14-00000 VR seer kg MHA CTT INCENS MEPL bape Oo Ir drresiet BEAM ORS 9 cd . se ° - ce ™y ‘ Fae . ° Cad em . o * q 7 cence un sare comm. tam ewe wees. a PAR ry Ves ane es 1 il, CLASSIFICA ICIS SECRET ui URED OLR OVERS Chicf of Station, Santiago NO INARI QUES Listes Chief?, Western Hemisphere bTeea } Chicf of Station, JNWAVE SUBIECT O TYPIC/HIISDAWN/7AUSCLOLG | Study of Cuban/USSR Trade Relations ACUOUREQIZED RefcnENCES ACTION: See paragraphs 3 and 4, “ *. eh as RNS Ee etd REFERENCES: A, SANTIAGO-3885 B, DIRECTOR-86882 C. JMWAVE-6430 i. JMVAVE forwards herewith a study entitled Economic Relations Between Cuba and the Soviet Union: How Nuch Depen- dency? Both Santiago and Headquarters are being provided with an original and one copy of the study in English and an original .+.--and one copy in Spanish, Two sets of the one table and the six charts that support the study are also being forwarded each addressee, This is an ANSCROLL prepared study; the author is AMPRAME--L in collaboration with AMSWAKE-1, It was prepared in . response to references A and B, : 2. We have limited this study to an attempt to prove statistically the very rapid rise of Cuban economic dependency wpon the Soviet Union, We have intentionally avoided editorial- izing as the facts speak for themselves; thus we have drawn no political conclusions, nor have we attempted to establish that this economic dependency carries with it an implicit policy control on the part of the Soviets (partly because policy control does not necessarily follow and, in any event, the reader is free to draw his own conclusions), 3. If it does not run counter to Station Santiago's plans, we suggest that AMNSCROLL ~ a JNWAVE asset that studies and : comments upon the[ bconowic scene~-reproduce this study under its name for private distribution to its list of sugar bro- kers, trading firms, and international organizations that deal jer 17- 126-26 Attachments: : , : As stated, h/w tS COPY Distribution . @- ors ayia Barateede eal = C/WH, w/atts,,.- hfw. WIRIEH ~~ - - - ‘Renoved from pressor S29" f . CS Classificay ont. /9-126-Df =e wa JOB jee cvyes . S1SPATCH SYMBOL AND NUYSER UFGA = 27416 HEADQUARTERS Fr € RUVEER GAAS SIFICATION . 19~-120-26/3 : Boxa/F Polda fF - SECRET $ —— mw i ~~ ee ea mae ee ERA AIRY EE AT ETRE FOTIA SE ORE IEEE ITNT LE AS TET I, CE ET ES ee tee we nlttle Madegt yale eae PRO Ce eta 1 ° Hee bse o ees abcd ail be WY oatnetbadentdie, semtiatecaoh Ebi, adie be y ¢ on ait » a ch cre os saebe, TrieeSil eatlrnd Haak. 8 stthn - wy te ‘ : q : ‘ Fen etant en mbes ke ™~ 2 distended s: t vp even malls RatedotiBaa AMDEnlbb Sven — Seaasleandb ee. + eh cabins MAE NAB Ba aah oeraieae
14-00000 > ‘ an a 1a capcemg aro KER Sita BEE + i enn AE TRAIN ae OPE ADIL TAPED ALT See Sm Tete soe . rr rs Roe a eT RET Mand 7 pO MS PERT Lt - ; 28 os “sl cea nib sh yaaa Sen ' 4, s ‘ts odes cso Bae Hs } +, at é ‘ se as Seawecntines rottndeae — Sere Te eg eee ~ CONTINUATION OF . DISPATCH SECRET [| UFGA - 27416 with or are interested in following the Cuban economic pikture, We would particularly like to bring this presentation to the attention of Europernn firms and organizations with which AMSCROLL is in contact and which are a factor in Cuban trade,. We believe that this will also give a basis for attribution to' Santiago should the Station desire it; if not, the facts and figures could — + RE be used by Station Santiago without attribution and without ° oe La! e Sey sourcing, for that matter, as we believe that tht figures will a 5 stand, ° ~ 4, dJMWAVE will appreciate comments on the value of this . ; ot it} paper from Headquarters and Santiago, We also request a cabled 3 i response from Santiago to the suggestion in paragraph 3 that a" , AMSC::OLL reproduce this study, : | a sec apndoeneceses Cemaamine sie rnncts Pec rene aemerenaig coe tod sped cca wraneie “ip, Cn peso ete Anlenen ata eminence eng Sep Tn. Rg, euen Pneedeinpne rade apne type neat! nen i BAR aeta tam Dee a ‘ Mark F, EFFIELD ae - i Le, a * . Ba hUR cg ncnaidoner woods tin Eis ancke, 5 ma ee a ' oh gig hte ode 2 Rat ‘ st - 4 3 ote «Ae
3 : @ 4 3 4 : Ween Ramen nae 1 see sponte > ROC L967 J ca 8 OH fa Ott t |e UGA - 2IW6 Di pq. Posted ECCNCHIC RELATICNS BSTWEEN CUBA AND THE SOVIET UNICN: HOW MUCH DEPENDENCY? Cuba*s dependency on the Soviet Union is known. The question is: how much de= ~ pendency? In order to arrive at some conclusion we have chosen Cuba's foreign trade statistics for the 1959-1966 period, We will work under the following econemic assumptions Economic dependency of one country on the other can be indicated to a considerable extent by their trade as this -Andicates the need ene country has of the other as a market for its exports and as a supplier for its imports, What we will do is to analyze the Cuban Trade Balance for the 1959-1966 period. # 1) According to the assumption we established regarding trade dependency, we can say that during 1959 Cuba was dependent upon the Free World for its markets as total trade value for that year amounted to $ 1,305,700,000 and trade value with the Free World represented $ 1,289,000,000 (or 98,8% of the total trade), Broken down into exports and imports we see that in 1959 Cuban exports totaled $ 637,700,000 while total imports were $ 688,000,000. Thus, the trade balance showed a $ 26,500,000 deficit, which was a reflection of the trend started in 1958 due te * Every figure in this paper will be given in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated. The sources for the ficures used throughout the analysis, the ‘table, and charts were: “The Economist", "The New York Times", UN's Eceno- mic Reports on Latin America, “Cuba Comercio Exterior" magazine, "Visién" magazine, "US News & World Report", and The Economist Intelligence Unit's "Quarterly Economic Review", It should be remembered that the f igures refer only to the Cuban Trade Ba- “-* ances 1ee., imports and exports, and not to the Cuban Balance of Payments . which would reflect loans and financial arrangements, plus the Soviet mili- tary and techical assistance; figures which do not appear in the balance of trade and which are not available to us with sufficient authenticity to ware Les Pes wed Prem eewmbamenien rant their use, cs Classiz iy an (Y= 1d- -2b 19 -/20-2G SUI tte ra cage 2S RRR RYET FOTO AS LPR AEE ODM SITTIN RO EE. +, ot eeu e ai ale oy aerate, ade raadhindt 5 Ee Stdaet be ath esis ‘ 7. Ms tay . nee eet teh hee