The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1856-09-24


Our EsoItttcaI Statistics from 1859 t. 1856
Issues and Prospects OF the Approaching
Presidential Election.
We spread before our readers this morning
valuable epitome Of the political history of the
United States, in series Of carefully prepared
tables Of the results of our successive political
elections-State and national-from the adoption
Of The federal constitution down to the present
day. In these tables the vicisstudes, the ups and
downs, the rise and fall of parties politicians and
statesmen, are graphically and forcibly presented
n the most concentrated form. The moral which
hese figures convey is the independence and
sovereignty Of the American people over politi-
clans, statesmen and parties. Here we see at a
glance, in the rapid strides of this mighty repub-
lie in population, wealth and power, the various
peaceable popular revolutions which have marked
our progress, the causes producing them and the
utter irnpotency of the most powerful party Or
CARNATIONS to resist the awakened wrath of the
people after betraying their just expectations
Accompanying these valuable statistics we give
the table Of estimates Of the Presidential election
Of 1852, and our editorial commentary thereon,
first published month in advance of that cleo
ton. Substantially, our predictions of Dc
tober were fulfilled in most remarkable
much to the surprise, not only of the defeated
wings, but of the most sanguine and industrious
democratic politicians. But our predictions Of
1852 were the conclusions drawn from the cir
cumstances about us, from cause and effect, from
the Developments Of the summer elections, and
rom an established and definite organization Of
parties.
Upon similar data we might now proceed to
compile table of estimates State by State, OF
the approaching Presidential election; but the
great Generalization, DISCRIMINATION, disruption
and chaos of parties, brought about by the reck-
less laphazard, wicked and imbecle admins
tratiol OF Mr.. Pierce, have not yet resulted in
any mSre definite reconstruction of parties upon
this Presidential contest than is afforded by the
recent elections in the Southern States OF North
Carolina, Kentucky, Arkansas and Texas, aud in
the Northern States Of Iowa, Vermont and
Maine. According TO the data Of these elections,
however, and from the pressure of the sharply
defined and overshadowing issue Of the Kansas
question, the case is very plain one, and we are
left perfectly free to conclude that, while the
electoral vote OF every Southern State will be
cast Cor Buchanan, the electoral vote of every
Northern State viii pc given TO Fremont.
The difficulty Of any specific estimates for No
yember, State by State, is very manifest. The
confused elements Of universal aud tho
rough going popular revolution, set in motion by
Mr. Pierce from the day Of The proclamation OF
his Cabinet, are still in a state Of active efsr-
vescence. We have had no positive capitalization
Of parties for November, except in the last sum-
mers State elections. Those Of last year afford
no resting place: because the Know Nothing ele-
ment which figures so conspicuously in the State
elections OF ls54-'j, has wholly disappeared in
those of sc. In the South it has been extin-
guished, from the absorbing influence Of the new
democrati, policy Of making Kansas slave
as any tests have been applied, Know Nothing
i'm has been sunk under the overwhelming spirit
of resistance excited against the democratic pro-
slavery Kansas policy Of a military despotism.
Upon this strongly marked and simple issue,
however-from all the indications about us. and
from the results Of the late State elections-we
think il as safe prediction as can be made that
every Northern State will vote for Fremont, aud
every Southern State for Buchanan. Look at
the remarkable democratic revolution achieved in
those staunch old wing Southern States Of
North Carolina and Kentucky, on the one
hand, aud at the equally sgnGcan,
revolution, The other way, in the Northern demo
cratic States Of Iowa and Maine on the other
hand; and take these actual experiments upon the
popular pulse. together with the general drift Of
the popular tide, North and South and we are
left TO no other conclusion than that which we
have given.
This is new revolutionary movement Of par
ties, in which the paramount issue is the new aud
startling Kansas question, ihgSs: upon the coun-
thy in the most offensive sectional shape by this
Pierce administration aud the Cincinnati Demo
cratic Convention. Against this revolving sec
tional issue, raised by the iire-eatng niger driv
ing democracy Of the South, the whole North has
risen in revolt. The only strictly constitutional
and conservative candidate in the Geld is Colonel
Fremont. Mr.. Buchanan stands with Atchison
and Pierce upon the Southern secession platform
Of forcing slavery into Kansas by border ruaiaas
and United States dragons: and he alao stands
upon that hlibustering Ostend platform, which, il
attempted to lie carried out will set the South IN
a blaze OF war, including. per adventure, q 80.
vile war excited by foreign invaders. Mr.. Fill.
more stands upon that ignominious anti American
dark lantern policy OF ostracizing American citl-
zcns on account Of their birthplace and reli-
gious faith. Col. Fremont alone occupies the con
sentative ground Of the constitution IN this con
test, IN bis foreign and domestic policy. For the
North and The south be i the only reliable
Union candidate in the field.
Ne are aware that he i stigmatized as The
seward abolition candidate aud the sectional and