The state rights democrat. [volume] (Albany, Linn County, Oregon) 1865-1900, 1872-09-27
FACTS AND FIGURES.

Grafton, and figures are applied in es-
tima,ing the probable result of the
coming Presidential contest, Greeley's
election is certainly forshadowed.-l
Since The elections in North Carolina,
West Virginia, Vermont and Maine.
a correct estimate of the Liberal gain
can be made. Take the aggregate
per cent. of this gain aud it will be
found sufficient to give us the Presi-
Dental election by an overwhelming
majority. A we'll informed eastern
paper in carefully prepared article
written upon this basis, Leaving out
Maine, where there was gain OF
about ten per cent, shows that in the
August election in North Carolina in
1868, the aggregate vote was 165.s .s29,
which gave the Republican candidate
for Governor 1854 majority. The
recent election in that State gave the
Grant candidate 1900 in round fig
ures. This gives a Liberal gain of
10000 over the election in 1865
This is little rising of nine and half
per cent. upon the aggregate vote of
1868. as will he seen.
Now for West Virginia. In 1868
the aggregate vote of this State was
1858, giving the Republican for
Governor 4,7I7 of majority. The
recent election in that State, the new
constitution, where the party lines
were drawn more closely than on
Governor, was carried by at least 2 900
majority, and the Governorship is!
nearly an offset; but splitting the dit-
ference between the vote for Cover
nor and the constitution, and say that
the Liberal majority is l,OUJ, and We
have gain in that State of nearly
6,00e, as compared with the election
in August of 1868. Taking the ag-
gregate vote of 1868, which was 49,.
153, and We have Liberal gain of
over twelve per cent in West Virgin
Ia, where many Greeley men voted
against the constitution and for Ja-
cobs, the independent candidate.
Now We will take Vermont. which
gave, at the late election, Grant ma
jority of 25,O0J. In 1868. at the Gov
ernor's election, on an aggregate vote
of 81 ,5O4, the Republicans had ma :
jority of 27,326. The election now
shows Liberal gain of about $3.50
over the vote of 1868 when compare
lively large vote was ont. This is a
gain of nearly four and half per cent.
upon the aggregate vote of 1858.
Now what is the aggregate gain of
these three States upon the aggregate
vote in them in 1868? 1t is little
rising of eight and half per cent
This is the Liberal result already OBJ
tanned. Now, take this as data up
on which to make calculation in re-
gard to Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indi-
ana. tie great battle ground ot this
contest, and we have the following
showing:
The aggregate vote of Pennsylvania
in 1868 was 653. 155. A Liberal gain of
eight and j half per cent. will make a
gain af 52,252. Then deduct the Re-
publican majority at the state election
in that year. which was 9,677, and we
have Liberal majority of 45,s41-
large enough for all practical purpo-
ses.
The aggregate October vote in
Ohio in 1868, was 507,75O. A gain OF
eight and half per cent. upon this is
43,l64. Deduct the Republican major
ity of that year, which was II ,372, and
we have majority of 25.792, enough
to settle tho question.
In Indiana, in 1868, the ag gregat.
vote was 324,72 at the October elec
ton. Eight and half per cent. upol
this is q $50. Take out the Repub
lical majority of that year, which wa
961, and we have majority of 26.72
which is full as much as we claim.
Or we will take the lowest gain
which is in Vermont, and this il
over four per cent. and We have ma
jority ia Pennsylvania of over sixte el
thousand; in Ohio of over three thou
sand, and in Indiana of over twelv,
thousand. And we shall make mscl
larger gains in Pennsylvania, Ohi'
and Indiana, because there is a muc
larger German vote, which is becom
ing very nearly unanimous agains
Grant and for Greeley. This showin
is better than we could expect. unde
all the circumstances AMI pnts tn
question beyond controversy.
No oRe will claim that this estimaf
is nver-drawn or exaggerated in fave
of the Liberal and Democratic c:sus.
Indeed the weIl-informei reader wi
see At a glance that were the Liber
gain in Maine taken INTO consider
ton. the per cent. of gain would
larger and that nneli better resl