Approved For Release 2000/08 RF § #-fOP96-00789R002200380001 -6 (S/NF) Assuming that the fiducial value of 64% hitting rate was the true rate in FY 1986, then the FY 1988 result is significantly greater (p < 0.038). (S/NF) Given that there was a significant enhancement in hitting rate during the formal trials, and that in FY 1988 there was a strong improvement in hitting rate during the exploratory phase, it is possible, then, to conclude that some of the sources of noise found by V002 might be valid. Although it is unlikely (because of the decline effect) that practice can account for the improvement, we are unable to rule it out with the current protocol. The challenge for future research is to develop a protocol to test specific sources of noise. 10. (U) Objective F, Task 1--Determine Appropriate Parameters For Fuzzy Set RV Analysis (S/NF) All of the remote viewings conducted during FY 1987 that used National Geographic magazine have been reanalyzed during FY 1988. The analysis of these data used a subjective rank-order technique. For each RV response, the intended target and 6 decoys were ranked in order from most to least correspondence. The combined average sum-of-ranks was 3.781 where the expected average was 4.00 (z = 1.87; p & 0.031). Thus, even including the real-time versus precognition experiment which failed to reach independent statistical significance, the total RV effort for FY 1987 showed statistical evidence for remote viewing. (U) One of the most pressing problems in remote viewing is to determine the quantitative amount of information that is transferred. Before any basic physics model of remote viewing can be developed, it is critical to know the amount of information. There have been a number of attempts to quantify the information content in natural scenes in the past, but none of them appeared to work as a description of even that target portion of the remote viewing. It is an even more difficult problem to codify the information content in natural language (i.e, the response). (U) A number of attempts were made during FY 1988 to use various entropy encodings in order to discover what is required for more precise determinations. None of the attempts produced satisfactory results. We speculate that there may by a fundamental limit to information encoding of an RV experiment. The limit arises in that is appears impossible to tell whether a particular target element is sensed by RV techniques or is simply due to a natural bias on the part of the viewer. It may be possible, however, to construct an information encoding based on a measure of average response bias. Much more work is needed before an accurate encoding is possible. 7 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002200380001-6
Approved For Release 2DPAPETPSA 6/5 FFT]F9H00789R002200380001-6 Til PROBLEM AREAS (U) (U) There have been no major problems during FY 1988. We encountered a minor problem with the contract to Los Alamos. We were delayed in starting until April, 1988, because of administrative problems. We also encountered one technical problem in that one visit to Los Alamos produced no data because there was a computer failure. Throughout the year we encountered some difficulty in scheduling large groups of individuals for the mass screening task. 8 UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002200380001-6
Approved For Release 2PPAPEIEA SS FFE PO 789R002200380001-6 IV PROJECT MILESTONE CHART (U) (U) Table 2 is the overall project milestone chart for FY 1988. Table 2 (U) ENHANCED HUMAN PERFORMANCE INVESTIGATION--FY 1988 Objective A--Protocols: ee ee 4 Design a es ee ee ee a ee Objective C--Replications Task 1 es ee ee  —— task* Pr Objective F--RV Analysis Task 1 , | | | objective FAY Anatisis Task 1 fp —} | —_} Objective G--Support Key ¥— a End With Deliverable qa ® Deliverable © End w/o Deliverable UNCLASSIFIED 9 UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002200380001-6