The Bolivar bulletin. [volume] (Bolivar, Hardeman County, Tenn.) 1865-1888, 1866-06-23

A correspondent of the Mobile News re-
plies to a New York correspondent of Lon
don house, who estimates that this years
crop of cotton will probably reach six, and
cannot fall short of five millions Of bales
This absurd statement the Alabama writer
very clearly exposes, by facts and figures
which he seems to have collected with much
care, and of which we can give but brief
synopsis. lie sets out with the fact, that
the largest. crop ever raised, in the South,
amounted to 100000 bales, and assuming
500 pounds of seed cotton, to be the average
per acre, of the whole cotton growing sec
ton he arrives, logically, at the conclusion
That to produce 100000 bales, there must
be in cultivation, 9,843, $50 acres, which
mustbe worked by ,093, $50 hands, and that
the season must be favorable to the growth
and the ingathering of the crop. Having
reached these conclusions,-th approximate
accuracy of which, few will questionable
writer assumes that, this year, there viii be
one-third less ground in cotton fewer labor
ers by one-third, and that those laborers will
do one-third less work than when slaves.
Now, by deducting one-third from the totals
it viii be seen that, even with the most pro-
pitous season, the crop cannot exceed 1000
600 bales.
This is well enough, so far as it goes to
expose the absurdity of the estimates made
by those Interested in keeping down the
price of cotton, or in keeping up the price Of
Government bonds, but it needs amendments
to make it applicable to the present aspect of
this years crop. When we take into con
sideration the number Of negroes who have
died by violence and disease the number
that have gone North the thousands who are
oilers in the cities, towns and villages, the
three-fourths Of the women who have re-
tired from the field to cultivate waterfalls
and the thousands Of (once servicable) boys
and girls who are taking lessons in Yankee
isms from Yankee school-marms, we are
constrained to believe that the estimate Zone
third) is far too small to cover the loss OIL
labor.
But waving this point as one not easily
established, let us bear in mind, that q fa
vorablc season is one Of the conditions which
enters INTO Lills tSlilLlsitC VI Va Ale'.N
as the maximum yield of this season. That
condition, so far from being fulfilled, has
most signally failed The wet and cold
acting upon the feeble terminating powers
Of imperfect seed, caused bad stand, and
the want Of seed, good or bad, prevented re
planting in many cases, and, in some, re
suited in the substitution of corn for cotton
In addition to this drawback, the sweeping
floods. which have desola;ed large tracts o
the riehestIands, all through the South, hav,
materially Iessened the number Of acres sc
apart for cotton, and from which the mos
abundant yield was expected As yet nc
satisfactory report has been made of the in
Jury sustained from these eombined causes
but taking into consideration all the circum
stances adverse to the production Of cotton
SO far. this season, aud the chances fol
steady labor during its growth and gather
ing. the prospects are very bad for yiel'
exceeding l .250, 600 bales Ana putting tht
home consumption at 500 oo0, this win leave
$50 600 bales for export. What effect thi
NAV have upon an inflated paper currency
we leave to the decision Of the fnanciers o
the country.