The New York herald., 1878-02-11
Balance of Power in the Hands of Mr..
Kellogg, of Louisiana.
THE RECOGNITION OF DIAz.
Beneficial Effects of Mr.. Belmont's Letter
TO Governor Hendricks.
FROM OUR SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT.

THE SENATE VOTE ON THE BLAND BILL
DEFEAT or THE VETO IN THE HANDS OF
MR.. KELLOGG OF LoUIsIANA-THE PREsI-
DENTS COURSE CRITICISED BY WELL
wIsHER.
The vote on the Bland BILL with the Senate amend
mcnt giving the profits OF coinage to the Treasury
will. according 10 the best at,anable information
stand thus
For the bill-Repubcans- Allison, Booth,
Bruce, Angus Cameron, Don Cameron, Chanec,
Conover, Dorsey, Ferry, Howe. Ingalls, Jones,
Of Nevada; Kirkwood, Matthews, Mcmillan, Mitchell
Oeesby Paddock. Plumb Saunders Spencer,
Teller and Window: and ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Armstrong, Bailey, Beck, CockrelI, Coke, Davis,
Of West Virginia; Eustis. Garland, Gordon, Grover,
Harris, Hereford. Jones, of Florida; Johnston,
Maxey, McCreery, Mcdonald, Merrimon, Morgan,
Ransom, Salisbury. Thurman, Voorhees,, Wallace and
withers, with DAVIS. OF Ilnois, independent-in
all 49,
Against the NEUTRALITY-SUSPICIOUS. Blaine,
Burnside, Chrstiancy, Conkling, Dawes. Edmunds,
Hamlin, Hoar, Morrill,, Rollins. Sargent and Wad-
leigh; democrats-Barnum, Bayard Butler, Dcnnis,
Eaton, Hill, Herman, Lamar, NJ SPherson, Randolph,
Wtyte-in all "a.
1t will be observed that In this list twenty three re.
pdbiicans, twenty-five democrats and an ndepen ndent
vote for the BILL aud thirteen republicans and eleven
democrats vote against It, 1t Will also be observed
that two Senators-Paterson and Sharon-are left out
as absent and that the name of Senator Kellogg does
not appear either list II the vote should stand as
above recorded-iorty-nine to twenty-lour-without
Senator Kellogg, his vote cast either way would decide
the question: and people who have been studying the
"chances' OF tho bill now busily asking
how MI. Kellogg is likely to vote So far no
one appesrs to have got satisfactory answer to this
rather important question. Mr. Kellogg has not yet
committed himself. He has not spoken the bill
ana he did not vote on the Matthews resolution. He
left his seat while the vote taken, and did not
appear until It had been declared Whether Mr.. Kei.
logg enjoys tho situation Is not KNOWN but unless his
reputation cunning and adro politician Is utterly
false he will 1t that his political shall
not suffer by reason of tnis accident Of his holding
tho key of the silver chest
The Silver bill, is above, splits both parties
square across the middle. 1t does even moro. The
President is supposed to have a small party of his
own III the Senate consisting, according to the best
attanable information, OF Senators Hoar and
Matthew'S But even this party, which is not 100 nu-
merous to walk under one moderately sized umbrella
is fatally divided tho silver question Nor is TINS
all There is no question likey to como before the
present Congress, except that OF contested election
on which both parties will not split and it might be
added that contested election Is the only case In
which partisan vote impossible Take Mr.. Woods
Tariff bill 1t Is distinctly democratic measure. but
1t will not get the whole democratic vote, and It will
get republican votes In both houses.
''why don't you hold q cau;us9" a democrat was
asked tho other day, and he replied at once, "What
Is the use9 Everybody now votcs as he peases. The
republicans held caucuses a while ago. but they
could not agreo anything" And that describes the
oxact stuation-evsrybody votes as he pleasos, the
Can n he IN int nj how
what better discipline than their opponents, because
thoy have few watchful influential leaders whom
the rank and ne tho last session grew accustomed
TO obey.
Tho weak point Of the republicans 10 that they are
afraid OF their shadows, as was shown In very droll
way just before the recess. when democrat offered
bill for universal amnesty. Mr.. Garfield, the leader
OF tho republican side, remarked that II II was
amended so as to grant amnesty to all who would ap-
ply to the Attorney General for 1t the bill would
doubtless be passed unanimously, the republicans
would support 1t. Tho democrats at once accepted
this amendment whereupon the republicans faltercd
hlibustered awhile, and finally almost the whole of
them voted against It, including Garfield himself.
The political situation Is such that President who
had real and living profession of faith, or who
wished to the ship OF State in given direction
especially II that direction happened 10 DO tho right
onc could easily carry his policy in both houses II he
were true leader Of mon, with will and faith and q
distinct purpose In his head Dsintegration cannot
60 much further; at least II ought not for
tho public good Too great sense OF ire.
sponsbility among members might lead to mis-
chievous jobbing. Whether there is yet tendency
in the mixture to specialization cannot be deter
mined except by experiment. Political chemistry Is
not yet science But the creator question is
whether the President has the Will or the ability to
bring order out of this political chaos Hc is Ger
tanly not in hurry to interfere He looks tran
gully, and is so far puzzle to all who do think
him incapable of controlling the situation.
"Is masterly inactivity Is IL naction ?" asked
sincere friend OF his in conversation to-day, and
recalled some words Of Mr.. Calhoun, in which the
latter, In groat debate Ia 1s46, defined the differ
between the two Tor the instruction Of Senator
Allen. OF Ohio, since famous as ''Oieballenn Said
Mr.. Calhoun
Nothing can be more unlike than inactfon aud what
Is called mastery inactivity They ns wide apart
~ the poles The one rs the offspring OF Incidence
ignorance Indifference The olher is the result OF
rho proioundest sagncity and wisdom--a sagacity
which looks into the operations OF tho great causes
IN the physical, moral political worId which by
their incessant operation are ever changing the con.
alton Of nations Tor good or evil, and wisdom which
ably by slight touches TO facilitate thor progress and
by removing mpedmcns which might seem to thwart
or impede their course and not least by waiting pa
ticnty Tor the fruits Of their operations. He who
docs not understand the difference between such
activity and mere inaction-thc doing OF noihiug-is
still IN tho horn book Of politics. without glimpse OF
the higher elements OF satesmanshp by which a
country Is elevated 10 greatness and prosperity.
"Is It mastery inactivity, or Is 1t inaction which
wo see in Mr. Hayess courseY" continued the poll.
tician VINO had recalled Mr. Calhouns definition. ''On
that great deal depends. H. US some OF his Ohio
friends assert, ho Is merely a confirmed opumisi,
man who habiiualy pcrsuades himself that what
ever happens is good enough, then he may turn out
10 be not merely cipher In the Presidency but worse
Ihan that especially II some day he should wake up
panic struck But II he Is really and anxiously watch
ing the course OF politics he has opportunity Tor
the exercise OF wiso and bencacent craftsmanship
which docs not often rccur For my part the Message
read SO well that l began with n large faith in him.
Ny confidence was shaken when saw that he per-
mitted Kellogg to be seated In the Senate; not that