Title: Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis
Authors: last_name: O’Reilly
first_name: Kathleen M
name: Kathleen M O’Reilly
affiliations: label: 1
institution: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Lowe
first_name: Rachel
name: Rachel Lowe
affiliations: label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 4
institution: Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGLOBAL)
name: Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGLOBAL) , Barcelona, Spain
last_name: Edmunds
first_name: W John
name: W John Edmunds
affiliations: label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Mayaud
first_name: Philippe
name: Philippe Mayaud
affiliations: label: 5
institution: Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Kucharski
first_name: Adam
name: Adam Kucharski
affiliations: label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Eggo
first_name: Rosalind M
name: Rosalind M Eggo
affiliations: label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Funk
first_name: Sebastian
name: Sebastian Funk
affiliations: label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Bhatia
first_name: Deepit
name: Deepit Bhatia
affiliations: label: 6
institution: Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Toronto
country: Canada
name: Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Toronto , Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and Centre for Research on Inner City Health, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St Michael’s Hospital , Toronto, Ontario, Canada .
last_name: Khan
first_name: Kamran
name: Kamran Khan
affiliations: label: 6
institution: Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Toronto
country: Canada
name: Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Toronto , Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and Centre for Research on Inner City Health, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St Michael’s Hospital , Toronto, Ontario, Canada .
last_name: Kraemar
first_name: Moritz U
name: Moritz U Kraemar
affiliations: label: 7
institution: Harvard Medical School, Harvard University
country: USA
name: Harvard Medical School, Harvard University , Boston, MA, USA; Boston Children’s Hospital , Boston, MA, USA .
label: 8
institution: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford
country: UK
name: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford , Oxford, UK .
last_name: Wilder-Smith
first_name: Annelies
name: Annelies Wilder-Smith
affiliations: label: 1
institution: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Rodrigues
first_name: Laura C
name: Laura C Rodrigues
affiliations: label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
last_name: Brasil
first_name: Patricia
name: Patricia Brasil
affiliations: label: 9
institution: Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas/Fiocruz
country: Brazil
name: Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas/Fiocruz , Rio de Janeiro, Brazil .
last_name: Massad
first_name: Eduardo
name: Eduardo Massad
affiliations: label: 10
institution: School of Applied Mathematics, Fundacao Getulio Vargas
country: Brazil
name: 10 School of Applied Mathematics, Fundacao Getulio Vargas , Rio de Janeiro, Brazil .
last_name: Jaenisch
first_name: Thomas
name: Thomas Jaenisch
affiliations: label: 11
institution: Department for Infectious Diseases and Parasitology, Department for Infectious Diseases, University of Heidelberg
country: Germany
name: 11 Department for Infectious Diseases and Parasitology, Department for Infectious Diseases, University of Heidelberg , Heidelberg, Germany .
last_name: Cauchemez
first_name: Simon
name: Simon Cauchemez
affiliations: label: 12
institution: Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur
country: France
name: 12 Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur , Paris, France .
label: 13
institution: Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
country: France
name: 13 Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique , URA3012, Paris, France
label: 14
institution: Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Integrative Biology, Institut Pasteur
country: France
name: 14 Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Integrative Biology, Institut Pasteur , Paris, France
last_name: Brady
first_name: Oliver J
name: Oliver J Brady
affiliations: label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
notes: Contributed equally
last_name: Yakob
first_name: Laith
name: Laith Yakob
affiliations: label: 1
institution: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
notes: Contributed equally
Affiliations: label: 1
institution: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 2
institution: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 3
institution: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 4
institution: Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGLOBAL)
name: Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGLOBAL) , Barcelona, Spain
label: 5
institution: Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
country: United Kingdom
name: Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom .
label: 6
institution: Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Toronto
country: Canada
name: Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Toronto , Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and Centre for Research on Inner City Health, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St Michael’s Hospital , Toronto, Ontario, Canada .
label: 7
institution: Harvard Medical School, Harvard University
country: USA
name: Harvard Medical School, Harvard University , Boston, MA, USA; Boston Children’s Hospital , Boston, MA, USA .
label: 8
institution: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford
country: UK
name: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford , Oxford, UK .
label: 9
institution: Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas/Fiocruz
country: Brazil
name: Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas/Fiocruz , Rio de Janeiro, Brazil .
label: 10
institution: School of Applied Mathematics, Fundacao Getulio Vargas
country: Brazil
name: 10 School of Applied Mathematics, Fundacao Getulio Vargas , Rio de Janeiro, Brazil .
label: 11
institution: Department for Infectious Diseases and Parasitology, Department for Infectious Diseases, University of Heidelberg
country: Germany
name: 11 Department for Infectious Diseases and Parasitology, Department for Infectious Diseases, University of Heidelberg , Heidelberg, Germany .
label: 12
institution: Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur
country: France
name: 12 Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur , Paris, France .
label: 13
institution: Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
country: France
name: 13 Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique , URA3012, Paris, France
label: 14
institution: Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Integrative Biology, Institut Pasteur
country: France
name: 14 Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Integrative Biology, Institut Pasteur , Paris, France
Field: Medicine
Document type: preprint
Year: 2018