Middletown transcript., 1875-11-13
Republican

Minnesota ..,,..... 5lHe0rgla..........s .s.... 4
Nebraska, ,.......... 3lIndiana............... 10
Nevada ,,,........... 8 Kentucky ............ lz
Nav Jersey. 81 9lLouisiana............ 3
New Hamnshire.... 5lMaryland ............ 8
North Carolina. Il. 10 Mississippi. ......... q
Ohio 22l Missouri. ........ ...... 10
Oregon .......,... 3iNew York ........... 80
PENNSYLVANIA. ~ tennessee ..'.'. = E
Rhode Island........ 4Texas..................
South Carolina.... 7virglnla. .:..:.....:.. -
Vermont ......... s West Virginia ...... 8
- Democratic elect
Republican elect :. oral v0tes........lS3
oral votes.........lS3i 58ss
The foregoing table gives tie IN the 4 y
electoral college. Colorado, With three
additional votes, may or may not De
admitted in time to vote for President,
and, il admitted, will be one Of the
most doubtful States in the Union, It
will vote for Colorado all the time, and
The candidate for President most ac-
ceptable to the people Of that country.
independent Of. politics, will carry It.
Nevada is given in the Republican line,
but it is Just as likely as not to vote
Democratic New Jersey ranks her
self with the Republicans 10 contest
for county and legislative officers. but
no one doubts that her vote will be DE.
mocratic if the Democracy present good
candidates aud don't surpass themselves
in playing the fool. North Carolina is
in the Republican list because, on the
popular vote for or against oonven-
tion, the Republicans carried the State,
although the Democrats carried q ma
iority Of the delegates. But it must be
considered that while the Republicans
were thoroughly united against con-
ivention, many Of the more conservative
Democrats sympathized with the Re
publicaus on the issue. and it was not
"a fair Test Of party strength. The
chances are ten to one that North Gar
olina will vote Democratic for Presi-
dent iu 1876, ~ the State is undoobt-
etlly Democratic largely on full vote.
Oregon is another State in the Repub-
lican list that is in doubt this year. and
certainly is doubtful for 1876. Penn
sylyania is q debatable State. but she
has her rank fairly in the Republican
line fairly this year, In the Democratic
list there are fewer doubtful States. but
one of them amounts to more in the
electoral college than all the doubtful
States in the Republican column. New
York. with her thirty-fve votes, may
be classed as doubtful. and will be
stubbornly contested next yeaf under
auy circumstances. Tilden will be IN
the contest himself, not likely as q can
didate for President, but certainly as a
candidate for Governor. and there will
be exhaustive efforts msde on both sides
to win the struggle. The chances GER
tainly seem to be with the Democrats.
but It is BY no means sure that New
York will vote for the Democratic can
didate for President. Louisiana can
hardly be made doubtful again by Fed
eral bayonets, as . Democratic House
will stop that sort of revolutionary
elections. and it may, therefore, be
counted as certain for the Democrats.
Connecticut will be contested. but it
will vote Democratic unless there should
be such sweeping tidal wave as to
make her vote unimportant. Califor-
mia is Just about as doubtful as Oregon.
Nevada and Colorado in the Republi-
can list. It is not probable that these
four States win be divided in their
electoral vote. They will either be all
Republican or all Democratic, as the
same influences will control them to q
very great degree. Whether other
States will be doubtful. depends much
upon the issues of the Presidential con-
test, and The issues will doubtless b.
decided by the tendencies Of public
opinion six months hence. If there
shall be increased prostration in our in.
dustries this winter. the financial ques-
tion may lead the Democracy into 8
liberal position on currency, and thui
wrest Ohio from the Republicans, make
Pennsylvania doubtful and throw New
York over to the Republicans. In thai
case Connecticut might be made doubt
full for the Democrats. and New Yori
and Connecticut may be thus given t
the Republicans and Pennsylvania and
Ohio secured to the Democrats in e1
change That would te giving forty.
one Democratic electoral votes to the
Republicans for .ffty.one Republican
votes taken by the Democrats, and In
diana would be anchored in the Demo
cratic column beyond even hopefu
effort to make her Republican, and
! Wisconsin made at least doubtful.
Such is the political balance shee
for the year that Is the preliminary skir
mish for 1876. It practically drawI
battle, leaving the national struggle tt
be decided in favor Of the organization
that is most wise in meeting the con
vietions of the people year hence :
But what will be those convictions
What public necessities viii rule II
November, 1875? This is the grea
| problem that the politicians Of the tw'
parties must solve in advance. 1t ma,
be free Cuba or free schools, or som,
similar clap-trap device; it may be
sublime trisl Of the patriotism Of th
people on statesmanship. integrity econ
omy and home rule, against persona
domination, prodigacy and centraliza
ton. or It may be desperate struggl
turning solely on our financial and cur
rency questions. No political sagacit.
can accurately forecast the controllin,
issues Of next year. and we shall hav
all manner of ground and lofty tumb
ling and shutting and trimming by th
leaders who are to shape the party line
10 the nominating conventions. w
regard II as settled that there win b
but two tickets 10 the 9eld-at least bu
two that will be in the 6ght. The Be
publican and Democratic Convention
will name the candidates. and in th
end the varied independent element