The New Orleans bulletin. [volume] (New Orleans [La.]) 1874-1876, 1875-04-28
THE SOUTH AND THE PRESIDENTIAL
ELECTION.

The Acknowledgement of the blacks gives ene
South more potent voice in the eiec'io ~ -
President than she has ever before hdu' Ano
Southern States will next year cast one nun ~
dred and thirty-eight electoral 'o'es, VI *i.n-
=, for+y-c;Y of enough to elect q PRESIDENT.
There are in the thirty-seven states OF the
Union three hundred and slxty-six eiec-
toraI votes, making one hundred ana e'enty
four necessary to elect II tne Denoclacy
votes from the North and West to elect their
oand;date Ohio and New York, should they
90 Democratic, will give the required number
and eleven to spare. ,,,
But the South will not be solidly Demo
cratic. On fair vote-and we hope tor TAR
vnte in every State North and South Missis-
s;ppi and South Carolina will 60 Republican:
There is no certainty or even probability that
~ other Southern State will. with the re-
suit of the November election before u.s. We
can not count with certainty upon louisiana
and Florida for the Republicans. Inc races
are about evenly divided IN these s1a1es' ano
From present indications and past expert
ence. there is no doubt but that the following
Southern States will go Democratic: Alabama
Georpia Delaware, North Carolina, West VIZ
pinia. Arkansas, Kentucky, Maryland. Mis-
sour, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia. Inese
states. counted certain for the Democratic
candidate. cast one hundred and eleven cleo
toral votes, or within seventy-three OF enough
TO elect New York, Indiana and Ohio cast
seventy.two votes, or within one Of the re-
Tired number.
We count all the above Southern States as
reasonably sure of going Democratic. South
Carolina and Mississippi we regard as certain
for the Republicans, and LOUISIANA ana
Florida as doubtful, with the chances in
favor of the Democrats
But conceding the doubtful States to the
Republicans, we still find that the Democrats
will come up from the South with one hum
dred and eleven votes, or enough to elect
with the help of the three most important
Northern States.
To properly estimate the chances in the
South, tho reader should bear in mind that
since the last Presidential election the Demo-
Gratis have gained Alabama, North Carolina
and Arkansas. These States can now be re-
pardcd as sure for the Democratic candidate
for the first time since the war. We observe
that whenever the Democrats gain one OF the
Southern States they hold it. Their last con-
quest is Arkansas; they will hold it hence
forth.
There is but little question that they really
carried Louisiana at the last election, but
there was 80 much fraud and rascality on
both sides that the result is a matter OF dis
pute The races are so evenly balanced IN
that State, and the color line so tightly drawn
that neither party can expect very decided
victory.
If the result Of the next Presidential cleo
ton, for instance should turn upon the vote
Of Louisiana a not impossible circumstance
the peace Of the country would be threatened,
as the returns from that State are always
open to dispute. We hope the electoral vote
may be sufficient. upon one side or the other,
to elect the President without endangering
the country with a row about louisiana
eight votes In 1868 the vote of Georgia was
counted, but it was determined not to do so
if the eleven votes affected the result All
indications point to an excited contest The
result depends in no small degree upon Ohio's
lead this Cincinnati Commercial, 9th.