Los Angeles daily herald., 1874-10-31
Prospects as to the Next House.
sTFrom the sacramento Union.l


In the Congressional elections on the
18th of this month there were Repub-
lican losses as follows: In Ohio, s;
Indiana, 0; West Virginia, l; Iowa,
let us say none; Nebraska, none. To-
tai losses, Is. Total members elected,
46. The Republican losses in these
five States amount to 80 per cent. and
a fraction more. On the I'd and Sd Of
November 211 members are to be
elected IN twenty-three States. These
States include New York. Pennsylva-
mia, Kentucky, Maryland, Virginia,
Illinois, Alabama Louisiana, Massa-
chusetts, Michigan, Wisconsin, Min
nesoto, New Jersey, Kansas, Della
ware, Missouri, Tennessee, and several
others. In Kentucky there can be no
Republican losses, because they have
now not a member from that State.
In Massachusetts, there will probably
be break or two; in Kansas also, and
q chance of two less Republican men,
hers from Maryland, and three less
from Virginia. Michigan has now a
solid Republican delegation, but will
probably return not over half as many
in the coming election. Wisconsin
now has six Republicans to two Dem
ocrats. The chances are that the op.
position In that State will elect more
than the majority this year; and we
think the same may be predicted of
Minnesota, whose delegation of three
are now all Republicans. Delaware is
represented by a Republican now, but
is likely to change him for q Demo-
crat. New Jersey has now but one
Democrat to six Republicans. Here
Is prospect for a loss of two or three
Republicans. We do not speculate on
the New York and Pennsylvania dele
cations. AS they stand in the Forty
third Congress the Republicans have
forty-six to fourteen opposition men,
bers. If things take the same turn In
these two States that they did in
Ohio and Indiana, the next House of
Representatives will have very
large opposition majority. But if the
per cent. of loss by the Republicans
in the elections next month is only
two-thirds as great as that sustained
In the October elections, still the Re-
publicans will be in the minority. The
House contains 292 members. In the
present House there are 1876 Republi-
cans, SO Democrats, four Independents
and five vacancies. That is to say
leaving the vacancies out of the count
Republicans, 1875; opposition, ,92. The
October elections have changed these
figures as follows: Republicans Closs
of l5), 1S0 opposition (gain of 49,,
107. On the I'd and Sd of November
2ll members are to be elected. If we
allow only. two-thirds the. proportion
OF Republican losses in the October
for the November elections, or 20 per
cent, we shall have Republican loss
on these 211 Of AZ members. That
would change the figures as follows:
Republicans 10S, minus Al, equal 1873;
opposition 107, plus AZ, equal 149. That
is to say, an opposition majority of IL
in the next House and of 6, allowing
the Republicans all the vacancies. II
the same ratio of loss that has been
sustained by the Republicans in the
October elections be applied to the
November elections-32 per cent.-the
| figures would be as follows: Republi-
cans, ll3; opposition, 173. 1t is not
likely, however, that this proportion
of loss will be experienced; but 1t is
probable, we think, that the Forty
fourth House of Representatives will
have an opposition majority OF from
ten to thirty.