The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1870-10-28
Our November Electioa-Tho Prospect, City
aud Etnte.

The general results Of the October elections
in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indiana, with
hardly an exception, furnish fair indication
Of the general results in New York in Novem-
Der. Tho democrats gain on short popular
vote and the republicans only hold their own
or gain on full popular vote. The principal
reason for these respective party gains or
losses lies in these facts :--Tne main strength
of the democrats is in the cities, towns and
VILLAGES the main strength Of the republicans
is among the farmers. Hence, while only
some great exciting occasion w.i' serve 10
bring out the fall republican vote, because of
the Inconvenience ana loss or time involved
to tho farmers il getting 10 the po.ls, the
great boGy of The democrats in cities and towns
can vote ut the next coraer without inconve-
nence or loss Of time, and therefore they turn
out more generally in all elections than the
republicans. The figures Of the October cleo
tons this year exhibit short popular vote
compared with that of 1868.
In Pennsylvania, on the Congressional dele
cation, the recent aggregate vote is nearly
one hundred thousand short OF the October
Congressional vote Of 1868, which was under
the full inspiration of the Presidential con-
test or this deficiency, we dare say, from
careful estimates heretofore made, two-tbirds
are republican stay-at-homes and only one
third are democrats. The consequence is the
loss to the republicans of four or five men,
bers OF Congress-. In Oiio much larger
e ell
brought out in their late election, and in the
general results the republicans hold their
ground, and from the same cause they nearly
hold their own in Indiana, losing but ono
member Of Congress. But why this remark
able general apathy in Pennsylvania One
reason for it lies in the mountainous character
of the State. The numerous mountain ridges
of Pennsylvania are such serious distractions
to intercommuncation within the State that
they have limited its railway facilities to few
lines comparatively, and SO, in thousands of
cases, the crossing of mountain by the ordl-
nary mountain roads to reach the polls in
wolves the loss of whole day. Hence, short
of the President, it is only the election of the
Governor that brings out anything like the
full vote of the quiet, isolated yeomanry Of
Pennsylvania.
The same geographical considerations will
apply to . great extent to the State of New
York \; and 50 it has become prevailing i'm
preston that the general results of the October
election in Pennsylvania foreshadow the general
drift of the November election in New York.
For example, in October, 1867, on a short vote,
the democrats carried their State candidate
for Judge of the Supreme Court by majority
of 922, indicating in one year democratic
gain of Is, 900 on the popular vote. In Novem-
Der, 1867, on short vote, the democracy car
ried New York by some $1,000 majority, indi-
eating gain of 5000 in q single year. In
1868, however, the republicans brought out
their reserves and added some Sc, 600 to their
vote of 1867; but still they were beaten on
the Governor by twenty thousand democratic
majority.
This broke the backbone Of the republican
party ofthe State for since 1868 the democracy
have continued gaining until they have State
and city completely in their hands. But the
republicans charge that neither Seymour nor
Hoffman obtained majority, but that they
were at least ten thousand votes short of a
majority of the legal vote of the State, and
that by repeaters, ballot stufing, false count
ing and doctored returns The democratic vote
OF this city was sweled to meet the case Let
us look at the figures. city and State for 1868
and see how far these charges will stand the
test of an examination -:
Aggregate vote for Governor in 1858. $50, $50
Democratic yote ...........,....-....... 439.3Ol
Republican VOTE. All, 1855
Democratic majority Observation-Disclosures. 27,946
All of this majority has been charged to the
spurious democratic votes and returns OF this
city. Here, then, lies the difficulty Let us
look into il. The whole vote Of the city in
1868 for Governor was l55, 1884, of which
Hofman's vote was. 1882
Ana Griswod's was OBSERVATION-DISCLOSURES. 1882
HofTmans majority Observation-Disclosures. 69,210
The nearest comparison we can get of any
value for this election is that for Governor in
1866, in which the total city vote was ia, 1863,
and Hoffman's majority was Az, 1856. The gem
eral vote of the State this year was pretty full,
for there was an active campaign on the four
teenth constitutional amendment Of equal civil
rights DC. The difference, then, between our
city vote of 1866 and 1868 is so heavy as to
suggest the repeater and his coDfcderates to
some extent, though not to anything like the
extent Of frauds charged upon the democracy.
At all events, these new election laws of Con-
gress are the results of these charges against
Tammauy Hall, and the republicans expect tc
cut down, in the enforcement Of these laws
the democratic majority Of the city of 69,00(
of 1868 to point somewhere between forty
and fifty thousand, and npon this democratic
reduction they have hopes of electing Wood
ford