The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1860-03-10

may be revolution at the ballot box, com.
menciug in New Hampshire, extending to Con-
necticut and Rhode Island, and above all to
New York, whose vote would be decisive
against black republicanism. If the conserva-
tive elements only united upon one man in the
Empire State, or If the Union party should de
velope large vote, and the democrats should
receive affair share of the reserve, the republi-
cans would be overthrown by New Y ,rk alone
The popular vote exhibited in our table, as
calculated from the State elections, will not be
the vote Of the election In November. The
popular vote in the North will be largely in
creased against ,epubNcsnism, and there is
good reason to believe that the electoral vote
will be so Influenced by it as to defeat Mr.
Stewards party and, If not to give the election
to the democrats, to throw it into the House of
Representatives, where republican cannot be
elected, seeing that the vote there Is by States,
and even now there is majority of three
States against black republication. BY com
pairing the figures Of the votes cast at the State
elections for the last two years with the votes
cast at the Presidential election In 1856, and
making allowance for the increase in four
yeare, it wilt be seen that there are over mil.
lion and q quarter of votes In reserve which
win be brought out next fall. In 1852
the whole Presidential vote cast was 3lsI ,5o1;
in 1856 the number was 1904 53. There was,
therefore, an increase Of nearly million in
four years. The increase, according to the
basis OF population, ought to be more than a
million in November, 1860, over November,
1856. The numbers will compare thus
Nuu:ber Of votes cast ia last Presidential cleo
Iucrrase in 1850 Ooo 90
Fs;:ms'ei Presidential vote in 1862. ... g oa4 AS
Votes cast II tie Stale elecons. 3 SIS 6t6
Reserve IT'S SS7
Here, then, is reserve vote of more than a
million and quarter, which is to b, brought
out in November next. Now, the question is,
which party will get this vote. Not the repnb-
lscans; for they are polling their full strength
in every State election Them vote in the Pre-
sideniisl election Of 1856 was 1,341,5li. Their
vote 'cr The last two years in the States was
l,347 .g04. The reserve vote is, therefore, q
vote witch the republicans cannot get. 1t is
conservative vote, not given on ordinary oc-
casions, but only when the republic is in dan
ger. 1t win be given either wholly to the
democrats, who are conservative, or wholly to
the Union opposition, who are conservative, or,
more likely, it will be distributed between the
democrats and Union opposition-in what
10 l>o
Gratis may get enough of it to elect their
candidate, or the Union opposition may take
away so much Of 1t as to prevent the democrats
having majority Of electoral votes, and thus
either give the election to the republicans, or
what is far more probable, throw it into the
House of Representatives, where certain de-
feat would await the republicans The new
party cannot possibly win the election, but its
tendency undoubtedly is to defeat the republi-
cans. The bringing out Of the reserve vote
will increase the number Of votes necessary to
choice, and the present members of the re.
publican party, therefore, will not suffice to
elect their man.
The result Of this election win be to break
up either the republican party or the demo
cratic, and to make the new party the opposi-
ton during the next Presidency. Thus, if the
democrats should be beaten, they will be ex-
inguished as party, and will have to fall into
the ranks of the Union opposition; or should
the republican party be overthrow, that will
be the last Of them, and the scattered frag.
ments will be absorbed by the Union party
which would thus, in due time, present for
midable opposition to the triumphant demo-
cracy.
The CrTY RAILWAY CouP D'ErAr IN THE
LEGIsLATuRE.-Th sudden way in which the
Gridiron Railway bill was sprung upon the
Legislature, and rushed through the Senate,