The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1853-12-04

the confidence Of capitalists. ard bave even no
confidence In themselves These parties certainly
wish TO join the reforming rebels, and say, in
deed, that they act under their orders but
that is not to be believed, as the black
guards who began the disturbance at Shanghai are
we kno 8n, and nobody doubts that they have risen
their own advantage than from any patriotic
In fact they are chiefly men from Canton and Foken,
who have long been feared by the Deaceable people
OF the province, and have been leaders on all occa-
roofing out their haunts where they conce aed their
plumber, and they are so cowardy that five or six
foreigners have always been successful in securing
those that were wanted but yet the magistrates,
years ago, dared not do the same thing, and gave
free leave to the English and other foreign residents
to seize these thieves whenever they could discover
them 1t Is this description OF rebels that we have
to fear, and, when the real Tapping wang people
Emperor proclaimed these bands will be their worst
enemies and, unless some foreign nations interfere
which at present seems to be improbable In
deed the Amercanstake the initiative 1t is TO be feared
what have hitherto predicted has come to pass, ex
cept as to Canton be ng taken this month"; and 1t Is
more than probable that even this may take place
yet before the month closes; but it is to be hoped
that this will be deferred until the rebels in the north
of the province come down, as they are known to be
connected with what must be the new government,
and WILL therefore, be the better enabled to maintain
order.
In country like this, where we have no access to
the interior and but few opportunities of conversng
with we'll informed people, It is of course difficult to
come to definite conclusions, especially as the natives
with whom we trade are generally more ignorant OF
passing and probable events than we are. 1t s said
that foreigners will not be molested when Caution
falls, and this believe, unless it be by the rabble,
with whom we may perhaps have hard fight. We
s has So
and one or two guns that could be landed as field
pieces; most of the mercantile establishments are
well provided with firearms, and, in case of attack
by those to whom have referred should have no
fear as to the result. as they are very deficient in
arms, snd have yet to do something TO enable them
to acquire confidence in their own strength or re-
sources. have recently had good evidence Of their
having no "pluck,' and that promptisude and de-
cson on our part are ali that is requisite to render us
secure have made up my mind 70 remain in Can
ton and am Of the very few that have not during
the last six months, paid visit either to Macao or
HongkoDg. feel quite assured that the rae- ping
Providence has them in his keeping. 1t would be
privilege to oregrers to assist in the establishment
Of peace and order over anarchy and the more power
and energy we can display in this cause tie better it
will be for US in the end.
You may consider 1t as almost certain that trade
will soou come to standstill here, and after the
produce at Shanghai, which is already brought into
foreign godowns has been shipped Off there will DO
10 further export Of tea from that place till 0rm
government is established; and here there will be
many disturbing influences when trade ia stopped,
that though we may keep the factories the trade in
exports will be quite nominal. The people ia the
country will not incur the risk Of sening produce
down till secure time arrives, and, for the same
reason, those who have money here will keep it
hid and Dever venture to send 1t up the country
until they can do 30 with greater safety. think It
by no means Improbable that our exports this year
will not in any exceed two thirds of those of last
year. in good teas it will be greatly deficient ss
very little care has be en- taken IN the manipulation
You must not, as some people do, consider tea to
a mi ia m nd in pyy.
pense Of thaprocess and OF the transit great part Of
the cost consists. The same may be said to be the
case with elk but with this difference-tea Is made
up for the foreign export in peculiar manner, while
silk lis prepared 10 way which is alike suitable
for foreign or native demand. If peace were estab
lisbed in the north the export OF silk from Shanghai
would be enormous this year, as that place not far
from the producing dstr Its, and in times like the
both on account Of the difficulty Of internal transit,
ard OF the change in the occupation and disposition
of the people.
The northern rebel army has taken Tientsin, the
port Of Pekin. By next mail you will most likely
learn that the capital has fallen It must be taken
before the end of this month"; or it will not be taken
for long time 1t is most desirable for the rebels
that they should get possession Of Pekin as they
already hold Chinkiang foo, which is the key to the
grain stores The grain has yet to be shop and,
If this should not take place before November, the
famine VIII ch already exists will 60 far to extirpate
the poi uation. Under these circumstances the peo
pie will embrace the cause OF the rebels witch greater
ZEAL and the fall Of Pekin will thus be accelerated
When that does take place, however. all 10 not set
tied; It will take some time to establish the ne sys
tenn OF government, and trade will not ct once flow
into its accustomed channels. There will, copse-
quently, be less teas shipped next year than many
may expect, while from the short export this season
the demand is likely to increase.
The Americans bave shipped comparatively little.
and the prices In the States are therefore likely to
advance, and the rapidly increasing demand for Aus
tralia should nosbe lost sight of.
Foreign trade in this country Is very small, and
little thought Of compared with the native inter-
nal trade. The trade with foreigners ia not desred
by many of the Chinese 1t is indeed rather in
measure forced upon them. There is not one shop
In hundred here where foreign goods are sold, and
part of the natives. They do not on this account
desire peace for the sake Of foreign trade and the
rabble, until either defeated or satisfied with plum
der, will hold the day.
THE FUTURE GOVERNMENT OF CHINA.
From the Uslcot'a Engiishnan. Sept. so
We may now expect Termination of the Chiuese
rebellion at no very distant period by the arrival Of
the rebels at the capital. The city Of Tsnan, which
they occupy Is within two hundred miles of Pekin,
and not far from the great canal which they com-
msnd and have intercepted the trade Of the capital
and, Of course, the revenue from the rich southern
provinces. The Emperor, it Is stated in one Of the
letters, may yet call in the Tartar hores bat how is
be to support large army in the field; they must
be quarleIed on the people, who will be thus rem
aered more hostile to them than ever This oppres
sion is stated 70 have facilitated the success Of the
rebels in the South. What are we to expect from
the lew dynasty, more liberal or more restrictive
policy than has hitherto prevailed? According to
the professions made by the insurgents, they are
favorable to foreigners and to foreign trade, ex.
cept that in opium, and will allow q freedom
Of intercourse hitherto unknown. But the
policy Of o successful revolutionary chief may be
very different from his professions, when DESTROYS Of
concDatipg those who, by siding the reignng en-
peror, might have put down the instruction. If
we moy judge of the national feeling by that so
lorg displayed at Canton it is that Of intense
haired Of foreigners but that it is possible, may not
extend beyond the provisce for the treatment re-
ceved by all Who have visited the eastern por has
been very different from what has uniformly been ex-
perienced in the neighborhood of Capton. The Chi
nese are an enterprs Dg people, the res Tictions
under which they have hitherto labored, have been
imposed upon them by their Tartar conqnerors, and
1t Is probable that they will be deirous Of taking nd
vantage Of the pation,l government to remove all
irksome restraints. They hardly effect this with.
out giving privileges to foreigners not hitherto en-
oyed and It may be expected that the cities of the