New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1874-03-24
SUMMERS SUCCESSOR.
Continued from First Pase.


Hall last year. and went to Washington to
head off Simmons this year. Judge Hoar's cleo
ton. the contrary. would be tho triumph of these
gentlemen over Butler; but 1T would not BIO the,
triumph of any body the President any further
than that Judge Hoar is an able and upright man,
and the Of such people is always its face
bad for the White House policy. Mr.. Adamss cleo
ton would indicate tho lessening Of party ties so
far that the State declares itself to hold character
and intellect in the selection of Senator paramount
to any profession of belief in platform or devotion
to leaders. Gen. Banks's choice would be open
revolt against the Administration, and the first step
iii general breaking Of parties in Massachusetts,
On the immediate of an election like this 1t
would be idle to prophesy with any confidence as to
tho result. Nobody feels anything approximating
certainty, in fact, to what the result is to be-
There never was o contest moro perplexingly in
doubt than is this 1t is only safe to say thatno
candidate has majority at present and no conbi
nations for the future have been formed which may
be relied upon as yet to give either candidate the
right to count on probable success Mr.. Dawes led
all others quite largely, as far as declarations
of purpose had been made public, up to
Last Friday. Since then he has manfestly fallen
of in prospects, and Judge Hoar has gained
upon him. 1t is generally conceded by candid men
that. if the question were referred to the people,
Judge Hoar would largely lead Mr.. Dawes; and per-
haps this fact may be significant Of Judge Hears
ultimate success. This would be safe as any
prophecv but it is hardly worth while to prophesy
at all. 1t is still assumed that Mr. Dawes will lead
ON the rpt ballot. roaeivine something in tho neigh
bOrhO0d of 100 votes in the two Houses. Judge ioar
will be likely to poll perhaps 20 below this, and the
Democratic candidate some 20 lower still This cal
culation would leave 40 votes for Mr.. Adams and
Dtti 10 mot cd an
accurate statement 1t does not seem probable that
Mr.. Dawes is to gain in strength as the balloting
goes on unless the contest narrOws down to himself
and Judge Hoar. when he will probably receive some
Democratic votes from his section of the State But
there not unlikely to be q contest protracted over
several days. with many ballOtngs The vacancy
to be filled, it should be remembered, extends only
to the 4th of March next. The Legislature to sue
coed this chooses the Senator for tho full six years
from that period.
MIR. DAWES APPARENTLY AHEAD-THE ESTIMATED
vorg-vIEws OF THE ADMINISTRATION.
IBY TELEGRAPH TO THE TRIBUSE.i
BosroN, March 23.-Mr. Dawes is in Wash
ngton and Senator Learnsdd has to Troy TO at
the funeral OF his sister but all the management
that necessary Mr.. Tinker ia fully competent TO d.
rect, and pulled his gloves to go home tonight
he said, There Is doubt that Dir. Dawes will get
than 100 votes tomorrow, aud DO elected on
Wednesday"
He even represented the Hoar party as ready to se
Banks and this in view OF the fact that the lead
have quietly gone homo to sleep. The lines have
very closely and the leaders know pretty
whom they depend. II TO be conceded
that Dawes well lead In the House and Hoar the Sen
ate on the inform ballot. The sharpest calculators
agree the following tho probable vote on the first
ballot.
Dawes 1907 Hoar 75 Curtis. co. Loring, IL; Adams, TO-
Sanford, s. Banks, s; scattering 10.
There has been falling out between Senator Learnadd
and Dr. Ioring growing out of tho debate the Ten
hour law which threatens be exposed in open Senate
after the Senatorial question is disposed Of The Daily
Advertiser OF will all chance OF Adams
as an original candidate, aud will say:
II the political fidelity In this State IL to be
active watohfu untirng resistance to that corrupt
System OF politics which stormed our State Conventions
In 1871 and 1873. and is preparing Tor third ASSAULT
reinforced by the National Government, we do not SEQ
how any one who recognizes this consistently
hesitate under circumstances to vote for Judge
Hoar. For with all ms acknowledged EXAMINATIONS Tor
rarely failed tnd in New England Senator'S, no
has tired Of this light 1t was at this point
that Mr. Dawes failed.
GENERAL PRESS DIsPArCH.l
The Senatorial question tonight appears to be as much
in doubt as ever. A few OF Gen Banks's friends held
meeting tonight at Parkers at which f. W. Bird and
Leopold present vote will take place at
$50 p tomorrow. The Springfield Republican Of to-
morning will up tho prospect for tue sens
tor.a election as follows:
Judge Hoars election be SAID to be ont OF the
question. Mr.. Dawes's election not very probable it
and more likely that third man, either Mr.
Adams, independent outside choice. or some per
son OF much lower grad from within tho ranks OF
the Republican party Will finally DO agreed upon as
compromise candidate.