The New York herald., 1875-10-26
THE POLITICAL SITUATION.
WHAT THE PROSPECTS ARE IN THE SENATORIAL
AND JUDICIAL DIsTRIcTs-THE ESTIMATED


AND JUDICIAL DIsTRIcTs-THE ESTIMATED
VOTE IN THE CITY.
Voters have now but one week in which their minds
must be made up as to their choice Of candidates 10 m
all the Offices from Alderman the Secretary Of State,
in the gift of the people. The general feeling seems
TO indicate that Tammany will lose the city
through chickering's aud the list Of unsatisfae-
tory candidates il has presented for prominent
Office In the Fourth Senatorial district the lowest Of
all the downtown districts, which embraces the Firs
Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth, Seventh, Thirteenth
and Fourteenth wards the first Eve Assembly Districts
the fight is hottest and the supporters OF Fox and
Morrissey working with wondrous zeal The
Morrssey declare that they viii carry the
district by 1900 majority; and the Fox men on
the other hand assert that they are certain TO
win by $500 to 4,500 majority. Two years ago
Fox and Morgan Jones the opposing candidates
in the district and for the Senatorial honors
and the was for Fox IS 69e; for Jones' 1888 1t
should be remembered that Morgan Jones could in no
sense boast Of the popularity Of Morrissey, who is
tower Of strength among the workingmen offs the
district and il is stated that hardly longshoreman
can be found living in downtown ward who will ac-
knowledge preference for Fox over Morrssey. Last
year Judge Hogan the candidate Of John Fox for
Congress in the FIVE Assembly districts besides
being his brother-n-law and yet Hogan
beaten by Meade stranger the vote standing for the
respective candidates. Meade 9,199; Hogan, 9024
These latter figures with the surrounding circum-
stances added would not TO argue much for the
popularity of Fox in his own district which is now
pasted all with Morrissey placards In the First
Assembly district some confusion has been introduced
into the anti Tammany ranks by the fact that Nicholas
Muller has accepted the Tammany nomination.
They had counted his refusal But the
antlfammany men are hopeful, and declare
that of Muer's friends will dare to support Fox,
AaH1 fhn Mpl1a hag0 0lod
not to do IT, For the position Of Civil Justice in this
district John Callslan, the antiTammany candidate,
seems TO have IL all his own way; and as he is very
hard worker aud knows nearly every workingman's
family IN the district, there does not seem to be much
chance tor Denis QUINN who has received the
nomination from Tammany 1t is hnted that on
election day also that many OF Fox's supporters will
work for John Callahan and scratch Judge Quinns
name Even without this Callahan will poll vote far
larger than his opponent in the First, Second and
Third wards IL is SAID that Jimmy Hayes has declared
that he will carry the Fourteenth ward for Morrissey
by 500 majority, and he will, no doubt make hs
promise good. On every side there seems to be an
opposition breaking out against Keys dctation. What
gives the movement backbone is the fact that many Of
the strongest local leaders who were solid for Kelly last
year are this year his most bitter enemies. Some Of
these may be mentioned like MorrsSey, LedWlth
shandey Hayes and William Walsh. In the Fifteenth
Assembly district largely populated by Irish and Ger
man voters, Ledwh and his friend, John Hardy, have
very strong backing as the latter is said to have
very charitable disposition toward poor people, besides
being fluent German speaker. Hardy is the anti-Tam
many candidate for Civil Justice in the Sixteenth and
Twentieth wards, the Thirteenth and Fif-
teenth Assembly districts. Opposed to him is
the present incumbent Judge William J. Kane and the
republican candidate is Frederick E. Gedney who is a
very lard working individual, and will poll, undoubt
edly large vote in the Sixteenth ward which in the
luckiest Tammany year is a very close ward. Tam
many will be beaten in the Fifth Senatorial district be-
yond all possible doubt, the republicans and anti
have rallied on James W. Booth, the present
Senator from this district The Fifth Senatorial dis
trict comprises the Fourth, Eighth, Ninth, Fif
teenth and Sixteenth wards The republican vote is
very strong in the district and Booth is strong
among his partsans having been elected two years ago
by majority Of 2, 437 over Vincent King the Tammany
candidate.
The great danger to Tammany Hall seems TO come
from the large German vote the city, which tnis
year than before seeks to assert its ndepen
dence of rammany Hail. Mr. 0ttendorier, who seems
to be at the helm Of the German political ship, has sig
nifed his intention TO support Recorder Hackett
through thick and thin and the German voters fol-
lowing in his wake almost to man. With the exception
OF Judge Friedman and James DAILY, the candidate for
Senator in the Sixth Senatorial district Mr. ottendorfer
has manifested very ardent desire TO support any of
the Tammany candidates Tor Office II is believed that
DALI will be elected for Senator in the Sixth Sena-
torial district as the Germans will support him
sodly The scandalous selection for Civil JUS
tice in this district by Tammany Hall has
created most intense feeling, and it is quite
possible that Michael j. Shandley who is the anti
Tammany nominee, Louis Goekel, the republican
candidate may be elected both of the latter gentle
men are lawyers, while the Tammany candidate Jim"
CAMPBELL does not pretend TO be lawyer at all and has
read law book. If the republicans only lay aside
their preudices and unite heartily and honestly with
district IL will be very easy for them to elect their
candidate for Senator, Francis NJ Bxby over the Tam
many candidate who at the outside cannot poll more
than IL 900 votes The republican vote Of the district
united with that OF the anti Tammany organization in
1873 amounted to nearly l5.0 But If there is not
union II Is more than probable that the Tammany can
ddae may slip in during the confusion caused by an
WHAT WILL THE VOTE BE
There is great speculation among politicians as to
what the gross OF the city will aggregate in the
coming election. II is calculated that Recorder
! HEaft will n
peoples ticket by 1000 at least Tammany men
and anti-Tammany men and republicans seem TO
agree that the vote OF the city will be about
100 900, and Of this number Tammany claims
about " 600 votes leaving 5000 TO the united opposi
will run ahead of his colleagues on the peoples ticket
The Tammany adherents claim that the republican vote
will not exceed 600 and that the anti Tammany DEM
ocrats viii poll not moro than irom 10000 70
$4,000 In the city. But the republicans and
anti-Tammany democrats quite confident that their
united vote will amount TO 10. 600 and assert
that the Tammany ticket VIII poll more than So 600
votes and that the appearance of Morrissey with his
harness on against Kelly and with plenty of money
run the Fourth district, will make difference alone of
5000 votes which might otherwise be thrown for Tam
many Hail. Ledwith in the Twentieth and Sixteenth
wards Walsh in the Fourth and Sixth, Shandley
in the Seventh Norton in the Eighth Hayes in the
Fourteenth Monheimer and o Brien in the Eighteenth
and Twenty FIRST Btxby in the Nineteenth and Henry
Murray in the Twenty second wards are all powerful
and active leaders, and have all been members of the
Tammany Hall organization at one time or another
They understand all the tricks and devices OF
the Tammany Hall Ring magnates, and they are
popular in their districts and have the
sympathy OF tho masses Of workingmen with them,
aud il seems that tho workngmen are, this year, for
saking Tammany Ball in droves, as she has broken all
her promises to them, notably in the cutting
down of the wages of the public aborers, who
do not earn any more than Is necessary
to keep body ana soul together. In the Nine
teenth ward which has taxable property than
any other ward in the city there has always been
large Tammany majority but this year the Tammany
leaders hopelessly bewldered by the antagonsms
that have sprung up among local leaders, which will
certainly give the ward to the opposition IL is almost
certain that energetic and nevertring leader like
O'Brcn will not fail to carry the Eighteenth and
Twenty FIRST wards by large majority against Kellys
myrmdons