The Hawaiian gazette. [volume] (Honolulu [Oahu, Hawaii]) 1865-1918, 1877-08-01
The Political Situafiou in France
Since the - Coup Of the Press
ldent.
A Cabinet Struggling Desperately Against
Inevitable Defeat.
PARIS, May Goth.
rHE POLITICAL SITUATION.


THE POLITICAL SITUATION.
Though the nation is not yet quite recovered
from its establishment and regret at the Marshal's
summary and inexcusable dismissal of the Republic
can ministry and replacing it by Royasts and Bon
apartists, Yet the situation is relatively improved
although being very lar from excellent. People
see clearer into the obscurty if The expression be
permitted; two facts are patent-the intrigue has
been the work OF time and study, and the Republ
cans remain calm and patient--au attitude that
constitutes their force aud predicts their definite
triumph. There is less talk, in private as well as
public, the texts of coup d eGt aud revolution.
The Marshal has made sad buuoer, but none sus-
pect him OF committing crime. The crisis is limi-
ted tn first act and two scenes-the Senate and
MacMahon's resignation. The necessity of the
Cabinets demanding the dissolution of the Cham
Der OF Deputies Is admitted on allsides, as ii has
majority against 1t of 200 in that Chamber, so no
doubts the general elections will result in in
creasing that number. II rests with the Senate TO
vote that dissolution. Wilt? That's the ques-
tion. The belief every day gains ground that il
will not, and as the Marshal has thrown so impru.
IDENTIFY anu unnecessarily his lotin with the allied
monarchists if the Ministry be beaten noblesse OBJ
lige. that he retire snto private life with his con-
demned counsellors.
THE DILEMMA OF THE CABINET.
The majority III the Senate fuctuates between
three and six votes, and no side can calculate on
these with certainty An incident in the debate
may turn the scale, and tine unmistakable condem-.
nation by the influential home aud foreign Press of
the new Cabinet, which apparently has neither
mine the undecided Senators to reject the demand
for dissolution. The Republicans united in
the Senate us one man, and represent many of the
most respected citizens OF the country. Their uni
ted opponents Legitimlsts, Bonapartists and
Orleanists. To win the first, the Cabinet must con-
cede to them something tangible as to the return
of Henry " and the liberation Of the Pope. The
return of the Comte de Chambord and his white
flag is an impossbility already demonstrated and
Germany aud Italy have argus eyes on France, in
case she leans towards utramontanlsm. By the ex-
pulsion of Don Carlos from French territory the
Ministers have already painted his partzLns-the
Legitimisis. The Bonapartists are OF using
their allies to draw the ehestnnts out of the fire.
They will do nothing effect the restoration of the
Comte de Chambord, the Cumte de Paris.
or the Comte de Paris. They have their own saint
to look AFTER will they consent to vote the Mar
shal President for ife-what tue Cabinet is suspec-
ted of intending 10 propose in Providence
works special miracle, by securing them major
ity at the elections and permit them to revise the
Constitution before the natural period fixed for that
duty in 1880. Rest the Orleanists. They not
party, very enthusiastic at the advent of their
friends TO power, and evidently feel i'll at with
the B0napartsts for allies. The elements of unan-
unity not in this coalition, and yet such is the
fragile base of operations which the MacMahon-
ties go deliver battle to Republican, Liberal, Con-
servative France. The Monarcbsts march to
their Waterloo.
BAD PoLICT.
The Cabinet is historically unpopular; By turning
out every republican offce-holder, and installing
therein its partsans, 1t expects to knead the opn
ion OF the country TO lis wishes-a policy that
French history demonstrates to be lusory. Not
an expelled functiOnary but knows he will be back
In office next month or latest, In October, for the
Ministers Hundred Days" marked: further,
the electors are also aware of this fact But the
great care of the Government is to throw the re-
sgnation of the Marshal into the scale. Here the
Marshal and bis advisers it Is the matured opinion
OF the best judges, are doomed to terrible dsap-
pcintment Tie existence of France has never been
bound up with that OF its rulers; they may flourish
or may fade, but the nation remains Already the
country is being prepared for that event, that
there is nothing terrible IN MacMahon'3 retiring,
as quietly as did Theirs. A vote unmake him,
ms vote has made. The heavens will neither be
hung In black nor are any special comets expected.
Napoleon observed, that no man was necessary,
aud illustrated his reflection himself. No sovereign
was ever SO respectfully treated as has been Mac
Mahon, by the Republicans; they were aware of
his Royalis leanings and mperialist training but
they calculated he would not side with any party
and would see in all politicians only Frehchmen.
1t is only necessary to read between the lines not
of the extreme but of the moderate and inhuen-
tial organs, to perceive how all this is now
changed. Frenchmen would laugh at whoever
would say that Messrs Theirs and CREW would
not make excellent Presidents of the Republic.
Personally do not think their accession to that
Office would either produce a cataclysm in France
or bring the world to stand-still. And after all
that might be written the regning crisis, il
may be reduced to the business question. to
betting formula; MacMahon and the not firmly
coalesced Monarchiss, against Theirs or Grevy
aud the solidly united masses of Republicans.-S.
f. Bulletin. 4.A