New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1860-07-27

udo occn promptly nomiintco % Suoiioosou' e"~
his nomination Is generally and heartily acquicssed
in ss that of Lincoln at Chicago was, he would
probably have carried Indiana end made pretty
sharp race Of it in Illinois. But his loss OF time
between Charleston and Baltimore damaged him
at least Five Thousand Votes in either State,
while the disruption and double nomination have
sent him Ito the field under cloud which no
amount of audacity and spssmodic activity can
dispel. Doubtless, many of the Federal ONCE
holders who pretend to be for Breckenridge are
cheating, and will slip in votes for Douglas in the
end; but that is not the same thing as openly
working and spending for him throughout the can
yass. The currents of emigration, both into and
out of these States, during the last four years,
have been in favor of the Republicans; the increase
of population has been mainly in Republican sec
tiops; the immigration from New-England, New
York, and Ohio has put our friends many thou
sands better than they otherwise would have been.
Illinois will give Lincoln from Five to Ten Thou
sand majority in spite of the most desperate exer-
lions of TIE Douglas men, led and stimulated BY
the Little GiaDt 10 person. Indiana is the most
evenly contested of any of the Free States; II any
one but California shal be carried against Lincoln,
she will be that one; but We do not think she can
be. Even in the preliminary State contest, where
the Douglas and Breckenridge votes will be cast
together, the Republicans are confident Of success;
while they have only to come within Five Thou
sand of it to make the State sure for Lincoln De-
cause the whole strength of Buchanan, Breckin-
- - "a. IN, ha forth
Douglas, though in favor of the Democratic State
Ticket. And, at all events, no one can reasonably
charge the Republicans of Indiana and Illinois
with apathy. Together, they gave Fremont
100, 564 votes; they will give Lincoln hardly less
than Three Hundred Thousand. They will give
him more votes than they gave to both Fremont
ard Fillmore in SO. The increase of population
will account for a part Of this; but the steady
growth of Republicanism, the popularity of Lin
coin, and the moral certainty Of our triumph, are
responsible for much more.
"But if this is so, why does Mr.. Douglas talk
$50 confidently of carrying these States?" we are
asked We answer, he is both by Iature and cal
culaton sanguine, never admitting the possibility
of defeat. Thus we heard him, not once only but
repeatedly in his encounters with Mr. Trumbull in
the Senate of 1866 assert that Illinois would in
the then approaching Election, give a certain
Democratic majority of Thirty to Forty Thousand.
He said and wrote this repeatedly during the can
vass, ard doubtless believed it. Yet the result was
plurality of but Nine Thousand for Buchanan,
while the vote of Fremont and Fillmore together
exceeded his by some Twenty eight Thousand, and
the Republican State Ticket was elected by hand
some majorites, Mr.. Douglass ablest and most de-
voted lieutenant, VIM. A. Richardson, being badly
beaten for Governor by Col Bssell. So much for
the accuracy of Mr.. Douglass political prognosti-
cations.
As to Pennsylvania and New-Jersey, we can
only say that all signs must fail if they are not
certain for Lincoln by overwhelming majorities.
Two years ago, the Democracy of these States
was perfectly united while the Opposition was
divided nearly through the middle; now the Oppo.
sition is substantially united and the Democracy
pretty evenly divided-which, you see, makes
very great difference. The personal strength of
Mr.. Douglas, which is an important element in
the canvass at the West ~ hero unfet; he has
hearty and effective supporters in either State, but
he is exceedug ely obnoxious to still larger number
of leading Democrats, who regard him as a bolter
and disorganizer and deeply resent his hostility to
Buchanan, Black, and Bigler. We cannot foresee
ali that may occur hereafter; but if the election
were to be held next week, Mr.. Lincoln would
carry New.Jersey by at least Ten Thousandmajor-
ity and Pennsylvania by over Fifty Thousand. And
our friends in either State, though not doing all
they should, are still doing very well.
As to our own great State, about which
we hear apprehensions expressed by Repub-
cans living at distance we can only say that
she looks decidedly better for Lincoln to-day than
she did for Gen. Taylor just twelve years ago;
and Taylor carried her by nearly One Hundred
Thousand plurality. We are not making much
noise here, preferring that the DOugasites should
bear their full share of the labor and cost of
orousiDg the People; but the Republicans are this
day majority of the voters of our State, aud
are steadily gaining A majority of the jour
mails ard of the prominent men who upheld Mr.
Fillmore's banner in 1850 are now for Lincoln; 3d.
we are confident are majority Of the rank and
file as well. Fremont had here Eighty Thousand
plurality over Buchanan, polling Two Hundred
aid Seventy FIVE thousand votes, which is more
than were ever polled for any one before or since;
yet Lincoln will certainly poll Fifty Thousand
more than Fremont did. In the counties just
about us, the vote OF the two will compare very
nearly as follows:
Fremont Lincoln
New-YOrk ...... H,77l 10000
kinge ........... I,o4o ioVV
I