New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1877-04-28
WHAT WILL COME OF THE WAR.

WHAT WILL COME OF HE WAN
REASONS FOR EXPECTING THE OVERTHROW OF THE
TURKs-AN ISSUE THEN WHICH WILL CONCERN
THE WHOLE OF EURoPE-THE LATE PROTOCOL
AND ITS FAILURE.
TPRoM AN OCCASIONAL CORRESPONDENT OF THE TRBUSEI
LONDON, April 14.-The cautious timidity of
Lord Derby has outdOne him. He finds himself today
SO to speak, hoist with his petard" That clevery
contrved instrument for staving of the evil day. the
protocol has after all proved the means OF bringing
down avalanche, and the British Foreign Munster
has only TO acknowledge himself fairly beaten In the
diplomatic warfare by the more daring and no less skill
full tactics OF Russia OF course the ministerial party
here are enraged beyond description at the Muscovites
they say that Britain has been betrayed that the Euro
pean has been broken and that the responsibility
rests with Russia. They endeavoring to fan the
fame Of popular antipathy TO Russia, which is never
very difficult task here and In the debate which took
place in the House Of Commons last night ministerial
speakers seemed ~ devote themselves more TO threaten
ing Russia than to warning Turkey The Portes impu-
reply the circular presenting the Protocol only
ensts the synpathies Of the British Tories In their
behalf sympahies which all the aggravating to
that party the Ministry knows that 1t dare not
raise a finger in the defense Of Turkey.
As to the circular ITSELF it Is thoroughly characteristic
document The Porte regrets that the Powers did not
think necessary to deliberate In its company, ana II
vigorously protests against such precedent being set in
paraded the great piece Of evidence that the Turkish
Government is setting its house In order, and it points
with acctatiOn OF pride 10 the fact that the Con
stitution contains all and than the Powers
asked at the Conference But in this, az In all other
documents emanating from STEAMBOAT the Turks quite
pass the fact that it Is deeds aud not words which
Europe is demanding. They appear quite unconscious
of the fact that professions and protesons OF reform
with questionable grace while the leaders OF the
Bulgarian still unpublished, the inquites
Of tax farming still pracced, atrocous want Of gov
eminent still existing, and in fact while oil the evils
which the Powers have for the last 20 urged upon
the Porte redress in degree abatcd. The Turks
Of expressly decline TO allow any foreign super
vision and they appeal for protection to the provisions
Of the Treaty of Paris They still studiousy ignore the
notorious condition OF their country, and speak Of them
selves If the Government OF the Sultan model OF
perfection, and II they had always paid their way and
maintained a respectable position among nations.
the events Of the past week only tend TO show what
hopeless pree1t the protocol was document which
bound no one anything except TO standing still, and
which oven to this extent rendered void by the de-
caratOns accompanying the signature Of the representa-
tves of the two principal powers signing it, might have
been forescen indeed fOreseen by most people To
have been poor panacea for Sav enthusiasm Moslem
obsnacy. The Car has had to listen to voice more
powerful than his inward desire for peace and his best
advisers have all along told him that nothing short OF
genuine system Of guarantees for reform by Turkey
would stem the tide which carrying all before II.
These the Porte has persstony refused and doubtless
animated also by desire for war; has thrown the protO
col back into the faces of those who presented it, That
the turks anxious for the Russians iE
think clear from the haste they have exhibited In send
ing the reply Ii Is only fortnight the protocol
was signed, and II il little more than week since
1t presented to the Sultans Government The Turks
do not generally act with ths haste in diplomatic
matters and II they had been In conciiatory spirit or
had hesated to their position they might very
well have delayed the reply for several weeks SO
think justified IN assuming that the dogs Of
in reality let loose, and that power earth
prevent the combat The end of another week
may the beginning OF hostites and 1t Is to the
sequences of the struggle that attention may profit
ably he directed.
may he pretty safely assumed that Turkey win not
be victorious There 10 perhaps remote posi- iity that
she light maintain her under circumstances,
the generally prevailing impression Is that the day
when Russia and Turkey meet in the field will be day
which the utter extinction OF the Ottoman Empire
viii begin. do not know that this Is than an i'm
PRESTON that 1t is the result Of anything beyond
general knowledge Of the Turks and Of Turkey. We
have had much journalistic correspondence Of late from
both Russia and Turkey but have only little actual
information 10 the present state Of either We
know however what the Russians did IN the Crimea.
and we know what the Turks IN that campaign
and we have The further additional fact that since the
close of the Crinlean war the Turks, military power
nc in all respects have declined The Of last
year with the Prncpalities though only cam
pazn forms a very good groundwork upon which TO
base our calculations " IL took many months 10 crush
out an in two small tributary States
II NAV he very safely assumed that the Turks will meet
with small o In front OF army Of over
half million-probaby when all brought into the
field of nearly million mcn-who will have the incom
parable advantage their opponents OF being led by
generals OF great skin and Differed by who know
what they are about. II the Russian soldiers are not
such good lighting men as the Turks. and are not 80
stl,Iiy Indifferent TO death. they are-and this 10 ar