New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1876-01-06
THE PRESIDENCY.
HOPES AND PLANS OF REPUBLICANS.
STATES THAT THE PARTY CAN CARRY WITH A Gool

STATES THAT THE PARTY CAN CARRY WITH GOOD
cANDIDATE-DoUBTFUL sTATEs-TBE PROBABLE
PARTY PLATFORM AND POLICY.
tFRoa THE REGULAR CORRESPONDENT THE TRTBUSEl
PHILADELPHIA, JAN 5.-As a corollary TO the state
ment lately published in THE TRIBUNE Of the views
of leading Democratic politician on the prospects
of the two contendng parties in the coming Presi-
Dental struggle, a Republican opinion on the situa-
ton will be found Of interest. IL is entitled TO as
much weight as was the Democratic review Of the
feld-perlaps to more, because it is the concurrent
opinion of number of men of prominence and abil-
ity from different States. given without consultation
with one another 1t agrees with the Democratic
estimate of chances in regarding New-Yorl as the
battle-ground of the campaign, but it naturally
makes the Republicans appear to have the better
prospect of carrying that State.
New York, according to these gentlemen Is not
normally Democratic State On the contrary, .
considerable majority of her voters are Republicans.
Local causes or general apathy toward National
politics often cause enough Republicans to stay at
homo to give tho other side the victory, but when
the question is which of the two political organiza
tions is to control the National Government, the
Empire State has been heretofore, and will again DO
this year. az strongly Republican Pennsylvania or
Ohio II ~Grantsm" were to carry the Presi-
Dental Convention there would Of course be no
little hope of saving Ohio Wisconsin, Illinois, or
even Massachusetts,. Indeed, South Carolina would
then be almost the only sure Republican State. All
calculations are therefore based on the overthrow Of
Gen. Grant, in case he should be a candidate before
tho Convention, and the defeat Of any man
selected by him to be his successor, to pro-
long his policy and to keep his friends
in office. There was never any event IN
the future of politics clear that
tho nominee of the Convention, whoever he may
be, will have no sympathy with the aims and meth
obs of the present Administration. Suppose the
ddate to be Mr.. Blaine or Mr.. Brstow Would not
the Republican party have now life at once Would
not lethargy, dissatisfaction and decentralization
give way TO activity, enthusiasm and the old esprit
do corps of 1864 and 1868 Who could say, in such
an event, that New-York belonged in the column Of
probable Democratic Statesi The influences
which have lost New-YorlS to the Republicans in
recent elections fast abatng. Local issues cannot
be given much vitality in the midst of the tremen-
dous excitement of Presidential struggle. The
nearness of that struggle had marked effect the
vote last November Strong motives existed then
for giving Gov. Tilden's canal policy impressive
Endorsement, as a rebuke to thieves and encour-
agement to energetic honesty in politics, but tho
State grudgingly gave the Governors ticket in
significant majority. BY next Summer nobody will
vote one way or the 0tner on account OF the eY-
posture of canal frauds, and the State will return
to its old Republican allegiance.
There is just possibility that with Gov. Tilden as
their candidate the Democrats might succeed. But
they are not likely to nominate him. Democratic
National Convention ia usually concentrated pollti-
cal stupidity. In 1864 the party nominated
successful General when all the country wanted Of
military men was success In 1868 il took New
York politician who could not carry his own State,
and threw away its chance for carrying the West,
where its greatest strength then lay Now it is
tia that it should hold the ground in the East which
it won in 1874 but instead of selecting popular
Eastern candidate it will, in all probability,
put up some Western man, and thus
lose the fight before it is fairly begun.
But with Gov. Tilden as its candidate the Democ-
racy would scarcely have even chance of carrying
New-York. When the issue ia presented whether
the country is to be handed to party that has
shown neither intelligence, capacity nor honesty
tho excellent record of Mr. Tiden in the Office Of
Governor will not have much weight.
, According TO this brief statement of Repub-
lican expectations and arguments New-York Is be-
ieved 20 be about certain TO choose Republican
electoral ticket as either Ohoor Pennsylvania. Tho
Same conditions which control the Empire State
relied upon to decide the verdict of Connecticut and
New-Jersey. Reduced to figures the Republican
view Of the situation is expressed as follows:
REPUBLICAN STATES.