Richmond enquirer. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1815-1867, 1831-06-17
DEATH OF ADAMS & yEFFERGON.
Ls vrQS neat pas tsujeuys vy~oisr,nbIobl..

boLIEAU
when II was announced that the death Of Inomos
jefferson had occurred on IN, fourth of July, 1896, At
the time when the whole American people we're en-
ssg.sd' u celebrating the Jubilee Of their independence,
IN the sonsunma,ion Of which be had ssted 90 dis,in.
gui'hed a part, We were struck with wonder at the ex.
iraofdinary coincideuse. But when the iu,slis eoce
"on arrived, that bic illustrious coll esgue
John dddy9s, had died on the same dav. our as,oni.h.
ment knew no bounds. Every one sop.iis,ed The con.
corrence OF thsse two events, each IN | seif SO imuro.
babe, as a prodigy Almost miraculous, aud uo,biua bu,
an amount Of evidence absolutely ir. esIs,ibl, e.,uId havs
convinced US OF re truth.
Bui while every one san thus feel that hi, even,
vas ia 'ne nighes' degree improbable, we have not seen
any auemp' male 10 ss,imste, 10 numbers, the amorn,
oil tbi' imProoaoiihys Yet The problem is as cap able OF
solution as any other 10 the doctrine Of chances; and a,
we are sure that IL sann,, be considered destitute Of
interest," we shali now presen, 1t 10 our readers. II may
Al the time Of the declaration of Independence wb,,
~a,' the probability that Adams and Jefferson should
both die on the celebration Of the jubilee. fifty years
thereafefi
The following are tho data for solving ,bs m.
blem - ~
John Adams was born on The 10 b Of O.,., 1885. con.
'equen,iy, on the 4 b Of July, f776. no was 4O.7 wears
wac 80 Z years old.
According to the Chester Table of Mortality. given
10 me Library OF Useful Knowledge, at the end Of
tee Treatise on Probsbii y, out Of 10 600 individuals
boro,
The number living at 4o.7 years, 4, 44e5
9W7 ls5
9IT lAh
Thomas Jef,rson was born on the second Of Apr;,
lIi3 consequently, on Tho fourth OF July l776, he was
50 Ia years old; aud on tho day OF his desth, he was
SO IA years old.
BY the Chester tables, out of 10 600 born.
Tho number living a, 33 Ia years, il 1919
S3l4 493
S4l4 4S6
Now the probasili y, on the day Of the declaration
Independence, that Adams would We a, least 6(tv
years, 10 by the above data, -
Arrived at the ags of sO.7. the probability tina, he
would live a, least one year longer,i is
one year longer, is l. I55 80
1855 l5
Hence the probability, hathe would live hity ye.r,.
die with N III. following year. rs equal 10 the pro.
ooe' ei Tho Two Tuner probahi les.
4465 IS5 A465
Now we may reasonably make The assumption, tina,
.he probability Of The dea'h occurring 90 sny one day Of
this year wa' as grea, as on any other, so that the pro.
OF its happening on any specified day. as
the h''t, for irs:anee, b.
365
Hence, finally, we bavs the probabili y tina, Adams
wou d live hf,y years alter the declaration of iodspen.
dsnes' and die on the hr't day Of the toll
owing year 80 100 - - sha, ID. the o dds
are 54324 TO !, against This occurrence.
In he same manner We get the probability OF
1913
Jeff rson's living at least fifty years -
1919
436 ""s'
=; and the probability that he would die within
493 1913
The probability that he would live fly years, and
493 81 81
1910 493 1919
The probability that he would live 6f V years and die
On The first day OF the following wear