, 1877-09-01

fliinota increase Hets~een 1870 and i8GO--
lanlntise Political Power Of tho States
Altar 1912.
Ia he Edilor NJ Jhe Tribune.
CHICAGO, Aug. 3t.-fn youF third " Hard
Pan" artfI1c, partially tnslnrscd Il, q brief eii
ttriaf IN your issue Of the 2st,l. wns surprised
to find some rather wild estimates of the p.cscnt
md ntaF futuso population III sotno Of the
States.
Careful students Of the lnwa Of population
hare rcachetl ttIc conclusion that a vigorous
people, living In snluhrinus climate. and pos.
scasfnE abundance Of food, will double by nat
ntaI increase In about twenty-five years. Hut
In the artirle to which reference mas been
made 1t Is claimed that Massachusetts
doubles 1ts population by nntt'ral In
crease III twcnly.onc years, md that fur
rcasons mentioned Tie States West of ch!caro,
WITHOUT Immigration fr0m thc East Or from
foreign Countries may lc expected TO double
their population within the i'cxt eighteen yearr.
.Massaehuhetts. fnTclEa Enumeration to that
State Is entirely neglected. aud ttntc tho crrtr
IN cIa!1!l!hg aa untla growth Ut W per cent fy
natural tt'rrcaac, Or tic excess Ut births ovcr
leatilK.
The average growth Of population In the
United States from all suurees tttwccn 1870 and
1oUo was almost exactly . per rent per annnn,,
s pSr ss i'5 5et@sen sss ss a n ps,
rent IN the decades mentioned, M nearly AZ
ean remember without having the ccn.us-tab'cs
beforc iuc. III tho decade between 1NN
ea saa fs'S v owing to ths four ras yeart III # #
to the minimum Of q per cent,
und lor the last four yrars OF the present .lc.
cade the falling Oh Of foreign Immigration, with.
viii soiaewhnt affect the figures ut thc next
census; hut will not probably. rcduec the ratc
below 10 per cent for the tlcess!c, wllcl, wuulJ
glve totat populat!o,n of W.i:Yo01 in 1850.
ton Of Is,UOU,thN ut tho next CENSUS. The tor
eign Immigration rocs not constitute more than
Dlc-s!xtll Of our nyGragc Increase, and Is bccofu-
luz relatively less as tic nusve basls cntargrs.
thc Cnltn. lit my nne dcrt!c, was made By
Illinois between $50 anil 1>il', which was, III
FOUND numbers, Ba0,tNU, New York making her
ercatrst Increase In t1le decade. hut fain.,
the last deei'lc fl!os fell little SHIRT at cr
maximum, but still exceeded SUI, ,UD, Scw York
fa!Itny otf tn tonIe :,l7,O00.
Naw, allowing fnr the t'lnss favorable c,f"lE-
tions, It " hnt,lly probable that the bupuatio,
of kattsas wilt rrac! lnrrer figure thar, 71U>)
IL ISL, ur that Texas can exceed l,tn0,U at
that time. kaneas Increased Icr population bc-
%ss" stc sc I a @ iess s ta thu ,n'm,ant: n la:.
1leucc the clasln of more than l,0N,0N d. thu
present time Is rrcpoktcrous. Thc .grratcst
growtl. il Iexns for tic Inst few years has been
III the Northeastern counties, along the tncs Of
grown as fast as the twelve Snrthe!n coun.
t.es mentioned In ssIlar1 Pam" the prrs-
cut ropnlatIo, of tlsc State wouid he less
than ,U09, lnatend 1T cxcectttu, LOU, ,UU,
| ns claimed. Nurtlltaslcrn Texas Is, however,
| the most accessible portion OF the State to
| Chicago merchants, nnu mukt present rtch
FIELD Tor tae!t i entsrprIse. The rafpld develop.
sucas tu givc the fullest confidence IN the bus
luess ol the cftlcs which must n,rct their co,,l-
mercIal wauts. AMI the absolute facts. without
luwu will probably still exceed Texas, and MIN
ncsosa exceed Kansas. in tho ccnstls tables Ut
| 1Ssl usfd botl tcso States together, with Mr.
braska anti the growing Territories beyond. III
continue to make Chicago their commercial
capital, while the e0,nmunlticx further Aouttl
will jlF.Ic their iayors, In tho 1naEn, between
Chicago hn.l st. Louis.
| These reflections naturally lend to tho con.
temptation Of the relative Iolitca power of the
States nftcr 18s., when the ncw api,ostonmcnt
will 20 lnto circct. Illinois will then be third In
| willis Massachusetts, Iowa. and Texas will III
the seventh, eighth, anil ninth places, most
likely In tho order named, With Michigan anti
Wisconsin close behind them. filling tIc tenth
anu clcscntl,, 9lloul.l the total population ut
thu nation not greatly exceed 5000. .u,o. the
probable ratio TO- member Ut Congress- viii hc
0,0Ul, giving Illinois twcnty-unc, anti possibly
| twenty-five 0l tlir 100 members, and OF these
Cook County will l,e entitled to four.
All tlse at,ore stntes cxscpt Ohio. Indiana.
and Mnssacn';scsta. s,;. together WITH Michigan,
kunsas, ard California, will increase their Gun.
grcssioMul delegation, while there must bc n
corresponding decrease In the older statrs, II
the House continues to contain about the sasnd
| humber ns now. u.