Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-45 ( 2 tN Loran SPECIAL ACCESS FROGRAM nm SPECIAL REPORT THIS MATERTAL 1S =x NOVEMBER 1989 HOSE WITH VERTFITED “EAR LEVEL 2 (59-3), ACCESS TO SUN &° CLASSIFIED BY: DIA/ST DECLASSIFY BYs OADR 0) PPP NGEORN SPECIAL ACCESS. FROGRAM Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 UNCLASSIFIED CONTENTS PURFEOSE cee ect nace i BACKGROUND San | Lt EVALUGT ION sv et et a nt ti ie wen er re ee eh I. FROJECT RECORD DETAILS Ii. DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS TO ANALYSTS/DATA REVIEWERS UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 UNCLASSIFIED CONTENTS FURFOSE wae ee nn tem i BACKGROUND see i ta i itn et 1.°Data Base | “Ol Evaluation Taethni ques 3. Evaluation Results TEL FINDINGS © 0 mene en fete APPEND IX T. PROJECT RECORD DETAILS Il. DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS TO ANALYSTS/DATA REVIEWERS | UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 FIGURE 1. FIGURE 2. FIGURE 3. FIGURE 4. FIGURE 7. FIGURE 4... igure So UNCLASS TF TED LIST OF FIGURES Number of Frojects as a Function of type Data Categories Evaluation Scales summary Data. Evaluation Sheet--~Example Overall “Data Correlations Overall Averages for all Project Types Expected Resultea for Approximately FOG Data Accuracy~~-Sel ected Personnel UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 PUREOSE s (S/NF /S5-2 Purpose of this report is ta provide an evaluation of the SUN STREGEK operational projects conducted since 1°36. Ae Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 «Ud (G/SF /S5-2) SUN STREAK is an in-house DIA project for developing an operational psychoenargetics (i.@., remnate viewing) capability for the Intelligence Communi ty . Twelve General Defense Intelligence Frogram (GDIF) billets were authorized for DIA in 1986 for this activity. Fersonmel from the ARMY TINSCOM CENTER LANE Froaject who had been examining similar phenomenon were transferred to DIA to form the SUN STREAK core group. DIA had earlier (1985) received operational control from Ht DA for this 6-pergon Army unit. (S/NF /S65-2) In 1965, the DIA SUN STREAK Frogeamnm Manager preaparec an Action Flan thats (1) detailed the steps necessary to crane agtatfing and support needs, and Ch) seat forth key programmatic requiramnants for the SLIM STREAR activity. The peeeen Flan ant Led pet ecl. ‘that. the. Limes equi rac Far. AGH ev 18g a prototype os, “operational ‘eapabiTity would" be. appre ‘imately. % rr Pe (S/NE/SS—2) Kay aspects of this Action Flan, along with additional procedural information, were sent to cangressional committees in 1986. The IC staff was also briefed at this time an the Action Flan. and on- anticipated . SUN STREAE. operatianal development and data, evaluation procedures. - (S/NE/SS-2). Frogrammatic and operational requirements identified in the Action Flan were tos (1) gain Special. Access — Fraqgeamn (SAF) status (accomplished in March 1985) (2) gain human Uuge approval (granted in. March i988): Ch) set up a Senior, Oversight and a Task Coordinating Committee “ Checomplished > though mot currantly activated); (4) establis ah tight project controle along with an automated database management and records aystem (accomplighad); and (3) ta abligh an R/D. link for supporki ng ‘ational capability development Caccomplished via HO SGD funching and a DARPA MIPR). a (SY NF Zoo The B/D link, via SRI International, has yielded improved data evaluation procedures, has idantified potential persannel selection techniques, and has cantributed to training/development methods that are currently in project use. sactivity at SRI has received and continues to receive ngive review by a 9-member peer review panel to insure that antific rigor is maintained in all their activities. “y ~ CS / NF 7/55 The bagic approach amployed by SUN STREAK toward developing a prototype aperational Remate Viewing CRY) capability is to locate personnal with potential RV capability a = Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 tion the CENTER LANE unit. to DIAg C2) idantifiad SUN: STREAK .
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 and to develap these abilities via appropriate training? davelopmant proceduras. Once satisfactory progress ig moted on ra~verdify teaining taske, these individuals are presented training and apere onal simulation targets. Qoerational simulation targets are usually US military ar US scle@ntiftioa te 6 where ground truth ig totally known or can be dily determined. Gatistactory performance on these tasks qualify an individual for operational prajects of interest ta the intelligance community. In many of the operational projects, however, geound truth is usually not known. (ar is only partially knawnd. Congequently, complete evaluation af the viewer's data cannot be made until a later time when ground truth doas become available. In the interim, reasonable estimates of the averall validity of the viewer‘’s data can be made for many of the operational projects worked, based an what is generally known or guspectad about the target. These interim @valuation results are updated whenever new ground truth is received. “ pe (S/NE/S8~2) The operational projects p “are “appraved by the Program’ Madagar: and are gin part, based” ono 0% ’ the Frogram Manager's familarity with Intelligence Community ¢IC) neads and om solicitation from others within the IC who have been briefed inmta the SUN STREAK program. -(S/NF/S8-2) The Evaluations performed for this repart cover all the operational and operational simulation projects. ae (approximately 200) that have bean worked by SUN STREAK persannel gimce 1986. ° A few of the special operations called upon ‘consultants from the SRI talent pool. These results are also included in the overall evaluation. Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 (S/NE/SS—2) The SUN STREAK project maintains an extensive record of all project activity. Details include project timing, people involved (i.@., viewers, interviewers, and possibly oheervers), and a variety of other data considered essantial far good record keaping and far evaluating project results. This data, along with project summaries, are maintained in an automated data base for convenient retriaval. Copies of projec guninarieas are also sant to the Frogram Manager for his review. In addition, all raw data (i.@., sketches, viewer's notes) are maintained in a separate file@ that is available for review and anal yoig SAddi tional project) racord details are in appendix 7). eS TNF 7 S8~2)- LE & Complete ra~examination of thé entire SUN STREAK ‘aperational data base. Many of the earlier projects had only been partially evaluated, or mot evaluated at all, due to lack of suitable ground truth at the time they were completed. These projects were re-evaluated at this time to adjust For, new intelligence data that hag since became available. . -(S/NE/S5-2) For this evaluation, the data bage was subdivided into 6 main project typess (1) Scientific and Technological (8/T)" (2) Counterterrorist (CT); C3) Counternarcotics (CN) (4) Counterintelligence. (CL) §, (So) Document Contents (Dae Cont), and () predictive (pred). Tétal projects worked for thease categories are shown im Figure 1. (S/NF/SG-2} OF the nearly 200 projects worked, approximately one-half cannot be evaluated since ground truth is mot sur fic tly known at thig time. For approximately one- fourth of the projects, ground truth is totally known (Cor highly certain), and for the other one-fourth, ground truth is only partially known but cangidered surficient for making a reasonable interion @valuation. (S/NF /So-"2) Some of these project categories can averlap. For example, prediction data is algo an aspect of most of the Ch, many of the CT and a few of the S/T projects. The prediction category in Fiqure 1 refers primarily to predictions of a political/military nature, In future analysis, predictive data will be evaluated as a separate aspect of the these project cateqories. Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 tuations canducted: FOr this. report . dsivelvied. 01S ac:
2. EVALUATION | (S/NF/SS-2) Techniques weed for evaluating the SUN STREAK qperational and simulated operational database depend on the nature of the task and type of project. S/T projects are the most difficult to evaluate. This difficulty arises fram the qeneral complexity existing at most S/T target sites, from possible ambiguous aspects of Enown ground truth about the target site, from the nature of the information desired, and in a few Cases, possibly from the ramote viewing (RV) targeting method amp layed. Tt is easier ta evaluate data on S/T targets if only a single igsue, such as presence or absence (of a particular ayaten, for example) is desired, then it is to evaluate how well a viewers’ detailed but possibly fragmentary description correlates with aspects of a complex gite. In thig case a congiderable amount of subjectivity can be involved in evaluating the clacere (oF data ‘target carr@iation. o cgneys 39-2)" To assist in Feddcing ovéFal lV sabyeetivity of evaluating complex S/T targets, the viewers’ data ig examined and compared ta ground truth with several data categories in. mind. These categories are shown in Figure 2, and include qeographic descriptions, large and emall scale objects, large and small scale functions, personality data, and predictive data. ‘Not all. ‘these categories may be relevant to a specific project, and.in... SONG cag may aven be part af the RV targeting procedure used > (e.q., when a photo of target building is used as an RV targeting reference for accessing its unknown contents). . we <S/NFE/SS-2) 0 After - identifying the appropriate data -- category , the maxt step is to examine the viewers’ raw ‘Cor sumntarizecd) data for comparison to known or estimated ground feuth and to make a best judgement on what approximate degree oat data correlation actually exists. Figure = defines the scale - rakings uged along with their approximate degree of data \ correlation, (Appendix Il contains detailed instructions for analyet consideration when reviewing the datad. (S 3/NE/SS="2) Final @valuations and summaries are prepared by the Froagram Manager and/or hig project representative (who is not part of SUN STREAK, staff) in conjunction with the responsible system or Area or Intelliqance Community point-oft- contact. Latest intelligence data and reports on that target site aleao reviewed during this procega In some Cases, area Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
A. ROME J Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 on DATA CATEGORIES RIPTIONS -- e.g, TERRAIN FEATURES; ; a WATER, MOUNTAINS © _ GE SCALE) -- e.g., AIRFIELDS, FACILITY, = LAYOUT, DOCKS, SILOS — OBUECTS (SMALL SCALE) «- e.g., LASERS, TANKS, ANTENNA’ : SUN TIONS { (LARGE SCALE) -- e.g., R/D, WEAPON TESTING, ee PRODUCTION iB eens (SM ALL SCALE) =- @.g., LASER TESTING, caw = eo STORAGE, MISSILE FIRING 2 i 9 ATA «+e. g., STATE- OF-HEALTH, PHYSICAL : FEATURES, BACKGROUND REPICTIVE tee, g., PLANS, INTENTIONS, FUTURE LOCATIONS, ° | FUTURE ACTIONS/ACTIVITY SP5353.13 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 AIG
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 EVALUATION SCALES APPROX. DEGREE OF NUMERICAL DATA CORRELATION ; RATING =. PERCENT | ~~ DESCRIPTION 0 —————— 0-10 —— LITTLE OR NO CORRELATION Ao 10-30 § AN OF RELEVANT » : AND INCORRECT DATA - | 1 i eeeieenees 30-50 WITH MAJORITY INCORRECT Qn 50-70 MIXTURE OF RELEVANT - | : AND INCORRECT DATA- ae WITH MAJORITY CORRECT een 70+90 —— (_AND UNAMBIGUOUS — enn 90-100 -—— VERY HIGH TARGET oe CORRELATION WITH | ESSENTIALLY NO AMBIGUOUS DATA (.) SP5353.41 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 esaiamarcmiae analysts and the TC points-of-contact provide written appraisals to assist in the final @valuation process. These evaluations are record on summary forms and are iaintained in the Fragram Manager ’a files. (S/NF/SS-2 an example of an G/T target avaluation is in Figure 4. in this case the target site wag SG1A SG1A The project was completed in June and involved four viewers (2 praven and 2 novice). In this axamnple, the bracket ¢ 2) indicates a best estimate of data S Validity was made for that data category gince ground truth is G1A nok yet totally known + cor [ A "“dagh" means that data category was nok pre at in the viewers’ data. One of the Viewers GEIOL? attempt to describe the site 6 months in the recs thi zs the —_ “Some or the data. categories “ike. ¢ gedgraphd features, large. scale, objects): o ‘are not important from an intelligence data viewpoint since they oe are known fran conventional collection asgets. However, the viewers’ data in these categories are included in the evaluation for this praject since they tend toa provide confidence that other (as yet unknown) details in the data may be correct. (S/NF/SS—-2) A more sophisticated analysis methodology has bean recently developed by SRI for uge in evaluating complex peajects. This method's main advantage is that it allows quantified @stimates to he made for @ach anc avery data element generated by the viewer with respect to both actual target cexistence and importance. This techniqua is currently being examined for use in the SUN STREAK program and has beer applied to a few projects. However, it i6 a labor intensive technique that will probably be used only for select high interest projects in the future, (S/NF /S5-2) Most of the other SUN STREAK project types do not require a complex analysig methodology. For example, due ta the native of what type of data is desired Cand availability of collection assets that can be cued), most of the CT, CN, or geedictive projects where geoaund truth is known cari be evaluated inoa “black or white" manner. The viewers’ data, aven if not acted upon, either carrelates with the gubsequent location of the fugitive or ship, or it does mot. The event predicted did, or did not, happen. Thus, overall results for many of these projects are simply a matter of Counting hits and migses. Hit ratios crm pe ntages of hits/misses form the basis of overall data correlations made in this report far these types of prajecks. os Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 ) SUMMARY DATA EVALUATION SHEEY 0-3 SCALE _ DATA CATEGORIES 4 PROJECT COMPLETED § Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260003-4 16-4