The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1875-06-21

REPUBLICAN FRANCE.
The Political Condition and
the Play Of Parties.
GERMANY'S WAR MENACES.
How the Marshalate Re
strains the Extremists.
AFTER THE SEPTENNATE WHAT ?
The Orleanist Princes Leading
Partisan Society.
AFTER THE SEPTENNATE WHAT :?
CoMTE DE REMUSAT's DEATH,


the Assembly and the aspect or AFFAIRS is such as
to cause much anxiety TO the friends OF the Re-
public. The liberals appear to be masters OF the
situation, but as matter Of fact they feel uneasy
at the result OF their late victories which may, in
deed, tend 10 strengthen ana consolidate their
majority in the Chamber, but can have little effect
In conciliating Machanon and so winning the
army TO the side OF the dominant party Ia the
Chamber. Indeed. the resolute coldness with
which the Marshal President repes all advances
from the Left has ended In making men fear tnat
he VIII never consent TO carry out the provisions
OF genuinely republican constitution, aud that
sooner than do SO he may prefer to destroy the
Republic altogether by a coup d'etak Precedents
are not wanting In French history for this sum-
mary method OF action and II they were, strong
men, accor ing to the saying OF a famous states.
man, can make precedehts for themselves. The
republicans then, are
FRIGHTENED AT THEIR own SUCCESS;
and very brief examination OF the motives which
are likely to guide the action or the principal
statesmen OF the day Will show that they have too
much reason for their alarm In the Parliamentary
contest they are carrying all before them. In the
new Committee OF Thirty, charged TO repors on
the Constitutional laws, they have placed twenty
ak members OF their party, and liz Is solely to
The moderation OF M Gambetta that the royalists
owe the four seats which they have secured.
Again, II Is evident that the Cabinet is about TO
yield TO the Left on the great question OF the cleo
ton OF members OF tse Assembly by departments
by districts. NJ. Buffet and his colleagues are
IN favor OF election by districts. The Lett insist
on election by departments, and Ministers are
certain TO be beaten II they divide the House on
Tins point The difference between the two meth.
DDS OF election, 1t may be observed Is briefly
i.:-H department is represented say by SIX
members in tine Assembly and these are elected
Ny the
scRUTIN DE LIsTE,
eacn elector in the department Is entitled TO vote
Ior SIX members. II, on tue other hand the cleo
lion takes place by the
scRUTlN D'ARRoSDrssEMENr
the department. Is divided into six districts each
OF which returns one member every citizen hay-
ing thus but one vote The objection or republi.
cans rather OF liberals generally, 10 the scrutfa
d'arrondtsseTpent is tina: In election by districts
local influences are too powerful and Imperial in
terests are proportionaiely neglected. Again. the
Executive IN France has always reserved TO self
the right or rearanaing electoral boundaries
Thus IL could eu.ralize the liberal element In
large towns like LYONS or Marseilles by including
IN the constituency large rural population and
similar manipulation OF the constituencies was
common under the Empire
WHAT AFTER VICTORY
But granted that the republicans are victorious
the question OF the elections; granted also that
they force the Ministry to adopt liberal policy
how Is MacManon likely to view inc prospect open
lority In the Chamber, II wil soon be I'm.
Lossible 10 carry on the government except
might allow MN TO remain honorary Presi.
dent Of the Republic, but would certainly deprive
strengthen the hands OF liberal Ministry, Tor
taeTe can be no DOUBT that tile republicans Will
command a decisive majority IN the next Assem-
bly. Under sucR clrcums tances the position OF n
conservative President would be ntoleraDle, ana
his once would scarcely be worm a weeks pur-
chase. IL however, ne could make up mis- mind 10
proclaim the young Napoeon-ihe chances OF
Henry y. are gone-he would insure himself an
honorable fut1le for MS old age. for the part OF
Washington Mac dahon mas no taste; Tor that OF
Cgomwel ne LACKS the talent and the oppoTEu-
THK WORK OF MONK
can be done by any soldier at the head or a large
army. The Emperor who should be inoeotsd Ior
his crown to the declaration o. MacManon IN his
favor would eestow on MN eyery nonor Re could
once conferred on soult, would PROBABLY DO
revived In favor OF the Duke Of Magenta;
position OF the FIRST subject in the Empire, IN.
stead Of that OF nominal cnief IN Republic he de-
Grady sure 10 occupy the throne for fifteen or
twenty years 20 cone mat rs during the RESI- OF
hacMahon's natural Lifetime, 70 that ne need fear
counter revolution. Toe 0eslre Tor honor and
Tor repose must therefore equally move the Mar
MoSARcHIckL RESTORATION
which shall nave been eneced under his own
DANGER his party would incur by pressing their
successes TOO closely, and thereby. perhaps,
driving the roy alists 10 desperate measures More
over, he Is young ana can anOrd 70 walt, hence ne
Is most anxious 70 impress upon his loli0wers the
necessity o. moderation. snould the Republic
THE cLosE OF rHE sEPrESyArE,
and MacMaDon be quietly succeeded by another
President the hopes or roJ ailsts and imperIasts
Will be virtually destroyed and the democracy
firmly established IN France. Five years OF pa
Leuce and N. Gam0etta may be the Minister, per.
maps the Chief Magistrate, OF Republic cordially
seanowie s q, ~ every party ~ tae state ana
Lrrope. But II is needless 10 remark that the
feeling OF the elderly republicans is widely diner.
lS4s, five years may represent what remains 10
them oil active life, and they are eager 10 enjoy
within Their grasp. they have won he battle
ana now, they ask, are they TO be told by N. Gam
betta not TO divide the spoilY II must be con-
fessed that the republicans would be more than
human II they accepted the counsel OF moderation
Il is 70 0e feared iRst on ihe morrow Of the day
they come into power the conservative reaction
IN France Will begin,
THE LATE WAR CLOUD.
According 70 we latest news We check which
wa supposed 70 nave been recently gwen - tue
Russia OF England was oniy apparent The states
men Of Bernn val NOT indeed, 50 lar brave public
opinion as 70 make immediate ana unproyoked
war upon France. TneJ Will simply pursue what
Is perhaps surer method Of attaining tbeT Oh.
iect. They VIII endaavOr TO permanently cripple
the old enemy Of German unity by rendering
strong French goyernmenJ impossible. they see
that confidence IS beginning TO revive in TINS
country under the political settlement OF the 25th
o. February; that MacMahon - respected by all
parties and Is sufficiently popular win the mass
Vi his countrymen for them 70 be willing 70 IN
trust tine soldier President with ample powers.
Trade Is l0urishing, France growing rcher ana
the reorganization OF tne army Is activey pushed
forward. Anew more years q peace abroad aud
order at home ana the vanuuished OF Sedan may
hold their heads az hgn rs ever.
sucn prospects - MOI AZ all 70 the taste OF the
RUSSIAN military party, VINO nave nov the ear ~
We KAISER; Accordingly, tue srman Ambassador
~ Paris, Prince HOhsnohe-so runs the story
mas been Instructed 20 present such an uitmatum
from Sernany - the French goyernment-prOba-
DlN on Tue SUBJECT or the military aNs-as vail
drive
NAcHAHoN TO RESIGN.
The Assembly would then, no doubt, oTer the
Presidency g. TIMERS, VINO, durinQ his former ten
ure Of power maintained the most friendly rela
tons with Bismarck ana even earned tic doubt
fal honor 81 being frequently eniartZca Dy tue
imperial Chancellor In inc latteris despatchcs TO
Count Araim. Ipiers In TACT, as Bismarck can.