The New York herald., 1876-10-06

electoral vote for Mr.. Tildcn--he would then
have the following vote to begin With
Delaware. Mississippi. ............
Maryland. Louisiana. 9
virginia ............. IL kcntucky. IL
west virginia Teonessoe. ............. IL
North Carolina 10 Missouri. ........ is
Georgia. IL ARKANSAS
florida a....,.-..-..... Texas-... ,
Alabama. ........ 10 South Carolina. .......
In all 1873 votes, and AZ less than the num-
Der required to elect.
Suppose tho following States cast THEN
electoral vote for Mr.. Hayes-he would then
have these to begin with
Illinois. s.............. 81 Colorado. .............
Iowa. IL Nevada.
Kansas. New Hampshire ......
Maine. ............ ...... Ohio. n
Massachusetts,. ....... l3 PennsyvaniA ........
Michigan. ............ IL Rhode Island. ......
Minncsota. ..-........- Nermont.... .......s...-- !
Nebraska.
In all lat votes, more than Governor
Tilden and 3S less than the number requikd
to elect
There would in that case remain the fo.
lowing States, from whose electoral vote
each party would seek enough for ma
jority:--
Wisconsin. .:.... 10 New York. IS
California. Oregon
lhuiana... 10 Conncctlcut.. q
new Jersey. y.....-...
In all 81 electoral votes. But from Mr.. l
Tilden's Southern vote we may reasonably
deduct North Carolina 10. which the re-
publicans may fairly hope to win, and which
would give Mr.. Hayes 157 votes. To Mr..
Tilden. on the other hand, we may reason.
ably add Wisconsin, 10; California, g. Ore
gon, 3; in all 10 votes, giving him lat votes.
There would remain in this count Indiana,
Is; Connccticut, 6; New Jersey, 8, and New
York, 35. OF these, to win, Mr.. Tilden
would have to carry both New York and In.
Jersey. Mr.. Hayes could get on with either
New York and New Jersey or Connecticut.
We have in the above estimate given the
republicans Ohio If they should lose
that State, but carry North Caro-
lima, as we have supposed, Hayes would
have but 1876 votes and as losing Ohio would
suppose also losing Indiana, he would have
to come East for AZ votes, which means that,
to win, he must in that case carry Now York,
Connecticut and New Jersey or fail Of IN
election.
On.thesc calculations, which arc not fanci.
full, it becomes evident that tho democrats
must make very strenuous exertions to carry
both Ohio and Indiana. If they lose
both these States they are in great
danger of losing the election. If they CON
carry both they will very seriously EN-.
barrass their opponents. The republicans,
on the other hand must evidently concen-
trate their efforts on New York, New
Jersey and Ohio. If they scatter them
selves over the South they will waste
strength without hope of counterbal-
ancing gains. If they use measures Of
doubtful constitutionality, such rs sending
troops into the South to carry those States,
they will certainly weaken themselves in
Northern States which are necessary to
them. They can afford to lose the whole
South, except North Carolina, and yet have
o reasonable chance to carry the election.
They might probably carry both South Caro-
lima and Louisiana for Hayes if they had the
courage to separate the national from the
State and local tickets and openly cut adrift
from Chamberlain and Packard.
After ALL however, the result Of the cleo.
ton appears to depend on the votes OF
New York, New Jersey and Connecticut
as we long ago pointed out. These States,
or Now Jersey and New York, will decide
the contest. We may expect, therefore, after
next Tuesday. to see both parties begin the
most active campaign on record in these
three States. The republicans, at present,
are not discouraged about New York. They
are confident that it will not be carried by
~ IT, ~
they now feel.
Tho New Cab Company and tho Old