The daily crescent. [volume] ([New Orleans, La.]) 1848-1851, 1848-11-09


OF Major Noah is universally known as one Of
the shrewdest political calcuators in the Union
He has lately been making some speculations upon
the probable result in the State of New York, and
the conclusions he comes to differ widely from those
of most persons of both parties As the election is
now over, we can see no improperly in giving his
views He says
The full vote of this state will be polled. saw
100000 and upwards. 1.-THE detection Of the whig
party is to any extent, Mr. Van Burens vote may
nearly equal that of General Taylor's. Heretofore
the wing party has come down to the Cayuga bridge
with 25,0O0 majority in fair canvass with its OPP
ponens-the great western district was always good
for that amount; but il must be reeoected that
that district contained the essence of the abolition
free SOIL and anti-masonic vote Now il Mr. Van
Buren, cuts in seriously upon that vote General
Taylor and himself may come down to the bridge
neck and neck. He NAV also TAKE the anti-renfers
in the middle district This again partially cuts in
upon the wings The northern dstrict-Rensse-
laer Washington, st. Lawrence, and the counties
which gave heavy wing maiorhes-will be raced
by the free soil vote. In every county Of the state
Mr.. Van Buren, will cut into the wing ranks, not
the democratic. The barnburners stand by him
only in hopes Of giving him a vote which may carry
the election into the House. Cass will go out Of
the old southern district 5000 ahead and he will
poll the full democratic vote in every county, de-
Quoting the loss from the barnburners His vote in
Westchester, Putnam, Orange, and Rockland, will
be strong, and he will have in Dutchess and Column
bia very respectable vote, though they are wing
counties
There is great difficulty in dividing the vote
among the candidates with anything like accuracy
amidst so many peculiar and conflicting interests
But the antwar wing vote, the recIsant Clay vote,
the absence Of any extraordinary enthusiasm in
favor Of the General, WING and abolition opposition
10 him on account of being southern man and
savehoder--this combined force taken from him
and given to Van Buren,, will, in our view Of the
canvass, place the Taylor and Van Buren, vote
nearly equal that is TO say, dividing 300 0O0 be-
tween them, leaving the balance Of 500 600 to Cass
General Cass's chance in this forlorn state is by
means so desperate Should the vote be as close
we believe il will be between General Taylor and
Mr. Van Buren,, General Cass has still chance OF
carrying it but if Mr.. Van Buren, runs at the head
Of the ticket General Taylor loses the vote Of the
state--oses the electon-and Mr.. Van Buren, car
ries only the State Of New York, and consequently
Cas- is elected.
These may be considered strange but not improb-
able results. At all events one singular fact has
not occupied public attention The Buffalo free
soil men have no electoral ticket Of their own-they
have adopted Mr. Van Buren's barnburner ticket
made at Utica; and if that ticket is elected the
honest aboIitionsts and eesoilers who have snbst-
tuted Mr. Van Buren, for one Of their own tried can
didates, may rely upon what we now assure them
they are 10 be sold That ticket votes for General
Taylor and rot Mr. Van Buren,, should The Gene
raj require this state TO his election. The
preminarIes are all arranged. John Van Buren,
understands them.