The Nevada journal., 1859-10-14

PREsIUENTIAL PRosPEcTs.-The
New York Herald is evidently alarm
ed at the political prospect ahead
1t reads the signs of the times as
pointing unmistakingly to a change
in the national administration. Lock-
ing at the political field, it can see
no hope of preventing thS "Black
Republicans" from electing their
candidate for President. 1t says:
1.-The Democracy is split and divl-
ded in New York and other States
it is demoralized in all. If it loses
the State of New York, with its thirty
FIVE votes, or if it loses Pennsylvania
and with it New Jersey, or Illinois,
or Indiana, William HI. Seward will
undoubtedly take possession of the
White House on the 4th of March,
1861, and sway the destinies Of the
United States for the next four years,
if not for eight, and for the rest of his
life" "
The Herald is undoubtedly right
in the above, so far as relates to the
weakness of The Democratic party.
But when it assumes that VIM. H..
Seward is to be the candidate of the
opposition, ii assumes too much. He
may be, and if it is moral certainty
that he can be elected, he very like
ly will be. as it is conceded on all
hands that he is the ablest living.
American Statesman. But the con-
vention that is to nominate the oppo-
sition candidate will LOOK only to the
cause-not to men-and if Seward
is the nominee, it may be safely rec
koned that he is not to be defeated.
He is too sagacions politician to be
n nominated unless he sees his election
sure ahead of him.
The Herald presents some figures
to show the danger the Democracy
is in. 1t barely escaped defeat In
1856, since when the opposition has
gained so largely in those free States
which then went for Buchanan, as to
render it quite probable that every
one of them except California and Or
egon, will next vote against the cans
didate of the Democratic party
Says the Herald:
"In order to show the reader how
very narrowly the Democracy won
the battle of 1856. we subjoin the
electoral vote in that election:
For Fillmore, Maryland. s votes.
For Fremont, New York. 35;
Ohi,, 30; Massachusetts,. l3; Maine
s; Vermont. 5; New Hampshire. 5;
Connecticut. 6; Rhode Island, 4
| Michigan, 6, Wisconsin, S; Iowa, 4;
Total. ia votes.
For Buchanan, Pennsylvania, 81
New Jersey, z; Indiana. 13; Illinois
Is, Missouri, 9, Delaware, 8; Vir-
giiia, Is; Kentucky. II; Tennessee
II; Georgia, 10; North Carolina. 10
South Carolina, s, Alabama. 9; Mis-
sissippi; 4; louisiana. 6; Florida. 8
Texas, 4; Arkansas, 4; California, a
Total, 174 votes.
Pennsylvania was won by a very
close shave, and would have beer
lost but for the bad management O
1the opposition and some of their lead
ers having been bought by some
money sent on from New York. Now
if we take away the vote Of Pennsyl
vania from Mr.. Buchanan, there il
only 147 left, two short Of majority
of the whole vote which is necessary
for choice, and the election woult
| have been thrown into the House O
Representatives. Fremont only
wanted thirty-fve votes to elect him
Give him Pennsylvania, and indiana
or Illinois, both of which were con
sidered doubtful, and he would hay'
been elected"
In making up the estimate for th'
election of 1860, the above table i
incomplete, innsmuch as two new
States-Minnesota and Oregon-hav'
been admitted into the Union sine,
the last election, and Kansas proba
! bly will be next winter. MinnesotI
will cast four electoral votes, Oregon
three, Kansas three. Of these sever
will be cast for the Republican can
didate. The number of votes in tn,
electoral college will be BOG, and 5
will be necessary for a choice. Th
lila votes cast in '56 for Fremont ca
be relied on. without much doubt
for the opposition candidate in go
| Add the seven votes of Minnesot'
and Kansas. and there will be l2
secure to start in on the canvass witt
against the los votes from the slav'
States, that of course will be cast 70
the Pro-Slavery or Democratic can
cidate. To this number the sever
votes of California and Oregon ma,
be added, which will give the Dem
ocrats. as a working capital; 1l5, t
121 of the Republicans. Then Their
are the free States of Pennsylvania
Indiana, Illinois and New Jersey. il
which the great battle is to be Tough
and as they 60, SO will go the Union
We have strong faith that they will
go for the Opposition candidate. In
diana is the most doubtful but tha
can be spared, and also New Jersey
Pennsylvania is now regarded by tn,
politicians as hopelessly lost to thu
Administrator as New York or Mich
n