New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1852-02-24
dieting that Scott will beat him badly In
DIx.,;. a. well as in the Union

yention go strong as we at one time sup
,ossd he would. Of all the Free States,
he seems now to have chance but for Con-
necticut, and only chance for her. Of
the Slave States, his own Texas alone has
vetdecIared in his favor, and she has but four
votes in the Convention. Tennessee, LOU
isiana and Arkansas. which, from various
considerations of proximity or past history,
might have been expected to sympathize
with Texas in this matter, give no sign OF
devotion to Houston. He can hardly have
thirty votes in Convention on the first bal
lot, and can only be nominated by one of
those fortuitous impulses which defy all
calculation.
As to Gen. BUTLER, it is not now proba-
BILE that he will have many votes on the
first ballot. No State but Kentucky has
yet declared for him, and she rather family.
The Bentonian deleg alton from Missouri
will doubtless be favorable to his nomina-
tion but it will be counterbalanced by an
Anti-Benton Delegation, which may alone
be admitted, and which at all events Will
not be excluded; so that all the former eau
do for Butler will amount to little. Gen.
Butler has chance in the final struggle,
presuming that G ov Marcy shall meantime
be dropped, but his prospect is not fatter-
ing one.
Unless, then, some new element shall be
foisted into the Baltimore caldron, we
anticipate that the main struggle will proba-
bly, be between the friends of Gen. Cass
ard Judge Douglas respectively. Gen.
Cass will go into the Convention with
decided plurality of the votes, but not
enough to nominate him under the Two
Third Rule which has become part of the
Baltimore Platform. In fact he will be in
a position very similar to that of Mr.. Van
Buren, in the Convention of 1874, only with
a weaker force at his back. He will have
against him the general understanding Of
the young and ambitious that he is the
candidate of the Old Hunkers'- who
enjoyed the good things when the party was
formerly in power, and mean to get another
lick at them if possible. This feeling,
though unavowed, has twice strongly con-
tributed to defeat Mr.. Clay before National
Conventions, and we think will now finish
Gen. Cass. And besides, every delegate
who votes against Gen. Cass at the outset,
will feel that he is to be regarded as a
rebel for so doing in case the General Ill
timately receives the nomination, and that,
while smiles, and bows, and gracious words,
will be abundantly accorded him, he will
stand but poor chance for the Spells.
Hence we apprehend that Gen. Cass's vote
will not much increase after the first ballot,
while that vf tire Listio oidnS tctFt 40 So.
Whether the latter will or will not be ncm-
mated, we do not predict but his chance
seems now equal to that of any rival, though
he will only have some fifty or sixty votes
on the first ballot.
Gen. Cass has undoubtedly strengthened
himself of late, through nearly all the
Free States, by his relatively manful course
on questions of International policy. Should
he be nominated at last, he will owe it to
this course. Still, the chances against an
old and beaten candidate, opposed by a
young and fresh one, are so decided that
we believe him destined to be set aside.
Let Time test the soundness of this con.
yictiOn