The Charleston daily news. [volume] (Charleston, S.C.) 1865-1873, 1869-08-27
THE COTTON SUPPLY.

Oath, has the following speculation on the re-
suit Of the cotton crop at present growing in
this country. Like all outside parties who
speak on the cotton growth Of this section, he
exoecls the South to reach the ante beltun, pro-
duct quite too rapidly. But as we may have
a substantial increase Of the yield of the staple
during the present season, his reasoning will te
read with interest:
Our own crop canaot, be fully estimated
untiI it's growth shall be completed. He must
have good information, guided by good Judg-
ment, who can then estimate the out-turn WITH
an approach to the actual result. But PROPOSE
tious of what may be from what has been, are
useful in times OF undue excitement for their
prudential suggestions. The cotton season OF
1859 lust ten years ago, WAS slnguiarly IKE tne
present one, so far. Late in planting, back
ward in its start; good weather and "even-lng.
up" by rapid growth In June and july; stories
OF injury by w,rms, (caterpillar) drought, wet,
rust. &C., only IN spots, not general along
through August. Tha. year and this were
alike, also, In making and securing good bot
tom CROP which ensures cary supplies IN mar
ket, So tar the parallel. That year the good
autumn was followed by late and hne matuI-
ing season, and the crop actually saved exceed
ed 800 600 bales, Tor 4 676, ,ooO oaies peslaes
the Southern consumptiOO.) The laDormg
force was able to save 30 much 6y reason OF
tbs large picking to the hand which eould be
done early. Already we have the same reports
this year from oil the cotton States.
It remains to be seen how tar the likeness
between the two seasons shall be continued,
and If throughout, it will remain 10 compare
the area planted, and the product per acre
under ihe change in labor, then and now.
The only guide we have as to the present CO.
paclty Of LABOR is it's attainment since the war
in each section. In every section OF tie cotton
country the people on the spot believe they
will exceed, not only in the aggregate, but IN
the yield per acre, any crop since 1861. ,,u
The Shipping List crop statement for l867-S
set down the receipts:
Virginia. s................ bales iS1 40. M
North Caroliua. ua........................ sS,oSI
South Carolina. as ~
Georgia.. SI 400
florida. oec Iod
Alabama. ...'.''ooo i''
Total. ........................1,S62, ,S62, I27
Virginia. OF course, included some cotton re-
ceIyed overland from the West. This entire
section taken together is estimated, by it's own
people and press, to have this year an increase
| OF 70 to 20 per cent. in average, ana, OWING 10
the use of fertilizers and the late favorable
changes in the prospects, they estimate pro.
duct Der acre exceeding the capacity to save it
and beyond any ever made, except in the small
localities where injury has been done by rust,
&c. Allow for both increase ofactes and OF
weld only 20 per cent. upon the above product
Of 1867, 1852 127 plus Z2 40 i 6S4 ooz oaies.
The product OF the Mississippi Valley, which
formerly found market at New Orleans only,
ia now diydei. and q considerable portion is
| forwarded bv overland routes to the Northern
norts or to the mills. 1aken together that
product for the year now closing, as stated IN
| The tables, will be about 15O. OO0 bales. Ihe
common and aim 1ss universal report from MI, nose s
| the capacity to PICK it." Last year the pick
ING began late, for there was no bottom crop
worth pickinr separately, and ceased on mang
| fields in October because the caterpillar had de-
stroyed the top crop. This year the bottom
crop is mace and in process OF gathering, ana
the danger Of any destruction of the top crop
seems to be postponed to the advent OF a
black f,ost. A gain OF three weeks ut one aud
| five weeks at the other end of a picking season
| eulargcs the labor power widely; and when the
larger applies 10 crop opening with unitormi-
| tv 10 each field as contrasted with scattered
opening, the difference is practically nifty II not
one hundred per cent. IN the capacity OF the
same labor. 1t therefore remains to be seen if
| the crop really is 30 large that under these
favorable circumstances, and the Stimulus of
high prices, it cannot all be saved. To be
| moderate. allow an increase OF Is per cent
only, $50 600 plus 2S7, SOL, 800 bales for
the valley crop.
The people OF Texas say tner or Is mace,
and safe beyond the reach OF enemies. Its
truth than in the other case, to be the limit Of
the % labor bort that IA S can b. employed to save it.
None are willing to set down the receipts at
Galveston below 200 900. nor the crop OF the
state below 500, 600 bales: For this hypothesis
call it for the State $25O,00O bales. 10 sum up
We have:
| The crop of States Virginia to
Alabama, as in 1867.6S.. l362.l27
N 1854, $50
The Mississippi Valley crop.
| 18e8-6a.. ........'l,1oO
AUN ~ p'' - 1.4s7 800
Texas, estimated as safe...... SEQ 600 say $4,000
| Total. ..S,S22,ooZ