New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1876-11-06

poGyRs AND MIR. DORsHEIMER-MR. sFAULD-
,>es ELECTION TO CONGRESS ASSURED.
,,,ov A STAFF CORRESPONDENT OF TEE TRIBuNE.l
p,.,y,1o. Nov. 1.-The politics of Buffalo, like
ose Of any other large city, cannot be learned by
Granger in a single day. There are almost
a,aravs local interests and complications, faction
schts and combinations trading and scratch
80 the full effect of which no one but
resdent can foretell with any degree Of conf
&C Study for example, the election returns OF
rre County for the last four years. Nothing could
- more bewIdering. In 1872, Gen. Grant carried
,re comfy by the enormous majority OF 5,3G3, but
',ro wears later this was all wiped out and the
.onnty went for Tiiden by $40 MAJORITY, and in
1874 if was recovered by the Republicans and gave
80 vote 70 Seward by 1892. Such changes as these
cannot be explained by any general laws, and "A
Knowledge Of the special causes which produced
.be,o is necessary TO thorough understanding OF
the present political situation.
lido not believe that either 5000 or 5000 is a
natural Republican majority i'll this county, nor do
think that in a fair test Of the relative strength OF
The two parties the Democrats could ever got ma
ior;tv here nj ALL The same causes which swclled
Gen Grants majority TO unnatural proportions IN
other places in 1872, especially wherever the Demo-
cratic party was strong in numbers, operated here
The opportunities to "scratch" Mr.. Grecley's name
from Democratic ballots increased in the same
ratio as the number OF Democratic voters increased
last wear the Democratic vote here was hight ana
the Republican majority increased for announcer
though similar reason. Gov. 1lldens plans lh'eI-
fercd with the personal ambition OF certain Demo
cr,tic noliticiaus here and there were disscnsons
and pulling apart in the party instead OF harmony
The most striking and, think, the mostimportant
feature Of the campqign in Erie County this year IS
the soldity of the Democratic organization Nothing
like II has been known for years Rival chques
have buried the hatchet rival Democratic poll
tcians work together with the greatest har-
rony in the same yoke, and all are sup
nortiDp Gov. 1ldcn and the State ticket
with equal zeal. Judge, therefore, that although
Tho Rcpublicaus arc we'll oganizcd and united, ami
thoroughly walked up 10 the Importance OF The
occasion. and that the vote next Tuesday viii show
,retty nearly the relative strength of the two par
ties in Erie County, the majority Tor the Hayes
electors will not be more than 1,5O0 possibly not
noretb3n 900 ~ viii be a loss of between
5000 and 900 on Grants last majority, and from
1900 to 20c0 on that OF last year.
A special local interest is manifested here IN the
contest between the two gentlemen whose names
stand second on the State tickets. Both are resi-
dents of this city, Mt Sherman S. Rogers, the Re-
publican candidate was elected TO the state senate
last year. and owing to his personal popularity, ran
ahead Of his ticket about 500 votes.
believe nothing has occurred since that
time to weaken his hold upon the peop.e
Of this county. Mr. Dorsheimer the other hand
does not contribute much strength TO his ticket IN
Bgfalo. | heard before coming here that be was so
unpopular among the Germans that many Of them
who would vote for Tden would scratch his name.
II sucb q d>postion las been manifested at any time
during the campaign it seems pretty much to have
disappeared. Nj. DorSheimer may lose some votes
which Mr.. Rogers may gain that IS all.
It's hardly necc. sary that should say anything
IN this letter about the Congressional contest IN this
district the readers Of THE TRIBUNE are familiar
with IFS details There is certainly no doubt that
Mr. Elblidgc G. Spaulng, the Republican candidate,
will be elected His services will certainly be needed
in tie next House Of Representatives. Mr. Lyman
K Bass carried the district two years ago by nearly
1000 ajoriiy, although il went Democratic on the
State ticket / hear only good words for Mr.. Daniel
n lockwood, Nj Standings Democratic rival. lie
ia Young nan. District-Attorncy OF this county,
and is chiefly known throughout the State as the
Prosecutor IN the George D. Lord case. He certainly
lacks the cyp.rcacc which NJ. Spauldng will bring
to tle position.
think both parties have made good nominations
t. fill the seat IN the State Senate made vacant by
the rcsig alton of Mr.. Rogers. Mr.. +. Carlton
Srague the Republican candidate, will Of course,
be elected over Mr.. James VI. Wiett, the Democrat.
Edward Gallagher. the Republican nominee for the
Assembly in the tia District, will run behind ms
ticket, but will be elected. His nomination was an
outrage 10 which the decent Republicans OF the
district ought not TO have submitted. z. l. W.