New-York daily tribune. [volume] (New-York [N.Y.]) 1842-1866, 1848-10-30
THE PROGRESS OF EUROPE
France IMPROVING no viii be Pre-identt-
Cavaignnc bargaining with Thiers-The
German observation-disclosures taking the
Lend-Turkish Bar barities on the Danube.
NJ. Corras,,crderce "A The Triff,re

also in regard 70 all other weiehiy questions at
tanning gradual daylight and definite solution is at
least possible
First Of all. the National Assembly by An enormous
majority has decided in favor OF the election Of the
President Of the Republic by the whos nation through
the means of direct and universal franchise. Then
Louis Napoleon the little nephew Of the great man has
given himself such a box the ear that his csndi-
dateship is no longer 20 be feared. The smsoe young
man has spoken and in manner stupid 80 awk
ward and devoid Of all talent that the Assembly burst
into a roar Of laughter, when Antoine Thoure, said :
Alter / have heard Citizen Bonspsrte, J think nay
amendment that all those families who have once
regned in France be excluded from the Presidency
uanecessary and withdraw IT." more terrible irony
more bitter scorn have never heard In the eye Of
the intelligent part Of the nation, Louis Napoleon has
played bis r5e 70 the end 1t possible that the igno-
rant country peasants and the common soldery OF the
army may give him their votes in the belief that they
voting Tor the great Napoleon whom they think Is
not dead but still captive at ~ Heens-out President
OF the French Republic Louis Napoleon will not be
and should the blindness Of the masses even give him
the majority his choice and his resignation would pro
baby take place and the same day. This pufed
up medocrity as bis followers themselves style him
their confidential conversations has fallen under the
curse Of having been laughed st-snd you know that
ridicue kills in France.
The chances OF the Presidential Election may be pre-
dicted IN about the following order The candidates
whose proposal will be attended with some conse-
quences are CAvAeNAc LOUIS BoNAPARTE, TRIERs
LEDRU.BoLLrN and LAMARTINE. In addition to those
considerable number Of scattering votes will be gwen
for d. JoINvmLE, RAsPAIL the Duke Of BoRDEAuX&c
The population of France amounts 10 about y millions
Of which II millions Of the feminine gender,
millions of children. old men, persons absent or in
capable &c Taking away these there remain II mil
lions of vOtes-about e'gh millions of whom will take
part in the election Since the Constitution pre-
scrbes that the President must have an absolute ma
iority OF all the otes-the half -l-he must have 1t
least four millions. But from the many splits in the
popular preferences, the above names show, II is
almost certain that none of the candidates will obtain
this absolute majority and in that the National As
sembly will chose the President from the three cand
dates who have the largest number OF voes-hese three
will be Csvaiguac Louis Bonspsrte and Theirs. The
National Assembly will at once set Bonaparte aside and
the principal struggle will at take place between
Cavaignsc and Theirs.
Now in order to obtain a portion of its support Ca
yaignac has commenced negotiations with the Right,
for the purpose of strengthening his Ministry by their
assistance and appears TO be settled thing that Du'
fsure Vvien General Bedeau, and perhaps also CONN
(an belonging 10 the Theirs Barrot party) will have
places in the Cabinet Theirs, who does not conceal
how difficult station be would have, President OF
the Republic on account OF his antecedents, and how
necessary II will be- ia the first years of the Republic
10 have General at the head of the nation appears in
cned to make a transaction and thus Cavaignac VIII
probably be the President of the Republic, propose
Theirs ms IicePresidenf and form his Ministry from
the Right and Moderate Left This arrangement oil the
coming future OF France would be the best and in every
respect tranquilizing one.
But the next difficult question which appears TO be
the Mediation and the psccston of Italy must also be
solved not through the arts of diplomacy, but the
force of circumstances In Austria, where Jelschch
was celebrating whether b. realize the Reacuonsry
plans Of the CamGril0 10 crush the Hungarians and
bring them under the yoke and then to march against
Vienna in order to suppress the Democracy there win
his Crostan bands new Revolution has broken out
which has resulted in the victory OF the People the
Digit Of the Emperor, and the lynchng OF Laiour
Minister of War. In fact it was announced 10 Berlin
ON the 9th that the Austrian Parliament in Vienna had
proclaimed Republic on the 9Th send you the isi
est German papers that you may judge for yourself OF
the vast importance of this event
Under all these circumstances you will easily com
prehend that the GERMAN REVOLUTION has now for
the first time commenced in earnest. These occurren
ces in Vienna-ths oyerpowering victory OF the people
over an army of 30 900 men, this combat of the students
citizens and sborers against 40 cannons which for q
hours poured out an ncessant hail OF grape shot upon
the city-win create tremendous rebound throughout
all Germany and probably bring about important con
sequences In Berlin, on the 9TH the public WAS seri
ousy moved and the general feeling was one OF high
excitement King Frederic William can now happily
say that he has finally entered into the path OF conces
sion accommodating himself 10 the majority OF the Ma
tonsl Assembly and has begun TO reign as Consult
t,onal King only If the Ministry of Hsnsemann were
st At the rudder when the news from Nlenns arrived
the Prus.isn throne would hsve been overturned in
less than twenty four hours. At present when the
people have but ght cause for dspeasure II is posi-
bic thata transaction may take place in fact II the
King properly understands and carries out his new
part Prussia after Austria has fallen into ruins and Is
TINS set se NAV stand al the head of German affairs
The Parliament in Frankfort, which is growing more
and more resconsry will have had it, day for on
the 27th inst the delegates of 81 the Opposition portion
OF the dislodgsd civil and Judicial Assemblies OF Ger
many will meet in Berlin, 10 form General Democrsne
Congress. whose nrst resolve Will be that the Parhs
ment In Frankfort has not fulfilled its msslon-tha'
no longer represents the majority OF the German PEG
pe-tha il must therefore be dis'ol5ed aud new Ns'
tiona Parliament summoned to meet in Berlin
The Prussisn Cabinet tired of the open snd secret
hostility of the Frankfort Parliament TO Prussis, sp
pears coveriy TO favor this Congress, and hopes oy
means Of its establishment 10 play the supremacy over
al Germany into the hands OF Prussia Man proposes
aud God dsposes says the old proverb affairs IN in'
Sc may turn out differently from the general expec'
tston and stand by the declaration ths GERMAN Ne
rotation has H0r commenced and oil a~d mnS lead 70
Rspsblio.
Italy will probsbly make use of the laiest occur
renees in Vienna and strike blow In Turin the Pro
sress party is at the helm al the sdepts OF the
unity OF Italy assembled in Turin, and Charles
Albert can only keep his crown by commencing anew
the with Austria and battling for the independence
OF Italy The sdvices from venns will fall upon the
Italians like lightning upon powder magazine. and
probably bring shout an explosion. Since Jellscheh
has been deposed by the new Austrian Ministry and
Radet.ky who until the present time has received his
commands direct from the Emperor. is placed
under the guidance Of the Ministry-snce farther in
i - -.