New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1874-07-25

In the convention, then the Democrats, VINO are
now quite certain to nominate the Hon. VIM. Gas
ton as their candidate would have the best opportu
nifty for that they have for twenty
THE COMING STRIPE FOR THE sENAToRsHIP.
The only really new movement for the United
States Senatorship made during the last month is
the declination of Mr.. Dawes to run again for the
House, which is accepted on all hands as procama-
tion that he is to be actively in the field for the
higher Office portion of the party managers has
been endeavoring to get other candidates out of it,
thus far with only Indifferent success. Judge Hoar
follows close upon Mr. Dawes with a statement that
he, too, will not run for the lower house again.
The two leading candidates for the last term are
thus kept neck and neck in attitude. Mr.. Dawes
has apparently gained something upon Judge HOar.
Ii Is felt that he is the better party man. for how
ever bravely he may talk he quite to yield TO
supposed party exigencies at critical moments. II
viii be probably easier TO nominate him in a caucus
next year, if no new candidate is brought forward,
than it was this year. As regards his election,
everything will depend upon the class of men who
are chosen to the next Legislature. If the people
get out of the ordinary partisan ru to the extent Of
which there Is now hopeful prospect, Mr.. Dawes
will find it very difficult to a majority of the
Legislature. There viii be many Republicans chosen
who will favor Mr.. Charles Francis Adamss election.
If Mr.. Adams had awakened as much admiration for
his personal character as he has respect for his in
teectua qualities his prospects for being the next
Senator chosen from Massachusetts would be excel
lent. Unfortunately, he has not been successful on
the fiTst-named point with either the Republicans or
the Democrats to the most desirable degree. Mr..
Dawes is fortunate in the weakness of rivals IN his
own party also. 1t does not seem possible that
Judge Hoar can be elected. and no other very
spcuous Republican has been presented as a com
petitor. Perhaps an exception should be made of
Gov. Washburn A great effort is on foot to induce
him to decline in favor of Mr.. Dawes. Some of the
advocates of the latter say that it has already sue
ceeded; but any withdrawal on the part of Senator
Washburn is likely TO be easily neutraIized, if the
people see fit TO elect him in spite of it. There are
many in the State who. if western man iS 10 be
taken. would prefer him to Mr. Dawes. If he be not
so ready debater as the latter in sound Judgment
and strength of will he is his superior He has dig
nifty and purity of character also and is OF the
most upright men the State has sent to Con-
gress. II viii hardly be safe to count him ont of
the candidacy, whatever may be the developments,
if There is to be protracted contest.
CHANGES IN THE CONGRESSIONAL DELEGATION.
The simultaneous retirement Of Mr.. Dawes and
the brothers Hoar from the House of Representa-
tves at Washington will deprive the State of large
portion of the advantage it has had in the ability
of its members in that body. Gen. Butler will be
the only conspicuous figure remaining, and 1t Is felt
that there is some doubt as to his reelection. The
political change in the delegation is not likely to
be remarkable. Mr. Bufinton. Mr.. Harris, and
Ar Pierce are quite certain TO be elected in the lst
Id and lid Districts. There is talk OF run
ming John Quincy Adams against Mr. Harris, but
il is not probable the latter be defeated In tie
WITH. Mr.. Rufus : Frost of Chelsea is said TO have
the best chances as Mr.. Hoopers successor. Mr.
Frost is a successful merchant, and is personally
most amiable and excellent gentleman; but he is
not well adapted to pablo i!!et being deficient in
accuracy of insight regards both men and
measures and easily led in a wrong direction by
those much inferior in good intentions to himself
His support of Collector Simmons one of whose
bondsmen he is, is a proof of this. Simmons, 1t Is
said has determined that Mr. Frost shall be elected
and will take the Republican Convention and cam
nairn under his own charge The Democrats have
really majority in this district, which NJ. Hoopers
money and Mr.. Smmons's manipulation have pre-
vented their using to any advantage. Mr.. Frost Is
NOT likely to keep the young Christian soldier so
well furnished IN the peculiar munitions for this
war as did Mr. Hooper, but 50 much may not be
needed He has the Cust0m-House now and the
State constabulary, and with these institutions
combined a wonderful saving may be effected H.
however Simmons makes himself too offensive, ana
the anti-Butler Republicans get their backs up"
nothing can be easier than for them to elect Dem
ocrat in the district and they will do it if there is
enough prOvOcation, and the Democrats give them
a good man to vote for
GEN. BANKs-BUTLER AND HIS RIVALS.
The impression prevails thai Gen. Banks is to run
Mr.. Gooch off the course IN the With District, and
Republicans and Democrats alike share this feeling.
II is not so easy to see upon what it is founded Mr.
Gooch has been a faithful representative. and has
given no offense to anybody and his district Is
strongly Republican. Gen. Banks on the other
hand has not added to his reputation by his service
in our state Legislature this year. Gen. Butler is as
retcent about running for Congress as he Is as re-
cards the contest for the Governorshlp de can get
the Republican nomination if he tries for IL in
earnest To be more explicit, 1t will be his If he
spends money enough TO secure 1t. de VIII PROB
ably do this. There will then be bolt and another
Rennblican candidate nominated. Between this
candidate and the Democrat, the chances are that
ButIer will run in. This is what he expects at
nresept. OF the Democratic candidates named
against him, Messrs Thompson and Currier, neither
* accountable to the anti-Butler Republicans. Mr..
Willard p Phillips whom the boilers against But
Ter propose to nominate, Is not expected, either TO
have the Democratic nomination. This state OF
affairs is viewed by Butler with considerable com
nlacepey. but it may be changed by and by. Gen.
VIM. Corswell of Salem, sort of half Butler man,
wants the seat in Congress 50 badly that he viii not
wait another year if he help It, and proposes TO
rim against Butler in the regular convention. He Is
one of the haf-dozen to each of whom Butler has
given hope that he may be his successor.
THE REMAINING DISTRICTS.
The With With. IXth, and Xth Districts are
all strongly Republican in politics The With,