New-York tribune., 1872-08-13

80 q. 40 roaos,ly within hounds considering that Iowa
attracts, with the other western STATES coh''"u
influx of settlers from the Eastern states as "oH ~
foreign migration But this calculation, you VIII see
does not take that reasonable increase 1t merely uues
IT by half and yet this modest figure thro"stno IVV
majority on the Liberal side. Every element IN 'uo
oomputao Is within bounds, as mean 10 sno" Vo,'
get through. To hold the state for Grant ~ N "oso
lutey necessary TO retain the German hepupii'n 80
from 10000 70 1900 strong, and the hallNe hoP"'
vote. This 1t is clear, cannot be DONE be'"een o,
and 1000 German Democrats are as unit ior "ieomg
and Brown The German Republican VOTE so lar az inc
German Republican press and the leading Germans give
expression it, Is wholly lost to the 0rahV parry! AZ"
German Republican papers in the State, and the Demo
cratic also are earnestly Liberal.
THE CANVASS IN THE CoNGREss DIsTRICTs
with this general showing, examination OF the Con
eress Districts will still more clearly demonstrate INC
chances The LIST Congress District in the southeast
corner of the State comprising Burlington and keoKuK,
had Republican majority OF only $500 al Ihe las' eiec
tion That majority was largely made up OF Germans
who constitute fully onehalf the population All tne
Germans are now for Greeley and Brown whiie Iair
showing OF the Americans are Liberal Re1ormerS Io
present incumbent nominated by the Repubhcans MI
g. W. McCrary is an able politician ana stands without
personal deriment in his community. In the event OF
his election 1t is understood he will not oppose MI
ley's administration in the general matters OF recohca
ton and Reform. This however has not phnueu .no
Liberals to the very excellent possibility OF deeatng
him by the nomination OF rreproachable candidate
such one as Judge Tracy, revered and respec'eu
throughout his community and almost morally certain
OF success in the contest.
In the lid DavenporO District the Repuohcans III
peaceful times cleared the district by about 4'oo ou'
the German element here preponderates ana thaV ce
ment it is hardly necessary to say IS unanimously or
Greeley Indeed the vote Of the district Is noW' "i'
ont much room for doubt strongly Liberal The preseut
A u Colt " n
will receive denomination by the Administration people,
e. neither impressiye nor formidable lnasmuch as
Davenport has led the Reform movement OF the Sae'
IL is not unreasonable 10 hope that some sch
as the Hon j. D. Campbell may receive tne sunges ~
the Liberals and illustrate in Congress inc ho'eo"'
he has so largely aided. ,..o1 ,ri.h q
The lid Du6uque) District stands credited WIN a a
Republican majority of $780, but the liberal element Is
very strong and very confident Ihe Two OouIss W
Davenport and Clayton already SHOW ana are N ,}
pledged to Liberal triumph ana II9m earetS M t sSend
mated accounts may be safely depended on 10 senI
tct is considered by Liberal to be rather hopeless
still there is a very excellent prospect Judging IrO w
casional demonstrations, of reducing ms 10 dis
The Liberals of the Win District are by no ueans ais
cOuraged under the Oversbad0wng majority OF 4,OOJ. n
examination the probabilities on the side OF te
Liberals If Mr. Boa ineomparably the strongest KepuD
can in the center Of the State, Will take the stump MI
Boal widely known throughout Iowa, aud would not
only make excellent Representative IN Congress- pu
would greatly sIehg'He oo % dIe nth tbn nfesent
nominee, James wilson, there would seem to be every
claiming distinctive recognition from the hepuonS u
D1ssENsIoSs IN THE GRANT RANKS.
In the Ottumwa With District the denomination Of
Judge Loughridge has divided the Regular or Grant
section and the dissensiOns hereby engendered give
every promise of electing Liberal From the peculiar
clements that make up the vote and the snguary uh-
prepossessing traits possessed by Judge Loughrdge the
liberals arc confident OF sufficient native strength 10
elect their candidate. Indeed, the dssensons ana plt
terness bred of long domination promise 10 ana inc Lp
erals in almost every district in Iowa. For instance III
the With Des MOnes District strong oasls l9r tho
Liberal hope, in the face OF straight majority Oi over
GOOO is the bitter and uncompromising warfare no"
raging between Messrs. Frank Palmer, present lncum-
bent, and John a. KassOn for the nomination. IN any
both parties are equally divided, being really ire
cOnciable the adherens OF each beng Deht on opposing
Furthermore the continued pickering which mas been
carried before the people OF the district Tor me last
len wears has weaTed and dsgusted them that, out
side OF Pope County, neither gentleman can poll the
party vote Add TO these considerations the la9t that
there is a live and steadily increasing Liberal element
IN the district and will be seen that the Reiorners are
amply justified IN counting upon the election OF the Hon
o. NJ Palmer of Lucas County, who holds the highest
The safest district in the State for the Liberals, alb
soute computation of the chances and considering the
present nominee Judge McDie the With Council
Bluffs section, where the $500 straight majority OF last
election already seriously fallen of In the impetuous
Liberal uprising. Judge Nobel did not strengthen his
party by any means; weak man himself he Is essen
taly weak before his party and can bo very readily
thrown under by a carefully selected opponent.
The last district is the I&th or great North
large as Delaware. Here the chances arc not
so easily counted. Last Fan IL gave a straight
majority Of 1860, but on issues that have long
since lapsed The Hon. John f. Duncombe Of Fort
Dodge win make the campaign against the present 10
cumbent, and is sanguine OF success Mr.. DuncOmbe Is
not only sure of the German vote Of that locality but s
of such general popularity TO warrant the be-
lief that personal considerations he win be sustained
by a very large following OF the Administration party,
who may other points vote against the Liberals MIR.
DuncOmbe unerTng calculator OF political chances,
and fact that he is willing 10 accept the nOni
nation implies almost certain success for the cause
that he deyOtes his remarkable powers 20 aid.
ACTIVITY AND ORGANIZATION NECESSARY
still minuter examination OF the possibilities down
at the school districts enhances the chances rapidly
viewed in the districts although 1t must always be
membered that the State is almost wholly agrlcultu
raj commonwealth, where newspapers not plentiful
and ideas penetrate with decorous deliberation The
work Of campaigning Is cOrrespOndngly dif1cult and
discOuragingy costly, when the pOstofce and General
Government machinery Is not at control. This is of
the strong rock Of Administration trust. Not
whstanding this adversely the Liberal idea has pene
trated surprisingly. The outcome TO the recent Con
ventiOn development to both parties, and the in
diCatiOns confirm every hope drawn therefrOm Still,
lack of money and imperfect organization imperil
all these natural chances. The state has OF that
large commercial class which elsewhere oils the
chiuery Of party campaigns Men OF large means upon
whom, in emergencies, drafts be made
are wholly unknown, and the TO be pre-
sented Congress candidates in most obliged
refuse from lack of means defray common
idea that the State Is hOpelessy welded 10 Grant and
the consequent tendency to lasstude OF effort In its be-
half and you Will readily that there is danger that
some very promising results may be seriously impered
has ranged Iowa high the way 10 reform and
ciliatlOn.