The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1877-01-31
Speculation as to the Course That
Russia May Pursue.
IS THE GEAR UNDECIDED?
Probability Of Peace Between Turkey and the
Reyollcd Prncipalities.
A PApAL ENCYCLICAL COMING.
Slade Again To Be Prosecuted-Tem-
pestuous Weather in England.
[sY GABLE TO THE HERALD.

CBY CABLE TO THE HERALD.
LONDON, Jan. 81, 1871
The question which is agitaung the minds Of
diplomatists and Journalists just now Is whether
Russia will fight thousand speculations are
gwen vent to; but probably We shall have no real
solution till the winter is The suspense Is al
most as during the sitting Of the Conference,
the subject
rHs GEAR AND MOSCOW srEgcH.
ST. Petersburg correspondent, in letter dated
January %, says:-"The Czar's Moscow speech cor
tainy remains unqualified by any later declaration,
bat the time It Is evident judging by the tone
Of society at ST. Petersburg and Moscow as well by
that OF public opinion in general that this famous
speech although officially retractcd, is virtually
withdrawn. The argument adduced by members Of
Russian society in justification Of this course Is that
Europe having int erfered and the Conference having
failed Russia notwithstanding what the Emperor said
bilhy."
THE ARMY PREPARED.
With regard to the preparation Of the army in
Bcssarabia mobilization has failed and the army IL In
anything but satisfactory condition Having lived In
his country during the whole course of the present
crisis having carefully watched both here and at
Moscow tho varying drift OF public opinion, uuhesi-
ta.ngly declare my convictions that the Emperor dc.
sires to have excuse for not going 10 war.
SITUATION IN RUSSIA.
A Vienna despatch says :-"Athougn circumstances
have greatly changed since the Cars Moscow speech
that enunciaton cannot DO altogether ignored. Tho
NJ Rucct nh and ho
final decision Of that question Is still pending At 81.
Petersburg and dependent the Of the strug
gle between the Russian peace and parties, which
havo lately Increased intensity Since the affair be-
fore the Kasan Church and the revelations Il is sup
posed led to, there have been signs THAT
popular agitation which played prominent q part
last summer"
AGITATION REpLAcAD BY PRIVATE ACTIVITY.
Such agitation. indeed, Is regarded As two-odgcd
sword, ought not TO be played with. But proper
tionatey as public agitation ceased private activity Of
the party which and official circles represents
Russian national increased II may be taken
as the surest symptom Of this that those reports
the imminent abdication Of the Gear and replace
ment by the Czarcwitch again coming to the front
There seems doubt that the Czar's pacific dispo-
ston has been very much strengthened by number
OF circumstances
CONNECTION BETWEEN THE SLAVIC AND THE socrA,
Foremost among these tho numerous. ndicationl
lately received OF close connection subssting be
tween The national potico-social aspirations and
opinions not only among tho people at large out in
the official class and in the army. Those COM
mttecs which have taken up the Sav cause most
warmly have been found to be or are under heavy
suspicion OF being the most jealous advocates OF
thorough political and social reorgan izaton Of Russian
that Is, . subversion or less OF all that now
exists SO that fostering tho sav idea Indirectly
fostering these political and social aspirations.
DOUBTFUL WHICH COURSE
The fact that one the Bulgarian committees actu-
ally into its programme the future organ
zation OF Bulgaria republic well calculated to
dampen the of the Gear for tho Bulgarian Cause
On the other side II is just this danger OF advanced
political and which Is urged by the advo
Gates OF war the strongest argument for BY
taking tho Pansav In hand Russia maintain
complete control over II, while the authority gained
BY the dynasty and government having settled the
future the whole Slav world would attcr the Rus
sian national feeling, and divert It for long time from
all those political and theories which people
are now broodng over. As yet the peace party havo
tho upper nd, but the party rely good
deal on the return OF General gnatie tho
In It's favor.
PRINCE GORTscHAKoFP Sor RETIRING
Paris correspondent gives emphatic denals to tho
report Of the retirement OF Prince Gortschako and
the assertion that Russia has gwen Servia permission
10 treat for peace
THE POST on THE PROSPECTS OF PEACE
The Post publishes the following In semi-oi1cial
form eff no unforeseen accident occurs to disturb
the disposition which animacs all the Powers we may
hope that the OF the next month assurances
will be given which will ratiy the strong expectations
now entertained that the prospect Of European war
is obviated"
PROBABLE PEACE WITH sERvIA AND MONTENEGRO
A despatch from Constantinoplo says IL Is believed
that peace viii be concluded with servia, and there
rumor that Montenegro has received Turkeys over
lures for peace favorably.
FAVORABLE TERMS roR sERviA.
A despatch from Vienna says the Porto has dropped
its claim for arrears OF the Servian tribute forty
thousand volunto being collected at MosuL As
attic Turkey, to be sent to Kaso
MONTENEGRO PEAcK
A despatch from Ragusa says:-"The British Ger.
aud Italian Consus will proceed to Cettinje TO-
day. is reported, order induce Prince Nicholas
make peace with the Porte II the latter will code 10
Montenegro the Twelve districts demanded. Monte.
negro has consented to allow the Turks TO send into
Ncsio twelve tons of provisions during February
rHs roPB PROTESTING AGAINST AxrI.cLsRrcAL LAWS
despatch from Rome says tho Pope will protest
against the Clerical Abuses recently passed by tho
Italian Chamber Of Deputies, by means OF an encyc.
lical, which is now being prepared. IL will probably
be published at consistory which will DO held during
the hrst tortn ght in March,
sLADE TO BE AGAIN PROSECUTED.
Professor Lancaster took out new summon SEES ves
terday against Dr. sladc, the spirtualist. and Sim
mons, his assistant, for conspiracy and also against
Sladc under the vagrant act
STORMY WEATHER IN ENGLAND
There was gale IN the south and Southeast
Of England on Monday accompanied by rain and sIce..
which caused considerable arrangements OF tho tcc-
graph lines The gale EXTENDED the West and North
west coasts The weather was again bosterous yos-
| scrdsy afternoon.