copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: Audio clip of Lakshmi Mittal speaking against the idea of secularism in India and endorsing the concept of state religion (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-05-31)
Evidence (2024-09-06): History of the concept of the "religion" [...] Secularization is the transformation of the politics of a society from close identification with a particular religion's values and institutions toward nonreligious values and secular institutions. The purpose of this is frequently modernization or protection of the population's religious diversity. [...] - ^ Mittal, Sushil (2003). Surprising Bedfellows: Hindus and Muslims in Medieval and Early Modern India. Lexington Books. p. 103. ISBN 978-0-7391-0673-0.
Claim: Audio clip of Lakshmi Mittal speaking against the idea of secularism in India and endorsing the concept of state religion (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-05-31)
Evidence (2020-05-03): Not a day goes by when we don’t receive messages on our social media sites and WhatsApp groups spewing venom and inflaming communal passions. One ignores it if the senders and also the messages are anonymous forwards. But when you receive communications from childhood classmates, relatives and friends, colleagues from work who you thought were easy going, genial and loving, with whom you have broken bread over wine and loved and laughed with, what do you do? When you see them blindly sending to you and 20 others some nameless person’s opinion, or provocative comments and reports of incidents of prejudice full of malignant animosity, brazen falsehoods and improbable inventions of a sick mind, then you feel engulfed in despondency. When you show evidence and tell them that the audio of Lakshmi Mittal abusing Muslims in four letter words is fake or when you tell the NRI in the US that the anonymous viral message about Hindus becoming a minority in India by 2050 is mischievous, not backed by any evidence and he must not foolishly believe such things, then there’s no answer.
Claim: Audio clip of Lakshmi Mittal speaking against the idea of secularism in India and endorsing the concept of state religion (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-05-31)
Evidence (2023-02-01): AILET 2024 | Latest Updates and Instructions [...] AILET | Instruction for Candidates at NLSIU Test Centre [...] Secularism in India has been a terrain of intense contestation in the last few years and is perhaps an idea in need for further and newer conceptualisations. Critiquing earlier formulations of democracy and secularism, Prof….
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-04-12): Firstly, Election Commission of India in its press note released by on 8th April 2019, notified that no exit polls to be published between 7.00 A.M. on 11.04.2019 (Thursday) and 6.30 P.M. on 19.05.2019 (Sunday). Secondly, no organization by the name PARC was found on the internet with the given address and there was no response to phone calls to that number. So, the claim about Exit Poll results in the post is FALSE.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-09-24): - ^ "CVoter survey 2019: NDA will marginally fall short of majority but form government - India News - Times of India". The Times of India. 10 March 2019. [...] - ^ Rana, Lakshya (1 April 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: उत्तर प्रदेश में BJP+ को मिल सकती हैं 46 सीटें, महागठबंधन भी मजबूत". India TV Hindi. [...] - ^ "India TV-CNX Exit Poll 2019: As it happened". 19 May 2019.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-26): The analysis here of the general election 2019 is based on a nationwide post-poll survey (The National Election Study 2019) conducted by the Lokniti programme of the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi. The fieldwork for the post-poll survey was conducted in 26 States after each phase of voting which began from April 12, 2019 and went on till May 21. A total of 24,236 voters were interviewed in 211 parliamentary constituencies (PC) in 26 States. [...] The National Election Study 2019 (NES 2019) is a post- poll survey conducted during the general election of 2019 by a team of scholars from all over India and coordinated by Lokniti, Programme for Comparative Democracy at the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS). The NES 2019 is a large and comprehensive social scientific study of India’s national elections and continues the series begun in 1967 by the CSDS (with a break between 1971 and 1996).
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-04-20): Over 100 million people voted in the first phase of India's Lok Sabha polls. The provisional turnout was around 64-65%. Violence was reported in some regions. [...] "First phase, great response! Thank you to all those who have voted today. Getting EXCELLENT feedback from today’s voting. It’s clear that people across India are voting for NDA in record numbers," Modi tweeted late on Friday.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-19): Exit polls give a sense of what the actual result of an election in India could possibly be. The Election Commission of India (ECI), however, has restricted data of exit polls to be made public till half hour after all voting processes conclude. [...] This year too, psephologists are all set to give possible insight into which party or alliance is likely to come out strong after seven phases of Lok Sabha election 2019. Exit poll 2019, like all exit polls in years gone by is keenly awaited before the actual results on counting day on Thursday (May 23). It has been a bitter electoral battle between political rivals over the last few months with each political party bragging it would find favour among voters. Promises were made, accusations were levelled and votes were cast by an electorate of more than 90 crore eligible voters. In a country as diverse as India, predicting the outcome of a Lok Sabha election is an arduous task and not every exit poll has hit the mark each time. Nonetheless, psephologists do follow a systematic and scientific manner in putting out possible number of seats that a political party or alliance could muster up at the end of voting. [...] Lok Sabha election 2019 has been conducted in seven phases with the last phase on Sunday. The exit polls can only be made public after 6.30 pm on Thursday and, at least on paper, ought to take into account a sample size from the final phase as well.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-10-08): With the results, the BJP was able to gain 21 seats in the House, having won 282 in the 2014 Indian general election.[7][8] It was the second time in India's independent history that voters re-elected the same party to power with a bigger majority to the Lok Sabha – India's lower house of parliament. The BJP's total vote share stood at 37.4 per cent, an increase of over 6 percentage points from 31.34 per cent in 2014. The National Democratic Alliance secured a vote share of 45 per cent, compared to 38 per cent in 2014. In contrast, the vote share of Indian National Congress remained the same at 19.5 per cent.[9][10] About 1.04 percent of the voters in India chose to vote for None Of The Above (NOTA) in the 2019 elections, with Bihar leading with 2.08 percent NOTA voters.[11]
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-19): Republic: NDA 295-315, UPA 122-125, Others 102-125 (Republic TV has done two exit polls. According to CVoter NDA will get 287, UPA 128, others 127. Jan Ki Baat prediction is: NDA 305, UPA 124, Others 87, Mahagathbandhan 26)
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-19): An election exit poll is a survey of voters that is conducted immediately after the voting is over. While election opinion polls try to gauge the mood of the nation by asking people who they are likely to vote for, exit polls ask voters which party did they actually vote for. Such polls are conducted by a number of organisations and are considered a handy barometer of what the nation may expect on the day of counting and which party is likely to end up ruling India for the next five years. But it's important to note that this is, ultimately, just educated crystal-ball-gazing and not necessarily the writing on the wall. [...] Of the dozens of post poll surveys will be thrown at you between now and May 23, the India Today-Axis My India post-poll survey is considered the most accurate. Of all the elections that took place between 2013 and 2019, India Today-Axis My India post-poll surveys have given the correct predictions in 95% cases. Since 2013, Axis My India has conducted 36 post-poll surveys out of which 34 have predicted the correct leading party/alliance. The assembly polls of Tamil Nadu in 2016 and Karnataka in 2018 were the only wrong calls. This time, having tapped around 8 lakh voters in 542 constituencies, the India Today-Axis My India findings will be India's biggest post-poll survey. You can also tune in to the AajTak Exit Poll, also conducted by Axis My India. Coverage of the AajTak Exit Poll will begin on India Today TV at 4 pm on May 23.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-05-29): After each phase, exit pollsters ask voters which political party they supported. Some also conduct opinion polls before the elections, as well as a post-poll survey, done a few days after each voting phase. [...] Predicting election outcomes in a chaotic, diverse and unpredictable country like India is risky business. So exit polls do get it wrong.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-10-08): Peoples' Pulse exit poll gave the Congress 49-60 seats and the BJP 20-32 seats in Haryana. Most exit polls pegged the INLD's tally higher than that of the JJP, while others were seen getting up to 10 seats. [...] The India Today-CVoter survey have put the National Conference-Congress alliance at 40-48 seats and the BJP at 27-32 seats in the 90-member assembly of the Union Territory. [...] India Today-CVoter predicts that in Jammu region NC and Congress alliance may win 11-15 seats while BJP may secure 27-31 seats.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-09-13): - ^ Taneja, Nidhi (10 March 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: NDA may get thin majority with 285 seats in Lok Sabha elections". indiatvnews.com. [...] - ^ "ABP News-CVoter survey Highlights: NDA, UPA won't get clear majority in LS polls, hung parliament projected". ABP News. 24 January 2019. [...] - ^ "India TV-CNX Exit Poll 2019: As it happened". 19 May 2019. Archived from the original on 26 May 2019. Retrieved 26 May 2019.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-19): Lok Sabha Elections Exit Poll Results 2019 Live Updates: The Narendra Modi government is all set to come to power in the country with even bigger margin than the 2014 elections. As per India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led NDA will win around 339-365 seats, while the Congress party will be reduced to 77-108 seats. The India Today Group comprising India Today TV, Aaj Tak, and BusinessToday.In have brought you a comprehensive coverage on India's General Elections 2019. The sample size for IndiaToday-AxisMyIndia post-poll survey is close to over 8 lakh respondents, which is 20 times bigger than the 2014 exit polls and bigger than any other survey out there. [...] 8.46 PM: India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll is predicting 339-368 seats for the Narendra Modi-led BJP in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections; Rahul Gandhi-led UPA reduced to 77-108 seats. [...] Sample size for @IndiaToday @AxisMyIndia will be nearly 8 lakhs. In 2014, post poll size was 36,000! Tune in 4pm @IndiaToday the mother of all exit polls !! #IndiaTodayAxisPoll pic.twitter.com/r2UwdRnGUI - Preeti Choudhry (@PreetiChoudhry) May 19, 2019 4.30 PM: The India Today-My Axis India Exit Poll has surveyed more than seven lakh voters across 542 constituencies in order to capture who India wants to choose in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Elections in one constituency -- Tamil Nadu's Vellore -- were cancelled, bringing down the number of total seats voting in the polls. (India Today)
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-19): Exit Poll Results 2019 Updates: India set for Modi 2.0, NDA predicted to win up to 365 seats [...] The India Today Axis My India Exit Poll shows that the Modi-Shah duo has been able to convince the voters that it is better suited to govern the country than the Congress-led Opposition. [...] The India Today-Axis My India exit poll showed Congress will win a minimum of 2 and a maximum of 4 seats in Jammu and Kashmir. BJP was predicted to win a minimum of 2 and a maximum of 3 seats in the state. PDP and other regional parties were predicted to go home empty-handed.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-31): The study, based on a survey of more than 7 lakh respondents across every parliamentary constituency (and which predicted the 2019 results spot on), brings a detailed breakdown of voting preferences across seven key demographic parameters: gender, geography, family income, education, occupation, community/caste and age. [...] For 37 per cent of the respondents, the prime ministerial candidate was the most important factor, while 25 per cent voted on the basis of the local candidate. This reflects the presidential nature of the 2019 poll campaign. Only 3 per cent of the respondents said they voted based on the promises made by the party and its manifesto.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-05-20): Exit poll 2019: Check India Today-Axis My India exit poll for seat by seat result The India Today exit poll was announced after voting in Phase 7 of the Lok Sabha Election 2019 concluded at 6 pm. You can check the India Today-Axis My India seat-by-seat exit poll 2019 results here. [...] India Today-Axis My India had on Sunday announced the exit poll results of the Lok Sabha Election 2019. Axis My India, a pollster India Today TV has partnered with for the exit poll 2019 result, had also declared the Lok Sabha seat-by-seat exit poll results. The India Today exit poll was announced after voting in Phase 7 of the Lok Sabha Election 2019 concluded at 6 pm. You can check the India Today-Axis My India seat-by-seat exit poll 2019 results here.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2023-12-19): As soon as the last voting ballot was closed, exit polls began surfacing on various media and research platforms. So what exactly are election exit polls? In a nutshell, they are surveys where voters are asked who they cast their vote for, right after they have left the polling station. They differ from opinion polls in that they are conducted after the vote has been cast. Owing to discrepancies in the methods of sampling and the survey itself, many critics consider exit and opinion polls to be nothing more than election entertainment. In fact, India’s law prohibits anyone from conducting exit polls from the time the first voting booth opens until half an hour after the final phase of voting to avoid voter swaying. The first serious attempts at exit polling began in the late 1960s in India. By the 1980s, celebrity-like psephologists including Prannoy Roy, fine-tuned the art and science of exit polling to fit a behemoth democracy like India. The Indian political scenario has always had numerous coalitions and multi-party alliances making it extremely difficult to predict election results. At the time of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the ruling mandate was with the National Democratic Alliance or NDA, which was a coalition between the Bharatiya Janata Party and thirteen other parties. At the same time, the opposition was held by the United Progressive Alliance or the UPA, a coalition of the Indian National Congress and other left leaning parties.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-10-02): Opinion surveys of mainstream media outlets projected a decisive victory for the BJP and its coalition, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA). However, the BJP won 240 seats, down from the 303 it had secured in 2019, and lost its singular majority in the Lok Sabha, although the NDA overall secured 293 of the house's 543 seats.[18] The INDIA coalition outperformed expectations, securing 234 seats, 99 of which were won by the Congress, garnering the party the official opposition status for the first time in 10 years.[19][20][21] Seven independents and ten candidates from non-aligned parties also won seats in the Lok Sabha.[22][23][24] [...] The Election Commission of India banned the publication of all exit polls starting 48 hours before Phase 1 of the election until the end of Phase 7. This was intended to prevent exit polls from earlier phases affecting voter decisions in later phases. The ban ended after the close of Phase 7 voting at 18:30 IST on 1 June 2024.[250] [...] - ^ Dash, Nivedita (1 June 2024). "India TV-CNX Exit Poll predicts record third term for PM Modi with massive majority: Highlights". www.indiatvnews.com. Retrieved 3 June 2024.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2024-06-01): India’s exit polls show a majority for Modi’s BJP-led alliance in election [...] Another exit poll from broadcaster CNN-News18 forecast the BJP and its coalition allies to win 355 seats. [...] Exit polls, which are conducted by polling agencies, have a patchy record in India as they have often got the outcome wrong, with analysts saying it is a challenge to get them right in the large and diverse country.
Claim: PARC Exit Poll survey of Phase 1 2019 General Elections in India (FACEBOOK POST, 2019-04-12)
Evidence (2019-04-13): After the successful completion on the Phase 1 of General Elections 2019, few exit polls are doing rounds on social media. One such survey by PARC (Political Analysis & Research Center) is predicting YSRCP party win in Andhra Pradesh State Assembly elections. Let analyse the details of this survey. [...] Fact: Firstly, Election Commission of India in its press note released by on 8th April 2019, notified that no exit polls to be published between 7.00 A.M. on 11.04.2019 (Thursday) and 6.30 P.M. on 19.05.2019 (Sunday). Secondly, no organization by the name PARC was found on the internet with the given address and there was no response to phone calls to that number. So, the claim about Exit Poll results in the post is FALSE. [...] When searched for any organization by the name PARC (Political Analysis & Research Center) as shown the social media post exists in New Delhi, we couldn’t get any results on Google search or on Social Media. The contact number mentioned in the exit poll document isn’t working and there wasn’t any response to our email addressed to parcindia@gmail.com. It’s very unlikely that a well know organization would be using gmail as their email domain rather than their own name. All this evidence along with ECI guidelines cast serious doubts about the existence of any such organization and their exit poll.
Claim: Qatar and Kuwait announced expelling of Swedish citizens in response to the Quran burning incident in Sweden (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-07-03)
Evidence (2023-07-03): Both the Qatar and Kuwait governments issued statements condemning the burning of a Quaran copy outside Stockholm’s central Mosque in Sweden. However, Qatar and Kuwait governments did not issue any order announcing the expelling Swedish citizens from their countries. Hence, the claim made in the post is False.
Claim: Qatar and Kuwait announced expelling of Swedish citizens in response to the Quran burning incident in Sweden (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-07-03)
Evidence (2023-07-02): Stockholm: Sweden's government on Sunday condemned this week's burning of a copy of the Holy Quran outside Stockholm's main mosque, calling it an "Islamophobic" act, after an international Islamic body called for measures to avoid future burnings. [...] "The burning of the Quran, or any other holy text, is an offensive and disrespectful act and a clear provocation. Expressions of racism, xenophobia and related intolerance have no place in Sweden or in Europe," the Swedish foreign ministry said. [...] Countries including Iraq, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Morocco have summoned Swedish ambassadors in protest at the Koran burning incident.
Claim: Qatar and Kuwait announced expelling of Swedish citizens in response to the Quran burning incident in Sweden (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-07-03)
Evidence (2023-07-02): Sweden’s government has condemned the burning of a Quran outside Stockholm’s main mosque, calling it an "Islamophobic" act, after an international Islamic body called for measures to avoid future desecration of the Muslim holy book. [...] "The burning of the Quran, or any other holy text, is an offensive and disrespectful act and a clear provocation. Expressions of racism, xenophobia and related intolerance have no place in Sweden or in Europe," the Swedish foreign ministry said. [...] Countries including Iraq, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Morocco have summoned Swedish ambassadors in protest at the Quran burning incident.
Claim: Qatar and Kuwait announced expelling of Swedish citizens in response to the Quran burning incident in Sweden (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-07-03)
Evidence (2023-07-12): The Kuwaiti government has announced plans to publish 100,000 copies of the Quran in the Swedish language for distribution in the Scandinavian country, in response to the provocative Quran burning incident in Stockholm on the day coinciding with Eid Al-Adha last month. [...] Kuwait was among the many Muslim-majority and Arab states to condemn the Quran burning incident which was permitted by Swedish authorities, with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stating that: "This serious provocative move offends Muslims around the world."
Claim: Qatar and Kuwait announced expelling of Swedish citizens in response to the Quran burning incident in Sweden (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-07-03)
Evidence (2023-08-09): The Quran-burning protester in Sweden and his complex past [...] The fact that Momika burned the Quran outside a mosque can be understood as incitement against a group, Swedish police said. Whether the case goes further will depend on whether local prosecutors agree. [...] In a video posted yesterday by an Iraqi politician, a shopkeeper in Sweden refused to serve the Quran-burning protester.
Claim: Qatar and Kuwait announced expelling of Swedish citizens in response to the Quran burning incident in Sweden (SOCIAL MEDIA POST, 2023-07-03)
Evidence (2023-06-29): Sweden Quran burning: Protesters storm embassy in Baghdad Dozens of people have stormed the compound of the Swedish embassy in Iraq's capital, Baghdad, after a Quran was burnt during a protest in Sweden. [...] Sweden's Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson said the Quran burning was "legal but not appropriate".