이 문서는 2012년 프랑스 대통령 선거 관련 여론조사 를 정리하고 있다. 2012년 프랑스 대통령 선거 1차 투표는 2012년 4월 22일 실시됐으며, 사회당의 프랑수아 올랑드가 최다득표를 기록했다. 하지만 과반수 득표에 실패해 2012년 5월 6일 현직 대통령 니콜라 사르코지와 결선 투표를 치루게 된다. 여론조사 (2009년10월-2011년6월) 후보 아르토 브장스노 뷔페 오브리 스트로스칸 올랑드 루아얄 뒤플로 바이루 보를로 빌팽 사르코지 뒤퐁애냥 르펜 IFOP2009.10.29 1% 9% — 20% — — — — 14% — 8% 28% 1% 11% CSA2010.02.04 1% 7% 3% — 22% — — 9% 10% — 10% 28% — 9% 1% 6% 3% 19% — — — 8% 12% — 10% 31% — 9% CSA2010.03.04 1% 6% 3% 19% — — — 8% 12% — 10% 32% — 9% 1% 7% 3% — 22% — — 9% 10% — 10% 29% — 9% 3% 7% 3% 21% — — — 11% 11% — 9% — — 8% 3% 6% 3% — 27% — — 10% 11% — 7% — — 8% 멜라숑 졸리 IFOP2010.03.26 1% 5% 6% 27% — — — 9% 7% — 6% 26% 2% 11% TNS Sofres2010.08.21 1% 9% 5% — 25% — — 9% 6% — 6% 26% — 13% IFOP2010.11.19 1% 5% 6% 22% — — — 7,5% 9% — 7% 27% 1% 12% 1% 4,5% 6% — 27% — — 6% 7,5% — 6% 24% 1% 13% 1% 6% 7% — — 18% — 8% 9,5% — 8,5% 27% 1% 12% 1% 5,5% 7,5% — — — 18% 8% 9,5% — 7,5% 27% 1% 13% TNS Sofres 2010.11.20 1% 6,5% 6% 23% — — — 8% 7% 6,5% 4% 25% — 13% 1% 6,5% 7% — — — 17% 9% 7% 8,5% 4% 26% — 14% 1,5% 6,5% 6% — 27% — — 6,5% 6% 5% 4% 24% — 13,5% 1% 7% 6,5% — — 16,5% — 8% 8% 8,5% 5% 25,5% — 14% CSA2011.01.07 1% 6% 6% 22% — — — 4% 9% — 6% 28% 1% 17% 1% 7% 5% — 30% — — 4% 6% — 3% 25% 1% 18% IFOP2011.01.12 — 3,5% 6,5% 23% — — — 6% 8% — 6% 26.5% — 16,5% BVA2011.01.14 0% 7% 5% 23% — — — 5% 6% 5% 5% 27% — 17% 0% 7% 4% — 31% — — 6% 5% 2% 3% 25% — 17% CSA2011.01.17 1% 6% 5% 22% — — — 6% 9% — 6% 27% 1% 17% 2% 5% 5% — 30% — — 6% 6% — 5% 23% 1% 17% 1% 6% 5% — — 20% — 8% 9% — 7% 26% 1% 17% 1% 4% 5% — — — 21% 8% 10% — 7% 26% 1% 17% Opinion Way2011.01.21 1% 4% 7% 22% — — — 10% 8% — — 28% 2% 18% 1% 5% 8% 25% — — — — 7% — — 28% 2% 18% 1% 5% 7% — 28% — — 8% 6% — — 25% 2% 18% 1% 5% 9% — 29% — — — 5% — — 25% 2% 18% CSA2011.02.14 1% 7% 6% 22% — — — 6% 9% — 5% 26% 1% 17% 1% 7% 7% — — 20% — 6% 10% — 5% 26% 1% 17% 1% 7% 8% — — — 18% 7% 10% — 5% 26% 1% 17% 1% 7% 6% — 29% — — 5% 8% — 4% 22% 1% 17% Harris2011.03.05 1% 6% 7% — 23% — — 7% 6% — 4% 21% 1% 24% 윌로 BVA2011.03.26 0,5% 6% 4% 24% — — — 8% 5% 6% 7% 19% 0,5% 20% 1% 7% 4% — 29% — — 7% 4% 5% 6% 17% 1% 19% Harris2011.04.20 1% 5% 5% 21% — — — 5% 5% 9% 5% 20% 1% 23% 1% 4% 4% — 30% — — 6% 4% 7% 3% 19% 1% 21% 1% 5% 5% — — 22% — 6% 5% 8% 5% 19% 1% 23% 1% 5% 6% — — — 15% 8% 7% 10% 6% 19% 1% 22% IFOP2011.04.21 0,5% 4% 4,5% 20% — — — 8,5% 6,5% 9,5% 4% 21,5% 1% 20% 0,5% 4% 5% — 27% — — 8% 5% 7,5% 4% 20% 1% 19% 1% 4,5% 4,5% — — 21% — 8% 6% 8,5% 4,5% 21% 1% 20% 0,5% 4% 6% — — — 16% 9% 6,5% 11% 5% 21% 1% 20% CSA2011.04.26 1% 4% 5% — 26% — — 9% 5% 4% 4% 21% 1% 20% 마르땅 LH22011.05.07 0,5% 1% 4% 22% — — — 11% 7% 11% 4,5% 19% 1% 17% 1% 1% 4% — 23% — — 11% 8% 9% 6% 16% 1% 17% 0,5% 1% 4% — — 21,5% — 11% 7% 10% 5% 19% 1% 18% 0,5% 1% 6% — — — 15% 13,5% 8% 11% 5% 20% 1% 17% IFOP2011.05.12 0,5% 1% 5,5% — 26% — — 7% 5,5% 5,5% 4% 21,5% 0,5% 22% 0,5% 1% 5% — — 23% — 7,5% 6% 6,5% 3,5% 22% 0,5% 23% IPSOS2011.05.14 2% 1% 5% 25% — — — 9% 6% 9% 5% 19% 1% 18% 2% 1% 6% — — 26% — 11% 5% 8% 4% 19% 1% 17% 2% 1% 8% — — — 16% 12% 7% 11% 6% 19% 1% 17% CSA2011.05.16 1% 2% 5% 23% — — — 6% 7% 8% 4% 23% 2% 19% 1% 2% 5% — — 23% — 6% 7% 8% 4% 22% 2% 20% 1% 2% 5% — — — 18% 6% 9% 10% 4% 23% 2% 20% IPSOS2011.05.18 1% 0,5% 4% 27% — — — 11% 5% 9% 4% 21% 0,5% 17% 2% 0,5% 4% — — 29% — 11% 5% 9% 3% 19% 0,5% 17% 2% 0,5% 6% — — — 16% 13% 7% 12% 6% 19% 0,5% 18% IFOP2011.05.19 0,5% 1% 6,5% 24% — — — 6% 5,5% 7% 3,5% 22,5% 1% 21,5% 0,5% 1% 6% — — 26% — 6% 5% 6,5% 3,5% 22,5% 1% 21% BVA2011.05.21 1% 1% 5% 24% — — — 12% 6% 7% 5% 23% 0% 17% 1% 1% 6% — — 27% — 12% 4% 6% 5% 22% 0% 17% TNS Sofres2011.05.21 1% 0,5% 4% 28% — — — 9% 5% 7% 3% 24% — 19% 1% 0,5% 3,5% — — 31% — 8% 5,5% 7% 3% 22% — 19% 1% 0,5% 7% — — — 18% 10,5% 7% 9% 3,5% 24% — 20% 졸리 1% 0,5% 3% — — 28% — 7% 5,5% 8% 3,5% 24% — 20% 윌로 Harris2011.06.05 0% 0% 7% 25% — — — 6% 6% 7% 2% 24% 1% 22% 0% 0% 7% — — 27% — 6% 6% 7% 2% 23% 1% 21% 0% 0% 8% — — — 17% 7% 7% 9% 3% 26% 1% 22% IFOP2011.06.10 0,5% 1% 6,5% 23% — — — 6% 8% 6,5% 3,5% 21,5% 0,5% 22% 0,5% 0,5% 6% — — 26% — 6% 7% 6% 3% 22% 0,5% 21% IPSOS2011.06.19 1% 0,5% 7% 30% — — — 7% 5% 8% 4% 19% 0,5% 18% 1,5% 0,5% 7% — — 32% — 7,5% 5% 7% 3% 19% 0,5% 17% 2% 1% 9,5% — — — 19% 8,5% 7% 11% 4,5% 19% 0,5% 18% IFOP2011.06.23 0,5% 0,5% 7% — — 26% — 6,5% 6% 7,5% 3% 21% 0,5% 20,5% CSA2011.06.23 1% 2% 7% 23% — — — 7,5% 7% 10% 3% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 1,5% 7% — — 27% — 7% 5% 9% 3% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 2% 10% — — — 15% 9% 8% 10,5% 4% 24% 0,5% 16% 졸리 1% 2% 7% 25,5% — — — 4% 6% 11% 4% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 1,5% 7% — — 27% — 4% 7% 10% 3% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 2% 8,5% — — — 17% 5% 9% 13% 4% 24% 0,5% 16% 여론조사 (2011.7-9) 조사출처 조사일 표본 르펜FN 뒤퐁애냥DLR 사르코지UMP 보를로연합 빌팽통합공화 바이루MoDem 졸리EELV 오브리PS 올랑드PS 멜라숑FDG 푸투NPA 아르토LO 기타 LH2 2011.07.08–09 957 15% 1% 21.5% 8% 4.5% 10% 6% 26% – 5% 0% 1.5% 1.5% 13% 1% 21% 7.5% 3% 11% 6% – 29% 5% 0.5% 1% 2% BVA 2011.07.08–09 782 17% 0% 24% 7% 4% 7% 5% 28% – 5% 1% 1% 1% 16% 0% 23% 9% 4% 6% 5% – 31% 4% 0% 1% 1% Ipsos 2011.07.08–09 955 18% 0.5% 22% 8% 3% 5% 7% 29% – 4.5% 1% 2% 0% 17% 0.5% 22% 8% 3% 5% 7.5% – 29% 5% 1% 2% 0% CSA 2011.07.11 850 16% 1% 27% 9% 2% 6% 5% 25% – 6.5% 0.5% 1% 1% 16% 1% 26% 8% 2% 6% 5% – 26% 7% 0.5% 2% 0.5% Ifop 2011.07.19–21 1,002 20% 0.5% 23.5% 8% 2% 7.5% 7% 25% – 4% 0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 20% 0.5% 23% 7.5% 2.5% 6.5% 7% – 28% 4% 0% 0% 1% LH2 2011.9.30-10.1 975 14.5% 0% 21% 9% 3% 9% 7.5% 25% – 10% 0% 1% 0% 15% 0% 21% 7% 2% 8% 7% – 31% 8% 0% 0.5% 0.5% Ipsos 2011.9.30-10.1 975 16% 0.5% 22% 7% 5% 6% 5% 29% – 7% 0.5% 2% 0% 16% 0.5% 21% 6.5% 4% 5.5% 5% – 32% 8% 0.5% 1% 0% 여론조사 (2011.10-2012.3.19) 조사출처 조사일 표본 기권/무효 르펜FN 뒤퐁애냥DLR 사르코지UMP 셰미나드SP 바이루MoDem 졸리EELV 올랑드PS 멜라숑FDG 푸투NPA 아르토LO 기타 CSA 2011.10.17 1,010 – 16% 0.5% 25% 2% 9% 3% 35% 5% 0.5% 1% 3% BVA 2011.10.17–18 950 – 19% – 23% – 7% 4% 39% 6% 0% 2% – Ifop 2011.10.18–20 941 – 17% 0.5% 25% 2% 6.5% 4.5% 35% 6% 0.5% 0.5% 2% LH2 2011.10.21–22 975 – 14% 0.5% 24% 1.5% 8% 5% 39% 6.5% – 0.5% 0.5% Ipsos 2011.10.28–29 970 12% 19% 0.5% 24% 2% 5.5% 6% 35% 6% 1% 1% 0% BVA 2011.11.04–05 973 – 18% 0.5% 25% 3% 6% 5% 36% 5% 0% 0% 1.5% Ipsos 2011.12.02–03 955 – 17% 0.5% 25.5% 2% 7% 6% 32% 6% 0% 1% 1% CSA 2011.12.12–13 1,006 21% 16% 0.5% 26% 2% 11% 3% 32% 6% 0.5% 1% 2% Ifop 2012.01.04–06 1,163 – 19% 0.5% 26% 2.5% 12% 3% 28% 6% 0.5% 0.5% 2% BVA 2012.01.06–07 973 22% 17% 0% 24% 4% 11% 4% 28% 8% 0% 1% 3% CSA 2012.01.09–10 1,005 21% 19% 0% 26% 3% 13% 2% 29% 7% 0.5% 0% 2.5% Opinion Way 2012.01.10–11 1,060 13% 17% 1% 25% 2% 15% 3% 27% 6% 1% 0.5% 2.5% Ifop 2012.01.11–13 1,550 – 19.5% 0.5% 24.5% 1.5% 12.5% 2.5% 28% 6% 0.5% 0% 2.5% LH2 2012.01.13–14 966 20% 17% 0% 23.5% 2% 14% 3% 30% 8.5% 0% 0.5% 1.5% Ipsos 2012.01.13–14 949 20% 18% 0.5% 23% 3% 14% 3% 29% 7.5% 0% 1% 0.5% BVA 2012.01.18–19 974 8% 18% 1.5% 23% 1.5% 13% 4% 30% 7% 0% 0.5% 1.5% CSA 2012.01.23–24 898 16% 17% – 25% 1% 15% 2% 31% 9% – – – Opinion Way 2012.01.23–25 1,087 6% 17% 1% 24% 1% 14% 3% 27.5% 8% 0.5% 0.5% 3.5% Ifop 2012.01.29–30 1,387 – 19% 0.5% 24.5% 1% 11.5% 3% 31% 7.5% 0% 0.5% 1% TNS-sofres 2012.01.30 1,000 21% 16% 0.5% 26% 1.5% 12% 3% 31.5% 9% 0% 0% 0.5% BVA 2012.01.30–31 1,448 6% 15% 1% 25% 2% 12% 3% 34% 8% 0% 0% 0% LH2 2012.02.03-04 955 21% 15% 0% 25.5% 1.5% 12% 3% 34% 7.5% 0% 1% 0.5% BVA 2012.02.03-04 968 9% 16% 0% 26% 1% 14% 2% 34% 7% 0% 0% 0% Ipsos 2012.02.03-04 953 16% 16% 0% 25% 2% 12.5% 2% 32% 8.5% 0.5% 1% – CSA 2012.02.06-07 869 16% 17.5% 1% 26% 1% 13% 2% 30% 8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% Opinion Way 2012.02.06–08 1,346 14% 18% 1% 25.5% 1% 13% 3% 29% 7% 0.5% 0.5% 2% Ifop 2012.02.09–12 1,723 – 17.5% 0.5% 25% 2% 12.5% 3% 30% 8.5% 0% 0.5% 0.5% Harris 2012.02.09–13 954 – 20% 1% 24% 1% 13% 4% 28% 8% 0% 0% 1% BVA 2012.02.15–16 949 4% 15% 1% 26% 2% 13% 3% 31% 9% 0% 0% 0% LH2 2012.02.17–18 967 18% 14% 0.5% 26% 1.5% 13% 3% 32% 8% 0% 1% 1% Opinion Way 2012.02.17–18 975 12% 16.5% 1.5% 27% 2% 13% 2% 29% 8% 0% 0.5% 1% Ipsos 2012.02.17–18 969 14% 16% 0.5% 25% 1.5% 11% 3% 32% 9% 0.5% 0.5% 1% CSA 2012.02.20 891 17% 17% 1.5% 27% 2% 11% 3% 28% 9% 0% 0.5% 1% Ipsos 2012.02.24–25 959 11% 16% 1% 27% 1% 11.5% 2.5% 31.5% 9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% Ifop 2012.02.23–26 1,723 – 17% 1% 27% 1% 12.5% 3% 28.5% 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% TNS-sofres 2012.02.27 1,000 22% 17% 0% 28% 1% 10.5% 2.5% 30% 9.5% 0% 0% 1.5% LH2 2012.03.02-03 971 20% 15% 0.5% 23% 1% 15% 4.5% 30.5% 8.5% 1% 1% 0% BVA 2012.03.02-03 963 11% 14% 1% 25% 2% 13% 2% 33% 8% 1% 1% 0% Ipsos 2012.03.02-03 966 13% 17.5% 1% 25% 1.5% 12.5% 2% 29.5% 9.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% Harris 2012.03.01–05 975 – 17% 1% 25% 1.5% 13% 3% 27% 8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% CSA 2012.03.05 888 17% 15% 0% 28% 1.5% 13% 2% 30% 10% 0% 0% 0.5% Opinion Way 2012.03.05–07 1,221 11% 17% 1% 26% 1.5% 13% 3% 29% 8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% Ifop 2012.03.11–12 1,638 – 16% 1% 28.5% 1% 13% 2.5% 27% 10% 0% 0.5% 0.5% TNS-sofres 2012.03.12 1,000 20% 16% 1% 26% 1.5% 11.5% 3% 30% 10% 0.5% 0.5% 0% CSA 2012.03.12–13 861 14% 16% 1% 28% 1% 13% 1% 28% 11% 0% 0.5% 0.5% Opinion Way 2012.03.14–15 1,183 9% 16% 1% 27.5% 1% 13% 2% 27.5% 10% 1% 0.5% 0.5% Ifop 2012.03.16–17 961 – 17.5% 0.5% 27.5% – 13% 2.5% 27% 11% 0.5% 0.5% 0% LH2 2012.03.16–17 962 19% 14.5% 0.5% 27.5% – 12.5% 2.5% 30.5% 11% 1% 0% 0% Ipsos 2012.03.16–17 950 16% 15% 1.5% 27.5% – 13% 2% 28.5% 11.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0% Harris 2012.03.15–19 1,097 – 16% 1% 27% – 12% 3% 28% 11% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 조사출처 조사일 표본 기권/무효 르펜FN 뒤퐁애냥DLR 사르코지UMP 셰미나드SP 바이루MoDem 졸리EELV 올랑드PS 멜라숑FDG 푸투NPA 아르토LO CSA 2012.03.19–20 888 10% 13.5% 0.5% 30% 0% 13% 2% 28% 13% 0% 0% BVA 2012.03.21–22 926 4% 13% 1.5% 28% 0% 12% 2% 29.5% 14% 0% 0% Ipsos 2012.03.23–24 978 12% 16% 1% 27.5% 0% 11.5% 2% 28% 13% 0.5% 0.5% Harris 2012.03.22–26 1,231 – 16% 1% 28% 0% 11% 3% 27% 13% 0.5% 0.5% Opinion Way 2012.03.26–27 1,148 9% 17% 1% 28% 0.5% 12% 2% 27% 11% 0.5% 1% TNS-sofres 2012.03.26–27 1,000 22% 15% 1% 29% 0.5% 10% 2% 28% 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% CSA 2012.03.26–27 876 14% 15% 0.5% 30% 0% 12.5% 2.5% 26% 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% BVA 2012.03.29–31 2,555 7% 15% 1% 27% 0% 11% 2% 28% 14% 1% 1% LH2 2012.03.30–31 973 17% 13.5% 0.5% 27.5% 0% 12% 2% 28.5% 15% 0.5% 0.5% Ipsos 2012.03.30–31 881 11% 14% 1% 29.5% 0% 10% 2% 27.5% 14.5% 0.5% 1% Harris 2012.3.29-4.2 1,059 – 16% 1% 29% 0% 10% 3% 26% 14% 0.5% 0% CSA 2012.04.02–03 884 – 13% 0.5% 30% 0% 10% 1.5% 29% 15% 0.5% 0.5% Opinion Way 2012.04.03–04 969 9% 16% 1% 28.5% 0% 11% 2% 26% 14% 1% 0.5% Harris 2012.04.03–06 1,033 – 16% 1% 28% 0% 10% 3% 27% 13% 1% 1% Ifop 2012.04.05–07 1,869 – 16.5% 1% 28.5% 0% 9.5% 2.5% 27% 14% 0.5% 0.5% Ipsos 2012.04.06–07 955 10% 15% 1% 29% 0% 9.5% 1.5% 28.5% 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% Opinion Way 2012.04.10–11 1,007 12% 16% 2% 28% 0% 10% 2.5% 27% 13% 1% 1% CSA 2012.04.10–11 1,013 – 15% 1% 26% 0.5% 11% 1.5% 27% 17% 0.5% 0.5% BVA 2012.04.11–12 885 4% 15% 0.5% 27% 0.5% 11% 2% 30% 13% 0.5% 0.5% TNS-sofres 2012.04.11–12 1,000 27% 16% 1% 26% 0% 9% 2.5% 28% 16% 0.5% 1% Ifop 2012.04.12–15 1,808 – 15.5% 1% 27% 0% 9.5% 3% 28% 14.5% 1% 0.5% Harris 2012.04.12–16 991 – 17% 1.5% 28% 0% 11% 2% 27% 12% 1% 0.5% Ipsos 2012.04.13–14 894 14% 15.5% 1% 27% 0.5% 10% 2.5% 27% 14.5% 1% 1% CSA 2012.04.16–17 886 – 17% 1.5% 24% 0% 10% 2% 29% 15% 1% 0.5% BVA 2012.04.16–17 1,181 – 14% 1% 27.5% 0% 12% 2% 29.5% 13% 1% 0% Opinion Way 2012.04.16–17 1,002 8 % 16% 1.5% 27.5% 0% 10% 2% 27.5% 13% 2% 0.5% LH2 2012.04.17–18 956 28 % 15.5% 1.5% 26.5% 0% 10% 2.5% 27% 15% 1% 1% Ifop 2012.04.17–20 2,592 – 16% 1.5% 27% 0% 10.5% 3% 27% 13.5% 1% 0.5% CSA 2012.04.18-19 1,005 – 16% 1.5% 25% 0% 10.5% 2% 28% 14.5% 1.5% 1% BVA 2012.04.18-19 2,161 5% 14% 2% 26.5% 0% 10% 2% 30% 14% 1.5% 0% Ipsos 2012.04.18-19 1,021 14% 16% 1.5% 25.5% 0.5% 10% 2% 29% 14% 1.5% 0% Harris 2012.04.18-19 1,068 – 16% 2% 26.5% 0% 11% 3% 27.5% 12% 1.5% 0.5% TNS-sofres 2012.04.18-19 1,000 – 17% 2% 27% 0% 10% 3% 27% 13% 1% 0% 1차 투표 결과 2012.04.22 – 20.53% 17.90% 1.79% 27.18% 0.25% 9.13% 2.31% 28.63% 11.11% 1.15% 0.56% 여론조사기관은 2012년 프랑스 대통령선 선거 주요 후보 또는 후보 예상자간 결선투표 가상대결 여론조사를 실시한 바 있다. 가상 대결이 이루어진 주요 후보군에는 현직 대통령 사르코지와 사회당 후보 올랑드, 국민전선의 마린 르 펜이 들어 있었다. 그 외에 사회당 후보로 올랑드가 확정된 2011년 11월 이전 조사에는 사회당 당수인 마르틴 오브리도 조사 후보군에 들어갔다. 결선투표에 올라간 올랑드와 사르코지간의 여론조사는 2012년 4월 22일 1차 투표 이전과 이후로 구분해서 정리했다. 조사출처 조사일 표본크기 기권/무효 사르코지UMP 올랑드PS Ifop 2012.04.22 1,004 – 45.5 % 54.5 % Ipsos 2012.04.22 1,090 15 % 46 % 54 % CSA 2012.04.22 1,009 – 44 % 56 % OpinionWay 2012.04.22 7,900 - 46 % 54 % BVA 2012.04.22 678 10 % 47 % 53 % Harris 2012.04.22 1,088 – 46 % 54 % OpinionWay 2012.04.23-24 1,227 15% 46 % 54 % TNS-sofres 2012.04.24-25 1,000 27 % 45 % 55 % CSA 2012.04.24-25 1,009 - 46 % 54 % BVA 2012.04.24-25 1,467 - 45.5 % 54.5 % Ifop 2012.04.25 1,507 – 45 % 55 % Harris 2012.04.25-26 1,032 - 45 % 55 % LH2 2012.04.27-28 958 – 46 % 54 % Ipsos 2012.04.27-28 988 - 47 % 53 % Ifop 2012.04.27-28 958 - 46 % 54 % BVA 2012.4.30-5.1 1,414 - 46.5 % 53.5 % 1차 투표 이전 여론조사 조사출처 조사일 표본크기 기권/무효 니콜라 사르코지UMP 프랑수아 올랑드PS CSA 2009.11.04–05 910 40 % 57 % 43 % TNS Sofres 2010.08.20–21 1,000 19 % 50 % 50 % Ifop 2010.11.18–19 811 – 47 % 53 % TNS Sofres 2010.11.19–20 1,000 24 % 45 % 55 % CSA 2011.01.17–18 847 – 45 % 55 % CSA 2011.02.14–15 1,005 – 46 % 54 % TNS Sofres 2011.02.18–19 1,000 22 % 44 % 56 % Ifop 2011.04.20–21 917 – 44 % 56 % LH2 2011.05.06–07 565 14 % 40 % 60 % BVA 2011.05.20–21 960 19 % 38 % 62 % TNS Sofres 2011.05.20–21 1,013 15 % 42 % 58 % Harris Interactive 2011.06.03–05 1,449 – 40 % 60 % LH2 2011.07.08–09 957 7 % 40 % 60 % BVA 2011.07.08–09 782 – 42 % 58 % Ifop 2011.07.19–21 1,002 – 43 % 57 % Ifop 2011.8.30-9.2 1,918 – 41 % 59 % LH2 2011.09.02–03 818 – 43 % 57 % LH2 2011.9.30-10.1 975 – 40 % 60 % CSA 2011.10.17 1,010 – 38 % 62 % BVA 2011.10.17–18 950 – 36 % 64 % Ifop 2011.10.18–20 941 – 40 % 60 % LH2 2011.10.21–22 975 – 40 % 60 % Ipsos 2011.11.28–29 970 15% 38 % 62 % BVA 2011.11.04–05 973 – 39 % 61 % Ipsos 2011.12.02–03 955 – 40 % 60 % CSA 2011.12.12–13 1,006 25 % 42 % 58 % Ifop 2012.01.04–06 1,163 – 46 % 54 % BVA 2012.01.06–07 973 24 % 43 % 57 % CSA 2012.01.09–10 1,005 15 % 43 % 57 % Opinion Way 2012.01.10–11 1,060 28 % 45 % 55 % Ifop 2012.01.11–13 1,550 – 43 % 57 % LH2 2012.01.13–14 966 22 % 43 % 57 % Ipsos 2012.01.13–14 949 – 41 % 59 % BVA 2012.01.18–19 974 19 % 43 % 57 % CSA 2012.01.23–24 898 19 % 40 % 60 % Opinion Way 2012.01.23–25 1,087 23 % 44 % 56 % Ifop 2012.01.29–30 1,387 – 42 % 58 % TNS-sofres 2012.01.30 1,000 21 % 42 % 58 % BVA 2012.01.30–31 1,448 15 % 43 % 57 % LH2 2012.02.03–04 955 22 % 43 % 57 % BVA 2012.02.03–04 968 14 % 42 % 58 % Ipsos 2012.02.03–04 953 – 41 % 59 % CSA 2012.02.06–07 869 19 % 40 % 60 % Opinion Way 2012.02.06–08 1,346 14 % 44 % 56 % Ifop 2012.02.09–12 1,723 – 42.5 % 57.5 % Harris Interactive 2012.02.9–13 954 – 43 % 57 % BVA 2012.02.15–16 949 15 % 44 % 56 % LH2 2012.02.17–18 967 25 % 45 % 55 % Opinion Way 2012.02.17–18 975 25 % 44 % 56 % Ipsos 2012.02.17–18 969 21 % 41 % 59 % CSA 2012.02.20 891 19 % 44 % 56 % Ipsos 2012.02.24–25 959 16 % 42 % 58 % Ifop 2012.02.23–26 1,723 – 43.5 % 56.5 % TNS-sofres 2012.02.28 1,000 25 % 43 % 57 % LH2 2012.03.02–03 971 – 42 % 58 % BVA 2012.03.02–03 963 – 41 % 59 % Ipsos 2012.03.02–03 966 20 % 42 % 58 % Harris Interactive 2012.03.01–05 975 – 44 % 56 % CSA 2012.03.05 888 19 % 44 % 56 % Opinion Way 2012.03.05–07 1,221 24 % 44 % 56 % Ifop 2012.03.11–12 1,638 – 45.5 % 54.5 % TNS-sofres 2012.03.12 1,000 24 % 42 % 58 % CSA 2012.03.12–13 861 17 % 46 % 54 % Opinion Way 2012.03.14–15 1,183 20 % 45 % 55 % Ifop 2012.03.16–17 961 – 46 % 54 % LH2 2012.03.16–17 962 22 % 45 % 55 % Ipsos 2012.03.16–17 950 17 % 44 % 56 % Harris Interactive 2012.03.15–19 1,097 – 44 % 56 % CSA 2012.03.19–20 888 16 % 46 % 54 % BVA 2012.03.21–22 926 12% 46 % 54 % Ipsos 2012.03.23–24 978 19 % 46 % 54 % Harris Interactive 2012.03.22–26 1,231 – 46 % 54 % Opinion Way 2012.03.26–27 1,148 19 % 46 % 54 % TNS-sofres 2012.03.26–27 1,000 22 % 45 % 55 % CSA 2012.03.26–27 876 19 % 47 % 53 % LH2 2012.03.30–31 973 21 % 46 % 54 % Ipsos 2012.03.30–31 881 17 % 45 % 55 % Harris Interactive 2012.3.29-.4.2 1,059 – 47 % 53 % CSA 2012.04.02–03 884 – 46 % 54 % Opinion Way 2012.04.03–04 969 21 % 47 % 53 % Harris Interactive 2012.04.03-06 1,033 – 47 % 53 % Ifop 2012.04.05–07 1,869 – 47 % 53 % Ipsos 2012.04.06–07 955 14 % 45 % 55 % Opinion Way 2012.04.10–12 1,007 21% 46 % 54 % CSA 2012.04.10–11 1,013 – 43 % 57 % BVA 2012.04.11–12 885 14% 44 % 56 % TNS-sofres 2012.04.11–12 1,000 23 % 44 % 56 % Ipsos 2012.04.13–14 894 18 % 44 % 56 % Ifop 2012.04.12–15 1,808 - 44.5 % 55.5 % Harris Interactive 2012.04.12–16 991 - 47 % 53 % CSA 2012.04.16–17 886 - 42% 58 % BVA 2012.04.16–17 1,161 14% 44 % 56 % Opinion Way 2012.04.16–17 1,002 20 % 45 % 55 % LH2 2012.04.17–18 956 23 % 44 % 56 % Ifop 2012.04.17–20 2,592 – 46 % 54 % CSA 2012.04.18–19 1,005 - 43 % 57 % BVA 2012.04.18–19 2,161 - 43 % 57 % Ipsos 2012.04.18–19 1,021 - 44 % 56 % Harris Interactive 2012.04.18–19 1,068 - 46 % 54 % TNS-sofres 2012.04.18–19 1,000 - 45 % 55 % 조사출처 조사일 표본크기 기권/무효 니콜라 사르코지UMP 프랑수아 올랑드PS 가상대결 사르코지 vs. 오브리 조사출처 조사일 표본크기 기권/무효 니콜라 사르코지UMP 마르틴 오브리PS CSA 2009.11.04–05 910 39 % 53 % 47 % CSA 2010.02.02–03 802 30 % 52 % 48 % CSA 2010.03.24–25 843 34 % 48 % 52 % CSA 2010.05.19–20 779 35 % 49 % 51 % CSA 2010.07.07–08 809 37 % 48 % 52 % TNS Sofres 2010.08.20–21 1,000 19 % 47 % 53 % Harris Interactive 2010.11.09–10 910 – 49 % 51 % Ifop 2010.11.18–19 811 – 48 % 52 % TNS Sofres 2010.11.19–20 1,000 22 % 45 % 55 % BVA 2011.01.14–15 971 – 43 % 57 % CSA 2011.01.17–18 847 – 44 % 56 % CSA 2011.02.14–15 1,005 – 46 % 54 % TNS Sofres 2011.02.18–19 1,000 23 % 44 % 56 % Opinion Way 2011.04.06–07 991 30 % 44 % 56 % Ifop 2011.04.20–21 917 – 45 % 55 % LH2 2011.05.06–07 565 16 % 44 % 56 % BVA 2011.05.20–21 960 19 % 41 % 59 % TNS Sofres 2011.05.20–21 1,013 14 % 44 % 56 % Harris Interactive 2011.06.03–05 1,449 – 42 % 58 % LH2 2011.07.08–09 957 5 % 42 % 58 % BVA 2011.07.08–09 782 – 42 % 58 % Ifop 2011.07.19–21 1,002 – 47 % 53 % Ifop 2011.8.30-9.2 1,918 – 46 % 54 % LH2 2011.09.02–03 818 – 46 % 54 % LH2 2011.9.30-10.1 975 – 43 % 57 % 가상대결 사르코지 vs. 르펜 조사출처 조사일 표본크기 기권/무효 니콜라 사르코지UMP 마린 르 펜FN Opinion Way 2011.04.06–07 991 41 % 63 % 37 % Ifop 2011.04.20–21 917 – 73 % 27 % LH2 2011.05.06–07 565 23 % 74 % 26 % Harris Interactive 2011.06.03–05 1,449 – 63 % 37 % 가상대결 오브리 vs. 르펜 조사출처 조사일 표본크기 기권/무효 마르틴 오브리PS 마린 르 펜FN Opinion Way 2011.04.06–07 991 28 % 63 % 37 % Ifop 2011.04.20–21 917 – 69 % 31 % LH2 2011.05.06–07 565 16 % 71 % 29 % 가상대결 올랑드 vs. 르펜 조사출처 조사일 표본크기 기권/무효 프랑스아 올랑드PS 마린 르 펜FN Ifop 2011.04.20–21 917 – 72 % 28 % LH2 2011.05.06–07 565 13 % 76 % 24 % 2012년 프랑스 대통령 선거 분류:프랑스의 대통령 선거 대통령 선거 프랑스 대통령