The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1852-10-01

enjoying . season OF prosperity Ear beyond that
which prevailed in the interval between 1882 and
1886, and in its magnitude startling TO the world
The commercial prosperity Of the country has always
produced an apathy in respect to its politics and its
politicians Although the voting population has
increased each year. yet it is very evde mt thst the
number Of those who visit the polls at each sue
ceedng election has not increased in the ratio
This does not arise from the absolute want Of aug.
nentation in the voters but from the absence of all
enthusiasm, and want Of excitement, in the Masses
and the utter impossibity Of the mere Office seekers
and politicians interesting those who arc doing well
in the world, and prOspering without politics The
elections Of the present year. particularly since the
nomination Of the several Presidential candidates,
must be considered tho premoniGory symptoms of
the results which win be produced by the voting Of
next November.
Now, We would particularly refer our readers to
the elections, recorded in our tables, together
with the estimates founded on the figures which
make Of the probable results Of the present
test for the Presidency. The estimated result of
the contest between SCOTT and Pierce, founded on
tho facts Of all the previous elections, is perfectly
startling. We can hardly credit it while we set it
down; yet it is as accurately calculated any pre-
csding election result that has taken place for the
last thirty years.
The defeat Of Mr.. Van Buren, in 1910, was pre-
figured by the democratic defeats of 1888 and 1889;
the triumph Of Polk in 1874 was foretold by the
gradual triumphs in the democratic State elections
during the previous three years. the great demorali
zation Of the whig party was typifed by the con-
| ficts between President Tyler and Mr. Clay; and
the triumph of Gen. Taylor in lS48 was indicated in
the defeat Of the democrats in the State elections in
| the preceding year.
According to all these incontestible facts, fur
nshed by the history Of the past we must arrive at
| the inevitable conclusion that Gen. Pierce will be
elected in the election of next month, by over
| whelming majority. Every State election for the
last three years, to the recent elections since the
nominations have been made, has invariably
pointed out the gradual increase and Of the
democrats, as well as the decrease in power and the
decentralization Of the whig party throughout the
| Union. At this moment no sensible man can
place any dependence on Newspaper assertions, ap
pearing in any Of the partisan journals on either
| side, and least Of ell ON the boasting Of the
orators and spouters who are perambulating the
country, and disgracing themselves and their cause
1 by every species OF vulgar and personal vitupe-
ration. The figures which We give in this table
! to day, cannot lie, and they give assurance,
beyond any possibility of doubt of the Per.
| feet union and strength Of the modern demo-
| cracy, ut the coming election, in opposition to
the decentralization and division of the modern whg
party. There is hardly general principle or mea.
sure in contest between them; both parties have
| adopted platform similar in character and color
| There is, however, more confidence placed by the
Southern States in the promises and pledges Of the
democrats, under Pierce, than there is in those Of
| the wings, headed by Gen. Scott and steered by
| VIM. Il. Seward. The new born zeal Of the Van
Burens of this State, in favor of Pierce, does not
even seem to detract from lessen the confidence
which the South places in the sound constitutional
| principles of the Northern democrats. The Van
Buren, free soil difficulty in 1913 was sudden and
| personal movement, contrary to the principles of
| his whole Life, and repented Of as soon as per.
petra.ed. VIM. H. Stewards principles Of aboli-
ton are at the foundation of his career his rise in
public life, and his hopes for the future. Hence
t is that the Southern States and those who are in
favor OF the constitutional union Of this great re-.
| public, have moro confidence in the integrity of
the democracy on these points, at this crisis, tn an
in that of the whig party.
Such are the general views with which we ac.
| company these important and valuable tables of
election results for tie past thirty years According
to all rational conclusions, founded on facts and On
natural differences, it would appear that General
Scott has not the slightest chance Of reaching the
Presidency, and that all the military popularity at
trbuted to him is an utter and unqualified absurd.y
in the history of politics in this country Our eec
lions have been decided by other causes and springs
than those arising from military popularity, and
tha &c Tool
Taylor would never have elevated any Of them to
the Presidency without the combination of other
political, social, commercial, and financial causes
concurring in those particular times and
junctures. The free soil vote, bereft Of its
Van Buren, influence, which gave it a Fictitious
Importance in ls4S, will be reduced to its natural
dimensions. The contest will be similar in its gene
raj features and character to those which have
marked the history of the country for the last twelve
years but it will be the last contest between the
democratic and vhig parties under { ese particular
appellations. If the democratic party be trium-
phant-as every figure to indicate it will-the
wing party will sink into total extinction Hereafter
it will be ruled in conjunction with the abolition
section, and William Fl. Seward, defeated in carry
ing General Scott into the Presidency Twill fall back
on his original principles Of agitation abolitionism
and demagoguism, out Of which he sprang, and by
which be has reached his present position
Who is to be the next Presidentl The figures of
thirty years past indicate that General Pierce, by
the present combination and complication of par
ties, will be elected President over General Scott by
probable plurality Of ~iney three thousand roes in
The seceral States, and one hundred and etghty.tvo
electoral rotes in the Union
The STEAMBOAT CALAMITIEs-IsDIcrMENT OF
THE REINDEER, perceive that the United State,
District Grand Jury have found bill Of indictment
for granddaughter, against the captain and engineer
of the steamboat Reindeer for the explosion of ner
boiler, on the 4th Of September last, by which so
many human beings were launched into eternity,