New-York tribune., 1872-08-08
WESTERN POLITICS.
THE OUTLOOK IN WISCONSIN.

IPROM THE SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT or TBB TRIBUNE
JANEsyILLE, Wis, July 2S.-The tables fore
casting the probable result Of tho Presidential election
that have thus far seen, agree IN placing Wisconsin In
the Grant column few days spent In the State, and
with very limited means Of learning tho full strength
and extent Of the Liberal movement have convinced
me that this Is mistake and that wisconsin should un-
questionaby be reckoned among tho doubtful States,
and that by the time another month OF the canvass has
gone by the friends OF viii have as good reason
TO count upon electoral vote as they now nave 10
claim that OF Indiana. If the election were 10 take
place tomorrow, believe that Greeleys ehahces ior
carrying the State would least be as good as Grants
and every day adds TO the strength OF tho
Liberal cause. Greeley gains constantly, ana
Grant does not gain at al, for there Is no
element from which converts can be made Tor hi 1e
sole dependence Of his party managers upon e Iorce
OF political or an'zatlon and discipline The Admins
tration organs still talk about the largo number OF
Democrats who gong to vote for Grant, but ts Is
to keep up the of their readers by binding tne
to the real state OF the canvass Thor editors and all
the party leaders know that there not enough Demo
Gratis opposing Greeley TO make mn apprecaole diner
ence in the result They do not count upon any aid
from quarter ard making no Efforts to secure
any Their endeavors being directed entirely toward
preventing any further dcserons from their own ranks
by tryng make 1t appear that MI Greeley is no longer
Republican, but Is ingrained Democrat, whose cleo
ton would bring the Democratic party into power with all
its exploded and abandoned ideas or course this sort OF
argument - the kind that would convince Democrats
that their candidate Is anatcal Radical for whom they
ought not to vote. and the editors and orators who
make use Of It, know this very well But they under
stand that OF far importance that ihey should
make Republicans believe Mr Greeley to bo Democrat.
and "a dangerous too, than to try to ALLEVIATE
Democrats from his support by pcturing lin as an
Intense Radical Here in Wisconsin, and presume IL Is
30 in other States the tactics OF the Renomnationists
are 10 shout Justify the old party warces Of four ana
eight years ago. ignore all the issues Of the present
day TO tighten the screws of party discipline, and to
slrnatze Republicans who refuse to support Grant as
traitors 10 The party and to their country.
TIE PROSPECTS IN TIE STRONGHOLD OF GRANrIsM.
This mart OF Wisconsin is probably the poorest in
sense in which learn the progress Of Liberalism be-
cause this county QOck) gives the largest Republican
majority OF any county in the State, and HoDublcans
are naturally more mid about cutting loose from their
party where has large majority than they are in close
districts But in another sense, tins is perhaps the best
paee TO form estimates OF the probable result In the
State which, If they viii not be upon the slde OF
extravagance BY the statements OF both parties this
is the stronghold Of Gmntism. If numerous body OF
Greeley Republicans be found here, H. therefore,
pretty conclusive evidence that they are az least as nu
r6Ef0s Exceptionally in other counties, and we might
almost venture cipher upon the general political COM
pexion of the State from this data, if better were at
hand. The Liberal Republican strength In Rock
County is estimated at 900 votes. The whole
Republican vote cast last Fall at the Gubernaoral eloc-
ton was 5000 II there IS equal percentage OF Lib
erals in all the Counties and there Is every reason to DO
eye that there "a greater one the 1000 Republican
minority OF last Fan will be easily overcome by the com
bined Liberal and Democratic vOie number OF well
known Republican leaders in Roch County have declared
for Greeley, the most prominent being DistretJudge
Conger and the Hon. Ith1mar c. Sloan, who ably repre-
sc nted the Ist District in the XXXVIIh and HHAlAth
Congresses The Las not fairly opened yet in the
county, and the estimate OF 900 Liberal votes Is based
upon the fact that call for Greeley and Brown mass
meeting has received about 800 gnerS, without very
thorough circulation, nearly 100 names having pcen oo
tanned In the town of Janesville alone.
ENCOURAGING REPORTS.
Reports from the northern end western parts OF the
State are very encouraging The Grant organ at La
Crosse admits that at least oncthrd Of the Republicans
IN La Crosse County have declared for Greeley and that
the county which has always been Republican one Is
now "Aghuug ground" The same paper says that Buf
falo County "has got the disease pretty badly that
1.-THE large German vote hitherto Republican, VIII mainly
60 for Greeley and there is considerable disacc>
ton in the northwestern part OF the county, led by
state Senator Orlando Brown. On the lake shore, In
sheboygan County, the Liberal stampede Is so extensive
that tho county, which gave 600 majority for Grant
ls5s confidently counted for Greeley by 800 votes
Among the able Liberal leaders Gen. Conrad hrez VINO
was delegate TO the Philadelphia Convention, the Hon.
George q. Graves, Judge Gilman, and the Hon f. Hi'
McGraw In Milwaukee the German Republicans VINO
are quite numerous almost unanimous Tor Greeley'
In Waukesha County Judge T. d. Culver the Hon. c. c.
Clement, o. NJ. Tyler, Chairman OF the Republican
County Committee Gen. W. W. Tredway and q. d.
Hastings, !former State Treasurer, are among tne
prominent Republicans who doing good work for tho
Liberal In Monroe l2i Republicans haVo formed
Greeley and Brown Club. In Racine the Club num-
bers nearly 1000 members. gentleman from Mamto-
info ma ID W
the Republican vote OF that county would be cast for tho
Liberal ticket Trustworthy information from FOND du
Lac aud winnebago is to the same effect and estimates
the Liberal strength IN those counties at from 20 70 80
per cent Of the total Republican vote
THE PRESIDENTIAL CONTEST LfKELI 10 BE VERY CLOSE
II should be borne in mind that these are little more
than the indications OF the strength OF the re-
form movement in Wisconsin The campaign Is not fairly
opeped and will not be until the farmers nnish the mar
vest and get q little time 10 talk politics and attend
meetings The Liberal Republicans have had no oppor-
tunity to show how numerous they are they nave not
begun 10 organize except In few Of the large towns
and do not know their strength In every county
there are hundreds of have been hard at work
upon their farms and have not been to town for month";
or talked word OF politics except TO their near neghhOrs
but who have made up their minds to vote Tor Greeley
From this class the Liberal cause will unauestonably
rnceve an accession OF strength that the GRANTEES do
not dream Of when the contest begins to get warm,
and the ouet men declare themselves The Grant poll
tcans In their calculations always go back to 1863 whep
Grant carried the state by $4,000 majority and they pre-
dict success this year the ground that the Liberal
detection serious they know It to be, and increasing
every day. can scarcely reach sufficient magnitude to
overcome that large majority. They refuse 10 take the
election Of 1871 as test Of the relative strength OF
parties It was nevertheless, pretty fair test The
contest was an animated one, and the candidates for
Governor were both able and popular men. Washburns
majority over DoOittle only 9,S39. The
full Republican vote not poled, "
ia frue. but neither the fun
Democratic vote. The result as trustworthy an In
tl,at fhaff lima