New-York tribune., 1876-10-17
THE PROSPECT IN NEW-YORK.

New-York is the battle ground. Republicans
willingly acknowledge it. Democrats boast
fully assert it, confident in the ability of Gov.
Tilden to carry his own State. What ground
is there tor this cOnfdencc2 Nine Democrats
out of ten look no further than the fact that
Gov Tilden did carry the State in 1874. Yet
his vote at that time was only 4lG,39l, and
the Republicans had cast 1880 for Gov.
Dix two years before. The Republicans who
did not vote elected Mr. Tildcn. If there is
anything certain, it is certain that very fun
vote of both parties will be east this year.
Now the Democrats have never pOllcd as large
an honest vote in the whole history of the
State, as they did in eecting Mr.. lllden IN
1874, for they were then reinforced by many
thousand Liberals and Independents. That he
will not get the votes Of a great proportion OF
these is known to him, and to every other in
tclligent Democrat. A few hundred support
him still, and will do their best to elect him.
At least twenty thousand oppose him, and will
do their best to defeat him. But with their
aid the largest Democratic vote ever really
cast in New-York was 29,11O less than the
Republican vote cast for President Grant III
1872, when the Liberals opposed him. Where,
then, is the reason for expecting MIR. 1ildcn' :
election
We are told that the Democrats did once
cast q larger vote, namely in 1865. 1t Is false.
They returned larger vote, but over 10000
of il in this city alone was falsely and fraud
ulcntly returned. Then they pretended that
112.522 votes were cast for Hoffman i'll this
city. In all the hot contests since, local, State,
and Presidential, with the aid Of thousands of
Al. n, - In,, ~, .iulrla
instance polled $4,000 votes in this cItr, and
they cannot now. Part of their pretended vote
in 1868 was the work of Tammany rcpeaters,
and part was fraudulently returned, never
having been east even by rcpeaters.
We are told that Mr.. Tildcn ran i'll an "oil
year." when the full strength of parties was
not pollcd. Ii was year of Congressional
elections; the tidal wave" for which Demo
Gratis now look in vain was then actually rolling :;
and while it was an extraordinarily poor year
for Republicans, whose vote was over I3,OoO
less than their full strength, the Democrats
polled a larger honest vote than ever before.
If their large vote was due to Republicans
tbey will not get it again. If the full Demo
cratic strength was not poed, at that election
we do not believe it ever will he. In the fol-
lowing table, lnc NOtc OI IliS Oi'! - "'P"
rated from that of the rest of the state
The last column shows that the Repuhll-
cans outside of the city, with the Liberals OPP
posed to them, polled 3s9,5l1 votes for Gov.
Dix in 1872, and 372, ,145 for President Grant
in 1868. Now that they have the support OF
nearly all the Liberals they will cast over
100000 votes in the country, and the second
column shows that they are able to poll over
80. 900 in this city. On the other hand, with
Liberal aid, the Democrats have been able to
poll as much as 32S,955 votes in the country
only once-for Mr. Tilden in 1874. If they
were able this year, as they are not, to perpe-
trate once more the infamous frauds of 1865,
and to return 1922 votes from this city
IL Il -LlI l.. ln..tL1h