DCID  No.  1/1 
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by    246321 
DIRECTOR  OF  CENTRAL  INTELLIGENCE  DIRECTIVE  NO.   l/l  l 
PRODUCTION  OF  NATIONAL  INTELLIGENCE  ESTIMATES 
(Effective  5  August  1959) 
Pursuant  to  the  provisions  of  paragraphs  3  and  4,  NSCID  No.  1,  and 
in  order  to  facilitate  department  participation  in  the  production  of 
national  intelligence  estimates,  the  following  operating  procedures  are 
established: 
1.  Programming 
Periodically,  but  not  less  than  quarterly,  the  Board  of  National  Esti- 
mates, Central  Intelligence  Agency,  will  present  to  the  United  States 
Intelligence  Board  (Intelligence  Board)  for  approval  a  program  of  Na- 
tional Intelligence  Estimates  and  Special  National  Intelligence  Estimates 
(NIE's  and  SNIE's)  for  production  during  the  following  six  months.  In 
preparing  this  program,  the  Board  of  National  Estimates  will  consult 
.  .  .  with  the  NSC  Planning  Board  and  appropriate  committees  of  the  Intelli- 
gence Board,  and  will  coordinate  with  the  Intelligence  Board  agencies. 
2.  Initiation 
Requests  for  estimates  other  than  those  programmed  will  be  trans- 
mitted to  the  Intelligence  Board  via  the  Board  of  National  Estimates. 
'(  This  Board  will  take  such  action  as  is  indicated  by  the  circumstances 
prior  to  transmitting  the  request  to  the  Intelligence  Board  for  action; 
e.g.,  comment,  initiate  immediate  action  subject  to  subsequent  Intelli- 
gence Eoard  ratification,  or  attach  draft  terms  of  reference  to  its  recom- 
mendation that  the  estimate  be  approved  for  production. 
3.  Normal  Preparation 
Estimates  will  normally  be  prepared  in  four  stages: 
a.  Terms  of  Reference  and  Contributions  —  The  Board  of  National 
Estimates,  after  consultation  with  the  Intelligence  Board  agencies, 
will  circulate  terms  of  reference  indicating  the  scope  of  the  estimate 
and  the  intelligence  material  needed.  The  Agencies,  or  an  Intelli- 
gence Board  Subcommittee  or  other  appropriate  group,  will  then  pre- 
pare contributions  and  submit  them  to  the  Board  of  National  Esti- 
mates. 
b.  Drafting  and  Board  of  National  Estimates  Consideration  —  After 
considering  the  contributions,  and  such  consultation  with  any  con- 
tributing agency  which  may  be  appropriate,  the  Board  of  National 
Estimates  will  prepare  a  draft. 
c.  Consideration  by  Representatives  of  the  Intelligence  Board 
Agencies  —  Representatives  of  the  Intelligence  Board  agencies  will 
1  This  Directive  supersedes  DCID  No.  1/1,  effective  21  April  1958,  which  in  turn 
had  superseded  DCID  No.  3/5,  of  1  September  1953. 
m
meet  with  the  Board  of  National  Estimates  to  review,  comment  on, 
and  revise  the  draft  as  necessarv. 
d.  Intelligence  Board  Consideration  —  The  final  draft  will  then 
be  submitted  to  the  Intelligence  Board  for  approval. 
4.  Preparation  under  Exceptional  Circumstances 
Any  of  the  steps  listed  in  3a,  b,  and  c  above  may  be  omitted  under 
exceptional  or  unusually  urgent  circumstances. 
5.  Dissents 
Any  agency  may  dissent  to  any  feature  of  an  estimate.  Such  dis- 
sents identify  the  dissenter  and  will  state  the  dissenter's  position  on  the 
matter. 
6.  Publication  and  Dissemination 
Finished  estimates  will  be  published  by  CIA  and  disseminated  by  the 
DCI  according  to  established  procedures.  Published  estimates  will  cany 
a  note  indicating  the  extent  of  coordination  within  the  intelligence  com- 
munity. 
ALLEN  W.  DULLES 
Director  of  Central  Intelligence