datamatters24/research-document-archive huggingface dataset:
Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000100200002-7 SG1J Proglem A Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000100200002-7
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peeme ce seen Approved For Release coc St AR ALELED 780R002200670001-4 SOC Reviewers’ Comments, Objective I, Task 1 (Meta-Analysis of Forced-Choice Precognition Experiments) (verbatim transcription—-not edited) NAME: Robert Morris Comments: 1. This report is a valuable application of meta—analytic techniques to an important body of data. Its extension to assessing favorable conditions and flaw analysis is very important. ‘ - ‘ 2. The author should describe the basis for declaring that a given study is a precognition study and warrants its inclusion. He should also clarify on what basis he decided that experimenter’s expectation was for psi missing as opposed to chance or merely less positive results for condition B versus condition A. There are some additional analyses that now could be done on these data, and they are noted in the margins. The data amendable to IDS interpretation could also be added. Recommendation: Yes + November 4, 1988 NAME: James Press Comments: 1. A great deal of effort has been extended in this endeavor. Mean 3 scores are reported, and Std Dev from the mean which is more than three times the mean, so the mean doesn’t look very impressive. Moreover, no standard deviations are given for the various studies, nor other measures of the distribution of results in » the various studies. Only the mean 3 score is given. An effort was made to study “quality” of the studies (page 13), and each study was giving a quality rating. But all studies were jointly evaluated in the meta analysis, good and bad, so what’s the conclusion? What does it mean to merge results of good and bad studies? Hard to evaluate this in available time. Recommendation: Yes November 4, 1988 NAME: Brian Skyrms Comments: 1. A careful review of the literature, but I’m not sure what it proves. What is the real theoretical status of the “quality rating”? Recommendation: Yes November 3, 1988 A-24 UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002200670001-4
+ Approved For Release oot NGL AR SHEED. 720R002200670001-4 NAME: Mike Wartell Comments: 1. Good study. Seems carefully done. Interesting result. Recommendation: Yes November 4, 1988 NAME: Phil Zimbardo Comments: 1. This is a superb example of meta-analysis that helps to clarify some of the central issues in F.C. precog experiments (what variables co-vary with study outcome, etc.) and to yield some strong support for significgnt effect of directional hitting. 2. Excellent attempt to quantify study quality. 3. Also this analysis dispels several myths promoted by critics of parapsychology, e.g., that effects disappear as methodological rigor increases, or that selective reporting affects the cumulative significance of precog. studies. 4, Page 4 - type — of omitted. Recommendation: Yes , November 4, 1988 UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002200670001-4
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TASKING SHEET
SOURCE NO: 07J1L
DATE :
4 AUG
SUSPENSE
:
_5 AUG 92
1200 HRS
1.
PROJECT NUMBER;
92-82-P
.
METHOD/TECHNIQUE :
Method of Choice.
3 .
BACKGROUND :
Target
was
randomly
selected
from
a
series
of
targets
contained
in
sealed
envelopes
and
stored—in
Container
Number 10.
j? ge's'ignated beacon person* has accessed, and viewed the
fffflSet on f-Ki^Bate:
The target will remain
in the top drawer of
container Number
10 until
1200 hours,
5 August
199^.
—
4~.
ESSENTIAL ELEMENTS OF INFORMATION:
Describe the target.
Submit sketches
in support of vour—f indiums..
.
COMMENTS :
.
SG4d-
-
!EEfeBeacon
for this target
is
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Approved For Release 2001/03/07 :'C1A-RDP96-00789R002301 790001 -9
TASKING SHEET
SOURCE NO. £
TASK NUMBER:
%Z - J7_
DATE
^
SUSPENSE:
,3
/l 66
METHOD/TECHNIQUE :
/22&2jLt<£& 4/
TARGET DATA :
1„
DESCRIBE KEY TARGET FEATURES:
-
Include forms,
shapes,
densities,
dimensional
aspects,
colors.
Dynamics.
Provide an overhead,
ground-level perspective.
2.
IDENTIFY KEY TARGET CONTENT :
Describe purpose,
function,
and people at the site
(if
any)
.
- Other:
.
PERSONA!.TTY TARGET:
-
Address physical,
mental,
emotional,
intellectual and
philosophical and professional aspects of target personality.
-
Describe avocations and dominant interests
.
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^
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200670001-4
(ss)C
&=,
Final Technical
Report
December 1988
Covering the Period
1 October 1987 to 30 September 1988
ENHANCED HUMAN PERFORMANCE
INVESTIGATION (U)
By:
EDWIN C. MAY
*
*
Prepared for;
SRI ^Project 1291
Copy
of 5 Copies
This document consists of 10 pages
SRI/GF-031
proved
Pa9J%JRfti^6-00789R002200670001 -4
(415! 326-6200
• TWX: 910-373-2046
•
Telex: 334-486
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A.A
(U) TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES
iii
I
INTRODUCTION
A.
Overview
B.
Definitions
C.
Program Scope
D.
Program Objectives
E.
Program Resources
II
PROGRESS TO DATE
A.
Status of Subcontracts
B
.
Status of Consultants
*
.
.
C.
Progress to Date for Each Objective/Task
III
PROBLEM AREAS
IV
PROJECT MILESTONE CHART
...
V
COST SUMMARY
APPENDIX—A POSTERIORI ASSESSMENTS OF THE
COMMITTEE
'
,.
.
. A-l
ii
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\
(U)
LIST OF TABLES
Status of Consultants for FY 1988
Enhanced Human Performance Investigation—-FY 1988
Summary of Finances—FY 1988
#
iii
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I
INTRODUCTION (U)
A.
(U)
Overview
\ In accordance with
the requirements
set
forth under
the
program,
’’Enhanced Human Performance
Investigati-r
Tjthis document provides
a progress update
for work
performed by SRI
International
and
its
subcontractors during
Fiscal Year
1987,
The aim of
the five-year program
(FY 1986-1990)
is
to provide
research and development
in
the area of psychoenergetics
as
a means
to
enhancing human performance
B.
(U)
Definitions
(U)
Psychoenergetic phenomena are defined here
as direct interactions between human
consciousness and
the environment,
which,
although
the mechanism
is unexplained,
can be
observed
and
recorded.
These human
capabilities
fall
into
two
main
categories:
(1)
the
acquisition of information, and
(2)
the production of physical
effects.
These can be
further
defined as:
•
Remote Viewing (RV) /Extrasensory
Perception
(ESP)
- The
ability
to
gain
access, by mental means alone,
to concealed data or remote
sites.
®
Remote Action (RA)/Psychokinesis (PK) - The ability to influence, by mental
means alone, physical or biological systems.'
C.
(U)
Program Scope
__ This program
is designed
to provide
the necessary foundation
to assess various aspects of psychoenergetics
<
"
-\
I
u
The program
is highly diverse and
interdisciplinary;
it
spans many
fields and
involves academic and research facilities,
subcontractors,
and
consultants.
Furthermore,
it
initiates
an
in-depth
investigation
into
the
life sciences aspects
of psychoenergetic phenomena.
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During this seesion,
I felt two strong areas where the "X" may
be and so
I marked both.
The project officer then told me to pick
one so
I marked one as primary.
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Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000100210005-3 rae, yr) Fr rk, wy Germ vA dn Breads dd Goes ed sus pecionw OF Anse = pam red Stes A soemns TF 8 em. eget PT Oo «+f? ay +O pe More Ss Syte gers eo NoeTw e- OF LIGt aH / Tre 1 smrenwe Mat en sy / ors cry mB Bors! “ rAd isdn pore Oe re sane — ras To 5 no? Ss: os eae E -psstre a — p one a) flo Oba neon 7 eer 'e 8S Ons gos ef ayne ef ww vo ow Oo Teh ‘ sont “ ; SnnT 4 Jn a. w4 é t é Py pape oe ACS EY cot — tae + Low Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000100210005-3
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PROJECT NO
EVRl.URTIOn RECORDS
pRnFiniEncY projects
Eualuation
Cateaorles
(For tey elements)
a.
Concept /generic
Proficiency
Analysis
Outside
Coordinator
Specialist
Reuieuier
Other
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labeling
a.
Concept /Generic
b
.
Analytic
labeling
a.
Concept /Generic
b
.
Analytic
labeling
b
.
Analytic
labeling
Concept /Generic
b.
Analytic
labeling
a.
Concept/Generic
b
.
Analytic
labeling
Concept /Generic
b
.
Analytic
labeling
a.
Concept /Generic
/' /
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labeling
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ATTACHMENT
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: CIA-RDP96-00789R002400580001 -2
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Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002400140001-0
SESSION INFORMATION
A.
TARGET DATA:
Task/Target No.
Session No.
B.
PERSONNEL DATA :
Source No.
Monitor’s No.
Beacon/ Sender No.
C.
SESSION DATA:
Date Task Received
Session Date
Start Time
Stop Time
Method used
Aids/Distractions
(Pis)
Pre-session hunches
(AVs)
Date Summary Returned
D.
EVALUATION DATA:
Viewer
' s Estimate
Evaluator's Estimate
E.
SESSION SUMMARY :
Site had a red big red square structure with many windows and
doors.
Structure seemed to be in a somewhat isolated area.
People are here working.
It seems to be an administration
building.
Some of the work being done here
is important and this
work
is transmitted to several men sitting someplace else.
The
men sitting someplace else are doing investigating work.
One man
has dark hair.
The men are middle-aged.
They are working hard.
It seems as though the men are working on the same case.
92-4
079
24 Jan 92
28 Jan 92
Solo
28 Jan
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Approved For Release 20
!/i
-TT0789R002200670001 -4
NAME:
Mike Wartell
Comments:
1.
Good study.
Seems carefully done.
Interesting result.
Recommendation:
Yes
November
4,
1988
NAME:
Phil Zimbardo
Comments:
This
is
a superb example
of meta-analysis
that helps
to
clarify some
of the
central
issues
in F.C. precog experiments
(what
variables co-vary with study
outcome,
etc.)
and
to
yield
some
strong
support
for
significant
effect
of
directional
hitting.
Excellent attempt to quantify study quality.
Also
this analysis dispels several myths promoted by
critics of parapsychology,
e.g.,
that
effects disappear as methodological rigor increases,
or that selective
reporting affects the cumulative significance of precog.
studies.
Page 4 - type - of omitted.
Recommendation:
Yes
November
4,
1988
A- 25
UNCLASSIFIED
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