Economy of South Sudan

South Sudanbecame the world's newest country and Africa's 55th nation on 9 July 2011. TheSouth Sudanese Civil War, which started in December 2013, undermined economic development achieved since independence, making humanitarian work difficult to conduct within the country. As such, South Sudan is facing economicstagnationand instability in its first 10 years after independence. Moreover, poverty is widespread throughout the country as a result of inter-communal conflict, displacement, and the negative effects of the war in Sudan on the country's oil industry.
The economy of South Sudan is $3.681 billion bygross domestic productas of 2019, being one of the mostoildependent economies in the world, with 98% of government's annual operating budget and 80% of its gross domestic product (GDP) derived from oil,despite being endowed with adequate natural resources. It has a very fertile agricultural land and vast quantities of livestock. The livestock include over 60 million cattle, sheep and goats.Instability, unsatisfactory governance, andcorruptioncontinue to hinder development in South Sudan.
South Sudan is mostly underdeveloped, and one of theleast developed countries; most cities in the country have no electricity or running water, and overall infrastructure is lacking, with only 10,000 km (6,200 mi) ofpaved roads.
South Sudan exports timber to the international market. Some of the states with the best known teak and natural trees for timber areWestern EquatoriaandCentral Equatoriaand some parts of Eastern Equatoria like magwi. There are teak plantations located at Kegulu; the other, oldest planted forest reserves are Kawale, Lijo, Loka West, and Nuni. Western Equatoria timber resources includemvubatrees at Zamoi.
One of the major natural features of South Sudan is theRiver Nilewhose many tributaries have sources in the country. The region also contains many natural resources such aspetroleum,iron ore,copper,chromiumore,zinc,tungsten,mica,silver,goldin Kapoeta area of Eastern Equatoria, andhydropower.The country's economy, as in many other developing countries, is heavily dependent on agriculture. Some of the agricultural produce includecotton, groundnuts (peanuts),sorghum,millet,wheat,gum arabic,sugarcane,cassava(tapioca),mangos,papaya, maize, simsim,bananas,sweet potatoes, andsesame. Solar power could become important with a solar photovoltaic project on 250,000 m2 of land near Juba expected to be operational by late 2020. The project consists of a 20 MWP photovoltaic park, a 35 megawatt-hour battery storage system and an in-house training center.
Prior to independence, South Sudan produced 85% ofSudaneseoil output.The oil revenues according to theComprehensive Peace Agreement(CPA), were to be split equally for the duration of the agreement period.Since South Sudan relies on pipelines,refineries, and port facilities inRed Seastate in North Sudan, the agreement stated that thegovernmentinKhartoumwould receive 50% share of all oil revenues.Oil revenues constitute more than 98% of the government of South Sudan's budget according to the southern government'sMinistry of Finance and Economic Planning, and this has amounted to more than $8 billion in revenue since the signing of the peace agreement.
In recent years, a significant amount of foreign-based oil drilling has begun in South Sudan, raising the land's geopolitical profile. Oil and other mineral resources can be found throughout South Sudan, but the area aroundBentiuis commonly known as being especially rich in oil, whileJonglei,Warrap, andLakeshave potential reserves. During theautonomy yearsfrom 2005 to 2011,Khartoumpartitioned much of Sudan into blocks, with about 85% of the oil coming from the South. Blocks 1, 2, and 4 are controlled by the largest overseas consortium, theGreater Nile Petroleum Operating Company(GNPOC). GNPOC is composed of the following players:China National Petroleum Corporation(CNPC,People's Republic of China), with a 40% stake;Petronas(Malaysia), with 30%;Oil and Natural Gas Corporation(India), with 25%; andSudapetof the central Sudan government with 5%.
Due to Sudan's presence on theUnited States' list ofstate sponsors of terrorismand Khartoum's insistence upon receiving a share of the profit from any oil deal South Sudan conducts internationally, US oil companies cannot do business withlandlockedSouth Sudan. As such, US companies have virtually no presence in the South Sudanese oil sector.
The other producing blocks in the South are blocks 3 and 7 in easternUpper Nilestate. These blocks are controlled byPetrodarwhich is 41% owned byCNPC, 40% byPetronas, 8% by Sudapet, 6% bySinopec Corpand 5% byAl Thani.
Another major block in the South, formerly called Block B by the North Sudanese government, is claimed by several players.TotalofFrancewas awarded the concession for the 90,000 square kilometre block in the 1980s but has since done limited work invoking "force majeure". Various elements of theSPLMhanded out the block or parts thereof to other parties of South Sudan. Several of these pre-Naivasha deals were rejected when the SPLM/A leaderDr. John Garang de Mabiorlost power.
The wealth-sharing section of the CPA states that all agreements signed prior to the CPA would hold; they would not be subject to review by the National Petroleum Commission (NPC), a commission set up by the CPA and composed of both Khartoum and Southerners and co-chaired by both Presidental-Bashirof Khartoum and PresidentKiirof South Sudan. However, the CPA does not specify who could sign those pre-CPA agreements. According to some reports, thePeople's Republic of Chinahas offered to extend a line of credit to South Sudan for several years while an alternative pipeline to theKenyancoast is laid and an export deal is worked out with the Kenyan government, but this scenario is regarded as less likely than continued South Sudanese dependence on Sudaneseinfrastructure. If such a deal were struck, though, and South Sudan began exporting oil from Kenyan ports, the US would become a potential trade partner and South Sudanese oil importer. In the meantime, the South Sudanese government intends to lobby the US to ease restrictions on American companies doing business with Sudan.
South Sudanis rich in agricultural land and has one of the largest populations of pastoralists in the world.However, since 1999, when Sudan first started exporting oil, agricultural production in the country had declined. According to theWorld Bank, the average annual growth rate of the agricultural sector between 2000 and 2008 was only 3.6 percent, which is considerably lower than the 10.8 percent growth rate of the previous decade.The UN Food and Agriculture Agency (FAO) carried out an extensive satellite land cover survey that showed just 4.5 percent of the available land was under cultivation when South Sudan became independent.
South Sudan relies on food imports from neighboring countries, such asUganda,KenyaandSudan. These come at a high transportation cost which, coupled withinflation, has causedfood pricesto rise dramatically in South Sudan.The declining agricultural production and the reliance on expensive foreign food supplies have contributed to a severe food shortage in South Sudan. Around 2.7 million South Sudanese will need food aid in 2012 according to the United Nations' food programme.
The government has begun to address the issue of agriculture and food security. According to Elizabeth Manoa Majok, undersecretary in the Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Investment, the government of South Sudan has made food production a top priority.The Ministry ofAgriculturein South Sudan has announced its goal of boosting food production in South Sudan to two million metric tons per year by 2013.South Sudan hopes to attract agricultural investors fromGulf Arab states,Israel,China, theNetherlandsand fellow African countries in order to increase production of basic food items such as sugar, rice, cereals and oilseeds, livestock as well as cotton.
In June 2011, the vice-president of South Sudan,Riek Machar Teny, announced a plan to mobilize $500 billion of foreign investment in the first five years of independence. Much of this investment would be focused in the agricultural sector, where the government hopes to diversify the economy and provide jobs to the large numbers of unemployed.The FAO has also drawn up a $50 million Interim Assistance Plan (IAP) for the agricultural sector that will build capacity in ministerial and state agricultural extension offices. This includes the establishment of a seed production sector and an urban and peri-urban agriculture component.
Smallholderfarming accounts for 80 percent of the country's cereal production. Unfortunately, these farmers face a number of constraints, due to high transport costs, unavailability of agricultural inputs, and underdeveloped agricultural extension services. Instead of investing resources into developing the kind of agricultural extension services that could help smallholder production, however, the government has chosen to focus on large-scale, private sector-led industrial agricultural schemes as a way to boost food production.
Donor countries promote the idea that industrial farming is the key to improved food security in South Sudan. TheUnited States Agency for International Development(USAID), for example, is working withCitibank, the IFC, theCorporate Council on Africa, and others to help the country market its resources and attract private capital in key sectors, including agriculture.
This investment is intended to stimulate rural development and generate employment opportunities, increase food productivity, provide government institutions with new and sustainable sources of revenue, and help to diversify the economy. There is some concern, however, that a small transnational elite will benefit at the expense of the rural poor if the country's arable land is used to grow food for foreign populations, while simultaneously pushing communities onto increasinglymarginal lands.This could create the potential for more foodinsecurity,instability, social unrest and conflict.
Nina Pedersen, manager ofNorwegian People's Aid(NPA)'s Civil Society Development Project is concerned that in the rush to attract foreign investment for South Sudan not enough attention was paid as to whether the people negotiating the terms really knew the value of the land they were selling.According to the NPA, prior to South Sudan's declaration of Independence, beginning in 2007, private interests sought or secured 5.15 million hectares of land in the agriculture,biofuels,forestry,carbon credit, and ecotourism sectors—equivalent to more than eight percent of South Sudan's total land area.
One of the largest firms involved is the Egyptian private equity firm Citadel Capital, which has leased 259,500 acres for farming. This plantation has provided little local employment, being mostly run byZimbabweans.A Ugandan conglomerate called theMadhvani Grouphas also entered into a preliminary agreement with the government of South Soudan to revitalize a government-owned sugar plantation and processing facility in Mangala Payam. This plantation would cover 10,000 ha of prime riverfront property along theNile, about 70 kilometers north ofJuba. According to the paramount chief in Mangala, the community has not been involved in any of the investment negotiations.
Concerns about foreign exploitation has led organizations such as OI and NPA to urge a moratorium on new land deals until a better framework is established.
For its part, the South Sudan's Land Commission, a task force headed byRobert Ladoin charge of advising the government and drawing up the new policy, is pushing for land administrations at county and sub-county level that are run by community members, including women and tribal elders.
In 2012,The World Bankapproved a four-year, US$38 million investment loan to South Sudan's Ministry of Roads and Bridges to build rural and inter-urban roads and highways.Access to cleanwater in South Sudanis a major challenge for many people.
The nation has sometelecommunicationsservice through operators likeMTN Group(formerly known asInvestcom), but currently lacks the infrastructure to offer high speed Internet connections. In September 2022 South Sudan and Djibouti signed an agreement to lay fibre optic cable from Djibouti to South Sudan’s capital, Juba, via Ethiopia.In March 2015, South Sudan's minister for telecommunications and postal services revealed plans for the government to lay 1,600 kilometers of fiber-optic cable across the country within two years.The government plans to connect this network with undersea cables via existing infrastructure in Uganda and Tanzania.
In 1992, theSudanese Poundreplaced the dinar asSudan's currency. Untila referendum, South Sudan will become to first to use the new currency and will be nicknamed 'the Sudani'.Inaugural Finance MinisterDavid Deng Athorbieannounced the creation of theSouth Sudanese poundto go into effect a week after independence.
The presidents of Kenya and Rwanda invited theAutonomous Government of Southern Sudanto apply for membership upon the independence of South Sudan in 2011,and South Sudan was reportedly an applicant country as of mid-July 2011.By early-October, South Sudan was officially expected to become a member in the future.Analysts suggested that South Sudan's early efforts to integrate infrastructure, includingrail linksand oil pipelines,with systems in Kenya and Uganda indicated intention on the part ofJubato pivot away from dependence onSudanand toward the EAC.Reutersconsidered South Sudan the likeliest candidate for EAC expansion in the short term,and an article in Tanzanian dailyThe Citizenthat reportedEast African Legislative AssemblySpeaker Abdirahin Haithar Abdi said South Sudan was "free to join the EAC" asserted that analysts believe the country will soon become a full member of the regional body.
On 17 September 2011, theDaily Nationquoted a South Sudanese MP as saying that while his government was eager to join the EAC, it would likely delay its membership over concerns that its economy was not sufficiently developed to compete with EAC member states and could become a "dumping ground" for Kenyan, Tanzanian, and Ugandan exports.This was contradicted by PresidentSalva Kiir, who announced South Sudan had officially embarked on the application process one month later.The application was initially deferred by the EAC in December 2012,however incidents with Ugandanboda-bodaoperators in South Sudan have created political tension and may delay the process.
In December 2012, Tanzania officially agreed to South Sudan's bid to join the EAC, clearing the way for the world's newest state to become the regional bloc's sixth member.In May 2013 theEACset aside $82,000 for the admission of South Sudan into the bloc even though admission may not happen until 2016. The process, to start after the EAC Council of Ministers meeting in August 2013, was projected to take at least four years. At the 14th Ordinary Summit held inNairobiin 2012, EAC heads of state approved the verification report that was presented by the Council of Ministers, then directed it to start the negotiation process with South Sudan.
A team was formed to assess South Sudan's bid; however, in April 2014, the nation requested a delay in the admissions process, presumably due toSouth Sudanese Civil War.
South Sudan's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Barnaba Marial Benjamin, claimed publicly in October 2015 that, following evaluations and meetings of a special technical committee in May, June, August, September and October, the committee has recommended that South Sudan be allowed to join the East African Community. Those recommendations, however, had not been officially released to the public. It was reported that South Sudan could be admitted as early as November 2015 when the heads of East African States had their summit meeting.
South Sudan was eventually approved for membership inEast African Communityin March 2016,and formally acceded with the signature of the treaty in April 2016.