The true northerner. [volume] (Paw Paw, Mich.) 1855-1920, 1876-02-18
THE PRESIDENCY.
Democratic Probabilities Canvassed.

Democratic Probab bilities Canvassed.
The "Six Spectators" who sent to the
Boston Journal from Washington an es-
innate of the Republican Presidential
prospects, have supplemented that ar
ticle with n summary of the Democratic
! field. They find that Maine, New
Hampshire, and Vermont incline toward
Gov. Tilden. Massachusetts, is und 9
cided, but may present Gov. CASTOR ~
John Quincy Adams for the secono
place. Connecticut would like TO pre-
sent Senator English or Senator Eaton.
New York will present Gov. Tilden, and
will sustain him TO the bitter end. eve
discover no organized opposition to him,
and we assume that he will have the
unanimous vote of the State" New
Jersey thinks some of naming Senator
Randolph, but is strongly i'll favor of
Tilden. Pennsylvania and Maryland are
undecided, although the latter leans tow
ard Senator Bayard. Delaware will pre-
sent Senator Bayard, and if he has
strong support in the South, the New
England States will be likely TO take him
up. Senator Thurman is likely to di-
vide the Ohio delegation, ald Hendricks
will have united Indiana delegation,
backed by the support of majority of
the Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, Min
nesota, Iowa, and Missouri delegates.
In summing up the " "Spectators" say
Gov. Hendricks seems to have the best
chance for the nomination because he
can best compromise the radical differ
ences which divide the Democratic party.
If Ohio could unite upon Senator Thur
man he would stand about an equal
chance. Either of them could obtain
more votes in the Convention, from the
North and South together, than any
other candidate above named. Senator
Bayard appears to stand third on the list
of probabilities. If well supported at
first, he will receive a large support in
the South, many scattering votes in the
West, and divide the Pacific Coast States
with Gov. Tilden. We conclude that
Gov. Tilden cannot be nominated, since
if he should receive a majority of the
votes he would be defeated by the two
thirds rule. The bitter opposition to
him in the West and South on the
finance question. and because of the die
tatorial manners of his supporters, rem
der it almost certain that he cannot re-
ceive two thirds of the Convention. Civ
ing him the whole of New England, New
York, New Jersey, and all of the Pacific
Coast States, he would have still less
than one-third of the Convention. BY
combining with the Southern States, 1t
might be possible TO obtain a majority,
but the chances are against even this,
and we cannot find the least justification
for hope that he could obtain two-thirds,
owing to the uncompromising hostility,
which would not cease even with his
nomination.
Gov. Hayes Candidacy for the Republican
Nomination-The sherman Letter.
NV ashngton Cor. Chicago Inter Ocean.l
1t is becoming very apparent that /.
the Sherman letter was the bugle- call for
n very active and well-managed move
ment in favor of Hayes rs Presidential |.
candidate, and 1t appears that all men
ton of Hayes was kept out of the recent |
Republican Committee by a general un-
that he should not be pre-
sented as candidate unless the conven-
ton was located in Ohio. The cOnven- /
tion was carried there through the intlu-
ence of Messrs. Morton's and Bristow's |
supporters, but has been the means Of .
bringing out n formidable rival. There |
are now in Washington large number
of prominent Ohioans who are carrying
on simultaneously and Systematically a
very active canvass among those who are |
not supposed as yet to have made any |
advances with any of the proposed candi-
dates, ana from the fact that they spring |
up everywhere like mushrooms, it is the
opinion that the Sherman letter was only
waited for rs signal for the Hayes
to begin. a rumor is afoat
that Blaine is to be cajoled into submit
ting to nomination us Vice President
on the Hayes ticket, on the ground that
such combination would be invincible
but Mr. Blaine's friends say he will play
second fiddle to no one. The Morton
party are very much disturbed, and
scarcely see where the new movement is
going to leave them.