News Finding: However, those individuals who are not displaced during an HRE may be at higher risk because standard measures to combat mosquito breeding (such as removing pools of stagnant water) are neglected when fewer people remain in the area.
Paper Finding: Stagnant water left over from HREs leads to increased abundance of mosquitoes in affected regions, while the deterioration of public and private health regimes increases the likelihood that people are infected.
News Context: When people opt to leave the area, it reduces the number of local infections, while potentially increasing the number of infections elsewhere. However, those individuals who are not displaced during an HRE may be at higher risk because standard measures to combat mosquito breeding (such as removing pools of stagnant water) are neglected when fewer people remain in the area. And as people move into a disaster area to offer emergency relief -- or when they return after the event -- the number of local infections rises.
Paper Context: The resulting flooding led to the displacement and death of many individuals. Stagnant water left over from HREs leads to increased abundance of mosquitoes in affected regions, while the deterioration of public and private health regimes increases the likelihood that people are infected. While forecasting the extent and impact of HRE-induced epidemics is challenging, well designed and parametrized mathematical models can be used to simulate the potential trajectory and severity of outbreaks, as well as the impact of control interventions.