New-York tribune., 1876-05-06
THE PRESIDENCY.
PROSPECTS OF THE CANDIDATES.

PROSPECTS OF THE CANDIDATES.
WORK OF REPUBLICAN CONVENTIONS IN TWENTY
STATES AND THREE TERRIToRIEs-THE SUPPORT
THEY HAVE GIVEN EACH cANDIDATE-BLAINE
FIRST, MORTON SECOND. CoNKIING THIRD.
HARTRANFr FOURTH, BRIsrow FIFTH, HAYES
SIXTH. JEWELL sEvENTH-DEMocRATro con-
yENTIoYs IN ELEVEN sTATEs-FEw INSTRUCTED
DEIEGATEs-TILDEN FIRST, HENDRICKS SECOND,
BAYARD THIRD.
Iyp to the present date the Republicans have held
Conventions in 20 States and Territories. The re-
naming l6 States all small, excepting Illinois
and Missouri. The States and Territories which
have held Conventions represent 40 votes IN the
Convention Those that are still to hold Convcn-
tons represent only 34i votes. If the Territories
are allowed to vote as they have been for the past
IL years, it will require 37s votes to nominate.
The most generous consideration of any of the prom
inent candidates claims VIII show that no one OF
them can count on that amount of support. Mr..
Blaine comes the nearest to it, yet he has only 13a
votes and gets those only by counting the Pennsyl-
yania and other delegations which he expects Will
come to him after the favorte son" business is dis
posed of. His friends claim much more for him than
the figures below give him, but they do SO largely
on hearsay evidence. In his case, as Ill that OK
all the other candidates the statements given below
are founded upon the most trustworthy evidence
attainabe. 1t is not claimed that the estimates arc
correct in all instances, but they as nearly so AZ
is possible to make them. In estimating the strength
OF candidates care has been taken to give each one
all he has grounds for claiming, and the final sum-
ming NJ represents his strength not on the first
ballot but more especially the ballots following
the abandonment of the fayorite sons" 1t will be
seen that the actual pledged vote of any candidate
is not large and that an overwhelming majority OF
the delegates are unhampered by instructions or
pledges of any Kind. In all cases where the dele
gates are divided between two candidates, each has
been given an equal number of votes as this IS the
only way by which even an approximate estimate
can be formed Some Of the votes in the final table
are counted twice, the first and subsequent ballots
are included. According to this estimate MIR. Blaine
has 27 delegates instructed for him and claims 1O6
more making I3a in all. Senator Morton has 90
instructed for him and claims 34 more, making
% in all. Senator Conkling has total strength
of 30 votes including large part of the New-York
delegation, which cannot be counted on surely for
him after the first ballot Gov. Hartranft has SS
instructed votes and strength after the first bal
lot. Secretary Brstow has only two votes in
structod for him, but bis friends claim f3 more
scattered about in the various States, which will be
likely to show on the first ballot Ii il impossible to
estimate his strength on subsequent ballots. as 1t Ia
! entirely uuofganized, and depends chiefly on the
popular pressure brought upon the Convention.
Gov Hayes has the "A instructed votes OF Ohio, aud
no Others Postmaster-Gcneral Jewell has 10 of the
! Connecticut votes, and no others.
On the Democratic side the work is much less adj
/ vanced. Only ii States have held Conventions,
/ representing 212 votes. OF the delegates elected
only few have been instructed at ALL and the party
press has been extremely reticent in giving the per-
sonal preferences of the delegate Gov. Tilden
stands at the head, with the 20 votes of New-York
| instructed for him, and claims iS other votes,
making II ) in all Gov. Hendricks has the Indiana
delegation of 30 pledged to him, and claims the %
from Pennsylvania. Senator Bayard has only
! possible six from Connecticut.