Morning herald. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1837-1840, 1840-09-08

We. Maj. 400 W. Maj. 1910 $3.50
II seems to be admitted on all hands, that New
York is to be the battle field Of the great November
contest Without this State, the friends Of Mr..
Van Buren, cannot calculate upon successfully can
not even elect him paper; with New York, his
reelection may be considered as absolutely certain
Fer, il the Tippecanoe party cannot maintain their
ascendency here, they cannot hope for success in
any the other States, where the result is looked
upon as at all doubtful We assume it therefore, as
conceded settled, that whoever receives the forty
two votes of New York, will be the next President
In order then to determine what the result will be-
it is only necessary to ascertain the political charac
ter of New York This must necessarily be conjec-
tura TO certain extent; but, taking the result OF
the last election, and with copious means Of
learning the present condition Of parties we can ar
rive at conclusion satisfactory to all except those
whose hopes are disappointed by the result.
In making our estimate. We have placed the ma
ioritie, in the strong Wing counties, at the very
minimum. and we have adopted the same course,
With one or two exceptions, in the counties where
the Democrats were anticipating large majorities.
In Suffolk as our information leads ~ ts believe,
the wings will make considerable gain upon their
,pponents, and we shsuld not be surprised IL the
Democratic majority did not exceed 600. We re
gard the Van Buren, estimate or Madison, as entire
Iy preposterous. Oar Information rs derived from
the most reliable sources. and regard our figures
as extremely liberal TO the Democrats As 20 this
city the Wing estimate j. low enough. The dele
gate. from other parts Of the state better polt
clans and have better means Of Information, al
though in certain counties, they have swelled their
maores unreasonably, and in no other instance has
such an absurd calculation been presented.
IN our estimate, we have given the Harrison tick
ct a very small majority, when the immesse vote Of
thu state is taken into consideration. We base the
calculation principally upon the strength OF parties,
as indicated at the last elections and without max
ing any allowance for the influence of elections in
adjacent states That the Harrison ticket will have
majority, we nothing to hang a doubt upon.
The immense Wing gain in Vermont cannot fail to
affect the counties lying along her border; and II
the causes which have wrought such a tremendous
shange among the Green Mountains, are equally po-
tent elsewhere the result OF the elections in Geer-
ri.. PENNSYLVANIA, Maryland, and Ohio, all Of which
take place in October. may far inspire the Wing.
with fresh real, and discourage the Democrats. a.
to swell Gen. Harrisons majority even up to th'
estimate Of the Wing convention
The all-importsnt feature IN the election m thu
state is the choice Of presidential electors The I'm
portsnce Of the great contest absorbs the interes
which Is usually felt IN the choice OF state oheers
SO little heed given TO this minor object and -
engrossing is the question of the Presidency, tina
the Democrats have voluntarily. and without thu
least apparent necessity, disarmcd themselves o
their most formidable weapon against the state adj
ministratiou At no other point could an attacl
have been made with half the effect, as upon thu
whig policy Of internal Improvement. Here the,
arr vulnerable. and here we looked TO tn
-hole force Of the democratic battery directed. Blu
instead Of availipg themselves with their usual tao
and address. Of the Encouragement and corruPtio
ofthe wings. they sealed their own mouths eieetu
Ally. by oorr mating MIR Bcuek tor GoveTnor-
ma, gAo was yell kposs y he Canal Board As N