New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1872-10-04
spEoULATIoNs UPON THE PROSPECTS.
Icy TELEGRAPH TO TIE 7

PHILADELPHIA THE UNKNOWN QUANTITY -
THE PRECAUTIONS AGAINST RING fRAUDs-
ESTIMATED LIBERAL MAJORITY OF 1o,OOO
OUTSIDE OF PHILADELPHIA.
lFRoM THE SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT OF THE TRIBUNE
PHILADELPHIA Oct. g." How is the State
going - is question the: have heard asked at least
hundred times since returning this city. on Tuesday
evening" and IL is question nat have heard no one at
tempt to except In part Philadelphia is the great
unknown quantity that must enter into all calculations,
and which have found nobody on either side able or
willing TO estimate On tie hand the Liberals and
Democrats know how much the Ring viii succeed
in cheating. They firmly believe That on fair vote this
city would give Buckalew majority. ms De-
lief IS founded on several welestaonshed
facts These are frt the known strength Of the Le-
raj Republican element in the city; secondly, the known
dsaection IN the Grant party; and third the unknown
but undoubtedly large silent vote that Is almost sure to
be cast for Buckaew Ihese Win tS s0o @ @ M
the side OF Reform and honest Government, VIII more
than balance honest majority that the Republicans
have ever had In adephia IN an october etcton.
The Liberals believe also that, with all their repeating
and false counting, the Ring cannot return more than
1000 in this city. Tie changes in the Registry law,
10 which / called attention IN a former letter,
make tho preparation OF fraud more difficult
than 1t has been in previous years 10 Is hardly
officers in each division appointed by the opposition,
and selected with especial reference to the detection OF
frauds. ne he extensive when the
Ring appointed them all and selected only such men us
G the belief that the majority for IIartrnlt IN this city
viii not be larger s that Ring is watched this year
to 20 into details respecting the measures that
taken TO prevent iega Young and false counting nut
NAV say from the knowledge have, that 1t VIII lake at
least twice much effort 10 return gwen number Oh
fraudulent this year as II did last and that those
engaged in the business viii stand pretty good ehaoe
to get into the penteutiary-wI be almost sure TO 10
there il Buckalew is elected.
FRAUDULENT REGISTRATION IN PHILADELPHIA.
In reply TO all this Ring point to the enormous regis
traton Of this year-upward Of 10000 voters. II this
was fair registration it would not mean that all Of the
voters now registered for The first time are going to vote
for Hartranft But nobody believes that II Is iar The
largest vote cast in Philadelphia was that poed in
the Presidential election OF 1sGS-about l6,OOO New
York at The same election with the whole machinery OF
Tammany in perfect order for turning out fraudulent
maorltes by tens Of thousands gave only $4,000 ana
NewYork had $4,000 inhabitants in 1868 than Phil
los 90 Votes viii be ali that can possibly be returned,
aud OF those Buckaew ought TO get the larger per
centage of the increase the OF last FIJI
teen or sixteen thousand majority is what the Ring has
persstenty boosted that 1t VIII be able to poll IN TINS
visit to Philadelphia have been more modest and have
placed their majority al SOV linear u ho oe'ns vi
PROSPECTS, OUTSIDE OF PHILADELPHIA
Outside Of Philadelphia there is less Of uncertainty.
Having been pretty much all over the State, 1t Is my I'M
preston that Buckalew will make very great gains In
every county OF the Commonwealth with very few ex-
ceptons and in those any loss occurs, 1t will be slight
and owing wholly TO local causes Any one who has
Il
important elections here decided by the vote Of
few counties which roll up large majorities either for
candidate the other. The counties out OF which
Republicans have always got the maorities that
have enabled them 10 control the State Allegheny,
Bradford Chester Delaware, Erie Indiana Lancaster,
Lawrence, Lebanon, Philadelphia Somerset, susque-
hama, UOga, and one OF two others, each OF when
| in the light vote cast last year gave them
| from 10000 20 12000 majority on the state
ticket To partially neutralize the heavy MAORI
| ties in the counties named. the Democrats have
always been very strong in Berks, Cearheld Columbia
Greene, Lehigh Luzerne, Monroe Northampton 5chuy.
kill, WestmOrelaDd. and York. Given far estimate OF
the majOres in the % counties enumerated and almost
any Philadelphia politician tell very nearly what
result In the State will be- have visited the MAJOR
ty of strong Republican Counties and met inell-
gent gentlemen from the others, and have assurances
| that almost OF them will give Hartranft the
/ full strength OF the Republican vote. In some OF
them will be reduced ~ per cent or more In others rs
and in others Take Lancaster County, for instance.
generally been depended on for from 5000 TO 1000
Republican majority according 70 the Importance OF
the election. This county s the home OF Senator BIZ
hngfet, q plain man, but ono whom erybody
| will admit is honest, II there are any honest
| caster have been accustomed TO place tho most
implicit confidence In what this man says His bare as
seTtOn coed the Oaths OF hundred other men
He has said publicly "Gen Hartranft Is not an honest
man." and That simple declaration 10 enough for thou
sands Of honest in his county. They may not pro-
claim IL upon the housetOps that they will vote Tor
Buckalew; they not care 10 bring upon them the
abuse OF the Ring agents. and the annoyance 70 Mhlch
they would surely be subjected were their intentions
known; but they will be heard from on election day.
Lancaster will give than $500 majority and
would not be strange IL fell TO 1H0 Other causes are
operating with similar effect in other strong RepnDnchn
counties In most Of the Democratic counties, on the
other hand, there 10 every reason TO expect iDeesseo