Memphis daily appeal. [volume] (Memphis, Tenn.) 1847-1886, 1870-03-02
The Next Census.

What viii be the result of the APP
preaching census? AS far as we can
gather from persons well informed on
the principle of p0pulatiOn-i0r 1t has
peculiar and almost certain law OF
It's oWn-it will exceed 10000, 600.
The census of 1860 showed total oi
81, ,443, ,32I. The loss of our population
by the mortality of the rebellion may
be estimated at not less than Z,OOO, OUU.
but for this we should count over -
cOO,000 this year. Even as IL IS our
opinion IS that we shall reach that
number, for there has been-a large IN
crease of inhabitants since 1860 by
immigrafion-nOt alone from Europe,
but from China.
The late Elkanah Watson, who died
in December, 1872, and was the valued
friend of Benjamin Franklin and John
Adams, made a remarkable calcula-
ton IN the year lSlJ IN reference TO
the progress of American population.
This, but without any acknOwledg
ment, was adopted by Mr.. Kennedy,
Superintendent OF Census, and inserted
(page ~ in his introduction TO the
population return in 1860. Mr.. Wat
son stated that iu 1910 the census
ESAOMCA n HGDAAlAlADAA va fT-Ne1-NA-
The increase from 1870, the first CEN
sus under the Constitution, had been
about One-third at each census, ana,
assuming that ii would continue to
increase ia the same ratio, ne pre-
dicted that the result would be;
In ls2O.. 9,625, ,734-.....resalt was 9,6Ssl5l
An 1850. Y. S., ,635------ % u, s65, 0Z1
In IsfO...l ll6, ,536 49,. " l7,062,55
He lived to see the accuracy Of his
calculation established in surprising
manner on three different occasions
a decade of years intervening between
each. A census has been twice taken
since his death, and here, too, his
almost perfect accuracy was shown.
We subiOin his estimate and the ac-
tnal result:
In 1850. q I65, ,36s. actually was ., ,lel, s76
in 1850 81 753 .s24... (" 81 AS, S2s
His estimate went forward thus:
In $50 population win be-. q $38 4s2
In IsQ9 . .-......... ~ s356 $50
IN Ia0O I" - -.......--l09 355, go
Nor did Eikanah Watson rest here.
Taking as a basis that the population
of the United States ''will be 100, O,OO0,-
600 at the close of this century, ana,
in consideration of dense pOpulati0ni
intestine and foreign wars, a possible
subdivision in consequence into
several republics, we Will suppose, u
he says, I" the increase viii be one
third in each twenty years for forty
years; One-third the next thirty, and
One-fifth for the next forty years. 1t
~Till stand thus:
IN 1880 ia round numbers. l33, ,000, 900
II Ls1U --.-- -.-....--.s...--lff,o ,ouu,VUV
IN lSlD 30 -oOOiouy
IN 200 .-.---. ,OOO, 90
probably 800, ,000, 600, equal to the
entire population Of China.
In 1871 the dieennial census Of the
British Islands will be made. In 1861
the entire population was -, 32l ,2SS,
or about :, 900, ,0G9 less than that Of the
United States in 1860. In the middle
of 1865 this British population had in
creased TO 30, ,S69, ,S45. There had been
o decrease OF 2lO, 900 between 1861 and
1868 in the population OF ireland. 1t
is probable that the census of 1871 viii
show the British Islands 10 have about
3, 200, ,Oe0 Inhabitants against Al 900,
OOG, or may be 42, ,900, 900, population
In the United States in 1860. We are
going ahead.