New-York tribune., 1878-01-21
THE BRITISH WAR TUMULT.

IRON THE REGULAR CORRESPONDENT OF THE rRrBUNE.l
LoNDON. Jan. 1O.-The scare is pretty much over.
II needs little or 10 knowledge of what gees on in
side Cabinet councils to assure the British pub
lie as some of it's oIacles have ndly begun to do,
that the party has been beaten again and has
fouad out that il is beaten, and has put aside its
brass trumpet FOR more convenient season. We
have had about ten days of It. Less than n fort
night ago was writing with the din of war in my
ears. The English proposal of mediation
or intercesson, had been made; accom-
panied with dire threats from the penny
ministerial press of what would happen il Russia
rejected it. FOur days later came Lord Carnaryon's
speech It. was also welcomed with threats from the
same source, and still more dire, of what was going
TO happen to Lord Carnaryon because he had made
it. Yet nothing has happened either to Russia.
though she has rejected English mediation, or TO
Lord Carnarvon, though he has eaten none of his
words and ] look forward with some apprehension
on my account to the publication in New-fork
OF letters in which these events these threats, these
alarms, were recorded. In the light of the tele-
graphic news which has preceded my let
ters, they may well enough seem exagger-
ated, and their accounts of the feeling which
they describe overdrawn. And yet they were very
moderate pictures of the it then presented
itself to the outsider The EuglIshman, who has
deep personal interest in the matter, took it far more
seriously than did He held meetings all over the
country. lie sent mp protests and remonstranceS III
thunder tones, which made themselves heard by the
most unwilling ears III London. The best Informed
men of the anti-war party-with single exception
were those who looked graycst. Only last Satur-
day, while rcitcratng my own belief that moth
ing woud come of all the racket | felt
bound To add tha; Liberals in position To know
extremely well what was going OIL, thought the SIT
nation very grave. Bat to-day there is general
feeling Of relief and general conviction, as be-
gan by saving, that the storm has blown oyer-for
the moment. There remains. and will always re-
lnan one perennial source of alarm-thc presence of
Lord Beaconsfcd at the head Of tho Government
But Continental diplomatists are beginning to find
that they have taken this eminent man too seri-
ously and are slowly adopting the English view
that his words do not mean what they would mean
in the mouth Of Il who felt himself bound by
the ordinary obligations of diplomatic Intercourse.
II is the resolve OF Turkey TO ask for an armistce
directly, aud without the Intervention Of England,
which has convinced people that this last effort of the
English war-pariy in behalf Of their Turkish clients
has failed. There were plenty of other signs Ii You
have had an account Of these events by telegraph
say IT, because one never knows what the callc
may choose TO report and VIVA, to conceal, nor what
strange version of plain facts il may offer you-you
will have noticed, not without some surprise, that
Mr. Gladstone has. this occasion. held aloof from
the agitation which has oversprcad the country. He
has even written a letter or two in which
he plainly declined to have part III ii;
on the ground that the time had not
come. As Mr. Gladstone cannot he suspected
of lukowarmness on a suhiect which he has made
his own his apparent Indifference set people asking
what could be the cause Of this strange calmncss
in a Of his fiery nature IL soon began to lie
said that Mr.. Gladstone was better informed than
the public of the actual balance Of parties in
the Cabinet. lie knew il Was whispered that Lord
CaruaIyons speech, lmiGusly a. il was attacked
would not le, aud could not be-. disowncd nor cou-
tradictcd. He knew that the ins"lcnt rebukcs
which tho personal organ Of L0ld BcacOnsield
addressed 10 Lord BcaconsiicGs colleague
were only the outbEIsts OF "a rage suIc to
prove imro'cut. H. knew that the lc;tcrs Of
Mr. Moutacue CORY. the Prime Minister'S
private secrctaiy in the leading Tory Journal which
fora sinrcday produced ~ ominon. change of tone
III the au. uac OF that Journal, had Itself to be dis
owned or even apoouzci for. In shoit Nh Glad
stone mad reason 10 believe that Lord Carnaryon'
declaration in fay OF ui continued neutrality had the
support of the maiorit # tie CahI"ct; OF If not of
an actual numerical majority. Of minority suii-
clcutly energetic 10 make II, Will prcyal-of mi
nority which would resign sooner tAaH "cqHirsce IN
a policy leading 10 war. Hence hlS curious compo-
susc az a moment when the rest Of the country WAS
in commotiou. and When even icuicHaats 50 able
and 20 much trusted as Nh Chamberlain We're
launching nauil,stoc and Gummonlng the legcs 10
save ihe country from great peril.
OF all men in the world it Is Lord Derby who is
believed 10 have turned the scale Lord Derby
heretofore timid, or perhaps Should say 50 eau
ions. so obedicnt TO the stronger will and more
I .f chi nrI
found the slope getting too steep, and the race too
fast for him; and put on the brake II there had
been one atom of truth ~ the hint of ministerial
journalists that Lord Carnaryoa was suumonCd by
the Queen to Osborne To he lc,tucd or ang"rcd INTO
rcsguing, Lord Derby stood ready to accompany
him into exile. An exile IN when they,
AMI Lord Salisbury with thcm, would have
been consoed by the applause OF a graie-
ful nation, rescued from proiligJtc adVcn-
turcr and sure to manifest It's gratitude
by turning out the slirators against It's peace
don't think thi5 needs to bc stated coni"cturaly
believe II 10 be quite certain that If Lord Bcacon>
field had persisted, the Cabinet would have gone to
pieces that the Tory majority in the House of COM
mons would have gone with il and that dSsolu-
ton had II dissolution been rIskcd in such clrcum-
stances wonld have resulted in the return Of dec-
svc majority against any more bullying of Russia,
or harassng the peace of Europe for the furthemnce
of Oriental politics or jew slccnlations.
The very last card played bclor" the hand was
thrown up was shrcwd aud a bold one. 1t was
spread about that the Russians were themselves
more in need of an armiSticc than the Turks. If
you asked why. then. the Russians refused so
promptly the English oiicr to act as go-5ctwern you
were told that this WAS mere buiing; and that
whichever held out longest at the bluilng business
would win. | dare say you also have heard all the
way across the Atlantic OF the desperate coalition
of the Russian forces in Bulgaria; how the