The evening telegraph. [volume] (Philadelphia [Pa.]) 1864-1918, 1867-11-18
pEMoCRATIC.

The vote in Georgia and Virginia would be
very close If it were polled to-day and all
voted. Possibly both might be carried by the
Republicans on full vote as they have been
on partial vote, but we doubt it,
The prospect for 1868 is still favorable for
the Republican party, but the above state
ment clearly shows that it is by no means free
from uncertainty. Much will depend upon
the management of both parties. New York,
Pennsylvania, Indiana, and Illinois are all
very doubtful States. Republican politicians
count with great confidence upon New York,
but with little reason. The cities of New
York and Brooklyn have just given $4,000
Democratic majority. They will increase this
in 1868 to $1,000, if not more. The largest
Republican majorities ever rolled up by the
interior OF the State were no. 900 for Fremont
in 1856 80 600 for Lincoln in 1850, 81, 900
for Dickinson in 1861, and 10000 for Fenton
in 1866. On no other occasion Ihas the lnte-
rior given more than 55,OO0 majority, IN
1854, Lincoln had only $4,000 majority in
the rural districts to overbalance the Al 600
and over given to Mcclellan by these
two cities. Can the interior poll go 600 majo-
ritv for any Republican in 1868 We must
saw that we consider it in the highest degree
improbable. We doubt whether it can make
out 40 900 majority; yet that hgure viii intal-
libly be overcome by the cities. Without go
ing further into details, we are OF opinion that
Governor Seymour would certainly carry New
York State, while Mr. Pendleton might pos
sibly carry it, but probably would not If the
Republicans were thoroughly united.
Pennsylvania and Indiana are always doubt
ful, as every one knows. The majority in
both States in 1866 was comparatively small,
requiring a change of only two per cent. OF
the electors to reverse it. II may seem strange,
however, that we should set down Illinois as
doubtful, when she gave $4,000 Republican
majority last year But Fenianism contri-
buted largely to that vote and will never do so
again. Moreover, the Southern part OF
the state, which has been so wonderfully
converted within the last five years through
the influence OF General Logan and his friends,
may be restve under the rapid progress of the
Republican party towards equality of politioal
rights. Nevertheless, We think the nroba-
bilities are in favor of Republican suoeess IN
Illinois. Illinois seems 10 us more doubtfnl
Mr.. PendetOn perhaps might carry IT, but We
do not think he could carry Pennsylvania.
10 fact, the great element OF uncertainty il
the contest OF 1868 lies in the action Of th,
Democratic party The Republicans will
Dretty certainly nominate Grant. The Dsmo
Gratis will as certainly nominate PeniletOn o
Seymour. Their difficulty is that the torne
cannot carry the East, and the latter cannO
carry the West Nominating one for PrasideI
and the other for Yice-President will not hel
the matter, as nobody expects the Vice-Fre5
dent 10 have any influence We presume tha
Pendleton Is tho fagorite; but New York an
Pennsylvania are too important to be riskeC
and If they declare with emphasis that the
cannot carry a repudiationist, the Democrat