New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1875-10-30
LOCAL POLITICS.
ELECTION PROBABILITIES.

GROUNDS WHICH THE ORGANIZATIONS IN IhB
CITY Base HOPES OF sUCCrsS-OoMPARIsoNs
WITH LAST YEARS vOTE-riE RESULT STILL
poUBTFUL-TAMS>NY AND ANTI-TAMMANY IN
THE FOURTH SENATORIAL DISTRICT.
The general result of the struggle in this
sty between Tammauy Hall the side and the Re
pubicans and antiTammany Democrats on the other
cannot vet foretod with any certainty. The adhe-
rents Of Tanmany Han assert that their county ticket
will receive many votes were east for Mayor Wick
ham last Fall IL this proves 60 he true the Tsmmany
county ticket will certainly elected With total reg
irson last year Of 1iG21S voters there were 13l ,i25
votes cast for Mayor. OF these, Vim. H. Wickham re-
eeiyed 7OO7I; Salem II. Wales SO 053; Oswald Often
dorfer 1925; A c. Flanagan, IS; and John swnton,
e. ling from the stration and vote Of last year.
there will nc , 10000 votes cast registration
Of 1891 II the Tsmmany county ticket receives the
,ame number Of votes given 10 Mayor Wckham
II will he elected ny 10000 majority. But change OF
bOo0 votes will wipe this majority. whether this
change can bc made is stin doubtful. The vote given
Gen Patrick H. FOR Register in 1874 referred TO
a. indicating what be done when the opponents OF
Tamnany Hall arc united single candidate But il
must be borne in mind that James Hayes the Tammany
candidate was exceptionally unpopular man. and was
beaten inside the TaInmauy organization, having re-
eaiyed only j9,460 votes, or 1O6l less than Mayor
Wickham Gen Jones also received very large German
vote, running the samo ticket with Oswald Otten-
dorer the candidate of the opposition Democrats for
HAvOr snfcNO ldilIAnl pfhtlNldHd 'itiih thdA th'h
county ticket viii receive not ess than 10000 majority
and may obtain much "a 10000. They base
This estimate on the belief that the antiIamnany
candidates viii not receive more than the COM
hined vote of Wales and O;end0rfer last year
Shev claim that the sntiTammany organization
f. no stronger this year than in 1874 and that of Tam
many Hall as strong year ago Moreover, they as
ser that there ere serious defectons in the opposition in
various parts Of the city, ana that there many Demo
crss opposed 10 Tammany Hall who will not vote for
Republicans and while they may not vote for the anti
Tsmmany candidates for Senate and Assembly or for
Aldermen they will either support the Tsmmany county
ticket or abstain from voting on county candidates.
The friendship Of Recorder IIackett for members OF
the old Ring; his quashing Of the indictments found
against hen his taking large sums OF money for legal
services rendered while lie performing the duties OF
Recorder, aud his condemnation by men Of the standing
OF Wheeler u. Pecsh1m, eXJudce CcrIc, Gen. r. I.
Barlow and Others Of like high character, alleged 10
have lessfncd BIS chances II Pamphlets con
tanning the information referred to have been sent Ia
every voter in city, that say that he
has not had opportunity 10 become acquainted wiz
the facts On the other hand the Republican and Al.
Tammany leaders profess TO ne certain OF success, ana
claim about the same majority the Tanmany meo
Outside OF the WITH Senatorial District, however, they
do not seem 10 he working with the Vigor rs the
Tanmany politicians Both sides rely ON their AFFINITY To
obtain the silent vote by which is meant the voters
who do not ally themselves with either organization, but
support those candidates vho in their Judgment are the
best men placed in nomination either side 1t Is now
pretty generally conceded that had the election taken
place within day or two after both tickets placed
IN the field the combination ticket wOuld have been
elected by fair majority, in consequence or the sym
pay expressed for Recorder Hackct and the cry mat
was raised against the "One-man power as alleged 70
be concentrated in the person of John Kelly 1t is
claimed OF this feeling has been disspated by
tho statements made through the press and the
public meengs and tbo' very day increases the prob
abilities OF the OF the Tsmmsny nominees Great
stress laid upon the fact that the ticket placed the
field by TaInmany Hall T. made mp altogether OF men OF
irreproaehabe character Hardly word has been SAID
AGAINST my OF them. The hTun Of the attack bias been
borne by John Kelly aud in addition strong effort has
made 10 scnatc The SUPP or or me NorkineIncn
from Tannsry Hall ia consequence Of he reduction Of
iabOrers wae s. Mr.. Kelly has answered the assaults
himself and The Ialnmany General CQnlhhtiee alu
the Tammauy Aldermen have placed themselves Oh
record protesting against the reduction OF wages
In the iNth Senatorial District where John M0rrlsseY
Is waging bitter fight against John FoX and John
friends OF John FOX say that ne VIII nave srea.I ma
jOrity than two years ago. when he was elected over
Morrissey retolt ty declaring that their will carry
every Assembly district. These statements are merely
prvately aeknoNlcdg that The contest will Ice close
one. The probabilities arc that The majority wiz
probably carry the Ist, ly!h and d Vim t ria a.
Much OF the dsafectiOn ch existed in the ls District
has been removed Mea who declared positively that
they would not support Fox when nc vas niat NON
The district is being thoroughly ,nvassed on bth sdes
and money is spent freely. one thing j. conceded DN al
the Wel-ins0rIled pOiciau.-ihat H0uisS5y will re-
1eye very much larger vote in the senatorial DISTRICT
than he combination county ticket Men are outSposcn
in their declaration that they VII vote for hoisey ana
rim support The Jammany county ticket lnis siists
from the otter feeling between the Fox and
snii-ToX factions In the district. end = strngge
bsts them for supremacy IN Iaminany nan. Hheh
FOX and exJustice Hogan withdrew rom laic-
many Hail Que year ago preparatory to Justice Hogans
catering on his canvass for Congress against Ia" IL
MesGe-wh cb step followed by the resignation OF
considerable nunner Of the Taminsny Han Genera, CON,
ittee from the Ist Dstricta new COMMITTEE vas maze
up composed Of the opponents o. Fox In the eiecu"
tlqt ensued Mr. Hogan was beaten by 10 woes
emily in q total OF little more than lsoDO
lie carried the Let Assembly District eg"inst
the regular nominee 10y a majority OF III. lie ~ now
Nj. Fo1' Lieutenant in the canvass, and ne ana ne
friends point 10 these hgurcs answer 10 Morlss'
boast that he will carry the lst Assembly DirtT7ct ny
1000 majority. tut. $500. A. d, -,
gea deal of clocl0nccTing work will he done to-day
and tomorrow PerfcctnZ tho organization ID districts
where il il found he weak seeing that workers are
engaged to bring out the vote on election gay, ,hu
venting voting fSlsc registration, are the hors Wien
will be carried ON 10 the victory Neither sde
can safely clam 10 yet ~ sure.