Vermont watchman and State journal. [volume] (Montpelier, Vt.) 1836-1883, 1876-10-04
Our Washington Letter.


HcsSrS Editors All eyes are now turned 10
the political contest at present going on in the
states Of Ohio and Indiana and which is TO cul-
inmate in ten days, at the polls. The canvass
there, and especially In Indiana, is one Of al
most unparalleled vgor and is exciting great in
terest here as well "a In all parts Of the country.
In the possibility that the elections in these two
states may result indecsively as TO showing with
any certainty how the national contest will end In
November, the politicians are beginning to esti-
mate the probabilities Of
THE ELECTION N INV YORK,
which state will have a veighty voice in determn-
ing who is to beournext President Thedemocrats
have put that state down NJ certain for Tilden
while the Republicans mostly claim II for Hayes
though some Of the caculators Of the latter party
do not raise it beyond the list Of doubtful"
The confidence Of the democracy is based upon
the great majority by which Tilden was elected
Governor in 1874, which has been set down by
democratic papers rs in the vicinity Of fifty thou
sand This, however, Is q great exaggeration Of
the facts In the first place, lilden was not elected
by fifty thousand majority nor by forty thousand,
but by a majority Of thirty eight thousand five
hundred and forty-nino. The temperance candi-
date had eleven thousand seven hundred and sixty
eight votes As there is no temperance question
at issue between Tldeu and Hayes the latter is
pretty Of getting this third party vote nearly
solid. In the next place, the year 1874 was the
tidal wave" year, when everything was against
the Republicans last year that wave" had
nearly subsidized in New York, and the result was
thatlast fall with Tilden Governor and the enor-
nous patronage Of the state athis disposal the dem
ocatc ticket was elected by the very small ma jor-
ity Of three thousand seven hundred and seven
in poll Of nearly eight hundred thousand votes
Here was loss Of thirty-sx thousand votes to the
democrats, although they made great efforts to
maintain their former majority ridden received
at least twenty-five thousand liberal Republican
votes in 1874; last fall his party retained about
half Of them and this fal it is acknowledged that
they will not hold FIVE per cent OF them, as most
Of the leading liberals Of the state have already
come ont for Hayes. This fall the Republican
voters Of New York are united and are pulling
earnestly together.
The result Of the October elections, it is believed,
will have some effect in New York, but outside Of
that, and looking the ground all over there is the
best of reasons for putting New York down for
Hayes in November.
THE ESTIMATES OF THE rwo PARTIES
as developed by the press in the different sections
of the country, are very widely apart. The sue
cessfu candidate must have one hundred and
eighty-fiye votes in the Electoral College. While
both sides admit that there will be a very small
majority for their candidate, their conclusions,
when taken together, are apt to greatly befog the
mind of the general reader. To ga loolSer-on in
Venice, the reasons advanced by the different
newspapers why this and that state must 30 ioI
their particular candidate or another state mus'
be classed as doubtful are very amusing, and
many OF them without the slightest foundation Il
iact The instance cited aboye-that ef New lorf
state-is one OF the most peculiar when viewed
rem the general democratic standpoint. lh'
United South, which is also claimed by Ill
den and party is another The Southern state
have all together, one hundred and thirty-eigh
electoral votes. The democrats, with but few ex
ceptions, claim, in addition to these the electora
votes Of California, Connecticut, Indiana, New
Jersey, New York, Oregon, and Nevada whicl
makes the democratic vote two hundred-tifteei
more votes than are necessary. This is as high
vote as the democratic papers care to claim 10
lilden, rs far as our observation goes and prove
at once that the game is one in which they az
well aware they must strain every nerve to win
1t will be seen that the defeat of Tden in the ON
state Of New York--which has thirty five eectora
votes-would at once throw the game into til
hands Of Hayes, with twenty votes to spar,
Add to this the fact that out OF that " soil
J South the Republicans are morally certain
p carrying two, and probably three states, and tn
6 ground upon which the democracy stands is see
to be particularly weak and without foundation
|
of the enormous frauds which were perpetrate
+ by them in 1868 the democrats of New York cit
e should succeed in carrying the state in Novembe
the thirty five votes easily be found elsewhei
. among those claimed by the democracy, when "
consider the present state of feeling in the Pacif
states, in South Carolina, Louisiana, Flord
A North Carolina and West Virginia The stat
, named are more llRely TO go Tor Hayes than Il
% Iilden, provided iair vote can De poled. 70
ms provision, ON election day, the heluOhcahs
the country VIII ever pray.
In houng the progress oil the pSnucal canVa
throughout the country T" Is source oil pride TO
: Nethon'ef 10 see 'he prominent p'r' no" pe'u
) taken by
NEl'MoNrLHs IN THE CAMPAIGN
Among the many VINO are dong valiant ser'l'
upon the stump we hot'ee Ooiohei "eorse
uou"'S' " n"''' VI "i""s'' Nv" i'S'u'ns Az ~
Moihes' ,ow" anu one Vi inc v'ee'ors nl'neu up'
Is tue nepuo,''"n ''N', ~ ',,"' S''''' io''er n
10 r.n iSl' io',,ei'' u "''''"' Nv" ,iS'Hs navy
:, OIL lansing N'"'' "ue,' "' - uo,ns eA''ie
d service 10, '"0 p''''s O''''' ~ ~ "'''e',i''''
nj .''.,'e U, ''''"'o o,,, '''l Nv"
Al III '"e wy VI V"''"s' NC nc ""s i'eu
10 ''"e''''' anu - o"0 - ''' p''"0 'p'"N''s
re 'ne very n'eiy o""l.'S" Nv" so'"s oi III Vi
" ei'y' iAN,ns '"ese IL" '''''"'eS "o" amor
lie 'he many 'erhon'e's WHOSE names are ho''ceu
ie prominent III poNuc"i me, anu WIN 'ne go'
Up WofA oeins nvoohP"sneu J"s' no" Wy 9eha'
10 Idmunur Ill Ohoi NOlOntl JOYCE III inulanl, MA