The Wheeling daily intelligencer. [volume] (Wheeling, W. Va.) 1865-1903, 1876-06-21
IA1IoNAL REPUBLICAN rIcKEI.
Tic PresidentiaI Campaign.

.paiHn will not be upon rs ior SUM. S
yet-not until after the Republicans
make their nominations at PatkersOuFg
on tbs 9th Of next month. And. SO he
mi,ht have said Of the Presidential cam.
n,igD, II will not be under way until
1ncp harvest. The people of the coun-
iyy as our Hancock county correspond
cnt we'll observes this morning, have too
much to do in the way Of harvest work TO
attend political meetings for weeks to
come. In the meantime, however, the
newspapers can open the canvass IN
the way of statistical ground work.
by letting every body see Just what lies be.
fore both parties in the line of probable
ities. The first thing Of importance is
he fact that neither party can cipher out
dead sure thing in this campaign. 1t
can be said however, that the Republic
cans are reasonably sure OF carrying the
following States: New York, Maine,
Massachusetts,, Vermont, New Hamp!
shire, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Ohio,
Michigan, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Wis.
consin and South Carolina. These States
cast 1853 electoral votes, and it requires
1856 to elect. On the other hand, there is
a probability that the Democracy will
carry the following States in the North,
viz: Connecticut, California, Delaware,
Missouri, Oregon and Nevada; and the
following States in the South, viz: Ala
bama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Ken
ncky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi,
North Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vir-
ginia, and West Virginia. These States
cast in all l49 electoral votes.
The doubtful States may set down as
follows, viz: New York, New Jersey,
Indiana, and Colorado. They cast 62
votes, and they will decide the contest.
Some readers OF the lNTELLlGENcER
will probably usk why we set down Con-
necticut, California and Nevada in the
Democratic column. We answer be.
cause Connecticut last year cast 55,752
Democratic votes, at the Gubernatorial
election, as against il,272 Republican
votes and 2,032 Temperance votcS. She
also gave the year before nearly $4,000
Democratic majority. And so, in like
manner, California gave last year 81 500
Democratic votes, at her Gubernatorial
election, MS against 81 ,32S Republican and
29,752 Independent votes. The Chinese
question may make difference this year.
The Republicans have inserted u plank in
their Cincinnati platform that will at
tract favorable attention in the Pacific
States, and we call the attention OF the
West Virginia Democratic delegates who
are on the eve Of departing for ST. Louis
to this fact. The same plank will also
have its influence in all the Pacific States,
We nevertheless put Nevada down as y
Democratic State Notwithstanding it was
carried for the Republicans in '74)
because in 1875 1t cast II, $50 Democratic
votes to 1854 Republican votes.
As to the States which we have assigned
to the doubtful column, there is this tc
be said about them: Colorado elected
las Territory a Republican Congress
man, both in 20 and '72, but in "a she
elected Patterson (Democral by vote oi
9,GS3 as against 7,l7O for Bromwell, Re-
publican. Her Democratic majority in
IA was decidedly larger than her Repub'
lican majority in 70 or '72. Her vote
however, as in the case Of Colorado and
Nevada, will be effected more or less by
the Chinese question. Her delegate al
Cincinnati took strong ground for the
adoption OF the plank laid down on thai
subject.
New Jersey We set down as doubtful
because, although she las at thi'
time Republican Legisture, she
in IA gave very decided Dem
Ocratic majority, the vote standing
for Governor, 972sS Democrat tC
s4,O59 Republican. And SO, in like man
ner, we classify New York as doubtful
although she too has Republican Legis-
lature, because on the State ticket last
year there was Democratic majority o.
about 1900, and because Tilden carried
the State the year before by over $4,000
and because in 70, Dix, (Rep) carried i
by still larger majority. This way o
voting entities the State, in our judgment
to be considered doubtful in the coming
contest this fall.
Indiana Is another doubtful State. Ia,
Gov. Morton been nominated at Cincin
natl, he would have carried it beyond I
doubt. Morton has hold on that Stat
almost equal to that which Henry Cla!
had on Kentucky. But 1t is not 80 viii
any other Republican. In ", Hendrick
(Dem.) was elected Governor by scratcl
similar to that by which Allen became
Governor OF ohiO-thatis, the balance Q
the Democratic ticket in both States wa
defeated, and they two went in by fev
hundred each. In 1864, however, th'
Democratic candidate for Secretary o
State had a majority Of l7,202, and th'
legislature now stands lG Democratic
majority on jQint ballot. The year 1877
was bad year for Republicans every
where. The present Confederate Con
gress was elected in that year. IL wa
elected, however, just in time, IN all prob
ability, to open the eyes Of the countr!
to the necessity Of putting the Demo
cratic party back into the ranks
Of probation and keeping them there
until they eliminate good dea
more ottheir dross. Nevertheless, while
the probabilities are this way, the Re
publicans have got to work for their
victory this fall. There will be big