104-10308-10193] pg AUIGIZI OGITILG UL LEG : c lg“teu States of America OUTGOING Se Pa Charge: , Classification Control: ROUTINE . DIST: 1 - SIG 1 =- BOARD G({ 7 /ENDEVOUT/3 OPS s EVOUT/3 /PROD . Oe CHRON Dow NG DIR ros cite Gsval__4470 INTEL refed an | oe Sresernal QO Were SUPDATA: ZRWAHOO, fiemevour 3{ SEE (GnvaA) 4469 VOCS De Yos2 aut FILED: 1919452 | REPORT CLASS SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM NO DISSEM ABROAD an (INSERT REPORT SYMBOL AND NUMBER) COUNTRY: USSR, CUBA SET ates feet CASTRO AND HIS | PRINCIPAL ASSOCIATES | tO THE SOVIET. ‘DIETHDRAWAL_ CER FRI. eck uae CS QF OFFENSIVE. MISSILES, FROM CUBA AND TO U,S, DEMANDS RE THE a WITHDRAWAL, OF SOVIET. TL-28. AERCRAFT. AND. OBSPOT. INSPECTION, DOIs 14 NOVEMBER 1962 _ PADA: MEXICO CITY, 14 NOVEMBER 1962 APPR: 6 SOURCE: PORMER CUBAN OFFICIAL (C) 1. (FIELD COMMENT: THE AUTHOR OF THIS COMMENTARY OCCUPIED A RESPONSIBLE POSITION IN HAVANA DURING THES FIRST YEAR AFTER ‘THE CASTRO REVOLUTION. HE APPROVED OF THE APPARENT AIMS OF THE REVOLUTION AT THAT TIME. ALTHOUGH NOT AN INTIMATE OF FIDEL CASTRO HE WAS ACQUAINTED WITH THE LATTER, HE KNEW A WIDE CIRCLE OF CASTRO ASSOCIATES ON AN INTIMATE BASIS AND WORKED CLOSELY WITH THEM IN THE CASTRO GOVERNMENT. ‘HE AUTHOR IS A VERY INTELLIGENT AND WELL EDUCATED MAN, WHO POSSESSES AN EXHAUSTIVE KNOWLEDGE OF THE CUBAN SCENE IN  ‘YHE PAST THREE DECADES. SINCE ARRIVING IN MEXICO HE HAS MAINTAINED CLOSE CONTACT, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, WITH A. VARIETY OF CUBAN GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS AND ON THE BASIS OF anes i i ne REPRODUCTION FROM THIS COPY IS Cl PROHIBITED UNLESS “UNCLASSIFIED”. A FORM FS 413P ‘Single: address ft ssages to the Department can be diverted 'to Touek (appropriate to the classification of the message) without 3-1-55 : ' retyping. TY ong By Pouch” after the address, omit the serial number, and pouch in envelope marked “For DC{T”. er ee Ceo. (EUS Ds 0 om TAS) Cac “ley
13-00000. AUGER VEIEVIGG Ul LG Ug*eu States of America “OUTGOING ‘Control: Date: Charge: Classification A PAGE TWO . FORMER ASSOCIATION AND FRIENDSHIP HAS DISCUSSEDWITH THEM HANY PACETS OF CURRENT CUBAN POLITICAL LIFE, HOWEVER, THE. AUTHOR HAS NOT HAD ANY CONTACTS WITH SUCH PERSONS SINCE THE ONSET oF THR CURRENT CRISIS. ) 2. IT I8 DOUBIFUL THAT FIEDL CASTRO WILL ACCEDE TO SOVIET WISHES RE SATTLEMENT OF THE CURRENT CUBAN SITUATION, DESPITE THE PRESSURE REPORTEDLY BEING EXERCISED ON HIM BY SOVIET DEPUTY PREMIER ANASTAS MIKOYAN. CASTRO'S VANITY IS IMMENSE AND NO MATTER HOW IT HAS BEEN, EXPLAINED TO HIM BY MIKOYAN OR OTHER SOVIET OFFICIALS, HE MUST BE _ --  . BUREOUS 2 AY THE FACT THAT THE SOVIET UNION HAS “BACKED DOWN® eee” . tener agen Pen ore emt a een eer ren Nepean ee ce BEFORE THE U. 5. AND IS NOW NEGOTIATING WITH THE U.S. ON AN \N INDEPENDENT ‘BASES. CASTRO MUST CONSIDER HIMSELF AS (BEING IN-A-DESPESATE SITUBTION, HE CAN NOT TURN HIS ANGER OPENLY ON THE SOVIET UNION BECAUSE. IT WAS HE AND HIS BROTHER RAUL WHO WERE RESPONSIBLE FOR MOVING CUBA SO DERPLY INTO THE "SOCIALIST CAMP" DESPITE AT LEAST THE INITIAL RESISTANCE BY SEVERAL OF HIS PRINCIPAL FOLLOWERS, FOR EXAMPLE, PRESIDENT OSVALD DORTICOS AND FOREIGN MINISTER RAUL ROA, THUS TO ATTACK THE USSR PUBLICLY WOULD BE TO ADMIT THAT HE BAD MADE A MAJOR ERROR WITH RESPECT TO THE CONDUCT OF RELATIONS WITH THE SOVIET UNION, REALIZATION BY CASTRO THAT SUCH IS THE SITUATION MUST CONSIDERABLY INCREASE HIS SENSE OF FRUSTRATION AND HIS FEELING OF DESPERATION, 3, _FIDEL CASTRO IS DOMINATED BY VAN _MSGALOMARIACAL TENDENCIES, AND HE POSSESSES A COMPULSON ag FOR REVENGE ‘WHICH IS NOTORTOUS; ON OCCASION THE LATTER REPRODUCTION FROM THIS COPY IS PROHIBITED UNLESS “UNCLASSIFIED". Soin FORM FS 4:3? “Single- address messages to the Department can be diverted to pouch (appropriate to the classification of the message) without i~ retyping. Tyga “By Pouch’ after the address, omit the serial number, and pouch in envelope marked “For OC/T”. Sy
13-00000 , AULBIZH OGEVILG UL LG ig“ teu States of America "2 7  QUTGOING Charge: Classification Control: PAGE THREE Date: COMPULSION HAS CAUSED 8IM TO REACH BACK AS FAR AS TWENTY YEARS TO REVENGE ACTIONS TAKEN AGAINST HIM AT THAT TIME. ‘CASTRO'S CHARACTER IS SUCH THAT RATHER THAN ACCEPTING A LOSS IN PRESTIGE AND STATUS HE WOULD BE WILLING TO DESTROY ‘HIMSELF AND THE CUBAN PEOPLE. IN THE CURRENT _STTUATION. UNLESS HE CAN SER SOME WAY TO ACHIEVE A SOLUTION | OF THE VARIOUS PROBLEMS , INCLUDING THE 7.8, BLOCKADE, OF sentarmnapgente corner tee we wee ANOS FOR THE = ee 7 | PERATION, FOR EXAMPLE THE AERIAL BOMBARDMENT OF THE. U.S, GR SOME GROSS ACT AGAINST THE SOVIET AMBASSADOR IN CUBA. | | | 4, HE MOOD AMONG LEADING FIDELISTAS MUST BE ONE OF SORROW, AND BITTERNESS AND RAGE AGAINST THE SOVIET UNION, WHICH THEY WILL REGARD AS HAVING SOLD OUT OUBA, THE SOVIET TREATMENT OF CUBA AS A PAWN IN THE INTER- NATIONAL GAME WILL BE PARTICULARLY GALLING TO THE CUBAN NATURE. RAUL CASTRO IS LIKELY TO FEEL PERSORAL INJURY, ‘IF, AS SEEMS TO BE THE CASE, IT IS AS A RESULT OF HIS TRIP TO MOSCOW THAT SOME OF THE MISSILES WERE SENT TO CUBA, WHILE BIS REACTION IS LIKELY 70 BE LESS ERRATIC ‘THAN THAT OF FIDEL, RAUL IS POTENTIALLY CAPABLE OF ADOPTING AN EXTREMELY HARD LINE AGAINST THE SOVIETS. HIS REACTION WHEN H& FELT THAT THERE HAD BEEN BETRAYAL, EVEN BY COMMUNISTS TO WHOM HE WAS FORMERLY CLOSE, WAS SHOWN IN HIS ATTITUDE TOWARDS ANIBAL ESCALANTE, WHOM HE WISHED To EXECUTE AFTER THE LATTER'S ANTI-FIDELISTA ‘ q REPRODUCTION FROM THIS COPY IS PROHIBITED UNLESS “UNCLASSIFIED”. pt -nChasstficatt Hsingle- -address messages to the Department can be diverted to pouch (anpropriate to the classification of the message) without vetyping. Type “By Pouch’ after the address, omit the serial number, and pouch in envelope marked “For DC/T FORM FS 413P 3-1-55
13-00000 | aes VeUV'eSit VULEIiVY UE itl Ug*eu States of America pyr OUTGOING FORM FS 413P 3-1-55 Charge: Classification Control: PAGE FOUR Date: ACTIVITY BECAME KNOWN, 5, AMONG OTHER INFLUENTIAL FIBELAISTAS, OSVALDO DORTICOS IS LIKELY TO BE PARTICULARLY INCENSED AT THE SOVIET ACTION. DESPITE FREQUENT PRESS REPORTS THAT HE IS A LONG TIME COMMUNIST, IT IS A FACT THAT DORTICOS OPPOSED THE ESTABLISHMENT. OF RELATIONS WITH THE USSR AT THE TIME OP MIKOYAN'S FIRST TRIP TO CUBA, HE DID THES APPARENTLY BECAUSE HE REGARDED IT AS A STEP WHICH WOULD UNNECESSARILY HARDEN U.S. ATTITUDE TOWARDS CUBA, IN ADDITION, HE 1S KNOWN TO HAVE OPPOSED MMASURES UNDER- TAKEN BY RAMIRO VALDEZ AND THE G-2, AND BY ANIBAL ESCALANTE AND HIS HENCHMEN, THUS HE IS LIKELY TO BE PARTICULARLY ANGERED AND BETTER THAT THE POLICIES WHICH HE UNSUCCESSFULLY OPPOSED WERE IMPLEMENTED AND HAVE LED TO SUCH DISASTROUS RESULTS, | 6. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT LEADING FIDELISTAS DIFFER FROM CASTRO RE THE ACTION CUBA SHOULD NOW TAKE, UT IS MOT LIKELY THAT THEY WILL ATTEMPT BY FORCE TO CAUSE HIM TO TAKE A CONTRARY COURSE OF ACTION, OR TO TRY TO ‘STRIP HIM OF POWER, THEY ARE TOO THOROUGHLY AWARE OF . BES RUTHLESSNESS AND VINDICTIVENESS TO RISK SUCH ACTION EXCEPT IN EXTREME CIRCUMSTANCES. IF, HOWEVER, HE EMBARKS ON AN ACT OF UTTER FOLLY WHICH IN THEIR VIEW INVITES THE DESTRUCTION OF CUBA, THEY MIGHT ACT AGAINST HIM, 7, THERE HAVE BEEN PRESS REPORTS OF A PROPOSED DEMILITARIZATION OF THE CARIBBEAN AREA, THIS SEEMS TO BB ONE FORMULA WHICH CONCEIVABLY MIGHT GIVE FIDEL CASTRO A WAY OUT OF THE IMPASSE WHICH CONFRONTS HIM, SINCE HE MIGHT FEEL TMAT HE COULD PERMIT THE IMPLEMENTATION OF Classificptips “single-address messages to the Department can be diverted to pouch (appropriate to the classification of the message) without retyping. Type “By Pouch’ after the address, omit the serial number, and pouch in envelope marked “For DC/T" REPRODUCTION FROM THIS COPY IS PROHIBITED UNLESS “UNCLASSIFIED.
_@ we ork sie wWudeitel Ut 6b ~.  °  "  QUTGOING | | Charge: . Classification Control: a «PAGE FIVE Date: U.S, DEMANDS AND STILL SAVE FACE, FOR EXAMPLE, BY SAYING IHAT HE WAS NOTHING AGAINST CUBA BEING THE FIRST OBJECT OF IMPLEMENTATION OF A GENERAL’ AGREEMENT SINCE TOMORROW IT WILL BE THE TURN OF THE PANAMA CANAL ZONE, CASTRO MIGHT ACCEPT SOME SUCH A GENERAL ARRANGEMENT AS A MEANS OF SAVING FACE EVEN THOUGH HE KNEW THAT THERE WOULD NOT BE IN FACT AN APPLICATION OF THE SAME MEASURES RE THE 8, FIELD DISSEM: AMB ONLY. END OF MSG _ oe ORIG: MIDDAUGH RELEASED: ELMARD 1 ; std a REPRODUCTION FROM THIS COPY IS Leite t Classification PROHIBITED UNLESS “UNCLASSIFIED”. FORM FS 413P Kgingle-address messages to the Denartment can be diverted to pouch (anpropriate to the classification of the message) without 3-1-55 retyping. Type “By Pouch’ after the address, omit the serial number, and pouch in envelope marked “For DC/T