Rutland weekly herald. [volume] (Rutland, Vt.) 1859-1877, 1872-05-02
THE RUTLAND HERALD.
WEDNESDAY, MAY /, 1872.
The American and Foreign EIe-
uIents i'm Our Population.

We present below brief abstract of
paper contributed by DIR. Edward Jar
Wis to the April atlantic, on Immigra-
ton
The whole number of foreigners liv-
ing in this country January 1st, 1870,
was $500, SAG and their families, pa
rents and children amounted to 9,734,-
9l3 persons. Add to these the grand
children Of the immigrants of the 40
years. 179O-1S30, who came early
enough for their children to be born
here, grow to maturity, marry and be-
come heads Of families, and the whole
will not much exceed 10, 500, 900 where
as, If the rates of natural increase were
equal for both races from 1890, the Am
erican element would have been 81, 40
595, and the foreign / 1 ,607, 1914, in 1870
and these classes severally would have
been 19,110,O75, and 7,S47, 1878 in 1860
and 1864, AS and 3,90S, 500 in 1920
and the numbers in native families
would have been so per cent in 1850, and
II per cent in 1860. But the proportion
of the whole white population is even
more largely American than this.
No official account has been given of
IL
Some statistical writer's, however, made
careful inquiries and estimated the eX-
tent Of immigration. Nj. Blodgett
thought the arrivals did not exceed four
thousand year, from 1889 to 1894. DR..
Seybert supposed there were six thou
sand a year, from 1890 to 1910. Prof.
Tucker fixed the number at fifty thou
sand in the period 1890 to 1900, seventy
thousand from 1910 to 1920, and two
hundred thousand from 1910 to 1890
The professors estimates are now adj
mitted rs correct by the best authorities
DR.. Jarvis takes exception to the the
cries lately advanced by Mr.. Knapp and
Mr.. Schade, and adds these remarks con-
corning the sources of natural increase
In 1900 there were presumed to be
GAL, $40 children surviving from the
births in foreign families since 1890.
These constituted the greater part of the
gain at that time. They were subject to
"a per cent annual mortality, and there
by lost 1873, 44G in the course of these
ten years. and so many were needed to
be born and survive to the end to fill
their places. As the last were only the
survivors of the cOmpensating births,
the number 81, BAT, who died among
them, must also be added to those born
in this period, making 175, 1903 births
necessary to supply the loss on the pre-
yiOus increase. Add these to those need
ed for the increase of this period, 130S,-
1903, and there was a total Of lab, 896
births necessary in this period to sustain
and complete Mr.. Knapp's supposed in
crease.
The sources of this increase or the
productive power were /. The "A, 2S2
survivors of the immigrants of the pre-
vious period. 2. The 10000 who arrived
in this decade. Of the former, II, 1873
were females, and 8, 14S of these were of
the productive age, twenty to forty, who
had q Chance or a hope of living ten
years each, or total of 81, 4S0 years
within this period.
1t is a noteworthy fact that the rate of
natural increase has diminished with the
increase of foreigners. By comparing
the numbers of foreigners in our pOpu
lation with those of the total whites, at
the several decennial years, or the aver
age numbers of total whites during the
decennial periods, we obtain the proper
tiOns between these classes at each per
iOd.
In the twenty years 1790-181O, when
the average population was one ninety
third Of the total whites, the rate of nat
ural increase was 800 per cent greater
than it was in the twenty years, 1870
1860, when they constituted twO-seven-
tenths of our whole people.
The theories Of Messrs. Schade and
Kapp, in respect to the increase of the
foreign element Of the population of the
United States, being built without foun-
dation, and being sustained by explana-
tons at war with the recorded facts of
the oensuses, lead to deductions incon-
sistent with each other and at variance
with the recognized laws of population
and mortality. They imply an incred-
ible immigration in the early periods, or
an impossible birth-rate. to produce the
sufllciency of the foreign element to
complete their supposed increase in the
several decades of years.