New-York tribune., 1877-11-24

MOTIVES WHICH HAVE COVER THE CONDUCT OF
TIe oKLEAN1srs--THE kOVALiSTs AGAIN AT "a
RiANcE-rHE CONSERVATIVES HOPES
rFRo,f a REGULAR CORRESPONDENT OF TIE TRIBUNE J
PARIS Nov. My anucDahons were correct
that the Oreanst Senators would desert the Minis
try in the end, and chiefly because they have, in
reality. gained nothing by the overthrow of the
: mon Ministry. Whilst the Bouapartists and the
Legtimlsts have ecauied oil really Large majoriues in
The elections the Orleanists barely count more than
q few thousand followers. Every one knows tile
Empire to be as impossible Henry v, yet both
count over million votes, and the most antquated
Of OH, iwo counts by lar the largest number. Bnt
when one comes TO practical politics, and 20 what is
or H moi possible e!ther the BOnapartiss nor Legitl-
mists have word 10 say nor are even consulted.
Then comes the turn of the rldicuOusy small MIN
oIity In the present case 1t IS IN trlfh the fourteen
or fifteen Orieanist or sO-caled COusututonast
Senators who will have saved France from disorder
or perhaps disaster. At the accession Of the
Brog.ie Ministry pointed out that the great fact Of
the moment was the cohesion produced Instant
~ between all the Liberal factions, from the Duke
df fAudiret 10 Gambetta. And so t WAS at first, and
So 10 is now at last. Between the two moments, tue
alliance was shaken and the Right Centre were So
dnced from their own principles by vain hopes bnt
when the defeat came they reverted to their former
attitude.
IL would take volumes to recount all tho solutions
tLat have been recommended. discussed and almost
odopred during this last week. Every two or three
bours have witnessed q fresh combination. But as
vet nothing has a, a matter of fact, gone fuTt or
than Orieanlstic or Right Centre propositions.
Now these are pretty nearly as impossible as
would be the maintenance Of the existing Ministry,
and here perhaps begins the real difficulty. What
Is required now Is more than what was sufficient
nil De Broglie came into power. Liberals
were content TO wait until 1850, when every
thing would be radically changed, and the
genuine Republic established. They asked no more
tlan a quiet life, aud the most moderate retorms
Under this state Of things the Oreansts had IS ialr
4 chance Of Office here aud there As the Conserya-
tive Repubhcans. n. Dccazes, an active Orieahist,
was and would remain, Minister. ana ali thc ap-
nointueuts he made would be of very pale color
and moderate tendency. But this situation has
crumbed to dust under the rough shaking which
has been administered to the country by the Mar
.bal and his Ministers and now, though the small
knot of Orlranst Senators may see clearly enough
what # il absolutely necessary 90 do to save France
i rot so easy 90 see what their reward Is To be Tor
their good behavior, aud now they are to be ell
couraged 70 persevere in IT,
As vet the Marshal has gone no further sincerely
than a. d'Audifret-P Pasquier Cabinet; for when he
caused NJ Dufaure to be individually sounded, the
answer given was such as put stop 20 any second
attempt u that quarter at present. Then there came
a notion Of a Ministry OF the pure Left; but this
WA, 4 trick OF tine Due de Broglies trap
into which no Republican for a single instant was
foolish enough to fall. OF course the plan was To
dlscredit the Left by seeming to give
them power, which, it was calculated, could
be easily turned into hornets nest
If intrigues from which they, in their
inevperience. would never be able 10 extricate
themselves But this was at once seen through
and rendered abortye. After that. no later than
last Monday. it was suggested to the Marshal that
il would be wise to remove General berthaut ana
repl,ce him either by General Ducrot or General
de Bassail. Insane as this may appear. It IS new
ertheless true. and the Marshal hestated. but the
tone assumed at once by such members OF the
army who approach the EBsee. soon proved that
this was, of all impossibllites, the most impoSsl-
/ bic.
Since then the Orleansts have alone been con-
] suited But here lies the dilemma: In order to make
sure Of a Liberal majority In the Senate the group