Fayetteville observer. [volume] (Fayetteville, Tenn.) 1850-1966, 1852-10-21
4lolitital Rcqoin9.
The Prospect.

an article from the New York Herald
on the prospect. The Herald is an
independent paper, and is rarely, if
ever, mistaken in its predictions. !
1t predicted the election of Harrison
in 1910, of. Polk in 1871, and Of
Taylor in 1913, and its predictions
were verified almost to a figure
The Herald giyes Scott only four
s. tates-Vermont, Massachusetts,
Pc nasylvania and Kentucky. We
hop pe it. is mistaken in reference to
Pennsy ylvania, but its means Of in
formation are superior to ours. Phe
State election in that State takes
place on the 18th inst, and viii at
ford pretty good indication Of the
result in November. Even with
Pennsylvania, however, Scott can
Iget, according to the Herald's esti-
mate, only 81 electoral votes less
than one-6lth of the whole number.
Read the conclusions of the Herald:
@We nov approach the Presiden-
tial election of 1913, in which the
wings availed themselves Of a militia
ry man as their candidate, in the per-
son of Gen. Taylor. For some years
past the democratic party still held
its own in the several States, with
the single exception of the year
l1647, in which the aggregate vote
Of the wings somewhat exceeded the
aggregate popular vote Of the demo-
Gratis throughout the country. But
at that time, the abolitionist vote
gradually began to increase; the elee-
ton Of 1S40 came on, in which Sen.
LCass. was the democratic candidate,
and Gen. 1aylor the whig candidate.
Mr.. Van Buren. of New York, and
his friends, had concluded upon re-
ceiying the nomination Off the CON
vention of 1913, in consequence of
their submitting to the defeat Of
their expectations in 1914, and of
the support which they then gave to
AIr. Polk. They were disappointed
again, an / they now resolved on sat
isfaction. Mr.. Van Buren, according
ly created a great detection in the
democracy, by joining with the abo-
litionists on the genefal question of
( free-soilism. Tn that election the
free-soil party abstracted nearly three
hundred thousand votes, principally
from the democratic party, through
the influence of Mr.. Van Buren, and
/ his friends in the State Of New York.
/ This detection and bolt caused the
defeat Of the demo crats and their
candidate in 1913. But for this
great movement of Van Buren, in
opposition to the principles Of his
whole life, and contrary to the ex-
pectation Of his southern friends,
Gen. Taylor, with all his military
popularity, never could have been
elected President. In every contest'
in this country, in which the Presi-
4ency is involved, it will be seen
that the principles by which il has
been decided have been something
deeper, wider spread, and altogether
of different character from that Of
military availability. Gen jackson,
defeated in 1924, was elected in
1923, by a combination Of the demo-
cratic faction under his name. Gen.
Harrison, defeated in 1886, was
elected overwhelmingly in 1910, by
a combination Of social commercial
and financial causes, operating
against 8Ir, Van Buren in that year;
and Gen. Taylor, with.more military
popularity than either Of the preced-
ing candidates, was barely elected to
the Presidency in 1S4S, by the de-
fection of Mr.. Van Buren, and his
friends, combined with the abolition
vote of the Northern States.
at is evident, therefore, that
mere military popularity is Hy no
means available against deep and
radical political, social, comThFrcial
and financial causes aetuating 3 for
years previously, and eliminating at
particular periods of history. The
State elections, subsequent TO 1S4S,
up to the present time, are Gu Fious,
and instructive, because they come,
at this period, home to our business
and our senses During thd last
four years in every State Of the I'm
ION, the democracy has gradually in
creased It strength, its power, its