New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1874-11-02

reaches 6OU his Is faCt That u Will ne well TO
bear in mind after election especially if the Repub
cans beaten and attempt to prove that the vote
was dishonest one from the census tables.
PROBABLE DEMOCRATIC MAJORITY OF TEN THOU
SAND.
Although may have mistaken the strength of the
Democratic party in Alabama and overestimated the
effect of the vigorous canvass that has been made by
the Conservatives have very little doubt Of their
success. Were there no new issues the vote would
then be very close and the introduction of the ques-
ton of Civil Rights has been very unfortunate for
the Republicans. suppose there have been at least
5000 white Radical votes cast at each of the last two
State elections in Alabama, and these turned the
scale in 1872. Now, nobody will claim that ma
jOrty even 1000 Of these men are in favor OF the
passage of the Civil Rights bill. and they are not
likely to stutify themselves by voting for Congress
men Sheats and White to represent the State at
Large, knowing as they do that both of these men
voted last session. to suspend the rules and pass the
Objectionable bill. ] assume, therefore, that the Re-
publcans will lose the bulk of their white vote next
Tuesday. while they are not likely to gain anything
among the negroes. should not be surprised if the
Democratic majority went above 10000
NO CHANGE PROBABLE IN THE CONGRESSIONAL
DELEGATION.
In the Congressional Districts do not anticipate
a gain on either side. Republican will probably
be chosen in the LIST District, now represented by
Bromberg of Mobile Liberal and Democrat will
probably take the place of Pelham, Republican, IN
the lid District
To take them up in order: In the list or Mobile
District Mr. f. G. Bromberg, the present member Is
the Conservative candidate, and jeremiah Harolson'
a negro. has been nominated by the Republicans.
Mr. Bromberg was a Liberal Republican in 1872 and
received the united support of the Liberals and
Democrats. The Administration party had two
candidates, and thus Bromberg received plurality
vote He will probably be defeated this year by
1000 votes or more although he himself is very san
guine of success.
In the lid or Montgomery District, the Demo-
cratic candidate is jeremiah n. Williams. and the
Republican James T. Raper cOlored), the present
member. Rapiers majority in 1872 was 5000, and
if he is able to command the entire support of his
party in the county, of which there is some doubt,
it will probably be from 200 to 1900 this year AS
have told you in former letters, the Radicals OF
this county hopelessly divided on their county
ticket. Senator Spencer was here yesterday attempt
ing to arrange a compromise, but signally failed.
Rapier is allied with neither faction. He did, early
i'll the campaign announce his preference in one of
his speeches, but finding that he had so offended the
other faction that they would certainly beat him,
he soon after recaned In this way he has displeased
though hardly probable that he may be slaughtered
| in the house of bis political friends.
MUNCHAUsEN HAYS TO BE REFLECTED.
In the lid District, the Democratic and Republic
can candidates are, respectively Taul Bradford and
w. ii. Belts. This district was carried by Pelham,
Republican, two years ago, by about GOO majority.
Belts, the present Radical nominee, is a man OF
VIGOROUSLY bad character, has killed number OF
men, and is very unpopular even i'll his own party.
Mr. Bradford will probably carry the district by
about 1000 majority
The IVth is the district now represented by
Charles Hays the man who has acquired such an
unenviable reputation as the champion romancer of
the State. His competitor is James I. Jones, who
will probably get some Republican votes, but the
Democrats concede that HAYS will carry the district
by 5000 or 1000 majority.
In the With and With Districts the Republicans
have made no nominations. In the With, j. III. Cald
well received the regular Democratic nomination.
and will no doubt be elected by 1000 or
1900 majority over James L. Sheffield, Independent
Democrat. In the With, c. w. Hewitt is the regular
Democratic nominee, and Joseph H. Sloss, the pres
ent member, is running as an Independent Demo
cratic candidate The former will be chosen by from
1000 to G,000 majority. ZL.W
OUTRAGES BY BLACKS UPON BLACKS
BOILING A DANGEROUS AMUSEMENT FOR NEGRoEs-
THE BLACK VOTE HELD FIRM By SOLEMN oATIIS