The New York herald., 1872-10-06

| E0omSyAvenAes OnkO oo0 AnOaonos
This day and tomorrow, and then comes
the tug of war in the all-important State elec-
lions of Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indiana II
will be remembered that in 1868 these October
elections were accepted in advance by the
democracy as involving and determining by
their general results the Presidential issue,
and that when, on the day after these State
elections, the fact was proclaimed that they
were lost to the democrats, the election Of
| General Grant in November was on all sides
| accepted as question settled So now, if on
Tuesday next Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indiana
are carried by the administration party hardly
O doubt will remain of the reelection of
General Grant. If these three great States,
however, in these local contests are carried by
the opposition coalition there will be an i'm
mediate enlargement of the prospects and q
revival Of the confidence of Mr. Greeley's sup
porters. which may change the fortunes Of the
general battle along the whole line.
Should Pennsylvania and Indiana be carried
against the administration on Tuesday there
will be, no doubt, general popular reaction
in favor of Greeley and Brown, which will
make this coming Presidential election the
most exciting and the most uncertain in any
political history since that of 1874 between
James X. Polk and Henry Clay. Indeed, if
the supporters of Mr.. Greeley in these Octo-
ber trials of his strength carry only the great
State of Pennsylvania they may possibly
gain thereby foothold which will render the
perate and uncertain. But Mr. Greeley has
given it as his opinion, from his late prospect
ing Western tour in behalf of the opposition
alliance, that ''Ohio is with u.s." and that
''Indiana will be with us" and that ''Pennsyl-
vania is ours, if we can have fair election y
Leading republican campaigners are equally
confident that all three of these States will pro-
nounce for General Grant on Tuesday but
none of these prophets know what is coming
in either State.
The late elections in Vermont and Maine
indicate that the administration lines are not
materially shaken by this new hostile party of
liberal republicans and democrats on repub-
lican platform. But in Pennsylvania the dis
cordant and rebellious elements in the admin
istration camp are very serious, and the fusion
of all the opposition forces is very strong. In
Ohio there are reported some heavy defections
and assertions from the regular republican
camp, and likewise in Indiana, while in both
these States the straight-out or Bourbon demo-
Gratis will vote for their regular party nomina-
tions in October, whatever they may do
to express their repugnance to Greeley and
Brown in November. Briefly, then, while on
both sides it is conceded that Pennsylvania
Ohio and Indiana, two days hence, will settle
the question whether General Grant is to be
reelected or left in doubt, more or less, for
the general November contest, it is SIMPLY
impossible, from any past elections, for any
political astrologer to foretell the general
results Of these eleS:sns, because of the
changed conditions in the elements of the
two great parties Of the country. As to the
gains or losses to either side from these new
complications, theE can be determined only
by these impending elections. Indiana, from
present appearances will be very close; Ohio
will, most likely, go for the administration;
while in Pennsylvania the chances on the
test question of Governor seem to be in favor
of Buckalew.