New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1872-08-05
LATEST REVIEW OF THE FIELD.
TIE RErrRNs INCOliPLETE-DIsMAY IN I'D


LATEST REVIEW OF THE FIELD.
THE RETURNS NORTHUMBERLAND IN THE
ADMINISTRATION CAMP-CHANGEs IN THEIR
C,LCrLATIONS-NO CHANGE IN THE RESULT
ICY TELEGRAPH TO THE TRIBUNEl
PArFIGH Aug. mo returns have yet been re-
ceived from either of the eighteen counties which IN
1870 gave Ship majority of 1920 votes. OF these
ten are either beyond the Blue Ridge, or lie along
its eastern slope. Gentlemen who have ar
rived from the West to-day report tnat
the Conservatives gained in Ashe, Jackson
Polk. and Wilkes Counties, but no particulars
are given Many Of the returns from strong Aulni"
istration counties are given as the euei"i oin'
holders here pretend TO have heard thehl' 'ho"e"
tlore &c M means known by which news could nave
boen received from them since the votes were
conutcd Prom some of the couIries where they
claimed ON Friday and yesterday to have made thelr
bc.,.;est .oains. dispatches have been received
which prove their estimates 10 have been eN-
trovagant and it is believed that to make
their side look as favorable as possible
they have taken the Convention vote last year. ana
nut into their tables figures which would give the
as large majortes as were then given against the
Convention But taking the returns they pretend
to have as correct when they havenot been author-
tatiycly contradcted table of maIorites including
II counties has been prepared from which 1t appears
that in them Caldwelrs majority is 3d. II MerIimoh
receives tie Ship majority in the remaining coun-
ties his majority will be 1881.
The only counties not heard from in which the
Conservatives expect 10 lose heavily Beaufort,
Harnett Curntuck, and one or two others III the
percentage Of loss should continue great as 1t APP
pears TO have been in the counties heard
from. Mcrrimon viii still be elected by
several hundred majority; but if he should
Gain in the remaining western counties
i'm the same ratio in which he has gained ID that
mart Of The State which has been heard FROM his ma
jorty Will be increased to 1000 or $780, This
calculation is based upon the suppOstiOn that
the Administration reports of gains are true
The actual returns Will probably greatly reduce
them. Messrs Stone and Kingsbury of The
RalGqk Ners and Sentinel to-day jointly made
ND statement of the returns from Ga counties. The
calculation is based on the Administration returns
from counties from which they did not have other
news. They fluid that comparing majouties with
those given in 1870 the Conservatives have lost $3.50
and gained 3 40 votes THIS leaves of Ships major
ity in 1870 1855 votes to be overcome in % counties
before Caldwell can be elected. This would require
a net Republican gain of about 100 in each county.
In the g. counties from which returns received,
the Administration gained an average of 335
votes in each. With the same ratio of loss IN
the remaining counties MerrimOn would be elected
by $50 majority.
The Federal offce-ho!ders who up to yesterday
were very confident that they would carry the State
have now given up all hope. Taking the view
most favorable to their side and allowing for the
most liberal gains in the counties vet to be heard
FROM theyare unable TO figure out majority and no
longer offer wagers on Caldwelps election. They
are very confident however, that MerrimOn viii
not have more than $500 majority. The Admins
tratonlss very Suddenly changed their base of cal
cuaton as soon as returns began to be received on
Thursday night All through the campaign they have
insisted that all estimates of majOriUes should be
based on the Convention vote of last year, which
they said a fair party test. 1t was on this vote
that they founded their hopes of carrying the State
by 1900 majority. but when the election over
they were as unwilling to compare the result with
last years as they had been anxious to before Meas
ured By the standard which they have insisted on all
through the campaign, they have lost since last year
at least 10000 votes.
Two more cOloTed men were arrested on Saturday
for aiding in the attack upon the colored marshals
of the Greeley and Brown meeting in this city the
10th ult. and taken before United States Commits
sioner X. w. Best. The first one, Elijah Perry, was
accused Of attacking Samuel c. Cross because he did
not agree with him in politics and was bound over
i'll the Of 81 900 appear at the term of the
United States Circuit Court. The other Daniel
Jones, was placed under $1,000 bond TO answer for
threatening and intimidating a witness who had
been summoned 10 appear against him.
The following are the majOritics for Congressman
in the Nth District as reported: For Leach-Aa-
nance, 21j; Rockingham, 200; Lerson 2GS For
Settle-Dayidson, 10; Guilford, G3 Randolph, 40
Caswel, 40.