New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1850-05-30
The Crisis in Franco.

That the present crisis in France Will
have an upshot and that of quite decided
character, is matter Of course, but the
man who is ready to tell what that upshot
will be, is gifted with degree of clairvoy-
ance Or presumption to which we are not
able to lay any claim. The Government are
evidently bent upon provoking an outbreak;
their troops are there, their forts are filled
with munitions, the plan of battle is agreed
upon, Changarnier's sword itches to glut it
self upon the accursed mob of Paris, every
thing is provided and prepared for the sig
nal to begin. That signal is the rising of |
the People. For it, Ministers and Generals
watch with great impotence no Cru
sador toiling through the heats Of Syria
ever watchedmore eagerly to catch glimpse
Of the towers of the Holy City than they for
the rising of barricades in the Fabourg st.
Antoine or the Quarter Latin. They heap
proyocation upon proyocation; their organs
abound in menaces, insults and indictments
to civil war; they suppress in one day three
Republican journals, not openly by an act of
manly tyranny, butindirectly by taking away
the license of their printer; and they threaten
every free press with the same fate; and
thew prosecute in the Assembly the most
open and fragrant assaults upon the Consti-
tut;on in the Electoral Bill, which aims to
take from one-half Of the whole mass of
citizens that very right of suffrage by which
alone these shameless rulers hold their seats.
But still we hear Of no rising and cannot
find decided symptom of any. There are
reports Of complots and conspiracies and in
surrectionary preparations; you may find
them here and therein the English journals;
but vet they are exceedingly few and feeble
considering the usual fecundity of their
authors. About the time of the June affair
last year they were infinitely superior both
in quantity and variety to anything we now
hear of. This favors the hypothesis that the
present stories have even less Of reality in
them than their predecessors. And what
is more significant, the vast influence of the
Democratic Socialist press is combined
against forcible resistance to the threatened
law. OF the three journals now suppressed
only one, the roir da People looked to in
surrection for redress the other two, the
Republioue and Eeenement, dissuaded their
readers from any violent remedy. tits true
the. first named had great power among the
nopular masses, more indeed than both its
fellow victims, but yet it could hardly out
weigh or equal the united influence of all
the other organs of Socialism and Democra
cy. From all these facts our conclusion is
as it has been from the first, that the People
will not be driven into other than moral
combat in which they are sure to prove vic
torious. Still the next fortnight may bring
us news Of a deadly struggle in the streets
Of Paris. At such times large part is evel
PLAYED by what is apparently the merest &C
eident and the strongest calculations of prob
ability be falsifsd by events in themselve
of no value or importance.
At any rate no attack upon the Govern
ment will take place until after the passag
Of the obnoxious bill. The fate of that bill
in the Assembly cannot be predicted Iii
masses, it win be by close party vote. |
is supported by the orleanists, the Legitl
mists, and the Bonapartists; the Socialists
Democrats and moderate Republicans all op
pose il; Lamartine, Cavaignac, Gustsve d
beaumont Dufaure must as we judge b.
the declarations made by some of them, yOt
on this question along with Sue and d
Flotte. The Socialists and MOderates to
.,e.ber number some three hundred Repre-