The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1876-06-14

Tho Latest Phases NJ Cincinnati.
Yesterday was busy day at Cincinnati,
but the intriguing activity Of the friends OF
marked change in the situation. The Blaine
managers profess increased confidence, but
the only visible improvement in the pros
poets Of their candidate on the first ballot
consists in the removal Of previous misgiv-
ings as to the steadfastness of his original
supporters. It is supposed that Blaine will
hold all the delegates that were expected to
vote for him at the time of their election;
and if SO he will make formidable show
on the first ballot. But he will nevertheless
lack something like q hundred votes Of
majority. The only encouraging sign
for him after the first ballot is the
action of the Pennsylvania delegation
the Pennsylvania proceedings according
to their wishes. and overrate their impor-
lance. What the Pennsylvania delegates
decided was that their votes should be cast
rs a unit and continue to be given for Hart
ranft until twenty members of the delegn-
ton wished to retire for consultation. This,
on its face, is merely provision against vast
ing the influence of the State on Hartranft
after the time comes for making it efficient.
The fact that they retire to consult will prove
nothing rs to the result of the conference
Twenty men can lead the horse to the water,
but it will require thirty to make him drink
The delegation can be changed from Hart
fo l,vo mn
jority, and thirty is tho smallest number that
makes q majority of ffty-eight. 1t is
possible that the Pennsylvania delegation
may retire to consult several times before
majority consents to desert Hartranft. If
they should stand by him beyond the third
ballot the prospect is that Blaine will be out
of the field by that time and the delegation
be given to some other candidate when it is
transferred. Unless Blaine makes decided
gains on the second ballot his forces will
break and scatter.
1t became still moro evident yesterday
than it was before that neither Morton nor
Bristow has any chance of the nomination.
The greater part Of the Morton delegates are
expected to go over to Conkling but Bris-
tow has strong New England support, and
this part of his forces will probably vote for
Hayes and give him q nucleus around which
some other broken delegations may rally,
particularly the Blaine delegations of the
Northwest. The contest will then lie be-
tween Hayes and Conkling, and if the Penn
sylvania delegation is kept to Hartranft up
to that time it will hold the balance between
these two, and can give the victory to either.
In such q conjuncture it might prefer Hayes
if his friends would agree to support Hart
ranft for the Vice Presidency. Otherwise
it would be more likely to 60 to Conkling.
The Conkling forces will be ably
mannuvred throughout, and will depend
for success chiefly on good generalship. The
ability of Conkling to carry New York
without which no candidate can be elected
is the strongest point in his canvass. It is
certain that Blaine would have no chance in
New York against Governor Tilden running
on the democratic side. If the Governor
had the selection Of his competitor he would
prefer Blaine to any other republican, for
against no other could his claim as re-
former-which is the chief foundation Of his
strength--be SO effective. Next to Conkling
Hayes Qeaving Washburne out of theques-
tion) would have the best chance in New
York against Governor Tilden. but it would
be solely in consequence of great victory
in the October election in Ohio, whose
prestige would strengthen and encourage
the republican party in all the other States,
Governor Tilden is so unpopular with the
Ohio democracy that great republican tri-
umph in that State would be easy with
Hayes on one side and Tilden on the other,
and this would damage Tilden and help
Hayes in New York. But even then it is
doubtful if Hayes could carry the
State, whereas republican victory would
be reasonably certain with Conkling as the
republican candidate.