The New York herald., 1870-11-08

Alabama, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Kansas,
Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts,, Mchi
gan, Minnesota, Missouri, New York, New
Jersey, Nevada, Rhode Island, Tennessee,
Virginia, Wisconsin. Altogether these cleo
tions embrace one hundred and twenty-siz
members of the next House OF Representatives,
They win, therefore, with the elections whici
have taken place Gin September and October)
be very apt to determine substantially tht
political complexion OF the popular branch Q
the next Congress, which succeeds'the preson
Congress on the 4th OF March next.
What, then, are the prospects of this day.
elections in reference to the next Congress
la the present House the republicans have q
full two-thirds majority. In the elections for
| the nex House, so far, they have lost nine mem
bers. In 1868 the all-absorbing excitements
of the Presidential contest brought out In al
the State elections very full vote, upon which
the republicans always gain; but this year
the rule has been short popular vote, upon
which the democrats always gain; and as
short vote will be the general rule in this
| days elections the democrats will doubtless
have some further gains in Congressman to
crow over. 1t is also probable, however,
that they will have some losses to deplore
on account of the first introduction in seve-
raj States of the new element under the
fifteenth amendment, known as the colored
vote.
New York, in the lower House Of the pre-
sent Congress, is represented by nineteen
republicans and twelve democrats. We esuspect
that to-day the democrats in this State will
gain two or three members, and unless
the rural districts poll a pretty full vote
they may gain four or five. In New
Jersey, however, where the State is
closely divided, and sharply contested
apparently, the new colored element may turn
the scale, and give the republicans the gain of
one or two Congressmen. The same may be
said Of Delaware, where the black voters are
believed to hold the balance of power, and of
Maryland, where thirty-iive thousand blacks
have been registered for the election. The
Der or two in Alabama where the blacks num-
Der Gfty-fye per cent OF the voting popula-
ton, and in Tennessee tho republicans, from
the extension of the franchise to the whites
DISTINGUISHED in 1868, and from factious divi-
sions, are in pretty fair way TO lose the whole
delegation Of eight members, which they hold
unbrokcn in the present House. On the other
hand, again, the republicans may gain member
or two in Kentucky from the acquisition Of the
black element, which is supposed to be equal
democratic white majority Of from fifty TO sixty
thousand.
II Missouri, where the republican parry has
been split up between two factions and two
tickets, they viii, we think, lose two or three
congressman, and may lose four or five. They
viii be doing very wen to hold their own in
Illinois, and very well if they escape without
a break in their delegation from Michigan.
From present Indications tae Congressional
results in the rest of the eighteen States which
elect their members to-day will show no
material changes The most enthusiastic demo-
Gratis do not expect much Congressional assist
ance from such strong republican States as
Massachusetts, Illinois, Wisconsin and Mime
sofa Looking over the whole field and giving
the democrats the full benefit Of possibilities,
from present appearances, they canno: reduce
the republican majority in the next House Of
Representatives below twenty, and in the
chapter o. chances the dominant party may
still hold majority Of thirty, thirty five or
forty in full House.
But the two-thirds vote, which the repub-
licans, SO fortunately for their policy, held
in the House, as well rs in the Senate,
during the whole term OF Andy Johnsons
bellicoss administration, will be 80 far
gone in the next House that the Presidents
veto will be effective in the new Congress
against measures which he does not approve.
he will, with his veto, IN the next Congress
be more decsively than in this master of the
situation, and may shape the measures Of
Congress TO meet his own views OF the doncs-
tic and foreign policy of the government best
adapted to the circumstances and the public
opinion of the day. We think the country,
the administration and the republican party
itself may be congratulated upon this restora-
ton of the President to his proper position
as a constitutional check upon the extrava-
gances and loose legislation of Congress. 1t
may be said thai bat for the two-thirds vote
which the republicans held in Congress during
all the intractabe and dangerous administra-
ton of Johnson the late rebel States would
to this day have remained in state OF chaos,
and the agitation for negro suffrage would still
have beeu the ruling question in all our political
elections. and that political confusion and
financial embarrassment would have pre-
vailed throughout the land, with no better
lookout than a general collapse, bankruptcy
and reputation.
Had the veto under Johnson been effective we