New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1871-02-03

he, Tho estimate purports to be based upon the cleo
tops Of $40 but Mississippi and Texas held no elections
during the past year. and PennsylVanm gave Demo
cratic majority on the popular vote The Democrats had
| tri,, I'm Florida and they claim Arkansas, although
| tho Radical majority will not allow tho returns
Ga no made public. TiIB TRIBUNE assumes Ndf
! nor,i.s rH stand relatively ms hey do nom fn U'e
,, mist Wa are willing to aocept this hypothesis,
js,ucb n. the election OF u Democratic President Ia
certain enough that assumption But the trite saying
that revolutions never 60 backward Ia likely 10 have
rh vercafon in the experience OF the next two years.
and the Radicals will discern the difference between
Glib and flood tide. We hare gained oil The country
within the past eighteen months az rate that will give
~ large majority Mt the Presidential election, II we
meet with general check and the indications are all
tbe other way. orr strength the Congress viii
be more double the present and increase
in the popular vote is in corresponding ratio Mr. Greeley
cannot figure mp Radical victory, without claiming
States whore the odds are largely as him. and every
State which he cOneeses 10 be doubn* pretty certain to
swell the Democratic column. No sagacous politician,
willing to present the fairly. will pretend that there
IL the slightest doubt that Virginia North Carolina,
oregon. California Will cast their votes against the
Radical candidate Add these to the States ddmfHed by
THE TRIBUNE u be sure FOR the Democrats. and giving tho
Radicals Pennsylvania, Ohio. Louisiana, MSsissppi ana
Tcxas-not Of which they certain to carry-and
Democratic President will be elected by handsome
majority"
Comments by The Tribune.
Awaiting the mOnitiOn of our self-cOnsttutcd
! censOrs as to what name we shall give to the
! statements above which we have placed III
! Hqlics and for which we can find no tit term
! but lies, we call the attention OF our readers
/ to a few incOntestable facts, namely:
! I. We have never undertaken to show that
Republican will necessarily be chosen Presi-
| dent in 1872. We do not even know who will
| be the rival candidates. Our opinion IL that
the Democrats can make the contest close
and doubtful one by framing a mild platform
which distinctly recognizes as fixed the rights
secured by the last three Amendments to the
Federal Constitution and putting up candidates
sto match. They might have done the same IN
the last Presidential contest, when every cool
head knew that they were beaten when Their
ticket was announced. Should they resolve
and nominate in 1872 IA madly as they did IN
rs, we presume they will be beaten ~ badly
as they were then. But this is guess merely
NOT prophecy. We assume that they VIII
not run their heads second time against the
same stone wall not only, but the same bowlder
projecting from it, and that we shall conse-
qucntly have - very desperate and doubtful
contest
3 We do not believe nor teach that the Re
publicans won "a great victory" III 1870. On
the contrary. we hold and show that they
barely escaped a National defeat. Their ma
iority on the Electoral Vote, had such vote
been taken, would have been 30 instead OF
%. as was first msprnted i'll our columns
the Republicans choosing 10 and the Demo
Gratis l47 Electors.
3. Mississippi, California, and Texas having
hold no election since 1869, we were of course
Obliged to be governed by the returns of that
year; and as, in several districts OF Pennsyl-
yania there was no Democratic candidate for
Congress in 1870 but only a strife between
rival Republicans, Re took the vote for Gov
crnOr in 1869 as the last authentic exposition
Of the political sentiment of that State. We
tried to be fair and candid: let whoever can
make a less partial exhibit.
4. We made 10 "estimate.' and no doubt
| 'ful list" but stated the obvious fact that
/ Several States might not vote in 1872 as they
! did in 1870.
8. 1t is not true that the Democrats gained
"all over the country" in 1870 They lost
Ncw-Jcrscy by 5000, when they carried it by
q large majority in 6S and Il still larger i'll
! "a They lost Louisiana by a still larger ma
| iority. when they had carried it overwhelm
! ingly (by terrorism) in Gs. They lost a good
part of Seymour and Blairs majorites in Del
/ aware, Maryland and Kentucky, owing (of
course) to the COlored Vote; but that loss is
permanent They lost on the vote of 1869 in
| the popular vote of Virginia, and gained
nothing Go say the lcast) in Ohio, Michigan,
Iowa. Minnesota, Oregon, and several other
! States
- But enough. Just understand that we
have made no prophecies or claims" as to
the vote or result in 1872, but only set forth
what ,ras the issue of the latest State Elections,
and the rest may go for whatever it may be
worth.