New-York tribune., 1872-07-31
THE POLITICAL OUTLOOK.
MISSOURI

Grant papers in this section consider II eXpedent 10
parade a parcel OF figures to show that Missouri II not
securely attached the fortunes of the present ADMIN
straton Ia at least surely ggoa over TO the FUSION
ists and that all that IA needed Is WORK 10 secure iN
electoral votes for Grant and wilson An assertion so
preposter jusly absurd exccs nothing out conenP' "
home but as tho condition Of affairs IL not well known
abroad IL NAV be of interest 10 examine
INTO il infinitely for the purpose OF afrN-
ing at fair understanding OF the laos'
The Democrats claim majority ranging ITO" "''
100000 think the truth ia to be fouhd very n,.y
the middle OF these extremes. Grants vote III 700 70"
AZ o2 I'm total poll OF 1i7 1885. which gave him inV
ity OF 2O7O7. THIS at time when tho se''o w
under the Administration OF Gov. Fletcher and secretary
of State Rodman who, whatever may DO sald Oh 'non "
citizens had no conscience as phtSan@ AZ "'a' ','',
In several Congress districts. Including perhaps H
dozen counties In each, IL was literaly u'ao W an
,,o,,,oo onos'scIf as opposed 70 Gen Grant In some
counties 80 Douglas aud Howell Tor instance "mcn
were under tho rule OF freebooter by the
mama of Monls-hardly a single vote was cast
for Seymour Helt County, which Is now Dem
ocratic by 1909 at least, cast only l5l
votes for the Democratic ticket 10 over 1000 for the other
II ia therefore safe to that while nearly the en-
tire vote for Grant and Coiax was poIled, not more
than co per cent OF the Democratic vote was brought out
aud perhaps a smaller figure would be nearer the
truth number Of prominent Democrats In the Interior
tho Grant electoral ticket would be carried, declared
publicly IN ts favor giving reason privately that
IL was necessary for their protection at homo In the
prosecution Of their business Throwing away all these
considerations and admitting that the vote Tor
Grant in 1868 was natural and personal one, there Is
nothing advantageous In the figures TO the present Al
minstration "a we shall see.
FACTS AND FIGURES FOR THE GRANT AES.
The negro population Of the state round numbers is
sI,ot In afV rQ
all will vote the Grant ticket there would be an addition
OF 900 TO tho Administration vote Then add to TINS
total the very large proportion OF per cent as the gam
from immigration, and we have an aggregate OF H5e''
which. for convenience, may be set down as ho'oOO
The Democratic vote under the system OF repression
above described was $1,000 in 1868 In some couhuos
over 900 voters were refused permission to register
Cass County with registered Democratic vote at the
present time of over 1900 cast in 1868 but ls3 votes
thousands of names were placed on the voting list
after subiectlng the owners 10 senator brakes eighy
seven barreed" test OATH TO be stricken on aerWaru
nv the BOARD of Review without notice explanation
Boone County the most p0pulous OF the interior suDd-
visions Of the State the seat Of the State University anu
containing beyond comparison the most prosperous,
wealthy and intelligent community in the state, only
cast vote OF 34S, half Of which was Democratic she
has population now Of 2OOOO aud an assured Demo
cratic majority of at least 25OO st. LOUIS, with popua-
ton of m OO casts less than 10000 votes, 10000 fVen
were for Grant Two years later she gave McCurg lor
Governor only 46OO loss Of over IL 900 in two years IL
would be tedious to particularize beyond the point
necessary TO show the method OF calcua-
ton But think there Is doubt that by the enfran-
obis;ng amendments incorporated in the Constitution at
the Gubernatora election Of 1870 by which the test oath
WAS abolished that at least 100000 Democratic votes
were added to the political power Of the State In 1870
in total poll of O (none Of the newly enranc hlsed
classes having that date the right Ito yote the Rad
cal or present Grant party cast only 1886 votes and
was shown to be in minority OF 4lO3S Had the DIS
franchsed classes at that time possessed the right to
ion in the contest is unquesonaby true that the
majority for Gov Brown would have been not less than
100000 Now what has been done since to change this
result
NOVEMBER PROSPECTS.
Careful estimates place the vote in November high
as 275 OO which s not out OF proportion in population
I'm excess Of 100000. illinois, with population of
2JOOOOO 1870 10000, and that too in an election
which did not arouse moro than ordinary interest.
Granting therefore, that the entire Grant vote OF 1863
will be poed for Grant in 1872 tan impossible event.,
giving to him every vote possible to be cast by the
negroes and allowing him anncrease OF ten per cent on
account Of the and the growth OF his Ad:
mnstraton I'm the confidence OF the people, there would
still left for the Greeley and Brown ticket majority
G00O0 Taking the vote OF 1872 Tor basis, ana allow
ing fair estimate Of the strength OF the enfranchised
vote. and the majority for Greeley and Brown viii be
100000 L have no doubt that 1t Will eX-
cepd the smaller ana very ncarlN approach lne
larger figures st. Louis County will give majority for
Greeley and Brown OF not less than lOON-l should not
be surprised reached 1000 Ihe Grant strength IS,
without the slightest exaggeraon confined TO those VINO
already hold Federal Office those who are consid-
cred fairly IN the ne o. @ ny S
very general but have vet TO meet the twentieth
man outside OF the classes named who acknowledges
the intention Of voting for Grant and Wilson To talk OF
the state going for Grant the sheeret baderdash and
be decorated or improved by liberal display of Gov
ernment advertisements. The Presidential contest IL
entirely disconnected from that for the possession OF the
THE STATE OFFICES.
The probability is that the Greeley Electoral ticket
will be fairly divided between the Democrats aud Libe-
raj the latter may have the prepon-
derance while the Democracy quite likely to claim all
but two or three Of the state nominations The Leuten
antGoveor Secretary OF State State Treasurer and
Register OF Lands will quite likely be accorded to the
Liberals and it may be that the distribution will be
satisfactory both state and Presidential tickets will
run together but incline TO the belief that desirable
a consummation Will not be easily reached. The greed
for office Is likely TO make our next State
Convention, which meets on the 21st OF August,
very unruly body aud while the drift OF sentiment i.
in favor Of some such division as have named II Is
possible that it may not be accomplished
or. If accomplished, that it will be brought
about In such manner as TO dissatisfy both parties
without wholly pleasing either As Intended in this
letter. however to conne myself Presidential pros
State ticket only desired TO show why it was probable
that Greeley and Brown would outrun their associates
on the state ticket.
LIBERAL REPUBIIcASs AND THE GERMANS.
Now in regard TO very important elements in the
state-the Liberal Republican and German elements
Though interchangeable terms in the election Of 1870
they deserve specific mention to-day II il, perhaps
enough that since Senator schurz's speech the
Liberal Republican party includes the German vote, but
the German vote is not all of It, Among the most active
in the organization thus designated the old
ganzers and leaders of the Radical party, which OBJ
tanned possession Of the state in 1862 and held 1t until
1870 Gen. John Mcneil. who is a host In himself, an
untlring worker In any cause, but OF preGminent
capacity in the present; Henry K. WhitmOre, who in
1863 organized the most efficient Of the political ser
vice in this county. the Young Mems Republican Asso