The daily union. [volume] (Washington [D.C.]) 1845-1857, 1856-05-09

le1as.........'.. 4
Total..................II4 Total
| Dubious
Pennsy q illinois.............
Delaware California.
missouri. .'..,......-........
IA
This seems TO favorable an estimate as existing
facts VIII warrant-iar than opponent could be
expected to concede We believe there this day anti
Douglas majority in each of the States have placed
the antNebraska column provided il be concentrated
and called OUT but ii win not bear division We shall
then need 80 electoral votes from the doubtful listta is
to say, we need the votes of Pennsylvania and Indiana
l40 or Pennsylvania and Illinois, (3s) those of New
Jersey Indiana, Illinois, and California 1857 those Of
Delaware Indiana, Illinois and Missouri as elect If
we cannot carry with hardly exception the States set
down in first column, beaten of course. II we
carry them must select candidates who can carry
80 votes out of the doubtful lst-N T. Tribune.
We glad to find Of the republican journals which
has courage enough TO put its finger upon the electoral
votes which expects carry in the coming presidential
campaign and 10 bring the prospects Of its party the
sober test of figures The Tribune 10 bold well
reckless sheet and has vsnured upon this experiment
We copy Its cpherng that readers may the data
upon which the combined American republican coalition
lists rest their hopes OF II will be perceived at
glance that very sandy foundation upon which
build and that the Tribune betrays apprehensons that
will not stand the Of the and pillows the APP
preaching contest The Tribune discusses the subject
der two heads the States which for its friends
and those which they may possibly carry We will fol-
low the order in what we have to say
l. The Tribune claims in its FIRST antdemocrac col
umn electoral votes 1t comedies that this is "as ia
vorable estimate existing facts will warrant-far
than opponent would be expected to conceden
II PROCESSES to believe there is antidemocratic majority
in each Of the States named in that column Apropided
could be concentrated and called bat significantly adds
that wA not beer divsOn" The Tribune then adds;
f we carry with hardly exception the States
Get down in out first column, are beaen Of course"
II stands conceded therefore that the fate Of the know
nothing republican coalition is staked upon carrying all
the States named in this list We do think any fair
aud intelligent who viii express the real
conclusions of his Judgment will claim such result
within the range of probability On the contrary OF the
New England States named Maine, New Hampshire and
Connecticut much more likely vote for the democrat
presidential nominee In the former repuhlioansm was
utterly routed at the election last fall while In the two
last although the democrats defeated the recent
elections by combination Of the knownothngs and anti
slavery men, they showed large gains upon year. were
far stronger than either division of their opponents and
without the most perfect and cordial of the latter AT
the fall election, may count upon easy triumph In
Massachusetts,, even, republican triumph Is far from
of course, Both the Fillmore know-nothings and
the democrats will contest the ground with re-
publcanism with spirit and the result ia from being
clear that the State should be transferred TO the doubtful
column
In New York much depends upon the action Of the Gin
cnna Convention There is the slightest doubt that
the democrats the Of the three parties
which viii be In the field and IL they cordially united
upon the presidential nominee they will the electoral
Of the State In any event Judging from the vote Of
last fall the republicans stand but slight chance of
cess and pretty Of being beaten either by the dem
ocrats know othings.
Ohio may be fairly claimed by the Tribune on the as
sumption that all the machinery Of the republican and
know nothing coalition works smoothly in that State But
this rather improbable 1t is sadly out OF gear Just
now Campbell is pitching in among the cogwheels with
iron bar because he failed to be elected Speaker Foett
and Schouler putting out the fires because they failed
10 bitch the congressional printing and Giddngs
threatens burst the boiler unless Chase gets the pes-
Dental nomination.
Michigan Wisconsin and Iowa have been reliable dem
ocrac States and the only for placing them In the
sntdemocrac column is that during the height Of the
Kansas excitement the democrats lost election in the
FIRST and and in Wisconsin while clearly elecnQ
all the residue Of the ticket have lost their governor by an
order Of the supreme court oyerung the decision OF the
State We feel strong confidence that these
three States viii be found voting for the nominee Of the
Il Cincinnati Convention.
The reader can hardly fail to be satisfied from this hastv
review that the Trbunes friends cannot carry with
hardly exception the States down in its first col
umn aud that Ia alternative is true"we beaten OF
course"
4 2 But suppose the American republican allies could
carry the above named States with their ia electoral
votes what then The Tribune graphically the ne
cesses OF It's friends in that event;
ave shall then need % electoral votes the doubtful
st-that Is say need the Of Pennsy vana and
Indiana f40) Pennsylvania and Illinois 1881 those
Of New Jersey, Indiana Illinois, and California 1851
those Of Delaware Indiana Illinois and Missouri 1881 to
n elect
What supposcs that the States named in this
extract any combination Of them which will thirty
Eve votes be secured for the an-democrac nominee
In every Of them except Delaware California and
Missouri the latest elections have resulted avoaby to the
demecrats and In those States the South Americans and
not the republicans succeeded Not electoral Is
likely be secured for any black republican candidate
\ from single State in the Tribunes doubtful list
Il The truth Is republican, a republican and Sorth
American triumph Ia the coming presidential contest Is
event so improbable that intelligent anticipates IT.
The that the leaders in any such erpec, Il
to defeat election by the people and take their chances
for driving successful bsrgaineither for political power
or s equivalent in punaer-in the House That prospect
even very remote The democrats hardly fail Of
election by the people Discretion in the action of the
Cincinnati Convention and neal and energy in the support
OF its nominee insure such result Tho democrats Of
New York have it in their power place il beyond
I tingency.
j How THEY EEw YoRK.-The health wardens and
inspector Of New York city have been visiting the houses