New-York tribune., 1876-06-13

ihtiy 10 among lnt W
candidates, and the conviction was rapidly taking
possession of the politicians assembled here that Mr.
Blaine's nomination almost certain.
What change has his sickness producedi None
certainly. in his own (AaineJ delegation. The lead
of that will not listen to the suggestion that his
illness is in the least serious and they have entered
upon their work to-day with more zeal and determi-
nation apparently than if this discouragng circum-
stance had not occurred.
STATE OF THE Ex-sPEAKER's SUPPORT.
The same may be said of the leading Blaine dele
cations of the Northwest. Illinois stands firm, and
the members of the delegation are doing effective
work with doubtful or wavering men from other
States. Wisconsin remains unit, and has set up in
its beautiful blue and gold banner inscribed
with Mr.. Maine's name. Iowa is unanimous. Min
nesOa is for Mr.. Blaine with the exception of one
delegate. Kansas Nebraska. and Coloradoare solid,
and all of them evince determination to stand by
their candidate until the fight is over. There is
serious detection from Blaine in the Michigan dele
CATION, or rather those of Mr.. Blaines friends who
have counted on securing large majority of the
delegates from that State have made a mistake
The estimate of it most favorable to Mr. Blaine
which have heard to-day is that he will have one
third of it, while the truth probably is that, as IL
now stands, he is likely to receive only one or two
votes in all from Michigan, and may not hold even
those
Mr. Bristow's friends claim onc-half of the dele
CATION and say that the remainder will be divided
among other candidates.
But the detection in the Michigan delegation does
not seem to bave resulted from alarm on account of
Mr.. Blaincs sickness. On the other hand. there has
probably been less change of sentiment among the
delegates than is generally supposed. The most of
them who now announce themselves as ant-Blaine
fn. he Vermont dele
cation is another about which there is some doubt.
1t nav agree to vote as a unit for Mr. Blaine on the
first ballot but after that is likely to split up. Mr..
Blame is apparently sure to. receive about six votes
from this State who will stand by him, and Bristow
and COnklng will each get some. Well informed
politicians from that State not members of the del
egatiOn express the opinion that the entire delega-
ton could be united in the support of Mr. Wheeler.
But neither the divisions in Vermont those in
Massachusetts,, which will be spoken of elsewhere,
have occurred since yesterday; so that, 10 sum mp
the case tlere to this evening no signs that
those frierds Of Mr.. Blaine upon whom he Las de-
pended fer his first and permanent support, have
any pTcscnt idea of desertng him, and will not
terrain the proposition unless the reports in regard
to his health are much more discouraging than any
which have yet been received.
wHrRE THE EFFECTS HAVE BTEN UNFAvoBABLE.
But among those who are opposed to him and
those who entertain lingering doubts of the wisdom
of nominating him at all, but who were looked
upon as open 20 conviction, the effect Of Baincs
illness has been unfavorabc 10 his success 1t gives
the advocates of MIR. Conklng and Mr.. Morton and
Mr. BristOw a new and 10 some extent very
effective argument against Mr. Blalne's nomination.
They urge the subtle character Of all brain diseases.
The tarlincss with which patients recover from
them and assert that, under the most favorable cir
cumstances, lac cannot be expected 10 take that
active and effective part in the campaign which has
been expected from him. If he gets the nomination
they say also that it absolutely necessary in brain
diseases that the patient shall be kept perfectly
onet and especially that he shall engage in nothing
that il exciting in its tendency, and add that,
though he may temporarily recover, the party can
have no assurance that he viii not suffer from sec
oud attack of the same or a similar nature, and die
before the campaign is over
Taking all these things into consideration, the
question is asked Can the Republican party afford
TO take such risk at this time Can il afford TO
run the risk of being left in the midst OF the cam
paign without a candidate What should we do IN
such a case Should we allow the National Com
mittec to choose the new candidate, or should we
call another meeting of the Convention To either
plan there are almost unanswerable objections.
That the National Committee is not always able 10
satisfy the party is proved by the fact that much
grnmbling has been induged in at the selection Of
Cincinnati as the place for holding the Convention
which meets on Wednesday next Besides, while
we NAV be willing TO allow the National Committee
to select the place where the Convention shall
meet the people would not intrust to that body so
mportant duty as that of the selection of "a candi
date.
But the objections to calling another meeting Of
the Convention are equally great. The expense Is
cpormous and, besides it might occur late In the
campaign when the most of the work ought to be
completed. The Republican party cannot afford to
throw away any Of its chances this year. aud 1t
might be that it would If it nominated Mr. Blaine
i'm his present condition of health. This Is sample
of what is said by the anti-Blaine canyasscrs to
doubtful or wavering delegates to-day, and il can
not be denied that it is likely TO have some effect
NECESSITY OF RECOVERY TO-DAY.
1t will certainly be uphill work for Mr. Baine's
managers to secure new converts unless his recovery
tomorrow is very rapid and they would be pretty
sure to lose ground if he should suffer relapse, but
as yet it must DC said there no signs that he has
lost any of his popularity. Since he was stricken
down yesterday many Of the more thoughtful Re
publicans now in Cincinnati including some who
not counted among Mr.. blaine's supporters look
with great apprehension upon the possible with
drawal of his name account Of his sickness. III he
had retained his health, and combinations had been
made against him too strong to overthrow, he might
have named the nominee; but if his name should
now be removed from the list of candidates on ac-
count Of his sickness, his forces, deprived Of their
natural leader would be likely TO break up into as
many factions as there remaining candidates,
and be scattered abroad in such way that none
could predict what the result would be. The Con-
vention might make an accidental nomination. and