The New York herald., 1870-09-06

ault OF Messieurs les P0litciens he u not destined
to pass the rest OF his eventfu life In the calm Sc
cluslon OF his cf-derarf mountain home, where ne
may serenely mediate on the rise and fall OF EN-
pires. Perhaps, inspired by the classic neighbor-
hood OF Lausanne, where Glbbon wrote his immortai
work, the ''Dcchae OF the Roman Empire" ne may
set TO work and edify the world by composition iar
more Interesting and cOuched In style still more
repiete with grace and elOquenoe All TINS may
10 pass before the leaves OF autumn are strewh
upon the ground. The kingdom OF Louis Philippe,
which seemed so firmly rooted passed away IN
night. why, then. may not the empire, with all its
grandeur topple headl0ng down In another months 7
1t Is at this moment a very probable thing: II mas
Inch has cracked IT, but 1t has not yet fallen "
pieces. Can II ever be cemented agains
That IL the conjecture OF the nOur.
barely three months since the leaders OF all the
various factions which are eternally struggling TO
ger possession OF supreme power In France with
all les splendid perquisites gave up their last hopes
m utter despair The plebtscite OF last May. with
It's seven millions ana half for the empire and its
put an end TO further conict. The nation, In almost
It's entirety, decided to MAINTAIN the government;
This Vote Was Crushing one for ali parties alike.
The republicans. Oreanfsts, legtimsts and revo-
utionists oil felt that their hopes were indennltey
Mite over the gloomy and distant future. Little did
they dream what a short ninety days would bring
utterly failed to do Napoleon accomplished for them
IN three brief weeks of war. That public opinion
whicn has always been the broad and solid founda.
ton Of her power has In great measure deserted
hinl and lt refuses to rally 70 him to himwhy then
he must initiate the sage example OF tue iegendSy
he found Captain Scott was "taking aim at him."
The nnconceaed Joy OF the party Leaders
and It reminds one not q little OF a lot or hungry
heirs assembled at the funeral OF Inillonalre
whose delight peers through every lneamenL OF
their would-be llgubrious visages 1t has happened
In such instance thatthe expectant helrs were
cut or win penny and IN others tnat they iel 10
lighting over the prize, which finally fell into hands
that had never anticipated 1t. The p0htlcians OF
Paris look radical, and are busy making their
arrangements and laying their plans to take pos.
session of the vacant edice OF Stale just as II the
empire was utterly defnnct. But Is IT so? That Is
the main question. There are some elements OF
vitality that Still manifest themselves, and they are
THE pEAsANTRY AND ARMY.
The peasants OF France, that count by millions,
and whose possession Of the suffrage makes their
cooperation Indispensable as to any future iOrm OF
zen SUI, as an nae ao fSen as tbs Eperor
VIII return to the Tuileries. wiser ana sadder
may be, bur return he Will. Another great ele.
ment is the army. How that VIII 90 when tue war
Is over is difficult to say; but will venture 20
predict that 1t will not go the way the politicians
would like TO lead 1t. II the army abandons the
empire it will aspire put some favorlte general at
the head OF the State On the te6tsc'te or May last
the army entire voted for the empire, minus 10000
dlssentients.
II victory finally perches on the German standard
then II may be questioned II The peasants and sol
dery will continue loyal to the man who has brought
so much dishOn0r and calamity upon them, though,
to the honor OF the common people be IT sad, tney
are never the first 10 abandon cause or man VINO
Is only unfortunate. II 1t turns out that Napoleon
was forced into the war against his better Judgment
by men who sought his doWnallmsna I'M tns 18Th, Is tas
masses-then Napoleon may tide over the reverseS
OF the war. But granted that he Is obliged to make
the literary retreat alluded 10, what then?
WHAT WILL FOLLOW BONAPARTEp
Ay, "there's the rub" Shall we be treated to
another republic Of highly respectable character,
ault Mt w he n
would do very well. Trade and commerce would
take 1t at once by The hand, but Victor Hugo Louis
Blanc and Rochefort, &c, would attack IL just as
they did the republic OF lS4S.
Shall we have constitutional monarchy, with one
but not govern THIS would do very well, too.
Everybody would he satisfied with that, except the
aforesaid gentlemen Just named who would assail
more violence than moderate republic. The revo-
lutionists. or the 'rcds school, some OF whose
leaders have enumerated, propose republic OF
"unlimited liberty" when everybody can do what
everybody pleases with eveiybody's person and
things. in other words the system known as COM
mnnsm or socialism, That has been explained in the
theories OF Louis Blanc and the teachings OF Prud-
homme whose motto, you remember was that ''pro-
perty is tneft.n The legtmsts believe there Is only
monarcny and and that y to 60 back TO the Old
OF the Count de Chambord, IA sps eeiHssa
his chateau IN France, containing 44o Chambers. AS
hospital for the wounded. These are the parties,
the principles and the pretendecs who are deoom.
as they say here-that is on Two legs one Of winch
is ready to Kick over the empire and the other pre-
pared TO hop on 10 the site IL has occupied
so you see that an observer OF passing events has
something TO occupy his mind besides the terrible
war that Is raging In the interior OF unhappy
trance.
GENERAL TROcHU.
The last sensation in Paris Is the new Governor
General, Trochu, whose chief reputation hitherto is
more OF literary kind than military. lie wrote In
1867 book on the French army. which had great
success and gave prominence to his name. lie is
said by some to be a republican and by Others an
Orleanist, and that he proposes, when the moment
in English history lie is already criticised for
writing too many pr0camatlens, showing that his
fondness for the pen is greater than for the sword
have gwen a general and impartial sketch Of the
situation, and IL affords abundant material for
speculation.