The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1876-05-27

taDie as TIC pttSlS Ol our IeIuuIAS.-
Blaine. 257 Hayes................ le
Morton ........... lls Jewell. ............... 10
Bristow. 100 Washburne. ..........
Oohhihg............. - Chhno"n '...'-''.''s -
Nv Votes 20 zoe
Delegates TO be chosen 40
Total. 752
The first impression made by this esti-
mate on the mind of careless reader would
be that Blaine is the strongest Of all the can
didates and that Conkling is weaker than
Morton, weaker than Bristow. and superior
only to Hartranft. That such IN impression
would be false is known to every person
who has kept close watch of the canvass.
Nobody can dispute that Mr.. Conk-
ling has . large reversionary interest
in the delegations of several States
to other candidates on the first ballot, but
Mr.. Blaine has no such reversionary interest
in the delegates from any State. All the
support Blaine gets will be given him at
the outset Even by the Times count he
has only two hundred and ffty-seven,
whereas three hundred and seventy-seven
are necessary to a choice. He, therefore,
lacks one hundred and twenty votes, and the
most sanguine of his supporters cannot point
out the sources whence they are to come
Most certainly not from the three States
whose delegates are yet to be chosen, for, if
he should get them ALL Mr.. Blaine would
fall very far short of a majority. These three
ing together but forty-six delegates. Of
these neither Louisiana nor Florida is likely
to elect Blaine delegates, and even if he
should get all those from Iowa he would still
lack ninety-eight of q majority He is
already very nearly at the maximum Of his
strength, and Of the delegates expected to vote
for him on the first ballot very few are
pledged or instructed, the greater portion of
them being quite untrammelled and free to
support other candidates Mt any stage of the
proceedings Blaine will be hundred /
delegates short of majority when he enters
the Convention, and the highest vote he will
receive will be on the first ballot
There is another point in the Times fig
ures-miade as favorable to Blaine rs the
facts will at oil warrant-to which we wish
to call attention. They show that Mr..
Blaine is not strong even in the New Eng
land States. Outside of his own State of
Maine New England sends sixty-four dele
gates, and of these sixty-four there are forty
two, or about two-thirds, that will not vote
for Blaine. In Connecticut he has not
single delegate, ten Of the Connecticut dele
gates being for Jewell and two for Bristow.
He has only nine of the twenty-six from
Massachusetts,, only one Of the eight from
Rhode Island, only three of the ten from
Vermont and only seven from New Hamp-
shire candidate who is so weak in his
own section, where he is best known, and
who is repudiated by Pennsylvania, the
State of his birth, is not likely to gain
strength during the progress of the Conven-
ton. With two-thirds of the New England
delegates outside Of Maine opposed to him
his Western strength is pretty certain to de-
cline after the first complimentary ballot.
Turning to Mr.. Conkling, whose pros
poets the Times seeks to belittle, it is not diff
ficult to see from what quarters his support
is to come after the obligations of mere
compliment shall have been discharged in the
early ballotings. 1t has been conceded from
the beginning that Governor Hartranft will
be withdrawn, and that he will not receive
q single vote in addition to those of Penn
sylvania Nobody even affects to doubt that
the Pennsylvania delegation will support
Conxlin- when Hartranft is withdrawn.
With the votes of New York and Pennsyl-
vania Mr.. Conkling only needs those of Ohio
to secure his nomination if he should get
two hundred and five of the Southern votes,
and it seems probable that he will receive
much larger number when the friends of
Senator Morton shall admit that he cannot
be nominated. 1t is safe to assume that
Morton will not be the successful
candidate, and as soon as he is
out of the field the administration
influence will wheel the Southern delega-
ton into line in support of Conkling.
So if Governor Hayes will accept the NOM
ination for Vice President there is straight
and easy path to a Conkling triumph in the
Convention. That Governor Hayes would
be willing to take the second place on the
same ticket with Senator Conkling may be
inferred from the strong language of CON-
pliment in which he spoke of him in the
interview printed in the HERALD of Thurs
day. 'Conkling" said Governor Hayes,
''has certainly better chance than Tilden
in their respective parties. Conkling stands
straight and square on the platform of his
party, and has always stood there, besides
being known as powerful worker in the
organization, man of high attainments and
high in the organization and is greatly re-
spected in Ohio" There is no other Presi-
Dental candidate Of whom Governor Hayes
spoke with such warm and unqualified
praise. lie can have no objection to be put on