The Columbia herald. [volume] (Columbia, Tenn.) 1850-1873, 1871-08-11
The Presidency. in 1872.

THE Now York Herald, which
claims TO be independent in politics, re-
Gently indulged a prognostication of
the result of The Presidential campaign
of 1872. Similar predictions of rthe
Herald have always occasioncd con-
siderable comment, if they did not
without exception prove true. In the
present instance, figures, which are
falsely stated never to, lie, are used,
and very flatteriDg majority is made
for the Democrats in the great contest
which is to decide whether we shall be
freemen or slaves. Altogether, there
are 81 electoral votes, and conse-
quently 159 votes are necessary TO an
election. OF these the Herald puts
153 as certain for the Democrats, % for
the Radicals, and 80 doubtful The
Herald draws the following conclu-
sions froEl these facts: .,.f-....
i Surprising the two parties to hold
their ground in the States put down as
democratic and republican, the demo-
Gratis would have to draw six votes
from the States etdown as doubtful to
elect President. To, carry Connecti-
cut would accomplish that. New Jer-
sey, which has generally been demo-
cratic, and which there is a probability
the democrats will secure again,
would give one vote more than want
ed. Texas would secure the election
to that party under the circumstances
we have assumed. Then there are the
two great States of Pennsylvania and
Ohio, which to all appearances, will
be debatabIe ground. ;, OF course, eth
er of these, even without Connecticut,
New Jersey and Texas, would give
more votes than necessary to elect q
democrat. In fact, with either Ohio or
Pennsylvania tile democrats could af-
ford to lose two or three of the smaller
States set down in the democratic, col
unnn, as New Hampshire, Florida
and Arkansas, ,and still have votes to
spare. But, supporting New York,
which is now democratic throughout,
should, through late events and mis-
management, be rcyolutionized and
20 for the republican Presidential can
didate, there would be sill Pennsylya-
MIA, OHIO, Copnectcut, New Jersey
and Texas to fall back upon. Penn>
sylvania and New jersey would make
up, for the loss of Nrw York. Ohio,
New Jersey and Connecticut, even
With the loss both Of New York and
Pennsylvania, would give the election
to the democrats if tile other States
stand as placed above. 51aH hGUol II
The republicans will have to secure
sixty-four votes in addition to those of
the States set down as positively for
the party to elect their, candidate.
They would have to carry all the
doubtful States. II. they should lose
even one Of the smaller States, that is
either Connecticut, New Jersey or
Texas, and yet carry both Ohio and
Pennsylvania, with New York for the
democrats, the Democratic candidate
would be elected. If the republicans
should carry all three OF the great
States of New York, Pennsylvania
and Ohio there would be little proba-
bility of failure. Leaving New York
out of the democratic column as we
have given it, and turning over the
doubtful States of Ohio and Pennsyl-
vania 70 the republicans, the demo-
Gratis would like. thirty-nine, votes.
that they could carry tine
other doubtful States Con-
necticut, New Jersey, Texas and Ne
braska, in all twenty-five votes--they |
would still have Il, draw seventeen
votes from the States ranged as repub-
lican. Out of these the only three
that seem barely possible for the demo-
Gratis to gain are Maine, mississippi
and Louisiana, which together give
votes. From present ap!
then, the gain OF either
New York or Pennsylvania, with the
other States classed as doubtful, would
give the republicans the election.