New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1872-09-21
PRESIDENTIAL PROSPECTS
THE CAMPAIGN IN THE SOUTH.

THE CAMPAIGN IN THE SOUTH.
A REVIEW OF THE SITUATION IN ALL TIE
SOUTHERN sTATEs--ONLY ONE CERTAIN FOR
GRANr-FoUR D0UBIFUL-ELEyEN CERTAIN
FOR GREELEY.
IPRoM THB SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT OF THE TRIBUNE
CHATTANOOGA, Tenn, Sept. 13.-Since the
opening of the Presidential canvass have visited the
States Of Maryland Virginia. North Carolina, Tennessee,
Georgia. Alabama Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas ana
Missouri, with the special object OF learning
by careful inquiry, the drift OF pueiic sehumeht'
and tho probable result Of the coming cleo
ton. have conYersed with leading men Of both parties
and Of both races never falling to endeavor to learn the
views and expectations OF our political opponents as
well as those of our friends, and famarizng myself as
much as possible with the local politics OK the several
States which hold elections for State Officers
prior 70 simultaneously with the Presluehuai
election In order TO learn to what extent local issues
will be likely TO affect the Presidential vote.
From those Southern States which i have not Is
yet been able TO visit have met intelligent citizens,
Administration men, Liberals, Republicans, Gnd Demo
Gratis who have given me Information from which oy
comparison 1 draw conclusions which are measurapy
trustworthy at least am, therefore, able from my OWL
personal observation supplemented by that oil others
TO make q review Of the whole Southern field, and pre-
what believe to be accurate account OF ths
tuation all the States where the negro votes comes
in as important feature In the political problem
sha include Maryland Delaware and Missouri IN
my list because, although they are not usually elassed
Southern states the presence OF large eoored element
and its thorough subserviency to the Grant politicians
makes the canvass there present the same genera
features States further South. In estimating The
probabilities in each State shall carefully endeayor
be on the safe SIDE and shall In way eIaggerae Ine
strength OF Mr. Greeley, underyalue the streng.n
Gen. Grant, the force Of the influences which VIII I've
brought in the in his behalf therefore
beg the readers Of TRIBUNE to believe that there ID
adj hat 4 \
in every State hopeful prospect that weshah 90 i'e
better than my estimates contemplate.
THE CHANCES FAVORABLE IN ALABAMA.
Taking the States in alphabetical ORDER VIII begih
with Alabama Here the contest s very close ana 'e
result be considered doubtful, with the proDao
ties strongly tho side Of Mr.. Greeeys success Tue
Conservatives carried the State in 1870 Ivy maorues on
the State ticket ranging from 100 to 1900 The whte
vote exceeds the black by about 5000. There would
be no doubt about result this did not the eee
ton law passed by O carpet bag Legislature encourage
and protect fraud In ways that have explained Id leF
tiers upon the politics OF tls State An election Tor state
and county officers off on tbs same day as the
Presidential election. Both tho State tickets are strong
The Administration ticket Is composed OF native wn.e
men of good character, but the effect or ths departure
from the custom in southern Rtdical polucs VIII 10
neutral!zed by the bad nominations OF carpet DaeSes
and negroes made for the legislative and county
ARK lNsAs SAFE FOR GREELEY AND BROWN.
This State is ruled by the desperate and yllanous
corpetbac ring TO be found anywhere in the South IL
is the only state where large numbers Of white men are
still dsfranehsed for participation in the Rebellion ana
the extent the Acknowledgement has heretofore de-
pended solely upon the will OF Clayton, who has rued
the State like Oriental satrap The Grant party Is III
small minority, and has no hope OF success, except
through the grossest frauds in the registration and the
election There will DO Liberal ma jority OF at least
$1,000, If a fair vote be had. There would
be no hope OF defeating Cayton's schemes, werel1 moi
for the fact that all the honest Republicans nave de
serted him. supporting Greeley, including many
Of the Senator's former political associates. wnp Know
his tricks and how 10 defeat them ARKANSAS = the o
Southern State where lrSe negro vote WIZ De Sas o,
Greeley Tns results from the rae; thlt tne nied
or wing OF the Republican parry OrSdhIeu
two years ago. controlled at that time nearly nan the
May last, II carried with 1t many OF the negroes
VINO had with it in former local contests state
and county officers to be chosen on the udy Oh t3
Presidential election. Tie Greeley men are running 3
BroOSs Liberal Republican, Tor GONefnot ne j. tle
most powcfful stump speaker the ate, and s driving
his opponent tine field IN the canvass IL Is rae 10
put down Arkansas Tor Greeley anl Brown ny io'OJ'
majority Spite Of murders, martial law ana pAot-
''N Dummy DELAWARE AND FLORIDA.
Nobody counts on Delaware for Grant, believe. The
majority for Greeley VIII probably he about the usual
Democratic majority which has been given in Late years
in the vicinity OF 1000 My knowledge Of the politics
OF the state Of Florida Is very slight. The races are III
nearly equal strength the white vote exceeding that Oh
the blacks by only about lOO1 There arc no Grant men
among the whites except the carpet DaSgerS
and few respectable EorthGn meh who
have gone into business at Jacksonville and at other
points along the St. Johns River bIinsng their Repub
can politics with them The Greeley men are confident
that they carry the State and say bat Tue gross cor
The state debt enable them To lnthac few OF tho
most Intelligent cOored men 70 aiindOn tue parry oi
proGgcy ana fraud-enough, they leeye, TO turn the
sale on the other hand the Grant men appear 20 count
upon success with equal confluence 10 u SAFE 10 CLASS
florida 40 doubtful, with the chaliGs slightly III "ioo
lcy's favor.
LARGE LIBERAL NAJoRrIEs IN GEoRIA AND KENTUCKY.
Georgia Is perfectly sure Greeleyhtate. The efforts
Of Alex II. Stephens ana Robert T0mbs In supporting
q bourbon movement in order 10 he'll Grant by indree-
ton WILL it Is believed, not inuencei7 thousand voters
at the highest calculation The straehtout movement
Il sustained Wy only three papers the state, one OF
which Is owned by stephens, while mother IL printed IN
the little village where Toombs liye under the shadow
of his domnegiug presence. Not single prominent
Democratic politician except the no named opposes
the action OF the Baltimore CONVENTION. The white
voters outnumbered the negroes in te state by about
25OOo Greeley will get considerable number OF negro
votes in the counties where the black numerous
and $50 IN most Of the large tOwns His nlO over
Grant Will be at least 5000 An eleeOa for Governor
takes place in Oe0oer Gov. shll,lhe present inoTu
bput will be reelected without scri0e opposition inc
minority In Kentucky for the Liberal candidates VIII DC
at least 5000, and VIII prOn1DlY TeacAsOJJ lac by
hon movement no peTccpuDle fUO|inS except IN
the person OF BlantOn Duncan.
LOUISIANA DOUBTFUI-aARYLASD A.lBERAL STATE.
The controversy Louisiana abOG the State offices,
which for a time divided the supporters OF Greeley,
threatened 20 give the State for Glnt. Since these
tronbes have been harmoniously arranged, tho united
Democratic vote together with the powerful support of
Gov Warmoth and the Liberal Republicans who follow
him. may be pretty confidently relied pon TO carry the
State for Greeley. The large negro yOh Ounumbering
the whites by about 6COO makes me clss Louisiana with
the doubtful States, however athouh 1 have more
confidence Greeley will carry 1t titan have In ms
success In any STATE that can pDpery be cOnsld
cred as doubtful. Maryland j. entire certain 10 give
greeley large majority--prOOaby p0ut 5000. The
Grant party Is making no effort there and has from tue
frat given up the state as hopeless.
MISSISSIPPI DOUBTFUL-MIssoUR DR GREELEY.