The Worthington advance. [volume] (Worthington, Minn.) 1874-1908, 1874-09-12
the WHEAT CROP.
Views Of the Hon. Alexander Dell
mar upon the Yield, the Demand,
and the Price.
Especial Correspondence to the Inter- 0cean.]

Especial Correspondence to the Inter- Ocean,
PHILADELPHIA, Sept. 4, 1874.
Having in my second letter set forth
in detail a statistical account of the az.
riculture and crops of France, showing
their progress nearly every year during
the past century, it was my intention
in this communication to cndcavor to
show the influence which the pro.
luction Of French grain Immediately ex-
crciscs upon our markets, by acting di
rcctly as a mechanical "govcrnor' upon
the grain markets Of England. But
certain statements which have recently
appeared in the newspapers render it
necessary that should digrcss for the
once to tho subject of the British grain
crop.
PROBABLE BRITISH DEMAND FOR WHEAT.
In my first letter, assuming 4 pur-
poscl y underlined, because not known,
though currently believed to be large,
crop of breadstulls in the
United States this year, and lcav-
ing the conclusion hereinafter to
be mentioned open to be ''moditicd by
the movement Of the grain crops tof
Continental Europe" and estimate the
current British wheat crop at 93,GO0,-
coo bushels, the demand for British
consumption ut lS6,0O0,0M bushels,
and The probable imports to the United
Kingdom, at %, 4OO, OUO bushels, | con-
Guided that that kingdom would import
from the United States during the en-
suing harvest year upwards Of 50,000,-
900 bushels.
The total exports Of wheat and
wheat flour from the United States DUR
ing the fiscal year ending June 80, 1884,
wcro about 87,000,000 bushels, Of which
about two thirds were cleared ito or
through ports in the United Kingdom,
This is the substance Of information
received yesterday from the United
States Treasury Department..
In short, while regard the British
wheat crop Of this year as "rathcr bet
ter than last years, but not SO good as
represented in some Of the late English
journals, and although our this year $
exports Of wheat to Great Britain were
exceptionally large, believed that the
|
smaller area each year planted in wheat
in Great Britain, and the increasing
numbers of the people, would lead to
demand from this country during the
current harvest year almost as great
Us it was during the harvest year just
closed.
WHY TIE UNITED STATES WILL EXPORT
$4,000, 600 BUSHELS.
These estimates and conclusion we're
based specifically upon:
I. Last years British crop, which
was estimated by MFR. James Sandcrson,
of London, ut 7+l,4OO, OOOo bushels, and
by mysclfat somewhat higher figure.
-Neao York Times, Feb. IS, 1874.
2. This years crop, as indicated by
my private advices from competent
sources Of information.
8. The diminishing area annually
sown with ''corn'' (wheat) in the Uni
ted Kingdom, and the conversion of
corn lands into pastures and parks.
4. The average consumption per
capita hitherto.
S. The importat,ons Of wheat and
wheat flour into the United Kingdom
during the last three harvest years,
which, for the first eleven months there
of from Sept. previously, to July 81,
1872, 1873 and 1874 were, RESPECTIVELY,
1854 1898, 92,40S,i44 and 7l,6SS
bushels.
6. The proportion of such importa-
tons which were drawn from the Unit
cd States during the first eleven months
Of tho harvest year 1894, which was
fifty-fivc per cent. Of all the importa-
tons Of wheat and wheat flour into the
United Kingdom. NorE-[ gave the
importations into the United Kingdom
for the then expired portion Of the har-
vest year 1894 only, because Of the
great arithmctical trouble Of compiling
them from the British monthly &C.
counts for 4 series Of harvest years.
They arc already compiled by the
calendar year Jan. l to Dec. 81 in the
British official blue books, but the
movement Of brcadstutfs, If rcckoncd by
the calendar, fiscal or any other year
but the harvest year, is apt to be mis-
leading, and therefore did not quote
it. However, | now append it for q
series Of calendar years past:
Wheat and wheat
Year Flour imported
ended into United Proportion Proper
Deem Kingdom, from u S. ton per
her 81. cwt. cwt. cent.
1850 3l,s4l,926 9,3l5,l25 29.2
1861 37,G45,7o5 l5,6lO,472 4l.2
1862 co. 1894 81, 7G5,O87 43.5
1868 3O,8S7.S92 Il, 869,i79 1874
1864 $685., 200 lO,077,13l $50
1866 25,S43 $50 ,49S,b79 l7.2
1866 IS 90, 37i ,G79 99G, 800 "a
1867 3o,'3G,7SO 5,O9i 1888 1870
1868 sc, 5G,0I5 G,753,3S9 1876
1869 44,447,772 15,32O,c57 34.5
1870 3G,9M,ll5 15,o57, 1856 4os