The Caledonian. [volume] (St. Johnsbury, Vt.) 1837-1867, 1860-08-10

The New-York Tribune of the 27th ult.,
has an exceedingly encouraging article, under
the head, Estate of the canvass That paper
is not wont to be over confident in respect to
election prospects--rather the reverse. Its
means Of information are Of the amplest kind.
1t begins with Vermont and Massachusetts
declaring that the Douglas democracy, if they
do their very best, as doubtless they will, can
not come within twenty thousand Of ma jor-
ity in the former, nor within thirty thousand
in the latter. We are confident Of having
thirty thousand majority for the Republican
Ticket, which in truth is but little more than
it was in 1856. Massachusetts, is not favor
able to the little giant Her democracy went
against him at Charleston and Baltimore
Her leading democratic papers are for Breck-
inridge, instead of him and although MIR.
Douglas has recently made pilgrimage Thu
Their, making speeches at Springfield, Wore
cester, Boston and other places, TO acmiring
crowds, he cannot make any permanent I'M
preston even upon her democracy. We con-
fdenty put down Mr. Lincoln's plurality
there at not less than fifty thousand. The
Tribune sets down Maine, New-Hampshire
Rhode Island, Connecticut, Ohio, Michigan.
Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa as all sure
for Lincoln by maori,ies larger than ever be-
fore given.
Indiana and Illinois have generally been
put down as doubtful; but the Tribune fully
believes that the latter will give Lincoln from
FIVE to ten thousand majority, and that the
former, though the mos. evenly contested Of
any of the free states, is quite sure to 60 the
same way. 1t can hardly be supposed that
Douglass friends can make more desperate
effort than they did in 1858, and yet they
were beaten then by the same Abraham Lin
coin they now have to encounter, by over
1000 on the popular vote for representatives.
Our intelligence from middle and southern
Illinois does not leave doubt that the Re
publicans there will stand far better this year
than in 1858. In northern Illinois, all that
can be asked is that they shall hold THEN
own, and this We see no reason to doubt they
will do.
Then as to New-York. We have been
amused with the perpetual boastings of the
Chicago Times, and other Douglas papers
about New-York. We knew enough abou,
the state Of things in that great state, to know
that these boastings were idle, utterly unwor
thy of moments notice. Here the Tribune
may be said to speak from the book. it,
conductors are thoroughly posted as to New
York politics. They say that the state looks
decidedly better now for Lincoln than it did
for Gen. Taylor twelve years ago, and Taylor
carried the state by nearly one hundred thou
sand plurality. Fremont had eighty thou
sand plurality over Buchanan, polling the
largest vote of any man before or since; ant
yet the Tribune says Lincoln Will poll fift!
thousand more than Fremont did.
1t makes an estimate of the comparative
vote of six countless at the lower end OF TIT
state, including NewYork and Kings. as be
tween Fremont and Lincoln, and makes al
increase for the latter of over $4,000.
These estimates are not lightly made
Above all We are gra,ihed to learn that We
need fear no apathy on the part Of our Re
publican friends in New-York. Our OWL ob
servations had put US entirely at ease on thai
head. No future event is more certain, thar
that the 81 electoral votes Of the Empire
state will be given to Lincoln and Hamlin b!
an overwhelming majority. We have moi
room for speculations about Pennsylvania
and New-Jersey. Let the democratic paper:
extract whatever comfort they can from thu
utter confusion and distraction into which
their party is thrown in both. The Ocfode'
elections, there will afford some pretty deci
sive indications of what may be expected II
November.