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12.
(U)
Search and Tracking
(S/NF)
As was seen
in
Section V.-B.,
above,
significant evidence
for search was
found overall (n =
3,790,
z = 2,61, p < 0.0045, d = 0,042).
Most of these trials were collected
in experiments using computer techniques.
In a few experiments, however, the target material
was physical objects in a laboratory setting. The effect sizes from these experiments do not differ
significantly from the overall
result.
(S/NF)
Search has always been a challenge. On a few occasions, operational use of
search has proved extremely useful data, but on the average, both the laboratory experiments
and operational use have been disappointing.
SRI recommends continued
effort in search to
determine those factors that can enhance a potentially very useful phenomenon.
13.
(U)
Precognitive Remote Viewing
(S/NF)
The
first SRI precognition experiment provided
significant evidence of the
phenomenon
(n =
4,
z =
1.73, p <
0.042,
d
=
0.864). 13
From FY
1975
to FY
1987,
precognition was not studied in any systematic manner.
During FY
1987, one experiment was
conducted using natural
sites as targets and one of the group G1
viewers.
The result was not
significant
(
=
10,
z = -0.476, p < 0.683, d = -0.150).
A second experiment using novice
viewers was conducted in the same year.
This also did not reach a significant level
(n = 55,
z = 0.070, p < 0.472, d = 0.064).
Therefore,
the
results of SRI’s investigations are mixed.
However,
in a recent meta-analysis of the precognition forced-choice
literature conducted by
one of SRI’s subcontractors, 50 years of experimentation involving 50,000 subjects showed highly
significant evidence for the phenomenon
(
<=» 10 6
, z = 24.23
, p < 4 X 10 -52
, d = 0.041).
This
result
is consistent with the forced-choice real-time studies conducted at SRI
(
d
= 0.052).
(S/NF)
Taken as a whole, there appears to be compelling evidence for precognition.
When precognition is used as the underlying assumption for a heuristic model of psychoenergetic
functioning, 15 years of random number generator data
fall on the predicted theoretical curve. 14
14.
(U)
Analytics (Forced-Choice)
(U)
Forced-choice remote
viewing
(defined
in
Section
IV. -A.)
has
traditionally
provided weak but consistent evidence for a psychoenergetic phenomenon.
In the experiments
conducted during the Rhine era, over one million trials were conducted with ESP cards
(i.e., a
one-in-five target system). 15
Strong significances were observed, but effect
sizes were
of the
order of 0.02.
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(S/NF)
Table 3 shows the results for 19,675 trials collected at SRI since 1973.
The
effect size
is consistent with the early results of Rhine
(
d
= 0.052).
In fiscal years 1986-1988,
one of the viewers from group Gl was able to increase the effect size by a factor of 10
(n = 50,
p <,
0.00015, d =
0.51),
meeting Cohen’s
definition
of a
strong
effect.
While
there was
significant improvement with this viewer during the three years, the number of formal trials was
small, and thus interpretation
is difficult.
(S/NF)
SRI
recommends
that
a
forced-choice
investigation
be
continued
to
determine
if such strong effects can be observed in other viewers.
15.
(U)
Conducting an RV Experiment
(S/NF)
No
formal
experimentation
has
been
conducted
to
examine
session
parameters that enhance remote viewing.
SRI does not use any formal induction technique, and
the
sessions
are conducted
in a businesslike atmosphere
with the viewer and monitor
sitting
upright and opposite each other across a table.
Since the overall effect size (d = 0.385) observed
for group Gl meets Cohen’s definition of a medium-sized effect, these session conditions do not
appear to hinder the phenomenon.
16.
(U)
Countermeasures
(S/NF)
The
first
step
in
investigating countermeasures
for remote
viewing
is
to
examine whether
it
is possible to shield against psychoenergetic intrusion.
As was discussed in
Section V.-C.-10, E&M shielding does not appear to be effective.
(S/NF)
To provide an effective shield or a useful physical countermeasure,
it must
be determined whether psychoenergetic phenomena
interact with the physical
world.
In the
remote action studies conducted at SRI, most of the studies have not demonstrated any evidence
of psychoenergetic interaction with the physical world.
(S/NF)
Two exceptions are worthy of discussion.
In a study conducted in FY 1979
involving random number generators,
the
significant results were consistent with the historical
database of such experiments.
Later,
it was shown that these results are not due to
a physical
interaction, but rather due to precognition. 14
(S/NF)
During FY 1975,
a striking anomaly was observed when one of the viewers
from group Gl attempted to influence a shielded magnetometer.
The device was perturbed in a
significant manner, but no other experiments were conducted that showed similar non-statistical
results.
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