The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1876-05-27
Representatives Of Thirty States on the
Relative Chances Of Hendricks,
yilden ard Bayard.
PENNSYLVANIA FOR HANCOCK.
The Trans-Aleghany Feeling for Davis,
or Anybody to Beat TiIden
NO NEW YORKER NEED APPLY"

for viewing the Presidential situation.
In the early days OF the Republic when Congressional
cucuses named the candidates OF their respective
parties for President, the opinions preferences OF
The average Congressman were OF some account But
since President making has been taken by the people
into their own hands and the National Convention has
suppantcd
THE CONGRESSIONAL CAUCUS,
our average Congressman to be important
factor in the problem and he Of consequences only
lndicatorand not always very reliable one at that
Of the dr Of opinion among his party constituents
SO far the present Congress is concerned 1t is wei
TO bear in mind, when setting a valuation upon its
views of tho probabilities either at Cincinnati or
At ST LOUIS that six months have elapsed
since It's members left the bosom OF their constitu-
sncy, and they cannot be as well informed OF the
changes which may meanwhile have occurred in popu-
lar sentiment as they would be II they had come
"resh from the people, Six months may have
wrought revolutions in some OF the States Again.
tho average Congressman gives his views of the pres
Dental situation with extreme caution He In search
Of the winning II you tell him whom his
party is to nominate you will see how quickly and
readily his preferences will gravitate that way. The
avorte horse is the horse that is ahead In the race
Your correspondent has been impressed with this
truth in many recent interviews with democratic Con-
grcssmen regarding only their preferences for
President but also their calculations us to the
For instance, a certain Western member gave it
his opinion that his State would go for Thurman. but
requested that tins opinion should be regarded
ndcntia for II his who devotees Of
The rag baby. should hear Of II they would interpret the
opinion his individual preference, and then farewell
to mis- hopes of denomination. Another member had
preferences but he would them only in whispers
no anxious 'skecp IN" with all the candi
dates
Outside of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana and Missouri
and occasional other States where imitation is
"sreak," or where opposition to any hard money and
Eastern man, and Governor Tlden in particular Is
outspoken, there seem be we'll defined prefer
enccs decided hostility between the various
names that are prominent in connection with the
nomination The Southern members agree that the
late slave States will ALL excepting South Carolina and
possibly Florida their electoral votes for the ST.
Louis nominee, whoever he may be or whatever tho
platform The very general disposition of the South
democrats according to their representatives here
is to be only passive agents In the st. Louis Conven
ton leaving to tho Northern democrats to settle upon
the candidate II they can and pedging themselves to
stand by the choice made Some OF the Southern DEM
ocrats confident OF
CARRYING EVEN SOUTH CAROLINA
basng their confidence the Chamberlain quarrel in
the republican ranks and growing disgust generally
among the better classes of the state with republican
and negro rule should the late slave states vote IN
body only forty votes will be needed from tho
entire North to cooperate with thcm and elect their
candidate New York alone might furnish thirty 1--we
of these So far the action of the southern dele
gates concerned policies before them 10 the
event OF the Northern democrats being unable to con-
centratc upon a candidate. One policy Is combina
tion tic Southern vote in the Convention with the
Northeast resulting in the nomination OF Eastern
man and the other contcmplaes such q combination
with the Northwest to result in the choice Of Western
The first policy would be regarded as a virtual
surrender OF the Western States to the enemy, with
reliance upon tho Pacific coast cooperating with New
York. New Jersey and Connecticut carry the candi-
date through with the aid OF the soath. The
other policy would be adopted only abandonment
OF tie East and tho Pacific coast currency grounds
with the expectation OF carrying sufficient number OF
Western 81 by appeal to the popular sy mpahcs
OF that 81 :tion on a
MONTY
platform TO insure the election The latter policy has
lost ground very perceptbly during The year, and
especially during the past month Tho hope OF
at the polls, the leaders declaring very gen.
orally is In the choice OF candidate who carry the
bulk OF the South. New York. New Jersey, Connecticut
AMI the Pacific The of the Ohio democracy
IN reviving Bill Alensm and shelving Thurman, whose
moderate finance might have made him lair
candidate to compromise on, has only strengthened
this growing conviction
Were the ST. Louis Convention to elect a President
instead OF naming candidate there is believe
that Senator Bayard OF Delaware, woul1 be the Con-
vcniions choice All the South and much OF tho North
would rally enthusiastically to his support But the
prime object Of search availability and in that search
the sagacous politicians the democratic party have
decided that 1t would be suicidal in these days of
IRENE sensitiycncss In relation to war questions to
any candidate south of Mason and Dxons line
20 Bayard has been practically ruled out OF the
or the thrty-scven States OF the Union thirty havo
democratic Representatives, in Congress The seven
whose Congressional delegations exclusively re.
publican Maine, Vermont Rhode Island South
Carolina Minnesota. Nebraska and Nevada. Without
regard 10 unforeseen combinations which may control
the action Of tho delegations from these thirty States
respectively in the Democratic National Convention
the following tho situation described by tho demo-
cratic Representatives themselves
HAMPSHIRE
Tho New Hampshire delegates the ct Louis Con-
vcnton chosen last January The mode Of choos-
Ing delegates novel in that State Instead OF select
Ing by Congressional districts and then delegates at
large, tho New Hampshire democrats know only coun
Gil districts or these there Ave and each selects
two national delegates, making altogether the ten
to which the State entitled. Delegates at large
unknown In that State II a fact that New
Hampshire as rule, rolls much larger vote at her
annual Slate selections, occurring In March, than she
does at the elections for President Ono OF the demo
Representatives from that State expresses tho
opinion that, far personal preferences are con-
ccrncd. the ten delegates much uvided-so much
90 that Il is doubtful whether any two could agree
New Hampshire democrats not especially in SYM
pathy with their New York brethren and II Is by no
means CERTAIN II we may believe what we hear, that
Now Hampshire will not support Western man for
nomination at ST Louis. The logic oil geography Is
rkciy. however, to control these votes the end As
New England Is without candidate the choice Of New
York Is next In order and Tidcns friends count cond-
deptly upon tks old Granite State, upon New Eng
land generally
MAssAcHuxKTTa
The Massachusetts, democratic Representatives are