New-York daily tribune., 1861-02-19
THE STATE OF EUROPE.

From Our Own Correspondent
TURIN, Jan. %, 1861.
The elections TO the Italian Parliament, 90 far
as they are known, result in q triumphant ma
jority for Count Cayour; even in Sicily and Ma
pies the opposition returns but \ minority.
The Government is now certain 10 bave the
command Of two.thirds if not of three-fourtbs
Of the members, and we may say that the
chances Of war with Austria have greatly
diminished for the next few months. 1t is true
that Napoleon is still preparing for war, that the
Italian Government continues TO arm and ID or
ganize powerful army, that Russia is marching
on army corps toward the Pruth aud another to
the Polish frontier, that the King of Prussia
talks big, and that most powerful English feet ia
stationed in the Adriatic; still for the present we
are certain that none of these great powers will
precipitate a conflict which might soon spread over
all Europe. NapOleOn's plans remain mysterious,
but he has openly declared that he can aud viii
prevent war IN the year 1861. He certainly does
not mean TO oppose any desperate expedition which
Garibadi might undertake; but it muet be done
with his own resources, without the assistance Of
the Italian Government. Should Austria provo
unable to crush the efforts of the hero of Caprera,
so much the better; the other hand should Carl
badi aud his enthusiastic followers be defeated and
destroyed, then Napoleon will get rid OF great
danger, and will consolidate his power still more.
lie therefore does nothing to discourage tie ad-
yenturOus General, provided he does not attack
either Rome or Venetia; but an expedition to
IstIia or Dalmata will not be hndercd by
the French neet. 1t is said that negotiations
have been opened about this p0iut between
Turin and Caprera, and that the Generals Iurr
and Bixio have prevailed upon Garibaldi to accept
the proposition, under the condition that the qucs
ton of Rome should be automatically arranged
within the present year. CayOur seems not TO hayo
had any objection to such an arrangement, well
aware that Napoleon, sick Of the Legitimist IN
trigues fostered by Cardinal Cardinals AntOnel and
Merode desires To find pretext for withdrawing
his army Of occupation from Rome. Prince NapG-
icon is expected here as soon as the lawsuit about
his fathers American marriage Is decided, and II 10
known that he has q secret mission to Rome where
he is TO bring about compromise between the PUpe
and Victor Emanuel. According to another yer-
sion the Prince will not set out from Paris until
GaG.a has fallen.
II this news should prove correct, his arriyasmay
be delayed for some time-King Francis H., or
rather his Bavarian Queen, having resolved to hold
out to the last, while the bOmbardment by CIaldini
ard PcrsanO does not seem to have had TIE expected
effect Ii the fortress s regularly TO be beoieged
one or two months may pass away IN tedious works
before the fortress can be taken 10y Storm In the
meantime bands of Neapolitan soldiers, sent from
GaGta to the Roman territory, are throwing them
selves into the mountains and waglng glerrlIa
warfare against the liberals III the towns, and against
the Sandman detachments which pursue thein
Continually defeated but always retiring to tao
mountain Businesses they infest the county, and
fill il with murder, arson, and rapine. Generals
Sonnaz and Pinelh have the labOriOus and migrate
ful task Of pursuing these msraudng guerrllas, and
they do their work without great respect for the
Papal territory. But lately they surprised Casa
mari, a monastery within the patrm0uy OF ST.
Peter which had served for military depot to the
insurgents and after having got hold OF considerable
quantities Of gunpowder and muskets, set fire TO tho
building.
As 10 the King of Prussia, his vaporing about
Scheswig- Holsten and the shaken confidence in
peace has found no response among bs people.
Nearly all the Prussan journals earnestly dpprecate
a war against Denmark, since they know that itmay
elsy serve for pretext to Napoleon for attacking
the Rhenish Provinces under the pretense of giving
assistance TO the King of Denmark.
Austria cannot get out Of her critical position,
Hungary makes q logged resistance against all In
perial orders which are not in accordance with the
laws Of 1913, and the Government dares not employ
force and crush the opposition by the army. IGo
meeting of Parliament at Buda has been liked for
the ID Of April, but the intervening ten weeks arc
bcset with dangers and difficulties. The taxes re-
main unpaid, the Courts of Justice cannot execute
ton, claim boldly the laws of lels, as the Only pos
sibe basis of concliation Baron Way, however, tho
Hungarian Minister at Vienna, has not yet lost
oil hope of being able to keep matters toer-
ably straight up TO the meeting OF Parliament
and he is, to a certain point, seconded by the
leaders of the Moderate party, who most anxiousIy
desire to to terms with Austria and to avoid an
armed conflict which under the present circum-
stances could not fail to lead TO the state of siege
and martial law. 1t would be otherwise if Italy
should be able and ready TO make war on the Muclo
and Po. Then a revolution in Hungary could nos
be avoided. But with the pacific views OF Napoleon
and Count Cavour there is chance for an ins'ir-
-ectiCn on the Thesis and Danube. No sooner was
he Imperial Cabinet satisfied about the peaceful
policy at Turin than they sent a threatening decree
% Hungary, if they intended to return to the sys-
em of dcspotism, abandoned for a while during tho
lour of danger. The provinces, however, will not
Iow themselves to be bulied. Several of them
AVE already protested against this new eDcroack-
nent on their rights, and not has been found 70
ccept it. Whether it will be possible, under these
to avoid collision, remains 10 DO
cen.