New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1876-10-09

been greatly overestimated In Cleveland the Dem
ocrats will gam largely or rather, they Will REGAIN
what they lost last year, getting their former Ger
man allies back again. The Republican Germans
remain Republicans there and here and everywhere,
as far as can be learned. Three thousand votes Is
liberal estimate of all gains from this source.
Fourth Money and organization. In this regard
they are unquestionably strong. Funds have been
plentfully supplied from Tden's private barrel and
from the big hogshoad of the Democratic National
Committee Ali stories about large amounts of
money spent by the Republicans are inventions. 1t
would surprise Republicans in the East TO learn how
little the Republican State Committee has had to
disburse and how small a sum covers the OUTLAWS OF
the important local Republican canvass here in
Cincinnati. The Democrats will put out at least
two dollars to then OppOnens one. They are hight
ing here and in Indiana for chance TO night III NO
vember, aud are making a desperate effort to carry
one of the two States. Ohio they hoped to gam by
the use of money, an effective organization, ana
quiet canvass; Indiana by noise, show ana excite
meut The latter they deemed Democratic state
if they coud work their party up to the needed
pitch of enthusiasm, while they knew the former
was a Republican State, only to be stolen away on
the Sly.
The confidence Of the Republicans has increased
constantly since | was here a week ago. They leel
sure of their ground and know that their party Is
thoroughly aroused and will poll its fuil strength
| find no wcll-nformed Republicans now who doubt
that Col. Barnes will be elected, nor there any
who think he is going to slip through by a nght
squeeze. as was thought fortnight since was the
best that could be expected. OF dozen opinions
ftom valuable sources on the probable result Will
give two. Murat Halstead estimates Mr.. Barness
majority at from 5000 to 5000, and that OF the
other candidates on the ticket ut about 10000 :;
auI he thinks the m1Iorities in the Congress
districts VIII aggregate 1000 or 5000 more
His theory is. that the democrats VIII gam
i'm the twelve counties where tine Republicans
made gains last wear on the vote of October. 1872
(cxcepting Hamilton County,, and that the RepnD-
leans will gain in the 20 counties where the Demo-
Gratis gained last Fall In other words, the ten0oncy
will be for party lines TO reestablish themseive
about where they were In 1872, before the money
question came in to unSettle them. The Republican
plurality in October 1872. was 14,147, and Mr..
Hastead thinks it will approach tia; figure this
year. Judge Stanley Matthews believes that the
Republican majority is going to surprise even The
most sanguine. Tho considerations urged by
all Republicans as reasons for their confidence that
victory is going to be on their side next Tuesday
may be grouped under four heads, as follows
ITrst: The State has been steadily Republican
when national questions were az issue ever SINCE
1886. 1t has never been lost except IN " of years
when a Democratic success did not threaten the
maintenance of the general policy OF the Government
on the important questions holding the Republican
party together. There are no more indications now
of a willingness to put the National Administration
into the hands of the Democrats than there were
four years ago-not as many in fact for then there
were IS 900 Liberal Republicans enlisted mdcr the
banner OF Greeley and Reconciliation" none OF
whom, except Gen. Brukeghof and Judge lloaily,
are known to be fighting now for 'Tidcn and Re
form"
Sfclpd: There is more feeling about the league Of
the Democracy with the solid South than there has
been over any question in politics since Andrew
johnson tried to block reconstruction. The people
are thoroughly alarmed at the prosacct Of tine cx-
rebels dcspoiling the treasury to compensate thcn-
selves for their losses in the war Thousands OF
voters who year ago didn't care button for either
party. came back in the Republican ranks at sight
# this new danger, and are the most Jealous work
ers the party has.
Third: The prospects, general and local, are eX-
ceedingy bright Several test towns in different
counties have been polled, with the uydrable result
of considerable gains on the Republican vote Of last
year. Cincinnati, always critical point, is IN eX-
cecnt condition, and unless the Democrats resort
to the direct purchase of votes will largely increase
its majority Of last year. Cleveland is the only bad
spot in the whole State, and there the Re
publican party win lose no regular Re-
publican votes. The sweeping revolution in
the foreign vote which occurred last
year is not pcrmancnt-tEat is all. Parties go back
to their relative strength in 1872, exactly in accord
ance with Mr. alstead's philosophy Of the present
contest. The Democratic party went ITS length
in Ohio in 1879. As national issue growing out Of
the war it is fatally weak With the solitary cX-
ception of Cuyahoga County there is not a county in
the State where it has any reason to look for i'm
portant gains on its last years vote, while the Re
pubcans confidently, and with reason, look for
gains from all quarters. EVs.