copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2021-08-30): The American Cancer Society estimates that in 2021 there will be more than 608,000 cancer deaths. There’s an important caveat: that estimate doesn’t account for the effect the COVID-19 pandemic "has likely had on cancer diagnoses and deaths," because the projections are based on reported cases and deaths through 2017 and 2018. In England, according to an August 2020 Lancet article about how the pandemic could affect cancer deaths, "substantial increases" in the number of avoidable deaths "are to be expected" thanks to people delaying medical care that could have identified and led to cancer treatments for patients sooner. [...] COVID-19, meanwhile, was the third most common cause of death in the United States in 2020, according to provisional mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System. It caused about 375,000 deaths here in 2020. The leading cause of death was heart disease, killing 690,000 people, followed by cancer, which killed 598,000 people.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2023-10-19): FULL CLAIM: "Might as well resume smoking, no one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started" [...] Provisional U.S. mortality data compiled by the CDC show that heart disease caused 690,882 deaths in 2020, while cancer claimed 598,932 lives. COVID-19 was the third leading cause of death in the U.S., with 377,883 deaths in 2020. Therefore, the claim that no one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 pandemic is false. [...] The claim that there have been no deaths from cancer and heart disease since the COVID-19 pandemic began is false. Mortality data indicate that cancer fatalities in the U.S. in 2020 are similar to figures from previous years, while there has been an increase in deaths from heart disease. The increase in deaths related to heart disease may be due to behavioral changes in individuals during the pandemic, such as reduced outdoor exercise or a decrease in hospital visits.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2021-02-26): The takeaway is that the coronavirus killed more Americans in the past year than any cause of death in 2019, other than heart disease and cancer. And if the University of Washington model proves accurate, then by June, the 15-month toll from the coronavirus will be close to matching the annual number of deaths from cancer. All other causes of death pale in comparison to the coronavirus death toll so far. So far, the coronavirus has killed roughly three times as many people as accidents, or lung ailments, or stroke or Alzheimer’s disease did in 2019. And the coronavirus has outpaced the number of deaths from diabetes, kidney disease, pneumonia and suicide by even larger multiples. [...] Excess U.S. deaths per week since the emergence of COVID-19
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2022-06-29): COVID and the Heart: It Spares No One Research now tells us that COVID doesn’t discriminate when it comes to heart problems. [...] We did this study to evaluate the one-year risk of heart problems in people who got COVID-19, compared to nearly 11 million controls of people who did not.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2022-10-31): - After a steady decline from 2010-2019, heart disease death rates rose significantly in the U.S with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. [...] DALLAS, Oct. 31, 2022 — U.S. deaths from heart disease spiked in 2020 at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic after a steady decline from 2010 to 2019, reversing a public health success, according to preliminary research to be presented at the American Heart Association’s Scientific Sessions 2022. The meeting, held in person in Chicago and virtually, Nov. 5-7, 2022, is a premier global exchange of the latest scientific advancements, research and evidence-based clinical practice updates in cardiovascular science. [...] "The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted many aspects of daily life, including access to preventive health care, which may have led to delays in detecting and treating heart disease," Woodruff said. "We expected to see an increase in heart disease death rates among adults, however the magnitude of the increase was striking."
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2022-08-02): Heart disease after COVID: what the data say Some studies suggest that the risk of cardiovascular problems, such as a heart attack or stroke, remains high even many months after a SARS-CoV-2 infection clears up. Researchers are starting to pin down the frequency of these issues and what is causing the damage. [...] Heart-disease risk soars after COVID — even with a mild case
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2022-02-07): Incident cardiovascular diseases in COVID-19 versus contemporary control by care setting of the acute infection [...] Cardiovascular diseases before and after COVID-19 [...] Heart-disease risk soars after COVID — even with a mild case
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2019-05-16): Heart Disease and Cancer Deaths — Trends and Projections in the United States, 1969–2020 [...] Heart disease and cancer are the first and second leading causes of death in the United States. Age-standardized death rates (risk) have declined since the 1960s for heart disease and for cancer since the 1990s, whereas the overall number of heart disease deaths declined and cancer deaths increased. We analyzed mortality data to evaluate and project the effect of risk reduction, population growth, and aging on the number of heart disease and cancer deaths to the year 2020. [...] You are advising a large public health department about expected mortality rates in coming years. According to the review of mortality data, population estimates, and population projections by Weir and colleagues, which of the following statements about the overall effects of risk reduction and population growth and aging on the projected number of heart disease and cancer deaths to the year 2020 is correct?
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2023-01-25): Cardiovascular deaths saw steep rise in U.S. during first year of the COVID-19 pandemic [...] The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic saw a steep rise in cardiovascular disease deaths in the U.S., with especially high mortality rates for Asian, Black and Hispanic people, according to a new statistical report from the American Heart Association. [...] The statistical update highlights the many ways COVID-19 impacts cardiovascular health, including its relationship to risk factors for heart disease and stroke. Factors such as obesity, diabetes and high blood pressure put people at higher risk for more severe COVID-19 illness.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2024-05-07): Number of deaths for leading causes of death - Heart disease: 702,880 - Cancer: 608,371 - Accidents (unintentional injuries): 227,039 - COVID-19: 186,552 - Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 165,393 - Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 147,382 - Alzheimer’s disease: 120,122 - Diabetes: 101,209 - Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 57,937 - Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis: 54,803
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2024-08-07): The world’s biggest killer is ischaemic heart disease, responsible for 13% of the world’s total deaths. Since 2000, the largest increase in deaths has been for this disease, rising by 2.7 million to 9.1 million deaths in 2021. As a newly emerged cause of deaths, COVID-19 was directly responsible for 8.8 million deaths in 2021, and consequently, largely pushed down other leading causes of death by one place. Instead of being the second and third leading causes of death as in 2019, stroke and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease became the third and fourth in 2021, responsible for approximately 10% and 5% of total deaths, respectively. [...] Deaths from ischaemic heart disease have increased by more than 1.4 million, the second largest rise in any income group in terms of absolute number of deaths from this cause, just 40 000 lower than the increase in lower-middle-income countries. In 2021, ischaemic heart disease ranked second, closely tracking stroke in total absolute number of deaths and one place ahead of COVID-19. [...] COVID-19 has highlighted the importance for countries investing in civil registration and vital statistics systems to allow daily counting of deaths and direct prevention and treatment efforts. It has also revealed inherent fragmentation in data collection systems in most low-income countries, where policy-makers still do not know with confidence how many people die and of what causes.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2023-12-28): What are people dying from? [...] In the past, infectious diseases dominated. But death rates from infectious diseases have fallen quickly – faster than other causes. This has led to a shift in the leading causes of death. Now, non-communicable diseases – such as cardiovascular diseases and cancers – are the most common causes of death globally. [...] Deaths from infectious diseases
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2023-02-10): FACT: "Hundreds of children in Indonesia have died from the coronavirus in recent weeks, many of them under age 5." A five-year old boy in the state of Georgia died of coronavirus in July.—The New York Times , and CNN [...] Assoumou: That’s a very common one. It is true that children are not dying at the same rate as we are seeing in older adults. But children are going to grow up to be adults. We want to protect them as soon as possible. In addition, we are seeing some of the consequences of COVID. Not only deaths. But there is also multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MISC) of children, where children get very sick, and we are still figuring out the details and long-term complications of this syndrome. Then there are emerging data that children are developing long COVID [symptoms that linger]. We have vaccines that are safe and effective in children 12 and above and we’re hoping we’ll have it soon for younger kids.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2023-02-15): Looking at official statistics alone, COVID-19 was the fifth leading cause of death globally, accounting for nearly one in twenty deaths worldwide since the beginning of 2020. After accounting for unreported deaths, the total toll could be as high as the third leading cause of death, responsible for an estimated 17.9 million deaths, or one out of every ten deaths. About half of people globally live to 70 before they die, so causes of death that tend to kill older adults including ischemic heart disease and stroke predominate the most common causes of death. COVID-19 is similar in that it kills very few young children or adolescents but becomes sharply more dangerous with age, disproportionately killing people over 70 years old. An analysis found that different age structures, or the fraction of the population is in different age groups, could explain almost half of the variation in the risk of mortality between countries. [...] When the causes of death are ranked in this article, it assumes that estimates for non-COVID-19 causes would remain the same in the absence of COVID-19. This may not be true. During the pandemic, researchers have noticed decreases in injuries and road traffic deaths due to lower mobility; decreases in routine health-care utilization, potentially affecting mortality due to chronic but treatable diseases; decreases in other respiratory diseases like pneumonia; and other changes in disease burden. Another consideration could be that in locations with complete or near complete vital registration systems, like the United States, deaths originally determined as a non-COVID-19 cause were in fact caused by COVID-19, potentially changing the ranking of causes of death presented in this post.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2014-04-08): The decreases in life expectancy were not experienced equally among all New Yorkers. The largest decreases were among Black and Latino New Yorkers. For Black New Yorkers, the pandemic worsened existing disparities. [...] Chronic and diet-related diseases, such as heart disease, stroke, diabetes and screenable cancers, continue to be leading causes of death across all racial and ethnic groups in NYC. In 2021, more than 30,000 New Yorkers died from these conditions, one-third of which were due to cancer. [...] More than 20,400 NYC residents died from COVID-19 in 2020, followed by more than 7,700 NYC residents in 2021. Age-adjusted COVID-19 death rates in 2020 were roughly twice as high among Black and Latino New Yorkers compared with White and Asian New Yorkers.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2021-04-24): July 20 — Diagnostic Delays From COVID-19 May Increase Cancer-Related Deaths The next several years could bear witness to thousands of additional deaths from cancer that could have been prevented through routine diagnostic care that was delayed because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Notably, delays in referrals and screenings for breast, colorectal, esophageal, and lung cancers were indicated in a pair of studies published in The Lancet Oncology to potentially lead to almost 10% (n = 3291-3621) more deaths in England over the next 5 years. [...] In just 4 days, there’s been a 3.2% uptick in COVID-19–related deaths, to 170,434, giving the disease a No. 3 ranking behind heart disease in the top spot and cancer at No. 2. Deaths now exceed 1000 per day and nationwide cases exceed 5.4 million. Testing has dropped off by an average 68,000 per day, despite death being 8 times more likely in the United States vs in Europe.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2023-08-18): COVID-19 was the third leading cause of death in the United States (USA) in 2020 after heart disease and cancer, with approximately 375,000 deaths.[34] [...] Patients with advanced age and comorbid conditions such as obesity, diabetes mellitus, chronic lung disease, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic liver disease, and neoplastic conditions are at risk of developing severe COVID-19 and its associated complications. The most common complication of severe COVID-19 illness is progressive or sudden clinical deterioration leading to acute respiratory failure and ARDS or multiorgan failure leading to death. [...] Hessami A, Shamshirian A, Heydari K, Pourali F, Alizadeh-Navaei R, Moosazadeh M, Abrotan S, Shojaie L, Sedighi S, Shamshirian D, Rezaei N. Cardiovascular diseases burden in COVID-19: Systematic review and meta-analysis. Am J Emerg Med. 2021 Aug;46:382-391. [PMC free article: PMC7561581] [PubMed: 33268238]
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2023-03-15): CDC and the Washington Department of Public Health report the first death in an individual with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in the U.S. The patient was a male in his 50s who was hospitalized with a pneumonia of unknown cause and later died of his illness. [...] A study is published in Nature showing that even a mild case of COVID-19 appears to increase the risk of heart problems for one year after infection. The study’s authors suggest that COVID-19 might be as much of a risk factor for heart disease as high blood pressure, diabetes, or smoking. [...] For the second year in a row, COVID-19 was the third leading cause of death in the U.S.– after heart disease and cancer.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2024-06-20): You also qualify if you have certain underlying conditions or lifestyle factors that could increase the risk of progression to severe disease. Pfizer estimates that roughly 75% of adults in the U.S. have at least one risk factor, which could include a condition such as cancer, diabetes, heart disease, pregnancy, a weakened immune system, or a mental health disorder. Adults are also at higher risk if they are unvaccinated or not up to date on their COVID vaccinations (although even if you are vaccinated, Paxlovid can provide additional protection).
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2014-09-16): Our 31 year old son died of septic shock directly after being hospitalized for Acute Myeloid Leukemia. Due to COVID-19, we were unable to see him or manage his care except for bits and pieces he was telling us. We had no idea his condition was so dire. Within 36 hours he went from talking and texting to him being non-responsive on life support. We must cling to Romans 8:28 that tells us, "All things work together for good for those who love the Lord…" His long term outlook was poor and he is no longer suffering. So hard for his wife and child, though. If you are in our situation Please let go of any guilt you may be placing on yourself. This is a stealthy killer and it is not your fault. [...] My mom just died March 28th after kidney removal and we are devastated [...] Most people haven’t, so go on, please clear the floor…
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2021-09-09): Before I took office, we hadn’t ordered enough vaccine for every American. Just weeks in office, we did. The week before I took office, on January 20th of this year, over 25,000 Americans died that week from COVID-19. Last week, that grim weekly toll was down 70 percent.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2024-04-30): Other lung conditions, such as a history of pulmonary hypertension or pulmonary embolism affect a person's risk of serious illness after COVID-19. The risk of death may be higher after these conditions. Cancer raises the risk of severe COVID-19 [...] Having cancer raises the risk of needing care in the hospital, intensive care and the use of breathing support. Having blood cancer and getting COVID-19 raises the risk of death from the illness.
Claim: “No one has died of cancer or heart disease since the COVID-19 thing started” (Facebook users, 2020-08-14)
Evidence (2021-05-11): The Table also presents leading causes of death in the US for the years 2015 to 2020.4 According to provisional data, in 2020, there were notable changes in the number and ranking of deaths compared with 2019.5 COVID-19 was the third leading cause of death in 2020, with an estimated 345 323 deaths, and was largely responsible for the substantial increase in total deaths from 2019 to 2020. Substantial increases from 2019 to 2020 also occurred for several other leading causes. Heart disease deaths increased by 4.8%, the largest increase in heart disease deaths since 2012. Increases in deaths also occurred for unintentional injury (11.1%), Alzheimer disease (9.8%), and diabetes (15.4%). Influenza and pneumonia deaths in 2020 increased by 7.5%, although the number of deaths was lower in 2020 than in 2017 and 2018. From 2019 to 2020, deaths due to chronic lower respiratory disease declined by 3.4% and suicide deaths declined by 5.6%.
Claim: Viruses don’t exist, terrain theory explains why diseases occur (Matt Roeske, 2024-02-15)
Evidence (2024-02-15): Diseases can have infectious and non-infectious causes. Germ theory holds that certain diseases can be caused by microorganisms. This theory is key to our modern ability to prevent, diagnose, and treat infectious diseases. It explains why things like antibiotics, vaccines, and improvements in sanitation produced public health breakthroughs. While some diseases can be caused by deficiencies in the individual, in keeping with the concept of the terrain theory, such as Vitamin C deficiency, this doesn’t mean that all diseases are caused by imbalances in the body.
Claim: Viruses don’t exist, terrain theory explains why diseases occur (Matt Roeske, 2024-02-15)
Evidence (2024-02-15): FULL CLAIM: Herpes is caused by lack of collagen, flu is caused by salt imbalance, COVID-19 is caused by 5G radiation, rabies doesn’t exist, HIV is caused by AZT, and polio is caused by DDT; "So when it comes to it, none of these viruses have been proven to exist"; terrain theory explains why diseases happen [...] The terrain theory, which can be traced back to French chemist Antoine Béchamp, has been used as a competing explanation with germ theory for why diseases occur. The terrain theory argues that diseases aren’t caused by germs, but by imbalances in the host organism resulting from lifestyle, such as nutritional deficiencies. As such, correcting the imbalance will cure the disease. [...] However, the fact that some principles of the terrain theory explain why certain diseases occur doesn’t mean that germ theory is wrong. Diseases can result from infectious and non-infectious causes. Our understanding of diseases and how to treat them draws on the principles of both theories. The denial of germ theory espoused in the Instagram reel lends users an incorrect understanding of how diseases occur and can be potentially dangerous if it leads them to reject proven treatments and preventative measures.
Claim: Viruses don’t exist, terrain theory explains why diseases occur (Matt Roeske, 2024-02-15)
Evidence (2024-08-07): Even the much stranger and more esoteric "terrain theory" seems to be making a modest comeback in alternative online spaces; the idea is that germs don’t cause illness in a healthy person whose "terrain" is sound thanks to vitamins, exercise, and sunlight. [...] By trying to effectively decouple cause and effect—claiming that HIV doesn’t cause AIDS, that measles isn’t caused by a virus and is instead a vitamin deficiency or caused by the MMR (measles, mumps, and rubella) vaccine itself—these movements discourage people from treating or trying to prevent serious and contagious illnesses. They try to sow doubt about the very nature of viruses themselves, a global gesture toward doubt, distrust, and minimization of serious diseases. Even the much stranger and more esoteric "terrain theory" seems to be making a modest comeback in alternative online spaces; the idea is that germs don’t cause illness in a healthy person whose "terrain" is sound thanks to vitamins, exercise, and sunlight.