Approved For Release 2003/04/18
: CIA-RDP96-00789R0025001 70025-0
DATA SUMMARIES
(S/NF/SG/LIMDIS)
Following are^perceived highlights from
each source.
The period covered
is 14-15 October
1992U,
...
-
(S/NF/SG/LIMDIS)
Source
(Green Data)
:
— Aidid will experience
a fall from power.
Ground
forces will return home around February.
The delegation from the
United Nations will
set forth conditions for Somalia to obey.
Negotiations
for peace by political authorities from the regions
concerned will provide the necessary resolutions to end the
conflict.
-
(S/NF/SG/LIMDIS)
Source
(Red Data)
:
— Warlord Mohamed Farrah Aidid can be located in the
area or Garoe.
(See map la for location)
He
is traveling more
freely now and he has plans to continue to travel.
It seems that
he moves
in and out
of Mogadishu.
He
is a man who now wants
peace and
is willing to work with our President and the United
Nations.
He will be making
a speech shortly and will be out
in
the open.
As
long as he
is willing to negotiate,
he will not be
arrested.
The country of Somalia will have peace shortly.
-
(S/NF/SG/LIMDIS)
Source
(Black Data)
:
— The subject
is currently located in the structure
depicted on the city map of Mogadishu
(see map
lc)
.
The
structure
is square-shaped on sits on a corner overlooking an
intersection.
Its location appears to be completely residential;
that
is,
an area without shops,
stores or other businesses.
It
is two story with
a railing across the second floor.
This
residential area does not appear to be poor or poverty oriented
but well kept.
There
is a low wall across the front.
This
structure
is
a relative's house.
See
(diagram on enclosure
2a)
for
a description of
a green metallic object associated with this
house.
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CLASSIFIED BY MULTIPLE SOURCES
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— Arms shipments are entering Mogadishu from three
different directions
(see map
lb)
.
It
is perceived as being
reminiscent of Iranian and Iraqi involvement via second parties.
A small
"cartel" with several nationalities are represented.
— Subject's intention
is to eliminate the leadership of the
other factions once U.S.
is out.
Subject
is focusing-in on the
individual who,
himself,
is
a clan leader,
but has somehow been
placed
in a leadership role commanding or representing a group
or
confederation of many other clans/groups.
— Subject wants to steal large pieces equipment from
occupying forces.
Intent
is to somehow acquire armored vehicles
for use against the other factions.
%
—
Subject wants to exchange more personnel from both sides
of conflict.
He wants to portray himself as
a progressive,
"modern"
individual;
not the image of some "backwoods" despot.
— There
is a small boat with rockets
in the A.O.
The
plan/idea for this type of activity comes from a group outside of
subject's group.
This outside group has infiltrated the
subject's group.
Their intent
is to use subject's group as
a
"cover";
then,
proceed with their own agenda.
— This outside group
is,
and has been,
independent of any
country
(reminiscent of the M.O under which groups like Abu Nidal
once,
or continue to,
operate)
.
However,
there
is
a strong
impression that this group
is out of Lebanon;
and specifically
associated
in the past with the region of eastern Lebanon and
Syria.
It
is perceived that probable past training camps or
facilities were located in this area of the Middle East many
years
ago.
W&&&2
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