This   document    downgraded 
to   UNCLASSIFIED   by   authority 
of  Sec.    3(B) ,. E.O.    11652, 
on      12/lShCc         by   246321. 
DIRECTOR  OF  CENTRAL  INTELLIGENCE  DIRECTIVE   3/5 
PRODUCTION  OF  NATIONAL  INTELLIGENCE  ESTIMATES 
(9/1/53?  «aw 
Pursuant  to  the  provisions  of  paragraph  le,  NSCED  No.  3,  paragraph 
4,  NSCID  No.  1,  and  paragraph  2,  NSCED  No.  4,  and  in  order  to  facili- 
tate departmental  participation  in  the  production  of  national  intelli- 
gence estimates,  the  following  operating  procedures  are  established: 
1.  Programming 
Annually,  by  1  January,  the  Board  of  National  Estimates,  Central  In- 
telligence Agency,  will  present  to  the  Intelligence  Advisory  Committee 
(IAC)  for  approval  a  program  of  National  Intelligence  Estimates  and 
Special  Estimates  (NIE's  and  SE's)  for  production  during  the  following 
year.  In  preparing  this  program,  the  Board  will  seek  the  guidance  of 
the  NSC  Planning  Board,  will  consult  with  the  Economic  Intelligence 
Committee,  the  Scientific  Estimates  Committee,  the  Joint  Atomic 
Energy  Intelligence  Committee,  and  other  appropriate  committees  of 
the  IAC,  and  will  coordinate  with  the  IAC  agencies.  This  program  will 
be  reviewed  quarterly  by  the  Board  of  National  Estimates  in  coordina- 
tion with  the  IAC  agencies;  changes  will  be  submitted  for  IAC  approval. 
2.  Initiation 
Requests  for  estimates  other  than  those  programmed  will  be  trans- 
mitted to  the  IAC  via  the  Board  of  National  Estimates.  The  Board 
will  take  such  action  as  is  indicated  by  the  circumstances  prior  to 
transmitting  the  request  to  the  IAC  for  action;  e.g.,  comment,  initiate 
immediate  action  subject  to  subsequent  IAC  ratification,  or  attach  draft 
terms  of  reference  to  its  recommendation  that  the  estimate  be  approved 
for  production. 
3.  Normal  Preparation 
Estimates  will  normally  be  prepared  in  four  stages : 
a.  Terms  of  Reference  and  Contributions  —  The  Board,  after  con- 
sultation with  the  IAC  agencies,  will  circulate  terms  of  reference 
indicating  the  scope  of  the  estimate  and  the  intelligence  material 
needed.  The  Agencies  will  then  prepare  contributions  and  submit 
them  to  the  Board. 
b.  Drafting  and  Board  Consideration  —  After  considering  the  con- 
tributions, and  such  consultation  with  any  contributing  agency  which 
may  be  appropriate,  the  Board  will  prepare  a  draft. 
c.  Consideration  by  Representatives  of  the  IAC  Agencies  —  Repre- 
sentatives of  the  IAC  agencies  will  meet  with  the  Board  to  review, 
comment  on  and  revise  the  draft  as  necessary. 
d.  IAC  Consideration  —  The  final  draft  will  then  be  submitted  to 
the  IAC  for  approval. 
4.  Preparation  under  Exceptional  Circumstances 
Any  of  the  steps  listed  in  3a,  b,  and  c  above  may  be  omitted  under 
exceptional  or  unusually  urgent  circumstances. 
•■**'*** 
COPT  #
c 
5.  Dissents 
Any  agency  may  dissent  to  any  Mature  of  an  estimate.  Such  dissents 
identify  the  dissenter  and  will  state  the  dissenter's  position  on  the  matter. 
6.  Publication  and  Dissemination 
Finished  estimates  will  be  published  by  CIA  and  disseminated  by  the 
DCI  according,  to  established  procedures.  Published  estimates,  will 
carry  a  note  indicating  the  extent  of  coordination  within  the  intelligence 
community. 
7.  DCID's  3/1  and  3/2*  are  herewith  rescinded. 
ALLEN  W.  DULLES 
Director  of  Central  Intelligence 
r 
Note:  DCID  3/1,  "Standard  Operating  Procedures  for  Departmental  Par- 
ticipation In  the  Production  and  Coordination  of  National  Intelli- 
gence/' was  issued  8  July  1948;  DCID  3/2,  "Policy  Governing  Depart- 
mental Concurrences  in  National  Intelligence  Reports  and  Estimates," 
was  Issued  13  September  1948.