New-York tribune., 1872-09-11
THE 6SSURANCB or VIC1O8R.

The returns from Maine now cover perhaps
tbree-fourths Cf the vote. From the remote
regions to the north, the news comes slowly
hut We may fairly estimate our yester-
davis statement of the result as at any rate
within a few hundred of the exact figures. Ii
isuossibIe that thcmajority may rise to hundred
or two above sixteen thousand 1T can hardly
fall many hundreds below. The reduction
from the majority in 1868 may therefore be
reckoned as about $500. That majority,
as The World judiciously points oUt was
attained in defiance of the Admins
tration hostility; - the present reduction
has been accomplished II defiance OF
tha most unscrupulous Administration support.
If with tie whole power of the National Gov
ernment against it, the Grant ticket could
got nearly 10000 majority in 1863 and With the
whole power of the National Government for it
can only get 10000 majority in 1872, 1t
is plain enough that the DRIFT against
G Grant is much more than the mere difference
in the figures would indicate. We must make
allowance, besides, for the extreme difficulty
with which men are brought TO the polls IN
a contest known to be hopeless, and III
the face of a proscriptLVe public senti-
ment among their old associates, only
That other States may have the moral
effect of their votes. Nor must il be 2DrgOtten
that many have made the mistake of sup
posing that their vote now bad nothing to do
with the Presidency, and that thero was no
need for them TO cut loose from the
regular Republican organization till November.
Yet. in spite Of all these facts, the Grant man
ayers. with Post-oficss, CustOm-houses, Navy
ID oil Dfsa Eala la,.l
influence to back them, have fallen $500 short
of what they were able to do against these
same Influences, fOGr years ago.
After the North Carolina election, (Which we
fairly earried,) Tile TRIBUNE pointed the
Liberals to their next work, with the
phrase which the Grant journals are
recalling "And now for Maine" We
too are glad to recall the phrase
We hold up tho results in Maine for inspira-
ton and assurance, as we next turn with con-
fidence now well nigh absolute, to Pennsyl-
vana Ohio, and Indiana. Just consider the
facts:
We have gained about four and half per
cent of the entire Republican vote in Maine
In the great central States, all politicians
know that our gains are sure to be far
GREATER Dub COuub hhClu dJ Oulg llt SdIlC
precise percentage. The Pennsylvania cleo
ton in October, 1868, was carried for
the Grant State ticket by 9G1 ma
iority. A change of five thousand votes
would have defeated Hartranft, then running
for Auditor General. Five thousand votes are
barely One-and-a-half per cent of the 331, ,41G
Republican votes cast at that time. A
change of less than one per cent would
have defeated Gov. Geary in 1862
his majority being only 4506. In other words +;
with less than One-third the change in Penn
sylvania which Mondays election shows in
Maine, we shall sweep the Keystone State
Who doubts that the change will be greater
instead Of less
The Indiana election in October, 1868, was
carried by the Republicans by less than 1000
majority for Gov Baker. A change of one
third of one per cent would have wiped out
this majority. In 1870 the Democrats carried
the State by 1858 majority.
In New-YOrk the last important election car
ried by the Republicans was in 1865, when
Gov. Fenton was elected by 1879 majority
over Hoffman. A change Of less than two
per cent of the 366615 votes cast for Fenton
would have given the State to Hoffman.
We do not pursue the examination in
detail. The same percentage will give us