The New York herald., 1871-09-07

rfpfeoocrp OctO0er ana NOve0ooT GtoC-
tIea,-rss Outlook for 1872.
In the California State election yesterday,
from the returns 90 far received at this Office,
the republicans have certainly gained and the
democrats have lost ground. Indeed, 1t is
lntimated that the republicans have even sue
csedcd In carrying tho State. In the Territorial
election Of Wyoming on Tuesday last, like
wise. the republicans made some remarkable
gains In . comparison Of the results with
those OF their last preceding election; and In
The municipal election of Wilmington, DEL,
on the same day, they secured heavy acces-
sons 10 their vote Of last year. So far, then,
the general drit Of the elections Of Sep
tember Ia that of tho August elections,
and 10 In favor Of the party In power
and OF another term Of four years to General
Grants adminlstration- On Monday noxt the
State contest Ia Maine will be determined,
and. nom sll tho indicsuons bofore rs, the
results win show that In the far East, as in
the far West and the South. the lines Of the
national administration party remain unshaken.
The probabilities arc the same In regard to the
October election In Ohio, though in Pennsyl-
vania The battle will evidently be sharply con-
tested for while In Ohio tho republicans are
united and enthusiastic, and the democrats
are somewhat divided and demoralized, In
Penasylvsnia this state Of things is reversed.
or all the au.umnal elections Of this year.
however, those OF November in New York and
Massachusetts, will b, the most significant and
important from their peculiar bearings upon
the great Presidential contest Of next year.
The question Of equal rights and religious
liberty, and the sanguiuary riot connected
with the Orange procession In this city Of July
last, threatened for time 10 become the con-
trolling agitation In tho city and the State and
throughout the United States but 1t has APP
parently died out, and the new issue raised Of
the alleged outrageous administration Of our
city government In its expenditures of the
public money now overshadows oil other poll
tical questions In New York, from this metro
polls to the remotsst corners Of the common
wealth. Nor Is the agitation Of our municipal
affairs confined to this city or State; but In
every State It forms leading specification in
the general indictment against the democratic
party as unfit to be entrusted with the impor-
tant responsibilities Of the national govern
ment. But 1t is still upon this issue In this
State that the most disastrous consequences
menace the democratic party.
The Fenton-G Greeley republican faction are
apparently resolved, If possible, because Of
their exclusion from the feshpots Of the Gus
tom House, to cut of General Grant with one
Presidential term. Under ordinary circum-
stances Custom House detection such ~ this
would divide the republican party of the State
into two hostile camps, as similar detection
divided the democracy under the administra-
tion of Pierce. But the extraordinary charges
made OF corruptions involving millions Of
money in the administration Of our city affairs
have apparently brought the Fenton- Greeley
the proceedings of the coming Republican
State Convention, Grant or anti-Grant,
Murphy or no Murphy, in order to make "a
long pull, strong pull and pull all together"
against Tammany Hall. And suppose by this
pull they carry the State Legislature--and they
may do it-what then will be the outlook for
1879 to the democratic party of the Union2
1t will be exceedingly gloomy; for New York
is the democratic centre bomb proof magazine
and base Of operations and so, In losing New
York in November, 1871, they lose their last
visible chance Of victory in the great general
engagement Of November, 1872.
Hence we cannot be far amiss in the pre-
diction that our coming November election
will be the most exciting, the most bitterly
contested and the most important 10 Its results
Of any purely local election In the history Of
the State We say the most important, for,
considering the extraordinary charges raised
against the democratic chiefs of the city and
Of the party In the State, II they are defeated
in this contest they are defeated for the Presi-
Dental succession; while II they hold the State
they will secure o strong position for gen.
eral rally of the party throughout the country
for the Presidential battle. In word, this
New York contest of November next will be
hardly less decisive as to the depending Presi-
Dental election than was that Of October,
1856, In Pennsylvania, upon which rested the
Presidential hopes Of the democracy. They
saved that election by slender majority; but
il sufHced to save Buchanan. In the same
way, if they save New York this year it en-
larges their prospects for next year; but II
they lose It they are gone.
Next in importance to New York 10 its
new political complications bearing upon the
future comes the good old Puritan State Of
Massachusetts. Here, under General Butter,
greatly to the relief Of the visionary and
impracticable Wendell Phillips, the labor
reform agitation Is coming into the FORE
ground. 1t appears, too, that Butler, to
the republican party Of Massachusetts,
has become the white elephant, and they are
puzzled what to do with him. If they nomi-
nate him for Governor they fear that in