Vermont phÅ“nix. [volume] (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1834-1955, 1860-05-26
THE PROSPECT.

IL is yet too early In The campaign TO predict
with absolute certainty the result of the next
Presidential election, but it may not be amiss
to consider the grounds upon which the Repub-
lican party hopes and expects to achieve sig
go far in settling the propriety and expediency
of its nominations. In this examination we
shall speak of the contest as one between the
republicans and democrats, not taking into the
account the constitutional Union Party" which
we regard of no particular account any way, but
which If it achieves any sort of success will do
so at the expense of the democrats rather than
of the republicans.
The republicans have the advantage of being
the first in the arena. Having readily adopted
a platform and nominated candidates in har-
monious, friendly and decorous manner, without
any boiling or quarrelling to mar the general
harmony, they have full five weeks in which to
organize their forces before their divided and
distracted opponents can take the field This
time will be invaluable for the purposes of a
thorough and systematic organization. They
have another and a great advantage in being
harmonious and united As they regard men
subordinate to principles they have no personal
chickering's to distract them no quarrels to set
tie Contrast their position in this respect with
that of their opponents. The democratic con-
vention sat for nine days, and neither nominated
candidates nor adopted a platforms its time
was passed in brawling; a sixth part of its
members seeded and set up an opposition
branch, and finally an adjournment was made
by one wing to one place and by the other wing
to another place. The moral strength that
comes from union and fraternal feeling is all on
the side of the republicans.
In 1856, the republicans carried II States
casting IA electoral votes. These States they
are sure Of now, and of the new State of Min
nesota. giving in all Is electoral votes. There
is no reason for surprising tkat we shall lose
one of them. We have carried them all every
year since with the two exceptions of New
York in 1857, and Rhode Island in 1850. The
check in New York was more than made good
at the next election and in Rhode Island the
reverse was result of division of the eppo-
sition where the democrats were hut the tail
piece of the boiling members Looking at the
''debateable" States,-Pennsylvapia New Jer-
sey, Indiana and Illinois, we find the creates.
encouragement. Pennsylvania give a demo-
cratic plurality in 1856 of $4,000, but twice
since then she has declared against the demo-
Gratis In 1855 the popular majority against
the democrats was 10000, and it syas rs 200 in
1859. The Pennsylvania Legislature is COM
posed of anti democratic members in the pro-
portion of nearly two to one, and her members
Of Congress are more than four to one oppo>i-
ton. New Jersey gave Buchanan plurality
of 10000, but the democrats were beaten there
last year by majority of 1000. In Illinois the
republicans carried the Stare in 1858, by over
1000 plurality over Douglas, although the vote
was much larger than in 1886. There was
Buchanan vote of SOIL, but it is not expected
BY any one that Douglas can reckon OH that
vote now. In 1876 The democrats carried In
diana by about $4,000 lSarslity. yet last rear
they elected their candidates by less than 2500
plurality Oregon was in 1856 democratic by
more than two to enc, Tet Mt the last Congress
Sional election the democratic candidate was
elected by only 10 plurality.
The above data are calculated upon the bass
that the democratic party will be united in the
campaign-a basis that has nov but a uery
faint show for being real. II By any possibility
Douglas is nominated at Baltimore, there will
certainly be two democratic candidates in the
field, both of which will have tickets in the '.de-
bateable' States, thereby dividing the demo-
cratic vote. In that contingency the Bell and
Everett ticket will stand the best chance of car
rying at least four Southern States. If Doug
Jas is not nominated at Bahimore-whch now
seems the most probable result no one doubts
that New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois and In
diana are sure for the republicans by over
whelnaing majorities. Even Douglas is reported
to have said, since the Chicago Convention, that
Lincoln will carry Illinois against any democrat
other than himself by more than 10000 ma
jority.
The opposition gains since 1858 are no where
offset by democratic gains. They have been
progressing steadily and securely. Their march
has been constantly onward. The democrats
from carrying all but four States in 1852, have
been every year losing ground and dwindling
away, until they have become, instead of being
proud and defiant, weak, dspimted, distracted
and demoralized. If this campaign is conducted
with Igor and valor there can be no reasonable
doubt of the final downfall of the now domnan,
party.
MIR. LINCoLN's VIEWS OF SLAVERY.
The nomination af Mr.. Seward was anxious
ly desired by those who stood squarely on thu
Philadelphia Platform of 1856, because he was
regarded by such as the representative man Of
the Republican party This desire was strength
ened and crystalized not only by his own pre-
eminent ability as statesman, but by the dis
satisfaction generally felt in the more Northern
States to the selection of Mr.. Bates or any othe
H. d. T.,