New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1868-09-26
following States:
90 States-Total...

decided Republican majorlties' e''"ci SIM io
-. .Lo NOW Constitutions were adopted
~ .1'a.,, under the changed conditions brought
w" T., ,ho war Missouri would probably
ho doubtful or Democratic were not Her
pohels DISTINGUISHED. As it is, she has a
| Renublican majority of at least 2O,oVc' III
west Virginia the Republican majority since
1864 ranges at only from 5000 to $4,000 III a
total vote of 10000. The Republicans OF ONO,
in the general collapse of 1867, came within
o 0s3 votes of losing their Governor, and did
lose their majority in the Legislature. But if
the Republican vote in Ohio compares with
that of 1867 as those of Vermont and Maine
have done, we should carry Ohio by 10000
majority. We hazard nothing whatever. there
fore, in counting the above 15l electoral votes
as certain for Grant and Colfax The only
States equally certain to vote for Seymour are
Maryland e votes) and Kentucky QD. Total,
49, One hundred and fiftynino votes are re-
cessaiy to a choice.
OF the remaining States, three, Virginia, Mis-
sissippi. and Louisiana, not having been recon
structed are excluded by the joint resolution
of Congress from the count of electoral votes.
PENNSYLVANIA gave Republican majority in
1864 of 20075 in 1865 of % 7G0. i'll 1866 of 17.11S
and IN 1867 Democratic majority of only 922
If Pennsylvania should compare with these
previous votes rs Vermont and Maine compare
with their votes during the same years, we
should carry the State by 10000 majority. On
these figures, and on all our adyces from
Pennsylvania we have no moral doubt that
the twcnty-six electoral votes of that State
will be given, by popular majority of not
.,,I f,lf Ina
verdict of Pennsylvania will be known from
her State election on the 18th Of October.
On the basis of the Maine election, the thirty
three electoral votes of NewYork would be
carried for Grant and Coliax by about 10000.
But this is too narrow q margin to calculate
upon with any safety. Our friends are lighting
calamity for success in Ncwl York. The Octo-
Der election in Pennsylvania will indicate. and
perhaps determine, the result here.
Connecticut voted Democratic in the general
ebb of 1867 by 0S7 majority. IN total vote OF
041H. In 1866 the Republicans carried tho
State by 54l, in 1865 by ll035, and in 1864 by
2.4OG. Upon the basis of Vermont and Maine,
we would carryG COnnecticut by about 1900.
We have very confident hopes of gaining the
six electoral votes of Connecticut it the can
vass is pushed with vigor
California, partly owing to Republican dlvis-
ions, was carried by the Democrats in 1867 by
7,45s majority, in total vote of 2,352. If the
Republicans of California should gain on the
vote of 1867 eight per cent, as their brethren
have done in Maine, they would barely lose the
State by 100 votes. Lincoln carried the State
in 1864 by 1928. California owes debt OF
gratitude to the Republican party for her Pa
cifc Railroad. The contest will be close and
hopeful, but we cannot yet predict favorable
result.
New-Jcrscy has heavier Democratic major
ity to overcome than any other State north OF
Maryland. We greatly fear she may be com
PEELED to wait until Gen. Fitzpatrick shall be
of ago to run for office before redceming her
self from the incubus now resting upon her.
But our friends are working hard In New
Jersey; and while the past does not permit us
to predict a victory, the present Is well en-
ployed and the future is bright.
Oregon held no election in 1867, but in 1865
went Republican by only 553 majority, and in
1864 by 2727. The three votes of Oregon are
tolerably sure for Grant and Colfax. There is
hope for little Delaware. Her three votes have
usually been given, unavailingly, against us by
from 600 to 200 majority, margin SO slight
that we shall not be surprised to see it over
come for Grant. COliax, and Peace.
We wish we could predict that the votes Of
the people would be fairly taken, without force or
fraud, in the Reconstructed States of Arkansas,
Florida, Georgia, Alabama, and Louisiana. On
fair vote, most of their thirty-two electoral
votes would, with reasonable certainty, be cast
for Grant and Cofax. If the revivipg Rebel
lion is to rally in the South from this time to
the day of election, so that Republican meet
ings are to be dispersed by Rebel gangs at the
point of the bayOnet, some of these States
may, doubtless, be carried for Seymour and
Blair.
OF the States above noted as uncertain, it is
apparent that the Republicans have the better
chance of carrying: