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8.
(U)
Objective E, Task 3—Determine The Effects Of Hypnosis On RV Quality
(U)
During FY 1987, we found that significant remote viewing was observed after a
hypnotic recall of an earlier viewing against the same target.
In FY 1988, remote viewing sessions
were conducted while the viewers remained in trance.
The idea was to determine
if factors that
lead to noise in the response could be reduced or eliminated using hypnosis.
\
\ Two viewers (one experienced and one not) participated in the experiment.
The
results
failed to meet statistical significance, and the qualitative assessment of the viewings
was
in agreement
with
the
statistical
result.
We
conclude
that
conducting remote
viewing
experiments with the viewers in trance does not decrease or eliminate the confounding noise.
9.
(U)
Objective E, Task 4—Determine The Source Of “Mental Noise” In Binary
Psychoenergetic Tasks
v
\
During the FY 1986 effort we conducted a formal series of 50 binary
trials
using a forced-choice protocol.
One selected viewer (V002) produced a
hitting
rate of
64%
(p <
0.033) and an
effect
size
of
r =
0.26.
These
data were
collected
after
a number
of
exploratory trials that were conducted earlier in that year, but this formal result was declared to
be
a
fiducial point
(i.e.,
relative baseline)
with which to measure any future progress.
V
During FY
1987,
327 binary
trials were conducted
to
see
if V002
could
sense
if he
were
in
psychoenergetic
contact
with
the
intended
target,
and
1341
trials were
conducted to
if V002 could predict in advance his hitting rate.
V002 was unable to accomplish
the latter task, but but he was able to sense contact with the target in the former task. The effect
sizes
(i.e.,
a measure of psychoenergetic magnitude) that were observed
for the in-contact and
not-in-contact conditions were
identical
(r = 0.2), while
for the uncertain case chance
hitting
was observed
(r = 0.09).
During FY 1988, 477 binary trials were conducted with the same viewer,
in
order to determine
(subjectively)
the source
of mental
noise
in binary remote
viewing.
The
excess hitting rate involved periods of growth followed by periods of consolidation.
One period
(68
trials) showed a marked decline.
This was the only period during which V002 attempted a
large number of trials at one sitting.
V002's hitting rate (computed in trial increments) showed a
strong,
but not
significant,
increase.
According
to V002’s
subjective
impression
of
his own
internal mental processes, the sources of noise include (but are not limited to) beliefs about the
target, imagination, and comparison with past experiences.
'
^ At the end of FY
1988, V002 participated
in another formal
series of 50
trials each. He produced a
hitting
rate of 76% (p < 1.53 X
10" 4
)
for
an
effect
size
of
0.51.
%
r
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Assuming that the
fiducial value of 64% hitting rate was the true rate in FY 1986, then the FY
1988
result
is significantly greater
(p < 0.038).
^Given that there was
a
significant enhancement
in
hitting rate
during the
formal
trials, and that
in FY 1988 there was
a strong improvement
in
hitting rate
during the
exploratory phase,
it
is possible, then, to conclude that some of the sources of noise found by
V002 might be valid.
Although
it
is unlikely
(because of the decline effect)
that practice can
account
for the improvement, we
are unable
to
rule
it
out
with
the
current
protocol. The
challenge for future research
is to develop
a protocol to test specific sources of noise.
10.
(U)
Objective F, Task
1—Determine Appropriate Parameters For Fuzzy Set RV
Analysis
'
_
t All of the remote viewings conducted during FY 1987
that used National
Geographic magazine have been reanalyzed during FY 1988.
The analysis of these data used a
subjective rank-order technique.
For each RV response, the intended target and 6 decoys were
ranked in order from most to least correspondence.
The combined average sum-of-ranks was
3.781 where the expected average was 4.00
(z =
1.87; p < 0.031).
Thus, even including the
real-time
versus
precognition
experiment
which
failed
to
reach
independent
statistical
significance, the total RV effort for FY 1987 showed statistical evidence for remote viewing.
(U) One
of
the
most
pressing
problems
in
remote
viewing
is
to
determine
the
quantitative amount of information that
is transferred.
Before any basic physics model of remote
viewing can be developed,
it
is critical to know the amount of information.
There have been a
number of attempts to quantify the information content in natural scenes in the past, but none of
them appeared to w-ork as a description of even that target portion of the remote viewing.
It is an
even more
difficult problem
to
codify
the
information
content
in. natural, language
(i.e,
the
response).
(U) A number
of
attempts
were made
during FY
1988
to
use
various
entropy
encodings
in order to discover what
is required
for more precise determinations.
None of the
attempts produced satisfactory results.
We speculate that there may by a fundamental limit to
information encoding of an RV experiment.
The limit arises in that
is appears impossible to
tell
whether a particular target element
is sensed by RV techniques or
is simply due to a natural bias
on the part of the viewer.
It may be possible, however,
to construct an information encoding
based on a measure of average response bias.
Much more work
is needed before an accurate
encoding
is possible.
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UNCLASSIFIED
III PROBLEM AREAS (U)
(U) There have been no major problems during FY
1988.
We encountered
a minor
problem with the contract to Los Alamos. We were delayed in starting until April, 1988, because
of administrative problems. We also encountered one technical problem in that one visit to Los
Alamos produced no
data because there was
a computer
failure.
Throughout the
year we
encountered some difficulty in scheduling large groups of individuals for the mass screening task.
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