The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1848-09-18
RATHBUN's HOTEL, New YORK,
September 16, 1S4S.

The Presidency-The Free Soil Movement in the North
The Aspect Of the Prospect in Pennsylpania and
New Jersey, and in the General Result
We attended the late State Convention Of the
Stree sellers" at Reading in Pennsylvania and this
evening have returned from the New Jersey State
Convention for Van Buren, and Adams, held at Tren-
ton, to-day.
To dspassionats and impartial spectator-to a
locker on discardng all party predictions ncon-
ssent with his position OF armed neutrality before the
public, We have been led to the conclusion that the
balance Of power in the North, and perhaps in tn
election, is in the hands of the free soil party.
From the materials Of the convention at Reading
from the spirit Of zeal and enthusiasm
from the fact that Mr.. Van Buren, has in Pennsyl
vania many personal friends among the Germans
who regard his rejection at Baltimore usurpa-
tion-from the reason that many outside politicians
looking to the utmatum Of Office will join in, this
Tree sell enterprise, should not be surprised il
This new party were to poll, on the eth of No
venber thirty thousand votes for Van Buren, and
Adams. One OF the most intelligent Of the conven-
uon calculates upon not iess than 10000. But,
semipg that they will give an aggregate of 80 OOO
what is the probable subtraction that will be made
from the other Two parties in the contest The
gates TO the convention without exception, spoke
as democrats and stranger would have considered
that the wings had no participation in it. They spoke
il they expected their support from the ranks of
Cass and Butler and the leading spirits the
ton were old jackson and Van Buren, men From
their estimates Of the strength of the free soers in va
rious parts OF the State making wide allowance for
probable we are induced to set down
Their vote In November, at so 000-it may be much
mole Tor the idea appears to be taking hold like
the dry grass but let us assume it to be 3OOOO-of
This number, we will suppose that there are S 900
hunbers who are to man in favor offree coil and are
opposed TO your men Of but who, heretofore act
deduction from the wbig party We expect also that
there are 5000 wing aboiitionsts and indignant Clay
making clear deduction from the whig strength. OF
votes-leavpg 20 900 for assertions from and
Butler ora clear deficit of 10 600 votes We aware
tco that many democrats had committed themselves to
Gen. Taylor. before the whig convention Doubtless
portion Of them will hold first that we do not re-
gard the popularity Of Gen. Cass as likely to poll
larger proportonate vote against he wings AS than
do MIR Polk in a. Ergo, upon these data General
Cass in the State Of In this estimate we
have allowed the free soil ticket" two to of their
vote to be taken from the democratic strength 1t
just likely that the ratio will be three or four to
and 10 this extent diminishing the prospects Of Gen.
Cas-. In one word while hold the issue uncertain
in the keystone commonwealth should express as
our apprehe that the free soil vote will SO far sub
tract from the strength of Gen Cass to leave him
in the vocatve, and give the State to TAYLOR
We believe the object Of the free soil movement In
Pennsylvania is not much to elect Van Buren, as to
defeat Cass and that hence they will mainly direct
their operations to catch such struggling locofocos
may be itching for excuse to repudiate the Balt
more nominee. while they sure to bring all the
hopeessly Unaffected Of all factions into the common
cause.
The convention at New Jersey was comparativelv n
colo sIsr There was quite a large, and indeed an
unusual gathering for Trenton, to hear John Van Bu-
but there enthusiasm We suppose the
ticket will draw, from the Quaker wings in New Jer-
sey and the memorable Clay men, q vote sufficient to
overcome the loss from the democracy, and notwith-
standing the apparent popularity of Gen Taylor to
leave the State IL doubt between the Baltimore and
Philadelphia tickets.
John Van Buren, sets down the State of New York
as certain to 60 for the Buffalo nominee and consi.
deripg the IRENE dobe mstiny in the wing camp this
expectation is by no means absurdi.y.
Looking for 9 n oment at the general complexion of
the csnyss, find the following calculation as one
OF II most impartial among the numerous estimates
of the party presses Of the day This estimate was
made before the rrupon Of the free sellers into Penn
syvana and before they had given any decided symp-
toms Of alarm outside of New York. We take il from
a wing paper:-
loyT 1,or U,rC n.