copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-05-24): The number of murders in the U.S. rose by 5,795 from 2019 to 2020, when Donald Trump was president. That’s the largest one-year increase since such data began being systematically recorded in the early 1960s. Crime data analysts generally attribute most of the reason for the murder spike to a complex confluence of the coronavirus pandemic and the social upheaval after George Floyd’s murder, not Trump’s actions.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-04-16): "In 2020, before I took office, the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded," President Biden said in a written statement. "My administration got to work on day one to fix that." [...] But crime rates offer a great example of how contemporary Republican politics rejects the intuitive rules for a different model. To the extent that reality still has meaning, Biden has a compelling story to tell: Crime rates, most notably murder rates, spiked toward the end of his Republican predecessor’s term. Under the incumbent Democratic president’s leadership, Americans are now safer.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-09-29): Joe Biden stated on July 13, 2024 in a statement to the media "The idea that there’s political violence or violence in America like this is just unheard of." Social Media stated on July 13, 2024 in social media posts Donald Trump staged the shooting at his rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Instagram posts stated on June 30, 2024 in an Instagram post The city of San Francisco posted street signs warning that "stolen goods must remain under $950." Viral image stated on June 18, 2024 in a Facebook post "Justin Timberlake allegedly had traces of molly, poppers, Truvada, and coke in his bloodstream following his DWI arrest in New York." Donald Trump stated on June 15, 2024 in remarks in Detroit Crime statistics "no longer include data from 30% of the country including the biggest and most violent cities." Joe Biden stated on May 24, 2024 in a campaign email "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." Load more [...] Joe Biden stated on May 24, 2024 in a campaign email "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded."
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-19): Across America, families want the same thing: the freedom to feel safe in their community. To know their kids are secure. My administration is making it a reality. This week, the FBI released data showing that crime declined across nearly every category in 2023. Last year, we also had one of the lowest rates of all violent crime in more than 50 years, and the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history. That's good news for the American people. In 2020, before I took office, the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded. My administration got to work on day one to fix that. Thanks to the American Rescue Plan, which every Republican in Congress voted against, we made the largest ever Federal investment in fighting and preventing crime at any time in our history. That enabled cities and States to invest $15 billion in public safety. This record investment in crime reduction—in community violence intervention, mental health and additional officers—is delivering results. It is keeping law enforcement on the beat and keeping communities safe from violence. My administration is also taking on the crisis of gun violence head on, with more executive actions on gun violence than any President in history and signing the most significant law to address gun violence in almost 30 years.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2021-01-16): America is experiencing the worst recorded increase in its national murder rate [...] United States January 16th 2021 - Donald Trump’s ban from online platforms underlines their power - America is experiencing the worst recorded increase in its national murder rate - Congress has impeached Donald Trump for his incitement of a mob attack on the Capitol - Minor-league baseball is getting squeezed - What to expect from Texas legislature’s new session - The conscience of some conservatives
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-06-18): Fact check: Biden says Trump oversaw 'the largest increase in murder in U.S. history' [...] "As president, Trump oversaw the largest increase in murder in U.S. history and he would make the gun violence epidemic worse if reelected," Biden said in a campaign email. [...] Numerically, this is on target: The number of murders rose by 5,795 from 2019 to 2020, when Trump was president. That’s the largest one-year increase since such data began to be systematically recorded in the early 1960s.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-09-23): After the prior Administration oversaw the largest one-year increase in murders ever recorded, President Biden and Vice President Harris took historic action from the start of their Administration to reduce violent crime. Because firearms are used in approximately 80% of murders in the United States, addressing gun crime is essential to addressing violent crime. The President and Vice President secured funding through the American Rescue Plan—which every Republican in Congress voted against—for law enforcement and community violence interventions. President Biden and Vice President Harris announced executive actions to keep guns out of dangerous hands and, by the middle of 2022, the Biden-Harris Administration had already taken more executive action to reduce gun violence than any other administration. On June 25, 2022, President Biden signed into law the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act—the most significant new gun violence prevention law in nearly 30 years. Year-over-year comparisons show that 2023 had the single largest homicide rate drop in recent history.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-05-03): After the prior Administration oversaw the largest one-year increase in murders ever recorded, violent crime is at a near fifty-year low. This crime reduction is not an accident. It’s the result of extraordinary efforts from law enforcement and community leaders. It’s also the result of historic steps by my Administration to stop the flow of illegal guns and make the largest-ever federal investment in fighting and preventing crime because of my American Rescue Plan. Despite every Republican in Congress voting against it, that plan passed, and it has enabled cities and states to invest over $15 billion in public safety and violence prevention, putting cops on the beat for accountable community policing as well as interrupting and preventing crime.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-02-28): During the previous Administration, America saw the largest increase in murders ever recorded in 2020; Under the Biden-Harris Administration, there has been a significant decrease in crime – including one of the largest yearly declines in homicides ever. [...] By comparison, during the final year of the Trump Administration in 2020, the United States saw the largest increase in murders ever recorded.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-05-24): Did Donald Trump oversee the biggest-ever one-year rise in murders? [...] The number of murders in the U.S. rose by 5,795 from 2019 to 2020, when Donald Trump was president. That’s the largest one-year increase since such data began being systematically recorded in the early 1960s. [...] "As president, Trump oversaw the largest increase in murder in U.S. history and he would make the gun violence epidemic worse if reelected," Biden said in a campaign email.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-19): Across America, families want the same thing: the freedom to feel safe in their community. To know their kids are secure. My Administration is making it a reality. This week, the FBI released data showing that crime declined across nearly every category in 2023. Last year, we also had one of the lowest rates of all violent crime in more than 50 years and the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history. That’s good news for the American people. In 2020, before I took office, the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded. My Administration got to work on day one to fix that. Thanks to the American Rescue Plan, which every Republican in Congress voted against, we made the largest-ever federal investment in fighting and preventing crime at any time in our history. That enabled cities and states to invest $15 billion in public safety. This record investment in crime reduction – in community violence intervention, mental health and additional officers – is delivering results. It is keeping law enforcement on the beat, and keeping communities safe from violence. My Administration is also taking on the crisis of gun violence head on, with more executive actions on gun violence than any President in history and signing the most significant law to address gun violence in almost 30 years.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2017-01-17): Obama embraced the US drone programme, overseeing more strikes in his first year than Bush carried out during his entire presidency. A total of 563 strikes, largely by drones, targeted Pakistan, Somalia and Yemen during Obama’s two terms, compared to 57 strikes under Bush. Between 384 and 807 civilians were killed in those countries, according to reports logged by the Bureau.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2021-10-27): The U.S. murder rate rose 30% between 2019 and 2020 – the largest single-year increase in more than a century, according to data published this month by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The findings align with a separate tabulation of the nation’s murder rate published in September by the FBI. [...] The year-over-year increase in the U.S. murder rate in 2020 was the largest since at least 1905 – and possibly ever, according to provisional data from the CDC. (Final data is not expected to differ much from the provisional data.) There were 7.8 homicides for every 100,000 people in the United States in 2020, up from six homicides per 100,000 people the year before. The rise in the nation’s murder rate last year far exceeded the 20% increase measured in 2001, which was driven by the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11. Last year’s increase in the murder rate may have even exceeded the one measured in 1905, according to Dr. Robert Anderson, who oversees mortality statistics for the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics. Anderson noted earlier this month that the 1905 increase was at least partly due to more states submitting data to the national death registry, as opposed to an actual rise in murders.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-06-27): Putting aside the question of a president’s influence on crime trends, Biden has a point that "violent crime is near a record 50-year low," as he said in May. The FBI’s violent crime rate for 2022, the last year with available data, was 370 per 100,000 population. Since 1972, only two years have had lower violent crime rates: 2014 and 2019. Biden left out important context when he said that the Trump administration "oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." The increase in the number of murders from 2019 to 2020 was the largest one-year increase since data was systematically recorded in the early 1960s, but this was largely beyond Trump’s control; experts say the spike stemmed from a confluence of the coronavirus pandemic and the societal upheaval after George Floyd’s murder that year. Trump has urged voters not to trust data showing falling violent crime because he says the analyses don’t include 30 percent of cities. This is False: The FBI did struggle with data collection in 2021, but coverage has been back to normal since 2022.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-19): "In 2020, before I took office, the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded," Biden said in the statement. "My Administration got to work on day one to fix that."
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-19): Biden said that in 2020, before he took office, "the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded. My Administration got to work on day one to fix that."
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-04-08): Biden stated that "the prior [Trump] Administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded" in 2020. It is true that the spike in homicides, and nearly every other criminal category, rose dramatically that year. Biden’s statement continues by proclaiming that homicides "saw the sharpest decrease in history" in 2023, falling by 13 percent. However, recently published data informs us that in the three years Biden has been president there were 22,536 murders in 2021, 21,156 murders in 2022, and approximately 18,400 murders in 2023, or 62,098 in a three-year period. Conversely, the four years of the Trump administration saw 18,206 in 2017, 16,937 in 2018, 16,952 in 2019, and 22,414 murders in 2020, or a total of 74,509. Under Trump, the country averaged 18,627 murders per year. Under Biden, the country is averaging 20,700, or more than 10 percent more murders per year. Moreover, if 2020 is stripped from the data set, Joe Biden has presided over the three deadliest years in American history … and it’s not even close. The celebrated 2023 was one of the most violent years in American history. Violent crime offenses are generally higher under Biden as well. For instance, in 2020 (the most violent year during Trump’s administration) there were 673,812 violent crime offenses reported. By comparison, Biden’s storied 2023 saw nearly a quarter million more violent criminal offenses.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-19): "It suggests that when we get the final data in October, we will have seen likely the largest one-year decline in murder that has ever been recorded," crime analyst Jeff Asher told NBC. [...] "Across America, families want the same thing: the freedom to feel safe in their community. To know their kids are secure. My Administration is making it a reality," Biden said in a statement, adding, "the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded. My Administration got to work on day one to fix that."
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-07-13): Donald Trump’s Project 2025 Plans: Trump oversaw the largest one-year increase in murders ever recorded, including a 35% increase in murders committed with guns. While President Biden has stood up to the gun lobby, Trump is proud of doing their bidding. He refused to limit the use of high-capacity magazines after a Las Vegas shooter used a dozen 100-round magazines to kill 58 people. And, when confronted with horrific gun violence, he tells families to "get over it." On January 6, he encouraged the rioters who attacked the police officers protecting our Capitol — and since then, he has promised to pardon these convicted criminals. As president, he repeatedly proposed cutting funding to state and local law enforcement programs; he proposed cutting the COPS program that funds local police officers for three years in a row, including a $244 million cut in FY2021. He’s called to defund the Department of Justice and the FBI. And, he says he will withhold federal funding from local police departments that don’t adopt policies like stop-and-frisk or assist in mass deportations. If enacted, Project 2025 would weaken racial discrimination standards and endanger communities of color.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-07-24): Despite the decline, the number of murders still isn’t back down to the level in 2019, before a sizable increase occurred. From 2019 to 2020, according to the Major Cities Chiefs Association, there was a 33.4% increase in the number of murders in large cities. In Biden’s first year in office, there was a much smaller uptick of 6.2%. Since 2021, the numbers have been going down.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-21): The White House took a veiled jab at the Trump administration, saying that Biden's predecessor "oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." [...] Instances of violent crime, such as murders, increased during the COVID-19 pandemic at the end of the Trump administration. Since then, however, most violent crime has been on the decline. In 2019, there were 5.1 homicides per 100,000 people, but in 2020, that number grew to 6.5 homicides per 100,000 people before peaking in 2021 at 6.8 homicides per 100,000 people.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-09-26): After the prior Administration oversaw the largest one-year increase in murders ever recorded, President Biden and Vice President Harris took action from the start of their Administration to reduce violent crime. The President and the Vice President helped deliver over $15 billion in funding through the American Rescue Plan for law enforcement, community violence interventions, and other public safety strategies. By the middle of 2022, the Biden-Harris Administration had already announced more executive actions to reduce gun violence than any other administration. Then, on June 25, 2022, President Biden signed into law the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, the most significant gun violence prevention law in nearly 30 years. On September 22, 2023, to help drive further progress, President Biden established the first-ever White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention, overseen by Vice President Harris. Under the leadership of President Biden and Vice President Harris, in 2023 the United States experienced the single largest homicide rate drop in recent history. The reduction in homicide has accelerated this year. Data submitted to the Department of Justice shows that the homicide rate dropped another 17 percent from January through June 2024, compared to the same time period in 2023. Data from the Gun Violence Archive indicates that the number of mass shootings so far this year is 20 percent lower than it was at this time last year.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-05-03): After the prior administration oversaw the largest 1-year increase in murders ever recorded, violent crime is at a near 50-year low. This crime reduction is not an accident. It's the result of extraordinary efforts from law enforcement and community leaders. It's also the result of historic steps by my administration to stop the flow of illegal guns and make the largest ever Federal investment in fighting and preventing crime because of my American Rescue Plan. Despite every Republican in Congress voting against it, that plan passed, and it has enabled cities and States to invest over $15 billion in public safety and violence prevention, putting cops on the beat for accountable community policing as well as interrupting and preventing crime.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-19): The data has not yet been audited and analyzed, with the FBI expected to release its full report in October. But crime analyst Jeff Asher told NBC News that, once that data drop occurs later this year, it is likely that the final numbers will reflect "the largest one-year decline in murder that has ever been recorded." [...] "In 2020, before I took office, the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded," he continued. "My Administration got to work on day one to fix that."
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-06-21): Biden left out important context when he said that the Trump administration "oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." The increase in the number of murders from 2019 to 2020 was the largest one-year increase since data was systematically recorded in the early 1960s, but this was largely beyond Trump’s control; experts say the spike stemmed from a confluence of the coronavirus pandemic and the societal upheaval after George Floyd’s murder that year.
Claim: "The last administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded." (Joe Biden, 2024-05-24)
Evidence (2024-03-20): Jeff Asher, a former CIA analyst who now studies crime trends, told NBC News that the latest reporting from the FBI "suggests that when we get the final data in October, we will have seen likely the largest one-year decline in murder that has ever been recorded." [...] "Across America, families want the same thing: the freedom to feel safe in their community. To know their kids are secure. My administration is making it a reality," Biden said in a written statement. "This week, the FBI released data showing that crime declined across nearly every category in 2023. Last year, we also had one of the lowest rates of all violent crime in more than 50 years and the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history. That’s good news for the American people. "In 2020, before I took office, the prior administration oversaw the largest increase in murders ever recorded. My administration got to work on day one to fix that. Thanks to the American Rescue Plan, which every Republican in Congress voted against, we made the largest-ever federal investment in fighting and preventing crime at any time in our history. That enabled cities and states to invest $15 billion in public safety. This record investment in crime reduction — in community violence intervention, mental health and additional officers — is delivering results."