New-York tribune., 1875-07-26

far changed that the decree prohibiting expectation
Of horses may be withdrawn. This measure OF tho
German Government which was adopted In the carry
days Of March, be regarded the beginning OF the
warlke period The withdrawal OF the decree Is the END
of that term The space time between these decrees
which affect the most important kind of war material
short but it full of significance more so prona
bly,. than has generally been believed. The troubled
waters have yet become entirely tranquil so that
many OF incidents Of the last week two cannot be
clearly appreciated. But there some points which
are distinct that great assistance given tn forming
just estimate Of the situation OF affairs.
In this crisis entirely di nct phases con be dscov
cred which however are closely related to each other
One begins with the decree prohibiting the exportaoh
of horses from Germany, includes the meeting OF the
Emperor of Austria with the King of Italy ana inc
alarming tone Of OF the Berlin Journals and 1t ex
tends beginning of May. when Count Schouwaiow'
the Russian ambassador TO England, arrived III bern.
II Is probably not improper to designate TINS pcrioa as
that of German action 1t started ont with TWO eVen's "
equal importance-the publication OF the Papal Ency-
cca OF the 18th Of February in which the nu'S oi o
Prissian ecclesiastical laws was proclaimed anu 'ho
adoption of the resolution in the National Assembly at
saes in regard TO the organization OF the frehcn
army Apparently these two acts haa no co"-
nection. Both political circles and pubic OPINION
in Germany, however, agree that there was u
close relation between these things. Ihe sau-
dest chapters Of history teach that rolitica
and ecclesiastical questions cannot be separated II IL,
therefore wonder If the efforts of France to regain her
former military preponderancc should be brought III
sngularly way together with the efforts OF he
Vatican to overthrow the power of Germany. say
snguarly narrow because II is difficult to believe tat
healthy, strong France, comprehending ts political m
yotance can consent wage in the service OF the
Vatican Politics however, do not take the phosolh-
cal teachings OF history into account bat i0iloW ue cur
rents of the present, which point TO an alliance OF the
Uramontanes ambitious Of power with France desr-
of revenge. The task Of Germany must be 10 act
simultaneously against both opponents, and II not TO
dissolve their alliance. at least to weaken the'n
and isolate them a. nearly IA possible. be-
licve l not in error when l mention th's
as the object Of Germany in the above mentioned
period of German action. which, OF course, proceeded
from the assumption that the preservation OF peace was
necessary but which could not entirely leave OUT o COZ"
sdcration the event OF war.
1t il difficult deny that this action was not always
sbllful that perhaps, by not drawing so much upon
diplomacy and journalism, favorable results might nave
been attained still the advantages derived were great
greater even than has generally been bchevec although
they cannot well be compared with decisive battles as
with preparatory sraegcal a tangible re-
suit is the uld0ubcd circumstance that the Organization
OF the French army l. prOco. ding with less cecr.y III
,hs CO the time which Is won Of nEc importance
There prospect that the more slowly France carries
on her military preparations. much 1noc reason Is
there to expect that calm reflection and stronger IN
clinaton toward peace will take the place ~ tie present
irritation This relative advantage be placed beside
another more decided one-that thereby Germany VIII
have time to carry the contest with UlTamo''asi'
The Ultramonanes count upon warike c"iriicai!ohS;
everything which tends if not to render these con-
pications impossible, at least to postpone them
| to a distant time, is therefore adyam-
tsceous to the opponents of the Ul;Ia.nollianes
These opponents employ their time by legislative
measures they do employ their advantages in this
way ia shown in the onactments in Prussia curing this
period of cxcement, BY which the Ultranonanes were
attacked at their most vulnerable points.
At the same time another effective blow was struck al
tle UItTanontanes. In the Vatican political geography
has very carefully studied The value OF be gum,
which il wed ged ia between France and Germany add III
which the UitgamOntanes might collect their troops and
make assaults in the neighbOrng States, has been wei
understood Since the Papacy has ceased to bo strong
power of the world it deveOpa hostile inclination
without being subjected 70 direct repisa Lay powers
cannot send feet to Ancona or occupy Rome. The
struggle therefore, so far ~ 1t can take place III
political field. be directed against the ccner but
against the periphery of Uitramonanism In this sense
the important point Belgium, whose Government
is an instrument OF the Vatican In the Belgian episode
the German policy far successful that the Bo'gn
Government declared itself disposed TO favor change
OF the Belgian penal laws in the sense when Germany
desired What is more important is the fac. tha the III
excsahc state affairs in belgium has been brought 10
light and thai this little kingdom has ceased TO be the
unilsutcd domain OF UnrgInontanism, which must
have ~ at trouble in retaining position where formerly
il believed its authority unlimited.
So far specific results the policy Of Germany dis
ce,ilc AT the end Of period tlat IS until lie
beginning OF May it appeared as If Bismarcks d'pO-
matte campaign completely succeasiul. Still the
reverse Of this picture must also be taken into cOusidcr
ton Tie second phase, which includes The time from
arrival Of the Emperor Of iussia in Berlin to the
proceedings in the British House Of Lords has been
ployed in a slllt against The Chancellor hy his
l.s Ntp fbeNl llst ir-.
| advaniage understood very well how 30 make the
political situation appear 10 support their cause Tho
German Government does not desire war, hut
It's language in tho public press has rot always
been pacidc and this oircGmstance permitted the Ger
man inclination Tor peace to DE represented inyoGI-
tary, a. one forced upon Der 10y Russia and England
which must praised preventing Europe from again
bens set in flames through the torch of Bismarck The
English effort mediation used confirmation Of
TINS view III this way the peace of Europe repre-
aented as not depending the alliance of the three
ern empires but fictitious alliance between Russia
and England The tone Of the Uliralnontane Journals
shows how great the desire in that direction make
capital out o these apparent causes and represent Ger
ny - 80 % ,S ~ bl followoTs Of 11tr,montnisi
with hope and perseverance in the conflict.
These efforts should rot oe uneresiinafed or overcS'i
mated They find favor, not only among the Immediate
opponents OF the German policy but even among the
ornan Chancellor not likely TO he properly aprre
ciatcd By peIsons not actively engaged i'll politics such
ucrsons only the sacrifices which have been made.
Trade and commerce. here prepared for new pros
pctity on Of the corruption which existed in
Inc which bad just passed when the trst dis
Quieting symprOms appeared Inc war excitement
made much property whose value, III the
of the bore comparison with the political adj
vanages which had been secured Moreover. III cosc-
ouenc OF the continued excitement, resulting from the
REORGANIZATION O ars In Germany, and the ecciesas-
ca contests which followed OcOscly upon the national
wars, "a kind Of llsss.ude seized upon the people.
Tney desired guctness, and not much was wanting 10
make their wish for at any price IL Is easy u
be seen that feeling is not favorable to far-reach-
ing diplomatic and political combinations. and per
hog tn