14-00000 » - ~ .. Po Ad Se 7 a Ge beeen A Cee 7 op THO WALL STREET JO. AL — ome ey’ ne Mendis, Feheuary 7, 2906 = Commodities : ; | ‘Soviet Grain Imports Expected to Continue | ‘Despi te Bi g Plans to Boost Farm Output 7 Markets at a Glance By Rat Vek . Btoff Reporter of Tax Warr. Staset JovnRaL A draatie revision of the Soviet Union's H  agthaee in gelling under way almed at lilt- Ing farsa production dy “improving the lot of . if the peasant. For 1966, Ruscan leaders are de- +  pewdeoee we liberately slowing industnal growth te the beet ary aed 2 ot . 1 | amadlent increase in the pocteur period, while 148 Ithey count on @ sharp upsurge in agriculture 4 ito propel thelr economy forward. Between 1966 and 1973 the Russlang plan {to pour an average of $133 Wiuon a year in [investments into agriculture, up from $11 bile | 246 {lion in 3964 and shghtly move last year. | They're encouraging free marxeting of fruits mc. j and vegetables from amatl private plota held ‘ “| by peasants. Farm pay {a busg increased. In 135 summer or fall, the firat Farmers’ Congress ar | ince 1625 will be held to Nan fresh waya of a iatimulating production, , Zvidence Indleates the Sovieta have a tough job on thelr hands, The keh is that the .- Communiat world will continue as a major i imporler of grains over the next few years. : , The scope of the Russfun agricultural over- aa . haul is being analyzed in Munith by Soviet r apeciallats of Radio Free Burepe and Radio re Liberty, which beam anti-Communist programs cto inte feviet bloc countries, and by authorntes in| ee foreign ministries in Westera Europe and by American Government officials, t 130™ COMMODITY INDEXES Dow-dones Futures, Friday—133-11, up 6.70; last year, 136.83. Dow-Jones Bpot - 143.91, up 0.36; last year, 143.42, Reuters United Kingdom —474.1, off 1.5; last! yenr: 449.5, (1531 equais 100.) FUTURES PRICES Migher ~ Wheat, oats, soybeans, roybean: t : | } ot 4 j i t i; | i { \ \ ! { i i mon M vat tant Side Fftects aan Fae er ee oe ihe Soviet cam. | Meal. soybean oil, cottonseed ou, potatoes, . ‘ , ealfee, copper, lead, sinc, allver, woul, _ oe, ign may have an important bearing on| cattle. ca ‘ . ON oid gran trade, Atnernean farm programa, | colton, hides, Chicago rye and Now York ye : ° the cold war and Soviet poltical attitudes to- | UbbEr. pork belles. Lower~Cocoa, domestic sugar, eges, plat - inum, Oaxseed, Winnipeg rye, London and : Singapore rubber. : ward the U.S, a aa Agriculture fs the Achilles’ heel of the Com: . . munist world. The Soviet goverment reported > ‘ : ; . . last week that grain output dropped 2165 last . =| year to 420.8 million meine tons from 152.1 an : | Tnillion in 1244, The result is a eonunuing need for big grain imports. In the crop year ending June 20, more than 35% ef the wurid's com- i mercial movement of wheat~abuzt 19 tmiltion fatpe ee. ‘(metric tons<ta expected to go into Communist lands. A metric ton is 2,200 pounds. , The U.8. hae only a amall portion of that trade. Canada, Australie, Argentina and ‘France are major Communist be suppliers. But those bloe sales deplete ‘their export | equally impressive fart programs, raf jaincks, reducing competition elsewhere for the | farm investments from $6.6 billion in 1459 ‘ta U.S, Wheat atocka of major exporters may be/ $11 billion in 1964. Yet gross farm output under 20 million tons at the end of the current rose only 10%. jerup year, Just over half the 18943 average.{ y, Zhulln, a senior agronomist on a stale ‘So the anticipated continuation of Communist | farm in the Aitat territory of Southern S!oer:., tain purchases could lift world export prices. | put nis finger on @ key problem in one recent Tt aiso may result in an incr ase of Production | yenort, He aaid, “We must consider just how goais in U.S. farm programs. and what is necessary to make the peasant How does the Soviet farm-uphk campaign "feel responsible for the harvest daily,ehour:y ifit into the future world trade pecture forland for the whole year. No agronomic or s- jgrain? Only Romania will have surpluses. Tre | cial conirol can compensate for this lacie «2 | Soviet Union, Hungary, Crechostwaiia, East | responsibility.” So far the Russians are aki | Germany, Poland, and passibiy Bulgame, will; jing this problem. Party bureaucrats aren't ineed imports, predicts Carl R. Eser’s, Radio| yet willing toe surrender their Power over the mM | Free Euroge’s top agricultural ecomomist. Aj land te decision-masing peasants. : ‘U.S. Department of Agricuiture céf.cial says: e ® @e i ee should come as no great surprse if the! F Pew. paar eae ‘Communist countries remained in the grain | .Marxet, perhaps up and down, but ia, for some! ‘ years to come.” i Qutleak for 1966 Cloudy Even as the new drive starta, the outlook for the 3566 crop is cloudy. Not wre ago, I Khorashijov, a member af tha ediez sem af Insegular—World gugar, corn and roel i i q : average $32 a month for the collective farmer, a as against $91 a month for the industrial werk: « er, So peasants try by every means to leave }.¢ the collective farns, he says. tate ba In this altuation, some analysis of tneEane | munist world warn against ‘being misled by | grandiose plana of the Sovieis. They pote that: former Premier Nikita Whrashchev launched , | r 5 ore
14-00000 * asa pore tem ne cee nema . ° peer tcente ttt Almansa 8s - 7 eee et ea VOR one tee ae bem HY, FO payden  F pat Be veered er tending Fred were t t¢,0 Fewiet Ministry of Agricullure, “warned that ig anter wheat accdings throughout the country i wera enianzerend aaa result of the dry ball. Aaya one Radio Free Furepe report: “Thue st seermes conservative ta submit that only it. AL INTO weather conditions prevail irougheut 1 7& Berviet Union could the anibitious 10668 farm an te achieved, which ta highly unlikely.” < & fe Be Vests See ey stewed ea” Thtwst se meg oe tight fof reviauboenvey Becunological ine! i. yatan, there ja ne peraibility of the Boviets ; ¢ t¢ainiew theie main targeta ’ Targeta call for: fq give tn total farm output of nearly 10% thia| uae ane. ¥eb Barty beeretary Leonid 1. iiverznew himarlf admitted that grosa farm j cr tjest inereased by only 10% tm the last aix | genre. i Rach @ dezrea of stagnation fa oven greater: shan Many Wertern observera had projected, | taye ane Radia Free Europe report. Meio e of - Slagnaiion F Slaznation is evident, Peasants on 37,600! ethioetive et 10,009 atate farma lack incense! frre ante they rereive only the residue of i 4 i ryegm after atate eoliectiona, Weather is grim. Seathiintion ia guldated, Decisions are made! [7 Giatant bureaucrats. tm the wide plains of the Ukraine, rutted wagim tracka connect isolated colisctives, wrere te horse atill is common, Ja Siberia, j farm pets carved from acrub overgrocna Ue urter ange most of the year. In Kaenkhatan, | ' oherg land stretches to far horizona Itke a {sage brush eountry of tha American Weat, | bie winds blew topanil from “virgin lands‘ agrensiaral plots, { Ktatiates for 1969 show the Soviets har- {, vented only 13.4 huahela of whent an acre come i, fared with tha ULB. average of 38 bushels an i acre, Yielia haven't changed much since, and [einer yield gapa extat for corn, ugar heeta, {| ote, tariey and other products, Farming still ‘ etnies a third of Russian families, Crop land iWAsia ehout G90 million acres, namie 50% more ithan in the ULB, yet Fuasala munt impart ) eran, | Veee la prameting ronsaiderahle soul search | ifeg ja the URBAN. Rinate fram hinterland of-: fieieig aco aurnriaingly candid, tz Yoelgograd, one official complaina: .“On i the farroe in tha reginn there exiate an acute stetteze of field tractors and grain combines, Yor every 2,40 acres of cropland we Have | twe erawler-type tractora, and for every 2,500 acres rf grain ¢ropa, only. three eembines.”* From Fashuirta, a productive farm repub- ite ip the Urals, comes another complaint: Of | 6m encsetive farme in the republic, only 150 are ficiy electrified. Of the inhsbited centers fin tie republic, whieh haa a population - of ere tran 3 million, 60% don’t use electricity at all. 1) Vasiiy FP. Gartuzov, Boviet minister of fie ‘i nanes, recently reported in a confidential decus iment: Agricultural capital in the &o Union averages $2.200 a man, whereas in the 1 ‘ i 1.8. it averages $11,000 a man, or five times larger. Yiught Veer the ‘Land . A tugnt from the land eurrently is secen | i tuaang problems. From al) parts of the coun- i try ema reports of peasants abandoning farm iufe for tae supposedly gay ile of cities, even ibwugh the eies may be only Novosibirsk or 1) Baa. ‘In tza Pakow region, 1 8, Gustov, Party | arcretary, complains that in the last ‘seven ‘yeare tee mumber of able-bodied farmera in ; hse area Fas been halved from 260,000.) Says he: “IS tre bas continues @t the same. rate, im 10 years there will be no able-bodied farm ers jeit." He complains that tn his area, wages t | ‘ fp RN Lew ee eS ‘~ A Ag the Institute tor the Study of Bovict Rue ip - De - o oe, oT oer oe os "ar, Pree. eat CoN abi : ae sae yu eee tow wm 8 é
ae a . a . ri naa \ ff DISPATC Teas <a had SECRET Fs PPL 1448 1 __fmarnen ron im FOR sHDE RING &O WDERING RIQUIRED OMLP QUALIFIED cr) " Chief, WH . : xx | ove: HEADQUARTERS O€S8 aR. : . CAR Judee INDERING frcen ~ ESSssfsesmer Chief of Station, JMWAVE'! Seo suevect TYPIC/AMSCROLL mM : Summary of Radio Broadcasts for, tho - Poriod 19 October to 20 January ACTON REQUIRED REFERENCES es 1966, Inc lisive ACTION REQUIRED: FYI 1, Beginning with the broadcast for 19 Octobor 1965 the Station at its request began recoiving a summary of cach AMSCROLL AMTHIGH program, We forward by separate cover theso summarics through the evening of 20 January 1966 (with the exception of the periods of 28-30 November and 2-4 January for which no summary: was prepared), Henceforth these summaries will be forwarded on an at least bi-weekly. basis. 2. The Station is nttempting to improve both tho punch and the quality of these programs, We beliove, for cxample, that more emphasis should be placed upon. regime failures .and upon tho needless economic mess. Further, we are trying to refine tho "irritability" factor so far as Castro and the regime are concerned due to the sensitivity of Castro to this type of attack. Calling Castro (on 19 January) the "“Soviets' barking hound dog" is-a sally in thia direction, 3. As usual with programs of this nature the size and reaction of the audience is most difficult to ascertain, It is some comfort to be able to record that during this period 10 letters have been received by AMSCROLL that have been inspired by this program. The President's uncle, Carlos Dorticos, told AMSCROLL-3 that he had been a frequent listener to this program and that he had listened to this program at his home the night before he left Cuba, a , . a Aim Pe ye $ fhene Q-Philip G. ELMARD Attachment: U so(ui\ | 14 - .. Be. Broadcast su rie -_ . i DATE TYPED OATE DISPATCHE! WAN 31 W966 27 Jan 66 DISPATCH SYMBOL AND NUMBER UFGA-24421 HEADQUARTERS FILE MUMBER Distribution: 3m C/WH, W/att., use. ......--...------- 2- WH/C, w/o/fatt. g 19-132-49/3
14-00000 apencies in an attempt to solve the problem, Cuba's administrative apparatus is a i WHAKLAs eee UNIDAD FRYOLUCTONARIA® (W.R.ULLe) November 1, 1965: "Thore will be no changer in the Blockade of Red Cuba",= A comment It is indicated that Waching= on the rumors that U.S. policy on Cuba will "soften", ton, for humanitarian ressone, accepted Castro's parley to evacuate the spiritually wounded. We aleo comment on the ctatemont of a Washington official whe caid that "the fear that the U.f. may alter ite rolatione with Cuba ie unfounded (and) there ie no proapect for a change in our relations", We arrive at tho conclusion that U.£. policy on the subject will no vary: Cac'ro will be economically stranrled and there is no future for Comminiam in thie Continent, What About Political Priconers?%.- Fidel Gastro has taken a sorien of stepa that limit, by severnl means, the offer he made to allow dissatisfied Cubano to leave the Island, Even though no public statements hive been mate ahout the political prironors, it may be expocted that this mtter han been considered in the negotia- tione, and that Fidel Castro muet be forced to play fairly in ordor that he may not ‘trade with the agony and the hope of 70,COO political prisoners ami with the hope and tho anquich of their relatives. Novomber 1965: “Burencrncy and Red Tapo can be done away with".- A corment on the 20-year torm given the "Reeponeable" of "Colective" 17, of Regional 2-33 of the Cuban Consolidated Enterpriee of Grocery Etores, one Roberto Montes de Cea Ramos, and on’ the crention of the Ministry of Food Industries, as the typically Stalinist system to imprison officiale in times of famine, an? to ernate more bureaucratic : complicated spider-web: the Minietry for the Sugar Inductry, the Industrial Dept, of the INRA, the Ministry of Comeetic Trade, the Ministry of Foroien Trade, the ; National Bank, the Ministry for Apricultural and Cattle Affaire, the Consclidated Enterprise of Grocery Storee, the "Collectives", the Regionals, and row the Ministry of Food Industry. Lots of bureaucrats. Tons of paper. Miles of Red tape. But, still, no food!
14-00000 ~ ~ a wintrigucs about the Tri-Continent+] Confercnee".= Ben Barka, the mactermind of the Tri-Continental Conference schoduled for Havana, myrteriously dinappeired in Parle, ; We remember that, when it was thought that this conference would be hold in Algoria undor Chinese sponrorchip, ite mistorminde, Che Guevara and Ben Hella, disappeared. The charneter who took up Che's role in thie Conference, Ben Barkan, now vanishes 1a Fo Parie. Could it be that what happened to Bon Holla is about to happen to Fidel? . Novembe 1965: "How Abject Can Castro Hoi".- In his recent statement to three ; ; American anf one Spanish journalists, Castro appears arrorant and acte as though he So didn't care for an faggiornamento! with the U.%. However, from the context of hie statomonto it ig quite obvious that he would like nothing better than being re-sdmit- | ted to the Latin Americar community and getting the blessing of tho U.f. i: . ‘Wis attitude must hnve been a terrible disappointment to his follovers, who must necessarily see it as evidence that the U.f.£.R. de in full retreat in ita economle YR ten war with the U.f. over Cuba. WRoticencee That Reveal Insincurity, Caution am) Feart.- At last, the Old Guard hae spoken cut through Carlos Rafael Rodriguez, following the dovastating "purge" that it underwent in the hands of Fidel Castro. Hut foar of a eecond, bloody phaco, of the “4 purge has kept Carlos Rafael Rodrfiruez from openly attacking Fidel Cnetro..’ Instead, ° he has taken resource to veiled reticence and references to Fidel Castro's "petty b burgeois" past, mixed with insincere praises, in order to make it known that the is “elaesice® of Marxiem-Leniniem etill distrust Fidel, If their differences with the e “new wave" are really a thing of the pact, why does Old-Guard man Carlos Rafael now bring up the’ fact that Fidel was not one of them at the heginning, and that he was not a true Marxist-Leninist?. November 1965: "The Reaction to Camrioga: Castro's Resentm nd Bitte ne - Castro's vow to let diseatisfied Cubans out was his own error of appreciation. Pres ident Johnson took the challenge and then Cactro tried to sound out the U.°. for co= Me A, yA Pe Be Le "Bite tee existentialist overtures, Hence his rejection of the Red Cross to mediate in the e Lib aie + matter, His bitter reaction forbidding the departure from Camarioca chows the extent Phe, on ¢
14-00000 zed tee NE Octane 8 ary CMA PRE Nh ase RR tee og: wer, week Ua? as ERE are Py tea tS asa ' Flier of hie fructration, All there devolopmente allow ur to predict. that Castro is in euch tad chape that radical changes may roon bo expected in Cubase fore on © R, Rodrigucg! otatemonto".= In his state-entr, Carlos R. Rodrfgues hac uncovered that Fidel Cictro his ercate? the objective comiitions for fractional “work within the Party with the exclueion of the Old Cuard and of the Students Diroce‘ torate from the executive b-diee of the Party, This revenls a state of internal rift and decomposition, and such revelation, coming from a cigrificant Old Guard source guch ae Rodrfguez, foretells rather unpredictable consequences. Hoverhe 195: “Sitting bull (Carlos Ro fred) Hag Spoveni"” Emphasie on Carlos Kafnel Redriguez' perconal features, on his am ition te bocome the Cuban Revolution's "Lenin®, all of which dreams have been torn te pieces by Castro, Iikewise, Carlos Rafael, etrengthened by Mo: cow's tacking, has pointed out, though in a rather subtle manner, the action of the unknown mon of tho Farty in tho struggle against Gastroism. Thig he did when he Indirectly charge] that Cactro war a petty-burgeols. "Castro Cought bis Fineere on the Door aml the Door Slammed on hie Nose't.- Because his situation is more difficult every day, Castro hinted that his conversations on the Cutan exodue meant the beginning of deoper negotiatione with the U.f. This is falee. Cutan Communism is not negotiable. When President Johneon opened the doors of the U.£. to all Cubans, he left it wellestnblished that thie was done because of huraniterian rearons, and that Cubane would be welcomed here until they could "roturn to their homeland and find it free from fear", Hoyember 6.1955: "Stop thie Nonrenre,», Where is Che Guevara?".= Where is ‘Che Gue- vara? Thie le a quest’ on that constantly hammere on Fidel's carr, whenever journal- inte, diplomtes, etc., ask it to him. Besieged by thie quertion, Castro one day teld a correcronient for the Madrid daily "Pueblo": "I think that Guevara may never return to Cuka. He may be somewhere in Argentina", Castro, like Stalin did before him, begins by ecteting that Cuevara will not return to Cuba. ‘uch a question may only be - answered ky the murderer when he speake of his victim. On the other hand, he ie pre-
Puring tho cotting for the "discovery® of Guevara's corpre: it will be eald that asthma killed him, or the imperinliete, or the head-imnterea of South America, "The Coconl Chn-ter of Marcor Rodriguez? _T: - In his etatements to Ancrican Journaliste, Carlo: Rafacl Rodriguez has dug out the issue of the trial againet an informer, which trial was reenr‘ed as one against the "Old Guard", This trial has q comething more to it: the "dossier" on Joaquin Orloqui, which Fidel keeps hitden in his sleeve in order te produce it whenever 1% may cuit hie purposes, Perhaps Carlog Rafacl has dofinterred thie issue to sipnify that intcrnal rifts are more scute than ever bofore, % November 8, 1965: i TV appearance yesterday. ant ie Boyond Himeslf with Ragcttj= Comments on Caetro's Cas'ro is furious over the Cubana!’ rush to get out of the “Island, and over the fact that technicians ani doctors are nbout to derert him. He roncts by pretending to dismise the doctora: "the prapes are sour", We romember Hatuey, the Indian chieftain who rejected conversion because he said that if hie , Spanish tormentore were going to Heaven, thon he didn't want to go to Heaven. Similarly, if Heaven 1s Castrote Red parndiee, tne doctors and techniciana want out of it. . What About the Tri-Gontinental Gonferenee?4,@ The abduction and disapnearance of : Ben Barka eeeme to have suspended preparations for the Tri-Continental Conference that the Rede had scheduled for,January in Havana, Judging by the kidnapping of the oe . ; chief organizer, this Conference, which is rejected ky China, is piven the eame treate " . ment that forced the suspension of the Algiers’ Conference that the Chinege eponecred, y Lot's wait for the second chapter and we will see whether the Conference is held after « all or not. x November 9, 1965: “What Goes From One Nov, 7th to the Othor".— We recrll that on Nov. 7, last year, Castro was interviewed by a corree;ondent for the New York Times. eh Tt ty At the same time, he said that he would down whatever American U-2 planes he could He also said that he would use OEM ee OO with this surface-to-air antiaircraft miseiles, ‘ foviet troops in the defense of his. Com-unist regime, sry] that he would welcome a