The Nevada journal., 1860-07-06
Political Prosuerfs.


1t is very difficult for an unprejudiced OBJ
server of events to form any opinion, at
present, as to the result of the coming Pres
;dential election. The newness of the Re-
publican nominee, the disappointment of
the friends of Mr.. Seward the effect of the
Ahti-American plank in the Chicago plat
form, the extent to which the outside strength
which would have supported Bates will go
for Lincoln, the split in the Democracy, the
uncertainty as to which side will win, and
how extensively the beaten side will secede
and the strength of the third party under
Mr.. Bell, and the effect of its vote on the
other two, ,---all these are considerations of
such an inealcnlable nature that tits utterly
impossible to see through to the end.
II Mr.. Bates had been nominated at Chi
cago, and the Anti-American resolution left
out of the platform, in our humble opinion
he would have been elected, no matter who
received the Democratic nomination, and in
spite of any political combination, or event
of any character, that could probably take
place. As it is, in Pennsylvania, the battle
ground of the campaign, where the Native
American feeling has been powerful ele-
ment for the last twenty years, and where
there are many who are neither Democrats
nor Republicans, Lincoln will lose many
hn md oh bo1 oh
tanned for Bates and if Douglas is nominal
ted at Baltimore the contest in Pennsylva-
MIA, to say the least of it, viii be extremely
doubtful.
But, if the Republicans have not as clear
field before them as was thought some
time ago, the prospects of the Democrats
seem to be entirely hopeless. 1t is very
hard matter to shake our faith in the sue
cess of locofocoism but, at last-whether
owing to the long expected claiming of the
Devil, or some other kindred cause-it does
look as though the end of that monstrous
imposition had come. Every one admits
that unless Douglas is the nominee, Lin
coin will be the next President and, in
fact, that result is as certain as any event
of that nature can be. But suppose Doug
las is nominated, and suppose that, after a
close contest, he carries the State of Penn
sylvania, what then? This would certainly
defeat hincoln, but would it elect Douglas :?
We think not. We have seen nothing in the
movements of Southern Democrats since the
Charleston Convention that looks like yield
ing the position they then took. If Doug
las is the nominee they will bolt by thous-
ands and tens of thousands. They will
either support Bell, or run fourth candi-
date. If they support Bell he will carry
every Southern State. If they run another
Democrat, and thus dividethe southern De-
mocracy, and Bell can carry anything like
the opposition vote polled in the Southern
States last year (and it is reasonable, GER
tainly, to suppose that he CAM he will still
sweep a majority of those States. But if he
can only carry half dozen-or even two
OtulCS, hO W IL plCNCAt dh1 CiCStiOu ny tHc
people. And if it goes into Congress whose
chance is the best? Isnot Bells as good az
any body's?
The result, then, of our specuiation-and,
we suppose, everybody has right to spec
ulate-is. lst. That, if Douglas is not NOM
mated, Lincoln will certainly be elected by
the people; ID. If Douglas is nominated the
chances are that Lincoln will still be elect
cd by the people; Sd. That if Lincoln is not
elected by the people, no other person will
be; 4th. That if the election goes to the
House Bell will probably be President; and
5th That in no event, thank the Lord, has
locofocosm any show whatever.