Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : SEOREob789R002200470001-6 Table 3 (U) STATISTICAL RESULTS FOR INFORMATIONAL CATEGORIES Forced-Choice All 19,675 7.42 6.12 (-14) 0.052 G1 9,487 5.82 2.92 (-09) 0.060 RV-Lab All-G1 10,188 4.69 1.39 (-06) 0.046 All 966 6.49 4,33 (-11) 0.209 RV-Ops 3.49 (-08) SECRET 2.71 (-06) * (U) Powers—of-ten are shown in parentheses. All 9 3.98 3.45 (-05) 1.326 9 3.98 3.45 (-05) 1.326 All 3,790 2.61 4.53 (-03) G1 - = ~ ~ All-G1 3,790 2.61 4.53 (-03) (S/NF) For the RV-Lab category, the experienced group, GJ, performs significantly better than the novice, larger group (X? = 7.63, v = 1; p < 0.0057). (S/NF) As in the overall analysis, the data analyzed in Table 3 show a large heterogeneity of effect size within each category. The heterogeneity of effect size, however, is significantly reduced for the experienced subjects in the RV-Lab category. This reduction may result from a more uniform skill level of the subjects in group GJ; this is in general agreement with our qualitative assessment of their abilities. (S/NF) Only 8.5% of the remote viewing operational trials were analyzed as a formal experiment. The effect size for these exceeds Cohen’s definition of a large effect. The intelligence requirements of operational remote viewing, however, are less dependent upon the quality of the viewing than they may be on other factors. Excellent remote viewing does not necessarily imply good intelligence information. (S/NF) Because of the usual sensitivities associated with intelligence data, obtaining evaluations of the operational remote viewing has continued to be difficult. SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002200470001-6
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : GAEKDIRE0b789R002200470001-6 (S/NF) In the RV-Search category, 91.3% of the data were collected under laboratory conditions by novice subjects. The remaining trials were conducted under operational conditions, and intelligence analysis is not available. The small effect size (dq = 0.042) is commensurate with that found in other laboratories, and may reflect our lack of understanding about how to elicit this form of psychoenergetic functioning. On (U) Specific Results for Remote Viewing (U) In this section we address the specific questions posed in the SOW. In any kind of an investigation where the general results fall under a statistical regime (i.e., z scores less than about 5), no hard definitions exist for definitive conclusions. The problem is confounded in behavioral science because many factors, beyond the particular independent variable in question, may significantly alter the outcome of an experiment. In trying to assess a large body of literature, as more constraints are placed on the outcomes, fewer within-group trials are available for analysis; thus, statistical conclusions become more difficult. This is also true for psychoenergetic research. Yet, it is possible to describe trends, to suggest ways of improving experiments based upon earlier results, and to obtain clear insights into factors that may affect psychoenergetic functioning. (S/NF) To ensure the most reliable interpretations of results in what follows below, group G1 has been used for the quantitative discussion. As was shown in Section V.~-B, this group possessed the most homogeneous set of data for the RV-Lab category and demonstrated a significant amount of remote viewing ability. 1. (U) Selection/Screening (S/NF) The selection of individuals who are able to accomplish remote viewing both in an operational setting and in the laboratory is of paramount importance. As is shown in Section V.-B., above, group G/ provides the best results for both types of remote viewing. Throughout the history of the program at SRI, 6 individuals have been able to demonstrate consistent functioning over a long period of time. This does not mean that, after vigorous searching, only 6 have been found. Rather, given our applications-oriented charter for most of the time period in question, we had little impetus to find other viewers. During fiscal years 1986-1988, it became clear that a greater number of talented viewers was needed for both applications and research. 14 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002200470001-6