The New York herald., 1875-08-27

they think that England counts for anything in this
matter.
The Eastern question is particularly slippery one to
make predictions on and shall not make any except
this that n Russia wishes well 10 this movement t
will succeed and is supposabe that II she did not IL
would have begun vigorously and premedi-
tatedly As l wrote some months ago, everything s
ready when Russia chooses 70 apply the match, and
believe that her control sufficiently complete 70 pre-
vent premature movement The English mistake is
In supposng that Russia not likely to intervene
lively show TO outsiders anything but benevolent
neutrality. Possessing she does the most complete
control over all the channels OF agitation through the
turkish Empire it Is only necessary 70 give the word
70 90 All tnat she wants done This control she owes
70 Engand's .egotsm and Obtuseness, to her
Of the revenues Of Turkey before those
Of humanity, and TO the o6tuseness OF her
alpomatists who allowed every OF obtaining
influence over the subjects Of the Porte pass
proved because they would only consent 70 approach
them through the recognized authorties The action
of the English Ambassador at Constantnople In behalf
OF the subject Christians has been very much like DO
~ ~lcemah saying 70 origand, BE moderate in your
lutely refuses TO give up his money"
IcSATIEFF's oHEss
All this idiocy has put he game entirely into the
hands oi General lgnaeG the cleverest and best qua-
ned diplomat in Europe, and as it the com
plete success Of the Russian policy only question OF
to-day or tomorrow lgnaticn holds every trump II
the movement IN the Herzegovina succeeds in
holding its own he has only TO mnoso
his conditions Constantinople for composition
This, Of course, only transfers the authority
to ST. Petersburg and makes The Porte dependent with
a struggle In Il lags (which is likely)
IgnatieG has only to give the word and Montenegro
JOINS and Servia after as necessary If the
Porte obdurate will be shown clearly that there
dangers other quarters; for Egypt and Persia are,
thanks English apathy equally subject TO Russia
The mutual obligations OF the great Powers not 10 inter-
iere s SIMPLY carte blanche Tor Russia TO do what sho
likes, If in the extreme and most improbable case,
European combination should insist on the maintenance
ofTurkey, Russia as the sole friend OF the Christians,
by simple protest gets, " possible still complete
control Of them But no European combination which
does include Russia could exercise any moral nu
against her. and face OF the mmoyable al-
(which one but French optimist or an English
pubIcist doubts) between Russia and Prussia
any forcibe intervention favor OF Turkey could only
bring general war, for which, in such cause, no
one is ready In fact armed Intervention is only pos
sibe against the Porte and without armed assistance
the Turks cannot hold their Europe has only 10
watch Ignatief break The Turk and annex the Otto
man Empire at his own time.
But there another consideration which must not
lost sight Of in Judging OF the probable of Russia
English nancers regard The natural end Of the Otto
man empire as absorption by Russia and have heard
il said that If the Car taxes Turkey he will take the
Turkish debt too which probably safe conclusion.
But suppose that the Car don't take Turkey but that
the Empire dissolves into It's original elements,
and the populations, pundered since three
Of their defeated tyrantsg We are not to
suppose that Russia assume tho responsibilities
of the management of the disorganized provinces with
all implied in il, wnen everything needed can be gained
by allowing the old Empire TO bleed to death and fail to
pieces, TO be at some future time absorbed by the
II seems to me, therefore, that no European comp-
cation is TO be expected from whatever form the in
surrection may take; but If Trebigne should be
taken by the insurgents, that rapid and vigorous
spread of the insurrection will follow but tina: this viii
hardly become great at present as to provoke de-
clsive steps by any Of the Powers interested
BEATEN.
The Turks will send their battalions after the
other under their most ambitious and incapable gene
rails and their forces will be wasted away with their
finances in the Cretan nsurrection, where So 900
and 200, 000 000f sunk In three years.
| do not believe that there will be any
outside interference but that the nsurrection will go
until the Porte is either ready to accept all the cond
tons of Russia go to pieces There will be religious
fanatcsm with all its barbarty and all that religious
nvoves-a long train Of atrocities and Of miseres
and in the end Russia will take what she wants. but not
at all in the way everybody expected her TO take It,
The conditions of the Crimean war are all changed
and Russia TO the front of Eastern affairs II
General Ignatief should venture prophesy
TO what will happen for the next few months at present
dare only say that he will drive his eight provinces in
hand without any upset, and SO through the Sublime
Porte without any accident