The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1867-01-02
Sfaximiiian's Chances Of Success.

Maxtmtiian's Chances Of Success.
Betting is generally considered immoral
yet, when the chances between two opposits
results are apparently balanced, 10 make up
our minds that one is more probable than the
other, to back that opinion with earnestness to
the extent Of sometimes splicing II with mild
explosives, and to fortify all with declaration
that we are willing to risk quarter, are ex-
tremely natural operations. Human nature
Is SO headstrong and impulsive! Adam had
had another companion, of his own sex, in the
garden Of paradise, it may be regarded as GER
tain that they would have arranged quiet bet
in regard to whether Eve would or would not
pluck that memorable apple, while it is equally
certain that Adam would have wsn--a result
deduced from principle on which all married
men are agreed Similar reflections musa
occur to all who balance chances In their own
minds; bat though we do not profess to bet
on anything, we propose to state the chances
for and against Macmillan in the PRESENT phase
Of Mexican compilations for thu purpose Of
arriving at a result.
The friends of that much perphxed stranger
base their hopes Of the continuance Of auto
cratic government in Mexico on two or three
prominent facts They urge ths good he has
done in that country-the establishment Of
banks. charitable institutions md railroads,
and the conversion Of at least me neglected
public square in the capital hto . smiling
garden. They dwell upon the fct that he has
with him majority Of the population Of tho
most civilized portion-the vaIy Of Mexico.
They point to his comparativ1 large and
well appointed army; and a. q browning
chance they assert, and with rhson, that he
has the Church on his side. Nw, for argu-
ment's sake, we will admit llthis, and we
will admit further that the SPIT among the
liberals will help much to keep be enterprise
afloat for some time to come. But q stronger
fact than oil those enumerated, he single fact
weighty enough to turn the seq on the other
side, is that the people Of Mexib are republic
can, and never can be made anything else.
Occupying central position blween the vast
republican continents Of Mob and South
America, every breath Of airthst fans the
parched surface Of Mexico, etry wave that
beats upon her shores, bears eloes Of repub-
lican voices. Whatever glors her history
can boast, whatever fame bid patriots have
won, have been the s.rugglesk her nascent
rcpublicanism with the monahical idea and
the rule Of the stranger. hximilian is .
stranger and monarch audthough strong
soevsr may be the nations ddFe 10 rest from
intestine feud and repair thehmage done to
national life and prosperity yean Of civil
war, the vital spark which liners was born Of
republican FIRE, and win livain spite of all
political storms and all Chur influences. In
fact, Church influence, thog1 much counted
on, grows weaker from dafs day I; for Il ID
sadly enough apparent thsthe highest aim Of
the Church In Mexico Is y recovery Of her
lost worldly property. Br strength ~ .
moral power for good haIlong since disap-
peared through the scandous delinquencies
Of false pastors. In relys upon her, there
fore, Macmillan rests utn broken reed.
How long his cause andhis efforts may con-
tinue, thus weakly propd, are matters Of
mere conjecture but tisend IL certain and
not far. sfe