New Orleans daily crescent., 1860-10-10
will, a.rrcoLN nn ELEcrED,

The Boston Post, leading Democratic organ Is
cf Tie opinion that Lincoln will be defeated. The
Post is a Breckinridge paper, but does not claim
Mr.. Breckinridge's election. 1t merely believes
that Lincoln will not receive the one handred ana
ffty.two votes required to elect by the people
and, 10 show the grounds upon which this opinion
il based, We make some extracts from the article
of the Post, as follows:
Tba Nav yorl, Tribune in an elaborate review,
short lime aro conceded againstth the Republicans
seventeen States--in all ls7 votes. we apprehend
the prospect as to- these votes stands to-day it
aid month or more ago. Indeed there i no need
If wasting words on fifteen of these States, 120
votes so far as Lincoln is concerned; for he has
hardly oorporals guard in any OF them. It is not
our purpose, now, to speculate as to who will get
these 20 votes but it is enough for our object to
know that Lincoln will not get one of them.
How stands the case as to the votes, three OF
Oregon and four of California? +? Can Lincoln get
these? The Black Republicans are not over mod
est- and it is quite common to hear them, with
charming nonchalance, claim both. Let us look at
the political sentiment in each of these young ana
national Pacific States, and see how war on the
Constitutions Of fifteen States gets on there.
The Post then gives its reasons why it does not
believe Lincoln will carry either California or Or
| egon, and continues:
Thus, here are I27 votes which it is difficult to
see how any well-informed person can consider
=
twenty. five additional votes can be cast against
/ him he will be defeated.
Now how is it with the prospect in Pennsylya
MAJ 1t casts ~ votes, and i Lincoln loses these
| votes he is defeated. All along the canvass the
Black Republicans, with here and there an excep-
ton, have alleged that he would carry this State
by q heavy majority, as sure as the election day
came. But within week the Philadelphia In
quirer has reluctantly admitted that the conserya-
tive element has united and that the electoral vote
of the State may be cast against Lincoln. We
need not go over the details of the politics of this
State; but it is fact that the Black Republicans
now are U terrlbie irlght anoat rennsyiyaania'
Nor is it any more sure that Lincoln can get the
4 votes Of New Jersey. Here is a similar union
Of the conservative element. In 1856 the vote of
this State in round numbers, was Buchanan 50,-
600; Fillmore $4,000; Fremont 28,000. Last year
the Fillmore men united with the Fremont men,
when the vote was 53 900 for fusion and $4,000 for
Democracy. a New Jersey computation puts the
vote in November as follows Breckinridge and
Bell AZ COG; Lincoln 81 900; Douglas 25,o00.
Concerning the prospects of Douglas the Post
says:
If the calculation Of the strength Of Douglas by
his supporters have in them tithe Of truth, if he
carried but brace of the States which it is claimed
that he can carry, there is no chance whatever of
Lineoln's election. We have dozen calculations
by Douglas presses before us, and among the
States put down for him as certain are Ohio, 20,
and Illinois, IL. If Douglas carries these two
States, Lincoln will be beaten, even sparing Penn
SyIyania. Let Douglas carry even Indiana and H.
| linois. and, with New Jersey, Lincoln is beaten.
The Douglas men promise to sweep the whole
! Northwest
But the Post finally admits that Pennsylvania is
| the great battle ground. Here is what it says:
But survey of the political horizon presents to-
day Pennsylvania as the great battle ground. All
eyes will be upon her sterling national men. Never
was cause more just than their cause; the union
seen in support of it rises to the dignity of those
grand movements that are for the good of whole
country; and its triumph will be vast benefit
conferred not only upon the raternal element that
unites these States, but to the manufacturing the
commercial, and indeed the business interests of
the nation.
The State election in Pennsylvania took place
yesterday. Very likely we viii to-day know the
result. If Pennsylvania can be saved Lincoln
will be defeated but if she be lost, we may look
out for . severe struggle, and in all probability
Black Republican triumph in November. If
Pennsylvania fail us, New York alone can inter
pose to prevent the election Of Lincoln by the
people.