Approved For Relea
6-00788R001 800240001 -7
(u)
and the application of standard
statistical procedures.
By
its nature, the descriptor-list
approach
is quite conservative, given that much information
is
lost in the reduction to the
coded representation, but the gain in objectivity and data manipulation capability
is
considered to be a reasonable trade-off.
B.
(U)
Observations and Conclusions
(U)
Analysis of the data results in plots of a quantity called Figure of Merit (FM),
which
is
a combined measure of the
reliability of RVer statements, and the accuracy and
completeness of target description.
Based on the
earlier development work on the training
procedure under study,
a particular performance curve was anticipated:
•
A baseline region of relatively poor performance.
•
An unstable region of anomalously-high
“ first-time effect” immediately
following initial instruction.
•
A
region of slowly-increasing stable growth to levels above baseline
performance.
For
all three RVers, the evolution of the distribution of data points over time,
aligns with the
predicted performance curve, and several measures of the correlation reach
statistical
significance; thus, the data-point distribution appears not to be random, but patterned as
anticipated.
With regard to overall performance, one of the three RVers generated
independently statistically significant
results, with regard to
(1) the
(positive)
slope of the
learning curve, and
(2) the increase in mean performance level achieved in training
(as
compared with baseline).
(U)
It thus appears that the data generated in this study, collected under rigorous
double-blind conditions and analyzed by objective computer-automated procedures, provide
support for the Track
I Training model developed in earlier efforts.
All remote viewers
showed an increase in performance over baseline level,
exhibiting growth in conformation
with a predicted performance curve—one significantly
so.
- 17 -
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Approved For Release;
96-00788R001 800240001 -7
C.
(U)
Recommendations for Follow-on Efforts
(U)
Given the success of this study,
several follow-on explorations suggest themselves,
which could not be pursued in the present level-of-effort study because of limited time and
funds:
•
A matched companion study of three RVers—30
trials each
(minimum)—should be pursued,
in which no training information
is
provided to the trainees.
This would provide a comparison between the
progress observed in the Track
I Training process, and the progress that
could be generated by practice alone
(a control study)
.
•
Working with the present RVers, continue development of their RV
skills
by progressing through the stages of the Track
I Training procedures as
presently structured.
•
Again working with the present RVers,
additional targeting methods should
be introduced on an intermixed basis to determine whether the Track
I
Training procedure continues to be effective under alternative targeting
protocols.
- 18 -
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001800240001-7
Approved For Releas
^j^|g!g6-00788R001 800240001 -7
Appendix A
DESCRIPTOR LIST (U)
- 19 -
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Approved For Release
800240001-7
Appendix A
DESCRIPTOR LIST (U)
Evaluator
Remote Viewer
S i te /Descr iptor
(circle one)
yes
no
1-
Is
a hill, mountain or volcano,
or
series
of
such
a
significant
feature
of
the
s ite /descr iption?
2.
Is
a building
(or buildings)
or other manmade
structures
a significant part
of
the
s i te / descr iption?
3.
Is
a city
a
significant part
of
the
site/description?
4.
Is
a
small
town,
village
or
settlement
a
significant
part
of
the
si te /descr iption?
5.
Is
a
special manmade
structure
(e.g.,
tower,
fortress,
mine,
ruins)
a significant part of
the
s ite /descr iption?
6.
Is
a relatively
flat aspect
a significant
part
of
the
s ite /descr iption terrain
(including water)?
7.
Is water
a significant element
of
the
s ite /descr iption?
8.
Is
a
large expanse
of water
(ocean,
sea,
gulf,
lake
or
bay)
a significant aspect of
the
s ite /descr iption?
9.
Is
a
land/water
interface
a
significant part of
the
site /description?
10.
Is
a beach,
port or harbor
a
significant part of
the
site /description?
11.
Is
a river,
canal
or channel
a
significant part
of
the
site /description?
12.
Is
an
island
(or
islands),
or major peninsula,
a
significant part of
the
site/description?
13.
Are
three
or more major elements
(e.g.,
city, water
mountain)
all
significant parts
of
the site/description?
14.
Does
a
single major
feature,
natural
or manmade,
dominate
the
s ite /descr iption?
15.
Is
the
central
focus
or predominant ambience
of
the
site/description primarily natural rather
than manmade?
16.
Is
the
implication of
isolation or wilderness
a
significant aspect
of
the
s ite/description?
- 20 -
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Approved For Releay^j)g)|0^(g j(^|A|gg96-00788R001 800240001 -7
yes
no
17.
Is heavy foliage
or
a verdant
theme
a significant
part of
the
s i te /descr ipt ion?
18.
Is
the
s ite / descr ipt ion especially humid
or
tropical?
19.
Is
the site/description especially dry
to
the point
of
being arid?
20.
Is
snow or
ice
a significant
part of
the
site/ de script ion?
- 21 -
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Approved For Release^WQ8ffl£k£k/fcRBM6-00788R001 800240001 -7
Appendix B
LIST OF TARGET SITES (U)
- 22 -
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001800240001-7
Approved For Relea;
96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Appendix B
LIST OF TARGET SITES (U)
RVer #309
session
| date
| lat#
| long*
jname
1001 .vmi
1002 .wm
1003
.
wm
1004
.
wm
1005
.
wm
1006 .-wm
1007
.
wm
1008
.
wm
1009
.
wm
1010
.
wm
1011
.
wm
1012
.
wm
1013
.
wm
1014
.
wm
1015
.
wm
1016
.
wm
1017
.
wm
1018
.
wm
1019
.
wm
1020.
wm
1021
.
wm
1022
.
wm
1023
.
wm
1024
.
wm
1025
.
wm
1026
.
wm
1027
.
wm
1028
.
wm
1029
.
wm
1030
.
wm
19-mar-
19-mar-
26-
mar-
27-
mar-
28-
mar-
28-
mar-
29-
mar-
29-
mar-
30 mar
2-
apr-
3-
api
3-apr-
6 - apr
6-apr-
9-apr-
10-apr-
10-apr-
13-
apr-
19-
apr-
20 apr
23-apr-
14 may-
15 -may-
15 -may -
16 -may
21-
may-
2 2 -may-
2 5 -may
-
9- jul-
lO- jul-
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
+404539
+334200
+560300
+195000
+400000
+283400
+505000
-165000
+334651
+370424
+385500
+480000
-114500
+472150
-163000
+503000
+360900
+442959
+290000
+140000
+430300
+233700
+422940
+424000
+470800
+211700
+543900
+243739
+243319
+611000
+1115325
| Salt Lake City
+1173400
j Santiago Peak
-1481800
| Sea of Okhotsk
+1552500
j Mauna Kea Volcano
+0751000
j Philadelphia
-0835000
j Annapurna Mt
.
-0042100
j Brussels
+1513000
j Raiatea Island
+0910413
j Arkansas River
+1111820
j Padre Bay
+0770000
j Washington D.C.
+0870000
j Lake Superior
+0770800| Ancon
+1164515
| Chatcolet Lake
+1514500
j Bora Bora
+1043800
| Regina
+0052100
j Gibraltar
+1141729
| Klug Gulch
+0133800
j Lanzarote Island
-1210000
j Lake Taal Volcano
+0704700
j Portsmouth
-0583800
| Muscat
+1032818| Pine Ridge
-0180700
j Dubrovnik
-0093200
| Vaduz
+1575200
j Waikiki
+0083800
j Carrick
+0825223
j Fort Jefferson
+0814658
j Key West
+1500000
1 Anchorage
Latitude and
longitude
in degrees, minutes,
and
seconds
+ signifies N
for
latitude and W for
longitude.
—
signifies
S
for
latitude and
E
for
longitude.
- 23 -
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001800240001-7
Approved For ReleastINCLAS SiPTE 96-00788R001800240001-7 -br |19-mar-1984 -or | 21-mar-1984 -br | 22-mar-1984 -br | 22-mar-1984 -br | 22-mar-1984 -br|22-mar-1984 -br | 22-mar-1984 -br |] 23-mar-1984 -br | 26-mar-1984 -br | 26-mar-1984 -br | 27-mar-1984 -br | 28-mar-1984 -br | 29-mar-1984 .br | 30-mar-1984 -br| 2-apr-1984 -br| 3-apr-1984 -br| 4-apr-1984 -br| 5-apr-1984 -br| S-apr-1984 -br| 6-apr-1984 -br| 9-apr-1984 br |10-apr-1984 -br|12-apr-1984 -br|12-apr-1984 -br|13-apr-1984 br |19-apr-1984 br |19-apr-1984 -or | 20-apr-1984 -or | 23-apr-1984 -br | 24-apr-1984 -br|25-apr-1984 -br | 26-apr-1984 -br | 10-may-1984 -br|14-may-1984 -br |15-may-1984 -br | 16-may-1984 -br|17-may-1984 -br | 18-may-1984 -br | 21-may-1984 -br | 22-may-1984 -br | 29-may-1984 -br| 9-jul-1984 -br | 10-jul-1984 | 1001 | 1002 | 1003 | 1004 | 1005 | 1006 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001800240001-7 RVer #558 | +271000 | +O580200|Atlantic Ocean | +474900 | +1234200|Mt. Olympus | +423000 | -O153000|Adriatic Sea | +150100 | +1082800|Pacific Ocean | +390417 | +1065659|Pyramid Peak | +400000 | +0751000|Philadelphia | +702600 | +O800000 | Pittsburgh | +394000 | -0442300|Mt. Ararat | +304000 | +O880500 | Mobile | -062300 | -1553300|Bougainville Island | -344000 | +0583000|Buenos Aires | +274400 | -O881100|Kanchenjunga Mt. | +263700 | +0765700|Hope Town | +41 3600 | -0014800|Montserrat Mt. | +230700 | +0822500|Havana | +692100 | -O120800|Arctic Ocean | +422700 | -O184600 | Kotor | -251500 | +O574000 | Asuncion | +372630 | -O252400|Mikonos Island | +252111 | +0810702|Shark River | +431800 | -0494000|Caspian Sea | +581900|+1551500|Ten Thousand Smokes | +450000 | +0931000|St. Paul | +280119 | +0814354 | Winterhaven | +452400|+1214100|Mt. Hood | +340600 | -O710500|Khyber Pass | +140500 | +0871400 | Tequeigalpa | +403439 |+1121054| Copper Mine | - 290400 | -1675700 | Kingston | +435500 | +1104000| Jackson Lake | +414437 | +0695723|Pleasant Bay | +521200 | +1741200|Atka | +045600 | -1145800|Bandar Seri Begawan | +602 300 | -O052000 | Bergen | +243319|+0814658|Key West | +220400 | -1213200]| Orchid Island | +382656 | +1091426|La Sal Mts. | +321800 | +0644800 | Hamilton | +413900|+0824915|South Bass Island | +455200 | -O061000|Lake Annecy | +403853 | +0740014|Sunset Park | +195000 | +1552500|Mauna Kea Volcano | 051900 | +0040100 | Abidjan -24- UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Releas
L96-00788R001 800240001 -7
RVer #694
session
| date
| lat
long
name
1001.
gr
1002.
gr
1003.
gr
1004
.
gr
1005.
gr
1006.
gr
1007.
gr
1008.
gr
1009
.
gr
1010
.
gr
1011
. gr
1012
.
gr
1013
.
gr
1014
.
gr
1015
.
gr
1016
.
gr
1017
.
gr
1018
.
gr
1019
.
gr
1020.
gr
1021
.
gr
1022
.
gr
1023
1024.
1025.
1026.
1027.
1028.
1029
1030.
.gr
.gr
.gr
.gr
.gr
.gr
.gr
.gr
21-
mar-
-
-
23-
23-
26-
27-
27-
-mar
-mar
-mar
mar
mar
mar
•mar
3-apr
5-apr
5-apr
10-apr
lO-apr
10-apr
12-
apr
13-
apr
19-
apr
20-
apr
23-
apr
24-
apr
25-
apr
25-apr-
1 -may-
3-may-
14-
may-
15-
may-
18-may-
21-
may-
2 9 -may
10-jul-
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
+401517
-333000
+455500
+620000
-391800
+394000
+521500
+305000
+564000
-211600
+363923
+220400
+680800
-025000
+411533
+374942
+265833
+375618
+485200
+252100
-531600
+611000
+440300
+051900
+165100
+385104
+571500
+481000
+440624
+382656
+1053655
| Long
' s Peak
+0704000
j Santiago
+0685700
j Mt
.
Katahdin
-0194500| Gulf of Bothnia
- 1 740500
j Mt
.
Egmont
-0442 300
j Mt
. Ararat
-0210000
j Warsaw
+0812600
j Cumberland Island
+0050400
j Glencoe
+1574800
j Diamond Head
+0755604| National Wildlife Reserve
-1213200| Orchid Island
+1514500 |Anaktuvuk Pass
-0351300
| Olduvai Gorge
+0724548
j Rogers Island
+0755932
j Tangier Island
+08205 2 7
j Port Char 1otte
+0752143
j Chincoteague Island
+1140949
j Glacier National Park
-HOllOoj Guilin
+0703500
j Straits of Magellan
+1500000
j Anchorage
+0685000 jvinalhaven Island
+0040100
j Abidj an
+0995600
| Acapulco
+1065101
j Mesa Verde National Park
+0042500
j Loch Ness
+1203200
j Lake Chelan
+0735608
j Lake Tear
+1091426
I La Sal Mts.
-25-
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001800240001-7
Approved For Releasj^j)^(j8/^8jg^F|gfg6-00788R001 800240001 -7
Appendix C
CHRONOLOGICAL RECORD OF RVer SESSIONS (U)
-26-
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Approved For Relea^^Q/^^:^j^-^)^6-00788R001 800240001 -7
Appendix C
CHRONOLOGICAL RECORD OF RVer SESSIONS (U)
TRAINING RESULTS
(U)
Viewer
309
Session
Code
Folder
Code
Accuracy
Reliability
Merit
1001.wm
70160
79.00
3425201
0.1250
0.1667
0.0208
1002.wm
2000160
81.00
2000161
0.8000
1.0000
0.8000
1003. wm
70160
82.00
70160
1 .0000
1.0000
1.0000
1004 .wm
2000160
56.00
2000161
0.8000
1.0000
0.8000
1005 .wm
2000160
68.00
1467000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1006.2m
3404200
7.00
2000161
0.2000
0.2000
0.0400
100 7 .wm
70160
20.00
1465000
0.3333
0.3333
0.1111
1008 .wm
2000160
75.00
3276674
0.2143
0.7500
0.1607
1009 .wm
76151
11.00
2065160
0.6250
0.5556
0.3472
1010 .wm
2074050
67.00
2074460
0.7500
0.8571
0.6429
10 1 1 .wm
2064041
99.00
1465000
0.5000
0.5000
0.2500
1012 .wm
3464200
88.00
70160
0.3333
0.2857
0.0952
1013 .wm
70160
6.00
3476206
0.2727
0.5000
0.1364
1014 .wm
3064202
24.00
75170
0.3333
0.4286
0.1429
1015 .wm
2074440
18.00
2277474
0.5385
1.0000
0.5385
1016 .wm
74061
76.00
1467000
0.4286
0.4286
0.1837
101 7 .wm
1344000
35.00
3476700
0.2727
0.6000
0.1636
1018. wm
2075050
50.00
2000162
0.4000
0.2500
0.1000
1019.wm
1465000
52.00
3676642
0.3846
0.8333
0.3205
1020 .wm
3276210
90.00
2074564
0.5000
0.5000
0.2500
1021 .wm
3474200
73.00
1476000
0.8571
0.7500
0.6429
1022 .wm
3340200
62.00
3576200
0.5000
0.8333
0.4167
1023 .wm
3276201
69.00
40060
0.3333
0.1000
0.0333
1024 .wm
1475000
30.00
1576100
0.6667
0.8571
0.5714
1025 .wm
3374010
93.00
3425351
0.4545
0.5556
0.2525
1026 .wm
2076540
96.00
3476604
0.6364
0.7778
0.4949
102 7 .wm
3275241
22.00
1567050
0.6000
0.5455
0.3273
1028 .wm
3174240
34.00
1176520
0.6000
0.6667
0.4000
1029 .wm
3264250
47.00
1576620
0.4545
0.5556
0.2525
1030 .wm
2040061
5.00
3476201
0.3000
0.6000
0.1800
-27-
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Approved For Releasejjlj^ji/^
TRAINING RESULTS
(U)
Viewer
558
Ses s ion
Code
Folder
Code
Accuracy
Reliability
Merit
1001 .br
74060
14.00
70160
1002.br
2000160
64.00
2000161
1003 .br
2070160
3.00
70160
I004.br
1400100
66.00
70164
I005.br
1440100
74.00
2000161
1006 .br
70160
68.00
1467000
1007.br
1440000
70.00
1467000
1008.br
2070160
9.00
2000161
I009.br
2000160
59.00
1477600
I0l0.br
2076440
19.00
3376674
I0ll.br
3576200
21.00
1476000
10l2.br
2075061
45.00
2000161
I0l3.br
1540000
43.00
1476450
1014 .br
2074041
60.00
3100161
I0l5.br
1440000
41.00
1476004
I0l6.br
3474241
10.00
70161
I0l7.br
1476000
51.00
3476200
1018 .br
3140160
12.00
1467400
10l9.br
1575100
58.00
3676640
1020 .br
1475010
83.00
65170
1021 .br
3440000
23.00
70160
1022.br
2040161
94.00
2040063
1023 .br
70160
78.00
1467000
1024.br
3274000
100.00
1474000
I025.br
3474200
42.00
2000161
I026.br
70160
48.00
2040062
I027.br
3565000
92.00
3467004
1028.br
2074040
27.00
2100161
1029 .br
2076460
49.00
2376650
1030 .br
3077241
44.00
3476671
1031 .br
1100100
71.00
1077140
I032.br
1376300
13.00
3274460
1033.br
3376674
16.00
3577634
1034.br
1376061
17.00
3477201
I035.br
1074060
47.00
1576620
1036 .br
3164120
65.00
3276674
1037 .br
1376450
53.00
2000161
1038 .br
3476610
40.00
1476400
I039.br
3276150
84.00
1376440
1040 .br
1565000
8.00
2074150
1041.br
3276000
87.00
1467000
I042.br
3065000
56.00
2000161
1043 .br
3074602
1.00
1477004
0.8333
0.8333
0.6944
0.8000
1.0000
0.8000
1.0000
0.8571
0.8571
0.1429
0.3333
0.0476
0.2000
0.2500
0.0500
0.2857
0.3333
0.0952
0.4286
1.0000
0.4286
0.8000
0.5714
0.4571
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.5333
1.0000
0.5333
1.0000
0.7000
0.7000
0.8000
0.4444
0.3556
0.3000
0.7500
0.2250
0.4286
0.4286
0.1837
0.3750
1.0000
0.3750
0.7143
0.5000
0.3571
0.7778
1.0000
0.7778
0.2500
0.2857
0.0714
0.5000
0.6667
0.3333
0.6250
0.6250
0.3906
0.1667
0.2500
0.0417
0.8333
0.8333
0.6944
0.2857
0.3333
0.0952
0.8333
0.7143
0.5952
0.2000
0.1250
0.0250
0.6000
0.5000
0.3000
0.7778
0.8750
0.6806
0.3333
0.3333
0.1111
0.6667
0.8889
0.5926
0.7143
0.9091
0.6494
0.2222
0.6667
0.1481
0.6000
0.6000
0.3600
0.8667
0.8667
0.7511
0.6364
0.6364
0.4050
0.5455
0.8571
0.4675
0.4286
0.7500
0.3214
0.2000
0.0909
0.0182
1.0000
0.72 73
0.7273
0.8000
0.7273
0.5818
0.3750
0.4286
0.1607
0.7143
0.6250
0.4464
0.2000
0.1667
0.0333
0.5556
0.5556
0.3086
-28-
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 800240001 -7
Approved For Releas^J^(j8^^^j^gg96-00788R001 800240001 -7
TRAINING RESULTS
(U)
Viewer
694
Session
Code
Folder
Code
Accuracy
Reliability
Merit
I001.gr
2000160
55.00
2000161
0.8000
1.0000
0.8000
1002 .gr
70161
80.00
3440001
0.4000
0.2857
0.1143
1003
. gr
2040162
46.00
2000161
0.8000
0.6667
0.5333
1004.gr
2040060
39.00
70160
0.5000
0.7500
0.3750
I005.gr
70160
32.00
2000161
0.6000
0.5000
0.3000
1006
. gr
2040060
9.00
2000161
0.6000
0.7500
0.4500
1007.gr
2074440
98.00
1467000
0.4286
0.4286
0.1837
1008
. gr
2074040
28.00
1277470
0.4167
0.8333
0.3472
I009.gr
2074440
37.00
2000170
0.4000
0.2857
0.1143
1010.gr
3174310
29.00
3476754
0.6429
0.9000
0.5786
I0ll.gr
3040000
15.00
75460
0.1250
0.3333
0.0417
I0l2.gr
2040062
65.00
3276674
0.2857
0.8000
0.2286
1013 .gr
2040174
4.00
3240161
0.6250
0.7143
0.4464
10l4.gr
70160
63.00
40166
0.6667
0.6667
0 .4444
1015.gr
3274200
77.00
1276400
0.7500
0.7500
0.5625
10l6.gr
3440000
91.00
1276440
0.2222
0.5000
0.1111
101 7 .gr
2074450
72.00
1465000
0.5000
0.3750
0.1875
1018.gr
3274210
26.00
1277440
0.6000
0.6667
0.4000
10l9.gr
2074160
36.00
2074071
0.7778
0.8750
0.6806
I020.gr
3265210
38.00
3400100
0.5000
0.2222
0.1111
I02l.gr
2074470
86.00
75560
0.7778
0.7778
0.6049
1022.gr
3375200
5.00
3476201
0.7000
. 7000
0.4900
1023.gr
3274010
95.00
1277470
0.5833
0.8750
0.5104
I024.gr
2074071
1.00
1477004
0.4444
0 . 4444
0.1975
I025.gr
3274200
2.00
3477614
0.5385
0.8750
0.4712
1026.gr
3475200
57.00
2000062
0.2500
0.1111
0.0278
102 7 .gr
3275040
54.00
2074170
0.6667
0.6667
0.4444
1028.gr
74470
25.00
2074171
0.7000
0.8750
0.6125
1029.gr
2074460
89.00
2074170
0.7778
0.8750
0.6806
1030.gr
2075050
53.00
2000161
0.4000
0.2500
0.1000
-29-
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001800240001-7