Surgeon volume and established hospital perioperative mortality rate together predict for superior outcomes after open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

BACKGROUND In 2018, the Society for Vascular Surgery (SVS) published hospital volume guidelines for elective open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair, recommending that elective open surgical repair of AAAs should be performed at centers with an annual volume of ≥10 open aortic operations of any type and a documented perioperative mortality of ≤5%. Recent work has suggested a yearly surgeon volume of at least seven open aortic cases for improved outcomes. The objective of the present study was to assess the importance of hospital volume and surgeon volume at these cut points for predicting 1-year mortality after open surgical repair of AAAs. METHODS We evaluated patients who had undergone elective open AAA repair using the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database from 2003 to 2014. The effect of the SVS guidelines on postoperative mortality and complications was evaluated. Confounding between the hospital and surgeon volumes was identified using mixed effects multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis. The effect of the interactions between hospital volume, established hospital perioperative survival, and surgeon volume on postoperative outcomes was also investigated. RESULTS The cohort consisted of 7594 elective open AAA repairs performed by 542 surgeons in 137 hospitals during the 12-year study period. Analysis of the 2018 guidelines using the Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database revealed 1-year and 30-day mortality rates of 9.2% (range, 8.3%-10.1%) and 3.5% (range, 2.9%-4.1%) for centers that were within the SVS guidelines and 13.6% (range, 12.5%-14.7%) and 6.9% (range, 6.1%-7.8%) for those that were outside the guidelines, respectively (P < .001 for both). Multivariate survival analysis revealed a hazard ratio for a surgeon volume of ≥7, hospital volume of ≥10, and hospital 3-year perioperative mortality of ≤5% of 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.70-0.93; P = .003), 0.91 (95% CI, 0.77-1.08; P = .298), and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.62-0.82; P < .001), respectively. Additionally, procedures performed by surgeons with a yearly average volume of open aortic operations of at least seven and at hospitals with an established elective open AAA repair perioperative mortality rate of ≤5% showed improved 1-year (33.2% relative risk reduction; P < .001) and 30-day (P = .001) all-cause survival and improved postoperative complication rates. CONCLUSIONS These data have demonstrated that centers that meet the SVS AAA volume guidelines are associated with improved 1-year and 30-day all-cause survival. However, the results were confounded by surgeon volume. A surgeon open aortic volume of at least seven procedures and an established hospital perioperative mortality of ≤5% each independently predicted for 1-year survival after open AAA repair, with the hospital volume less important. These results indicate that surgeons with an annual volume of at least seven open aortic operations of any type should perform elective open AAA repair at centers with a documented perioperative mortality of ≤5%.