New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1854-10-21
TIE conquest OF THE cRIMEA.

Though the tale of the sudden downfall Of Sc
vAstopo turns out to be groundless in spite OF the
Infinite e1ultatobs it has produced in France and
Fpplsnd something remains certain, even after
the exposure Of that enormous fabrication. IL is
certain that the Russians were beaten in The trst
| battle. and an no longer be expected to offer
such q resstsnce to the allies as would enable
Sevsstopol 70 hold out till the middle of NoTem-
| Der. The present autumn. mid and calm az it Is
e2ort,d to be in that region, is most favorable
for the operations of the allied army, and there
is indeed the creates. probability that the place
will fan in the course of few weeks. Prince
Menchlkoff remaining with the great bulk OF his
army in the mountainous region about Sevas-
topol, the capital of the province, and
barrsssing the left wing of the allies. will
for some time annoy and delay them in beseging
the town, though he will scarcely be able to
encounter them in the open field. Hi, cavalry
however, lie on important element in the struggle
He is reported to have some 10000 COssacks
under bis command, while the cavalry of the
allies is scarcely sufficient to cover their artillery
and serve their outposts In a military poins OF
view, the expedition to the Crimea will be one OF
the most interesting problems of modern warfare.
Still even the waImest friends Of Russia can now
scarcely retain any hopes for her success, and
must lock upon Sevastopol as upon lost position.
The results of the fall of this stronghold are
such that it is difficult at once to comprehend all
their bearings. The destruction or capture OF
the Russian feet will enable the allies to direct
their attention to the remaining fortresses OF the
Black Sea, TO Anapa, Novo Russosk, Perekop,
Fort Kinburn, aud TO Odessa, all OF which are
incapable of Offering serious resistance. The
domination Of Russia over the Black Sea will
then cease, while her prestige in the East is al
ready broken. The policy of Persia will lmme-
diately undergo complete change, aud the Shah
will by to recover his lost possessions on the
Caspian and on the table.land Of the Ararat
which were wrested from him in the last war.
The Caucasus if not the K1ban, will in future
be tie boundary of Russia in Asia, while ia Ed-
rope the Car may perhaps be thrown back upon
bis frontiers under the treaty Of Kainardj, losing
both the Crmea and Bessarabia- Russia, being
thus reduced 10 more modes. proportions and
unable longer to threaten Turkey, will cease to
have an influence in Greece, in Italy, at Vlenns,
10 Denmark, aud on ali the German Courts. The
European system Of ISIS, the rule Of the FIVE
chief pow ers, the great Pentarchy will be broken
up, and the supreme control will remliu in the
bands of England and France. The English
Ministers seem, indeed, to be frightened by the
importance to which the two great countries of
the West are rising, and they seek an associate
in Austria, since Prussia has sbdicated her Eu-
ropesn position, which might have brought inan
eial difficulties upon her, and is fully content with
being ii fret Of the German powers, solvent
and avoiding swindling operations Austria, on
the other hard, is now at last reaching the point
where she must declare against Russia, since En-
gland and France, flushed by their success, EVIL
IDENTIFY intend to push forward in order to bring
the crisis to speedy solution. We are able to
state positively that Sir Charles Napier has al
ready received orders to try decisive blow in
the Baltic this autumn. At the same time re-
ciuiting Is going Oh with the greatest energy in
England; troops are carried continually TO the
Black Sea- merchants have received hints that il
may be unsafe to make advances upon Russian
products, since next year the blockade will De
more seriously enforced, preventing Russian
commerce even through neutral ports; aud the
Ministerial organs are stimulatif public opinion
to make greater demands upon the Car.
Austria has Of course congratulated the Allies
on their victory, bat We imagine there must still
be some apprehension in the higher circles at
Vienna since if Francis JOSEF should declare war
sgainst Russia, be would thereby break the tresty
OF alliance with Prussia. Meanwhile the Rus
sian force in Poland are advancing slowly, but
steadily toward the Austrian frontier. Wax once
declared. the army of the Car might attempt
TO defeat the AQstrians aud take Vienna, though
this could not be done with the rapidity with which
The allies have defeated Menchikof, aud marched
upon Sevastopol. On the other hand the VIC
tories Of the allies may easily induce Sweden
sId perhaps even Denmark 10 forsake their ale
glance to the Car and to enter into the great
western alliance for the dismemberment OF
Russia.
I'll these ,coDjectures may soon be realized
stree there is nobody who believes tia. the Gar
viii become more trsctable by defeats. His re-
verses Will eIasperste bis naughty and irritable
temper. He has now hardly any other slterna-
tive than either to sbdicate and let the Grand
duke Alexander sue for ahumiliating peace, or
to defend himself to the utmost, and if be can,
to transfer the war from his own dominions to the
middle Danube and perhaps to the Rhine. His
case is desperate, be must either consent 10 the
downfall Of bis power and prestige and the hum-
hation OF Russia, or he must seek the alliance Of