New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1859-04-19
THE STATE OF EUROPE.
WAR STILL PROBABLE.

IN an unusually full house by majority OF 81. III
We consider that many members ia the Opposition,
sseh rs Mr.. HOrsmAn, aud Mr. Walter OF Tie
Lsn1os TINES, voted for the Ministry, the de'ea'
must be taken 81 final; therefore, it Is expected
that On Monday next we shall hear Of the resigna-
ZION 81 Lord Derby, and of recOn,truction OF the
Cabinet BY Lord John Russell upon wider ossls
thsn cure Wbsgery. Nobody believes 10 a disse-
luton, especially as the Queen has personal obJec-
toss against ,uch course under the present crll-
cal circuustanc ss Of Continental politics. Looking
30 the results Of this debate, We cannot fan
10 observe that England is slowly but steadily DRIFT
ing toward an equality of the franchise, and 90
equalization of electoral districts. MI Bright
sees this clearly, and has, therefore, no peculiar OBJ
lection to adjouIniDg the Reform for a few years.
The Tories might have STAYED of this day, fatal
10 that oIgarcby which now rules the country, for
at ka.t thirty years; but narrog.minded as they
ave, they INSTRUCTED the originally broader schemes
Of Disrse6, Lord Stanley, and Sir L. LyttOn, aud
forced them to propose that fancy franchise"
which has been universally rejected for its artih-
si,l character.
Two features Of the debate are worth noticing,
viz: the personal pique of Lord Palmerston against
Lord John Russell, which, however, failed to save
The Cabinet and to keep the pure Wings from the
treasury benches; aud Mr.. Roebuck's uDpro'oked
attack upon John Bright Last year, when Roe
buck ia public meeting invited Bright to draw
up Reform bill, I remarked 10 one Of my letters
that he did it with the view Of damaging the great
Quster's prestige. His expectation, however, was
bsflsd by Brisht's prudent reserve; and now,
overcome by the old Jealousy, ROebuck declares
that Bright is lacking in stAtesmanship, and is
sotbing but a great orator. This ou'buIst of i'll
feeling had no effect on the House, and, instead of
damaging Bright, told against RoeSuck.
To the last moment Lord Msmesbury continues
70 hope for peace by means of q European Con-
sress; but the Isoneyed classes have Lost all conf
dence in diplomacy, and siooks are sill continually
falling. While England ard Prussia speak peace,
Napoleon 10 giving orders for the formation OF an
additional fourth battalion 10 every regiment Fran
els Joseph is throwing more soldiers into toe Par
m<se foruesses and erecting Notifications all along
the banks of the Pc, ard Car Alexander is calling
the soldiers and officers on furOugh TO their coors.
All this looks rather like war than peace. Besides,
Count Caveur, once the great man OF Italy, nc~
the bus bear Of all the stock exchanges, has Openy
declared BIS satisfaction as regards the poli,y OF
Napoleon; Count Wslesski, but lately the great
aplomstist Of Europe is losing his Influence, and is
no. invited to the private Imperial dinner at wnich
Count Cavour and the Emperor settled their plans
over bottle of champagne aud q cigar; and it Is
already rumored that Monsieur rhouyenel may
very ,ocn take the place of Count Walewski.
cnaet,on az tha Couorass roUa mara rom.
pheated every day. Russia proposed it aud France
ut once accepted il. This could not but rouse
AustriA's suspicious; but as England and Prussia
had accepted proposition which might result in =
peaessble arrangement, Count Buol had 20 do the
same, thoush in such terms as to make the conces-
sien ilusory. The Austrian statesman proposed,
N fact the bases Of the Congress of Aixla. Cha.
pile, in 1918, which most positively state thstuOne
f the stpuatious Of toe tresties of 1915 is o. be
discussed by the assembled statesmen and that Any
existing difficulty must be brought before toe Con.
kress by the parties immed atcly interested A few
weeks will show whether rtis nsrrow basis can Do
accepted by France; and Ia toe meaa time the
question Of the admission of Sardinia and OF other
Italian States TO the Congress, which, it was be
heved, was already settled continues 60 occupy Toe
attention OF the great powers. Ny impression is
that the Congress is still. born, and either will no
assemble at all or viii become the pretended csuss
of the impending war. The Vienna exchange
takes precisely the same view, especially sncs il is
rumored that Francis Joseph is not less bent upon
var than Napoleon, in the belief thar he is nov
fully prepared for a campaign and cannot under
tale enc At sny more favorable opportunity. Ia
deed, it 10 one of the most difficult tasks Of his
ministry to restrain his military ardor; he insists
upon attacking Piedmont before Napoleon has in-
ished his preparations, and desiros to meet the
French ruler on the Alps rather than on the H;inO
As to Germany she il again divided against her
self. Bavaria bigosed aud subservient to Austria,
frat raised the war cry against French conquest
. and found most enthusiastic response in Hanover,
where the people are much dissatisfied with the
sristocrstic misrule of the blind King, and where
the ruling arisEOoracy thought it capital plao 10
stife domestic complaints By Teutonic euthu-
siasm. For moment all Germany was excited,
and the times Of 1913 seemed TO have returned
The Regent Of Prussis, however knew from expo
rience how dangerous it was to rOuse the Germans,
! since, once awakened from their heavy sleep, they
T would not easily be Quoted without attempting
blow for German unity. Accordingly, be succeeded
m bringing a more sober style OF thinking into
fashion. The journals Of Northern Germany have
become less Austrian; they do not think it indis
persable 10 German interests that Italy shOald be
s,pressed, and the priests fwned upon, nor that