The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1874-03-03

makeshffs. The Marshal had been raised to Q Pro.
yls.onM Presidency m May; IN November he
years. but the secret understanding OF the reyalis
was shat this septennate should simply act asa
In otnst S 4n0A1 , TO soxALlsr oossr1R1S!Es
Mahon occupied the Presidency he would defend Il
against republican aspirants, while. on the other
tempting any coup d'stat to restore Napoleon w..
Snot 'nss that as soon as they could By
chamber, MacAahon would have :he good grace to
T re,Te Setore g., royahst nomin ee-probaby the
sSns rs Regent 81 n sssr SsU
and . simple plan u was; Unfortunately, the Mar
aiist was the feeling OF Che nation have been con-
tending that the Marshaate Is the only ye0fDne
possible under present circumstances They de-
scribe II rs happy mean between the repubIican-
ism which the royallsts dread and the Bonapartism
which they hate. Piausibly enough they reason
sons or than mere forms, and that so long IA the
country Is governed under conservative pripci-
and thus contents the masses, order viii be safer
than under king who would have lour-fiths or
There can be- no DOUBT Of the truth Of tSs 70 ni
Its sound policy from the conservative point Of
view and If the royalIsts held to measures instead
of to men they might govern the country for an
indefinite period supporting MacMahon TIL his
term was ended, and then re-electlng him or ap-
pointing o conservative OF the same stamp to sue
coed him. Bat French royaiists are Destitute OF an
political astutencss Names, trappings and SYM
bols are the things to which they pin their faith,
have . court and give them the comfort and tho
feeling that they are 'Hls Malesty's subjects"
especially the Duke de Broglie, the prime cham
pion OF the septennate, are getting into very bad
amer monarchy accuse them OF having committed
a breach OF contract. Some OF them go the length
Sioas and With having " deceived s them, and rc
cent division, In which the Cabinet was actually
beaten. proved that the Duke de Broglie had lost
all control over the majority. When matters have
reached this condition ev<nts may at any momene
hasten
CRISIS,
and to all appearances this crisis win come up0A
us very soon. Already the Duke de BrOgl!e has
limited that II the royalist newspapers commune u
shall be Obliged for the sake OF the Presidents dig
nifty, to prosecute them and so certainly as ne lays
q finger on one Of the roy a1ist prints with the
av0wed intention OF gaggtng the party, the Right
viii drive him from power. They can do this by
leav ny him to the merces OF the republicans, BY
whom he is detested, or they can cOalesce Wild
the constitutional bills now pending and get rid
OF him by formal vote. After thls two courses
would be open to the President; He might recon
head, In which case the new Ministers would have
to pledge themselves to let the royalsts alone.
that Is, allow them to plot against the President
with impunity; or he might summon Cabinet
from the liberal Lett. Just as constitu-
party is beaten. But both these courses would bd
equally repugnant to MacMahon. The former
pc 70 ,b h' % @ as to s
republicans are liberals OF the Theirs type, and
MacMah0n could not get on with them Tor any
length Of time Thus pressed he will In all prOba-
bility have recourse to the alternative already In
dicated, that Is, order plebiscitu'n. The mani
festatlOns which the BOnaparrsts will stir up
the 10th OF March will give him welcome pretexl
for doing thts He will say that as the members Of
the Assembly cannot agree 1t Is better
THE COUNTRY SHOULD PRONOUNCE ON ITS OWN
DEsTINIEs
once and for ALL ana then we shall have revival
the agitation which marked the plebiscitary Pc
ri0d OF 1870 The electors will be asked TO choose
Emperor And the ple0LSctturn will probably be 40
Ordained that neither OF the parties viii be able
complain OF not having had fair chance. On tho
first day OF the voting the electors will have three
ond day, q fortnight afterwards, the two lnstitu-
lions which Will have obtained the greatest num-
Der Of votes, Will fight out final battle. But how
will that battle endf There can scarcely be q
republican sentiment Is very deep Ia cities, but Ia
the country districts no one has forgotten tho
security and prosperity which the nation enjoyed
under Napoleon I'LL, and 1t Is in the country dts
tricts that the BOnaDartlsts are now most actively
engaged in propaganda It IS not likely that tho
imperlalists VIII obtain sucn triumph as they did
in 1870 when the Emperor polled 1000 900 votes to
1900, 900 recorded against him. But the votes
would in ali probability stand on the first day
empire, 3500 000 republic, $500, 0O0 and royalty.
1900, 000-this is, OF course, round number
overland on the second day the imperialists
would gam sufficient OF the royalist votes to carry
a majority. 1t must always be remembered that
in attempting TO forecast French events one "a
prophesylng about people as shifting as quicksil.
yer, and therefore, II may happen that none OF the
prognOs tcatOns made In this letter Will be juStt
ned by the events. But 1t Is allowable to draw
logical inferepces even from such illogical prem
political compass In france does certainly point at
this moment towards Bonapartism.