Sugar planter. [volume] (West Baton Rouge [i.e. Port Allen, West Baton Rouge Parish, La.]) 1856-1925, 1860-09-15
From the N. o. Bee.
The Prospects in Louisiana.

Hitherto we have said very little in refer
ence to the political canvass in our own
State, for the simple and satisfactory reason
that we were not well informed. 1t IS not
our habit to indulge in mere empty Dragging
for the encouragement of our friends, or TO
accept every vague and baseless rnnor as
well authenticated. We preferred. as IS our
wont. to await the result of patient inquiry
and investigation, aud especially after the or
yanizatlon Of parties in the different parishes.
he Constitutional Union men came late int"
field. and even now are not thoroughly and
perfectly organized as they will be by the
end OF this month. They could indeed scarce
ly believe in their own strength. until the
cheering intelligence of the August elections
aroused them from their SAUNDERS, inspired
them with JOY and sladness. and set them to
work zealously and enersetically in behalf
of our noble cause and its glorious standard
bearers.
Within the past few days we have enjoyed
frequent and ample opportunities OF becom-
ing tolerably familiar with public sentiment
in perhaps three-fourths of the parishes OF
Louisiana. 1t is therefore in our power to
form an approximative estimate of the result
in November. We must premise that, e
cordin. to The most authentic advices,
Breckenridge and Lane are daily losing
srouad, while Bell and Douglas are gaining.
Mr.. BrerkinridSe was stronger the day he
was nominated than he has ever been, and
since then he has been waxing weaker and
weaker, We will not stop TO assign the nv
merous valid reasons for this change Let II
suffice that it is so. and though his adherents
may Leny it, tie fact is not the less obvious
to all who diligently use their eyes, ears.
and understanding. We have no doubt what
ever that, between this time and November.
Breckenridge will lose at least ten per cent
more. which will be divided between lis
two opponents.
Let rs begin with New Orleans In this
city Fillmore had 3,4OO ma oIity in 1856, and
last year Wells, the Opposition candidate for
Governor, beat Moore DENY about 200.
Every one comedies an enormous plurality
over Breckenridge in New Orleans. Our
observation leads to the conclusion that on a
poii Of 10000. Breckenridge will not receive
over 1000, Douglas vote may reach $500.
while Bell will obtain the rest, beating
Breckenridge 1000 at least, he will in the
city alone reduce the 400 majority given
to Buchanan in the State to about 500. The
First Congressional District, including Fla-
quemines, St. Bernard, and the lower part Of
New Orleans, will give Bell from 800 10
-'''' 'A"1Oa'Sy 'sSi - t"
S~sond Congressional District Bell will have
an immense majority. The upper Part OF TIE
ctv aud Jefferson will contribute about
$500, to which tSt. James, St. Martin and
Terrebonne will add many hundreds $.
Charles and st. John are small parishes, ann
may give from fifty to one hundred plurality
to. Breckenridge. In Latourche, Ascension
anil Assumption. Douglas vii! leave Brock
lnhdg e Immensely IN the rear, and will carry
off seven-eiyhths of the Democratic vote. II
Bel does no better than Breckenridge in these
thsse parishes, he will still leave the Second
Congressional District with $500 maj ority.
being a heavy gain upon the Fillmore vote.
The Third District. where the Breckin-
ridsers boast of their tremendous strength.
wAl disappoint them sadly. They will be
beaten by Douglas in East Baton Rouge, aud
by Bel! in West. In East Feliciana the De-
mpcracy are spit in two, and Bell will carry
ting parish. In West Feliciana there will b.
a small majority for Breckenridge. In st.
Iammany and st Helena the Bell men are
confident of success. as they are in Madison
ail. Concorhia. Carroll and Catahou!a are
close. Washington. Livingston and lbervifle
wall 90 for Breckenridge by small tnajoriti.s.
LII Pointe Coupee he will get a somewhat
lager vote. In short, the Third District
cannot give yer 500 majority against US, ii
it.gives any. Buchanan carrie the dis,ric,
BY 1877.
Come we now to the great stronghold OF
the Democracy, where they p,ate glihly OF
fhom five to seven thousand majority. viz:
tie Fourth district. We want our readers
to mark and remember our words when We
tell them that never were politicians more
beautifully deceived than will be the Beck
lnridgers in their extravagant expectations of
the vote in the Fourth District. They talk
about 700 majority in Jackson, 500 in C!ai-
borne, 700 in Bienville, 400 in Rapides. 800
nSt. Landry, &c, &c. They will find that
these figures will disappear like a dream.
and their confident hopes will turn to dust
and ashes in November. 1t is impossible.
within the scanty limits Of a newspaper ar
ticle, to examine deliberately the political
status Of each of the nineteen parishes COM
posing the Fourth District. but an extensive
correspondence from some OF the most in
fected points, and the personal observations
Of cool, unprelu diced residents Of the District
satisfy US that the Buchanan majority of
1875 will reduced to less than one-third the
number.
" 10 sum up, we will say that while we
cannot and will not affirm that We consider
Louisiana as certain for Bell and Everett, as
ve do Kentucky or Maryland, We entertain
the confident assurance that the Sugar State
may be rendered perfectly certain by such
sealous efforts. and such systematized work
as we know have applied to the< Dame can
sass within a few weeks past.
One remark more The radical error OF
the Breckinridgers in their calculations is the
studied depreciation, or the overlooking Of
$he Douglas strength. Nine-tenths Of this
vote comes out Of the Democratic ranks, and
we can assure friends and foes alike, that
while We honestly believe that Douglas
cannot carry Louisiana, he will obtain in
every section of the State a vote which will
astonish the incredulo,s. Now it is very
clear that if Senator Douglas robs the Demo