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i
"characteristic" of the target type than others, then a weighted average should be computed.
In
symbols,
k *
l
V
* f
hi
(4 )
where
the sums are over the available
targets that
constitute the template,
uik are the target
weights, and the
pj.k are the assigned membership values for target k.
2.
(U)
Archival Database
'
: A critical feature of an analysis system fo^
tRV data
is that along
with
the
current RV data
to be
evaluated,
the
individual
viewer's past performance on an
element-by-element basis must also be included.
For example,
if a viewer has been relatively
unsuccessful
at recognizing
i facilities, then a|
, reference
in the current data should not
contribute much in the overall analysis.
I
As ground truth becomes available for each session, a performance database
should be updated
for each viewer to
reflect the new information
This database should be
a
fuzzy set whose membership values for each element are the
reliabilities computed from
^Equation
3.
3,
(U)
Optimized Probability List
r
\ The
8oal of any [
>RV
analysis system
is to provide an
a
priori
prioritized and weighted
list of target possibilities that results from a single remote viewing that
is
sensitive to the performance history of the viewer.
Assuming that a template exists for each of
the possible!
.interpretations, an analyst should adhere to the following protocol:
(1)
Analyze the RV data by assigning a membership value
(p)
for each element iifthe
universal
set of elements.
Each p represents the degree
to which the
analyst
is
convinced
that the particular element
is included
in the
response.
~
.
(2)
Construct a
crisp
set, Rc,
as an
at—cut of the original response
set.
By adopting a
threshold
of
0.5,
for
example,
then
the
resulting
crisp
set
contains
only
those
elements that the analyst deems most likely as being present in the response.
(3)
Construct an effective response set, Re, as Re = Rc u Re, where Re
is the reliability set
drawn from the archival database.!
\
Approved For Release 2000/(^/08
CIA-f|DP96-00789R002200530001 -9
Approved For Release 2OQ0/O8/O8
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200530001-9
Final
Report- -Objective
D,
Task
December
1986
Covering
the Period
October
1985
to 30 September
1986
A SUGGESTED REMOTE VIEWING
TRAINING PROCEDURE
(U)
Prepared
for:
SRI
Project
1291
0E
u-
Approved by:
pved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789RCj02200530001-9
333 Ravenswood Avenue
•
Menlo
Park,
California
94025
•
U.S.A.
(415)
326-6200
•
Cable:
SRI
INTL MPK
• TWX:
910-373-2046
eupy NO.
This document consists of 86 pages.
-S-FWQF-0297
Lj
L
L
l
j^Hfl
^.1^1
h
r
r
r
r
r
(4)
Using this effective response set, compute an accuracy and reliability in accordance
with Equations
1 and
2. Then compute a figure-of-merit, Mj,
for the jth competing
interpretations as
Mj — cij x rj
«
Of course,
the accuracy and
reliability use the
effective response
set from step
above.
(5)
Order the Ms from largest to smallest value.
Since the figures—of—merit range in value
from 0 to
1, they can be interpreted as relative probability values
for each of the
alternative target possibilities.
H'-
By following such a protocol, an analyst can produce a
list of target alternatives that is sensitive to
the current remote viewing yet takes into consideration to the individual viewer's archival record.
, y
C.
(U)
Partial Application of Analysis System
to Existing Target Pool
(U) We have used an existing target pool (developed under a separate program) as a test
bed for the analysis system described above.
1.
(U)
Criteria for Inclusion
in the Target Pool
~
Targets in this pool have the following characteristics:
•
Each target
is within an hour and a half automobile drive of SRI International.
•
Each target simulates df"
—
Kite
t
,>> interest.
•
Each
target
fits
generally
within one
of
five
functional
categories:
Production,
Recreation,
Scientific, Storage, and Transportation.
Each
target
meets
a
consensus
agreement
of
experienced RV
monitors and
analysts about inclusion in the pool.
(U) The pool consists of 65 targets.
Initially, they were divided into 13 groups of five
targets each, where each group contained one target from each of five functional categories.
By
carefully organizing the targets in this way, the maximum possible functional difference of the
targets within each group was ensured.
Table
1 shows a numerical
listing of these targets.
Approved For Release 2000/0
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: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200530001-9
—i
Table
. “znsformer Station
1 Icloark
_mi'lite Dish
-
"->apons Storage
e-al Fleet
t
1-vel Quarry
_-mming Pool
£.
Z-ervatory
c man
1C Imping and Receiving
L-=snhouse
-mic Area
II
Imilite Dishes
1 *
mrt Warehouse
cai Air Station
16 Ipr Refinery
1"
-". mound
1 S -mrium
l~_n Yard
20 -mm ft
2=wae Treatment Plam
22. hm-er Tower
UNCL.-IUTTED
(U) Numerical Listing of Targets
23. Space Capsule
24. Coastal Battery
25. Bay Area Rapid Transit
26.
Salt Refinery
27. Candlestick Park
28. Solar Observatory
29. Food Terminal
30. Pedestrian Overpass
31.
Electrical Plant
32. White Plaza
33. Space Shuttle
34. Coastal Battery
35. Train Terminal
36. Sawmill
37. Pond
38. Wind Tunnel
39. Grain Terminal
40. Submarine
41. Cogeneration Plant
42. Park
43. Linear Accelerator
44. Dump
45. Pump Station
46. Ice Plant
47. Caves/Cliffs
48. Bevatron
49. Barn
50. Golden Gate Bridge
51. Modern Windmills
52. Baylands Nature Preserve
53. Gas Plant
54. Auto Wreckers
55. Fishing Fleet
56. Radio Towers
57. Vineyard
58. Pharmaceutical Laboratory
59. Toxic Waste Storage
60. Airport
61. Car Wash
62. Old Windmill
63. Nuclear Accelerator
64. Reservoir
65. Train Station
(U)
Fuzzy Set l.lcment List
|
In FY W89, we developed a prototype analysis system for analyzing targets
anc -menses in^
~"*"|i;emote viewings. A
list of elements, based on target function
(i.e.,
the zmion specification),
is arranged in levels from relatively abstract (information poor) to the
rela; =
complex (information rich).
Having levels of elements is advantageous in that each can
be w=_med separately in the
analysis.
(U)
This universal
set
of elements
(included
as Appendix A)
represents primary
elemsm
in the
existing target pool of 65
targets.
The
set was derived exclusively from this
know; mget pool.
In an actual RV session, however,
a viewer does not have access to the
elemm -it, and thus is not constrained to respond within its confines. An accurate RV analysis
mus: -cmde any additional data that may be provided
in the response;
therefore,
additional
spac;
izs been provided on the analysis sheets
(see Appendix A)
to include elements that are
pan
::
response but not
initially included as pan of the universal
set.
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