The New York herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1840-1920, 1844-06-11

VI all sciences IN this age OF philosophy ana
figures, that of political arithmetic is the most haz-
ardous and uncertain The utmost that can be
effected is approach to accuracy IN all such CAL
culatons that which we present. The result at
which the philosopher arrives Is remarkable enough,
| claiming majority of not less than 10000 Tor Mr.
Clay in this State larger majority, we believe,
than it gave to General Harrison, with all the ad-
vantages in his favor and against his opponent.
There is, it must be admitted, great deal of doubt
and hestancy the part of many to the strength
which the wings may be able to muster in this
State. The abandonment of Mr.. Van Buren, is
calculated upon very largely by the Wings, as being
decidedly in their favor, to the extent of many
thousands of votes. Now, the most active and
Jealous of the friends of Mr.. Van Buren, positively
maintain that such will not be the at all and
that their party will present greater degree of unity
under the nomination of Mr. Polk, than it would
under any other circumstances.
One of the most remarkatl lie items in the calcu-
aton of Mr.. Philosopher Greeley, is that which
gives to Mr.. Clay majority of two thousand in
this city, without the slightest hesitation on the
part of the arihmetican. Now, to any man at all
acquainted with the politics of this city, it must be
evident that this is great mistake We think it
extremely doubtful whether Mr. Clay will get a
majority at all in this city. Such changes are in
progress, and the events of the next few months
may alter the complexion of the case, that it is
utterly impossible to predict the character of the
result. tits just as likely that Mr.. Polk will carry
majority, as that Mr.. Clay will gain one. Then,
again, what influence and what effect may not the
Native American association here, have upon the
result Of the Presidential election 1t is not pro-
bable that they will give up their organization, and
abandon the field in the fall and if they should
run, strange results may take place in the election
here. At all events, although the chances are de-
cdedly in favor of Mr.. Clay, matters stand
in this city, yet would advise all his friends to
beware how they bet on maorities. 1t is an
| extremely doubtful and hazardous contest, and
there is probability that either of the candidates
will carry the State of New York by majority of
20, 0OO-nor of Is, 0OO-nOr even of lO,000-perhaps
not by greater one than 5000 throughout the
State 1t is going to be a warmer fight than many
imagine.
This contest, too, will be conducted on mea-
sures and principles, rather than on men. The
hack politicians, and newspaper editors of the two
parties are talking, to be sure-are talking great
deal about "duelling," and "blood," and
gambling" and attributng all these offences to
both candidates; but the great mass of the people
have become disguised with that kind of election
eerng, and decide according to the dictates of
common sense and reason on the merits of the
principles represented by Mr.. Clay and Mr. Polk
respectively.
1t is utterly disgracefu observe the presses on
both sides, teeming with personavituperation, and
atrocious private sander-about card playing, and
duelling, and other gross offences. And this trash
too, is chiefly poured forth in the columns of the
papers that pretend to be excessively pure, and re-
spectacle, and moral, and high toned-in this case,
as in others, hypocrisy going along with the
greatest disregard of the laws of decency and
morality.