New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1877-11-17

and turmoil resulting from the dlsillssll OF
Ministry and the outrageous violation OF personal rss
bY de FourtOu and his colleagues Large olders nave
been cOunermauded al Lyons, owing 10 the gloomy ore-
bOdlngs OF tie mercantile classes
THE REPUBLICAN CAUSE ADVANCING.
NET GAINS OF THE ELECTORAL CONIEsr-No MORE
IMPERrAIIsM-ruE ARMY LOYAL TO THE REPUB-
LC-THE SENATE DISPOSED TO ABANDON TIE
ADMINIsTRA nON.
IRON A REGULAR CORRESPONDENT OF THE tribune
PARIS. Oct. 26.-There is no doubt that almost
every hour that passes now brings out in clear re-
lief one or two leading facts and that whatever may
be the Obscurites and complications that beset the
consprators Of the Eys6e, there arc, unluckly for
them, a few points upon which, whether they will or
not they are forced to discern unpleasant truths.
First, a fact that emerges vctorously from all the
events Of the last week that there is chance for
a restoration Of the Empire. Let alone the Repub-
leans, the united strength of the Legitimists and
Oreansts would suffice TO bar the passage to power
OF the lmperialists. This is card lost to the whole
Cabinet, for all had in reality counted on the
strength of the Empire as bugbear wherewith to
brighten the Left Centre into compromise. Sec
ondly, there is nothing to be attempted with the
army, and this annhates NJ de FourtOu's extreme
resources. Thirdly, President whom all shades OF
Republicans would follow and respect, and whom
the general public would accept has been foundn the
person Of NJ Gr6vy and the Marshal might retire
tomorrow morning without pretext being afforded
for the gathering Of a crowd upon the Bouleyards
This in itself destroys the baseless fabric" of Mac
Mahonism, from attic to cellar But lastly, comes
something far worse than even all this and something
the existence whereof has only been confirmed with
in the last three days; and that Is the uncertain
attitude of the Senate. This Is too deplorable to be
credited entirely. and the Ministry hopes against
hope that the last stronghold of Conservatism can
not have given way Nor would | myself expect
that the majority of the Senate is already firmly
decided 10 stand by the nation and its interests and
firmly oppose the Marshal, who has unpard0ua-
bly, imperilled them. But it is undeniable that
the Senate is full of hesitation, that upon
it depends the irreyocable termination Of
tho conflict and that therefore the Gov
cument is greatly agitated. and deems the Senates
Hesitation to be base iugratitude. There are
many reasons for the Senate's course, and a very
reasonable one is fear. The departmental elections
which determine the choice Of seventy-hye SEN
ators are at hand, and the mass Of the nation has
proved itself Liberal and opposed TO all the little
obstacles which the Senate has allowed itself TO
push under the wheels Of the Republican chariot.
Am0ngall those who ayowed having voted the dis
solution there is not one who does not intend if be
can, to be reelected twelve months hence; there
tore few are kelly tO lis in the faces OF their electors
by q second unpopular vote. Besides this, the re-
sponsibIlity Of the Senate has been gradually grow
ing too arlaut for the risk not 20 De considerable
one. AZ first, the irritation of the public was 50
centred on the Marshal and his Ministers. that in
outlying districts for instance, the misemeanors Of
the 100 conservative Senators were not traced TO
their cause, as they should have been. But since tho
last fortnight this has been modified, and trouble
has been taken make clear to the Nation at large
the responsibility oil the Senate. The members Of
the Right Centre are the most likely to act wisely
Those who compose this group are, 90 a certain de-
gree. men of education. and have been brought mp
I'm the reverence of Parliamentary tradition as prac-
ticed in England. They dislike military rule, and
belong to the small number having no relations or
friends among the condemned funcuonaries
Of NJ. de Fourtou. With the exception Of here aud
there a Legtimst, nearly all these offenders are
rank Imperalsts, and no Orleanlst' las sucAl can
take any interest in their fate.
Here, in fact. lies the knot. Unless a military
revolution takes place these bullying administrations
must be driven from their posts. But the Marshal
foo,hlv promised he would stand By them to the
last. There then remains but the one " way out of
recurring at the eleventh hour, TO the declaration
that the Marshal had business TO say so, since he
is "irr,spousben There have been moments lately
when this theory has been brOIched. When General
ChauZy passed through Idlls, the olheE Jay, he
went 10 the Ely6e and was admitted. 1t is per-
fectIy true that the Chief Of the State has,
for the last Fortnight ever since the cleo
tionsl. been virtually sequestered. but the Gov
emor-Geleal Of Algeria could not be excluded,
and SO General Chauzy saw the Presi-
dent the moment he asked for him. General
Chauzy, being very outspoken person, and seeing
quite clearly what is going on, boldly exclaimed on
entering: "Wcil these are nice things you are do
inc I'm Paris" To which the Marshal, in a deprc-
catory tone. at once replied: "Oh not me! not
me! have done nothing-it is my Ministers who
have done ALL am not responsbe!' Now, though
can vouch for this, ! do not attach to the words
more importance than they deserve. They are
probably only the reflex of the latest opinion ex-
pressed by the members of the Cabinet Ii is likely
the principle Of non-responsIbIty has been put for
ward as offering way out" should il prove utter
Is impossible 10 save the condemned fuuct0uaries
from their doom. But neither these nor any other
uttcrances Of the Marshal are 10 be taken yet 4
distinct exposition of plan to be earnestly car
ried out