New-York tribune., 1877-09-22
POLITICAL ASPECTS OF THE VAR.

pOyrrJcaL ASPECTS OF THE WAP.
The latest news from the field of war III
Tulgaria fuly confirms the view we nave
already EXPRESSED, that second campaign Is
inevitable. The days during which military
operations on large scale may be undertaken
are rapidly diminishing; the suiilclent rem
forcement-if not the reorganlzatl0n-ot 'he
Russian armies carnot be accomplished, anu
tbe strength of the Turkish resistance broken,
during the remainder of the season. VT.
Forbes. who wrote, in advance of the second
attack on Pevna, that repetition OF the ior-
NOR osso,It in front would he an incOncelv-
able, q fatal blunder, now estimates the nus
sian loss in making that very blundei al hoV
less than 10000 men. The positions at the
Shipka Pass and on the eastern line OF the
Russian occupation are still precarious, anG
the situation has become So critical that SefVh
il reported to he reconsidr,ing her decision 10
take mart in the war; We leave out OF the
calculation the successes Of the Montenegrins'
90 they cannot vet seriously affect the fortunes
of other combatant in the great struggle
From this time on, we may expect season
of nolitical minors. To use the meteorological
dialect. there will he carers" Of mediation
NAV he evolved in London, and, like that
which threatened us yesterday, be exhausted
before reaching its apparent destination; GER
taialy there will lie many and rapid variations
Of baronetrical pressure in the p0lltlcal Woru'
Two things, however, may he assumed as
tolerably certain unless some new internal
acitation shonld arise in Russia, she viii accept
no neace which does not yield all she demanded
# the outset and Turkey, whatever be the
amount of external pressure brought to bear
on her, cannot cOncede so much. This Is only
another mode of saying that the war must go
on. Englan1is true policy is to keep quiet and
enjoy the discontinue of her rival while 1t
lasts; and France is IN no condition to ask
more than sbe can count beforehand on DeipG
accented. Egypt, more than ever, IL sure to
he left as neutral ground; and it is, therefore,
difficult to see what other form mediation can
take than that of polite and ostensibly friendly
offers of service.
The meeting of Prince Bismarck and Count
Andrassy certainly confirms the belief in
cordial understanding between the three Pow
ers. as exhibited in the memorandum of the
Berlin Conference but it by no means indl-
Gates n new plan OF intervention Austria
must now be fully satisfied with the wisdom
of her policy of neutrality. and, consequently,
that of standing beside The German Empire.
Whatever personal affection the three rulers
NAV entertain for one another, the disappolnt-
mcnt humiliation, and enormous sacrifice
which have fallen upon Russia cannot he
wholly unwelcOme, in a political sense, to
either Austria or Germany. The colossus turns
ous to be vulnerable, after all. Even when
victory shall have been secured-even al
though a German-haing heir should succeed
the Gorman-lOving Autocrat-the nation Will
be crippled, materially and financially, for
many years to come. That Russ0-French ALL
ancc. for tie sake of revenge which has
hovered, as a phantom of terror before the
German Imagination, for some years past
fades into a remote and improbable danger
Austria too sees her own influence over the
Catholic Savs of Turkey strengthened, and
her chances of final participation in the dis
memherment or the Ottoman Empire rs good
as ever. The swift AMI overwhelming success
of The Russian arms might easily have pro-
yoked hasty action by other Powers, end so
have brought on wider war; the results OF
he first campaign foresh0wing the tremen-
dous price Russia is paying, and must con-
Time to pay, go long as Turkey is able to
fight, give ia good promise of peace in Europe.