New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1876-11-07


Republican vote.
e. 1t is impossible learn with any degree of ac-
curacy how many Republican votes Mr. lllden VIII
receive The Republicans know very little on this
point and it has been impossible for them to learn
much. The reasons for this are apparent. II Re
publican mot Politician makes NJ his mind to vote
against his party candidates for any reason he does
not proclaim the fact from the houSe-tops, or even
tell the Republican ncighb0r whose lead he has been
accustomed to follow The Democrats may hear OF
it, Gov. Tildcns supporters base their hope of
large majority in the State to great extent on gains
of this kind which they expect to make. tmnh
they will be disappointed and yet know that some
who are counted in the Republican canvass for
HAYES and Wheeler will not vote for them. How
many of this class of men there are cannot say.
3D. The influence of the agitation, especially dur
ing the last ten days of the financial questions in
volyed in the campagn-the security of the public
debt the preservation of the public credit, the re-
sumption of specie payments and the payment of
Southern claims. The intense interest which the
discussion of these topics during the last few days
has excited is not confined TO NcW-lork CITY ana
Brooklyn. The leading business men of almost
every interior city and town have issued addresses
to their feow-ciizens similar in substance to that
put out in the metropolis and there can he no doubt
that widespread alarm exists throughout the state.
This will certainly have the effect oi bringing TO the
polls very full vote from this class of men, hut
whether it will cause the conversion of any Demo-
Gratis it is impossible to One thing Is certain,
and that Is that no subjects are 50 much talked
about now. The Republicans may also gain ind-
rectly by the influence Of business men and manu-
facturcrs on the persons whom they employ.
a. The effect of the anti-Tildrn sentiment in GER
tain portions If the state. This comes nearer being
,itl If he
ousy enumerated. At Syracuse and Rochester oppo-
sltion within the Democratic rank VIII certainly Ice
no stronger than it was last year against li.dcns
state ticket and think IL ma, probably weakened
a little In OSwcgo Tdrn has been gaining strength
in his own party in the last few DAYS and IN Lock
port and Buffalo the auti-Iidcu Democrat, are appa-
rently giving the National ticket earnest support
as those whom the Governor counts Us his friends.
On the whole | think the ant Ildcu movement
throughout the State is not strong rs II WAS
twelve months ago.
o. The use of money. The floating vote that
is, the number of men who hclo'g to no party CO..
whose allegiance To- parts Is not strong, and Whose
votes may he directly or indirectly influenced by
the use Of money. is larger thi, year than % las
been for % long time before. Many large mauufac-
turing establishments in the interior a. thc state
have either suspended operations or employ fewer
men and at less wages Thousand, oflahorup mcuIrr
ont Of employment or find their income, greatly zee
duccd. II i, llucntablc fact that circumstances
like these greatly increase the numbered yo,cr, Vh"
are purchasahlc and there Us q general suspicion
that Gov nldcu's friends viii hc iu the market to-
morrow morning with tine necessary funds.
o. The weather. rainy day would keep many
voter, whorcsdc i'm the country 9t hoWr tomorrow.
and the Republican loss from thi, cau,e would bee
greater than that of the Democrats.
The contest in thi, state has 90 outward appear
aucc, been the shortest of amy involving thc election
of 70 President in many years. The Democrat, we're
earliest in the field pcficctIug tu'r organization,
hut almost mo great demonstration was mI'r 10y
either party until after On. result I'm ohio ANA In
diana was known. Even then the campaign was
very slow in getting started, and in some counties
the people did not seem to DE fairly walked nap until
about ten days ago S.uc" that time 90 great portion
of the state has been actually abldI-"t1 torches
and excited with campaign ortory. The people
have not had time TO get tired e political mrring-,
and their Tendance upon them has been uuH-H"i'F
good Calm. candid discussion of th. Important
issues of the canvass Ina, been listened 90 with great
interest, showing that the people have been t.huh-
ing for themselves. and have been anxious 10 hear
what the speakers had 10 say.
If the vote tomorrow night is compared with shat
OF SD it will certainly show great Republican
losses i'm almost every part of the state Grant
majority in 1872 was %, 1876, MAJORITY which ""s
gained as much by the apathy of tine Democrat, as
by the strength of the Republicans. Hayes and
Wheeler can sustain a heavy o-S in this comparison
and still carry the state but if the returns show the
average los Of maioritcs i'm the Republican cour-
tie. to bc 30 per cent or greater the state viii @" for
Tildcn, unless the Democratic maouticS ln New
York and Brooklyn are smaller than they are now
estimated at. On the other hand, if the average
los, i'm the Republican couutc, Is less than 20 per
cent nothing but much larger Democratic majority
south of Harlem River than the Republicans have
been willing 10 concede will prevent the electoral
vote Of the state from ting east for Hayes and
Wheeler.
The most favorable reports for the Republicans
ought to be received from the strong COMMITTEES on
the northern borders, those along the line Of the
Central Railroad, beginning with Onondagl and
going west and generally from tine counties which are
naturally more strongly Republican. The largest
Democratic gains over 1872 will be u the counties
where the Democratic vote is proportiGualy strong
est and where the Bourb0ns refused 10 vote four
years ago because of Mr.. Greccys candidacy
Il. /. W.
THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
TIM ELECTION or 4 ErrUBuCAN CONGRESSMAN ~