The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1846-02-01
NEW YORK HERALD.
New York, sunday, February I, 1916.
State OF Parties IN Coneress-Probabie
Issue or Events.


pose and also through several other private sources
and letters from persons well acquainted with the
state Of parties IN Congress, the probable result OF
the present condition OF things in the capitol, re-
CARDS the foreign policy of this country, and also
the prospect relative TO the succession 10 the presi
dency in 1873
During the present session, both houses OF Con-
gress have been principally occupied in sklrmIshlng
or preliminary debates our foreign policy on tne
Oregon controversy, or on the affairs OF Mexico
These debates have terminated IN no distinct VOC
but merely in approaching what may be the prooaoie
sentments az Congress on the issues involved, par
tcularly in respect to the Oregon question several
rreI,niosrv votes have peer taken, expressive OF
- ss,,,,,.n,s spcb az thar on General Cass's
motion ON the subject OF nqlring into the military
md naval resources OF the country, which seemed
>, ha ratbsr wsrlke in the result, until that was
.E,c.d bv the votes on the motions of Senator Al
Ian which assumed different complexion. The
d.ba,es on these motions were very warm, and very
wartke and very curious; but the speeches were
nrincinal!y addressed TO what call " Buncombe,"
or IA other words, were merely intended TO operate
on tie floating portion Of the population, and TO
make capital Tor the elections. Yet beneath this
turbulent ocean OF words, there has been great
deal Of dis met and positive arrangements made
among the parties at Washington, v hich will have
mos, important bearing our foreign and domestic
policy as well other measures, and which are
all mixed up with the succession to the presidency.
We mean now to give programme OF the state OF
Thugs as Indicated by facts that have come to the
knowledge four correspondents;and communicated
TO Us.
The parties in Congress may be divided into
three sections, the wings forming very important
body the democrats the other most important body
OF men, having also the rens of government in their
hands; aud, in addition to these two partles there
distinct party, which may be called the "indepen-
dents" being those members who are principally at
ached TO the fortunes of John c. Calhoun During the
asttwo months, the wings after great many consul
taons have very generally agreed among their lead
ers TO bring forward for the next Presidency Winfield
Scott, Major General OF the United States Army
There has been an effort made among them, TO
make Judge M Lean the candidate of that party
but the effort died, and Was annued by the supposed
greater popularity and availability OF General Scott
o. the other hand, the democrats, those attached
TO the fortunes Of the administration, divided
into number OF separate Presidential ciiques,
comprehended under the names Of Wright, Benton,
Cass, Walker, Buchanan, Dallas and perhaps some
others Mr.. Polk, the present chief magistrate, from
his Official position, if necessity should require it,
will be the candidate of his party, although he must
OF course deny at present that he has any wish for
the office again. Lastly, the independents who may
be called the free trade" party, the Girondists OF
the present day, the j.ste miiels, look John C.
Calhoun as their leader, and mean to support him
for the next presidency all hazards, without re-
spect TO conventions or nominations from any quar-
Tna dafpr m, uati0 nj he nd dent
the country, is great and important fact, possess
ing great control the next presidency, and, per-
haps, decisive of the particular result.
The strength of these three parties In Congress
varies very much. In the Senate, the independents
or friends of Mr. Calhoun, can give majority to
either the democrats or wings as they list. They
number some six eight votes. In the House
these balance Of powermen have not yet sufficient
iy revealed their strength to enable any one to de-
termine what influence they possess. 1t is probable
however, that the democrats or exclusive supporters
of the administration, have small majority in the
House
The influence OF these private and secret arrange
ments among the leading politicians at Washington,
will be very great on the issues of our foreign and
domestic policy, comprehending the Oregon con-
troyersy, the Sub Treasury the Tariff, and perhaps
w
what we have seen, and what we know First, that
no absolute "notice' relative to the Oregon ques-
ton, will pass the Senate and therefore il cannot
get the sanction OF both houses. The passing OF
such notice cannot be accomplished at the prese mt
session, because the independents, or friends of
Mr. Cslhoun-being friendly TO negotiation will be
a sufficient check to the war party the Senate
even il the war party in the House have large
Al. n 10 hlv hail iudoip UF
the same data, that-Secondiy, a modification of
he tariff of 1912 will take place by union of the
democrats and independents in the two houses !;
and also Thirdly and lastly. that the MAORI
" will be able pass the SubTreasury bill proposed
by the President In his late message.
These the most accurate conectures that we
can now form OF the present state of parties and
their results in Congress- The most recent intelli.
gence of the probable return OF Mr. Calhoun to the
State Department, will vary much these results;
but rather give strength 10 the presumption that the
Oregon question will be settled by negotiation, and
the Tariff modified, and the Sub Treasury bill pass
ed. The results, thus far unexpected, at the be-
ginning Of the session OF Congress, have, in inca
sure, been brought about by the independent posi-
tion and moral power exhibited by Mr.. Calhoun and
his friends, in resisting and opposing all those who
supported ultra measures relative to our relations
with Great Britain.
The probable prospect therefore. OF the present
state of things in Washington is highly favorable to
"a peaceable termination of our difficulties with Eng
land-of the success of liberal principles in com.
merce and currency, and the probable triumph OF
the measures brought forward by Mr.. Polk. How
The question of the next Presidency may be, will be
matter OF speculation hereafter.
INTELLIGENCE FROM HAYTr.-Our ,advices from
Port au Prince are to the 18th instant They are
d some importance.
The difficulties between the Spanish and Hayden
parts Of the Island remain unchanged Both par
ties were making extensive preparations tor final