Cedar Falls gazette. [volume] (Cedar Falls, Iowa) 1860-1895, 1860-09-14

at the figures and see if there is the faintest
prospect of ther success.
AT the State elections Of 1853 and $50. the
Democratic party Of New York was 40 uni.
ted and harmonious As it has been any time
| these dozen years. In neither Of these con.
tests were the Republicans remarkably active.
and the result showed that large vote.
mainly from their side, remained at home
In each Of these years the average Republi-
can majority was just about 10000. Though
the mode Of stating the case which we are
adopting is prejudicial to our side, we win
assume that the Republican majority, pure
and simple, is now only 10000. We enter
the field, then, with this majority over our
united Democratic opponents. The first
thing to be disposed Of is the outstanding
Wing and American vote. .'.'
The best informed and most cautious cal
culators declare that, in spite of the bargain
and sale Of Hunt & Co., three-fourths of this
vote will be given to Lincoln. But. a our
purpose In this estimate is to allow our op-
ponents the benefit Of every doubt. we viii
assume that SO much Of this vote as is cast at
all will be equally divided between Lincoln
and Douglas. We have not : doubt that
this is . much larger proportion than Doug
Las VIII get, but let it stand SO. So far, then,
the e, 900 majority with which the Lincoln
ties entered the contest is unimpaire1. The
next item to b taken into the account is the
Breckinridge vote. His friends assert that
ne vii! receive large support-that it will
come from every county in the State-and
that it will be heavy inthe metropolis and in
oil the surrounding counties. Some of the
more sanguinc advocates of Breckenridge
claim 100000 votes. Others claim $4,000.
We have never heard member of that Sec
ton Of the party put it at less than 10000,
We are confident that it will be much larg-
er than IS now generally supposed. Call It
10000, If you please. To arrive at the ulti-
mate result, we must withdraw these 10000
votes from the Douglasites; and then, prac-
tically, the majority of Lincoln will be his
original &c, 900 with this 10000 added, ma.
king an aggregate Of so, 900.
1t is said that few Republicans lobby
lists, Legislative cormorants, disappointed ex-
Pectants, &c.-will refuse Ia support Lincoln.
There may be small squad Of such creatures.
II they would only openly desert our stand
ard, and march straight over to the enemy
in broad daylight, it would be benefit to
Lincoln. For every such corrupt deserter, he
would receive two honest recruits. The con-
tact Of these rotten rogues is contagion; their
support weakness. Let them 90. And, as
we are making a calculation that will be more
than verified BY the final result, we will de-
duct 10, 600 for defections of all sorts. This
will leave to Lincoln a majority of $4,000. -
We do not believe it will be one vote below
that figure shaFsl.aa sea .la@r :.%Htt
We also annex table Improbable majorities
from the same paper. It will be seen that
many of the Democraticmajorities are increas-
ed over that Of 1856, -New York City, for
instance, which gave majority against Free
mont Of $4,000 is here quoted as giving 25,-
600 against LINCOLN. This is placing the
matter in a very favorable light for the Dem
ocracy, when it is considered that there were
1000 American voters in that City in $50,
full one half of whom will vote the Republi-
ticket in go. In one ward alone 800 mem
bers Of a Republican association, were FORM
erly Fillmore men. a. nfa ..--.
If the great body Of the Breckenridge men
can be united with the Douglas and pretend
ed Bell men upon common Electoral Ticket,
We estimate the probable majorities in the
several counties of this State, by counties as
follows: s.H ... .tt.,z,h snE.s' 90. .,H