Lynchburg daily Virginian. [volume] (Lynchburg [Va.]) 1852-1861, 1856-07-22
How the Fillmore Men calculate
ahe Result.

\
ident was elected because the vote was cast by
States and not by the whole people directly, since
ls36 the Democratic Party has nfrer had a clear,
ansqniroeai majority Of The popular rofe Of The
county. Taking the average OF the puralities,
it hns not even hnd the plurality ct the popular
vote. and at this time IL Is IN minority OF at
least 300 600 and perhaps Of 500. 900 votes. We
have not now room TO 60 into details 10 show
these faets. but will in a few days present TO our
readers the statistical table from which every
one can make the calculations for himself In
the State election last year In The Northern States.
the Democratic Party were in popular minority
in'thnt cotton alone Of about 3l00OO. The only
northern States in which it had u majority then
were Illinois. Indiana and New Jersey aud in
these the majOries were very small. IL Is an
other important feature IN Northern politics That
The great mass Of what constitutes the Free Soil
Party, which. since the passage of the Nebraska
bill has grown into positive element Of political
power. has come from the ranks Of the Northern
Democratic Party. This fact. if doubted or de-
Med can be couclusiyely shown. II is not nor
commended that The NOMINEE Of The Cincinnati
Conrention can earryaay Northern State ercspt,
perhaps. Pennsylvania. II l. well known that
throughout the whole North The detection from
ITS ranks has been so imm,nSe us 10 increase The
majorities ogainSiH in all The States in ichieh il
icds fhfR in TIE minority and 10 place IL beyond
question in minority in Illinois. Indiana, and Neie
Jersey. The only pretenee for tho suppostion
that Pennsylvania would give \ majority ior
Buchanan is the fact that he is n naHve If TINT
State, but the last elections there show large
majority against the Democratic Party and the
detection of the whole German populations which
Inns hitherto been Democratic but has no,c gone
oper 10 Fremont, renders the prospect for the
success Of buchanan utterly hopeless there us
ireH as IN erery 0thef NOIhefH State.
In the South his chances are better than in the
North, but, even here, Delaware, Maryland, Ken
lucky North Carolina, Tennessee, Flord Louis.
Jam and Missouri, which give together sixty
three electoral votes, certain to cast their
votes for Fillmore while in Virginia, Georgia Al
abama and Mississippi, giving forty. lone electo.
ral votes, there is very fair prospect Of Mr.. Fill
more's success; that out Of log votes in the o.
lectoral college, by no probable contingency pH
Mr. buchanan receiUe more than fly seren and
II may be that he miH mol get more than SIXTEEN
electoral uoieS.
In The North, the opposition to the American
lafiy is divided into number Of petty factions
all of which are purely sectional and scarcely
amy al which possesses the strength aud digni-
~ If erent party. Nearly all of that faction
in the North which bolted from the American
parry on account Of its adoption of national
platform have concluded 10 give their support 10
Mi. Fillmore. At the recent Convention in New
! ork II largo portion of the boilers from ten diff
fereni States seeded from The Convention and
placed in nolninntion Commodore Stock tom At
ter The nomination of Fremont n number of 9th
"rs declared their intentions TO support the ma
tianal American candidates in preference to all
others. The remnant Of the bogus American
Republicans, who have gone over to Free. Soil
Ism, is very small and Is composed of men alto
gether without Influence aud without followers.
The nomination of Stotkton and RHyror was
merely intended ns compliment to them 1t is
understood hRt both Of these gentlemen nre in
iagor Of Mr.. Fillmore, and the factions by which
they were rendered the compliment of a nomina
ton will follow in their footsteps.
In the North, then, the contest viii doubtless
be narrowed down to Fillmore and Fremont =
New York. Massachusetts,. Vermont and New
Jersey, having in all sirty electoral votes, are
set down by the shrewdest and best Informed
Northern politicians as certain for Fillmore, and
by the aid of the Old Line Wings, who have gen
orally declared in his favor, there is said to be
but little doubt of his carrying Ohio and Cafor.
lo' aud that he will have very fair prospect
for success in Indiana aud Illinois, making, to-
gether, fifty one electoral votes. Thus Fremont
oannot. with any probability, obtain more than
one hundred and sixteen, aud very probably not
more than sirty. free electoral votes.
From these estimates, which we conscientious
~ believe mnv be relied upon as correct, it APP
pears TINT there is no possible chance for the e
lection Of buchanan by The people, and that the
contest Is principally betmeen Mr.. Fillmore and
Col Fremont. In this case our Stuthern read
ers will see for themselves that every vote which
is given to Buchanan in the South will DO a vote
in favor Of Fremont
II The mhotc uoie Of The South tecre girea 10
Mr.. Buchanan still he could not be tiecied and
if, nj the SAME time, the whole vote of the North
were given to Col. Fremont he would be elected,
the President of the United States, representing
not the whole country, but the sentiments aud
preindiees and dcte-table policy of SECTION
and tavoring Legislation in favor of the North as
against the South The American party, with
Mr., Fillmore in the field, is the only hope of the
South Ia prevent this direful catastrophe.