Vermont phÅ“nix. [volume] (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1834-1955, 1876-06-02

The State conventions held last week so
nearly completed the list of delegates 10
Cincinnati that confident estimates of the
strength Of the leading candidates are be-
coming very plentiful, and while II is no
ticeable that in each case the summing up
of probabilities is tinged with the desire of
the person who makes the estimate, 1t is
also true that in nearly every instance Mr..
Blaine leads very decidedly. There seems,
in fact to be no doubt that the ex-Speaker
will, at the start show himself considerably
ahead of all his competitors, but unless we
are essentially wrong in our judgment of
the situation Mr.. Blaine must secure his
nomination, If at all, in either the first or,
at farthest, the second ballot. What COM
binations will show themselves, and what
contingencies will arise should any consid-
cradle number of ballots become necessa-
ry, 1t Is impossible TO predict. Our own
belief is that the great mass of delegates
| will go to Cincinnati with a purpose 10
nominate a clean and able man, ICho can be
| elected rather than with any fixed and
| partisan feeling for any one favOrite candi-
date. While many of them have decided
personal preferences, and would like TO see
| this man or that man president, they wish
still more to make sure of Republican
| Administration for the next four years.
Such, at least, we sincerely trust, will be
the spirit of the Cincinnati convention.
As regards the probabilities which have
thus far been figured out, it is noticeable,
| to begin with, that the number Of Gin
structed' delegations is very small. On
this point, as we'll as on that of the general
estimate, the careful and non partisan New
York Times says;-
| "Counting, then, the delegations which
| are either instructed or partially bound by
the declared preferences of the conventions
| which elected them, the various candi-
| dates can reckon, thus far, on something
like the following support: Blaine, lS4
votes Morton, 90; Conkling, 20; Hart
rant, So Bristow, 46, and Hayes, Al votes.
| If this result is 10 some extent conjectur-
al, what follows is still more decidedly so.
when we begin 10 analyze the delegations
| which have received neither instructions
nor recommendations, aud whose men,
bers have made no public declaration OF
their first choice, we find ourselves con-
| fronted by endless contradictions. In such
cases we adhere as closely as possible 10
the estimates made by our OVID correspon-
| dents. In this category we find Mr.. Bris-
tow's chief strength, made up as follows
Connecticut, votes Georgia, 6; Illinois,
i; Massachusetts, Is; Michigan, 4; Miss
ouri, s New Hampshire, 3; New Jersey,
A; Rhode Island, IL Tennessee, IL, and
Vermont total, 60 votes. MIR. Blaine
follows with this probable distribution Of
votes Massachusetts, o; Michigan, 10
Missouri, IS; North Carolina, 10; New
Hampshire, I; New Jersey, IL; Rhode Is
land, l, and Vermont 3; total, II votes
Mr.. Morton has Is votes from Georgia, {
from Missouri, from Tennessee, and
from the District of Columbia total, 81
Mr.. Conkling has 3 from Georgia, 2 from
Tennessee, from Michigan, aud l from
Missouri; total, Z; and Mr.. Hayes has
from Michigan, . from New Jersey, and
| from Missouri; total 4. This enumeration
leaves delegates from Massachusetts,,
from Missouri, 8 from Nevada, 10 from
North Carolina, 2 from Colorado, 2 from
Dakota, and from New Mexico, in all 2
votes, not classed.
1t will be seen that this analysis disposes
in a manner more or less definite, Of thu
votes on the first ballot of FOG delegates
There are Az delegates still to be chosen
from the three States of Iowa, Louisiana
and Florida"
From detailed table by States, whicl
presents the results as above indicated, TIL
Times summarizes as follows: -Blaine, 257
Morton, ll9; Bristow, lO9; Conkling, II
Hartranft, IS; Hayes, As; Jewell, 10
, Washburn, l; Unknown, 81. Votes zoo
, Delegates TO be. chosen, 46. Total, 1852.