The New York herald., 1874-10-25


no .oliowmv outside o. the rammany leaders and
those they control. II the republicans had shown
a aen might ossn
come But The republicans ola hOtblng. Tne
temperance men declared practically and decis-
lyels against Dix. Then came the western vlc-
tories IN the October elections, ana with tnem q
revival IN the democratic church. The nope OF
returning power made SAINTS OF inhdeis. ana tne
sanctuary. Under the influence o the Increasing
activity oil the democracy the desire iof cnan.e
lurking the minds OF so many business nen
began to make Itself seen and let and the result
las been very decided improvements III the pros
pect OF the democratic state ticket.
WHAT THE DEMOCRACY MUST OVERCOME . =
That i'm mproyement, no xever, undenlaDie as u is
must not be mistaken as certain Or , evea ve,y ~
hopeful indication OF success. Inc maJoIi,J 9 aon
Governor DIX, in 1872, was over OF, Wo Iertainy
the Governor has done no onicial act sine ~ nls
e section tpat should cost HIM single vote nor
does any important portion OF his iormer sup
porters, II except the temperance vote appear
TO be Ia opposition to him now. On the vote u oi
ls72 IS. .Ooo must change from the republican 10
the democratic side to give the democraeI
any majority AZ all. Tne tempeIance ,a nc me ooa
woes H. inased, tney are In the field at ali on
the dav OF ecfIon. TINS vote would not 90 c gwen
TO the democracy but 10 a third candidate; nence
st,n II wouiu leave majority OF ABOUT % W.
to overcome W hicn would require cnange ol about
side. In New York city Governor DIX received
IN 1872 over $4,000 votes, or 3,ooo ihole IMAM
ooIa,neJ many democrat,c votes which may not
be cast lor him this year. But II ne lunS Only
5000 ahead OF ms party, As ne unu0uoieay WI Will ms
vote viii be about 81, Uoo on poll oil i3O, 900; tns
would leave Tilden majority oi 35 0c0 IN the cay
OF la,U0O more than hcrnan's majority. There
would then stIl remain $4,000 votes to De changed
from tue republican 70 the democratic side to give
IilQen any majority ~ all on the basis Vi the IQse
Sdsg q M ES ~ = E s. 4 s ass Sess
from Dix. SO the democratic politicians, who
know wnat a Canvass is. VIII readily uaoerstanu
that tney have hard battle before them yet, II
tney lntend TO haul down the Dix nag IN tue Em.
pire state.
THE PROSPECT IN THE CITY,
Tie great revival OF the democratic hopes,
whie party uue 10 the Western victories, Is
mainly attributable TO the large registration III
TINS city and TO the gradual settling down Oi tAe
reoe Nous elements, at least go lar as the Governor
anu Mayor are concerned. From the total rel sS-
trafiou 1t tue close last night we may larry cal
culate a vote OF I3o, 0OU IN the city. Vi these
it IS claimed that Mr.. Mickham will receive 10000
MIR. Wales A 900 and Mr. Ottendorier 10000 Tue
at 10000. On the former calculation, wnlca
Is PROBABLY nearly correct, Wickham VIII receive
majority over Wales o 800, ana over bDth Can
dldates or 1900. TINS clear democratic majority
over ootn opposing candidates lor Mayor would
have 10 be overcome by General Patrick H. Jones.
the Creamer and republican nominee i0r Register,
to beat Mr.. James Hayes even II he should receive
the whole republican anu democratic opposition
VOTE mus it Will be seen that whlie the contest
over the Reglslership wlll be much closer nan
tnat over tue bi4yoraty, tue chances are IA laV0r
oil the success oi Mr. Hayes.
THE DIFFICULTIES OF YOUTHFUL POLITICIAN.
Inc Puoiicltioa oil Mr.. J0nn Morrlssey's In ter.
view in yesterdays HERALD has made quite a SEN
oil dissatisfaction are apparent IN the ranks. IL Is
rumored that tue slnews OF war al nor foit thcom-
lng and how can an army oil Tree lances suoslst
without ratloDsf Mr.. Creamer has the spirit ol u
young hon and the ambition OF an Alexander.
should he in tnis war overcome the great ram
many chief ana the powerful statesman, wlo has
SO poor an opinion Of his services IN
the Ssate Legislature, he would sign
Tor more olg Indians TO conquer. But ne cannot
lmbue his thousands OF followers with his own N
vihciole spirit. People DO not believe that MIR.
Ottendorer stands the Sigh test aspect OF sue
integrity, manliDess and plain dealing o. the Ger
man candidate, only laugh at his candidacy as
arce me only prae.cad @ good n, saey Cpe may
era Jones' success IN hls run for the Regstersap.
But SO lar rs the Ma,oraty is concerned
they know that they might as well cast
their ballots for the LORD mayor OF
Duolin as lor Mr.. Ouendorfer. This has led to a
joke, and joke on hopeless action Is iata
some wag mas called the Creamer party the
Creamertion, or cremation, party, and to save
their sous tae oliowers OF tine gallant cx-leg,s-
lator cannot resist the idea that their meetings
are sort o. funeral pyre tnat Will burn them out
OF recognition as democrats and leave their 10
Creaner, the dauntless, declares that he Will h1hs
on TO the last and dey John Morrlssey to knock
TnE REPUBLICAN CANVASS
TIE republicans MI pull seaoily Tor their can
didate, -ur. Wales ana express great confidence
III their apuity 10 eject General Jones. Huts
have been thrown out that the vote on elec ION
daS viii not be 20 arge as the registration would
warrant. These nInts are interpreted to mean
the obstruction oi voting Dy means OF such appll-
ances are at the command OF John Ddven-
port and the Police Commissioners. Mayor
uavemeyer would go any length 10 de-
fsat John Ke.ly,s CANDIDATE ana Comptroller
Green woull nave done the same had any other
republican than Mr. Wales or Mr. Van Mort veen
placed N nomination by that party lOr Mayor. The
Mayor runs, Or, more correctly speaking, hOODles.
ih ihs lns orensc me vae pI
DoOs about between Van Mort and the custom
House for instructions, and would DO anything iOr
Wales Inc democrats have no person on their
side IN the Poce Board out the valiant General
DuTyee, and tneir interests might be slaughtered
= nuudrcu times over wnlle he was engaged
in spreading his military feathers and consulting
the leguIatton manual. so some appre nensIOn Is
expre ssed tnat tue voting may be purposey OBJ
stiucted as the smaller the vote in the city the
better VIII oe the prospect Ior the republican can
didates IN the Assembly districts where there
may be democratic split tpls pO.lcy is especially
feared. mr.. JON Kelly, when consulted on the
subject yesterday smlied grimiy and replied,
'.A!'er Coaliick aud Gardner's experience dome
think tneJ IL try IL on."
THE LOCAL pIssESsIoNs.
The 1ghts IN the Assembly, Aldermanic ana
Congressional districts do not now a. pear nkely
TO oe 50 general severe as was at lrsl antics
pated. Inc local stru sgies IN almost all cases
nave turned upon the efforts oi rival wara fac
tlous TO oD ain the inside position IN the Tammany
organization. Many o. tnem have already been
sette1, the disconiented democrats hesitatiDg oe-
arity, especially at time wnen the Return OF
the democracy 10 power seems At least
probable. Ctners Will no doubt be arranged
before the election, but some Will De fought out at
tie polls the Do.ters being supDned iiberaiiy wtn
tle sine vs. OF war Dy the wealthy republican
ofgaail4 ion. Among the REPUBLICANS all IS
stralgnt sailing, ana Whatever dIsanectlon there
may be toward the Custom House leaders no sign
oi 9uarreiing or il-ieedng appears On tae surace.
Inc republican NOMINATIONS so lar nave been OF
respectable ana commendabie Character
THE FOX REBELLION.
The most iosn daDle rebellion against the Tam
many power Is unquesti0naDly that led by Senator
Fox aud cX-Judge Hogan in the FUN Cougres-
slona oistricl. Mr. Il. X Meade, q well KNOWN
lawyer aad a highly respectable citize6, received
the iammany domination Tor Congress in the dis
trlct. IL was charged by some oil the delegates
that Mr. Meade dces not live in the distric that
he is IN TACT carpet-Dagger rom jhenanQo
county, ana as such not u proper candidate Tor
party winch mas declared In its platform in
iavor pI nome rue' and against carpet
DaEglng generally. Tnefe Dolt In the
Conyen lou, and the dssentients met and nom-
naIeu Judge Hogan Tor Congress. Judge Hogan,
born and bred III the district, Is certainly unob-
Jeclonaple on the subject OF 'home rule,r for
every man Ill the district knows MN aDu many
nave grown up with him. But Mr.. Meade denies
Ia card TO the electors Of the district that there
IS any foundation whatever Tor tue assertion that
ne IL carpet.0agger and claims ~ nave resided
la New YORK ufteen years and for cOusilara