Approved For Release 2003/01/09
: CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6
WARMING
NOTICE'S
SECRET/NOFORN
PROJECT
SLJIM STREAK
I NTELL I BENCE SOURCES AND MET HODS
I N VOL.VED
PROJ ECT NUMBER :
88 1
DATE OF SESSIONS
8 OCT 38
STARTs
1020
ME TH0D0 L. 0 G Y s
WRV
SESSION
NUMBER'S
DATE OF
REPORT':;
& OCT
EN L) s
1 1 1
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time"
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mads
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the
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forecast
,
and
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of
ground
truth
known
.m
real.
time..
Topical
searches resulting
in high potential
for
!
u .l
l
.1. me occurrence
will
be pursued
in
detail
as
i
-f
they were
S/NF/SK
)
EVAL.UA "f I ON
:
S EC RE TV N0F0RN
CD"
GADR
Approved For Release 2003/01/09
: CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6
Approved For Release 2003/01/09
: CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6
:re
WORKING PAPER
SUMMARY OF
I NFORMAT I ON
079
7 OCT
Ss
OR
a|J P««*r s a hlqh
likelihood
for
an
incursion
of
Thailand
Dy
a Laotian force
* b out 500 personnel
during
the time frame
estimated
as ranging
from 30 October
1988 to 3 November
.1.988,,
The area
of
incursion
is described
as
an
area marked
by Botene,
i....a (,js
,
an d
h 1 1 s a n u 1 a k
,
Th a i 1 an d .
See
ENCL0SURE
1.
.,
J.3ur
:i. ng
the•>
p or i ad
of
Oct oh
sar
through
Dec ii ember
1 9JiiS
a
surge
of
unI r- 0
i>t:
directs? d
a g a i n s t
t h o
( in:1 / J a p a n ese )
m i. 1 i tar y
d /f en
i5e
es tab 1 i shment
w
:!. 1 1
’follow
a
prcad i c t ab 1 e
p a 1
; er n
„
8 t Li.denl[”
-jlij
w
ii. 1
..,i
....
i..i tv," iTlOi";i strata
arid
m<ani Test
i
n
a b c
ix t
G c t o to e
{•’••
88 „
ji i
1 i
".. cir
)
/
|•"el at ed
i n d U
t.
}'
J.
j, i
i“j. t
wi
;i. I
be
the
butt .
of
si mi 1 ar
d
1 e iTion s
"ihr,at: i ons.
And
I fi
jJ0 c £5 iTi i.j 0 r
j. 9 v.J i!.j
ij
Red Army
f act
ii. o n s
w i 1
j.
t a r get
wi“s a
“
was
de
C!
j*"’
:i. bed
as
a
P resclofni nant 1 y
US
( u s e d 7‘ )
n ava
.1.
b as
L
iiiirated
in
t!he
VI
i= in
:i.
t. y
o f
1 waki
(ENCLOSURE
2)
“
Access
to the
f*»i C
ii
i
;|
:i. t y
w c:ju ]. d
V “ 0 j ;:i or tod 1 y be
ig a i n od
v i a
an
a S Boc i a
tv. ed
m L
.1.
:i. t ary
ai r
f a c i 1 i i
•
*
t
,
.
:: at
1b d
i
iTi /
m
o d
;j.
;
at el y west
or
the
'
i::l V
«::'i J.
i,,/ a S e »
!" F’rev i c)U iiii
j"* 0pci r t i
i
iii
o f
y.:lh August
1988,
i n d
:f.
i.:: a t. e d
a n
intent
of
a
is i “fta
.1.
g
»"“ o
<up
o f
p
" sa*•ine.f.
to
c.f " ash
1 "i r OU Q h
a gate
in
several
au t o iniobi
:i.
,
!
iV“i
'J
„
Up v
• i S3i. n g
.1, n
Ra j;:;) ix a New
Bui nea
th.a t
ar e
s omeh o
i.•\f
r a c
ii. al 1 /
fft Cii t i va t e (i;
O iZ c : u r
!" >
j Sjq \/e ;’Y ) {
j e r
1 988 „
Ti- * o
h
:i. g h
p r obability
of
<
ii
,
X
K:::oup d'etat"
1•oreseen
.i:o
oi:: c ur
i n
SO Ulth Korea
rea ‘i a i n S
valid;]
it
W
iill
be addressed
in
a
s ep a
i " a t e
a n d
sub S0C I U 0 i “t t
S O S yj
[
r j. on
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