The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1852-07-09

of confidence in his administration Of the govern
nent, should he be declared the winning horse in
November. Then, on the other hand, Pierce and the
democratic platform are not only in unison with
each ether and the constitution, but there is most
extraordinary unanimity in the party, both about
the platform and the candidate and it is well known
that whenever the democratic party have thorough
ly united, they have won the battle.
Such are some Of the chances upon which the
odds are calculated in favor of Pierce and against
Scott; and if the anti-savery party, who are about
to hold their convention at Pittsburg, should no.
inmate a candidate and construct a platform after
their own heart, the chances viii be still more in
creased against the wing and in favor Of the de-
nocratc candidate; for the anti slavery element be-
ing chiefly whg, and all the sms that IN the event
Of nomination, will gather around that nucleus
being almost exclusively whig, the whig party,
of course, will be so far losers by this organiza
ton Of a third party and this running of third
candidate, as Kossuth recommends in his speech
to the Germans.
These chances may be modified more or less, by
future events but there is one chance that will
hold good under all circumstances, and that does
not relate to the personal merits or dement's of the
candidates-to their principles or platforms, or to
the harmony want Of harmony Of the parties,
but the relative position of the two parties-ths
accidental circumstance Of one party being out Of
Office and the other in. This always makes mighty
difference, and in the present instance it is alto
gther in favor Of the democrats. The party out Of
Office always has the advantage, for many and OBJ
vious reasons.
The party in Office are obnoxious to attack for
their past administration and they therefore always
afford materials for invec.ive. All who dissa-
tisfed-all who love chapge-are glad to see them
turned out, and trial given to another party. 1t
is like bad servants-people are always changn 6
them, though it may be from bad to worse, and ont
Of the frying pan into the fire. Again: Hungry, lean
men fight better than fat, boated men, whose intel
lect and whose wind are both affected by gluttony
and obesity. Shakespeare, who knew human nature
so well, contrasts the energy of the two classes in
the tragedy of Julius Caesar
Let me have men about me that are fat,
Sleek headed men. and such az sleep onights:
Yon Cassius has lean and hungry look
lie thinks TOO much; such men are dangerous.
Fat horses make bad race. The democrats have
been pretty well starved-the wings have "waxcd
fat, and Kicked" like Jeshurun in the Bible; and
there is therefore fair chance of their being kicked
out by their enemies Armies always fight hard
III PiuIuer' al alo"chiuS army, c0t6IS PuftUHS,
always fights with greater courage than the ttacked
This is eXempifed in the case Of revolutionary
forces. The democrats are the attacking party-ths
wings are assailed in their strongholds
Finally, the party out of power fight with more
determination and more union, for this reason-that
the expectants of places are one hundred times
numerous as the occupants. If the whig party So
coed, it will make very little difference to the out
siders. Gen. Scott has declared that he will not
disturb the men already in Office except for incapa
city want of integrity; SO that those wings who
are not in office have but little to expect BY vic
tory. On the contrary, if the democrats succeed
there will be clean sweep; and there arc hun
dred candidates for each Office and each has received
promises, and all have high expectations, the odds
will be tremendous against the present Office hold
ers. No doubt those who enjoy the spos will fight
hard to retain them, and the influence of Office will
be used for that purpose; but there viii be hun
bred hungry dogs of war; against every one Of the
fat officials and every hound Of them with keen
scent aud sharp appetite.
1t will be thus that the chances appear to be
| decidedly in favor of the democratic candidate at
present. and that the odds given in betting is easily
| accounted for. Who knows, however, what may
| turn up in the fortune of war! "The race is not
always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong,
neither yet bread to the wse nor vet riches to men
of understanding, nor yet favor to men of skill
but time and chance happeneth to them ALL Let
ceasing."