New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1877-07-06
THE FRENCH CRISIS.

|
BRoGLIE-IHE IMPERlALlsis CLAMoliN"-i'H
ArruCpE OF TIE SENATE uNctl'TAiN-l"h
MARSHAL PRESIDENT DIssAusfIED-IHE DUO
D'AuDIgFBEI's DOWNFALL
IFnoM TIE REGULAR CORRESPONDENT OF THE iH'"' va
PARIS June ST suspect That tbe whole position
il AS n were turning IT'S axis and dsplacihg its
| center of gayity. Since Monday last (ihe t'"I
! there has been more than one evolution III Ilc "o'
| eminent. and we-tbe mass of the pubic-haNe eS
! caped more than one real danger. The progress III
! affairs has been as follows: The Due de bro@le.
rro,nn,ed by tbe ovcrwccning presumpuousness OF
his nature imagined that he could always curp ana
! reduce to obedience any associate VINO hls"t po
given 10 him. NJ. de Fourtou was imposed upon the
.'noble DUKE and the noble Duke had 10 pi. up
With him at first to tie extent Of what seemed like
positive acts of insanity. The shifting ana sh'iHl'ns
| of Projects and sub-Prefects winnowcd like corn III
sieve was nothing; that might be done TO certain
degree quietly: and long the other parties 10 inc
ccusuiracy did not examine too closely or cXclalm
foo loudy against the quality of the new nominees
! oil Franco might be "saved" without Immediate
scandal Bnt unuckily the Impcralists are oil their
nature boastfnl-they Obsireporous noisy VAIN
glorious and of all parties theirs 1t Is which mas the
| most to ayenge.
| The outcry raised in triumph the war-whoop OF
victory shouted forth along the whole iine the KEY
note whereof was struck by Paul de CasSagnac-thi7
was too offensive too insulting 10 the nation isei
and not alone the LegiimstS bnt the large mass VI
sober steady-gOing money-eeitlng OrieahiSls tooA
the ALARM and NJ de BrOglie was oblgei 10 protest.
and since Monday till this present moment ne mas
been beset by new difficulty and ms Governments
by new danger.
Perhaps no one abroad could believe To Wha' an
extent have been carried the attempts made To IN
duce the Marshal tn violate the law, To resort to
brute force and settle all these tresome par
Iamentary squabbles by military intervention.
Both Legitimists and Bonapartists were logical
cnongh-each for his own particular private ann
and both agreed that the aggression OF the loth Oh
Nav was absurd if it did not lead to come absolute,
decisive act. Ii was insane, argued each OF the
dcspotc factions, to smash the doors and windows
of a householder and break into his dwelling if yon
were to follow up the treSpass by declaring To DE-
legal and by asserting that you meant to adhere
strictly to legality And TAR, what each sad was
from his point of vlew reasonable " ii You
mean TO stop here and exclude my King
from your future plans" cried the Royalst.
| shall not support you." If you don't intend to
restore the Empire by all ways and MEANS cried
the Bonapartist battalion, eve will make France
too hot to hold you.p And to this Paul de Cassag-
nae added IN other words daily: 1--WE have caught
Won. we hold you, and carry ont our designs You
shall; and we are the winners of this battle ana
mean to remain SOP But this went too far Ihe
puhic sense was shocked throughout the world. and
the Orleamst party ended by stouily saying that
nothing should induce it TO participate in comp
FGai and that if legality" were not respected ana
adhered to- no support would be y0uchsafcd by any
of its members to the ministry which should cOun-
tenauce a dctaturc.
As only one week separates MS now from the meet
and nd pfItf
must be insured i'm some shape in the Senate this
language on the part of the Oreansts has had to be
attended TO- and this il is which has produced the
change Of situation Ia which | alluded IN begin
ming this letter. 1t should be remembered that the
ART hmetical facts these: or the 800 Senators
who will be present the Republicans count about
100 the Right Center Tor ConsiitulonaliSts, IN fact
Orleanisfsl about 60 the Bouaparii,ts about 20 lat
the hiuhesl, the Legtinists about % or 30, and
fine rest represent eccentric or floating votes.
Sudving this table of figures. il viii he
seen that without the Right Center Tor Or
lcanistsj nothing can safely be attempted. Even
with them "makewcights' must be added or
no H. iorifv can be found to outnumbrr the group
Of 1870 formed by the three d" Lcfis' To the group
Of "Constimtionali,ts," or Liberal Conservatives,
must therefore he added some OF the other groups;
but a. each of these is hostile to the Others how
is any majority TO be combined at alli Now there
lies the kernel of tie nut The soul Of events or of
Assemblies is as hupaluable, rs mysterious, As the
bnmau soul Though reasonably il is all bat proved
the Government cannot get a majority. IT j. gene
rally held for certain that they viii secure one.
The la, day aud the last hours before vote con-
tain impenerahle secrets" said veteran politician
10 me YESTERDAY and this rs undeuilbo, But if the
vote for the dissolution is obtained, IT viii no longer
he one of aggr, ss.on II l. not the mHe't de c)n-
bat that will carIy off this vote DOW; il Is policy
Of compromise. TO which the Marshal must consent
or perish.
This is the change of position TO which | allude.
In such an essentially false situation Is that into
which a gang If conspirators dragged the unior-
tupote President on the 10th May, one whole month
il a long time 60 subsist If the entire evolution
had only lasted three days, or even week. the lie
tion of social peill. any other Felton, might have
been kept up and the Marshal, through ms very
weakness If character and Intellect, might have
been surprised INTO the violence of military coup
T,agi which would have led perhaps in the end to
the restoration of the Empire Bn the 80 days
that the plotters have had to live through have
been too hard their chickering's aud heariburnlngs'
their subtcrfuges and inventions have bewildered
the poor drill sergeant M their head, and he has
little by liue come to perceive the enormous dan
Ger. he has been running from without. and the
shameless manner in which he has been treated as
a mere pupprt from within
The Marshal is by no means so tame as he was a
fortnight ago, and great precautions have to be
taken 50 as to prevent rather dSagrecablc outbreaks
ON his part. About a week ago in the strictest
pryacy not six persons being present, the MARKETABLE
and favorlte ail-dc-camp began to talk of the
necessity of calming the Conservatives; they each
in turn alleged that the Royasts were angry, that