The New York herald., 1878-03-14

The main line OF defence Of Turkey in Europe snd 10
place that emrirc and Constautnople itseli
az the mercy OF Russia that TO establish seIfrov-
with The support OF national
militia would iniably bring about these results The
foreseeing that TO create a semiindcpendent Bul-
garian princpali'y tior such the new province
would bel must, sooner or later lead 10 the annexa-
SION to OF the provinces south OF the lxans ia
winch there Is a'Buigsrian population, would take
at once 10 nvauo Tnessaly and Epirus aud
TO raise ,hc Greek population iD Macedonia. with a
to secuii iDg them IRON ultimate absorption win
bulgaria. that the Heencs would be supported ny
Europe, and that irssh dismembermcDt Of tne Elm
pre- would then take ploce Ibe sultan and hs MID
sters would further fear the effect upon all the Mus
suman popui lions of the Turkish Empire Of handing
over 10 Christian government and influence large
Mohammcdan population. Such would inevitably 90
the result oil forming bulgaria. norm o tnc balkans,
into autonomous Sta,c
IT WOULD COST Tns SULTAN THRONE
II The SULTAN consent TO TINS under present.
circumstances II would most probably cost him his
throne II not his ic sucn Is the present exaspera.
OF tho Porte against Servia and Nontcuegro ARA
such conviction that II IS about 10 suUnuc tho lat
ter prncipalty that proposals at the present mo.
Tor any augmentation OF territory 10 either Of
them would. am convinced, be listthed TO, except
II weio some trim ng ccssion TO Montenegro such as
that mentioned 10 my de.patch Of the 2fih ult.
with tho usincnla,i Of territory 10 Montenegro and
Serva, Bosnia and herzegovina would pobaoiy 90 cut
of from The rest Of Turkey IA Europe, and win the
institutions TO bo gwen To ihose PROVINCES, Tue
Porte Would consider them a. practically 1881 To 'be
Turkish Eu,plre. 10 tho ,udrpendence OF Roun'aniA
the Porte would not probably make any very serious
lection, but would appeal To the Powers who signed
the treaty VI PARIS. She would not, bocvc, listen
of The Dobrudscha 10 Roumauu- Tie cessiou OF
BatouD, with adjacent territory. to RUSSIA, would
he considered by Inc Porte as hahuing over 10 Ler
the Key Of Armenia and Of oil ASIA Minor; and
moreover Bltoum Is stu held by ths TURKISH
arms. To acd 10 AL the concessions mentioned
above, tne forte mighi, as suggested by Russia be-
called upon to gve compensation W Austria n Bosnia
and part OF Herzegovina No one who Is III the least
acIuuin teu wuh The present temper oil the Turkish
government aud eople, with the exasperaion which
is slowly gaming ground among trs Mussulmaps Of
this empire End with the means thai they
sul have II iuhicing iDcaiculable injuries
upon tho Christian Population, wouli, .ierl
The dresl necessity would inauce the Porte 10
listen to these couutIons There rs not iurk who
wJuid not see ~ tne:u the uisme erment an d
strucuon oi tue Ottoman Empire. No sultan, no
Minister would dare even 10 entertain them. l be-
IIeve II would bo highly dangerous Tor England, or
any Uthtr Power, To su-gcst such conditions 10 The
TURKISH government, mucn more " propose ihcm.
II may b. stated Win conliuence 'ha., however Sc
crsty they wcro placed before the sultan or his Miu-
listers. IBey wVuid s0cu b come known. fhsre Is u
powerful party In the palace, supported by tue old
iapatcal Mu'suiman party outside, averse 10 peace
determined to crr; on the war 10 tho worry end.
DANGkR OF "A MASSACRE
They are desperate men. ana would shrink from no
measures should they Deneve that terms were ABOUT
10 be imposed upon Turkey which would isad TO the
iai 0. the Empire, general persecution oi the MO-
hammedah reiisiou, ana 10 The ultimate exterm'nn-
those profess 10 the European dvminionS
0 tho sultan. wneiner these isars be well iounded
tncy would prevail; anu although am very Tar
from being ah uIarmst can scarcely DOUBT Lbut tney
would nd Ia irghtluI massacres Up to the present
time the urkish government aged W Keep Tho
spirit oi under controi and has succccuSa III
maintaining friendly lee,iug between Mussuluiahs
aud CHRISTIANS, aud ~ restoring Tue conhdence Of tue
latter especially Iu Europe But " couid not CONTINUE
10 40 ~ II thc Mussunaus were onco inuuce,i " oe-
lievc chat tncir prop r.y, their iah anu heir very
rndssirube ht actually dangerous, 10 our inerest-,
Tor suggest 10 the Porte Tue acceptance oi
Il rms AS those proposed by RUSSIA. ANY ipfu-
encc W. may still possess ,nerc winch may horc
ater be useIully aud puweTIutIy employed IN he ih
""s'royoa s ser. 10 d" So W. so"a us oo1ed
uL0n as greater enemies 10 turkey and tue lsainism
Than ku sra ncrse.i as ialse friends and traitors
must apologize 10 our LOraship Tor the very nasty ani
Imperfect mucner IN wnicn bave tiacrdEciorc you
these conslaerasions; out cocll not ALLOW the mes
senger 10 leave without AT least submitting them,
IN tAer present form, 10 Her Mjes.y's govern
menL As 10 the result Oi The acceptance by turkey
condiuoas proposed by Russia upon the
England, do not Feel my self authorized 70 write
Her MajesLys yovci nmcDt Will, no DOUBT take them
in,o ,,.,r iulisst uousiueratiou NAV aud thu the
observations nave v"uturcd 10 make apply 10 the
prcscuL state VI affairs Were Russia ovr tho Dau
abe and the Bulkau Passes ana were sue IN posses
sion OF Arneua mere in,gnt ue grounds Tor forming
q different opinion 10 that when 1 nave now ca
pressea; bLt l. must be remembered that up 10 the
present time thc RUSSIANS have gained no very signal
victories and the Porte slIl undcr the impression
however ~ iounoea) that rssst tho Russian ad-
vance with tar Prospects "i success.
FOR cosFiDESriAL INFORMATION ONLY.
To The Tor tegoins, Lord Derby sends the following
repIy:-
FOREIGN OFrcEsJunc 90, 1871.
SIR have received your dcspaicu OF the l3.n iust
referring TO the terms VI peace which dis ExceiIcucy
ready TO accept II peace is concluded before her
armies the Balkans, ana winch CON municatcd
20 you By telegraph on the 18th INST, ana have to
state TO you tnut Her Maiesty's government had no
intention ut nstructing you either to propose these
sonutons o. pr"ou 20 .ne lor.o or " sappor. ,ne'
tai INFORM at,on only, aud IN order that you might
report your observations on them to Her Majesty =
BULGARIAN AUTONOMY
Mr. Layard has strong obcctions 10 Bulgaria be-
coming II sml-isdcpendont STATE, as viii be seen
u
Therapia June 10, 1917
Thc Russian Chancellor thus appears TO demand
the formation INTO vassal autonomous province
OF the whole ot Turkey In Europe Inhabited by Bui-
earIans The limits to be assigned TO this provlucc
can only be at present matter VI conjecture, but
they might be maoe TO Include the yayet OF
Adranoplc, aud that OF Salouica down TO tho
uencvlpe that Turkey would not accept me terms
OF peace lrst proposed by PrIuce Gurtsch ak0l ex
cep alter defeats ana disasters whIcn would eave
si the absoiuic mercy Of her enemy, there are sui
stronger grounds lor tnc c,hvc'iou thar nothing but
The cxtfencst ccssity wuuu buuCc her ~ listen 10
the iur her cOndion now sugs' sted TIE orination
OF the provinces hortu ana south oi Inc Balkans
one vassai autonomous province, WIN ihr wihdra~ al
from them vi the Turkish troops and iunCtonarcs and
the abandon meat and destruction Of the Turkish for
tesscs the Danube would be- IN Iact the end OF the
Ottoman Empire Ia Europe. 1t would take but a
lIttIe lime ihis socallcd "vassa
autonomous province" into seml-indcpcndcnt prin-
cpality or STATE. its complete scv,rancc IRON Tur-
key would tnen be but question Of lew years Like
Servia and RVumaDs, worlu become mere de-
pendency Of Russia 10 be annexed when necessary or
onous province the remainder OF territories uf
Turkey in Europe must be lost To her Bosnia ana
Herzegovina wvaid I've completely cut Oh from Con-
sautnop both by sea aud land, uncss, which Is al
torrtbci murUJapic, right oi way would be LETT lor
Turkish troops Gfough me ow Bulgaria. These two
provinces w.ur c,tner bc iormca into au0hcr vdss Al
autonomous ate or uu uc divided bci weeD Austria,
Scrva and ssvnencgrv, as Piiucc GortscnaNon ev-
dehty io,esuudVws
G'ERcE, RoUMAsiA AND sERyA.
Greece wIh b, cvlupeiicd 10 demand ihc annexation
OF rnessay Lid Epirus, aud wIl no doubt make IA
4 al llIlll "A
DOM Would prevent ner bong altogether cut of
IRON Constant tGOpie, 10 the ultimate acquisition Of
when the hopes vi the whole Hellenic race are al.
reced But Rus.ia mas been working ior many years
bring the wnoie Ui VI ,ccuon and especially Mount
Athvs wI,nin The boundaries OF Slavisn. sue would
probably, therefore, resist all attmpts ou tue part
treccu to acquire territory sO'ncccssury TO the
development OF the Ssv race I" The souib,
aud without which tue new Russo bulgarian
prime paiIy would deprived OF access to The Med
iterraDean Tue policy Of Russia win regaru 10
0r nus, oi late years, beon altogether cnangcc,
anu tnr Gi ecks know iul well thsteibey have been
abandoned by h.r Tor the uore useful Slsvs fhc En-