Arkansas true Democrat., 1857-08-11
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 From the foregoing, the writer establishes the following averages:

'HO iO'i'"IHS averages.
 Average latest spring frost st...-......... March 28 Average earliest fall frost st...........Oct. 26 Average time between latest and earliest
 frost ...... ...................1 mos 3d Average date of first bloom. June 5
 The arguments which follow cannot we'll be presented Tn condensed shape and we there fore copy at some inconvenience the article in full. It will do very well to keep.
 During the early period of the present sea. son tn gre was succession of frOSts, more or less intense, until the commencement of May. March was unusually cold and unf4voIabIe to cotton and the severe frosts on the 5th of April completely destroyed the young cotton, and was equally fatal to the corn which had been planted early. Most of our planters consider ed It most prudent to replant both corn and cotton. During the month of April there were several irosts, but none after the 23d that in )ured the cotton tp any considerable eXtent.- ne months ot May and J une have been unu- SualIy favorable, and the cotton crop now pre- SehtS as promising an appearance as 1 have ever known II, Tor the tune It has been grow Ing. Now while It Is admitted that the pre- sent cotton crop IS quite promising for the sea- son, It must be equally admitted that it is from twenty to thirty days later than the average of the thirty-two pr4ccdng years II we take
 
 the present year, the statement for 1857 will be as follows:
 Latest spring frost, April 23.
 Earliest fall frost (avcrage) Oct 26
 Growing season, months and 3 days. First bloom, june 25.
 ne hrst bloom, which is probably the fairest test of the present condition and prospect of the growing crop, proves that the average growing season will be at least twenty days short of the usual period. If we take the average date of frosts, we find thirty days de- nciency Then the question of short or , average crop of cotton for 1857 depends upon the date of the fall frost. There can under no 1 circumstances, be large crop--we are too late Tn the commencement; and though much may depend upon the date of the fall frost there can uhder no circumstances be more than an average crop.
 Before l proceed to show N hat would con- slder small, average or large crop for 1857 VIII call attention to some facts connected with the above table. It will be seen. that as a re- neral rule, the magnitude of the crop depends upon long or short period, between the spring and fall frost. h 1899 the spring opened on the 9th of March, seventeen days earlier than the average, and the growing season continued twelve days later than the average fall frost glvlns for the growing season eight months. one day, and crop of 2,177 .O0O bales-an increase ot more than 3OOOOO bales over the year i'm medlately preceding The crop of l8lO, be- sides the influence of short season of six months and 2t days, was diminished bv an overflow in the Mississippi, and reached only l,633,OOO bales. The crop of 1S42 was very large, and It will be observed that the season commenced on the 22l of February. and con- tIuued unti the 26th of October, a period of eight months and four days, yielding 2 37S OOQ bales and an increase of more than 100000 bales overthe previous year. The crop of lS48 was an unusually short one of 1,719,UOO re- SUitihg from short growing season of six months and five days, and general visitation of the army worm. The crop of l849 is again short one ot 2O9IOOO showing deficit of more than 60OUOO bales from the previous crop; the growing season was only six months and 22 days, and there was an overflow in the Red river during the summer
 The crop of 1855 was an unusually large one on growing season of few days short of seven months, but it will be observed that the whole season was remarkably favorable. and that at least 25O,0OO bales of the previous crop was received, which had been kept back by low water in the rivers in Alabama. Louisi- ana, Arkansas and Texas. The crop of 1856 has been varlously estimated, but taking the present deficit at all the ports, and the probable amount to come forward it will probably not exceed 2,950,OO0 bales-and l slieve this figure has been generally adopted-l shall take It as a basis of calculation.
 will now proceed from the above data to g,ve my estimate of the probable supply of cot. ton to be received from the growing crop
 Taking the average of the last five crops as the basis of our calculaton without regard to the late spring frost of the present season, the result will be as follows:
 is52. Crop in bales s...................S26 8 262 900 llr1n1Ai hnIus ,-A-.-