The New York herald., 1876-09-23
Interviews with Senator's Sherman and Thur
nan and General thomas Ewing.
CoLuMBus. Sept. 20. 1870.

Wa Ohio so republican in October?
III not, what VIII be the effect the State and in the
country upon the Presidential election November?
The importance OF the second of these questions sug
gests the importance OF the first although you
with the average politician this neighborhood
you Will find him disposed to concede that whatever
the result OF the election in October about which there
is more or less doubt, according The is demo.
crat or republican, the State is likely TO go for
HAYES NOVEMBER
Particularly II he republican will he claim this
n certainty. But there many clements of un-
certainty entering into the answer TO the first OF these
questions thai solution of 1t will not be reached by
the biasscd observer the until the
itself great deal further advanced until the
the night of tho 10th OF october settle 1t beyond
rav Both parties admit tina; the result will have the
iorce of lever in determining the result in Novem-
Der. The republicans say that II they carry the State
by 10000 in October they will by $4,000 in No
vembcr. The leverage VIII, in their judgment, be as
tnree least The democrats claim
In tho same way that if they win in October
they will win by increased majority in
November They do not estimate or fix the ratio OF
leverage. But the republicans will not admit that
they will DO defeated in November if they beaten
In October. Here is
ISSUE,
rs a lawyer would say On this point the arguments.
for and against which hears at the several polti
cal headquarters their greatest interest for
people outside the State. These arguments propose
TO reproduce for you according as have heard them
from ono and another of the members OF the two
parties during trip across the State and few days
soourn here at the capital To understand them moro
clearly may be well to look back ohios political
history The State of Ohio has Ave elections in every
four years. The regular annual elections Tor State
pfficcrs and orp holI I'm no M of
October. Tho election for Presidential electors takes
place. of course, in the other States Every fourth
year. therefore, political here the
Presidency begins month earlier than sual other
States for the that the State election Ia made
the preliminary battle TO the great struggle over tho
Presidency rho same situation OF affairs exists IN
INDIANA, and used TO Pennsylvania before the Key
stone State few years ago changed tho time Of
holding
STATE ELECTION
to November, and broke up the trio OF indicative
pioneer States Pennsylvanias position leader
naturally tell to Ohio but tho carly concession OF the
Buckeye State to Hayes has the leader
to Indiana this time, and Ohio, whether with good
judgment not has been assigned by the politicians
only dary place in the October battle. Should,
unexpectedly the republican flank be turned here the
consequences might prove disastrous. week ago
this danger was hardly dreamed or This week it is
stirring the thoughtful OF the party leaders, and next
week it viii 10 the subject of most active precautionary
labor a week ago, whlc Indiana was heaving with
the agitation OF the campaign Ohio comparatively
quiet But the orators of both parties have hurried
the border the chances of victory here having
struck tho democrats with force, and all dying
10 their assignments city, town aad hamlet. They
fiji from depot to depot; they against each other
in the hotels and on the streets; they
DANCING A oUAnRILLE
and chassGzng with each other ali the State. So
far all has been good nature. Quiet has given place
to activity. But activity, they tell me- will be fol-
lowed by hot blood and possibly violence, in OF
the exciabIe districts Political parties have
~fluctuacd and vaclaicd in Ohio a greater extent
perhaps than elsewhere in the Union. For instance
Valandiehap was beaten 100, coo votes in 1868, and
yet his party carried the State 1874 by nearly 20 600
majority. Hero a most radical change OF opinion
on the part of 100 600 eleven years when
it is remembered that tho average vote during
these eleven years has been hardly more
than $50, 900 the proportion OF change amounts
10 thrty-,hrce per Again while
parties have been widely disproporroned
rs when the republicans carried tho state against
yalandghan by this famous 100 900 majority they
have been evenly balanced other occasions that
in 1878 William Allen elected Governor by ma.
jority of only sl7 of total OF about 52j Ooo
In one aspect Ohio is
AN rPiroMs
of the United States. Shaped like shield, ITS sides
and bottom are concentric with the corresponding
boundaries OF the United states Then. in It's political
complexion find the republicans predomInat!ng in
the northeastern, northern and northwestern portions
of the State, being cmigrants from well descend
ants Of settlers IRON New England who moved along
tho shores of the lakes to the Western Reserve"
founded Oocrln College bringing with them the tree
soil ideas which were the germ OF repubcanism. A
conservative element OF population mace its across
10 the eastern and central portion OF the State IRON
New York and Pennsylvania; but the southwestern
and western portion. which is the stronghold of the
democracy, was settled by emigrants from Maryland,
Virginia aud Kentucky. 1t Is tho siruegle between
the northeast and southwest secrons that makes the
political issue so exciting every year IN OHIO. WINE
ohio has gone democratic only twice IN something like
twenty years tho before the birth OF the repuU
lican party essentially democratic. IL took n
Harry Clay canvass or some equally popular excite
to carry II tor the whlSs But II Tell IN love with
repuDllcauism from The In 1856 .or Ere
mont by Ii 1000 plurality and ia lS6O Tor Lincoln by
about 20 0ou majority over the combined iorcos OF
Douglas Brecknrdge ana Bell In 1864 1t gave Lin
coin 6OOOO psjorty over Mcclellan IL gave GIANT
Greeley Ia losz In tho next year eanc tie ground
swell Of
TnE TIDAL WAVE
that was TO sweep the State anu the country In lS.i
As already noled Governor Allen Ia 1916 elected
by sI7 over his republican opponent which victory
fired the democratic heart that next year they in
creased this ire vi Sl1 10 over 1000, and elected
thirteen out OF the twenty Congressman from OHIO.
Last year the republicans bent every eiort TO
redeem" the state, and. We all remember Cover
nor Hayes elected by about 5000 majority.
strlc,ly speaking this figure IS piuray but as The
remaining vote was only about 1000 which was cast
for the temperance candidate, |; may be regarded AS
majority The question now rs, Can tue democrats
cut down and reverse TINS majority oi oooVE Ana
II so what will be the consequence III November 81
democratic victory IN Ocobcr2 Did The republican
party, whose majority Of 100000 IN 1865 had dwndIed
reaction last year in It's downward carccf or was that
reaction departure ON the road to success aitcr
two years prostratIon and deicaty The democrats
will tell you Yes, aud republicans No II you ask
the latter OF he raith that IS IN them they
Will tell you that the local funtcst will be Influenced
by the iact that prtsidsnta year and that ohio
has always gone republican every PRESIDENTIAL year
the party born. Cestanly good deal OF al
lowance ls be for selection OF Ohio's Gov
a Presidential candidate. The strategy or