The Grange advance., 1874-09-16
:IHEyW lI.clR(l. r.,

Vie yvs Of the B00. AlexoD4eR Oef.
mar upon the KielA, tho Demand,
and the Price.
ESPECIAL Correspondence to the Inter- Ocean,
PHILADELPHIA, Sept. 4, 1874.
Having in my second letter set forth
in detail q statistical account of the ag.
riculture and crops of France, showing
their progress nearly every year during
the past century, it was my intention
in this communication to endeavor to
show the influence which the pro-
.duction of French grain Immediately ex-
,ercises upon our markets, by acting di
rectly as mechanical governor" upon
the grain markets of England. But
certain statements which have recently
appeared in the newspapers render it
necessary that l should digrcss for the
once to the subject Of the British grain
crop.
PROBABLE BRITISH DEMAND FOR WHEAT.
In my first letter, assuming q pur.
posely underlined, because not known,
though currently believed to be large,
crop of breadstuffs in the
United States this year, and leav-
ing the conclusion hereinafter to
be mentioned open to be 'tmodificd by
the movement Of the grain crops Of
Continental Europe" and estimate the
current British wheat crop at 93,600,-
coo bushels, the demand for British
consumption at l86,O00,00O bushels,
and the probable imports to the United
Kingdom, at 92,400,000 bushels, con-
cluded that that kingdom would import
from the United States during the en-
suing harvest year upwards of 5O,000,-
900 bushels.
The total exports Of wheat and
wheat flour from the United States dur
ing the fiscal year ending June 80, 1884,
were about 81, 100000 bushels, of which
about two thirds were cleared ito or
through" ports in the United Kingdom.
This is the substance of information
received yesterday from the United
States Treasury Department.
In sLort, while I regard the British
wheat crop of this year as ''rather bet
ter than last years, but not 50 good as
represented in some of the late english
Journals" and although our this years
exports Of wheat to Great Britain were
exceptionally large, I believed that the
small stocks on hand in Europe, the
smaller area each year planted in wheat
in Great Britain, and the increasing
numbers of the people, would lead to
demand from this country during the
current harvest year almost as great
as it was during the harvest year just
closed.
WHY THE UNITED STATES WILL. EXPORT
50,000,0OO BUSHELS.
These estimates and conclusion were
based specifically upon:
|. Last years British crop, which
was estimated by Mr.. James Sandcrson,
Of London, at "a, 100000 bushels, and
by myself at somewhat higher figure.
-heso York Times, Feb. Is, 1874.
2. This years crop, as indicated by
my private advices from competent
sources Of information.
3. The diminishing area annually
sown with "corn" (wheat) in the Uni
ted Kingdom, and the conversion of
corn lands into pastures and parks.
4: The average consumption per
capita hitherto.
5. The importations of wheat and
wheat -four into the United Kingdom
during the last three harvest years,
which, for the first eleven months there.
of from Sept. previously, to July 81,
1872, 1873 and 1874 were, respectively,
1884, 1923, 92,408,l44 and 1921 ,o88
bushels.
6. The proportion of such importa-
tions which were drawn from the Unit.
ed States during the first eleven months
of the harvest year 1884, which was
fifty-ive per cent. of all the importa-
tions of wheat and wheat -four into the
Cnited Kingdom. [No1E-I gave the
importations into the United Kingdom
for the then expired portion of the har-
vest year 1884 only, because of the
great arithmetical trouble Of compiling
them from the British monthly &C..
counts for series of harvest years.
They are already compiled by the
calendar year (Jan. l to Dec. 81 in the
British official blue books, but the
movement of breadstufs, If reckoned by
the calendar, fiscal or any other year
but the harvest year, is apt to be mis-.
leading, and therefore did not quote
IT, However, now append it for a
series Of calendar years past: !.
Wheat and wheat
Year Flour imported
Tnoeo INTO United Proportion Proper
Deosm- Alngdom, from U. s. ton per
~ eocA' o. cWt. cwt. cent.
1860 8, ,84l, ,926 9.3l6.l25 29. 2
1851 81 H,646, ,7Q5 l6.6lO.472 40
1862 5O,042, 1894 2l.766'O87 A36
1923 1923 3O,SS7.61 1861 ,179 1874
4 !o04 S,837,20 1O,O77, ,43l $50
too0 25,o43.662 l,498,579 T.2
1856 29,37l ,679 $685. .22o az
.o67 6 80, l36,78O 6.091,733 1870
1858 36,606,46 6,763,a89 lax
AHfN