copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: 21% of people in Northern Ireland are living with a long-term health problem or disability. (Michael Wardlow, 2016-03-11)
Evidence (2023-01-26): Between 2013/2014 and 2021/2022, the number of people reporting a long-term health condition increased by 2.6m (22.4%). Of those with a long-term health condition, the number of people who reported their condition limited their day-to-day activities (classifying them as disabled) increased by 2.1m (30.7%). Of those, the number who reported their day-to-day activities were limited a lot increased by 850,000 (29.8%). To put this into context the increase in number (850,000) is the same as for the working-age population as whole during the same period. The number and rate of people reporting a long-term health condition or classified as disabled (including those whose day-to-day activities were limited a lot) is increasing faster now than in each of the last nine years. 2021/2022 saw the largest annual increase in number of people reporting a long-term health condition 610,000 (4.4%), classified as disabled 730,000 (8.8%) and disabled, limited a lot 410,000 (12.3%). [...] The proportion of disabled people reporting more than one long-term health condition was generally falling prior to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic - from 60.7% in 2013/2014 to 55.9% in 2019/2020. In 2020/2021 the proportion increased to 60.4% before falling again in 2021/2022 to 57.5%, which is still above the pre-pandemic figure.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2019-01-30): This claim is inaccurate. There are 5,900 lorry (heavy goods vehicle) crossings daily. Cross-border trade represents 0.97% of UK-EU trade; alternative figures may be due to different measurement practices between countries.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2022-03-02): This claim is inaccurate. There are 5,900 lorry (heavy goods vehicle) crossings daily. Cross-border trade represents 0.97% of UK-EU trade; alternative figures may be due to different measurement practices between countries. On 30 January 2019, UKIP leader Gerard Batten made three related claims in a tweet regarding the Ireland-Northern Ireland border. (The tweet — screenshot image below — was promptly deleted.) Firstly, he claimed that 100 lorries cross the border daily. Secondly, that trade between Ireland and Northern Ireland accounts for 0.5% of the total UK trade with EU countries. And lastly, Batten claimed that Guinness accounts for half of the total trade ("trips") across the border. [...] The tweet made three inter-related claims about Northern Ireland-Ireland trade. TheJournal.ie showed that the claim that there were 100 daily lorry crossings was a large underestimation in comparison with published data (5,900 lorries), while Diageo declared an estimated 35 daily crossings for its beer products (including Guinness).
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2022-11-01): The Northern Ireland Affairs Committee report on the land border between Northern Ireland and Ireland describes how this regime allows goods to107 pass across the border currently and the possible effects of the UK leaving the Single Market: [...] 111.The trade in live cattle and sheep, and beef and lamb across the Northern Ireland/Republic of Ireland border takes place on a daily basis, with approximately 390,000 live lambs crossing the border annually. The Livestock and Meat Commission for Northern Ireland 267 Northern Irish Affairs Select Committee, 2nd Report – The land border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, HC 329, 16 March 2018, para 43 268 Institute for Government, ‘The Irish border after Brexit’, Tim Durrant & Alex Stojanovic, June 2018 told us that the Northern Ireland sheep industry was particularly exposed to the effects of more complicated border arrangements, with approximately 45% of all lambs born in Northern Ireland exported to the Republic of Ireland each year. In 2016, the value of this live trade was approximately £31.5 million. 112.The dairy industries in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland act as one through the supply chain, and dairy products cross the border several times between the farm gate and the consumer. Republic of Ireland dairy co-operatives own approximately 60% of the processing capacity in Northern Ireland. Exports to the Republic of Ireland were approximately 15% of total sales of the Northern Ireland dairy industry in 2015.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2017-12-04): The North’s economy was not unaffected by this development. It also coincided with a detente between the two during this period. Starting with the Anglo-Irish Agreement in 1985 and then the Good Friday Agreement in 1998, political relations improved and translated into economic gains. Since the early 1990s there has been a steady growth in cross-border activities only partly slowed by the credit crisis of 2007-08. There have also been increases in tourism, investment and travel. Around 30,000 people cross the border daily for work purposes and approximately 177,000 lorries and 250,000 vans cross each month. Trade is now valued at around £3 billion a year. [...] For the 1.81m people in the North and the 4.78m people in the Republic, this cross-border trade is huge. Of particular importance is the agricultural processing industry with supply chains crossing the border several times before final production.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2022-02-27): It is extremely difficult to accurately establish the exact number of border crossings, as many informal routes have been established since border infrastructure was removed and many are on private land, but the official number of main routes so far identified by the Irish and Northern Ireland governments is 208. [...] In March 2018, the Northern Ireland Affairs Committee of the UK government published a report into the land border between Northern Ireland and Ireland. It states: "The land border is 310 miles long with over 200 formal crossing points and probably the same number again of informal crossing points". [...] In response to a question from FactCheckNI, a spokesperson for the Department for Infrastructure in Northern Ireland said: "The Department for Infrastructure has been working with the Department for Transport, Tourism and Sport to carry out a mapping exercise to map exactly where the Northern Ireland road network crosses the border. This work is nearing completion and it is hoped the final report will be published soon. We have identified 208 border crossing points."
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2018-05-15): One of the most difficult issues in the entire Brexit process is how to ensure that there is no return to a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic, once that border becomes the external border of the European Union, of its single market and its customs union. [...] An open border is a vital part of the 1998 Good Friday Agreement which underpins the Northern Ireland peace process. [...] But drivers hoping to cross the border say they often have to wait for more than 24 hours at busy times.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2022-03-02): On 7th April 2017, Irish foreign minister Charles Flanagan stated to BBC News, "Over 30,000 people cross the Ireland-Northern Ireland border daily." [...] People cross the border for many reasons, not just to work. On 8th February 2017, NRA traffic data records 24,317 vehicles crossing the border at Jonesborough [Newry], and a further 7,849 vehicles crossing at Burnfoot [Derry-Londonderry] – and these are just two of the many border crossings. Of course people also use other forms of transport; cross-border train journey AADT averaged 2,300 per day in the year 2013-2014." With these statistics in hand, we can begin to see the growing numbers of people crossing the Ireland-Northern Ireland border on a daily basis. It is therefore reasonable to conclude that the estimate of 30,000 people crossing the border every day for work is accurate.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2021-04-01): In order to examine the issue more closely, I hopped on board a lorry going from Great Britain to Northern Ireland to experience the journey - and the movement of goods - for myself. [...] In Northern Ireland lorries must enter through new Border Control Posts. [...] Hauliers are now travelling by different routes in large numbers. Crossings from Ireland to France which miss out GB entirely continue to be much busier.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2023-02-28): Brexit: UK and EU agree new trade deal for Northern Ireland - Published - comments [...] When both the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland were part of the European Union, they followed the same EU trade rules, which meant no checks on goods - for example food, clothes and medicines - crossing the border. [...] The Northern Ireland Protocol allowed goods to be moved across the land border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, without them being checked.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2021-01-01): The first goods have crossed the new trade border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. [...] That is achieved by keeping Northern Ireland in the EU's single market for goods and by having Northern Ireland apply EU customs rules at its ports. This will allow goods to flow from NI to the Republic of Ireland and the rest of the EU as they do now, without customs checks or new paperwork.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2018-09-11): "As it happens, the UK and Ireland are already very sparing in their checks on goods entering from outside the EU – only four per cent get checked by the UK and only one per cent by Ireland… "Only 5 per cent of Northern Ireland’s GDP goes to Ireland, and only 1.6 per cent of Irish exports go to Northern Ireland. There are only about 50 large companies that trade across the frontier" [...] Exports to the Republic of Ireland made up 33% of Northern Ireland’s goods exports in 2016—but only about 1.5% of the Republic’s goods exports went to the North that year. This trade was worth over £4 billion. Around 100 large Northern Irish companies made deliveries across the border that year (about 11% of all deliveries going from Northern Ireland to Ireland). [...] The Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) told us that around 100 "large businesses" (250+ employees) in Northern Ireland made deliveries across the border in 2016.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2016-05-26): Movement between Ireland and the UK now [...] In the same month, Theresa May said: "Just as it would be unacceptable to go back to a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland [after Brexit], it would also be unacceptable to break up the United Kingdom’s own common market by creating a customs and regulatory border down the Irish Sea." She described this as her "personal commitment". [...] This is because if there is no EU-UK agreement on free trade in goods, there would be some British taxes on imports from Ireland, and vice versa.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2018-02-26): Trade across the Irish border [...] Trade across the Irish border is not simply each side selling goods to one another. A European Parliament paper notes how businesses which operate across the border "often have highly interconnected supply chains covering the island of Ireland and often involving movements across the border throughout the manufacturing process". [...] "When considering cross-border trade, it is particularly important to note the integrated nature of the agri-food sector. Food, beverages and tobacco account for 49 per cent of crossborder manufacturing trade, with, for example, more than 10,000 pigs exported from Ireland to Northern Ireland every week and a quarter of all milk produced on Northern Ireland’s farms exported for processing in Ireland."
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2021-01-01): Eighty-five per cent of the volume of trade between the EU and Great Britain is carried by EU hauliers, who are often paid not by the hour, but by the kilometre. If they think there will be too many delays, many may simply not come. [...] Northern Ireland will remain in the EU single market for goods, and unlike the rest of the UK it will continue to enjoy frictionless trade with the EU with no checks of any kind at the land border with the Republic. [...] The trade from British to Northern Irish ports often involves multiple small shipments on a single lorry - all of which will need the right paperwork.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2020-03-20): - Borders points were reopened over the summer of 2020, and cross-border traffic was nearly back to pre-crisis levels before the recent closing. Many domestic and international flights, including for exports via air corridors, have resumed. [...] Reopening of the economy and containment measures.1 [...] Other economic measures -
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2024-09-19): Using a simple calculation, taking the average freight weight of a lorry leaving/entering Scotland from outside the rest of the UK[26] (the maximum carrying weight for a UK HGV is currently 44 tonnes, so it is assumed that average weight taken is 30 tonnes) this suggests an average of 6,766 lorries a year from Scotland cross the Channel to Europe and 4,266 come back in the opposite direction. The data available for the Channel ports suggests that between the port of Dover and Eurotunnel there are around 2.6 million HGV crossings a year[27]. If this estimate is accurate then the Channel Port crossings by Scottish lorries account for less than 0.5% of total crossings. However, although this suggests the total freight travelling to / from Dover is small, this is a key gateway for Scottish traders and mainland Europe. [...] Cross-border passenger journeys originating out with Scotland have been increasing since 1994-95, with 4.2 million journeys of this type being made in 2015-16.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2024-09-16): Enhancing regional dialogue, competitiveness and improving the business climate.Learn more -
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2024-02-15): These data are our best estimate of these bilateral UK trade flows. Users should note that alternative estimates are available, in some cases, through the statistical agencies for bilateral countries or through central databases, such as UN Comtrade. [...] These data are our best estimate of these bilateral UK trade flows. Users should note that alternative estimates are available, in some cases, via the statistical agencies for bilateral countries or through central databases, such as UN Comtrade. [...] Monthly data on the UK's trade in goods and services, including trade inside and outside the EU.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2022-05-31): Index: FTAs come into force in year 0 = 100% [...] EU merchandise trade with key trading partners 3 years after CETA implementation (2016-2019 CAGR* %) [...] Policy Options. 2007. "The Long Road to Free Trade." Retrieved from https://policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/free-trade-20/the-long-road-to-free-trade
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2024-01-01): Trade growth is weak and trade openness has declined [...] A further slowdown in China would hit global growth [...] ← 3. To ensure comparability, United Kingdom data are excluded from the UN Comtrade EU aggregate prior to Brexit.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2024-06-26): The Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA), signed in December 2020, set the terms of the post-Brexit trading relationship between the UK and EU. However, the application of the TCA remains ongoing, with the UK implementing physical inspections on imports from the EU from April 2024 and further declaration requirements from October 2024. [...] More stringent regulation of trade flows, the expectation of further regulatory tightening, and uncertainty over future trade policy may all have weighed on trade between the UK and EU over this period. Goods trade between EU countries and goods trade between the EU and the rest of the world grew more than a third between 2019 and 2022 in current prices. Meanwhile, goods trade between the UK and EU only grew by only around 10 per cent over the same period. An ONS survey of businesses from early 2024 indicates around half of exporting firms and two thirds of importing firms have reported extra costs associated with the changes in regulation since the end of the transition period. Similarly, the Bank of England Agents’ survey suggests EU trade frictions have weighed on export demand and may compound as new UK-EU regulations come into operation this year.c [...] g) Intra-EU goods trade is around 60 per cent higher than the EU’s trade in goods with the rest of the world. Intra-EU trade is broadly in line with EU trade in services with the rest of the world. See European Commission, Single market scoreboard, Integration of goods and services, February 2024.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2024-10-02): Late modern and contemporary periods [...] - Office for National Statistics (2000). Britain 2001: The Official Handbook of the United Kingdom. London: Stationery Office Books. ISBN 978-0-11-621278-8. [...] - UK Parliament (2007). Department for Transport annual report. Stationery Office. ISBN 978-0-10-170952-1.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2023-09-04): 18. For the identification of higher-risk countries, Nordic-Baltic country authorities utilize the FATF grey list, European Commission (EC) higher-risk third country list and non-cooperative tax jurisdictions lists. As required by the international standards on AML/CFT, country authorities are following the list of jurisdictions under the FATF increased monitoring. In addition, the EC produces a list of high risk third countries, which to a large extent overlap with the FATF list. The Nordic-Baltic region has minimal flows with FATF and EC higher-risk countries, representing 0.5% and 0.1% of all the region’s cross border financial flows respectively since 2013.15 The majority of the flows with these externally identified higher-risk countries are driven by flows with Turkey and United Arab Emirates, which represent more than two thirds of the flows with FATF grey list countries. As countries in the region maintain minimal flows with the countries in these higher risk jurisdiction lists, they could produce a more robust risk analysis if they develop their own understanding of their cross-border and non-resident activity risks, and add a focus on their own customized list of high-risk jurisdictions. [...] Identifying Unusual Cross-Border Flows Using Outlier Detection Methods [...] The threshold is set at 30 percent to capture cases in which the cross-border flows are significantly higher than underlying economic fundamentals.
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2020-07-17): -0.50% to <-0.25% Source: DIT modelling (2020) [...] The government remains committed to building a deep and special trading partnership with the EU, but through our new independent trade policy, we can also take advantage of shifts in the global economy: According to the IMF, 90 per cent of the world economic growth over the next five years is forecast to come from outside the EU;[footnote 180] and 54 per cent of the UK’s exports of goods and services are now traded outside the EU,[footnote 181] compared with only 46 per cent in 2006. [...] ONS, UK total trade: all countries, non-seasonally adjusted ↩ -
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2018-05-03): Without intervention, these are likely to increase by about 30–40% by 2050, due to increasing demand based on population and income growth and dietary change (high confidence). {5.4}
Claim: There are approximately 100 lorries per day crossing the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and cross-border trade represents 0.5% of UK-EU trade. (Gerard Batten, 2019-01-30)
Evidence (2020-04-14): Investments in electrified transport have more than tripled in the last 5 years [...] IRENA ran an hourly economic dispatch problem for different years. It selected the year with the highest VRE penetration (2050) for the detailed analysis presented in this section. [...] Policy makers and regulators may want to consider the following actions: