The Republican journal. [volume] (Belfast, Me.) 1829-current, 1876-09-21
The Real Battle Field.

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9TH Dist-JAMES II. TALBOT.
The Real Battle Field.
We shall cndeavor to give fair and can
did views Of the chances of the Presiden-
tial canvass Last week some estimates OF
the Electoral College were produced, that
certainly had very encouraging look,
Democratically speaking. Like every
other battle field this political contest has
its key, or decisive point, and concerning
this we do not ask readers to take our own
opinion. but give the views OF u reliable
independent sheet. The Philadelphia Daily
Times, Col McClure's paper says. The
and lndiaaa !Dr the index Of the popular
tide that is to carry either Iilden or Hayes
into the Presidency. Vermont and Maine
decided nothing. The Republicans rejoice
that they escaped mortal blows, and the
Democrats point to the reduced Republic
can maiorites on the largest polls ever
made, as promising favorable results i'll
the great central States. They are disap-
pointed in Vermont and Maine. because
ing Democratic gains, and both parties
have turned from the comparatively
drawn battles Of New England. to enter
the desperate conflict for the doubtful
States of Ohio and Indiana While the
general convictions of politicians conccde
Ohio to the Republicans by from 10000 to
10000 majority in October, and confess
Indiana to be fairly debatabe, we regard
Ohio to day as really doubtful. and the
success Of the Tlden ticket as possible
Carl Schurz we'll knew what he was say
inc when he notified the Republican lead
ers that it was an absolute necessity for
them to redouble their efforts in both Ohio
and Indiana if they would save them for
Hayes. He accepts the stubborn logic OF
facts and figures and when in Cleveland
and Cine nnati recently, he saw through
the surface enthusiasm that greeted him
from the machine party men. that the
whole of his fellow Germans, who saved
Hayes last year, were irreyocably for Til
den, and he knew what it meant. lie re
membered that Hayes received but 5,5t9
plurality and but 1858 majority ont Of 4
total poll of 592 ,GGS, being by over 60 600
the largest vote ever cast in the State; he
remembered that in either OF the two
cities where he pleaded the cause Of Hayes
Il fortnight ago, the change against Hayes
this year will be more than his whole pu
rality of last year, and he looked the
truth in the face and sounded the long
roll to Grant managers who are manipu
lating the campaign. He sees the hand
writing on the wall telling that Cleveland
will fall short from t 900 to ) 900 Of her
Hayes majority of 1872 that Cincinnati
will give from 1000 to / 900 against
Hayes this year instead of 900 in his
favor last Year, and that Columbus will
also reverse nearly half the Hayes major
ity given last October These facts are
patent to all who accept the plain teach
ings of the contest thus far. and if Ohio
were to vote tomorrow the chances would
be quite equal Tor Democratic success
The State being largely Republican in
convection, it is possible that if the sensi-
bic advice of Mr.. Schurz shall be follow
ed, and the campaign pressed vigorously
with the Bristows and the Seizures in the
front and the Mortons and Camerons and
Chambers in the rear, the State may be
recalled to positive Republican supre-
macy. From 10000 to $1,000 majority
might thus be wrested from the reluctant
Buckeyes; but it is not on hand ready for
use to-day, and few more declarations
from the national organ of the party, that
earnest speeches in favor of practical re-
form "are not calculated to advance the
interests of the common cause" will make
Republican success impossible in Ohio
The total vote for President in 1868 was
5lS,S2S, when the Republican majority
was Al ,42S the total vote in 1872 was
529. 1856. and the Republican majority 81
531 the total vote in 1873 was less than
4i0, 900, and Allen was chosen by plu-
rality of S17 on Il vote of PA sos, and the
total vote of 1875 was 592 SOS, and the
majority for Hayes was but 2 ,95S and his
plurality over Allen only 5,549 These
are the figures which arrested the atten-
ton of the mathematical Schurz; and
with confessed German detection of
from 10, 900 to 5000 from Hayes in 1875
to Tilden in 1876, it requires no keen pro-
phetic attributes to assign Ohio to the list
of doubtful States. If Ohio is to vote Re-
publican in October it has yet to be won;
and if it shall be lost to Hayes in October,
Tilden will be the only candidate practi-
cally running in November.
As Ohio is an absolute necessity to the
Republicans in October, 80 is Indiana an