The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1878-11-02
The General Elections on Tuesday.

Inc 0cucl0l GIcctlOnS on luesUays
important elections occur in thirty-one
States on Tuesday, Nov. .. Seven States
elect their Governors, and larger number
elect the whole or the ma or part OF their
Legislatures, which, in January next, will
choose Senators in Congress. All the thirty
one States will elect members Of the House
of Representatives. The number to be
chosen on Tuesday IS two hundred and forty,
being four-ilrhs Of the entire House.
From these facts II will be apparent that
the contest 20 he decided on Tuesday is
second in Importance only To Presidential
election.
The terms ~ twcnty-four members OF the
present Senate expire with this Congress In
March next Eight OF these Senators are
Democrats. and sixteen are Republicans.
The seats of six Of the eight Democrats who
retire in March will be- filled by Democrats
The case in respect to the other two, BAR
MIN OF Connecticut and EUsTIs Of Louis
lana, is not quite 50 clear. though the
chances are In favor II the Democrats, GER
Lanly in Louisiana.
The seats Of seven Of the sixteen retiring
Republicans will pretty certainly be again
filed by Republicans. while it Is about
equally sure that seven of them will be
flled by Democrats. The two seats We
have not classified are those now occupied
b, Mr.. CoNKLING Of this State, and Mr.,
C'MERoN Of Pennsylvania. The reelection
Of Mr.. CoNKLING IS generally regarded as a
foregonc conclusion, while the fate OF Mr..
CAMERON Is very doubtful. II Tuesdays
contests for the several Legislatures turn
out rs we have suggested, the Democratic
tnut.rftts ia soil 10 ton or.
eleven.
The great struggle at the September and
October elections was for members OF the
House. The contests for Congressman in
Maine Ohio Indiana. and Iowa having re-
suited So much moro disastrously for the
Republicans than their leaders predicted,
the party Aas evidently abandoned the hope
OF carrying MAORI y Of the lower branch
OF the next Congress.
In the present House the Democrats have
ljj members, and the Republicans 1873, giving
the former majority Of II. Al the recent
elections this fall the Republicans suffered
loss Of ten members. In the present
House they have fourteen representatives,
from the former slaYeholdng States. We
doubt If they will elect more than four from
those States on Tuesday. This will be n
Republican loss Of ten members in the
South We presume the Republicans will find
1t impossible 10 retain all Of their present
seventeen members in Pennsylvania, eleven
IN Illinois, and five IN Wisconsin. Two
years ago the maJoritles by which they car
ried some Of these representatives were eX-
trcmely small 1t would seem to be a mod
crate calculation TO say that they are now
likely % lose at least five Of their members
In those three States. Here then, we have
total Republican loss Of twenty-five.
Is any portion OF this loss likely 10 be
made up by gain of Republican rcprcscn-
Atlvosf 1t begins 10 bo generally believed
that the Republicans will gain one member
In New Hampshire, one in Massachusetts
one in Connecticut, three In New York. and
onc in New Jersey, making a total of seven.
This, IL our estimates are correct, would
leave the Republican net loss, in comparison
with their numbers in the present House
to stand at eghteen. II this be an accurate
statement Of the results of the elections, II
would place the Republican membership Of
the next House at l2O, and the Democratic
membership with their Greenback allies at
10, giving an anti-Republcan majority Of
3d. THIS majority Is larger than has gen
orally bren anticipated. But we do not
-" how it eau bee materially reduced except
oyt outbreak OF unforeseen circumstances,
1r by the ca-ting of an unexpectedly large
ji"cnhark vote in opposition - Democratic
cIndidUtc- for Congress