The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1860-07-10
The Presidential Campaign-Thc Defeat
or Lincoln SIM Within Reach of the
Divided Democracy.

or Lincoln sim Within Reach of the
Divided Democracy.
The democratic party il house divided
agains, itself. That which was powerful no.
mogeneous organization has become two par
ties, clashng against each other. In this state
Of things the republicans are counting upon an
easy DRY. They are already singing their
songs of ,riumph-that the democratic party il
destroyed. that sold Abe Lincoln has really
no competitor in the field, and that he will
walk over the course.
We, however, are very much inclined to
think, with the long headed Thurlow Weed,
that bird in the hand is worth two in the
bush-that the election Of Lincoln is not a sure
thing-but that. Notwithstanding the heavy odds
apparently in his favor, he may be defeated.
In point Of fact, the conservative elements Of
the country are heavily against him, and the
only difficulty is their effective combination;
but this difficulty may be overcome. Let us
take brief review of the field, and particularly
of the position resources and necessities of the
republican party; for with these things dis
tinctly ascertaned, We have at once the solu-
ton of this Presidential problem.
The republican party, then, is, first purely
Northern party. being for all practical
electoneering purposes limited to the North.
ern States. 1t puts forward no preten-
tons, whatever, in any contingency, to soita-
~ ELECTORAL vote from any Southern State for
Lincoln. Thus, in the very outset 100 Of the
so3 electoral votes Of the Union may be sure
inn T,,f fhara al
the Northern electoral vote of 1888, from which
Mr. Lincoln may throw out thirty one and still
be elected. The State Of New York, however
casts thirtyfve electoral votes, so thar the loss
of New York in this election will be the sure
defeat of Lincoln and the probable overthrow
OF the republican party.
We have shown. heretofore. from the figures
Of the Presidential election Of 1856. as CON-
| pared with the results of cur subsequent State
elections including that OF last November, that
upon fair count Of the vote cast and the vote
reserved last fall, there is popular majority
in this State Of about 10000 against the repub-
lican party. We believe. too. that the party Is
weaker to-day in this State than it was last No.
vembcr and for these reasons: Last Novem-
Der. the anti Lccompton war Of Mr.. Douglas
and his par,izans against the Administration
still operated. a. in 1855. a. powerful lever to
the republicans: now all this democratic anti
Lecompton element l. drawn Off to the Doug.
Las ticket Thus that Congressional balance Of
power which elected republican Speaker for
thi. prescn, Congress j. lost TO the party includ
ing Ilaskin. Of New York. Adrain and Riggs. Of
New Jersey. and Hickman, ofPennsylyania and
others. All these men fall back now upon Mr.
Douglas, carrying with them the anti-Lecomp-
ton balance OF power in the popular vote by
which they were elected.
Thus the nomination Of Douglas takes away
from the republicans in New York very re-
spectacle .aDtiLccompton democratic vote,
which, forWe last two years. has co-operated
with them. In the next place, there are in this
State thousands Of the old Van Buren, Buffalo
democracy Of lsis, who voted for Fremont in
1856. who viii prefer Douglas to Lincoln In
this contest, because Douglas. an old line demo-
cra,, like Fremont. is in all things nearer their
notions OF old fashioned democratic prin-
ciples than Lincoln, an old line wing. Then.
again. the remorseless, vindotve and humli.
ating sacrifice Of W. IT. Seward at Chicago-the
very head and front and prophet and apostle
Of his party-for mere man OF straw. will. we
dare say, operate TO keep some thousands Of
Stewards devoted followers at home on election