New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1860-05-30
THE PROSPECTS or EUBoPK.

1t isa noticeable fact that all the wars which
have occurred in Europe for nearly two centuries
past have been of duplicate character. No
great belligerent struggle has terminated with
single contest. 1t has taken at least two wars to
settle every great issue which has been relle to
the arbitrament of arms. Thus the great struggle
against the ambition of Louis XIV, inasgurated
by William, Prince of Orange, afterward King OF
England, did not terminate with the peace of Rys-
wick 1t was speedily renewed, and On larger
scale, in the war of the Spanish Succession. 30
the war of the Austrian Succession was followed
BY the still more severely contested SeTen Years
war before Austria was willing to acluiesce in
the changes in the map of Europe which the pre-
vious struggle had made. The war between Great
Britain and the French Republic brought to
close by the peace of Amiens, was speedily FOL
lowed by the still grander struggle which resulted
at last in the reinforcement of the frat Bonaparte,
and the reduction of France within her original
limits. So our own Revolutionary contest with
the mother country still left open or gave rise to
points ,of controversy which it required another
war to settle.
These areNindications that the late contests
yhichkave taken placev, europe may afford new
illustrations of the ~san( rule Of duplicity. The
fate of Turkey Though Chg overthrow of the Mo-
hammedan rule was temporarily delayed BY the
Crimean war;, still remains qusAtion over which
at any moment new struggle may ari5 Russia
still insists upon patronage and protection OF the
Christian subjects of the Sublime Porte, which
will furnish her with an excuse for new march
upon Constantinople whenever she may Judge the
opportunity to be favorable, or whenever she can
arrange matters as to the distribution of the sick
mans effects she is at this very memest putting
forward reclamations on this subject by no means
favorable to the stability of the Turkish Govern
ment. And it is hardly possible for the Saltan,
however much he may desire it, so far to control
the religious antipathies of his Mohamuedaa sub
jects as not to leave to Russia standing occasion
for armed interference whenever she may think 1t
likely to succeed.
Still more threatening is the aspect of affairs IN
Italy, and still stronger the indications that Sec
ond war will be needed before the political status
of that country can be definitely arranged. The
favorite project of the Emperor of the French for
an Italian confederation in which the progressive
and the represoive Governments were to be made,
by some xpained political edgerdemain, to bal
ance each other, has fallen completely to the
ground. The spirit of instruction so rife in Sicily
and Naples, and 30 strongly sympathized withby
al the Northern Italians, may at any moment pro.
duce new and serious complications Shcnd
Garibadi succeed in sustaining himself in Sicily
it would be exceeding difficult foE Victor Emanuef
even if he had the inclination which he will not to
repress the enthusiasm of his subjects in favor Of
o movement so censOnant with. their prevailing
wishes and sentiments. The King of Naples, if he
has not already done if, WILL ins bis turn invoke
int srference from abroad. The Pope, from the
position which he holds hardly fail to take az
active part against movement pot less threatening
to him than to the King of Naples ,ana AustFk may
see in new war; beside the possible recovery of
herilost provinces sort of desperate relief FROM
the embarrassments with which che is surrounded
One thing at least is certain-there is great
lack of confidence throughout Europe az to the
immediate future. The apprehsnsiens which the.
breaking out of the Italian excited, thoreh
lulled for the moment, are by no. means quieted.
Old prejudices and iealousies for long time
quisscent and which it had begun TO be h0ped
were passing int final oblivion have been revived
in fall force. Military means If. Ofsnse and de-
fcnse have becoroo leading objects of public atten-
ton and solictuda. All the GoFsrnments of Eu-
rope, have given and are giving On UNUSUAL promi-
hence to this ssrt OF preparations. What could
be stronger prof Of this prevailing uncertainty
ac-the continuance Of peace than the volunteer
mogement which has been carried to such an
extent in England