New-York tribune., 1876-11-02

no. perish the thOught-but Tor " bringing out tne
voters" and buying mules" The Democrats have
had but few public meetings except here in New
Haven, where the election of city officers increases
the interest and swells the enthusiasm. They are
confident of carrying the State though they admit
that there will he large falling off from their ma
Jority last Spring. when Gov lngersOll had 1900
over Robinson. Their most favorable estimates
and they have nothing but estimates 10 60 upon
give them between 900 and 600 majority IN the
State. They expect to keep the Congressional rep
rcsentation at present, three Democrats ana one
Republican. The lid and IVth are, | suppose,
reasonably sure for them; but in the lst Cen Haw-
leys friends hopeful if not confident falr es-
innate of his chances il that he will come into Hart
ford with go majority; and if the Hartford Demo
Gratis do not overcome that, he will be elected.
The best Republican estimate gives the Democrats
the State by small majority, though politicians OF
hopeful disposition, who are familiar with the
situation, believe that they have an even chance
with the Democrats. 1t is fact upon which sup
pose no comment is necessary that in the judgment
of the Republican politicians they could carry the
State easily with $40 O00." charitable construc-
ton TO put upon their refusal TO devote that anouht
to the purpose is that they opposed to the use oi
money IN elections. Still suspect the fact thnt tlcy
haven't cot it, and can't raise 1t, may have some
thing to do with it, The Republicans are counting
upon wipng out the Democratic majority of 100
in Fairfield County, cutting down the majority III
Litchfed County from 300 To less than ,oOo get
ting n small Republican majority in Middlesex
County which last Spring was 400 against thcm
changing Tolland County from 2lO Democratic to
800 Republican, cutting down Hartford County
from roo Democratic to nothing, increasing the
Republican majority in Windham County from GOO
TO 300 and changing NewLoudon County from
500 Democratic to COO Republican. This leaves out
New Haven County, which gave 2,lOO Democratic
majority last year The result there depends
upon the City of New-lIaycn, where the Demo-
Gratis claim anywhere from 1000 to $500 and
the ReDuhlicans cOuccdc them from 200 to 1000.
The Liberals in this State who have been voting the
Democratic ticket pretty regularly for the past four
years are generally supporting the Republican
ticket. This is particularly the case In Fairfield
County, where the Liberals were exceptionally
strong and the large gains expected in that section
are due TO the return of the Liberals to the old
party In Stamford am told that of POI Liberal
Republicans who voted for Mr. Greeley in 1872 all
but three will vote Tor Hayes and Wheeler and the
Republican Stale ticket This is sad to bc fair
indication of the changes that have been going on,
and il is upon this feature of the situation and the
expectation Of bringing ont hundreds of Republic
cans who have not voted for two or three years past
that the hope of overcoming the Democratic major
ty j. based. From a somewhat careful survey oil
tn, field aud comparison of the view and estimates
of competent judges on both slides. think it quite
likely that the two tickets will come 90 Ncw-laycn
neck and neck. and the majority given IN this city
will be- about the figures by which they will carry
the State. OF couI,c the Republican, must do bet
ter than th, to succeed. II is possible they may,
though do not consider il probable.
lam inclined to think the Republicans viii gain
one Congressman, electing Ilawlcy over Laudcrs in
the I,t district The Id and IVth quite certain
for the Democrats. Mr.. Waller late Speaker of
the House. Is running for Congress on the h'ruo-
cratic side in the lid district, and has been making
a lively canvass of the district in sensational way,
driving about from town 20 town with foui-lor-c
team and a wagon-load Of Rcfurm.r,. lie claims to
have made very satisfactory impression. though
his opponents insist that II has been very rdicu-
Ions failure. lie has chance of success. Tie
present member, Col. Wait, will bc elected by a
handsome majority. 1t il mentioned A. one Of TIE
incidents of the canvass that Republican
speakers in LtchGcld County, whore Sen
ator William II. Barnum resides, are IN
va,ahly cautioned against saying anything
severe about BImum. In connection with that fact
if NAV be remarked that the canvass Of that county
made some weeks ago showed about - per cent Of
in voters IN the doubtful list. THOSE wc.e men who
had not made up their minds were waiting, &c.
These two Gicts illustrate the condition Of public
sentiment IN that section aud the effect which Mr.
Barnum, peculiar political method, hay, had upon
it, He has first and last, bought great many mules
in that county. Voters up that way don't like to
commit themselves until they know whether he Is
buviug mules this year and a. what price.
Ii is understood that Mr. Hubbard VII be ap-
pointed Minister to France in the event of lildcns
election. Ia case the Democratic State ticket IS
elected this will leave Col. +. Is. LOOMS, the caud
date for Licutonan;-Goyernor in the Governors
chair II was upon this understanding that the lat
ter consented to accept the second place on the
ticket: Mr. Hubbard would make ancxccllcnt Min
istcr 10 France, but Col. Loomis for Governor IS
quite a different thing II may be worth while for
the voter 10 consider that aspect OF the case.