The New York herald., 1872-07-08

State was:-
Douglas ldemocrat).. "................... S,Sol
BrscEInrdge idcmocratj SSi7
Lincoln (republican) ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS. 17,028
Total. .....,..................166 66618
The Acknowledgement OF q large part of the pOpu-
aton for disoyalty reduced the voting strength Of
Missouri thirty-fve or forty per cent so that not
over 100 900 persons went to the polls. At the Pres
dential election in 1854, even only 104 900 votes
cast, Lincoln beating Mcclellan by over 10000.
In 1868 the republicans elected McClurg Governor
by over 900 majority over Phelps, democrat. The
vote was 1A,OOO, which, though increase
Of $4,000 over years Immediately preceding.
must have been fully $4,000 or $4,000 short
OF the whole voting strength Of the State,
so general was the Acknowledgement. In the same
year. on vote Of las, ,OOO Grant defeated Seymour
never popular man with the western democrats
by between 250 900 and 60 000 This was the last regu
lar contest between the republicans and democrats
in which strict party lines were maintained.
In 1870 the republicans who were Of the house,
hold OF faith, renominated Mr.. McClurg for an
other gubernatorial term Of two years. The result
was
THE CELEBRATED BOLT
by large section of the party, headed by Messrs.
Schurz and Brown, the election Of Frank Blair to
the Senate, and the defeat Of McClurg by Brown,
who polled 100000 votes to his opponents 63,O 900.
The greatly increased vote was due to McClurg,
who controlled the boa rds Of registration, inducing
them to admit every voter who desired to register,
no matter whether he had been disfranchised or
not. There were registered POI, 600 voters about
10000 more than went to the polls. II is believed
t hat there were between $4,000 and 90 900 voters
who neglected to register. principally colored men
and naturalized citizens which would give Missouri
voting strength In 1870 Of about two hundred and
fxuou tu fhoroa
thousand. This great increase over preceding years
not alone to be accounted for by the registra-
tiOn OF SO many voters previously classed among
the disfranchlsed but the natural result Of the
very rapid advance which the State has made
In population, springing from less than one
million two hundred thousand in 1860 to over one
million seven hundred thousand In 1870.
AS immigration was almost completely
suspended during the first half of the decade, owing
to the war. 1t would appear that Missouri between
the years 1856 an 1870 increased population and
in voting strength almost ten per cent annually.
Taking registration Of 1870 and that Of 1860 and
comparing them with the census returns for the
same years, we should give Missouri even higher
has been maintained since 1870 there Is no reason
to doubt, and we may consequently give Mis-
souri, o
OF between 2s0 900 and 10000 for the fall Of 1872
Se 1s ay aSS
vote Of 1870, and 80 900 enfranchised-and adding
1900 to 10000 aor v tne & votes OF is1o
will thus be found to number about 13O o0O leaving
the republicans OF all shades 100 000-a majority OF
about 20 000 In 1870 the republicans cast 100000
votes, which, with the unregistered fraction, the
cOlored vote and the natural Increase should make
| this estimate about correct.
Admitting the endorsation Of the Cincinnati
| ticket ut Baltimore to be an accomplished fact, we
HOW THE VOTE OF MISSOURI WILL BE CAST,
as between Greeley and Grant Despite the bid
| fna lfnn Jnfn MnIt fAet tnn
democratic vote in 1870, by permitting the loosest
registration hardly Ave thousand democrats out Of
| two per cent. OF the whole vote cast for Brown.
| Taking the same proportion for 1872 the Cincinnati
100 'SI 600 democratic votes. The balance viii not
be cast for Grant, so far as i can Judge from the
tone of the press and the party leaders. Neither
Grant nor Wilson is as popular with the democratic
the Greeley ticket ofGoyernor Browns name.
WILSON'S KNOW NOTHING RECORD
has weakened the ticket not little. The Bourbon
element In Missouri is neither strong in numbers
nor in influence, and the most violent democrats,
unreconstructed rebels, followers OF Pat Dovan and
the Caucasian, come out squarely for Greeley In
70 Soant 10 or 70 m N n 1a a.
| for those who stay at home or support Grant,
am, think leaving an ample margin for any con-
In 1870 Of 107, 900 republican votes 1000 were
cast for Brown and $4,000 for the regular re-
In this State assure me that the liberal party has
| been steadily gaining strength since 1S70 that 1t
|
pie who never join cause till 1t has proved
| successful, that there has been accession from
the ranks Of the moderate. democracy and that Its
nominee, In fair and square contest with the
regular nominees OF the republicans and the demo-
Gratis in the field, could command 70, 900 votes Allow
ing, however. that no more than 10000 republicans
vote for Greeley and Brown-a falling Off OF sixteen
per cent from 1870 and a complete Ignoring OF the
and Brown viii have popular vote Of
155, 1000 to l25,o00 while the extremely improbable
reduction OF the liberal republican vote from $4,000
| fn n Of
democratic votes besides these $4,000 for Grant,
would be required to bring the parties together.
The Greeley are, therefore, think, justified in
| claiming the State by from 10000 to 10000, and
there Is nothing on the cards to warrant us In
garding ubiquitous their hopes that these figures
may bS sweiled to 90 900 or 10000. "'fl 4 "a,
The liberalism which, Of course I include the
| demOcrats-have one great advantage,
| THE PRESTIGE OF SUCCESS
| is with them. The bolt OF 1870 threw the regular
republican camp into confusion from which it has
not yet recovered. To further initiate against their
chances of success, the leaders Of the party at
the State Convention inserted among the resolu-
tions a friendly but guarded endorsation OF the
| administration, but did not urge the denomination
of Grant. This was done TO avoid offending the
liberals Of less pronounced tone and only sue.
ceeded In convincing the weak-kneed regular
| republicans that the party hadn't particularly
hgn opinion 3i OF savihg SAY ai1h IN tner own caul
Mccullough OF their great organ, the Missouri Demo.
orat ingenuously remarked to another correspond.
cnt that neither himself nor any Of the propretors
had any faith In Grant, and only supported him
because the papers previous policy had been to
from other sources have had bad effect on the
morale of the party which Is likely to 60 into the
field anticipating defeat, and therefore, easily to
be defeated.
The last subject on which shall touch in this let
ter, leaving the state elections and the Congress
siona districts for later consideration, Is the for
eign-that is
THE STRENGTH OF TIE GERMAN VOTE.
The strength OF the German republican vote IN
the liberal party Is varousy placed oil the way
from 1000 to SS0o Taxing the middle figure s,y say
$4,000, we shall be safe In our calculations rms
body OF men, who can turn the scale anoi ol
success one way or the other, lonoWs
implicitly the lead Of Mr.. Schurz. The regular
republicans have not yet abandoned all nope tnat
resuit of tho cneinnei Cdnyennn nav induce him
at the lest mOment--not to bolt but to remain pas