The New York herald., 1876-10-02

Tennessee. 2S.000 West virginia.... 1000
Alabama &c. 600 Florida. 1000
Arkansas ......... %, 000 MaryIand........ 10000
Louisiana ....... 300 kentucky.......-. 20 0 ooo
North Carolina IL, 600 Texas $4,000
Total majority in the Southern States for Tilden,
$4,000 THIS distributed among the Northern States,
where It would do the good would enable Tilden
TO carry nearly every State in the Union.
Aside IRON intimidation, shotgun arguments and all
that kind of thing, therc is question but what the
South, taken a whole. 10 fairly and squarely demo-
cratic to the backbone.
In these estimates havo inclined TO moderation,
and have doubt but that Tho actual majonties
will. in most instances go above the figures have
dlcated should not be surprised II the total in these
States was swsled TO s75, 900 majority.
CONGRESSIONAL
At the samo time look Tor tho republicans TO make
slight gains In congressman in the Southern States,
say half u dozen.
In Virginia the representation stands eight
democrats to republican. This solitary republican
district the Fourth, aud they viii be apt TO hold It,
They may make gain OF one. the Second Platts
old district, but without horc in tho others The
democrats have mated tho present Representa-
tivcs with but exception, believe II there any
change in the delegation politically the republicans
VIII gam one
In West Virginia there Ia . strong probability,
amounting almost a certainty that the republicans
will gain tho First district. Tho other two will 60
democratic, as usual.
In Alaoana there is probability that the republ-
cans will gain Congressman, from tho Second dis
trct This district Is really strongly republican. and
would have carried at the last election had the
republicans nominated colored man for the position
AS it was he was only l. 600 poll OF
10000. white man would have been elected.
In Georgia there is prospect OF a republican gain
Every member is a democrat, and every has boen
ronominated ch cannot be said OF any other State
in Union. The republicans talk vaguely OF gaining
district there but see no prospect Of IT,
The kentucky delegation promises 10 stand polit-
caliy about As Is now-ninc democrats 10 one rcpub
lcnn.
There will likely be pol,&ical change In the Louis
lana delegation.
In Asslsslppi the republicans will probably gain
three Congressmen-to W.T. in the Third, Fourth and
Fifth DISTRICTS These three districts overwnem-
ingy republican, ana II there Is q fair eecLlon or
anything near H. they will all 60 republican they
would tho party the last election
had not the republicans quarr6led among themselves
like tom cats, halt o. them begging Tor troops aud
the other halt swearing that troops necessary
Consequently Grant whhed the military; there was
much Intimidation; the leaders were demoralizod.
the democrats swept the whole thing. Ii viii be
whut different at the next poll and may look Tor n
gam OF three republican Congressman there
The North Carolina delegation is at present soldiy
democratic, witE the exception OF one member In
that state the republicans lost tour Congressman
ing tho passage the Cvi Rights bill rho districts
which they thus lost were tho Firs Third Fourth and
Filth. There that they will
recover the Fiih dlslrct-a very fair prospect, in
deed. Enough white republicans have returned the
party the counties composing that district TO turn
the scale and elect the republican nominee
IN Tennessee the republicans almost certain to
gain tho FIRST district which lost to them along
with several Others on account OF the Civil Rights
ctement. and probably the Tenth district.
Tue Texas allegation is soliuIy democratic, and will
The result to winch arrive is that tho republicans
will, In I'LL probability, gain eight Congrcssmen IN the
Southern States at the approaching election but as
gam will be but SIX.
see some OF the Northern. papers are talking about
rcgaining' Congress IRON the hands OF the enemy
tie oachng elections hardly see how II sto be
done, owing to very large number OF democratic
congressman the southern states furnish The
OF the blacks gave the South largely
increased representation, which is nearly solidy
uemocratc The prospect that the republicans In the
Sou thern States will gain Congressman this year,
is but small proportion OF the number needed. Tue
Civil Rights Bill anu the irenzied excitement attending
It, gave the democracy in the South some tweny-cight
Congressman which, but for that, The republicans
would have. But for the passage OF tnat law
believe republican strength In tho South would have
been sucn that the republican patty could have easily
reganed Congress at the approaching elections Tor
they would not have had so large majority 70 over
come, but Us 1t IS doubt their ability TO do IT, We
may as well make up our minds to have democratic
House OF Representatives Tor some years yet Or,
some say, ..Coniedcrsle Congress- though don't
believe the title deserved for iorty odd Conied-
crates lcaven the whole lumps
wnArs MATTER WITH VIRGINIA?
You express surprise that the white peop0 OF Vir-
ginia should, with nearly unanimous voice. cast
their favor OF the democratic party a party
with singular capacity to get them INTO trouble with
out saaacy TO get them out To one upon The ground
who observes tue tencr OF the doctrine preached by
the orators aud editors Is not 50 surprs after ali
The people taught that the republican party the
enemy OF the southern whites; that does everything
against them and nothing TOR them that II grew up,
thrlvcd, fourshcd and gained power US the peculiar
enemy OF the South, Southern people, southern in
sttutons, Southern thought Southern principles and
that the southern man who gives II any aid or en-
couragement but holds viper To his breast, which,
when warm, will sting him 10 death
II is uncomnon thing IN the south TO hear Il said
that the southcrncr who votes Tor Hayes Is tool or
knave-a fool for want OF sense or knave for want
oil Office. Not because II Is HAYES; Tor no candidate
ever put up by the party as sincerely respected IN
the South us Governor Hayes. but because be repre-
scns party supposed 10 be founded to flourish
upon hatred OF tie South; party which, when u finds
itself about 20 uudcr. fan into lilo the
shoulder ng embers OF hate. that may again
With this doctrine carefully preached, anu almost
universally believed in the South. is IL any wonder that
the white people, with voice approaching unapimity,
| give their support to tho democratic party
1t IS taught that, under the republican dispense
tion, the South is almost excluded IRON participation
| IN the nationa! government
| In an abstract OF late speech by Southern SEN
ator, he is reported as foilows:-
lie told them how they reprcsented-how the
South how Virginia. had her places OF honor
,hc national Offices how no member Of the Cabinet no
court office, indeed q any distinction was filled by
radical party country nothing
ns ssu but the as nIS's N S and sS %
Nor,hneid out the hand o sympathy TO oar land.
Hero you have It, and these sentiments preached
every day from the stump N the south IL Is the oft
| told story, told aud retod aud told again. DO you
wonder The results Remember. too, that people
on earth follow their leaders with blind ndence
as 90 the Southerners.
Virginia Is referred to by Randolph Tucker the
woods OF her wiowh hood-that IS that she has been
I crowded into the gull oil despair by tho republican
party, and without hope but In the overthrow oi that
| party.
IL forgotten hcrc-n fact, II is very much
mcmbcred and constantly referred tothat Virginia,
during the nrst thlry-sx years oi the Republic
isence held tho Presidency thrtytwo OF these
/ Told
Establishments OF old Virginia eIoqucnce, and then
with the present condition OF her proud
sons, 10 has tremendous effect, and should not
wonder II the mother oil Presidents gave Tldcn
40, 900 than 1000 majority The peopic taught
that the Northern democracy their friends anu that
with the OF that parry power old Virginia and
the South will havc voice IN the government, place