Essex County herald. [volume] (Guildhall, Vt.) 1873-1964, 1876-03-11
Figuring out the Chances.

The ingenious arithmetic man OF the .
New York WOrld has taken hold OF the |
problem of Presidential prospects early /
and has figured out for the ediflcation OF
what he calls the"soft money palayercrs,"
that if the democracy OF st. Louis OH the !
27th of June puts hard-moncy platform
it is sure to win, and If is does the other
thing It is sure to lose. This is the way
it works it out. To start with, the latest
elections in all the States show the fol-
lowing results In New England, Maine,
New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts
and Rhode Island, good for 81 electoral
votes, were Republican, and Connecticut,
G votes, Democratic; in the Middle States,
Pennsylvania, 20 votes, Republican, and
in New York and New Jersey, A votes,
Democratic; Southern States, South Car
olina and FLORIDA, ii votes, Republican,
all the rest, l27 votes, Democratic; West
ern States, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin,
Minnesota, Nebraska, Kansas and Iowa,
81 votes, Republican, and Illinois and
Indiana, Sc votes, Democratic; Pacific
States, California, Nevada and Oregon,
u votes, all Democratic, and Colorado, 3
votes, Democratic. This makes fifteen
States with al electoral votes Republican
and twenty-five States, with 225 electoral
votes, affording liberal margin for losses
on the Democratic side. The World man
now assumes that with hard money
candidate and platform the Democrats
can count with certainty on all the South
ern States but South Carolina and Florida,
and on the Pacific States, which would
together throw l39 of the 500 electoral
votes, leaving only forty-six to be obtain
ed from other quarters, to give them the
majority. He is sure that the fifty electo-
raj votes of New York, New Jersey, and
Connecticut could be secured with hard
money candidate and platform, and that
they would be lost without. Then he
thinks that Illinois and Wisconsin with
their thirty-onc votes might also be de-
pended on. On the other hand he thinks
there is no combination of States that
can be made which would carry the cleo
ton for the Democrats with rag money
or ambiguous platform.
The latter conclusion is undoubtedly
correct and the former would be, on the
supposition that the Republican candidate
and platform were committed to anything
else than hard money. 1t will be well fol
Republicans as well as Democrats to make
a study of these figures. While the
World sets down the Western STATES as
Republican, and remarks that they are
ones Sin which ignorance, dishonesty
rot show Of Importance" it must be
remembered that Ohio and Wisconsin
were lost to the Republicans the same
year with Illinois and Indiana, from
causes having nothing to do with the cur
rency question and were recovered last
year, when that issue did come into oper
would have been recovered on the same
issue if there had been an election last
year, and that had entered into it as il
did in Ohio. The Republicans Of Indiana
have done their best to throw that State
away now,, but sound national platform
and nomination may save. ii IN the Presi
democrats absolutely dependent on the
Pacific States and New York, New Jersey
and Connecticut for victory, surprising
both parties to be standing an hard mon
principles, and the loss Of Nevada and
Oregon, or Of any other one of these
States would turn the scale against them
Now, all these States have been Republi
can, and might be again if the party
showed itself to be the party of live
ideas and progressive principles. Will
an Incorporating advocate of specie
payments, thoroughgoing reformer, {
faithful and approved public servant ant
man of broad views and magnanimous
sentiments by the name of Bri:tow for q
candidate, and platform in consonanct
with The character and sentiments of sucl
a candidate, it would stand an excellent
chance of carrying at least half the cleo
toraI votes of these doubtful States, arc
New York alone has, more than half OF
} them, and it might gam some which thu
} Democrats are counting upon as certain
AS we have repeatedly said in the last two
years, the party is going to win in this
campaign which is sound on the fnancia
issues. If both should adopt hard-money
principles, it would depend largely on thu
character of the candidate and the spirit
r displayed on the all-important matter O
: national harmony and local selt-govern
n ment.
POSITIVE RESULTS. There are hume.
rous remidies that cure sometimes anC
, become trusted as useful, but none have
ever proved so ehectual-cured so many
and such remarkable cascs-as DR.. Ayers