Document: NUREG-1555
Document ID: edddea47-82cf-4080-b446-54a1ee9f97cc
Document Type: esrp
Title: FACTORS AFFECTING GROWTH OF DEMAND
Source: NUREG-1555
Source URL: https://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/nuregs/staff/sr1555/initial/
Revision Date: 2007-10
Chapter: 8
Section ID: 8.2.2
CFR Part: 
CFR Title: 

Content:
eviewer should be aware of, and use, industry best practice where possible. Economic and Demographic Trends (1) Analyze the applicant’s estimates of the effects of economic and demographic trends on the applicant’s projected growth of electricity demand in the relevant service area. (2) Obtain or prepare independent forecasts for the economic and demographic variables identified by the applicant as affecting the rate of growth of electricity demand within the relevant service area. (3) Consider additional variables when it appears that they could affect electricity demand growth. Forecasts prepared for service areas other than those to be served by the applicant may be used when in the reviewer’s judgment they are sufficiently similar to provide a meaningful comparison. (4) For each variable used by the applicant, (a) Compare the applicant’s projected growth rates with growth rates developed or obtained by the reviewer. (b) Identify differences. (c) Analyze significant differentials as they contribute either positive or negative effects to the applicant’s forecasted growth rate of electricity demand. (5) Compare the historic growth of these variables with the forecasted growth rates, and identify differences as positive or negative influences on projected electricity demand growth. Energy Efficiency and Substitution(a) October 1999 8.2.2-5 NUREG-1555 (1) Estimate the importance of energy efficiency and substitution in the relevant service area by preparing an estimate of the effect of these factors on projected kilowatt-hour (kWh) sales and peak demand in the relevant service area for the proposed initial year of plant operation (first unit). (a) Contrast this estimate with that of the applicant. (b) Note any significant differences between the two estimates. (c) Calculate the annual compound growth rate in kWh sales and peakload for the last 15 years and compute the increase or decrease in growth rates during the period. (2) Identify those elements that