New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1877-08-15
POLITICS IN FRANCE.
THE BOYAPARTISTS' PLOT.

fPRON REGULAR CORRESPONDENT OF iliE l"ih''-.
PARIS July 2O.-1he real interest of the domestic
war which is now being carried on here centres IN
the Marshal and in the following way In ms want
Of intellectual lacidty he sincerely believes that
he can oblise the rival parties TO keep the peace de
fIco until the wear 1850, while, 40 the same ume'
preparing for the fall OF the Republic at that period
Now the kernel OF the nut lies III the popular sue
cess of the Bonapartist plot for plot there posi-
lively is and il is well organized The advanced
fraction of the party, represented by Iaui ue
Cassagnac and few Others of that stamp, has never,
since the fall of the Emperor ceased to be IN con-
staut communication with the least worthy portion
of the army and dispOses 10 certain degree or
tay regiments and Of commanding officers of the
true prBtorian species such rs Ducrot' hontauDah
and others The decision of these cOndottici and
they done nothing short Of it,. has been taken long
ago: they have no faith in anything save coup
n etat and for that they are now preparing. Viii
they can they, by any possibility succeed That
rs altogether another question.
The men of this kind in France have been brought
up in the worship of the crime OF December, 81.
They are convinced they repeat 1t now, for their
own immediate profit. They have two creeds %
which they hold inhcxibly: one Is, that force.
promptly exercised, can always govern the French
and the other 49, that, let matter what De once al
established fact the mode of il, establishment viii DO
forgiven bv the nation at large. Upon these two
principles the more active of the Bonapartists are
already beginning TO shape their course, and they
allow their ideas of what they can achieve 20 pass
the frontier tide Of their intimate circle of cen
spirators. They readily admit that the Marshal viii
sincerely resist all their attempts but they count
upon literally laying strong hands upon him strong
not Violent and bodily shifting him mp for forty
eight hours and only giving him hIs liberty when
the second return from Elba IL accomplished. and
Nauoeon " il. seated on his throne. They estimate
that f1rty-eght hours are quite enough Tor TINS
result and they calculate that when the " hero Of
Magenta" energies from bis confinement To ina
himself Grand Constable, and frs, parsonage in tho
Empire after the Sovereign be viii quickly acql-
e-ce in bra h0nors and submit to his splendid niamy
l am exaggerating nothing, but 4 am not by any
means predicting success. do not think that these
repetirions of December, 81, can be crowned with
even temporary victory. Still. 10 would Dee unwls'
not to take into account the various elements which
might make success attauable These conspirators
have the Home Minister. VI do Fourtou completely
with them and this is an enormous advantage. Tor
this is the whole administrative machine of the IN
terror posts teegraph' railroads, etc. They have
a. l have already told you, the War Minister
quite deterninedly against them; but ii their plan
is 20 be- carried out he viii be secured and -eque--
tered as well and ~ quickly the MARSHAL
We will hope some lucky incident may gave
France from So much shame and misery. IL was
they who began the whole movement OF the reae-
ton against RepUbhcanism the 10th OF May
-he,r prompting, just rs the 2ith OF NAY
,73." was the work of the Fu9ionist Royali1ts. If
the Empire Is 10 be revived. argue these people,
it can be only by both fraud and force for frLud.
the present Ministry may Dee trusted. but for force
the Bonaparist, can only trust that portion Of tLcir
party who possess the traditions OF tho coup adiot
~. and know how they are to DE practically
worked.
Connected with the date of the coming elections,
there Ia also fact which has BEEN think, but in
sufficiently noted Every one has associated tho
name Of the Due Decazes with tie desire 10 fix the
elections at the earliest date possible and this was
true ten days ago-but that was before the Russians
lad crossed the Balkans The intimate friends ot
NJ Decaze. say this event has altered his whole poll
cv. Now let Us eranins outside and inside facts
from this point Of view. Outside facts furnish ua
with an absence OF the Foreign Minister from the
10Th 10 the Icth-four days-with has firm resolve
TO be present al the Council hed on the 18th ori7h
and there to advocate and obtain the conyocation
Of the Electoral Colleges for the 2d Or9tl Of -epten
ber if not for the end Of August! and the obvious
cause for thi. IL tho complicated situation of Europe
"Outside facts furnish ARC With Sudden change
of purpOse IN the Duo Decazes whose return 10 Paris
IL now put off till tho oath OF 2jC and at the same
time the Illegally postponed date Of the 18th OF
October is whispered about ~ that Of the elections
Well now. here are few inside facts: When
NJ Decazes left Paris on the 10Th, he did mean to
return for the Council on the 18th, and he did tell
tbe Marshal that on account Of the external sltua-
lion i'm Europe he meant to leave effort uutried to
master the elections but. the l4th and 18th the
passage OF the Balkans was known at the Foreign
Office and on the 1Gth it undeniabe that the
Russians were on their way to Adranope! On the
10th NJ Decazes came to Paris, privately; was with
the Marshal for an hour and = half; both the
British and Austrian Ambassadors; returned To
Sans,and gave out that he was not TO come back TO
Paris for several days. The is worth know
ing: The situation of the Russians, if they are on
the road to threaten Adrianople, has changed the
heretofore torpid complications of Europe into what
may be SO acute a stage Of the malady that 10 may
be- highly desirable for France 10 be phy sically I'M
capactated from u.ddng with her nei ghbors con-
| Germs, Of even giving her opinion thereupOn!
Peace the first necessity for France; all parties
| except the Clerical Uitramontanes agreed upon
this but if France were internally free. with par
Lament discussing all things publicly, there is
saying into what difficult and disagree.be dispute
| a rrachonary aud unpopular Government Ike the
| present might be drawn. how from the
| sheer impossibilty of serving most inconvenient
! friends II might be literally forced 10 run over 70
| ITS foes and seek refuge with tho Republc-evcry
/ other combination being TOO dangerous. III may.
therefore, III the situation as it has manifested
/ itself not be altogether inoppOrtune that France
| should be unfortunately" prevented by cir
/ cumstances from taking any part whatever IN the
/ possibly coming discussions upon European foreign
/ policy. That the Repubhc-the Republic of Theirs