Worcester daily spy. [volume] (Worcester [Mass.]) 1850-1888, 1860-06-29
CALCULATING THE CHANCES.


tits now several days since the Boston COu-
rier took most wonderful survey of the field
of political strife, and predicted as follows the
result of the coming presidential election :
FOR MR. RREcKINRIDGE.
Pennsylvania ~, New Jersey (, California and
Oregon Z, Virginia TO- South Carolina $, Georgia TO-
Florida g. Kentucky II, Alabama 8, Mississippi Z,
Texas and Kansas a eachl S Total, llS.
MARYLAND s, Tennessee p. North Carolina 10,
Rhode Island A. Louisiana 6, Delaware g. NIassachu-
sets ID. Total, Sc
Michigan 6, New York 49, Vermont s. New Hamp-
shire 8, Maine s. Total, So
Illinois H. Ohio %, Iowa 4, Wisconsin 3, Connec'
ticut 6. Total, 40.
Indiana 13, Missouri 8, Minnesota T. total
We have heard of clever visionary who
endeavored to make his horse eat shavings as
if they were fresh fodder, by inducing him to
look at them through green spectacles. 1t was
very nice experiment and evinced great
genius, no doubt. But, we think, it was a
failure and we shall not be surprised to hear
that the Courier's experiment on the crGdulity
of its readers has turned out in the same way.
Our excellent friends of the Courier should be
more moderate in their extravaganza and not
overdo the matter We know very well that
they are desperately bent on defeating Mr..
Lincoln, and If the result could be controlled by
their figures, every voting place in the Union
would be against him save some rural town up
in Vermont, and even that would be very
doubtful. 1t may be quite lawful for them to
persuade as many as possible TO adopt
their prepossessons and their estimates;
but they may nevertheless make themselves
little ridiculous by assuming too readily that
either horses or men can, by any contrivance
whatever, be cheated into believing that dry
shavings are new mown hay.
Is the Courier quite sure that Mr. Lincoln
has no chance of getting an electoral vote in
such states as Massachusetts, Rhode Island,
Connecticut, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Illinois,
Minnesota, and Indiana, not to speak of Penn
sylvania and New Jersey! The prevalent
belief is that he will carry all these states by
sweeping majorities and that the chances are
strongly in his favor in Delaware and Ore
gon. On the other hand, Mr.. Douglas can not
carry either of the states which the Courier
sets down for him. Iowa, Wisconsin, and
Ohio are as sure against him as Massachu-
SETS Connecticut will go for Lincoln by 5000
to 1000 majority over every thing; and, in
Illinois, where Mr.. Lincoln was some 1000
ahead of Mr.. Douglas, in 1858, the republican
majority is now as irrepressbe and decisive
as in any other state that can be named.
There are in Illinois from 1000 10 10000 Ger
man democrats, who are now sure for Lincoln,
and who will vote with the republicans next
fall for the first time besides vast number OF
other voters who have heretofore acted either
with the democrats or the Fillmore conserva
tives All advices from that state represent
that the majority there for Lincoln will be
overwhelming.
We venture to suggest that the Courier
should reconsider the matter and revise its
figures. If the conductors of that paper were
not now hey ond recovery from the terrible dis.
ease commonly known as malignant bunker
ISM we would venture another suggestion. We
would venture to remind them that the laws of
things, by which the ways of Divine Provi.
dence are regulated, do not allow anything SO
thoroughly and incorrigably depraved the
democratic party, to be permanent. The re-
suit of the present confusion Of that party must
be good for the country Our American poll
tics are about TO assume higher tone and
nobler fashion. The election of Abraham
Lincoln to the presidency will begin new era
in the history of this republic.