New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1851-07-03
CHANCES At EUROPE. =. No. XVII.
PARIS. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL.

MARVEL at the obliquty Of vision whereby
any one is enabled standing IN this metropolis, to
anticipate the subyCrSioa o. the Republic and
the restoration OF Monarchy. Such prophets
must belong essentially to that school which
teaches the omnpotence Of paper Constitutions
and diates with bristling hair on the appalling
possibility that Washington. or Hamilton or
Franklin. might not have been chosen to the Con-
venion which framed our Federal Constitution
and that Constitution consequently have remained
unperiected or unadopted. The true view | I'M
derstand to be that il the Constitution had thus
failed to be constructed in 81 or adopted IN So
the necessity for It would still have existed,
growing daily more urgent and palpable, SO that
Convention after Convention would from time 10
time have been called. and sooner or later Con
stiution would nave been elaborated and adopted.
and the longer this consummaton was delayed
the stronger aud more controlling the Constitu
ton ultimately formed would have been. So
with the French Republic. Ii is simply an eS-
preston of the intellectual convictions AMI
social instincts of the French People You
meet It on the Boulevards and IN the cafes
where the wealthy and luxurious most do
congre gate your cabman and booL-black though
perfectly civil and attentive, e, YOU understand
If YOU have eyes, that they are Republicans
while IN the quarters tenanted or frequented only
by the Artisan and the laborer You meet none but
devotees of the Republic Democratic and So
cal' The contrast between the abject soryhty
OF the Poor In London and their manner here can
not he realized without actual observation hun
dred Princes or illustrious Dukes IN Paris would
not attract as fluch attention as any one OF them
would in London. Democracy tnumphed In the
drawing rooms of Paris before it had erected its
first barrlcade in the streets. and all subsequent
efforts in behalf OF Monarchy here have produced
and can produce only htlul, spasmodic, unna-
tural HE If three Revolutions within life
time, all IN the same direction, have. not i'm
pressed this truth concnsively, another and an
other lesson will be added The French have
great faults OF character which umperil the lm-
mediate fortunes of the Republic but cannot al
feet Us ultimate ascendancy. lmpulsIve and eg
otlstic, they may seem willing to exchange Lib
ery for Tranquility Security, but this will bel
momentary caprice, soon past and forgotten. The
Natlon can never more be other than Republican,
though the possessors of power controlling the
may fancy that their personal interests would be
promoted by less popular system, and so be
seen for n season following strange gods This
deluson and apostacy will speedily pass, leaving
only their shame behind
The immediate peril of the Republic is the
Election of May, 80, in view Of the arbitrary dis
reimbursement OF nearly one-half the Democratic
voters the manacled condition of the Press, the
denial to the People of the Right l Meeting for
deliberatlon and concert, and the betrayal Of all
the enormous power and patronage Of the State
into the hands OF the Arlstocratlc party If the
Republicans were 10 attempt holding Conyen-
ton to select a candidate for President, their
meetings would be promptly suppressed by thePo-
lice and the Bayonet This may distract and scat
ter them, though | trust It will not. Their Pre-
sldenta candidate will doubtless be designated
by a Legislative Caucus or meeting of Represen-
tatves in the Assembly simply because no faIrer
and fuller expression Of the pary's preference
would be tolerated. Ard If, passing over the
mob of Generals and of Politicians by trade the
choice should fall on some modest and unambI-
tious citizen, who has earned a character by
quiet probty and his bread by honest labor,
in spite Of the unconstitutional overthrow Of Uni
versa Suffrage. After this, thou gh the plurality
should fall short of a majority and the Assembly
proceed to elect Louis Napoleon or Changarner,
there need be no further apprehension.
Il hear, as from an official source, that there
are now Three Thousand Americans IN Paris,
most of them residing here Tor months, # NOT Tor
years It gives me pleasure to state that, con
trary to what have often heard of the bearing OF
our countrymen IN Europe, large majority OF
these, 50 far as may Judge from meeting good
many and learning the sentiments Of more. are
warmly and openly on the side of the Republic
and opposed to the vaccinations Of the motley
host who seek lts overthrow.
The conviction of Charles Hugo, AMI bis
sentence 10 six months imprisonment, Tor Simply
writing strong Editorial in the Ev'asmfa' n
conformation Of Legal Killing, Is making pro-
found sensation here think 1t will hasten the
downfall both Of the Guiilotine and the party
OF Order which thus assumes the championship
Of thu, ycnerated institution. The Timer Pans
correspondent. perceive, takes up the tale OF
Hugo, article having been calculated to ef'
pose the ministers Of the law TO popular OIL
um, and nayely protests against a line oil afsu'
meBt Ly which chose Who erecaie the la" are
stiemaiizc a. sTec5dioBers" suppose We must
call them cxcrutor, hereafter 10 ob,,aie the haTu
ship complained OF How singular that those
WHO glory ia the deed should shrink Indignantly
from IL. nernc
American attention will naturally be drawn
to Tie rocen, debate IN the Assembly lavo"H3
the principle Of the Hshcf LH. The su1.ee'
was bal recognizing the National CuaFi. VIA
The In,en. of sitting It rs clean possible oi 'he
popular element. and thus snlefllg It eiiaef'