The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1852-03-11
The Next Presidency The Fog Clearing
AWAY.

4 hWays
During the last ten days several important Presi-
Dental movements have been made, and some very
tangible Developments revealed on the subject of
the next Presidency. We think we now see it
somewhat clearly marked in the future that James
Buchanan, Of Pennsylvania has the best chances at
present, Of being the candidate Of the Democratic
Convention to be held at Baltimore on the first Of
June that Winfield Scott, of New jersey will most
| likely get the nomination of the Wing Conven-
ton in Philadelphia, on the 18th of the same
month and that the Abolition Convention
otherwise called free soil, anti-slavery, and in
veL;ion-which is about to be called in July.
will put forth the name of Charles Francis Adams,
of Boston, or Of John p. Hale Of New Hampshire,
as their standard bearer But of these three candi-
dates put forward to the people of the United States
by the three organized parties, the chances decided
ly that Gen. Scott viii get the highest number
Of votes if he shall not be elected President for the
next term of Office.
Let us come to particulars. The result Of the re-
cent State Convention of democrats in Pennsylva-
MIA, indicates beyond a doubt that James Buchanan
will receive the Of that State in the Baltimore
Convention. from first to last and that his chances
TO get the whole Southern of the same body are
higher than those Of any of his competitors. For
some time past, General Cass, the former candidate
has been losing ground, particularly in the South
and in some degree elsewhere. Mr.. Buchanan is the
only candidate who has thus FIR carried the nomina
ton in his own State by an overwhelming and ire
sistible majority, that State, too being large and
central one, capable Of giving twenty-six for
the Presidency. Al the other numerous candidates
Of the democracy come either from small States,
without the prestige Of influence, or their strength
is reduced by local contests and rivalries. Butler
gets the nomination in Kentucky but Kentucky is
a small wing State. No has the majority in
0hio-not even Mr.. Allen who resides there. Doug
las gets Illinois; but Illinois is minor state. The
largest central state, New York. is divided among
several. And thus we might run the whole round
leaving to Buchanan alone the overriding fact that
he is Overwhelmingly endorsed by his own State
and that State n leading in the history Of demo-
cratic triumphs.
Mr.. Buchanan has also avoided an coquetting with
foreign Intervention and other novelties of the day
From most trustworthy sources we learn that he will
receive in convention the Of the Southern votes,
and will therefore unquestionably. faras appear
ances now indicate, be the candidate Of the Bati-
more Convention. The new platform Of that body
viii be the one recently put forward by the Harris
burg Convention Of last week-the Fugitive Slave
law, in al iis integrity. to be considered fixed and
iepealable tie statute book, With all the other
measures and issues Of the democracy. In addition
70 these facts and increnees we have every reason
TO believe that there is understanding now ma
turing between the Marcy delegates Of New York
and the Buchanan delegates Of Pennsylvania, by
which the votes 81 New York on the second or third
ballot in the Baltimore Convention. will be given to
Mr.. Buchanan, and thus render certain and positive
his nomination by the democracy.
Bat while recent events convince IL that the
chances are that Mr.. Buchanan viii receive the
nomination at the Baltimore Convention, the same
acts render his election in November next extremely
predetermined This uncertainty in his prospects
docs not arise from the mighty or magnificent popu-
larity that may be credited to General Scott who
may be considered the wing candidate The prin-
cIal causes Of tic disncgraton or the democratic
party ID the coming contest, viii be similar in their
character but wider in their extent, than those
from which they suffered in 1913. The riyalry-in-
tense and heated between the two candidates Of |
1873, produced q Reorganization in the ranks, |
which drove of part to the wings who elected
General Taylor, and large portion to he aboH-
It's nists, who tried TO vote for and elect Mr.. Van
Bmen. Instead VI ,ke Qps cause Of aiss9ateDt,