Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
Simple Regression
of
DELTA
on NUM
Standard
Parameter
Estimate
Error
T
Val ue
Pr ob
.
Level
Intercept
—4.6399
1.7187
Slope
0.38384
0.10726
-2.6996
7.5254E-
3.5785
4.3169E-
Analysis
of
Variance
Sum
o-f
Squares
'
Df
Mean Square
F-Ratio
1308.7197
1308.7197
12.8059
20848.099
204
102.197
Total
(Corr.)
22156.818
205
Correlation Coefficient
=
0. 24304
Stnd.
Error
of
Est.
=
10.109
Source
Model
Error
Regression of DELTA on NUM
A
= Score;
NUM
= Sequence length
FIGURE 9
Experimental PK85 - Detrended By Regression
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
Simple Regression
of
DELTA
on NUM
Standard
Parameter
Estimate
Error
T
Val ue
Pr ob
.
Level
Intercept
Slope
6. 6804
2.2524
-0.45958
0.14074
2.966
-3.2654
3 . 3755E-3
1 . 2812E-3
Analysis of
Variance
Source
Model
Error
Sum
of
Squares
Df
1878.9294
36123.957
205
Mean Square
187B.9294
176.214
F-R'at i o
10. 6627
Total
(Corr.
)
38002.886
206
Correlation Coefficient
= -0.22236
Stnd.
Error
of
Est.
=
13.275
Regression of DELTA on NUM
A
Score;
NUM
* Sequence length
FIGURE 10
Global PK85 - Detrended By Regression
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
Simple Regression
of
DELTA
on NUM
Standard
Parameter
Estimate
Error
T
Val ue
F'rob
.
Level
Intercept
SI ope
-0.48485
1.1132
4 . 5057E-3
9 . 1 509E-3
-0.43553
0.49238
0.66402
0.62342
Analysis
of
Variance
Source
Model
Error
Sum
of
Squares
Df
16. 9B8159
7777.9715
111
Mean Square
16.988159
70.0718
F-Rat i
o
. 242439
Total
(Carr.)
7794.9596
112
Correlation Coefficient
= 0.046684
Stnd.
Error
of
Est.
= 8.3709
E
L
T
A
Regression of DELTA on NUM
PK86 - Single Difference
-
'
'
1r-r—r—r—
T
—
i
i
•
i
i—
i—
i
i
l
m
”
•
a
a.
.
.
:
’
‘a
»
'
a
*
.. a _
B -
its
_
*
1"
"
*
i
* »•
*
*i
* *
:
I
i
i-
»
.
i —
i
l
i
-
i
-i
l
t
i
i
i
i
.
i
i
i
i__i—
:
ICO
200
300
400
500
NUM
(
A
= Scoro;
NUM
= Sequence length
FIGURE 11
Experimental PK86 - Regression
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001 -4
Simple Regression
of
DELTA on
NUM
F'rob.
Standard
,
_ wia i
.
,
.
rrrnr
Value
Level
Parameter
Estimate
#
---“"7“"-"
0*75413
5. 1452E-3
0.9959
Intercept
0 . 880 IE
•-<
^
0.32987
0.74212
slope
2 . 0449E-3
6.1989E-...
Analysis
of
Variance
Source
Sum
of Squares
Df
.1088168
Model
•_•*+ v t
_
„
444
-to
1 «=;trrr
Error
-
Total
(Corr .
)
3572.7555
112
Correlation Coefficient
=
O.Oc*1ji9u
Stnd-
Error
o*f
Est.
= 5*6706
Regression
of' DELTA on NUM
_ _
n
•
i
Tv
•
r-
r-
.
I>
£
L
T
A
VJi U k>01
A
7-1
T—f—
1—J
r—r
r
-
*
r
.1
«
J
•
—1—
1—
1—
1—
r
—1
\—1—
1—
:
— "
* M
*
«>
-
• *
—*•»-*.
•
•
•
|
'
•
*
••
V7
""
r~y
*
:
•
.
•
.
a
rC ”•••••••
z
:
:•*
’
-i
1 5 -••••v
•
.
_
-
*
a
)
-
1 »
1- —i
J
L-J
n,
l
»
AA
ii
J
L—
J
rv'k
5C
NUM
A
= Score;
NUM
= Sequence length
FIGURE 12
Global PK86 - Regression
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4
PARTICIPANT POOL CHARACTERISTICS
Our present pool of participants (33)
is drawn from professionals (both scientists and
not), young adults, and non-professional adults.
There are about eight principal participants who will probably do most of the SRI work.
None profess psychic ability.
All have come to us by ’’networking” with others closer to the
research. We have held an informal lunch-hour seminar to allow them to meet and comment
on the program.
Psychological evaluation of the participants
will be carried out by Dr. David
Saunders of MARS Measurement Associates.
Formal psychological evaluations will not begin
until a participant has completed an experimental series (10 sets) or shown unmistakable
evidence of long-term commitment.
COMMUNICATION WITH SRI
Our PK85 and WAVE data bases and the corresponding global control data have been
shared with SRI International and Dr. Jessica Utts.
Dr. Edwin May, SRI, suggested an
interesting approach to data processing based on a technique of epoch analysis
first reported
by Chree,* and now widely used in identifying rhythms in geomagnetic data.
Because two of
the authors of a recent substantial paper on Chree’s analysis are from the University of
Delaware, they were contacted, and a seminar was held.
While the conclusion was that
sequential events in our present data
files were independent, and that Chree’s analysis was
unlikely to be immediately useful,
it may well come in handy in future work with low-level
conventional stimuli
(like light), applied rhythmically.
The seminar served a second very
useful purpose:
it exposed the work to three more senior faculty in the Physics Department.
The response was positive and encouraging.
The climate seems to be changing, perhaps
because the data are so robust and the physics of the method so tightly defined.
The computer network seems to be functional.
Dr. Dean Dey uses
it to leave messages
at SRI, and we will try to use
it increasingly.
I am hoping that
all modes of communication
can be enhanced in 1986-87: we want to keep in close contact to promote the free exchange
of ideas.
Chree, C.
, “Some Phenomena of Sunspots and of Terrestrial Magnetism - Part
II. M
London , Volume 213A, pp. 245-277 (1913),
Phil.
Trans.
Roy.
Soc.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08
: CIA-RDP96-00789R002200030001-4