New-York tribune., 1871-04-06


Our next President is To be chosen in 1872,
not 1871. Many talk as if obliyiOus of this
fact, which is not insignificant Had the fourth
Presidential contest occurred year OF two
earlier, Dir jefferson would not have sue
cecdcd. Had that Of 1911 come off in june or
July, Mr.. Clay would have beaten Col. Polk.
Alr Lincoln might have been run ont by Gen.
Mcclellan had thlt OF 1884 been bcld in August
instead of November The whole aspect of
the political BitEati0n often changes in far less
thGn a year
Now-Hmnps'iro voted carly in March, when
Summer and Smto Domingo had temporarily
soured and palalyzcd many Republicans, whose
in4ction threw her against herself Tho Demo
crais were nearly as much as,Onished Gs clGted,
and rushed 10 tho conclusion chat This one
swallow was tho precursor OF many such.
Having carried New-Iiampshire for the iirst
time since 1851, they imagined that they would
sweep Connecticut by many times their last
years majority, clccbng three II not all Of her
Representatives in CongIcss. Aglin they arc
disappointed, and not hail 50 pleasantly as last
month. Ard they are as unrca5onably de-
pressed by this result as they were exalted by
the other. Had they read The TGEUNE more
carefully of late, they would have been saVod
the modification of counting chickens never
likely 20 be hatchcd.
In fact, they have done quite as well in
Connecticut as they had any reason TO aniici-
pate, except in losing their Congressman in
New-lIaven, Which is The result OF a personal
fcud. Col. BabcOck, whom they ran in Go,
was an old Whis and Know-Nolhng who had
JolmSonizcd, and q good many Irish Demo
Gratis refused ID vote i0r him. In defiance OF
this broad hiti, tbe Democratic leaders put up
this year Green Kcrdrick, another cx-Nnow-
Nothing. ani scratches have fixed MS Hint for
him. As there are solac more leit OF ire
same sO1t, Mir. Kellogg may he reelected again
and again, though the district ia politically
against hiIn by at least 1893 majority. All
parties ere subject to these mischauccs, though
thoy generally manage not to run their heads
against tho same wall repeatedly and persist
emily.
Ncw-Uampshre and Connecticut are Ropnb-
lcan States, Though by moderate maj0rtica.
Each has been desperately contested at their
Spring Election of each Presidential year since
the Republican party was formed; and usually
carried by tho Republicans by very mcASor
maioritias: yo.. when November came. it went
heavily Republican. In 'GS, Connecticut chose
English Governor by l,7ji majority; yet 5ho
gave Gen. GRAFT over 5000 tie following
November Sac viii be sharply ANA closely
contce ed next Spring; but wiGt,cycr the 1c-
salt then, the Democrats swiIl waste no ciort
upon her in thc Fdll. Thcg Lnoa better.
They have far more reason for apprehension
in the results of this week, Municipal Elcc-
81. t'tat,
nolitical considerations powofnly and properly
influence these elections; sill, they are also
much affected by the prevailing currents of
political feeling. Milwaukee AMI Dubuque are
strongly Democratic in spite OF their newly
chosen Republican Mayors; but such could
only have been carried in year when Demo-
cratic bigotry ana bitterness were less poteGt
chan usual. Cleveland was Republican when
she did not show it in her Municipal Elections
as she does this year. rolclo is Republican,
though she has inst chosen Democratic
Mayor And there are several small cities III
different p,-t3 81 he West whereof The recent
elections prove very hjtic. 5tiil, the results in
Glrcc-fouH.s of thc many which held clcc-
tions this 1,csh are most satisfactory to the
Republicans; ADD ,Iais general aspect is de-
cdedy cheering.
Take the two great cities of ST. Louis and
Cincinnati for Illustrations of the general
truth. ST. L0uis was nearly balanced in pol
itics till the formidable GIatz Brown belt OF
last year, which carried it by more than 1900
majority. 1he Republican party was betrayed
by il, organ and most of its leaders, and
utterly crushed ont. Now, it has rallied, re-
organic d. and fought square battle-losing
it of course, but showing Il front and polling
vote which give ample reason fOr the hope
that Missouri will again DO Republican in 1872.
Many victories have been less cheering than
this apparent defeat.
Cincinnati is Republican. bat dos not
always show il. And the engineers of new
party to supersede tho Republican have
recently made there an imposing dcmonstra-
ton. Col. Harris, who headed the Citizens
"Tickct" in the recent contest, has been
good War man, and tho ticket was largely
composed OF such; il had of course the entire
Democratic vote; yet tho regular Republican
ticket triumphed over it by nearly Two Thou
sand majority.
Let us repeat that Our next President is to
be chosen not in 1871 but in 1872. We have
no gift OF prophecy, and cannot forcLell the
result We only say that the converts where
by the Democrats viii carry that election, III
they do carry if, are yet to be made
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LICENSTNG LECHEEY
.. r Y