datamatters24/research-document-archive huggingface dataset:
hy Aole Approved For Release 2003/09/10 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001200230026-7 DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY U. S. ARMY MATERIEL SYSTEMS ANALYSIS ACTIVITY Aberdeen. Proving Ground, Maryland 21005 DRXSY-DS 13 February 1980 MEMORANDUM FOR RECORD SUBJECT: Scientific Evaluation Committee (SEC) GRILL FLAME Report, Dated November 1979 1. Subject report, transmitted to AMSAA January 1980, was found to be somewhat ambiguous and confusing. As a result, I feel that as the GRILL FLAME Project Officer, I must state for the record an exception to the following element of that report: Terminate all AMSAA GRILL FLAME efforts. This recom- mendation, as best as can be determined, js based only on a partial understanding of AMSAA’s initial effort, which was terminated before the SEC came into being. There jis an apparent mistake by the SEC in considering the AMSAA challenge/validation efforts to be an integral part of the SRI contract. Lastly, a precedent of directing a principal independent evaluation organization to terminate all efforts on a matter of Army application is considered to be an inap- propriate recommendation. 2, The following conclusions and recommendations of the subject report appear to be sound and also to reflect AMSAA GRILL FLAME Project personnel 's use: a. Observation of unexplained human capability to generate data of potential intelligence utility has been documented; however, scientific proof of these unexplained capabilities has not been accomplished due to lack of controls, repeatability and other limitations. b. Exploratory testing of the utility of these capabilities should continue; however, basic scientific research in this area is unlikely to succeed if based.on currently available information. c. A central authority is needed to manage and fund GRILL FLAME activities. yOrUTIOn, ! \CA ereeny o0 ye & NAN?” e 76 .\91° Approved For Release 2003/09/10 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001200230026-7
ene ETE Approved For Release 2003/09/10 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001200230026-7 * DRXSY-DS SUBJECT: Scientific Evaluation Committee (SEC) GRILL FLAME Report, Dated November 1979 3. 1 feel that AMSAA should continue monitoring and analyzing results of Project GRILL FLAME, and that it should, within proper constraints, be allowed to challenge through attempted replication some of the typical results in order to obtain a better perception of the associated capabilities and limitations. ae : =~ a ae I, KRAMAR AMSAA GRILL FLAME Project Officer CF: HQDA( DAMA-ZD/Mr. Gale) Cdr, DARCOM, ATTN: DRCDE/Dr. Haley Approved For Release 2003/09/10 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001200230026-7
'jltA
Approved For Release 2003/09/10
: CIA-RDP96-00788R001 200230026-7
DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY
U.
S.
ARMY MATERIEL SYSTEMS ANALYSIS ACTIVITY
Aberdeen Proving Ground,
Maryland
21005
DRXSY-DS
13 February 1980
MEMORANDUM FOR RECORD
SUBJECT:
Scientific Evaluation Committee
(SEC)
GRILL
FLAME
Report,
Dated November
1979
1.
Subject report,
transmitted
to AMSAA January
1980,
was
found
to
be
somewhat ambiguous
and confusing.
As
a
result,
I
feel
that
as
t
e
GRILL
FLAME Project Officer,
I must state
for the record an exception
to
the following element of that report:
Terminate
all
AMSAA GRILL
FLAME efforts.
This
recom-
mendation,
as
best
as
can
be determined,
is
based only
on
a
partial
understanding of AMSAA *s
initial
effort,
which was
terminated before the SEC came
into being.
an
apparent mistake by the SEC
in considering the AMSAA
challenge/val idation
efforts to
be
an
integral
part of the
SRI
contract.
Lastly,
a precedent of directing
a
principal
independent evaluation organization
to terminate
all
efforts
on
a matter of Army application
is
considered
to
be
an
inap-
propriate recommendation.
The following conclusions
and recommendations of the subject report
appear to
be soSnd and also to reflect AMSAA GRILL
FLAME Project personnel’s
use:
a
Observation of unexplained human capability to generate data of
potential
intelligence utility has
been documented;
however,
scientific
proof of these unexplained capabilities
has not been accomplished due
to
lack of controls,
repeatability and other limitations.
b
Exploratory testing of the utility of these
capabilities
should
continue;
however,
basic scientific research
in
this area
is
unlikely
to succeed
if
based. on currently available
information.
c.
A central
authority
is
needed
to manage
and fund GRILL
FLAME
activities.
OVUT/O*
ffJrhA
Approved For Release 2003/09/10
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Approved For Release 2003/09/10
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DRXSY-DS
SUBJECT:
Scientific Evaluation Committee
(SEC)
GRILL FLAME
Report.
Dated November 1979
I
feel
that AMSAA should continue monitoring and analyzing results
of Proiect GRILL FLAME,
and that
it should, within.proper constraints,
be STEEd
to challenge through attempted replication « of toe typical
results
in order
to obtain
a better perception of
the associated
capabilities and limitations.
AMSAA GRILL FLAME Project Officer
CF:
HQDA(DAMA-ZD/Mr.
Gale)
Cdr,
DARCOM,
ATTN:
DRCDE/Dr .
Haley
Approved For Release 2003/09/10
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Sertot Cowen pproved For Relqase20A0'A9H ATCIBFROAQEOSTARRO01200230034.8 © 77/C- NAVAL WEAPONS CENTER CHINA LAKE, CALIFORNIA 93555 IN REPLY REFER TO: 015/WFC: si Reg 015-015-79 2 October 1979 From: Frank Cartwright To: Chairman, Grill Flame Committee Subj: Comments on RV and PK Investigations 1. This letter is by way of an interim report on my assessment of Grill Flame activities as observed to date. (The response to the Davis questions and critique of our committee reports will follow.) I am submitting this because of a perception that our committee's ultimate findings and recom- mendations should, perhaps, embrace more than an assessment of the specific Grill Flame tasks now on going. 2. My understanding of the current DoD interest in performing PK and RV experiments on a scientific basis (rather than on an engineering or appli- cations basis) is that proof of existence of either phenomenon would compel major effort to exploit military applications of such phenomena. In partic- Cy ular, the RV phenomenon, if it exists, represents a catastrophic military deficiency if left unexploited. I believe the following observations should be kept in mind in this regard. (a) The proof of existence of a newly observed physical effect is oN extremely difficult almost by the fundamental premises of the scientific method. Phenomena which require even just a modification or extension of presently known "laws" of physics have always required detailed, and repeated physical measurements. (Interaction with other bodies, electro-magnetic fields, etc., etc.) Successful accomplishment of a definitive experiment which establishes the existence of psychic interaction with the material world in an experi- mental program of a few years is, I believe, extremely improbable. Performance of such a (repeatable) experiment would require, I believe, physical measurements, using physical measuring devices, in which the psychic phenomenon always produces the identical effect on the measuring devices. Otherwise, it cannot be said that the observed effect is uniquely caused by the psychic "interaction". I know of no major accepted modifi- cations of physical "laws" which have been based on experiments which have not established that the purported cause of an effect is always present in the manifestation of the effect, and that the effect is never present without the purported cause. An unproved proposed natura] mechanism whose effect Approved For Release 2003/09/10 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001200230034-8
UINULAOOIFILD TDR3709 INTRODUCTION Approved For Release 2002/05/17 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001300240001-2 - @e Set A group of records fulfilling any stated search requirement. A -_ set is created as a result of a successful FIND, GET, or EXPAND . command. For example, a FIND command may search using NAME IS 'SQMITH' as the criteria. All records within the selected file whose NAME field contained 'SMITH' would form a set. Up to 49 = sets can be active at one time per user. ‘ @ Current Set os The last set created by a successful search operation, such as FIND, GET, or EXPAND. am @ Keyword (POWER+) i ~ A word or phrase that is contained within a record or which =“ appropriately describes a concept within a record; can be used as a search criterion. Keywords can be up to 20 characters in length. (Keywords are stored in indices 15-17 in a MIDAS file). @ Internal Keyword (POWER+) - A keyword actually contained in the TEXT portion of a file. { Keywords are defined by bracketing then, <like so>, as text is added to each record. as e External Keyword (POWER+) A keyword that is not contained within the text of a record. al External keywords are logical search keys that describe or relate to the information contained in a particular record. External keywords are added to a record after the text has been entered. “é Data Management in POWER POWER offers all the basic tools needed for data organization and - management. With POWER you can: om e Create a file with up to 20 keys (search descriptors) for ‘ retrieving information. e® Take an already existing file and define it according to POWER aa terms; called ‘overlay’. 8 e Retrieve and display information from the file, using P| previously defined descriptors as search keys. @ Compute and update numeric data. «€ @ Change fields in selected records or change file globally. ian 1 104 7 June 1979 - Approved For Release LNG bASS bebe b)7e8R001300240001-2
Approved For Release 0aey RET po6-oo7eero01300240001-2 PROPOSAL UPDATE After considering the various computer/programs that are available, it has become clear that the most optimal way to proceed is to construct our own data base management system on an expanded Digital Equipment Corporation LSI-11/23 microcomputer, This has two principle advantages over using existing systems: * Since the LSI-11 system is nearly "desk-top" size, the potential security problem of classified computing is completely solved by having a dedicated computer, at a reasonable cost, which is maintained in a secure facility. ¢ The DBMS may be easily tailored to fit the application, 1, Hardware Upgrade For the last two years, we have been using a Digital Equipment LSI-11/2 micro-computer to monitor various psychoenergetic experiments and to perform modest computational tasks, Table 1 shows the current system configuration, which was developed for real-time data acquisition under another program, Computer data based target management and manipulation of opera- tional and training remote viewing experiments is being explored in the FY'81 Joint Services contract. The on-site monitor has been briefed on the feasibility of the system and is recommending that the hardware be expanded in FY'81]1 and that data base management be included in the FY'82 program for final development and implementation, This document proposes that approximately $30K be expended in FY'81 to acquire the hardware and software to meet the current requirements of the program, The computational requirements of a data base management system (DBMS) differ significantly from those of our real-time data acquisition computer, A DBMS requires: 115 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/05/17 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001300240001-2
Approved For Release 2003/09/10
: CIA-RDP96-OO788ROO12Qeg3ffiDS4085-79
2 October 1979
Subj
:
Comments on RV and PK Investigations
(c)
The failure
to understand or even posit the existence of a
mechanism
(or "law")
controlling certain natural occurrences has not,
in the past, prevented profound social benefit
in applying such phe-
nomena.
(The magnetic compass provided accurate navigation before,
during,
and after its physics was understood.
Bread mold was admin-
istered before penicillin was isolated,
identified and employed by the
medical community)
.
The criterion of proof of existence of
a new and
peculiar law of nature
is not
a determining factor in the decision
to employ an observed effect.
(Lots of scientific people stopped
smoking in the fifties.)
The sole criterion for applying
a procedure
for social benefit
is:
does
it work?
We need no understanding as
to
why or how it works-we need only to discern what procedures
are
to
be invoked to make it work.
We can "work
in the dark"—we need only
to know,
"if we do A,
B follows—if we don't
do A,
B won't follow".
But we do need
to ascertain the reliability of the formula.
If the
B result occurs only 50% of the time we need to know
it.
The suggestion
is,
then,
that we're interested
in pragmatic engineering,
not scientific
principles.
Pragmatic engineering
is of vast social use,
but,
perhaps,
of minimal
scientific use.
3.
The observations made
in
(a),
(b)
,
and
(c)
,
above,
have
led me
to
recommend that the objective of this committee be concentrated solely
on ascertaining the means
to establish the reliability of RV
jin the
absence of proof of its
existence.
This
is
no subtle conclusion.
It
does not require experiments
to prove existence.
(RV can be utilized
without an Occam-satisfying proof)
.
It does not require knowledge of
the mechanism.
(An unknown mechanism,
subjected to consistent procedures
will produce consistent results.)
It does not inhibit scientific
research.
(It bypasses
it.)
The conclusion does require
a program of reliability testing
(not
proof testing)
.
Just such
a program seems
to exist
at
INSCOM,
but
even there the use of double blind procedures,
and other devices
to
insure scientific rigor does not,
any longer ,
seem necessary.
(The
integrity of the personnel has been well
enough established.)
I recognize that the search
for viewing reliability
is akin to proof
of viewing.
But the goal, being different,
could well
lead
to an unbur-
dening of the INSCOM people,
by dropping scientific rigor.
I propose,
in short,
that anecdotal
events be emphasized
.
Declaring the
INSCOM
apparatus as operational,
albeit of low reliability at present, would
I believe,
cause the apparatus
to be "usefully" employed and provide
the operators
the means
to
increase the reliability.
4.
The PK experiments are not,
in my view pseudo-science,
but,
rather
irrelevant
science.
The use of the accoutrements of modern technology to
repeat
an experiment previously performed many times will not,
even given
a positive result,
"establish"
the truth of PK, much
less
RV.
QauhW C.
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Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R00220051 0001-1
Hypnosis Experiments
HUMAN USE ISSUES
— Much sensationalism accompanies media portrayal of
hypnotic phenomenon.
—
Hypnosis is a poorly defined term.
—
Hypnosis designated “at risk” by DHEW.
EXPERIMENTAL STUDIES VS. CLINICAL REPORTS
—
Clinical evidence based on anecdotal reports and opin-
ions with psychiatric populations.
—
Experimental studies use more mentally stable popula-
tions, are of relatively short duration, do not elicit emo-
tional responses and use structured and benign hyp-
notic suggestions and procedures.
—
Experimental studies show hypnotic procedures caus-
ing no more harmful aftereffects than common experi-
ences such as taking exams, attending classes, verbal
learning and college life in general.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R00220051 0001-1
SGF0IA3
Approved For Release 2003/09/10
: CIA-RnP9fi-007SSR001 200230042-9
ly NovemDer ±y/y
Mr. Manfred Gale
HQ,
Department of
the Army
ATTN:
DAMA-ZD
The Pentagon
Washington,
D.
C.
Dear Manny
:
Following our last meeting,
I have given considerable thought to what
was obviously a minority viewpoint on the need for further,
better,
more-controlled R&D on RV.
I find myself still in favor of recommending
such, with the same degree of uncertainty
I indicated at that meeting.
It
is difficult to take a positive position toward the possible
(let
alone probable)
existence of
RV.
Everything we are taught in scientific
inquiry,
in both
the physical and the behavioral sciences,
suggests that
such a phenomenon cannot and should not exist.
Indeed, because plausible
evidence of
its existence
is
so difficult to obtain,
the acceptance of
a
physically measured PK phenomenon is more palatable
to us.
At least,
the
PK decision can be placed upon the output of physical instruments,
thereby
taking our "decision making" out of consideration,
and avoiding any guilt
or conflict feelings we,
as scientists, might have by accepting the
existence of PK.
Such
is not the case with RV, because we have not yet learned how to
remote the decision making aspects of its possible existence.
Thus,
to
state that it may exist is
to be willing
to place one's scientific
rigidity
(if not sanity)
on the line.
That
is rough—and none of us can
do it comfortably or objectively
.
Nonetheless,
I believe there
is enough anecdotal
"evidence"
to prevent
our disregarding its possibility of existence.
At least,
there appear
to be adequate,
though nonscientif ic
,
examples.
That,
I
feel,
should
cause
us
to research the possiblity further.
The major argument FOR this R&D
is
that,
if the RV phenomenon exists,
and it can be controlled and used in the intelligence community,
then
the payoff
is potentially large.
The major argument AGAINST seems
to be
the combination of notoriety,
disbelief,
incredulity,
and loss of
scientific reputation of the proponents.
(I can certainly identify with
the
latter.)
Cost has really very little
to do with
it— the cost of a
3-5 year,
controlled scientific program would be small
in
the overall
scheme of DoD R&D
(e.g.,
DARPA)
.
To hide behind the cost cloak
is,
I
think,
convenient but invalid.
For the above reasons,
I'm willing
to stick my neck out,
perhaps too
far,
and take
a positive position that future R&D
is
indicated
in the RV area.
In the attachment to this letter I've tried to provide my
"Findings and
Recommendations"
for your use,
along with some rationale.
I've tried to
keep the rationale unclassified,
and
I think you can
fill in the details.
Approved For Release 2003/09/10
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Approved For Release 2002944 Re Ropss-00788R001300240001-2 Table 1 CURRENT MICRO-COMPUTER CONFIGURATION Function CPU Computing Memory Disks Graphics output Graphics input Terminal Serial I/0 Parallel 1/0 Slow analogue I/0 Calendar Device LSI-11/2 Floating point chip 32K words Dual double density 8-inch floppy 512 x 256 x & frame buffer with color tables 20" x 20" tablet with cursor Video with graphics 4 ports 16-bits 16 channels in--2 out Battery date/time board Rapid access to disk storage medium Increase CPU memory to expand disk memory buffers Fast CPU cycle to reduce file search and sorting times significantly. e Long term stable archival storage e Hard copy output. Table 2 shows the recommended system expansion components and includes function and approximate cost of each item, It is recommended that $30,000 be added to the Joint Services contract in FY'81, specifically to expand the computer system with the items shown in Table 2, The addition of this hardware/software expansion 116 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/05/17 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001300240001-2
Approved For Release roooee (ee 96-00788R001200230045-6 GRILL PLAYE (U0) LOSE HOLO/A) AND CARRY DAMI-ISH SUBJECT: INSCOM Project (U) d. (S) Data on each session is impeccably maintained. In addition, the managers have developed several visual tools that lay out clearly the numbers of failures, successes and in-betweens. One is not forced to guess, or have to pry out, what has gone on at INSCOM. 5. (U) Recommendations: a. (S) The current level of personnel assets should be immediately stabilized for at least two years. Intelligence analysts should be a direct part of the effort. Because of disruptions caused by TDY trips, other job commitments, etc., personnel involved in GRILL FLAME should be fixed into some organization configuration controlled by the project officer. (Note: It is only fair to recognize that one cannot spend his whole day doing RV. Common sense should prevail and whenever possible project personnel should be released to work wherever needed. ) b. (8) An adequate work and administrative area is needed. It should meet the general criteria established in paragraphs 2d(2)(6) above. c. (S) Because of the uniqueness and sensitivity of the project, extraordinary measures should be established, followed, and inspected, to ensure that those individuals involved in the project do not lose career standing in relation to peers. For example, a general officer review of all OERs and EERs appears to be warranted. There is no small danger that an individual's career, particularly under the present ad hoc personnel situation, might be irreparably damaged by rating officials who feel robbed of control of people under their supervision. d. (S) Regardless of the: apparent near-term potential offered by RV, the INSCOM's project status should remain one of familiarization and training. The work should not be prematurely thrust into the operational arena. For the next two years INSCOM should be permitted the "luxury" of tightening up procedures and attempting product improvement. The project should have, should it be needed, support of any resources within DOD. An example might be USAF support in development and analy.zing intelligence targets. e. (U) INSCOM is to be commended for its logical, level headed and professional approach to a most curious problem. WILLIAM L. STONER Major, GS GRILL FLAME Coordinator GRILL FLAME (0) cprenceen en weecsensy paunen CLOSE HoLe/e wo eamay SECRET te ee eeeee Approved For Release 2003/09/10 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001200230045-6
Approved For Release 20006 RE. Ropss-co7ssr001 300240001-2 oer‘ t Gzz‘T oot 009‘T 080‘T ost‘s 00s *z 00z‘S pS6'P 7SOD a” > TEJOL qUouar{nbar uoft}euswatduy ¢2/Tl ZUdUaTTNbar uofyeVUawatduy qUsUaTTNber uotyeUauaTduy yUauUaITnbar uofzezyuUawaTduy yoivas alt} prdey uof}easuad yIoday adeiojys [TRATYDAy $S900B8 Blt} pidey uofzouny aaded ‘satddo[y ‘sadey SUOTSUA}X® YLT NVULUOA ATqGezedWOD EZ/TT €2/TL ‘aremzjos pos L[I-Ly pago uofsuedxa sng alenpiey [erauad ‘your sup zUuNoW azeo uofsuedxa pase) Aaouauw ‘ndd €Z/TI~-IST aoejiayuyT pues 1384ut4d eaAtTip ade qn sg Teng AS#P 19zS9youTM AW SE uof4d faa sag NOISNVdX4d WALSAS UALNdWOO-ONOIN é ete T sattddng cA T B1BALJOS xn mo F MH OW aiBApleY woz] 117 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/05/17 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001300240001-2
Approved For Release 2003/09/10 : “tr y Aes Jaus |, wb 6/0, bs hue Or tate ts, “ed laws sean d thet “fects athacbuted |
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Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R00220051 0001-1
(U)
POTENTIAL NEUROPSYIOLOGICAL SCREENING
(U)
NEUROMAGNETIC RESPONSE TO DIRECT
LIGHT STIMULI
Experienced
Viewer
MAGNETIC
INTENSITY
Novice
Viewer
STIMULUS
1000
TIME (MS)
1500
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R00220051 0001-1