copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2022-03-18): Fewer than one-in-25 (3.9%) Northern Ireland students aged under 21 who began a full-time undergraduate degree in 2019-20 dropped out of their course. [...] Out of 7,265 new "young" students at Queen's University of Belfast, Ulster University, Stranmillis University College and St Mary's University College in 2019-2020, only 280 decided to leave higher education. [...] The dropout rate among 1,925 mature students in Northern Ireland was higher at 5.6% (105 students) but also lower than any year since at least 2014.
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2022-05-27): But the just-published figures show 47.9% of school leavers in Northern Ireland entered university in both 2020 and 2021. Almost three quarters (72.6%) of those entering university in 2021 stayed to study in Northern Ireland, but about 2,800 school leavers began university in the rest of the UK or elsewhere. [...] The department's Qualifications and Destinations of Northern Ireland School Leavers 2020-21 report has just been published.
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2023-03-27): There is likely to be a 20% rise in the number of school leavers from Northern Ireland seeking a university place by the end of the decade. [...] A higher proportion of 18 year olds from Northern Ireland go to university than any other part of the UK. [...] There are expected to be about 14,500 18-year-old students from Northern Ireland entering higher education in 2030, according to the "most likely" scenario forecast by UCAS.
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2022-04-27): For example, early school leaving is two to three times higher in Northern Ireland compared to the Republic and this gap has widened over time. [...] However, Northern Ireland has a much smaller proportion who complete further education and training courses (10 per cent) compared to the Republic (30 per cent).
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2022-02-27): Most recent data show a third (33.5%) of school leavers continue studies outside Northern Ireland. While public investment policy in further education is a significant factor, others must be considered, such as the desire and ability to take up opportunities elsewhere. Thus it is misleading to say that 38% have to leave; some leave because they wish to. In an article published by the Belfast Telegraph on 30th May 2016, Vice-Chancellor Patrick Johnston stated: "Some 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at the age of 18; that’s a really serious situation for any society because in particular your most talented people are leaving." [...] However, it is misleading to say that 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland for further education. Government policy will directly impact some students, but other factors influence this decision, including one’s socio-economic status and own volition to seek opportunities elsewhere.
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2023-03-27): This growth is largely driven by an increase in the UK 18-year-old demographic, with a 38% increase in students from this background, which could see the total number of 18-year-old applicants increase to 457,000. Furthermore, we project that the number of 19-year-old applicants could grow to 101,000 (+10%). [...] Within these headline figures, we also see significant variation by region. In recent history, London has had a significantly higher entry rate than other areas — with over half of 18-year-olds in London progressing to higher education, which is 20 percentage points higher than those from the North East and South West. [...] Furthermore, with the roll out of the Lifelong Loan Entitlement promoting a ‘bite-sized’ form of higher education, and strengthening the appeal to adult learners, we could see a reduced number of students enter higher education at 18, instead preferring a more ‘real time’ experience as they progress through their career, reducing the 18-year-old entry rate, but increasing mature participation. Furthermore, the LLE would potentially broaden the range of individuals engaged with education, increasing mature student numbers.
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2024-08-18): Since 2015, UK students have been legally required to stay in education until the age of 18. A-Levels (or Advanced Levels) are the most popular school-leaving qualifications in the country, and are usually completed between the age of 16 and 18.
Claim: 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at age 18 for higher education. (Patrick Johnston, 2016-05-30)
Evidence (2023-06-26): Enrolments at NI HEIs - Line graph showing enrolments in NI Higher education institutions by age group.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2018-11-17): This claim is inaccurate. Polls for Great Britain show support from those aged 18-24 for remaining in the EU at between 57% and 71%; for Northern Ireland, between 48% and 57%.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2018-10-05): The truth about young people and Brexit - Published [...] In fact, while Steven accepts that "most young people voted Remain," he thinks, "Brexit is an amazing opportunity for young people" because "it means we can sign free-trade deals around the world, reducing tariffs on consumer goods from phones to food, and making our hard-earned cash go even further." After Brexit, he hopes issues like housing will get more attention because the Government could spend "the £10bn a year we currently send to the EU on young people's priorities, such as housing". However, that's not currently Government policy. [...] Stephen Kinnock MP, 48, is the chair of the APPG. He tells BBC Three that their research suggests that what young people really want above all else is to "preserve the strongest possible economic, scientific and cultural links between the UK and the EU". He adds that, "a ‘no deal’, or ‘hard’ Brexit represents a major risk to the economy and therefore to young people’s life chances."
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2016-03-09): So will the same effect apply to the EU referendum? It neither alters which country we live in nor is it extended to 16 and 17 year olds, however, it will change the position of the country that we live in and a Brexit is likely to directly affect young people. Indeed the competing leave and remain campaigns cite the impact of a Brexit on young people. Britain Stronger in Europe focuses on maintaining apprenticeships, employment and overseas study opportunities created by the EU, while the Get Britain Out campaign argues that Britain will have more money for education in the event of a Brexit. Research by the Higher Educational Policy Institute found 75% students were very likely to vote in the EU referendum and 77% would vote to remain. A WISERD blog by Dr Stuart Fox consolidates this with results from a poll by the British Election Study showing 55% of millennials who would vote to remain compared with 18% who would vote to leave. Explanations for this have included young people thinking the EU has less impact on their lives and feeling unrepresented by political parties. However, further exploration is needed into whyyoung people wish to remain, leave or ‘don’t know’. [...] Qualitative research was conducted by WISERD Education researchers in June 2015 with 28 young people in England and Wales. They were asked what the EU means to them and how this might affect their voting preference in the upcoming EU referendum. The majority of participants (23) wanted to remain in the EU, reflecting the statistics outlined above.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2024-07-04): As of February 2024, a significant majority of young Britons thought that leaving the EU was the wrong decision, with 70 percent of 18 to 24 year-old's and 66 percent of 25 and 49 year-old's regretting the decision. By contrast, 56 percent of those aged of 65 thought that Brexit was the right decision. [...] YouGov, In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union? (February 2024) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1393682/brexit-opinion-poll-by-age/ (last visited October 09, 2024) In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union? (February 2024) [Graph], YouGov, February 15, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1393682/brexit-opinion-poll-by-age/
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2018-06-27): In the months since, her family’s economic security and plans to stay in the UK are up in the air. They don’t have the money to apply for citizenship (currently £1,330 per person) and they don’t even know if they would qualify, with Alicja’s mother in part-time work. But what is clear is the impact that Brexit has had on young people’s sense of belonging in Britain. Young Europeans living in the UK have been considerably affected by the decision to leave the European Union, underscored by the rise in applications for British citizenship from EU citizens and the recorded increase in migration of EU citizens from the UK since the referendum. [...] Many EU-born young people who arrived in Britain when their parents migrated are clearly emotionally bruised by the UK’s decision to leave the EU, which for many was like "a kick in the teeth". Educated in Britain, they are now at the point of making decisions about their own futures – but here or elsewhere? For most, Britain is their home, with connections to family, friends, places and memories.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2024-01-01): The UK’s next generation is different from its predecessors. Today’s young people are more connected and more international in their aspirations. Yet, as the UK prepares to leave the EU, it is a good moment to consider how well prepared its next generation is to embrace a more global future. Young British people’s skills and potential will need to be fully harnessed if they and the country as a whole are to succeed after Brexit. Fulfilling their international aspirations could have an important role to play in ensuring that success. [...] On conclusion of the research, the Next Generation Advisory Board made a number of recommendations, including that the UK government should provide clear assurances during Brexit negotiations that it will protect and improve opportunities for young British people to travel, work, and study abroad. It also calls on employers, careers advisors, educationalists, and civil society organisations to help encourage a culture of lifelong international engagement, including building partnerships between schools, universities and employers in the UK with counterparts in other countries. Doing so will not just help the next generation to achieve their aspirations and fulfil their potential. It could also play an important part in improving the UK’s cultural and economic capabilities as it aims to move towards a more global future.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2022-12-16): The mood is changing not simply because some of Britain’s Leave voters have morphed into Rejoiners—the number of actual converts is modest. Fewer than one in five Brexiteers admit to buyer’s remorse. Far more significant is the fact that people who chose not to vote in the original referendum, and young people who were too young to vote in 2016 but are now flooding into the electorate, are heavily against Brexit. Of the 18-to-24-year-olds of Generation Z, who came of age during the populist turmoil marked by the rise of Trump in the U.S. and Johnson in the U.K., as well as the prolonged and polarizing gridlock over Brexit in Parliament, no less than 79 percent say they would vote to rejoin the EU. (This is a view shared by only 24 percent of the oldest Britons.) For these Zoomers, only 2 percent of whom plan to vote Tory at the next election, this opposition to Brexit is just one aspect of an emerging progressive identity, which also includes a strong emphasis on climate change and social justice, as well as support for immigration, greater diversity, and more assertive anti-racism. Similarly to their Gen Z counterparts in Scotland, 73 percent of whom back the call of the Scottish Nationalist first minister, Nicola Sturgeon, to leave the U.K. and rejoin the EU, Zoomers elsewhere in the U.K. seem convinced that Brexit was a historic mistake. And according to the latest YouGov polling, a majority of every age group under 65 in the U.K. now thinks this way.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2018-06-03): Indeed, the British identity is felt strongly by all generations - exactly the same proportion (83%) of both 18-24 year-olds and 50-64-year-olds report a powerful association with Britain. [...] In England, Conservative voters are much more likely to say they are proud to be English (77%) than those who support Labour (45%) and the Liberal Democrats (42%). Among leave supporters in the Brexit referendum English pride is 75%, among those who voted remain it is 44%. [...] For some it is the opposite: among graduates, the young, Labour and Lib Dem voters, remain voters, Londoners, Mancunians and Liverpudlians, roughly one person in 10 says they would be embarrassed to describe themselves as English.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2019-02-01): Young people were most likely to think that paid leave should be split evenly between both parents, with almost half (48%) of 18-24 year olds saying this compared to 17% of those aged 75+. [...] Attitudes varied by gender, age, education, income and socioeconomic status. Women (77%) and younger people (77% of 35-44 year olds) were more likely to agree that society puts too much pressure on girls and women to have a sexualised appearance than men (68%) and older people (57% of those aged 75 and above). Additionally, degree holders (82%), those with the highest household income (80%) and people in managerial and professional occupations as well as employers in small organisations and self-employed (77%) were more likely to support this statement than people with no qualification (59%), those with the lowest household income (65%) and those in lower supervisory and technical occupations (63%).
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2023-03-03): LONDON — Almost seven years and four prime ministers since the U.K. voted to leave the European Union, polling suggests public sentiment has turned against Brexit. In the latest YouGov poll published last week, 53% said the U.K. was wrong to leave versus 32% who still believed it was the right call. Ipsos polling in January indicated that 45% of the population thought Brexit had made their daily life worse, versus just 11% who said it had improved their lives. [...] In January 2019, the year of the last general election, Brexit/Europe was a key issue for 72% of voters, the highest concern recorded since September 1974. By October 2022, this had fallen to 6%.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2019-12-03): A Jack Petchey Foundation survey found 59% of young people want a second referendum on whether to leave the EU. 6,011 young people got a chance to have their say on what the country should do given the Brexit impasse. The online survey carried out in October 2019 revealed 80% of young people thought politicians have not listened to their views on Brexit. [...] Only 5% of young people thought that politicians have listened to their views on Brexit. Perhaps of greater concern is that events relating to Brexit had led 72% of young people to trust politicians less. More positively 46% of young people said events relating to Brexit had made them more likely to vote. [...] Trudy Kilcullen, CEO of the Jack Petchey Foundation said "During all the debates about Brexit we’ve heard little about what young people think, yet they will be most affected and that is why we thought it was important to ask them. Over 90% of respondents in our survey were under 18 and I’m sure politicians will be concerned that so many young people feel they have not been listened to.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2020-12-24): However, this does not mean that the debate about Brexit is over. Polls suggest voters remain as divided on the issue as they were at the start of 2020. [...] These figures are similar to those recorded by YouGov in the three months leading up to the UK's formal withdrawal from the EU at the end of January. At that point, 40% said that the decision was right and 49% wrong. [...] When YouGov simply asked people whether they supported or opposed leaving without a deal, as many as 32% said they were in favour - much closer to the 44% who were opposed. Among Leave voters, as many as 67% said they supported no deal.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2024-08-05): Sophie Stowers analyses the latest Redfield and Wilton Strategies/UK in a Changing Europe Brexit tracker poll, highlighting the five key trends across public attitudes towards Brexit from the first few months of 2023. [...] February’s data shows a slight increase in the number of people who said that they would now vote to re-join the EU if another referendum were to take place. Though some of this increase will be down to sampling variation, it does suggest that we are seeing a gradual increase in the popularity of EU membership amongst voters. The number of 2016 Leave voters who said they would still vote Leave in a second referendum has dropped slightly again to 77%, from 86% a year previously. [...] This is particularly evident when we ask voters about economic issues: we find that a majority of voters (57%) say the impact of leaving the EU on the UK economy has been negative, including a third of 2016 voters. In addition, 38% of voters in February said that wages are lower as a result of Brexit, and over 60% say that cost of living is higher.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2017-11-01): But we also found that just as many young people were disinterested in the Brexit referendum and its aftermath. These young people often had little interest in politics, a low level of qualifications, or were more focused on more immediate challenges in their lives, such as trying to find work, homes, or deal with health problems. [...] Most young people we spoke to thought Brexit was unlikely to affect their short-term and long-term aspirations. Many already had a clear plan about what they would like their career and life to look like, and they were largely optimistic that Brexit would not prevent them from achieving these goals. [...] Although the young people we spoke to held a wide range of views about Brexit, we heard a palpable sense of resignation that nothing could be done to change the result. While there was a youth surge in voting at the 2017 general election, a general sense of powerlessness to reverse the course of Brexit may end up reinforcing the disengagement of young people that has troubled British politics since the early 1990s.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2024-04-11): Why most people regret Brexit A majority of British voters now believe the split was a mistake IT IS RARE for voters to change their minds soon after referendums. Experience from Canada to Scotland, from Norway to Switzerland, suggests rather that opinions tend to move in favour of a referendum result more than they swing against it. But Brexit seems to be an exception. Since the 52-48% vote in favour of leaving the European Union in June 2016, the majority view among Britons has shifted, and especially so in the past two years, towards the conclusion that the decision was wrong (see chart).
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2024-10-09): The Better Brexit for Young People report, which encompassed research from 40 focus groups, a YouGov poll of over 3,000 diverse respondents and five consultation events, found that: - Many young people are concerned about the negative impact of Brexit on multi-ethnic communities – this includes concerns about rising intolerance, discrimination, racism and the decline of Britain’s multicultural image. - Young people feel Brexit has politicised a generation. Although some feel this in an important opportunity, a significant majority feel citizens do not have enough political knowledge when it comes to the EU and that investment in political education is needed.
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2024-06-23): It’s not exactly breaking news to suggest that voters in their teens and early-to-mid-twenties are less enthusiastic about the UK’s decision to leave the European Union. However, a new opinion poll has exposed the sheer scale of the youth’s Brexit rejection. [...] Younger voters roundly reject Brexit, as 84% favour a return to the EU [...] How Brexit has impacted young British voters
Claim: 77% of young people in the UK don’t want Brexit. (Our Future, Our Choice, 2018-11-17)
Evidence (2022-03-02): Our Future, Our Choice has made the following claim, written in large letters on the side of a blue campaign bus: "Dear MPs, 77% of us don’t want Brexit. Signed, Young People". [...] The slogan on the side of the bus is addressed to UK members of Parliament and claims to recognise "the concerns of 77% of young people who don’t want Brexit and asks politicians to stand up for our future on Brexit". [...] A majority of young people aged 18-24 in Great Britain favour remaining in the EU over leaving the EU. However, 77% is an overestimation: it discounts young people who are not completely sure about their opinion or who prefer not to tell. There is no data available to assess how young people in Northern Ireland voted in the EU referendum, and limited data in regards to how Northern Ireland residents currently feel about Brexit.