New-York tribune., 1871-01-11

| VIENNA, Dec II, 1870
The war l think is rapidly drawing 10 n close.
Trochu will make one desperate effort IN cnt
bis way with his army ont of Paris, leaving the Pa.
rsians TO their fate and to the Prussans He isno.
likely to succeed, nor very likely to survive ths
effort. If he is driven back, the Government will
probably try to escape in balloon. II. however
they remain 1T seems to be generally supposed that
the people will compel them to make petce before
| the expiration of the month of January They will
not be permitted TO capiulate and 80 ont simply as
prisoners. That, think l may say, is pretty def
nitely resolved upon. They must stay in Paris and
abide their rat diet, fast in imitation OF our jury
system, until they agree to sign such treaty as
Germany will accept In preparation for that event
the Prussian Government is reducing to possession
| all the territory and fortresses that she to
keep, providing them with German laws, officers, and
| flags and efacng az fast as possible all traces Of
French sovereignty The purpose of this is that when
| Trochu & Co. come to sign the treaty they will not
have to sign document that alienates French ter
ritOry but simply in regard to territory, ccept the
status quo leaving with those who occasOned the loss
all responsibility for it. BY taking thus what they
please in territory the pecunary indemnity will be
proportionately less and Of that Paris will be re-
quired TO pay mp her share at once in money or paper
and it is pretty well understood that the loan nego-
tiatine in London by Morgan & Co. will 90 more 10
Berlin than to Paris. In this way the balance 10 be
paid after the German army retres win be so much
reduced that it will not be worth the while of the
rest Of France to continue resistance Ii viii find
it in all respects most expedent to accept the stua
ton kiss the rod and set to work and see II there
any form of government that can suit them more than
twenty years at a tine. Trochu wishes teavoid any
participation in this treaty if he can, and viii try In
| the course Of few weeks to cut ont. IL is ex-
pected to result in a frightful carnage. The Ger
| Al. f1afh ha nrfIf ma
sortie in the direction Of ST. Denis, and are prepar-
ing for him. The world outside of Paris is so accus-
toned to the defeat Of the French and the success
of the German arms that no one seems to anticipate
ANYTHING but disaster to Trochu. once had hght
with n cat shut up in n room from which there was
no escape for her, and since then have learned to
| beware Of desperate enemies.
| You are already aware, / suppose, that Luxemburs
has been creased preparatory to being swallowed by
| Germany. The English press is making terrible
ado about it. but you sure to be mlsled IL you
pay any attention to the tone of the English press
about anything now occurring upon the Continent.
All il reveals correctly is the chagin and discomfort
with which the Continental doings inspire the ruling
classes in England. You have not forgotten that in
1867. France offered big price to Holland for Lux
emburg, and Bismarck put his veto upon the nego-
tiation at the peril of a war with the Emperor. The
King of Holland who is a nasty creature and over
| nCau ana uteio Ill ucDt, ~ HON "lsuihe W oSh w
Germany, and the circuar issued by Bismarck the
other day is the first act of the comedy which is
being played for the entertainment Of Europe while
the transaction ia being negotiated. / hope Mr..
Gladstone and The Times will find this cut in time
"to retire in good ORDER" for of course after con-
senting to- not dissenting from sale to France they
cannot now object to a sale TO Germany.
England is talking very loud about Russias dis
regard of treaty obligations, and observed that our
bonds fell in NewYOrl three or four per cent at the
prospect of war and have not yet recovered There
will be no war OF that you may be sure. / was
told two months ago that in consideration Of Rus
sia's keeping Austria quiet during this with
| France Germany would ask for conference to
wise that treaty. IT, however, pending the war; Ger
many or Russia had asked cvily for revision En-
gland under the pretext of the unsettled condition
of France OF some other, would have delayed
ply until the war was over, or perhaps refused I'M
conditionay. To avoid such reply, Russia began
by denouncng the offensive clauses and then re-
treated to the point which she originally wished to
occupy and to which she has been trying for more
than ten years to force Great Britain but without
| success Now that she has gotten England into the
conference let her look out for her Mediterranean
Notifications. But, in regard to Russa's plans, En-
elard is entirely on false scent She does not mean
to have q war with Turkey, but to take the place Of
nurse, or rather mistress of the Sultan, which En-
gland has been holding for the last thirty or forty
years. Turkey is one of those weak and wicked fe-
male natures of which many abound in this fallen
| world that must be kept" And she has a lyeli-
ness of instinct peculiar to her class for discovering
when her keeper is losing the ability 10 keep her
she wishes to be kept. The peace and nonnteven-
ton policy which has matured in England since the
Crimean war does not suit Turkey any better than
the wayward sisterhood are pleased with the plans
of reform and loyalty to the home government
which are sometimes made by their protectors"
In view of the necessity for change, this class do
not look so much to the appearance or character OF
| the successor as to his means and disposition 10
| take care of them This has been always Turkeys
prostituted condition. She lived with Russia dur
ing the latter part OF the last century, or at least the
early part of this. The leading part which England
| took in breaking down the power OF Napoleon
! awakened her wicked passions as promptly @
| those of Catherine H. OF Russia used
| he bv the sight OF soldier Of unusually
lusty proportions She has been kept by
| Enoland ever since 1t is evident to her that
England is getting too virtuous flor her, and thai
Russia is lust virtuous enough, and she Is gol1s
| hack from the Bull TO the Bear. You may have b.
chance seen the announcement IN one OF the oiDcis
papers that Turkey had given notice that +" no
longer needed the protection Of the Allied heet in
th Dardanelles that the recent discoveries Of tor
nedoes and things rendered further outside protec-
,;on unnecessary. This notion that Turkey can,
ided defend herself against Russia, or even main
ain her sovereignty Egypt, is so Enthusiastically
absurd that YOU are obliged to ok at the inevitable
oorsaouence of withdrawing the protection Of the
,uies-to wit a friendly alliance with destmc-
,on bv Russia to ascertain the motive for giving il
air As the Turks have not manhood enough in
them as race TO commit suicide, of the ia.