New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1860-12-15
THE STATE OF EUROPE.
From, Our Own Correspondent.


The Italian question has assumed new
phase All Europe knows that the "irrepressi-
"ble conflict" between the new Kingdom and
Au,tria must break out in the coming Spring,
and that the war for Venets is unavoidable,
unless Austria should either be willing herself TO
give Up the detested dominion over the country
between the Mincio and the Isonzo, or Victor
Emanuel should not be ready and strong enough
TO enter single.handed into war with his stlll
powerful neighbor. But since war in Upper
Italy always threatens to draw sill Europe into
the struegle-sinee it is certain that the Kings
of Southern Germany are inclined to side with
Francis Joseph--sO much the more difficult is it,
if not impossible, to respect in such war the
ill-traced boundaries Of the German Confederation;
and because the Tridentne country and even lstra
are ready to rise at the approacB vi an Italian
arm diplomacy is busy to avert such danger
Besides il cannot be doubted that IN tho struggle
against Austria, landing by Garibaidi's volunteers
on the coast of Dalmatia would ut once rousa tue
nolcOntent countries of Croatia and Hungary, aud
the war would soon embrace all the extent OF the
Austrian Empire, while the din of arms might
induce the Serbians, B0snians, and Waachs, 70
try On attack upon the Turkish Empire, which
would not fail to give European character to the
col fict
Lord Palmerston, therefore, and Napoleon, and even
Prince GorchakoG wish now to put an end 10 such
uncertainty by persuading Austria to sell Vcneta,
and thus restore her finances by relieving her from the
necessity of keeping an army on foot winch Is OUT
of proportion with the exhausted resources OIL tue
empire CayOur too, enters most heartily INTO
such an arrangement which wOuk shelve Garlbadi
forever and insure the unity OF the peninsula, with
out the risks and sacrifices OF desperate war.
fla 40 nf tha Ans EmDprOr cannot
broken even by the pressure of all the great Pow
ers Francis Joseph feels that, by the sale 0f We
META he would lose his influence upon Germany,
and that the center Of gravity OF the empire would
of oEce be transferred from Vienna to Pesth. For
more than ten years the Austrian scribes have con-
tinually preached to the Germans that 1t Is the
kline which they defend on the Mncio; the cession
of the famous Quadrilateral for pecunary consider.
ations. would therefore, amount To treason toward
Germany or to a confession that all the reasoning
about the Importance of the Mlnco was humbug.
We do not believe, therefore, that the Cabinet OF
Vienna could accept the propositions OF diplomacy,
though public opinion throughout the Austrian En-
pire backs the propositions OF the French ana En-
gsh Governments.
On the other hand some pressure is likewise ex-
erted upon King Victor Emanuel. The European
Powers refuse TO acknowledge the blockade of
Gaeto. and prevent an attack upon the fortress by
the Italian feet. Thus the siege proceeds but
slowly, and may still inger for month or two pre-
venting Victor Emanuel from organizing southern
ouy in Naples, where, as long as Francis Ii. keeps
Gseta and MESSING, partial instructions break out
in the nontains, iostered by Neapotan gold and by
the disbanded soldiers of the ex-King, who Is
anxious to prevent any portion OF bis army rom sur
rendering to the Sardinians well aware that they
would mt be Incorporated into the Italian army
He prefers to send them TO the Roman States, where
they are disarmed by the French, and sent back to
A.. Ttus heir 4
broken up and arms and horses are kept back, un-
til it should be decided who is the King OF Naples,
not only de tacto, but likewise by right. In this
Way most precious time 10 lost 10 the reorganization
| OF the army, and Victor Emanuel made unable,
until Spring, to lead sufficient force into the field
| against the we'll trained Austrian battaliOns
BY such artfce, diplomacy hopes to delay the
war; ard to achieve Italian unity by peaceful negO-
tiations preserving the Austrian Empire and
avoiding tho risk Of European con1a-
grafton STILL the revolutionary storm, which
has swept over Italy during the last
| bed by European diplomacy, and by the officials OF
| Count Cayour, is more powerful in his retreat at
| Caprera than he was at Naples aud Palermo. His
voice is sufficient to raise more, 20 0J0 volnn-
teers in Italy, and to transplant revolution, not only
into Hungary, but even into the German provinces
of Austria. An appeal from Caprera may break
| the web of diplomatic cunning and II Lord Palmer
Francis Joseph to sell Venetia before March, Carr
| baldi will cut the knot with the sword.
his state of thingsn Europe is clear, even to the
most short-sighted partisans Of Legitimacy. Even
Francis Joseph cannot be blind to the dangers Of his
position. He sees that nothing short OF the concla-
ton OF Hungary can save his throne. ALREADY, on
the 9th OF October, he abandoned oil tho LOUD
talk of the early part of his reign as TO the central
izatiOp and Communication of bis Empire He
oo,aod m ova aplt.oOVprnmpnt To Hungary.
keeping only the finances and army out OF tho con-
trol of the Diet in the belief that the Hungarlans,
delighted with getting rid of the Austrian officials
| and their arbitrary oppression, might be SATISFIED
with even sembance of their former rights.
but it is notorious that the Hungarian character is
now here 80 little known at Vienna. The co1ccs-
sions proved completely abOrtiye; they could not
eradicate the deeply felt want of confidence in Hun
gary. nor sever the ties which had lately sprung up
| between that country and Croatia. La n sober and
busine like manner the HuDgarians took adyant-
age of the difficulties Of Austria. They are now busy
reconstitutng their counties; the old officials of l549
| return to their places and duties, without waiting
for authorization from Viennn, and all the country
claims now is complete restoration of the laws and
| reforms of IsiS. The Vienna bureaucracy is quite
taken aback by these new preensOns; but as far ne
| We can guess the Cabinet aud the Court Will soon
10 forced to Weld to the pressure from Hungary.
IwIOte you some time ago, that II would soon be-
cone impossible to maintain the present position OF
afisirs which must lead either to state of siege or
| to revolution. Now can assure you that Austria
will not dare to return to state OF siege. Hungary
s certainly to triumph either by armed and open TO-
LtlliOn if there is new Italian war, or by passive
resistance if Venetia should be sold. But the prn-
cples of 184S are certain to prevail, and alter an
iIterrtgnum Of twelve years, Hungary once more
will return to her place as free constitutional
| country. "