The Evansville journal. [volume] (Evansville, Ind.) 1866-1870, 1870-08-10
DAEAY JOURNAL
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1q, $50.
How the next House WIN Stand.

How the Next House Will Stand.
The Democrats are better as chick,
encounters than as egg-hatchers
They are doing it at great rate in
this matter of the Fall elections. Let
US see: there are sixty-three Democrats
IN House of two hundred and thirty,
there being thirteen vacant seats, and
nine delegates. Ofthe remaining one
hundred and sixty-seven, there are six
members who can hardey be deemed
reliable Republicans; as Booker,
Mines and Mckenzie of Virginia,
Hawkins, of Tennessee, Deckery, of
North Carolina, and Rogers of Arkan-
sas, The Democratic gain, they con-
6dently expect, is not less than thirty
nine representatives, or one hundred
and two votes. These are to be won
in the States of Alabama, Georgia,
Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Missou-
ria, New York, New Jersey, North
Carolina, Ohio. Pennsylvania, Ten
nessee. Texas, Virginia and Wiscon-
sin. Ohio is set down at ten, an
increase of five, New Y ork an increase
of four, and New Jersey of two. Ten
nessee an increase of seven, Louisiana
q gain of four, and In Alabama OF one.
They will make no such gains as these.
This can soon be established. There
will be no election in Georgia this fall
five off their count. In Alabama
we shall hold our own, or even gain
one. In Arkansas, Rogers will be
defeated. In Missouri, we shall beat
Wells and Mccormick with the color
ed vote. In North Carolina we shall
only loose one. In Kentucky we
shall elect, it is expected. two Repub-
Hcans. one at least in Maryland; in
New York we shall hold our own, and
will, it is hoped carry Slocum's dis
trict. In Ohio the colored vote must
help to secure two or three districts;
Orebs will be beaten in Illinois, and
Voorhees, in Indiana. Counting the
votes carefully, the Democrats will
pr obably gain by gerrymandering, re-
distributing, two more in Virginia, one
more in North Carolina, seven
in Tennessee, three in Louisiana,
and one in Texas, they losing
Conner there and we losing Whit
more and Degeaer. Possibly Roots
district will be lost in Arkansas. In
Missouri we'll stand about even, gain-
ing Wells and Mccormick, and losing,
perhaps, Van Horne and Burdette.
This count gives fourteen additional
Democratic Representatives from the
South, against which we can certain
" Offset gain Of two Republicans in
Kentucky and one in Maryland, leav-
ing eleven as their gain. Now, it is
believed that there may be gain of
ten or eleven in the Northern States,
as New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio,
Indiana. If the next House shows a
Democratic vote of eighty-fve, it will
be all they claim. There are some
shreWd Republicans who claim that
they will not bo able by any pOssibili-
ty to elect more than seventy FIVE Rep
resentatives.
WHERE THE BATTLE WILL BE
THICKEsT.
Taking Districts having one thou
sand and less majority as doubtful,
the Republicans hold twenty seven,
while the Democrats hold twelve, a
larger proportion on their side than
ours. There are twenty-five Republi-
can Districts in which the major;ties
range from 1,031 to 1861. There are
eleven Democratic Districts in which
their msjorities range from 1,022 to
1879, 80 there are forty-seven Re-
publican and twenty three Democrat
10 Districts in which the conflict will
be warmest. In about two fifths
of these Districts hard contest. good
speaking, careful canvassing might
change the result either way. In this
estimate Of doubtful Districts (mean-
ing especially those whose majori-
ties range from 1000 down. there are
(Republican) in Ohio, eight; in Penn
sylvania, FIVE; in Indiana three; two
each in Missouri and Connect
lieut., and one each in New York,
New Jersey, Arkansas, Alabama,
Texas, Wisconsin, and West Virginia,
OF the twelve Democratic Disticts
coming under same rule there are two
In Missouri, and one each in Ohio,
California, Kentucky, Illinois. To-
diana, New York. New Jersey, Mary
land, Alabama, and Texas. In the
last State, the District represented by
Conner has, when all united, more
than 1000 Republican majority.
OF the remaining districts under
two thousand, Pennsylvania has three,
Indiana, New York, Illinois, New
4AaA4 pouAACa OAAOR dH0 AAOAA-
gan, have two each, while Maine,
Nevada, West Virginia, Missouri,
Louisiana aud North Carolina, one
each. The Democratic Districts un-
der the same rule are situated two
each IL Indiana aud Pennsylvania,
and one each in North Carolina, New
York, Arkansas, Ohio, Oregon and
Connecticut.
In this diagnosis of the several dis
tricss, l do not count the revenue re-
form discussion as of very great
Importance. The Republican record is,
after all, financially COED. Its fiscal
legislation might be improved, but
then it is better than was expected,
The Administration stands we'll In
matters of economy. On the whole,
the Republican party shows but little
more evidence of distintegration than
it did in 1866. It's victory this Fall
will probably not be an easy one, but
it is probably secure, though Cor.
CtR. Comm srcial.