Southern sentinel. [volume] (Plaquemine, Parish of Iberville [La.]) 1848-1858, 1856-09-13
PLAQUEAINE, PARISH OF IBERVILLE, La SEPT. 49, 1856

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votes-nnd he would Just need the four
votes of the only other non. .slaveholding
State to give him the required majority
of l49 votes. II is exceedingly probable
that Fremont will lose theeleyen votes of
Illinois; he may possibly lose, too, the six
votes Of Michigan, and there are hopes
of his losing New Jersey and Maine also.
| Mr.. Buchanan cannot be elected by the
people, unless in addition to the 1870 votes
of all the non'slayeholding States, and
the A votes of California, he carries the
30 votes of New York, hopeless resuIt;
or losing New York, he carries the 27
votes of Pennsylvania. But the proba-
bility is that Mr.. Fillmore will carry Ell
ther Maryland or Delaware, or both, and
has strong chance for Tennessee, and
some chance for Louisiana, nor is his
case entirel y desperate with Kentucky,
North Carolina or Georgia, although the
odds are now rather fearfully against him
in the first named two of those States;
and the loss of either of the three will be
fatal to Mr.. Buchanan, unless he can off
set such loss by the vote of Illinois, or of
some other non-slaVeholding State, with
votes enough to counterbalance his loss.
l am further fully persuaded that, were
MIR. Fillmore withdrawn from the can
vass, Fremont would inevitably carry ev-
ere non-slaveholding State except Cali
fornia-it is only the triangular contest
now waging that gives Mr.. Buchanan the
slightest chance of carrying his own ma
tive State, Pennsylvania-and without
the keystone of the federal arch to sus-
tain him, he would most assuredly be
elected to stay at home. On the other
hand, it is now almost reduced to a GER
tainty that Mr. Fillmore will carry the IS
votes of his own State, New York, the 8
votes Of Maryland and the votes of Del
aware, with some chance, although per-
haps a slender one, of carrying Tennes-
see, Kentucky North Carolina, ouisiana
and Georgia, or one or more of them.-
As to New York, the probability of her
vote for her own native and distinguished
son, may be thus stated: He is the NOM
inee of the American party, which has
carried the State for the last two years;
he is the nominee of the old-line Wings
of New York, who have flocked with en-
thusiasm and in inspiriting numbers to
his standard; he is the nominee of the old
order of United Americans-the old Anne
rican party, which has retained its old or
ganizatioa, and has never merged itself
in or joined the Know Nothing organi- |
zatiou, and which has now, for the first
time, entered into the Presidential can
vass, from which it has hitherto kept |
aloof, and lastly, he has the State pride
of the Empire State 10 back him and sus-
tain him triumphantly in the Presidential
race. 1t is perfectly clear then that, if |
the Southern and sIayehoIding States
were to cast for him in a body their 100
electoral votes, in addition to the 35 cleo
toral votes of New York, that he would
be elected by the people, through the elec.
oral colleges, and have six votes to spare,
without obtaining the vote of another
1on-slayeholding State. The election OF
Mr.. Fillmore by the people is then pos
of either Buchanan or Fre-
mont almost, if not quite, an impossibility.