The New York herald., 1875-10-26
THE POLITICAL SITUATION.
WHAT THE PROSPECTS ARE IN THE SENATORIAL
AND JUDICIAL DIsTRIcTs-THE ESTIMATED
worm ~ TIM, ~rrv

WHAT THE PROSPECTS ARE IN THE SENATORIAL
AND JUDICIAL DIsTRIcTs-THE ESTIMATED
VOTE IN THE CITY,
Voters have now but week IN which their minds
must be made up their choice OF candidates GIL
all the Offices from Alderman the Secretary Of State
in the gin Of the people. The general feeling
10 indicate that Tammany will lose the city
through chickering's and the list or unsatistac-
tory candidates II has presented for prominent
Office In the Fourth Senatorial district the lowest Of
all the downtown districts, which embraces the First,
Second Third Fourth Fifth, Sixth, Seventh, Thirteenth
and Fourteenth wards the first Eve Assembly districts,
the fght IS hottest, and the supporters or Fox and
Morrissey are working with a wondrous zeal The
Morrissey men declare that they viii carry the
district by 1900 majority; and the Fox
the other hand assert that they are certain to
win by $500 to 4,5OO majority. Two years ago
Fox and Morgan Jones werc the opposing candidates
in the same district and for the Senatorial honors
and the vote was, for Fox 13 COG; for Jones' 1893 It
should be remembered that Morgan Jones could in no
sense boast Of the popularity of Morrssey, who is
tower Of strength among the workingmen offs the
district and is stated that hardly 'longshoreman
can be found living in a downtown ward who will
knowledge preference for Fox over Morrissey Last
year Judge Hogan the candidate Of John Fox for
Congress in the FIVE Assembly districts besides
being his brother-in-law, and yet Hogan
beaten by Meade, stranger the standing for the
respective candidates, Meade, ol99; Hogan, o024.
These latter figures, with tho surrounding circum-
stances added would not argue much for the
popularity Of Fox in his own district, which is now
pasted all with Morrssey placards In the FIRST
Assembly district some confusion has been introduced
into the anti Tammany ranks by the fact that Nicholas
4 Muller has accepted the rammany nomination
4 They had counted on his refusal But the
ntfammany men are hopeful and declare
that none Of Muers friends will dare TO support Fox,
and add that the Muller men have pledged themselves
not TO do IT, For the position Of CIVIL Justice in this
district John CallShan, the ant-Tammany candidate,
seems to have It all his own way and, as he IS very
hard worker and knows nearly every workngmans
family IN the district there does not seem TO be much
chance for Denis Quinn, who has received the
nomination from Tammany II ls hinted that on
election day also that many OF Fox's supporters will
work for John Callahan and scratch Judge Quinn's
name. Even without this Callahan will poll vote far
larger than his opponent in the First Second and
Third wards 1t is said that Jimmy Hayes has declared
that he Will carry the Fourteenth ward for Morrissey
! by 500 majority, and he will, no doubt, make his
| promise good On every side there seems TO be an
opposition breaking out against Kelly's dictaton What
gives the movement backbone the fact that many Of
the strongest local leaders who were solid for Kelly last
year this year his most bitter enemies Some Of
these may be mentioned like, horrissey Ledw1th
Shandley, Hayes and William Walsh In the Fifteenth
Assembly district largely populated by Irish and Ger
man voters Ledwith and his friend John Hardy, have
very strong backing, the latter said to have
very charitable disposition toward poor people, besides
being fluent German speaker Hardy is the anti Tam
many candidate for Civil Justice in the Sixteenth and
Twentieth wards, or the Thirteenth and Fiji
| teenth Assembly districts Opposed to him is
the present incumbent, Judge William j. Kane, and the
republican candidate is Frederick L, Gcdney, who IS
very lard working individual, and will poll, undoubt
edly large vote in the Sixteenth ward, which in the
luckiest Tammany year is a very close ward Tam
many will be beaten in the Fifth Senatorial district be-
yond all possible doubt, the republicans and anti
! Tammany men are in strong force therein. They
have rallied on James W. Booth the present
Senator from this district The Mh Senatorial dis dis
teenth and Sixteenth wards. The republican vote is
very strong in the district and Booth is strong man
among his parsans having been elected two ago
by majority OF 437 over Vincent King, the Tammany
candidate.
The great danger to Tammany Hall seems TO come
/ from the large German the CITY, which tnis
year than before seeks TO assert its indepen
| dence of Tammany Hail. Mr.. Ottendorier, who seems
TO be at the helm Of the German political ship has sig
nifed his intention TO support Recorder Hackett
through thick and thn and the German voters fol-
lowing in his wake almost With the exception
OF Judge Friedman and James Daily the candidate for
Senator the Sixth Senatorial district Mr. Otendorer
has manifested very ardent desire 70 support any of
the Tammany candidates for Office. 1t is believed that
Dal will be elected for Senator in the Sixth Sena-
| toral district as the Germans Will support him
solidly. The scandalous selection for Civil JUS
tce in this district by rammany Hall has
created a most intense feeling, and it is quite
possible that Michael J. Shandley, who is the anti
| Tammany nominee or Louis Goekel the republican
candidate may be elected as both of the latter gentle
CAMPBELL does not pretend TO be lawyer at all and has
read law book If the republicans only lay aside
| the anti-Tammany party in the Eighth Senatorial
district II will be very easy for them TO elect their
candidate for Senator Francis NJ. Bixby, over the Tam
many candidate, who at the outside cannot poll more
than 900 votes The republican vote Of the district
united with that OF the antiTammany organization in
1878 amounted to nearly Is 600 But If there is not
union it is than probable that the Tammany can
didate may slip in during the confusion caused by an
WHAT WILL THE VOTE BE-
There is great speculation among politicians as TO
what gross OF tho city Will aggregate the
Il Recorder
! Hackett will run ahead OF all others on the
peoples ticket by LOCO at least Tammany men
agree that the vote OF the city will be about
10000, and Of this number Tammany claims
about " 900 votes leaving 5000 to the united oppos
| ton. They admit, however, that Recorder. HacKctt
will ahead of his colleagues the peoples ticket
The Tammany adherents claim that the republican vote
will exceed 40 600 and that the anti -Tammany dem
ocrats will poll not more than from l6,O TO
$1,000 in the city But the republicans ana
antiTammany democrats are quite confident that their
united vote will amount TO 5000 and assert
that the Tammany ticket VIII not poll more than 90 900
votes and that the appearance of Morrssey with his
harness against Kelly, and with plenty of money 10
the Fourth district will make difference alone of
5000 votes which might otherwise be thrown for Tam
! many Hall Lcdwith in the Twentieth and Sixteenth
wards, Walsh in the Fourth and Sixth Shandey
in the Seventh, Norton in the Eighth, Hayes in the
Fourteenth, Monheimer and 'Bren in the Eighteenth
and Twenty FIRST Btxby in the Nineteenth and Henry
Murray in the Twenty second wards are all powerful
and active leaders, and have all been members OF the
Iammany Hall organization at one time or anotner
They understand all the tricks and devices Of
the Iamfnany hall King magnates and they are
| popular in their districts and have the
sympathy of the masses OF workingmen with them,
and il that the workingmen are, this year. for
saking Tammany BALL in droves, as she has broken all
her promises TO them, notably in the cutting
down of the wages of the public laborers, who
do not earn any more than is necessary
to keep body ana soul together. In the Nine
tecnth ward which has more taxable property than
any other ward in the city there has always been
4 large Tammany majority, but this year the Tammany
leaders hopeessy bewildered by the antagonisms
that have sprung up among local leaders, which will
certainly give the ward TO the opposition II is almost
certain that energetic and nevertirng leader like
\ 0'Brtcn will not fail to carry the Eighteenth and
Twenty first wards by large majority against Keys
/ myrmidons