New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1877-11-05
TIE OUTLOOK IN NEB-JERSEY

| In the New-Jersey campaign, which closes
| tomorrow, the efforts and money of the Demo-
cratic managers have been mainly expended
| for the purpose of retaining their control Of
the Senate and securing the Assembly, which
is now 4 tie between the parties, and General
Mcclellan, following the advice of his exhib-
itors, has assumed in all his speeches that his
own election is assured, and has invariably
urged upon his hearers the necessity Of having
a Legislature in full sympathy with him. A
new House is chosen every year. and every year
one-third Of the counties elect Senators to serve
three years. OF the Senators who hold
over, seven are Republicans and seven are
Democrats, and consequently the party which
elects four of the seven to be chosen this
year will have Il majority of the Senate
Last year but two of these seven counties
gave Tilden majorities, which fact is encOurag
ing to Republicans, and their view of the sit
uation is substantially this: They claim Allan
tic, Cumberland and Ocean as certain; will
only cOncede Hudson tn the Democrats, and
count Bergen, Mercer and Morris as hopeful
fighting ground. In Bergen the large Demo-
cratic majority is looked upon as democrat
lied by candidate nOtOriously unfit
for the position of Senator, while Mr.. How
land is SO conspicuously deserving that enough
independent voting and vigorous scratching
are hoped for even in the strOngholds of stag
nant BourbOnism, to secure his election. Mer-
Ger and Morris were both Republican by small
maiorities last year, and the candidates,
Bruere and Hiliiard are both such strong men
that no reverse Is apprehended.
The Democrats, on the other hand. mod
estly claim all seven counties; Hudson and
Bergen by their natural strength; Atlantic
and Cumberland, because the Greenbacl
vote will be sufficient to swamp the
Republican majorities in both counties !;
Mercer, because "a Temperance candidate
will weaken Bruere and strengthen Marsh /;
Norris because of oif-year Republican apathy,
and because their candidate, Garfield, notwth-
standing some personal habits which need
apology, is an expert campagner; Ocean, be-
cause Empson belongs to a family which has
money to spend, and whose adult male MEM
bers are all skilful in placing it to advantage.
Upon the whole, the chances of controlling the
Senate are with the Republicans, and they can
hardly he defeated except 10y an unexpected
tay-at-home vote.
AS to the Assembly, the Republicans claim
that the district in Cumberland, ana the one
in Monmouth, which were once classified rs
doubtful, are now past danger. They expect
to hold all the districts which they carried last
year, with the possible exception of one in
Camden, and they count on gaining one in
Hudson, one in MiddleseX and one in Salem,
with possibly one in Bergen, one in Burlington,
one in Essex, two in Mddesex and one i'm
Passaic. The Democrats, on their part are con-
fidcnt that the Mcclellan swell will carry with
it all the closely contested districts, and give
them free working majority. Taking every
I influence into account, the Republicans
seem to have a still better chance
of controlling the Assembly than of capturing
the Senate. But this is a year of surprises.
The eccentric and uncertain vote is looked for
with unusual apprehension, and the political
prophets, when closely questioned, are inclined
TO be cautious. There is an organized Green
back force which may defeat a Democrat in
Warren, and may defeat some Republicans in
South Jersey. There is labor vote with
masked intentions, which may confuse the cs-
Inmates of the politicians in the large cities,
and even the Temperance vote, heretofore an
absolute zero in New-Jerscy politics, may de-
eide the complexion of the Senate.
! There has been no marked change in the
| Gubernatorial situation for the past week. The
! State is essentially Democratic, but not by 80
! large a majority as the vote last year indi-
Gated. General Mcclellan is politically accept
, able to his party. is personally respected. aud