New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1859-02-18
TTT STATE OF EUROPE

LONDON, Friday, Jan. 2s, 1859.
-. mar b certain that Napoleon and Victor
~-.s,,e, are determined to make war; but it is
~. probable that for the next few months there
-sv 10 . hIl, and perhaps even European Con-
s,es,ss. The fact is, the Emperor of France was
~. r,epsred for the outburst Of German antipathy
.,,ipst him. 1t seems indeed that the national
feeling among the young men may influence the
,.hev Of Prussia, which, in the beginning, had no
ssrjous objection against any curtailment of Aus
tri.'s power in her Italian provinces since the
non Ceramic provinces Of Austria alone make 1t
poss;ble 10 her 10 throw an undue we'ght into
the balance which determines tne Pohcy OF
Germany Besides, Mazzini and some Of his
fr;ends resist the bait thrown out by France and
Gsrlinia. and unhestatiDgly deDounce an Italian
~ byonobt about and carried On by France.
IInAsr snc6 circums ances il becomes necessary to
strenetben the position OF France by close com.
bi.stion with Russia, Denmark and the Danubian
prcyipces, in order to oyerawe Prussia, and to d.
vide the forces Of Austria. Unless revolution
kre,ks ont in Lombardy, or in the Legations-aDd
tAsre il now no probability Of such an event--the
war will not take place before May. In the mean
time. Capt. Larenciere LenOury, the secret dplo-
natist of Napoleon, is travelling continually from
eoAEt TO coast He halls now from Petersburg, and
ssain from Copenhagen; he was lately at Berlin
and may soon be at the Courts OF Baden and Wdrt-
enberg, since the idea Of the Rhenish CoDfedera-
ton and the traditions Of the South Of Germany are
not unfsvorable TO the Napoleonc intrgues, while
the anti-NapoleOnic feeling is especially alive IN
Prussia and at the Saxon Universities. England,
on the other hand, is trying TO prevent both rup-
ture with France and war in Italy. The Cabinet
give the most excellent advice to the Courts OF
Vienna and Turin and propose resumption OF
negotiations on the basis offered by Austria in
ISIS-that il TO say upon the basis OF an ad-
ninistrstive separation of Italy from Austria,
under distiI ct Vicer0y, surrounded by some
kind Of representative Council, and putting the
execution of its decisions into Italian hands.
This proposal is very fair but it cannot be accept
ed by the present Emperor, who rejected the idea
Of federative Empire, and continued the war in
Hungary in order TO overthrow the Hungarian
Constitution. 1t was only after he had solemnly
announced this policy, in March, 1Si9, that Hun
gary declared her independence in the following
April. Should Francis Joseph now grant an ad.
ninistrative separation to the Italians, how could
he withhold it from the Hungarans The great
aim of Prince scbwarzenberg, Count Stadion and
Baron Bach which cost millions Of money to the
Empire and many hundred thousands Of lives
would be ut once abandoned and then Austria
could not stop the spread of liberal ideas. 1t is
not probable that Francis Joseph will stultliy him.
self in so complete manner, especially as he is as
Aeadstrong and selfwilled as vain men usually are
His last hobby is to take part in the coming cam
pajgn, and he is encouraged in this idea by the
rumor that the Emperor Napoleon intends to take
the command of his army in person.
As to parties in Italy, must confess that con-
siderable portion ofthe Mazzinian Republicans have
left the camp of their illusrious leader, and have
Joined the policy of Count Cavour. They look
to Napoleon for deliverance from the Aus
TRANS. In their first enthusiasm of CONVEX
sion they do not heed Mazzini's warnings,
who constantly advises them not to try to cast
out Lucfer by Beelzebub and prophesyng that
BY calling Napoleon into Italy, they will not get
rid of the Austrians but certainly get the French
into the bargain. His voice, though now drowned
by the sound Of military preparations, is, how
ever powerful enough, and as soon as the first en-
thusissm of the Italians has cooled down, his party
will again revive. Napoleon is fully aware of this
circumstance, and accordingly hesltates to make a
war, which, in its second stage, may become
revolutionary but he has advanced too far, and is
certain that should he defaud the Italians OF their
hopes the steel of Italian assassin cannot fail to
overtake him. 1t is Orsini's ghost which haunts
hm, and drives him into crusade against Austria.