The New York herald., 1876-09-20
VIEWS OF STATE POLITICIANS.
Facts and Figures on Which Her Vote is
Claimed by Both Parties
GERMAN AND LIBERAL ELEMENTS.
How They Are Counted Upon to
Decide the Doubtful Issue.

observed that clements in this city in such
strength 10 materially affect the political bias taId
perhaps the resut in the State These are the largo
German vote and the great proportion OF the popula-
ton of kentucky birth predictions and prcjudces
II the drift of public sentiment sets these two elc-
ments in tho same channel then you may look out for
m overwhelming result at the polls Four years ago
Cincinnati was emphaticaly liberalized Whether tho
LIBERAL REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION
attracted to Cincinnati because OF the preponder
OF that sentiment here whether II grew TO its
subsequent commanding force as a consequence OF the
assembling OF tho Convention in this city able
To say; but believe IL fact that in other city
locality in the whole country did the "Greeey move
ment" make such inroads on the Grant party in
Cincinnati The Germans under tho leadership OF tho
BRILLIANT nAsAUREK,
and his able German daily, the VoLs6at voted largely
for honest old Horace, and Field Marshal Hastead
marshaed and mobnzcd the conservative and liberal
minded reform republicans OF the old guard. Tho
Kentucky conservatism centralized ITSELF and tho COM
binaton resulted in sweeping the Queen City for Gree
ley by thousands 1t had gone largely for Grant at
The previous Presidential election. That year, 1872
The present republican candidate for President Gov
ernor Hayes, was
BEATEN FOR THE FIRST TIME,
by General Banning, liberal republican, in the for
Congress- the Second district of Cincinnati and Hon.
Milton Saylcr triumphed Hon. Ben Egges-
ton in the First district 1t Waterloo defeat for
Queen CITY repubicanism. In 1874 Cincinnati again
Sguazed its adhesion to liberalism and antGrantsm
by sweeping majority. To go into numerical dotails
In 1872 Hon Milton sayer, democrat carried the First
district by 3 500 majority in total poll OF u, ,379 The
same year General Banning, liberal. won his race by
l50O majority total poll OF 20 500 The largest
overcast tho Queen City recorded for 1S72-a total
of 4l945 Congress- and for Greeley "A 941 and for
Grant 90 0S3. total for President of 45 024 Greeley
carried Cincinnati by 4, s57 L. S. Grant. That
ihs was grand and genuine liberal republican victory
per Sc is made indspuaby clear by stating the Prcs
Dental figures of the previous campaign. In 1865
GRANT CARRIED CINCINNATI
by the handsome majority OF 5 399 He received "a 16T
votes to 1s res cast for Horaiio Seymour Thus 1t Is
that his friends numerically contracted in this
city from a. in 1SGS 0S3 1S72-a falling or
of over 1000; whic the opposition correspond
ingy increased from Is. 7GS lS6S to 2i 941 in 1S72a
total ofo, ,l73 In 1872 Greeley aggregate vote in
Cincinnati was about 500 in excess of the October lib
era republican on Congressme
In 1873 there a large shrinkage in the aggregate
vote, that Governor being 7s4 for old Bill Allen
and ,02l for General Noyes. Allen ''holding the or
perceived. This II 600 short OF the Pres
dentml year before. You will remember that
Allen chosen Governor while all the remainder of
the State ticket nominated by the republicans
cessiul with majorlties ranging from III for State
Treasurer to 1854 for member Public Works Board.
Tho campaign of 1s7! was exciting in Ohio and In
diana Hoosicrdon gave n signal victory for the de-
mocracy and ''change" Cincinnati maintained her
lntGrant status OF 1872. Saylcr received 4,3i4 ma
lority, and Banning returned bv 535. Both had
increased their majortcs 1872, salor by s45 and
Banning by SO But the aggregate vote Of 1874 was
nearly :. 900 less than In 1872
Last year another Gubcrnatoral campaign Pc-
cuar 'homc ruo' matters luggcd into the
roversy, the most conspicuous being the raised
by the republicans that Roman Catholicism was max
ing insidous attack tho free school system; and
bhe 'crusade" business The former was so adroitly
manipulated to all the latent prejudice that
such misstated and msconstrued problem would
naturally create, and thousands of German ''Turncrs
and Protestant Germans whose predictions demo-
cratic, wheeled into what for the time, assumed to no
shc fanatcal scctarian party known anti-Popery.
The soft hard money theories took partisan shape
800 and on that distinctive question thousands OF
scrman democrats voted for Hayes against Allen.
Hayes 20 G37 and Alicn 10 oJ6 votes
Cincinnati This total OF c, 600 in or
Ihe total ballot for Governor two years BEFORE and
within 900 OF the total Congressman in 1872.
Hayes received vote 500 In OF Grants in 1872
while Allen fell 500 below that for Greeley
three years previously But upon tho basis of a cor
anal ysis OF the ballot OF 1875 the peculiar
nucnces excrted in directing H. IL is SIMPLY impossible
centennial campaign Some of the
STATISTICAL ORGAN EDIToRs-
that small but excessively accurate class of profound
reasoners who always speak ngure-ativoy. OF which
the late Mr. Boss Of the Enquirer, and old Mr. 'E ID.
NJ" OF the Gasette, OF THIS city, are conspicuous ex
ampcs-allure the public by the broad statement that
Ohio sure to this way or certain to 30 that
way. The TACT is ONO mas shown her ability 10 vote
as spasmodicaiy ludiann. During the last of
years her largc tios have been prorcpubIcan,
and range from the 100 900 by which ballot box quie
tus put poor Vailandirh ham, "watng over The
border to the sod aggregates east for each republican
Presidential candidate from Fremont 10 Grant In lSI2
SIX HUNDRED THOUSAND VOTES
this impending election. Ia 1872 the republican cand-
cato Tor Secretary OF state received about Ia 900 ma
ority, nifty and one.thlrd cent, 10 ory.
and iwo-thirds per cent cast lor the democracy In
1873 Alien. democrat, elected Governor by nearly
1000 majority, IN poll OF over 400, coo voesa hiue
above my per cent OF the total vote In 1874 Bell,
democrat chosen Secretary Of state by 900
majority his party obtaining about nfty-two per cent
OF the vote cast In 1875 Hayes elected Governor
by $40 majority, IN total ballot of 592 OOO-he
eeving little less than nityonc per cent OF the ae
vote with these details Of recent results be-
fore us cannot ONO be reasonably cassed as an un-
certain StateY Tho opposing corlbatants hold such
even equpoIse t6ward eacn other that extraordi
nary or unusual Influence lorcibiy eXerted may
RESULT ~ DISASTER
10 and victory to the other political organization.
"where will the liberal republican vote OF ONO 20 this
sampaignYh is serious and oftcn-asSed question.
Decidedly the indication IS that the lions share OF II
will be east for Hayes in November Whether this
Presidential bias will DO FIRST uuhzed in October
election Is not 20 clear Among the prominent liberal
republicans OF 1872 IN Cincinnati General Jacob
d. Cox ex Secretary OF the Interior Grants Cab:-
not; Stanley Matthews Temporary Chairman OF the
Liberal Republican National Convention here in May,
1877, aiterward Grantizcc, unable to stomach Dr.
Broeleyl, Field Marshal Aurat Halstead, General
Brinkerhon, Colonel MArkbrisht Frederick Hasaurek,
Colonel Jimmy Fitzgerald General Banning and Judges
ssadey kitterldge ana stallo. Then the commercial
md its wIdeawake editors, Hastcad aud Pimpion,
md the German daily rolksbidu aud It's brilliant edi-
;or Frederick Hasaurek, were doing yeoInan
against tho party Of Grant Morton, Babcock, Boss
Shepherd n Co. Now Cox, Matthews, Halstesd, Mark
bright and both the Commercial and IoksJidH, are
vaantly supporting Hayes. Hasaurck has lied to
Europe. Jimmy Fitzgerald is ohie OF the CITY Fathers
by democratic msgnanmity, Banning is max.
ing HIS third race for Congress and Hoad-
10y is advocating Tilden, Hendricks and reform
from the stump. General Banning is, beneve, tho
only OF note who insists any distinctive merit