The Tiffin tribune. (Tiffin, Ohio) 1868-1887, 1871-08-03
From the Ohio state Journal
THE CAMPAIGN IN 0HIO.
Topography Of The Canvass.

Atpu5l Alhl u kEG NGEa1hS
/ The adoption Of the 18th amend
! ment projected q new element into
the electoral forces Of the state, 50 faI
modifying the basis Of calculation.
. both As To numbers and preferences Oi
, voters rs to make any survey for the
, years prior % $50 somewhat unrelia-
be and perhaps unnecessary. The
vote for Secretary of State, in 1870, is,
! perhaps, the best basis upon which to
found a survey. It is safe to assume
That the cOiCred vote went almost Is
q unit to the republican party. And
. II Is equally safe to assume that no
considerable portion Of that vote will
. yield to the allurements Of the demo
cratic party during the present car
yaSs-thOugh even such tough old
democrats Is Daugherty and Schleich
have adopted the rO'c Of gay seducers
of the cOlored vote.
The policy Of the enemy is of course
10 attack the weak districts Of both
legislative houses. The Machiavellian
advice to weak powers Divide and
: cOnquer'-wiu be accepted, doubtless,
and we may expect to find prohibi-
ti0nsts and whiskyites, Sunday-law
people and SunGay-iager people, civil
service refOrmers politicians working
for place, and blOated capitalists, Bi-
blC-in-the schools people and GOd-in-
! the-cOnstilutiUn people, all stirred up
by the "TeiUrm" democracy to take
this time above all others for pressing
each his peculiar demands upon the
republican party. Every hobby rider
viii be urged 10 demand recognition
. n Ilf.It Z a.
al reform measures shall not want for
leaders working in the interest of the
democratic party tp seduce good re-
{ politicians 10 defeat trepublicaHism.
J.. The stale ticket is impregnable.
Even such well informed democrats
I rs tie editors of The Chicago Republi-
can Henry Reed and J. Il. McCuI-
| laughJ cOnccde the election Of the re-
/ publican state ticket 10y 5000 majori-
I ty, and not Ovcr-sanguine republicans
place the figure at 0,O0Oand even 40
I 900.
. The general assembly IS more
I doubtful. Counting every doubtful
county which may reasonably be hop
Ell for, ami excluding Hamilton cOun-
ty, (which may be also reasonably
hoped for, we still find 4 bare maiori-
Is for the republicans i'm the house Of
representatives. On the other hand, /
if we give the democracy every doubt
ful county they may hope to carry,
we find they can not possibly compass
a majority i'm the house without the
assistance Of a part, at least, of Ham
iltOn county. In the senate it seems
impossible for either party to secure 4 /
majority without carrying Hamilton /
county.
]. Senate, by districts, we foot up
as follows Total 30, necessary 10 ma
jority 10:
(0j Doubtrul, with republican, prob /.
ability-lIamiltOn, ,; Butler, !; To- .
tai 1.
tJi Certain republican-Montgo /
cry, Greene, Lawrence, Clarke, Logan, I
Washington, Belmont Carroll, JeiIer-
son, Trumbull, AshtabHIa, GuyahOga, /
t2l, Portage, Medina, Huron ard Lu- [
cas- districts. Total, Il.
(cl Doubtful with democratic prob /.
ability Marion district, l. An
independent democrat may he elected I.
in Franklin.
(d) Certain democratic -ClermOnt, /
Highland, Athens, Franlllin-subject /
to contingency named in (c)-Nus- /
COshOctOn, Guernsey, Ashland, Sene- .
ca, Allen and Adams districts. Total, .
II.
>. House, by districts-TOtal, l05, ]
necessary To majority, 50.
(d) Doubtful, with republican prob /.
ability-BelmOnt, Hamilton, 2,T97; /
Hardin, 10; Highland, 277; Madison, 1
I30; Musllingum, Van Vert. Of
i'm 1870, except Van Vert, which gave I
against us, and Belmont, which /
gave 22I against us, and Muszingum, /
which gave p against us. The figures
above show the majority for Sher-
wood Belmont was pledged to us in
the convention, if Welsh should be
nominated on the state ticket-and
we expect Jllis pledge ca he rCdeeuaesI.i
If Jewett is nominated by the demo- .
cTats, in AIUskingum, it will take a
first-claSs man to beat him, but il can T.
be done Van Vert ought never to I.
have been lost TO us. This will give
us total of seventeen doubtful, with 7.
republican probabilities. :
(6) Certain rcpublican--Ashtabul0, !.
Athens, Carroll, Champaign, Clarke, /.
Clinton, COlumbiana, CuyahOga l5), /
Delaware, Erie, Fayette, Fulton, Gal I.
La, Geauga, Greene, Guernsey, Har- /!
risOn, Huron, Jackson, Jefferson, Lake, F.
Lawrence, Logan, LOrain, Lucas ~, /.
MahOning, Medina, MeigS, Miami, /.
Morgan, Morrow, Noble, Portage, /.
Preble, Sciot0, Stark l2), Summit, .
Trumbull, Union, Warren, Washing
ton, Williams aud Wood. Total, 40. I.
lcJ Doubtful, with democratic prob /
abilities 1.-THE figures are majority for
IIeisley) Knox, III; Montgomery,
3D. y membcrsl; Ross, 81. Total, 4.
(dl Certain demOcratic-Adams, Al Z!
len, Ashland, Auglaize, Brown, But
Ter, CiermOnt, COshoeton, Crawford,
DlrIIe, Defiance, Fairfield, Franklin
It2)-by the way, we may carry one of
these for an independent republican
Hancock, Henry, Hooking, Holmes,
Licking, Marion, Mercer, Monroe, OF
tawa, Perry, Piekaway, Pike, Put
nam, Biehland, Sandusky, Seneca,
Shelby, Tuscarawas, VintOn, Wayne
and Wyandot. Total, 50.