The Tiffin tribune. (Tiffin, Ohio) 1868-1887, 1874-09-24


garded attempts to reach any definite
. conclusions on this subject as lying
far beyond the province of statistics
or political economy, and considerably
within those Of stock jobbery and
bumbuR. Upon this ground alone Mr..
Kains-JacksOn's conclusions are open
TO so grave a suspicion of honesty as
to appear unworthy of serious consid-
GRAFTON. But since the New York Tri-
btme, an authority in the agricultural
circles of this country, has seen ft,
while quoting Mr.. Kains-JRcksOn's
conclusions, to give them as those Of
an ''unimpGachable authority" BT-
Gltac editorial Sept. 2, and this
thonghtless and extreme appreciation
has found its way into other prints, it
becomes necessary, in order TO coun-
terect the false impressions which IL
may prove the means of conveying, to
examine Mr.. JacksOn's statements
|. with some degree OF critical attention.
First, as to his estimate of the Brit
ish crop, which he puts at I12, 100000
to ID, 900, 600 bushels. He gives no.
guantitative basis Of average or of ly-
erage yield, as Mr.. Sanderson ani 1
have done; but quotes vague aid
/ AAOL4 u
cal newspapers in England, ami
comes to a bold but insufficiently SUI
! ported conclusion of his own, in
lump sum Of bushels, having range,
from minimum to maximum, of no
less than s, 100000. -.
Second, he bases the consumption
of the United Kingdom during the
| ensuing harvest year, 1S74-5, upon a
I pnnulafioy of % 000 OnO xut,ara.s m
cOrding to British official tables, it
was nearly 33, 500, 600 in midsummer
1874, and will be considerably more
| during the year to come.
Third, his estimate of the wheat
crops, consumption and surplus, of
the rest Of the world is based upon no
evidence which he adduces or refers
to or that is known to exist. He SIM
ply asserts that Judging from all ac-
cepted present estimates, the Unite
States, Russia, Hungary, Germany,
France and Turkey will have an ag-
gregate surplus o. $1,000, 600 bushels Of
wheat"
INDUSTRIOUS ERRORS.
1t is needless to point out the many
monstrous errors in this sweeping ipse
dirt. Two will suffice. AS to the
United States, how can Mr.. Kains- !
Jackson know the accepted present |
eStimaten of the wheat crop of this |
country when we don't know it our
selves? The Monthly Agricultural |
Report for July, 1874, gives the aver
age condition of winter wheat at 104,
and of spring wheat at 50 ; but who |
can tell SO definitely as Mr.. Kains-
Jackson pretends what our accepted
average crop is, or tells less how much
the surplus will be? The census of
1870 showed a wheat crop of 2SS, ,000,-
600 bushels, but the annual agricultu-
raj report of the same year. gave but
236, ,OO0, 600 bushels, while the reports
of 1871 and 1872, although the popula-
ton and culture had meanwhile large
ly increased, gave but 81, 200, 900 and
$50, ,000,0 600 bushels respectively, and
that OF 1878 is this day refused to be
communicated to the public by the
Commissioner.
Ordinary finOeular vision is no cir
to Mr.. Kains-J ackson's in
sight into the contradictory and sup
pressed statistics of our rather dynam-
ical than statical wheat culture.
With reference to Turkey, AH
Kains-Jackson, in his eagerness SEEM
ingly to "bear'' the London grain
market, appears to have forgotten the
terrible famine which is now desolat-
ing that country. But if Mr.. Kains-
Jackson forgot it the London Times
did not, for the very next day after it
printed his letter, 1t published an ac-
count from Constantinople which set
forth that from 5000 to 10000 people
had perished from starvation in An
CORA and other parts of Anatolia; that
the distress still continued /; and that,
according to Mr.. Farnsworth, an
missionary, who had re-
Gently visited the neighborhood, there
will be no bread crops this year, the
inhabitants not having pos
sessed seed wherewith to sow the
earth. This condition of affairs be-
speaks a strange sort of ''exportable
wheat surplusn in Turkey this year.
NJ 20 70 pEPRESS THE ~ saG RlA T.'isi's
I have now done with Mr.. Kains-
Jackson and his conjectures of wheat
crops and prices, and have only to re-
mark that it would be truly grievous
thing if the tissue of probabilities
which appear over his name, and are
based upon an evidently exaggerated
estimate of this years British wheat
crop, and otherwise merely guesses as
TO the American and some other crops
were permitted to influence our mar
kets for cereals.
1t is very natural that Mr.. jackson,
who is an Englishman, should wish
his country to be the gamer of the S65-
DOG, 600 which he rather confidently
concludes will be the value OF the diff
ference between the ensuing and the
last years purchases of wheat for Brit
ish account in this country but it Is
not at all desirable that through an
entirely mistaken Endorsement Of Mr..
JacksOn's supposed unimpeachability
our hardwOrking farmers and our
country should lose this vast sum for
lack of q timely examination of the
gentleman's claims to ingenuousness,
and good judgment.
ALEX DELMAR,
Late Director of the Bureau of Statis-
ties.
>The census of 1870 should have
showed the crop of 1869, but as the
taking of the census was spread over
eight months Of time, and extended
far into the year 1871, the agricultural
obtained by the marshals
related mainly to the harvest year,
lS70-71. See remarks to this effect in
the compendium to the census of 1870
page 69l-2. The Annual Agricultural
Report of 1871, page 40, says that the
census returns of sheen are "manifest-
ly incomplete" and leaves the reader
to infer that this is the fact in other
respects relating to agriculture but
if true as to wheat this would make
the crop more than the census stated
it, and not less, as the Commissioner
of Agriculture estimates it.-Lnter-
Ocean.
Pat and the Pig.
A countryman having killed pig,
and not wishing to divide with his
as was the custom in that
country, said to his man (who by the
way, was a son of the Emerald Isle y
''Pat, if 1 give the neighbors who
\