The New York herald., 1875-10-19

1919
than we dd9n
did not wonder that the orator at launched out
about Tdens dsloyalty during the war, after reply
ing that the democrats had stood IN the way OF the
republican effort at reform But the numerous repuo
hcan country meetings are dong great deal oi go9a
for the party, and they are always well attended, the
farmers coming them from very long distances, and
the Senatorial question IN each district i naturally
the one in which all the local small Try politicians are
interested, great point - gained
PROBABILITIES.
As 10 precisely what the concentrated ef
fort Of the republicans upon the Senate prize
Will amount TO it Is almost too early yet TO
speculate stu the Indications are unmstakable IN
OF the districts have been through. Take the
Tenth for instance which Madden, republican, repre-
sented the last four years D. b. ST. John is the demo
cratic candidate. who resides in Orange county, and
Morgan Shut the republican candidate who resides IN
Sullivan They are both good men. The republicans
believe they can elect their man and that hs personal
popularity VIII carry ham through, but do not believe
they viii From all the indications think it certain
that Mr. St John will be elected Congressman Beebe
lives In the district Monticello and he is host in HIM
OF the democratic nominee Mr. ST. Johns election will
be democratic gain. The two democratic members OF
Assembly from Orange, and the from Sullivan, viii
also be elected The Eleventh Senatorial district may
fairly be set down as in doubt IL carried two
years ago by Benjamin Ray, democrat, by, think,
800 majority against Hogeboom, very popular man
az the time, and although the present nominee, Mr.
James B. Mackin, who halls from the upper county Of
the district Duchess IS quite popular man and well
known he has most formidable competitor in b.
Platt Carpenter Of Columbia county. The latter too,
has great advantage the support of the liberals
who, under the lead Of Abiah W. Palmer doubt
less, two years ago gave Ray all the sup
port they could stin the chances, even
with this balance in the scale against Mr. hackin,
not much onesided To give the republicans
much confidence on account Of the strength of their
man. Duchess county casts much larger vote than
Columbia, and Mackins great strength at his own
home, with the aid, which Will be considerable, he will
get from the other county, may in the end elect him by
very handsome majority. | am inclined To think
that both counties will each send two democratic As
sembymen, which will be gain OF one for the demo
Gratis. In the Twelfth district the democrats may pos
hold Assembly. although
enthusiastic believe they this time not only
keep the First and Second districts but also get their man
elected from the Second II they do this they Will be
doing wonders. The Senatorship struggle will be a
very hot fight and things looked some time ago the
odds appeared to be in favor of the republican candi
date Coleman who Is not an easy man TO beat, even
with very strong candidate against him. II he should
be elected and it is almost certain that he VIII be his
success Will tally loss for the democrats.
DISTRICT
is always In ferment and has been torn to pieces by
factions for the past few years The Syracuse Con
ventions action last September the contested seats
OF the delegates tantamount 10 no action at all
other than tnat which would give the Two parties
further than ever TO quarrel, and amid their
quarrcls permit Of the republicans reaping the re-
ward OF their harmony. 1t is true that the
McEwentes had some justification in declaring that as
their candidate for Senator who was put in the field
first, good democrat against whom nothing could
be sad who had always been faithful to his party and
who could be relied upon by the Governor earnest
supporter Of administrative reform, the other party
(which declared regular by the Syracuse Conven
tionl should have indorsed the nomination. Had this
been done the hope expressed by the Committee on
Credentials at Syracuse in their repori might not have
proved delusive one, as has thus fur that har-
mony might prevail among democrats in the
district Yet the regulars doubt feared that
had they indorsed McElwain, their old antagonist,
would look upon II as cringng the knee; 50
they held aoof had their convention, and
the result is two democratic candidates in the field,
the Irregular" being Jesse 9. Dayton, who served
during the last years in the Senate. IL is under
stood that he is backed by the Governor who earnestly
desires his reelection. Efforts, understood when
was in the country, be made 10 bring about
cOmprOmise of Kind that only candidate
should the field, but they did not look very
promising. Il 1t needless TO state that the repub-
licans are delighted the situation, they in
the Albany quarrel only repetition of those little quar-
rels less endangering their success, which
have found existing among democrats IN several
districts of the State If not Tden Bigelow AZ
least over something which, If they followed the
example Of the republicans they would sacrifice for
their party's welfare
In their delight the republicans first took up Henry
r. Pierson, and then dropped him like hot potato
when William II. Vanderbilt's letter gave Mr. Person
the hint 10 step down and the scriptural ground
that man can serve two masters, and Hamilton
Harris has taken his place IL the quarrel goes on
with such Harris in the field it needs little
prophecy to tell how the contest will end Certainl y
II the Governor is SO anxious to secure the next Senate
he ought 10 be able to make the crooked
way straight right in his own neighberhood-
that is II he has not already come 10 the conclusion
district represented by Mr.. Connolly republican, will
be very closely contested apparently. Mr. Schoon-
maker, his opponent, is popular, and will run splcn-
didly But with Connolly IN the fed the combined vote
OF the counties of Ulster and Greene being largely
democratic, the democrats all united and saying
they will certainly elect their man, / think Mr..
Schoonmaker is sure Of success Ulster will elect one
democratic Assembyman and Greene one Ulster Is
the county might MENTION which gave democratic
majority IN 1873 and 24lg last year SO the workers
have always their hands full, and in Kingston the cam
pagn anmcnition and plans are being got together by
both parties with the most destructive intentions.
There prospect At one time that there would be
REPUBLICAN sPLlT
in the Fifteenth district it being generally understood
last that George West who has represented the
First Saratoga Assembly district acceptaby for
eral terms would be nominated Senator this year In
place OF Mr. Wagner. In fact Mr.. Wagner II Is said,
promised to again but when II came to the
jumping Of place at the Convention he managed 70 get
one more vote than the genial West The latter very
naturally clt indignant and the way the friends who
bad supported him talked If not absolutely boltng al
least OF not voting at all gave the democrats great
promise q being able 70 slip their candidate IN during
the smoke. How they could do this, oven with such
candidate 5. r. Benedict very popular man, 1t
is rather difficult to imagine when their candidate two
years ago only got ~ votes out Of IA, 528 that
we're cast Mr. West has been mollihed however, and
following the spirit ot conciliaton which seems to
animate the repubcans in all the districts, he has ac
cepted the nomination for Assembly from his old dis
trct The democrats talk of being able to carry the
Second district, but their prospects are very slim
have shown you ia q previous letter that Mr..
Toboy ii the sixteenth Mr. Darius Moore in the Seven
teenth Mr Harnden in the Eighteenth as well az Mr..
Cole IN the Twenty ninth, ME Weilman IN the Thir-
tieth and Mr. Veeder Ia the Thirty second, all repub
leans well be elected, owing 70 circumstances over
which the democrats have no possible control II IL
ssble that Fulton aud Hamilton will elect demo
cratic Assemblyman this year. al least the democrats
IN Johnstown say they will In Schenectady county
it is believed that Mr. Benedict's candidacy for tho
Senate will result in elcctng democratic successor tc
himself 70 the House The democrats az Amsterdam
confident that George W. Yoorhes, their candidate
fcr Assembly from Montgomery county will be elected
II Will be seen that IN those senatorial districts, mol
crt and out republican, of which have spoken the
democrats al probability VIII elect their candidate:
in two districts represented by republicans, Of
losing In represented by democrat, Of re
taiplng their hold in another democratic and that
another now held By them may possibly be lost unes:
vgcd he az
district before the day of election In my letter
shall be able give you interesting particulars
about the district from which now write.
NEW PARTIES
From the Cincinnati Commercial
A large armber OF democrats % the purest OH Jack