The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1845-02-10
NEW YORK HERALD.
The Philosophy of Poilties-statistics OF the
Recent PresIdentIn ELECTION.

State IN the Unlon a. The recent Presidential cleo
ton, with the exception of South Carolina, hich
votes by the Legislature. These tables, we be-
lieve, present the only accurate statement OF the
facts that has yet been published Some time ago
the Journal of Commerce, and another of our con-
temporaries, published something similar; but
their statements were essentially incorrect, for the
most part unofficial, defective in the details, and
altogether in some important particulars
The tables which we now publish, are nearly all
official, and all in detail. They give body of al-
thentc data in reference the great movements of
popular government in this country which will fur
nsh basis for all speculations on the philosophy of
politics hereafter. In fact, during the last ten
years, since We commenced the existence of this
journal, We have not only given new view, and
new mode OF thinking and specializing, and philo-
sophlsng on financial, moral, and religious affairs,
but It is now admitted on all hands that our views
In politics have been of more accurate and COM
-nehsive character than those of any other jour
nal existing in this country; and that, in fact, we
have brought into existence new era and a new
science in politics independent of the politicians or
the partizans of any set of candidates.
II will be recollected by many of our readers
that previous to the election of $780, when the
ddates OF the two great parties were placed in the
field, we commenced system OF philosophising
on the facts and statistics of politics, and of draw
ing reasonable conclusions from the movements
developed all over the country, which enabled us
to predict beyond the possibility of doubt, the
election of General Harrison in that year. Months
before that contest was decided, we showed from
the facts then in existence that General Harrison
would be elected by most overwhelming MAORI
ty, varying only in small degree from one hun
dred thousand votes, and this prediction veri-
fed even beyond its extent by the subsequent
election In 1874 it is still fresher in the minds OF
our readers, from similar mode of viewing philo-
sophicaly and comprehensivelv the political events
of that year, we dew certain conclusions from
them, which indicated, beyond the possible
ty Of doubt, that MIR. Polk would be elect
ed in opposition to Mr.. Clay, but by one
of the narrowest and smallest majorties ever given
in this country. The event answered the predic
ton with degree of accuracy and exactness that
almost astonished oursef, as it did the public Yet
we pretend to superior sagacity in these matters
nothing but what is the general result of indus
try, carefulness accuracy, imPartiality, and total
independence of all partizan feeling towards any
side. The result of all this ten years study Of po-
litcalstatstics and political philosophy, has esta-
the issue of every presidential election in this
couatry may be reasonably anticipated by every
mind of common sense and common honesty.
In the last election, no one standing aloof from
party preudces and party feelings, could have de-
ceived himself as to the result, if he only partially
looked at the events taking place before his eyes
all over the country, previous to the month of No
vember. The two great parties were marshaed,
Mr. EolL "A
Mr.. Clay on the other. But that contest, which,
had it taken place in the spring of the year, might
have resulted in favor of Mr.. Clay, was by a com.
bnation of disturbing causes, decided by the mar
rowest possible majority in favor of Mr. Polk
These disturbing causes were the abolition move
ment and the " Native'' movement. The aboli-
tionsts organized in the Northern States, under the
agitation produced by some of the Wing members,
and Mr.. John Quincy Adams in particular
during the last four years in Congress, formed par.
ty of sixty thousand voters three-tourths of whom
according to the best calculations, had been wings
This very considerable abstraction from the main
body of Mr. Clay's supporters, would, of itself,
have suficed TO jeopardize his election; but when
there added to that the native" movement
in the great and influential cities of Philadelphia
and New York, which had been fosteled and
in these neighborhoods, the chances against Mr.
Clay became seriously augmented. That "na.
tive" movement created spirit of alarm and
doubt in the minds OF probably four hundred thou.
sand naturalized citizens scattered throughout the
country, and caused another very considerable alb
stracton from the wing ranks, to the detriment Of
Mr.. Clay, and in favor OF Mr.. Polk. These dis
turbing causes had their origin in the violence, folly
etu of voft ha xuhi he, ali IN
reference to Southern institutions, in the Congress
of the United States, and in their lliberal and
Justihable prejudices, and anti-American feeling
towards certain classes of their fellow-citizens.
Yetwe believe, judging from the present position
of affairs and looking upon the strange but no
unexpected division which has taken place between
the Northern and Southern democracy, that tn
elements of counter revolution are now at wor
throughout this Union, which will result in mos
extraordinary triumph to the wings, or oppositio
party, in lS4S. The wings as party are united
and form more compact mass than the demo
Gratis. The election of Mr.. Polk was produced b
an accidental union of the different sections Q
the democracy during the last year-an acciden
that seems to be very far from taking place aga
for some years to come. If the wings understan
their true position-do nothing to give strength O
permanence to those two disturbing elements
which injured them so materially in the late cleo
tion-we mean the abolition and " native" move
ments-they can easily overcome those obstacle
which may oppose them hereafter, and in 1874
come into the field with union and physics
force capable of overcoming all difficulties, an
defeating with ease disunited and divided party
as the democrats must be long before that time
The struggle at present in the democratic party
for the spois and the succession. Mr.. Polk wi
have more trouble in his position between thes
two factions, than even Mr.. Tyler had between tn
struggles OF the wings and democrats, in the extr
session of Congress, and the inevitable result wi
be division and separation of these two section
OF the democracy, which will give the wings a
easy victory in lS4S.
These are thevlews which occur to us in lookin
~ tho last eIaotion-af he nraeant ato,a ~ .L.-