Worcester daily spy. [volume] (Worcester [Mass.]) 1850-1888, 1872-07-04
Gbe 9aig spg ddlurtester, GbursOag ome sup T. 1872

but has not yet pronounced; while briggs
won't carry off q corporaPs guard. Judging
by majorties in the present districts, we shall
carry eight, but, allowing only seven, it will be
a republican gain of two against a democratic
gain of one. So in the three northwest states
with twenty representatives, the admin
istration can fairly count on fifteen, leaving five
for the opposition. The present representation
is fourteen, of whom eleven are republican.
Leaving the larger states out at present, and
going south, we find affairs not so doubtful,
when examined in detail.
Arkansas will return two administration rep
resentatiyes against two opposition. Texas
will elect, il no violence occurs to prevent vot-
ing, at least three republican, out of six repre-
sentatives. The others will be democrats.
Louisiana has six. Owing to discussions there
it is conceded that we shall lose two districts.
The three southwestern states, with repreSen-
tation Of sixteen, will probably stand nine re-
publicans to seven opposition. At present they
book twelve representatives seven of whom are
administration members and one is doubtful,
the Others beiug democrats.
state of that name, and feel assured of the full
delegation, six, gain 81 one. Tennessee has
to elect ten members, an increase Of two. In
the democratic anxiety to prevent Mr.. May
nard's reelection, they succeeded in making
new republican district, which embraces Chatta-
nooga Buffers district is believed to be safe,
the new one will be carried it is expected, Re-
t,,,hl
of carrying the Nashville and Memphis
districts. The latter is counted on as almost
sure. This will be a gain of two votes. Ala
bama is entitled to eight, of which the most
moderate count divides equally between the adj
mnstration aud the opposition Kentucky will,
it is believed give at least three republicans out
of ten. SO the central south will stand with a
representation of hrty-four-twenty democrats
to fourteen republicans. AT present, with a
representation of twenry-eight, it stands eight
cen democrats to ten republicans.
Coming to the coast, and beginning with
Florida, ii can he said the prospects of harmon
izing the republicans there are favorable enough
to ensure the state and elect the representative.
Georgia is in mixed condition. Some republi-
ley democratic quarrel. This will not prevent
them carrying the state, but may and probably
will enable the republicans TO increase their rep
resentatves. In the pending election, it is en-
titled to nine members. The present number is
seyen-of whom four are democrats 1t is re.
garded as certain that we can carry an addition
al district, and probably two. South Carolina
Ex-aY nIlarS oil of xUb will no
cans. This is a gain of one. In North Caro-
lima, with eight members to elect, we shall at
least divide them equally, a gain of two. In
Virginia it is hard 10 tell what will come. But
to be sure, | put down TO the republicans only
two out of nine districtS-a loss Of one and Il
democratic gain of two. In Maryland, out Of
six we will certainly carry one republican,
gain TO that extent. West Virginia will prob
ably not change-two democrats TO one republic
can; and Delaware will be as usual-democratc
Thus the coast states (south), with a representa-.
ton of forty-two will stand as follows; twenty.
four opposition to eighteen republican Theil
present delegation is thrty-six, of whom four.
teen are republicans.
Taking New England, we shall probably lose
| buC III htlllCj gam bilCC III NtN 1dlulSllllG
elect 10 ont of II in the Bay state, 8 ont Of in
ConnecticHt, 0 in Vermont, and 3 in Rhode
Island, giving, out of %, of whom only
three will be in opposition, gain of one.
The states thus enumerated have total repre-
sentation of 173, majority of So of the house,
which will consist of 292 members. OF these
17S, there will probably be 116 republicans to 81
democrats or opposition members.
There are then to canvas New Jersey, 7; New
York S3, Pennsylvania 7, Ohio 20, Indiana 49,
Illinois 19-in all 119. AT present there are in
these six states so republicans to AZ democrats
According to the best estimates that can now be
made, New Jersey will stand democrats to :
republicans; New York Is TO IS; Ohio will
stand 5 to 10; Illinois TO 10; Indiana to G
and Pennsylvania about even-13 to 10.
This will make in all "a democrats to 60 republi.
cans. The house would be divided as follows
Republicans III and democrats 121-a total oil
292, or a majority Of so. Iput this on record as
the probable complexion of the next house
Deduct twenty for over-calculations in New
York, Illinois end Indiana, and we shall still
have thirty majority. OBSERVER.