New-York tribune., 1876-10-13
CAUSE OF DEFEAT IN INDIANA.

THE GRFgNBACK VOTE DOES 1.-THE MAJORITY oNLi
2OOO-rHE STATE CAN BE CARRIED FOR HAYES
IN NOVEMBER.
lBY TELEGRAPH TO THE TRIBUNE.I
INDIANAPOLIS, Oct. 12.-The untrustworthineSs OF
Indiana election returns ought TO pass into prOyerb
among politicians Last night all the Republicans
rert home AT IL o'clock cOnceding Williams's cleo
ton by 8 900 or 1000 majority, except the Chair
man and Secretary of the Central Committee The
Democratic Committee fed an excited crowd gath
cred under their windows until past midnight with
announcements of big maiortieS in towns and coun-
tes and inflated estimates of Wil'iams's total ma
iority in the State. BY l o'clock they had set up
their figures from 5000 to 1000, and finally to
10000 Until nearly daybreak the streets were up
roarious with cheers for Blue Jeaus." intoxicated
with good news and whisky, the Democrats made
n Jolly night Of it. This morning Gen. Manson in
sisted that Williamss majority would be between
1000 and G,0OO. He still sticks to his estimate,
and thinks he has the returns to bear him ont.
But Democratic reports are not al all trustworthy
tendency TO eXaggeration and an aptitude for
inaccurate calculations characteristics of that
party The Associated Press reports, no longer
based or double calculation of gains and losses
reported ON the vote of 1872 and 1874. but on the
county majOrites returned, give no reason to an
tcpate a much larger majority for Williams than
Hendricks received in 1872. 1t has not been until
evening to-day that the Republicans have aban-
dOned all hope Of pulling Harrison through. Re
memberng the experience of 1868, when 1t took
three weeks to ascertain who was elected. and of
1872 when the result was not known for SIX days,
they were not willing to give up beaten until tie
returns from ~ counties came in and there were
only 20 to hear from. 1t can now be said with GER
tanty that Williams is elected by majority rang
ing pretty close to 1000, which may run up to
5000.
Very few Of the towns have taken the trouble to
report the grecnback vote. / suspect that when it
is summed up it viii be found nearly if not Quite
large enough to account for Harrisons defeat. The
withdrawal Of WOlcott probably broke the ndepend
ent party in UwO One-half dissolved into its original
elements but the other half stuck. Ii was made up
Of at least two Republicans to one Democrat. IT,
therefore the party mustered only 10000 voters, it
worked a net loss to Harrison Of over 5000. /
should not be surprised if the proportion of Repubh-
cans to Democrats who clng to the organization TO
the last was as great as three to one, because the
visionary doctTinaires who believe that the exchange
of kind of irredeemable paper for another would
bring about political millennium nearly all came
out of tie Republican party. These like all fanatics,
were stubborn, and would not give way. The con-
verts from Democracy were too stupid to grasp the
intricacies of the $3.50 scheme and only embraced
the new faith because it promised TO make money
plenty. This element was much more easily coaxed
back TO its old party love. If Harrison is beaten by
not over 5000 it WILL think, be fair to conclude
that the grecnbackers are responsible.
Indiana can yet he carried for Hayes if deter
mined effort is made Both parties always spend all
their money the State election and then fall back
in an exhausted and inactive condition and allow
The November election to be decided by the result Of
the October struggle. This year may be an excep-
ton to the rule. After fortnight of quiet the Re
publicans may reopen the canvass, inspired by the
belief that they have good chance TO turn their de-
feat into final victory. The majority against them,
If only two or three thousand in total vote of
100000 ought not to 1be looked upon as a serious
reverse