Daily globe. [volume] (St. Paul, Minn.) 1878-1884, 1878-12-26
THE NEXT HOUSE.

a Close Rerie,c of the Sttmation-De,,to-
cratic Najority TN 4ny CONTINGENCY. but a
TIE on the Tote by States-ITte Contest for
Washbarn's Seat Hay Decide the Prest-
deaey.
New York World.l n
The certificate having been awarded to
MIR. Kitchen in the Second Congressional
district of North Carolina, and the election
of Mr.. Hull in the Second Florida being
made certain by the Brevard county returns,
of Representatives is now accurately deter
mined as follows:
democrats l49
hepuplcans .l29
Nallonais. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS. 10
California has still to elect four members.
The present delegation from that State is
equally divided, though the Democrats
gained member by unseating Pacheco,
who was returned as elected. like Gov. Nor
ton IN Massachusetts long ago, by one vote
in a poll of over So. COG. There is vacancy
in the Twelfth district of New York also,
caused by the death of Mr.. Smith, the Re
plblican member elect from district hlth
the Democrats will have clear major
ity of five over both parties on the
organization Of the house, even in the very
improbable contingency of the Republicans
again carrying Westchester county and of
their making clean sweep of all four of the
California districts In this we leave out of
the question the two Nationals from Iowa,
who, as there is good reason to believe, are
Under pleeges to go into the Democratic eau
Gus for speaker. Nor do we consider at the
present the contingency of the Iowa delega-
ton standing four Democrats and Nationals
| to two Republicans, instead of seven Repub-
hcans to two Nationals, contingency which
might arise should the November election
be regarded as the legal election and tho
October election passed over. Opinion in
Iowa is divided as to the validity of the Oc-
tober contest, even Secretary McCrary hav-
ing recommended calling special summer
session of the Legislature to cure any irregu-
| larities, and two of the Republican Con-
gressman elected in October having pro-
cured re- election in November, as not be-
ing certain that their previous titles were
good.
| With the Democrats we include in this
list such members as having been elected by
a combination with the Nationals have since
declared their intention of voting with the
Democrats, or are understood to have formed
such an intention. Among these we may
mention MIR. Stevenson, of Illinois: Mr..
Laid, of Maine; Mr.. Poehler, of Minnesota
Mr.. Smith, of New Jersey; and Mr.. Wright,
OF Pennsylvania. Mr.. Barlow, of Vermont,
though elected, as National, is only bolt
ing Republican, and viii certainly go into
the Republican caucus, SO we have Included
him in the Republican list. Mr.. O'ReiiIy, of
the Second New York district, is classed as q
Democrat, though elected by Republican aid
over the regular Democratic nominee
| The members classed as Nationals are Mr.
Lowe, of Alabama, who with Radical aid de-
feated Democrat, and is likely to act with
the Republicans: Mr.. Forsythe, of Illinois,
who beat Democrat with Republican assist
ance; Mr.. De La Matyr, of Indiana, who was
elected With Democratic aid, but will go
into neither caucus; Messrs. Weaver
and Gillette, of lows, slected with
| Democratic aid, and, it is understood,
pledged to act with the Democrats in organ
| ling the House; Mr.. Murch of Maine,
elected over the candidates of both parties:
Mr.. ford, OF Missouri, elected by Republican
help; Mr.. Russell, of North Carolina, elected
by Republican aid but vehemently anti
Blaine: Mr.. Yocum, of Pennsylvania, who
| beat Curtin with Republican assistance, and
Mr. Jones, of Texas, elected over a regular
Democrat. On the general run of party
questions it is therefore likely that the
Nationals will divide themselve: between the
two parties.
There will be q number Of contested seats,
some of the cases being of unusual import
ance. After an impartial review of the cir
| cunlstances we are inclined to say that in
three or four at least of these the claims of
| the Democratic contestants will be readily
| admitted by an unbiased Judge. AZ has
been the rule for many years, both under
Republican and Democratic control the
weight of party prejudice always tends to
give the majority an additional representa-
ton, SO that when the House has disposed
of the contests we may expect to see a con
siderably larger Democratic majority-say
something over twenty over all.
From the present indications the Statesi in
the House, in the event of there being 10
choice of President by the people in 1880,
will give eighteen Democratic votes and
eighteen Republican votes. California hay
ing yet to choose her Representatives, and
National member elected by Democrats
but OF Republican antecedents holding the
balance of power in Indiana. The chances
are decidedly that California will divide
equally, but there are other contingencies
which may alter the situation at any mo-
ment. Thus, if Mr.. McCabe should succeed
In ms contest against Mr.. Orth in Indiana
the vote of Indiana would be Democratic
even if Mr.. De La Matyr should vote with
the Republicans. Should Mr.. Donnelly be
seated in the place OF Mr.. Washburn in Min
nesota, that State would give Democratic
vote. And should Mr.. King oust Mr. Halle
ton in Wisconsin the Badger State too would
be tied and lost to the Republicans. These
slight but immensely important changes
would give the Democrats twenty States. the
Republicans having sixteen and two being
divided.
TIE "<insertcaa 4Gficul5uristv at the Vest
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