New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1859-03-31
FRANCE.
TIE WAR PROSPECT IN FRANCE.


vac f,r from having defnitiyely decided upon War;
bu. that whatever bis real intentions might be- the
control Of circumstances was likely TO slip from his
bsnds. AT the present moment, when the greater
part of the European press seems inclined TO be-
leye in peace feel, ure that there will be var un
lees some hsppy combination lesd to sudden over
thow of the usurpsr and bis dynasty. This much
the most superficial observer must admit, thit the
prospects Of peace being circumscri6ed within the
limits of talk, the prospects Of Wat, on the contra
rs, sre based upon material facts. War Prepara
tons are being carried on, both in France ana Aus
tria. on scale unprecedented; and il one considers
the desperate state Of the two Imperial treasures,
10 long chain of arguments is wanted ID
lead 10 the conclusion that fighting Is
meant. and at no distant period, too Let
ne remark that Austria is pursued by
merciIc,s fate, whose threads you might perhaps
trace to 81. Petersburg, which, whenever her
finances seem on the point of recovering, filings her
back INTO all abyss of financial distress hs certainly
as the malignant marble painfully rolled up the
mountain by Sisyphus darted DOWN By unseen
hands. whenever the doomed martyr approached
the summit. Thus Austria, after years OF lnceS-
SAINT efforts, had IN 10 succeeded IN approaching
the point where income aud expense meet each
other: when the CracOylan revolution broke out,
and STATED extra expenditure on her part,
which led 10 the catastrophe Of LIS. Again, m
l-j- she was announcing 70 the world the resump-
ton of cash payments by the Bank of Vienna
when all at once the New-Yrars congratuatiOn
sent over from Paris roughly cut short all plans OF
economy and doomed her Ia Il waste OF treasure
and an exhaustion of resources which, even IN the
eyes of the most sober Austrian statesmen, makes
war appear the last chance of salvation.
Ofaliournals which boast more than local inilu-
ence, TE TRIBUNE is, perhaps, the only one that
has ne, condescendedtos share 10 the common slang
i VIII not say ofprsisDg Louis B0naparte ctarac.
ter. because that would have been too bad-but OF
crediting him with genius and superior force ot
will. You anayzed hs political, military and
financial exploits. aud, IN my opinion. proved III
conirOVertby that his success, SO overwhelming IN
the estimation OF the vulgar, was due To a cOncat
euatiOn of circumstances which he hadnOt created
and in using which he never rose beyond the med-
ocrity of the professional gambler. gifted with
keen eve for eXpedicnts for surprises and comps dc
maiR, but always remaining the humble servant OF
hazard and auXiOusly cOnccalIng beneath mask Ot
iron a soul of gIItta perchs. Now. TINS 10 exactly
tine view which from the first all the great powers
of Europe have silently consented 10 take oil the
graHd salitmb0HgRs, as Russian dIp!onhtists called
him. Understanding that h. was dangerous
because ne Idt plittu 4lIHtll ~ Il AdhHtIb - pb'
ton they agreed 10 allow hun 10 play the successor
ofNdpoleon. on the express although tact condition,
that he should always content himself with the
mere appearance of il luence and never oyerstep
the boundaries which separate the actor from the
hero be persouates. This game went on
successfully for some time but the diploma
fists j. their habit had in their wise calculations,
overlooked one important item. the people. When
Orsini's grenaCes exploded, the hero OF SartOry
feigned 10 assume an attitude of dctatiOn against
England, aud the British Government proved quite
Wiliin. 70 allow him 10 do 50; but popular ciamOr
exercised 50 violent pressure on Parliament, that
PalmerstOn was not only thrown out, but an
Anti Bonapartist policy became vital condition
Tor the tenancy OF Downing street BOnaparte
gave way, aud from that moment his foreign policy
has proved one uninterrupted chain of plumbers,
humiliations and failures. need only allude u his
Iree-Negro migration scheme and he Portuguese
adventures. McanW lille, Orslnl's attempt had ere
ated recrulesCence Of dcspOtism IN the interior OF
France, while the commercial crisis, converted
by empirical quschery from an acute fever into
a chronic ualady, withdrew from beneath
the pGrr1Ru throne the only real basis upon
which il rested. material prosperity. Signs
Of disaticctiOn showed themselves in the
ranks Of the army; signals OF mutny became auj-
Idle IN the camp OF the bOHTgeOS'e nenaccs piper
sCual vengeance on the pant OF Orsluls country
men poisoned the sleep OF the usurper; when al VI
o sudden he tried tO create Tor himself new posi-
tion, by repeating, '7WatS ma'0HdiS, NaPoleon's
rough apOstrophe, after the peace OF LuneyIle 70
the English Embassador, and by throwing. in the
name of Italy, the gauntlet into the face Of Aus
tria. II wss not from his free will, but from the
force of circumstances, that he the representative
OF reserve. the field marshal OF eNpedlents, the
hero of nocturnal surprises, undertook such drs-
peratrly bold step.
There il 10 doubt that he was pushed on By false
friends PalmerstOn. who, ~ tompi,gn e, had llt
tered him with the sympath.es OF the English Lib
erals Osiensibiy turned against him on the opening
of Parliament. Russia, which mad urged him on
by secret notes and public newspaper articles en-
tered seemingly lnto diplomatic P0wPaders with
her Austrian lr.ghDOr Blu, the de was Castillo
war trumpet Lad sounded; ana Europe was, 80 t.
SAY forced 10 reconsider the past. the present and
the future. Of the successful bJchleg y no had al
last arrived al the Italian campaign With which his
uncle had begun BIS career By the days ot De-
cembcr, be- hsd restored NapoleOn,m n France:
but by sn Italian campaign be- seemed determined
upon restoring i al over Europe. What h. meant
was not an Italian war, but an Austrian hImlis-
ton without war. Successes which MS nalnesahe
hsi bought 81 the molth % the cannon, he was 10
wing from the tear ot revolution. That hs meant
no war not only suoces ae,iIne, i evident. 9th
erWise, be- would have commenced with diplomatic
negotiations aud ended with war, instead Of follow
ing the opposite course. lie would have prepared
for war before talking war. He would, in one
word not have put the carriage before the horses.
Blu; h. had sadly mistaken the power with which
h. picked quarrel. England. Russia. and the
United states may go = great length IN the way Oi
apparent concession without losing one single atom
OF their real influence; but Austria-aboye all, with
respect 70 Itay--caHnOt sWer'e from her path
without enddpgeIlDg her empire itself According
j., the only answers Bonapart,. received from Aus
tra, We're preparations Of wirWhch compelled him