New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1864-10-24
TyF PROSPECT IN NEW-YohH'

nv W.
We are often asked, "What is the prospect III
New-Yorkl Is it certain for LincolnF 'an
Seymour be reelected :" dc. Those VINO insult
us by asking for our pirate opinion are iew'ahu
deserve no answer; but those who ask respect
fully are entitled TO an answer which We can
better give them collectively than otherwise
1t is as follows:
The vote of New-York at the last four State
Elections has been cast as follows:
1850. Lincoln. So, 6i6 Fusion. 3I@'olV
Lincoln's majority, 81, 1876. ,,,
1861. Dickinson 295, 500 Champlaln loo,5oi
Union majority, l07,2i-.
1852. Wadswth, 295, sJ7 Seymour. 3OO,Oi
Seymour's majority, 1922. o.o
1853. Depew .3li,N7 St. John. .2o''''%
Union majority, ~, 100.
These are official returns, about which there
can be no dispute and they show that the vote
fof Lincoln in 1860 was Fifty Thousand higher
than any adverse vote ever polled-hc having
received nearly seven votes for every SIX cast
against him. Seymour. though successful III
~ received nearly Eight Thousand less than
were polled for the Union ticket last Fall, when
no President, Governor, or Representatives, III
Congress were TO be chosen. but lie received
nearly Six Thousand less than the Fusion vote
for President in 1850.
The vote for Lincoln in lSGO having been
| Fifty Thousand higher than was ever pollcd IN
the State for any Democratic" or other Oppo-
sition ticket, the question OF our friends amounts
10 this DOES Lincoln stand Fifty Thousand roies
rorse in our State than h. did IN leGOf
Now, there hive been changes either way;
but. so far as We can ascertain, there have been
Il, lenst four changes 10 Lincoln for every one
against him. Among those 10 him, every tongue
readily Instance. Daniel s. Dickinson, Lyman
Trcmain. Francis Il. Cutting, Moses Taylor,
Col. A. NJ. Wood mayor Of Brooklyn John
A. Griswod (Rcprc.eniatiye III The present 'oh'
cress), Edwards Pieucpon,, francs LarAin'
&C., &c. We might iill page OF manuscript
with the names Of New-Yorkcrs who opposed
Lincoln in Loo and now support him, every
one Of which would be recognized rs that Of an
emirenily respected and Influential citizen.
Ofcourse there have been changes the other
way: but how manyi We could not name a
dozen: who could' We doult that any man in
the State could instance adozen changes against
Lincoln Of Ncw-Yorkcrs whom he would pro-
nonnce qualified for the Office Of justice Of the
peace.
Now, then, when we say that we think Lincolns
majority in this State viii be larger IN 1864
than il was in 1900 we deduce rom well UNDER
stoou premises conclusion that no one can
| fairly deem extravagant or unwauanted. We
asscr, that the notable changes 70 Lincoln are at
least four to one of those against Lincoln: hence
we Judge that his majority must be increased.
How could we reach an opposite conclusion
Doubtless, the preponderance Of Naturaliza-
tons is largely against US; but we believe there
have been fewer naturalizcd since 1860 than were
IN that single year. Doubtless, We have lost and
are losing more than our adyer'0re5 by death
on the battlefield or in hospital; but then the
preponderance of native voters coming oil aye Is
strongly on our side IN time of war, the young
men naturally attach themselves to tie national
or patriotic side; and such is emphatically the
case in this war. The native votes for Me-
Clcllan will mainly be cast by men thoroughly
hide-bound ndurated, in the habit Of voting
whatever is called the Democratic ticket
OF course, the majority may fall below our
estimate but that the Fifty Thousand majority
of 1860 and the Thirty IL. usand majority with
out the Soldiers Vote Of 1863 can now bo over
borne seems quite as unlikely as anything
vet future well can be. In this City, we know
that the Democratic fusionists of 1850 who will
now give hearty, effective support TO Lincoln
and johnson arc numerous and daily III
creasing, and we hear of corresponding changes
in other parts Of tie State. Nothing short OF
most enormous, unprecedented frauds at the
balot-boxes or a crushing defeat of The Union
armies can reduce President Lincon's majority
to the Thirty thousand of last November