, 1876-10-28
Tbe Next House.

The heavy gains by the republicans IN
the resent Congressional elections IN oalo
and Indiana have Impaired certain signIh-
cance to speculations IS 10 the probable poilt-
icsl complexion of The next House FreV!oaS
To these eleciions the democrats were conf
dent tha. the ninety-four Southern members
conceded 10 them by the republicans would
saeure Them the control of the lower branch
Of the next Capgres- Their position no" Is
less secure. While they lost less than Was
anticipated in the popular vo;e compared
with 1874, ;hey lost large IL Congressinen
la the two States of OHIO and Indiana they
lose nine Con pyressmsn-hge IN the hrsi
named aud four IN the last. iheir estimated
loss was three III 0hiJ and two III Indiana
These unexpected gains INSPIRE the rePuoil-
cans with hope OF obtaining control Of the
next House although with the solid block
Of ninety odd representatives fruin the Sou. n,
they cannot hope for large majority. Inc
House CONSISTS of 293 members, Of which
l47 are q majority. In the PRESENT House
the democrats have lSt members aud the re-
publicaus lU6- Two independents aud the
new member from Colorado make up TINS
number. The democrats have therefore IN
he present Congress 81 more than majority
The point 10 consider nov i .Oosses and
gains. The republicans have already gained
nine. In other OF the Northern States gains
are conceded to them as follows: California,
,; Connecticut, } Illinois, , Massachusetts,,
3; Michigan. l; New York, D F.; Iowa, i;
New Hampshire, New jersey, :; Penn
Sylvsris, Z; k4nsls, /; Wisconsin, : :
Colorado, | making 32, OF IL with the re
uOried gain III OHIO and lIdIaua. These IL
with their present number, lO6, would CON
s'I,u,e a small republican majority. The
democrats. however, expect 10 gam L member
in Florida. one III Virginia, one IN L-uis!-
ana, one IN kentucky, aud possibly one Ill
North Carolina. Ii their expectations should
be. realized, these five would be taken from
the republican I4!, leaving lf2, or five less
than majoriry. This Is the estimate from
and indepenient or uUn-partlsAn standpoint.
L le democrats couceds fewer losses III the
Northern States, while tie republicans claim
greater gains. There Is ons result, however,
which Is pretty we'll established. Neither
party vii! have a III ljority thai wall tempt 1t
into despo;ic measures II The rcPubIICans
obtain control of the House, they caauot
look for a majorify of more than 10, unless Il
tIdS wave should sweep New York, Penn
syiyauia aud Illinois III November. l. may
be adeed that at present there is 10 Indication
of tidal wave. There Is Il very light DRIFT
either way As the democrats DO not ex-
pect to carry either Pennsylvania or Illinois,
they will make fight in those States TO save
their Congressman. The present delegation
from New York consists of seventeen demo
Gratis, fifteen republicans, aud one indie
pendent, who generally voted with the re-
pub!icans. The calculation We have given
sets four Of thes, democrats aud one iuia pen
dent over to the republicans, which wouii
seem liberal, in view of the stout claims
VIII ch the democrats make 20 the electoral
vote of that State. II seems quite certain,
therefore, that neither party can have large
majority in the next HOUSES. f. Cal.