The New York herald., 1876-10-12
Now York CITY ana st.te-rhs Chief

The elections in Ohio and Indiana make
SO little change in the political prospect IN
other States and leave the general re-
suit in November SO uncertain that both
parties will make desperate efforts to carry
the few doubtful States on which the Presi-
Dental election will now turn. Among
these States New York holds the first place.
Neither party has any reasonable chance of
success if it loses the Empire State and Its
thirty-five electoral votes. The democratic
party will be pretty strong in New York II
it should secure large majority IN tins
city, but otherwise it cannot carry
the State, and the loss of this State would
be fatal. The Presidential election seems
likely to turn on very small pivot. 1t will
depend on New York State, and the result
in the State will, in turn, depend on the
vote of this city, which brings it down to
very fine point. That the Presidential cleo
tion will now be decided by the electoral votes
of New York must be universally conceded,
but it may not be quite 80 clear to all demo-
Gratis that their ability to carry the State de-
pends on the vote of the city. brief ex-
animation of the election returns of the last
few years will, however, make this sufi-
ciently apparent.
The democratic party has never, of late
years, had a majority in this State outside
of the city, except in 1874, which was the
exceptional year of the "tidal wave" The
whole drift of things shows that this is not
such year. But even with the great advan-
tage, of the surprising tidal wave Mr.. Tilden
would have had but lean majority in 1874
apart from the city of New York. In that year
his majority in the city was about forty-three
thousand, and in the State at large only
about seven thousand more. We have no
do7bt at all that this year the republicans
will have large majority outside of the city,
and the only chance of carrying the State
for Tilden lies in consolidating and strength
ening the city democracy. Last year
the democratic majority in the city
was only thirty thousand, and
the democratic majority in the State fell
to about fourteen thousand from fifty
thousand the preceding year. If the stay
at-home republican vote had come to the
polls, as it is certain to do this year,
the democratic party would have lost the
State last year by large majority. In
1873 the democratic majority in the city
was thirty-four thousand and the democrats
carried the State by only nine thousand
eight hundred, with the aid of q large
liberal republican vote, which has now gone
back to its old political associations. The
butt end, SO to speak, of the democratic
party in this State is its possible majority
in the metropolis, and there is great danger
that it will be given away by the stolid self
will and rule-or-ruin obstinacy of the Tam
many Boss.
If the democratic party fails to carry New
York in November the responsibility for de-
feat will be fastened on Mr.. John Kelly.
His mortifying discontinue last year ought
to teach Mr. Kelly lesson. Recorder
Hackett was taken up by the people and
elected by twenty-seven thousand majority
against Mr.. Kellys candidate. Mr.. Green
may give him similar humiliation this
year if he insists on running my candi-
date" Mr.. Green has his faults. but as be-
tween him and Mr.. Kelly's personal favorite
for Mayor we have no doubt that Mr.. Green
would be elected.
Apart from other grounds of preference
Mr.. Green is not exposed to the suspicion Of
being puppet of the Tammany Boss who
would dance as his master pulled the wires.
'My candidate" could not escape this sus-
picion, and the people desire a Mayor on
whom they can fix the responsibility of his
official acts. They are not willing that John
with power to dodge all responsibility for
the bad measures he would inspire. If Mr..
Kelly had had the courage and manliness
two years ago to step forward in person and
present himself as q candidate for the
Mayoralty he might have been elected ms
he would be a played-out politician.
The people have CONS to understand his
game. They are heartily sick of Mayor
behind mask. They are impatient of n
farce which leaves ability to hold only the
mask responsible and to turn it out of Office
in a new election, letting Monsieur Ton
son come egain" wearing o new mask. Mr..
Green would be the real as we'll as the osten-
sible Mayor of the city. In spite of his i'm
puted faults of temper the people would
prefer him to another of John Kelly's pup
pets They loathe the sham of Mayor who
is the tool of politician behind the scenes.
If Mr. Green is elected it will be by COM
bination of all citizens opposed to Tam
many, including the republican party of the
city. Such o combination would split and
disintegrate the democracy and de-
stroy Mr.. Tilden's chances of carry
ing the State in so close IN elec-
ton as that before us. This great
danger can be averted if the city democracy
will pour scorn on the "my candidate" busi-