard o,o ar ,yo o,bers ma, e,,iraly nm
| Lroyp IN fo,ne and rat,i, srcb leaders as Gar
| sold o,d r,,,o Tom Fyy;r,, and Era,l, Hard br
tho Leadership of the next Il,use seems 10 narrow
d,,,n for tho ,,,,re nm ho,b .;des Tho rafnsa
If Cror,,.on Y p,,,or IN nm a,,in far con,,ro.
hos croa,od ~, l,,,lo s,rnriso here and can nnl,
ho accounted for from tho foct that he has secure,
enough fono in connection with his Victorian
.,,rvcs,i,,,ion committee" IN last him for III,
est ot his natural life-in short that he has q,
| enough,
The prominence which has been given to Colo
mel William T. Pelton, the nephew Of sam Til
len, by
THE CIPHER rEiE9RNMs
published IN the New YORK Fto""e' recalls L
nihd the Glreerol thiS young man WINE locUe
mere pending the electoral account Tor President
tie engaged an elegant SUITE oil hrs-hoor room
| u the Arlington, anu was surrounded ny u GRO"
VI pohucahs from New lorN Every hlght n
cent spe'lhi messenger rom tnis c'ty 10 "rah
Grey r"rN WIN written report c'pher Telegram
nor pelhs trusted lie was Il u'''y NiS''or NJ IN
O"ptol' usu''N occupying Speaker h'nu"ii
ROOM ana II ne ulu not give MS ofuefs oy author
'V Oh Governor iHneh' ne I" lea'' managed
yre"'e u'' l'i'piess'"n 'e ""u "''eSS u I'll
noor oi the 'iousei anu u''cusSc" WIN 'nelioef
tue struggle ior the fres'uehey ana ihueh
chances WINE tne house WAS III session. Ill
headquarters III Tue Arhngtoh were invaded no
only by prominent democrats oht also ny herd
u luhpeeuhiouSs gentry ANXIOUS lot p'ace"hu pfes
hant with suggestions before the florlda dc
elsloh was announced MS quarters were 'rowde'
"sn'lS' Ntor ''e Nelulo' III i'o"'S'""'' Tue '''
'tors droppeu on ana lie was soon ieit sohcr
ina alone Ever since
THE POTTER COMMITTEE
was appointed nothing hut III has happened t
rilden, and no injury whatever has resulted t
the President The committee undoubtedly owe
It's inception to Tilden, aud Potter was placed a
It's head to make it respectable Potter is Ii
D., an eminent lawyer and ambitious The vie
| tins of the investigation have been Anderson
who lost his place, Manton Marble who lost hi
character and Tilden who has finally and foreve
lost the Presidency and his hold upon the polite
# New York Rare, indeed, is such a coniun,
ton Of III luck lie kdnaps his books, loses hi
| cipher, is kicked ont Of convention, and the stat
committee il organized against him. This lesso