The daily dispatch. [volume] (Richmond [Va.]) 1850-1884, 1878-10-07
snE7 EL.E1EcsrIoNs IN 9oHro TOMORROW.
ancsscs as to the Rasnlt--- Both Chair.
men scared.
Correspondence OF the Philade,phia TimesJ

COLUMBUS, October Thompson IS In
had f,un1or. to begin with. There can. be
no doubt OF that; everybody says SO, and
every BODY has said so for week, and when.
THOMPSON is in bad humor something Is
wrong somewhere MIR. John q. Thomp-
son is chairman OF the Democratic State
Committee, and the difficulty is that the
outlook for Democratic success Is not SO
cheerful as be would like to have 1t. "Ihe
fact is,D he said. "we've got new party
in a bag in this State, Just as you folks nave
in Pennsylvania, and ii you'll tell me now
many OF our voters are in the bag or now
many OF the other side are there, then can
make a guess how things viii come OUT.
But you can put 1t down that the Democrats
will carry the State and elect majority or
the congressional delegation For the
first time in many years, however, Mr..
THOMPSON declines to give maiorities IN ad-
vance Of the election.
The fact is each party is afraid the other
is going to carry the election, and the bg-
ure-men on both sides have got into uncom-
fortably close quarters. what comes OF IL
will not be much to boast OF on either side
IL present indications are worth anything,
for the majority on State ticket can hardly
be more than a few thousand either way.
To get ANYBODY to guess at the probable
size OF the National vote and then stick TO
his figures more than q few moments Is
wholly out of the question. The Democrats
do not think it will amount to much, be-
cause they can't see, after all that the De-
mocracy of Ohio has done in behalf OF the
qreenback and the laboring man and dema-
@ogery in general, what excuse any
body can have for leaving that party to go
into an untried organization with the same
platform virtually. For this reason the av-
craze Democratic leader seems to think that
the National strength will be. comprised
mostly OF Republicans who have been
driven away from their party by its hard
money course. Among the Republicans
there is a wide difference OF opinion as to
the probable strength OF the new party.
General Robinson, the chairman OF the Re
publican State Committee, thinks it Will
stop somewhere between forty and fifty
thousand. After the Maine election there
were indications that it would have been
much larger, going so far as TO cause gene
raj breakup, but it is the Republican
feeling that the Maine influence has
been almost entirely overcome by their
raishtforward tight on the money is
sue. Other leading Republicans, how
ever, put the National vote much higher.
from eighty TO hundred
There are good reasons to be-
lieye that this outside figure is too high. No
such enthusiasm is manifested by the new
party people here as in Pennsylvania, and
not one twentieth as many distinctive
Grecnback newspapers are circulated here
rs in our State. Neither are there any lead
ers OF the party to compare with those OF
PENNSYLVANIA. For all this the movement
is strong enough 10 cause great deal OF
anxiety and tie up the guessins-men OF the
parties.
THE NATIONAL PUZZLE.
Where it will strike With dcadliest effect
is as much a matter OF surmise as any other
fca.ure OF it. The Republicans felicitate
themselves that it will cut into the Demo
Gratis more this year; in fact, that much OF
its increase OF strength will come from that
side, because while last year thousands OF
Democratic VOL kIngmen went into the new
organization they drew out in time to vote,
and left the Republican part OF it in the
lurch. How far this sort OF business en-
tended, or whether there was any consid-
cradle amount OF it at all or not, it is inl-
possible to say with any degree Of accuracy,
but it IS fact that the new movement has
taken j hold OF the mining section, where
the Democratic vote is strong and where
the third-party vote last year was not strong
" asserted. On the other hand, too, it has
gone into the farming districts to some
extent, but not so much so rs in most other
States Nearly all agree that its heaviest
votes will come from the cities. This was
the case last year when the movement was
in the form Of a Labor party and Work
ineman's party-whatever the distinction
may be-when Bond, the Labor candidate,
had l2,4S9 votes, and Johnson. the Work
ingman's candidate, 1922. OF this total
OF 4 little more than $4,000 votes. over $4,000
came from the three counties Of Hamilton,
Cuyahoga, and Lucas, in which are situated
respectively the cities OF Cincinnati, Cleve-
land. and Toledo. 1t left the Republicans
the third party in Lucas, which has been
one OF their most reliable counties; laid
low three quarters Of their regulation
majority in Cuyahoga, and in Hamil-
ton, while it seemed to cut both. re-
suited to the advantage OF the Demo-
Gratis. Perhaps you may get an idea OF the
Of things by an instance or
two. In Huron county, where they have
been in minority a thousand or fifteen
hundred, the Nationals are said to have
the Democrats, while in the adj
Democrats are in the ascendant, the new
party is giving the Republicans most trou-
bic. The same is the case in the strong
Democratic county of Ottawa. And then,
as ii TO show how mistaken would be any
calculation upon this basis, the Republicans
in Wood county, which ought to be COED
for something like thousand Republican
are all broken up by the National
n
nobody is sufficiently president to tell what
kinds OF cats there are in the bags, nor how
many there may be Of them.
THE CONGRESSIONAL FIGHT.
The fight which the Republicans are
making 10 control majority Of the next
delegation is almost heroic,
but it has become wholly personal and dis
graceful in many Instances on both sides.
The Democratic gerrymander by the last
Legisature-which was Just a little worse,
if anything, than the Republican gerryman-
der which it ucceeded--wasn't calculated
to give the Republicans more than five OF
the twenty members OF Congress as sure
thing. with the chance, at the falthest, that
they would carry one other. The certain
Republican districts are the Fourth, where
all the Republican counties on the western
line u the State were heaped together, and
the Seventeenth, Eighteenth, Nineteenth,
and Twentieth, composed OF the strong Re-
publican counties of the Northeast, or what
is more generally known as the Western Re-
serve. The smallest maj ority in any OF these
is in the Twentieth district, Cuyahoga
county. where the Republicans, in 1876, had
nearly 1000, and the largest is Garfeld's,
where the majority is about $4,000. These
districts will elect j. Warren Keiffer, James
Monroe, j. T. Updegraf, James A. Garfield,
and Amos Townsend, respectively, without
q reasonable doubt. This leaves the Repub-