The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1874-03-24

family: II the republicans are nopeIesMy
DIVIDED, Mr.. Adams may be nominated by an
alliance with the democrats. This would be Q
natural alliance. But 1t seems only possible. The
eection OF Adams would be the defeat OF Dawes,
VINO mas mature party claims; the defeat Of the
ADMINISTRATION, who would accept Dawes, but pre-
Ter HOar; the defeat OF Butler, who sees In Adams
a type OF every element that opposes him. II the
canvass should be protracted no one knows who
may win. new and unnamed man NAV come az
Sumner came twenty-Jhree years ago But il /
were q betting man would as matters now look
take "Dawes, ridden by Ben Butier,n against the
field
The Latest speculations Regarding the
Successorship In the senate-Mr. Dawes
Supposed To BE Most I'm FavOr-Possi-
biIity OF y Coalition Butler and Demo-
cratic NEUTRALITY-SUSPICIOUS. In Bos-
ton.
BOSTON, March %, 1874.
The question OF who shall succeed the late
Charles Sumner in the United States Senate Is
stil vexed and perplexed one. The election
takes place tomorrow afternoon at haif-past two
O'Clock, and yet at this tardy and critical mo-
ment no man dare predict the name OF the success
iul candidate. The republicans persistently refuse
to harmonize, and now at the last moment the con-
fusion In their ranks Is "wOrse cOnfound ed"
than at any previous stage of The campaign. Mr..
Dawes and Judge Hoar are, OF course, the leading
republican aspirants, and their strength Is indi.
Gated by the order in which their names are men,
toned. In fact, IL Is everywhere admitted that
Mr.. Dawes will lead the Concord Congressman In
the Senate and possibly in the House; but no one
supposes for moment that choice Will come out
OF the first ballot. General Butler Is in Washing
ton attending to his Congressional duties
fact which has given currency to
a rumor that he is like the woman who saw her
husband In fracas with a bear, and coOly re-
marked that she ''didn't care which got the best
n 10 ia ed hat n
long as it was fight between dog and skunk he
would be better pleased If the skunk got whipped.
His listener said that was indefinite. "Well"
added the General 'then II it is fight between
two skunks, would like the one nearest me to be
killed." All OF which means that he referred to
Mr.. Hoar.
AS pleasantly this is all very well but there Is
too much Of Butler and anti-Butler on the surface
to warrant the belief that the Essex statesman Is
not interested In the result OF the contest. All his
active friends are in the field on the Dawes side,
and all his industrious opponents are on the side
of Mr.. Hoar Efforts to persuade Mr.. Dawes to
draw out of the contest have brought reply that
he prefers to be murdered rather than commit sui
eide. 1t is an accepted fact that
THE DEMOCRATS CONTROL THE SITUATION:
and inasmuch as Judge Curtis, their nominee, has
not accepted the nomination they are not In duty
bound to stick to him. In view OF this IL Is not
among the improbahlltles that they may amalga-
mate with one wing or the other of the republican
party, probably the Butterflies, and take up man
not heretofore regarded as a leading candidate.
This Is one Of the most reasonable Of t0-night's
mors. and the man who will pe brought forward
and carried in by default is generally conceded to
be General N. p. Banks who is now member Of
the State Senate. Next to him in chance is Speaker
Sanford, of the House, All speculation, however,
may be upset by the events Of tomorrow.
GREAT EXCITEMENT PREVAILS
over the pending struggle and all the leading ho-
tells are crowded tonight with politicians from all
quarters Of the State, who are discussing with
fluent ana incoherent elOquence the probabilities
OF the result. The only one point they agree upon
is that Dawes and Hoar will lead at the start but
concerning the subsequent ballots there are no
definite conclusions except those which have in
dicated. The Boston Journal in an editorial to-
night, indicates the uncertainty OF uncertain
things in the following language
We have not thought it worth while to publish
definite tables OF the strength OF the several can
didates who are likely to come before the Leglsa-
ture, tor the very good reason that we have no
1ath In any OF them. The senatorial contest re-
sulting In the election Of Mr.. Boutwell, was TAI
clearer than this and yet 1t will be remembered
what absurd estimates as 1t afterwards appeared
were put forth by observers supposed to be wei
informed The element Oh uncertainty is ten times
as great now. In some respects we are glad to see
that so many members are Keeping their own
counsel In this matter 1t shows that they fee
their responsibility and are preparing to discharge
honest CONVICTIONS unemDarrassed by all pledges
or cOmmittaS.