Staunton spectator, and general advertiser. [volume] (Staunton, Va.) 183?-1849, 1848-11-29

LoxpoN, October 80. lS4S.

LONDON, October ~, lS4S.
The approaching election Of the first President
Of the French Republic excites much interest," since
upon its resu!, will in great measure, depend the
immediate and proximate future history and coudi-
ton Of France. The day Of the election is fixed for
the 10Th of December, notwithstanding the opposi-
tion of the clubs of tho Rue de Poic,iers the ns,i-
tutc, and the Palais Royal. There was very full
house when the day Of election was determined up
on Sl9 members being present Of whom 5S7
ted for the 10Th of December, and only 232 for a
further post ponement.
An erroneous idea has been industTousy dissem-
mated that Gen. Cavaignac and the existing 60
vern,nent Of France have monnrchical tendencies,
and this has been strengthened by tho late changes
which have been made in the administration. On
the contrary, Cavaignac, son of an old Convention
alist educated by Republican mother, and brother
to the celebrated journalist, Godfrey Cavaignac, is
firm in his extreme liberal principles. lie and his
friend Marrast have leaned on tho monarchi-
zeal AUCTIONS for defence only, from necessity, and TO
guard themselves from tho violent and visionary
plots of the Red Republicans. They would as
soon put down Carlist, an Orleans, Borna-
parte movement, as they would Communist
Socialist one.
The Carlist faction is wretchedly incapable
and unmpor,ant party, except in the number of
voters which i, could command for its Presidential
candidate should it bring forward one. This pow
or they derive, in the provinces, from having pro-
missed the peasan,ry exemption from taxation, the
Of the Prince, and the easy acquisition of property;
all this the French peasant believes, and cries,
'Vive Henry W" The workmen in the towns
IccolIect the bigolry and tasehood Of the whole
Bourbon race, and fling back acknowledgements with
disdan. These workmen oil either Social
ss,s or Republicans. The Orleansts work Who'll
ly in the dark: they have party on, Of the class
of public men. There is no Orleans loyalty in
France. Their nominee for the Presidency will
recove very small number of votes The Bona
partist party is numerous, active, and powerful
The restoration Of the Empire of the Napoleon dy-
nls.y is To them Curious dream, which they
hoee 10 realize. The enthusiasm and ardor Of this
faction is inconccivable The gories and splendor
of the Imperial Court are sighed for. The number
of families who would take lead III any move
nient to restore il, is very great.
There are in France about nine millions of cleo
tors. OF these, it is probable, that between three
and four millions are at present Republicans, but
this includes the Socialists. They are divided into
three classes, Mudcrates, Extremes, and Socialists
The remainder are Monarchists who would proba-
bly, concentrate their power upon any candidate,
Carllst, Orleanist, Bonaparst, who would be
likely TO succeed. Ii an election were 10 take place
Immediately it is not probable that any candidate
would obtain n mGjority of the whole. This emer-
gency has been provided for No doubt Louis Ma
poleon would obtain the highest number Of votes
but If the five highest come to the chamber there
is every probability tina, Cavaignac would be e.
lected, with Marrast as Vice President This
would put an end to all moDarchcal hopes, for
time at least II is probable that tho votes would
be, proportionally, os follows:
Red Republican and Communist candidate, 1000 900
Mode rate and Governmental, 900, 900
Carlist and Orleanst, 1900 900
Bonaparst, 100000
THEIR's party would probably carry to whom
socver he might choose TO transfer it, 1000, 900
Every week will alter This calculation, and prin-
.eipally in the dimnUon Of the Bona parists which
will be chiefly caused by the impruder &c and weak
of the who is their rayng pont, and no
minal head. Strange TO say that the immediate
deslines OF France closely identified with such
man. lie may prove, however, only The idol of
the hour or, at most, nine days. wonder, and then
sink into oblivion or he may become a very dan
gerops parsonage, overthrow the Republic, and be-
come tie first, but certainly only very temporary
occupier of an Imperial throne. Late elections have
shown how very potent The name Of his uncle is
vet with the masses Of the people.