copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2010-03-28): They benefited, along with the Ulster Volunteer Force, and a group called Ulster Resistance (set up by the Democratic Unionist Party), from a shipment of arms imported from Lebanon in 1988.[40] The weapons landed included rocket launchers, 200 rifles, 90 pistols and over 400 grenades.[41] Although almost two–thirds of these weapons were later recovered by the Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC), they enabled the UDA to launch an assassination campaign against their perceived enemies. [...] The New Ulster Political Research Group (NUPRG) was initially the political wing of the UDA, founded in 1978, which then evolved into the Ulster Loyalist Democratic Party in 1981 under the leadership of John McMichael, a prominent UDA member killed by the IRA in 1987, amid suspicion that he was set up to be killed by some of his UDA colleagues. [...] - ↑ " Northern Ireland politicians hail UDA move " Belfast Telegraph. Retrieved 8 January 2010.
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2016-01-17): Masked and armed UDA/UFF members at a show of strength in Belfast [...] A UDA/UFF mural in Bangor [...] A UDA/UFF South-East Antrim Brigade mural in Newtownabbey
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2015-10-16): The Oldpark Pumping Station farce is one of a number of incidents which have demonstrated undeniable collusion between the UDA and the UDR. The Secretary of State cannot afford to turn a blind eye to this latest incident and the obvious step which he must take in the interests of the entire Northern Ireland community. [...] Jim Cusack and Henry McDonald, two reputable journalists with excellent contacts in the world of loyalist paramilitarism, have written of arms exchanges taking place between the UVF and UDA in certain parts of west Belfast. The appearance of similar yet uncommon types of weapon in the hands of both groups further hints at the possibility of such transactions. With this in mind I asked my UVF contact directly how their weapons compared to those of the UDA and whether guns were ever swapped or shared between the two groups: [...] The UDA could not conceal its dismay. An editorial on behalf of the Inner Council in Ulster magazine described it as "an episode of incompetence that is without parallel since the start of the present ‘Troubles'" before rounding on Payne himself, pouring scorn and "contempt" upon his conduct in court and alleging that he was receiving visits from the RUC within the Maze. The Portadown debacle was dealt with more directly in an article immediately below the editorial, under the byline "Braidman". The writer used this piece to attack the DUP’s hypocrisy in its response to the arms seizure, pointing out that both Paisley and Peter Robinson had been instrumental in setting up Ulster Resistance:
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2023-05-01): The TUV merging with the DUP is also off the table. People seem to forget that, although very similar in many ways, the TUV differs from the DUP on one very fundamental issue – power sharing. [...] Therefore, no merger between the DUP and TUV is likely. If such a merger were even ideologically possible at all. [...] Perhaps the best course of action would be for all those parties to contest elections at different levels? Everyone contesting council elections, just the DUP and UUP contesting Assembly elections and the DUP alone contesting Westminster elections?
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2021-05-06): Ireland in the 1980s as part of a Labour Party delegation from Brighton we visited the headquarters of the UDA, a Protestant terrorist group who were legal at the time, because some forms of terrorism were acceptable to the [...] The Protestant working class voted against its own interests and for Unionist parties allied to the Tories since 1922. That is the effect of settler colonialism. It creates an alliance between the settler working class and ruling class even if, as in the case of Northern [...] The British strategy in Northern Ireland was criminalisation. According to this fiction the IRA and INLA were merely common criminals like any bank robber. This has always been the reaction of the
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2015-07-30): Ulster Defence Association ( U.D.A ) [...] They benefited, along with the Ulster Volunteer Force, and a group called Ulster Resistance (set up by the Democratic Unionist Party), from a shipment of arms imported from Lebanon in 1988.[47] The weapons landed included rocket launchers, 200 rifles, 90 pistols and over 400 grenades.[48] Although almost two–thirds of these weapons were later recovered by the Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC), they enabled the UDA to launch an assassination campaign against their perceived enemies. [...] The New Ulster Political Research Group (NUPRG) was initially the political wing of the UDA, founded in 1978, which then evolved into the Ulster Loyalist Democratic Party in 1981 under the leadership of John McMichael, a prominent UDA member killed by the IRA in 1987, amid suspicion that he was set up to be killed by some of his UDA colleagues.
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2021-07-27): In the full glare of my high-profile arrest, and in the shadow of fifty wall murals across Belfast, I was to be murdered by The UFF and a UFF code word would be used to claim my murder. However, this murder bid was thwarted when a leading member of The UFF spoke to Hugh Jordon and I was consequently informed by The RUC. [...] When I returned to Belfast, 13 January, 1999, over fifty wall murals had been painted by Sinn Fein/PIRA across the city, describing me as a Pedophile and MI6 Agent, bizarrely those Sinn Fein/PIRA members who directed this activity against me, have all since been exposed as Pedophiles and British Agents/Informers. [...] Following the St Andrews Agreement in 2006, the DUP agreed to enter into power-sharing devolved government in Northern Ireland with Sinn Féin/PIRA. Despite reports of divisions within The DUP, a majority of the party executive voted in favor of power-sharing in 2007.
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2024-08-16): In December 1986, Ulster Resistance representatives met with other loyalist paramilitary groups to discuss smuggling weapons into Northern Ireland, according to police intelligence.[12] In early 1987 senior UR member Noel Little, using an alias, travelled to Geneva and Paris to meet a representative of South African arms exporter Armscor named Douglas Bernhardt.[12] Little arrived with a "shopping list" of weapons including assault rifles and mortars.[12] At least two DUP members attended a meeting in County Armagh in May 1987 with UR leaders which discussed the possibility of acquiring arms. "They (the DUP members) were told there was a way of getting guns, that a shopping list was possible and that others were ready to help," an anonymous Ulster Resistance member later alleged.[30] The group collaborated with the UVF and the UDA to procure arms. In June 1987 the UVF stole more than £300,000 from the Northern Bank in Portadown. The money was transferred to Swiss and other banks accounts in Europe via suitcases carried by "respectable" members of the Unionist community involved in banking business, and insurance.[33] The money was used to buy 206 Vz. [...] - ^ Belfast News Letter, 30 May 1989 - ^ a b "Foiled plot would have equipped the UVF and UDA". belfasttelegraph. ISSN 0307-1235. Archived from the original on 4 November 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2020-04-07): In response to increasing IRA presence and influence, loyalists developed groups to protect their communities from the IRA. The Ulster Defence Association (UDA) formed from an alliance of these neighborhood groups, and though individual members had weapons, the UDA was not officially armed. Later, more dangerous groups like the Ulster Freedom Fighters and the Ulster Volunteer Force arose to meet the desire in the loyalist community for a more violent approach. Thus the 1970s began with an increasingly panicked government and two communities that were organizing and arming themselves. [...] The Ulster Unionist Party began to fall apart, a process quickened by the rise of the Democratic Unionist Party, founded by the ever-charismatic Reverend Paisley. He announced the formation of the party in the rubble of an IRA bombing, dramatically setting to tone for the party, which, in effect, gave a political presence to all those of militant loyalist ilk. Faulkner’s Northern Irish government, in an attempt to control IRA violence, began to implement internment on a large scale. The Catholic community, alienated by the heavy use of internment on top of their previous complaints, began to strike and protest with a new intensity.
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2024-01-14): Follow me for updates. BBC did a review of a community group called LSCA (Lower Shankill Community Association) and claim that UDA used their store front at an HQ, but if you go to Shankill, you’ll see LSCA signs saying it is trying to create a safe environment in Shankill. Clearly, that means that there are still paramilitary Loyalist people laying in wait. This group was suspected of money laundering too. So it is a group trying to get people away from Loyalist paramilitary leaning or is supporting it? They claim that they are going around and removing the Loyalist murals though so clearly, these groups are still active!
Claim: There is a new ‘Brothers-in-Arms’ mural in Belfast depicting a partnership between the UDA and the DUP. (@LADFLEG, 2017-06-01)
Evidence (2024-05-01): one was historical, linking the current UDA to the UDU, though it centrally depicted a hooded gunman who always seemed to be aiming directly at the viewer [...] Upon his release in May 2002, Adair tried to take over the UDA and push out other UDA commanders. He was expelled from the organisation in September 2002 and the UDA feuded with the LVF and with Adair’s C Company. Adair had a joint UDA-LVF mural painted in the estate, declaring the two organisations "brothers in arms" and promising that "together we will stand to defend our native land". [...] With Adair’s allies gone from the lower Shankill estate, seven (according the the Belfast Telegraph) or more of the murals were painted over. All of the following appear (from the photographic record) to have been removed: Diana, Spike & Gerry, Billy Wright (though McCormick & Jarman (2005) claim this was preserved), Eddie, the low "UFF 2nd Batt C Coy" wall, the red-backgrounded hooded gunmen in jeans, along with the "Free J Adair with his arms crossed, and the joint UDA-LVF mural from 2002. (Here is a table of the changes across time.)
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2019-06-12): This claim is accurate. NISRA has published a projection of an increased population of 77,587 people; the 65+ age profile will see the largest change.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2022-03-02): On 12 June 2019, the BBC programme, Spend it Like Stormont, stated: "Between 2016 and 2026, the population here [Northern Ireland] is projected to grow by more than 77,000 — 96% of which will be 65 and over." [...] Overall, the growth in the population of Northern Ireland of those aged 0-64 is low (3,085 people) and those aged 65+ is high (74,502 people). Those aged 65+ represent 96% of total projected growth. [...] Data from the NISRA show that over the 10-year period from mid-2016 to mid-2026, Northern Ireland’s population is projected to rise by 4.2% (i.e. 77,600 people); 96% of this growth will be represented by those aged 65 and over.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2024-10-05): This projected growth of population, like all others, depends on assumptions about vital rates. For example, the chart below shows that the UN Population Division assumes that Total fertility rate (TFR), which has been steadily declining since 1963, will continue to decline, at varying paces depending on circumstances in individual regions, to a below-replacement level of 1.8 by 2100. Between now (2020) and 2100, regions with TFR currently below this rate, for example Europe, will see TFR rise. Regions with TFR above this rate will see TFR continue to decline.[26][25]
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2019-10-20): There will be an increasing number of older people; the proportion aged 85 years and over is projected to almost double over the next 25 years. [...] Download this table Table 1: Estimated and projected population of the UK and constituent countries, mid 2018 to mid 2043 .xls .csvFocusing on the 10 years between mid 2018 and mid 2028 (Table 1), the total projected growth for the UK population is 3.0 million, or 4.5%. This represents an average annual growth rate of 0.4%. Projected growth varies substantially between the four countries of the UK: England’s population is projected to grow by 5.0% over this period; for Northern Ireland, the figure is 3.7%; while for Wales and Scotland, the figures are 2.7% and 1.8% respectively. Over the full 25 years between mid 2018 and mid 2043, England is projected to have the largest increase in population, at 10.3%. The projected increase over the same period for Northern Ireland is 5.7%, that for Wales is 3.7% and that for Scotland is 2.5%.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2024-09-25): Demographics of Ireland Population 5,348,000 (2023) Density 73 per km2 Growth rate 8.1% Birth rate 10.5 births/1,000 population (2023 est.) Death rate 6.7 deaths/1,000 population (2023 est.) Life expectancy 80.19 years • male 78 years • female 82.6 years Fertility rate 1.70 children born/woman (2022 est.) Infant mortality rate 3.85 deaths/1,000 live births Net migration rate 0.86 migrant(s)/1,000 population 0–14 years 19.98% 15–64 years 65.26% 65 and over 14.76% Total 0.99 male/female At birth 1.057 male/female Under 15 1.07 male/female 15–64 years 1.00 male/female 65 and over 0.81 male/female Nationality Irish Major ethnic Irish 76.5% Minor ethnic Other White 10.3%, Asian: 3.7%, Black: 1.5%, Irish Travellers 0.7%, Other 1.3%, Not stated 6.7% (2022) Official Irish, English Spoken Irish sign language , Shelta , Ulster Scots [...] 65 years and over: 13.32% (male 312,694 /female 362,455) (2018 est.) [...] Future 2026 (Republic of Ireland)
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2023-04-14): - Ireland has an ageing population as the proportion of people aged 45 or over increased over the last 10 years from 34.9% in 2012 to 40.2% in 2022, while the proportion aged under 45 decreased from 65.1% in 2012 to 59.8% in 2022. - The proportion of the population aged 65 years or over increased from 12.0% in 2012 to 15.1% in 2022. The proportion aged 45-64 years also increased, from 22.9% in 2012 to 25.1% in 2022. [...] - Ireland had the second lowest old-age dependency ratio (the percentage of the population aged 65 or over as a proportion of those aged 15-64) in the EU27 at 22.6%.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2024-07-10): Release contents - approximated social grade for people living in households across a number of geographical breakdowns in Northern Ireland including Local Government District, electoral ward and settlement [...] Release: Census 2021 main statistics for Northern Ireland (phase 3) [...] Release: Census 2021 main statistics for Northern Ireland (phase 2)
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2024-01-30): Projected future population of Northern Ireland by age and sex 30 January 2024 12 January 2022 21 October 2019
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2024-09-19): Population statistics are widely used in policy development in areas such as housing, healthcare and education, as well as being used to allocate public funds to the Northern Ireland Executive through the Barnett formula.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2018-04-27): Northern Ireland population to hit almost 2m by 2026, with 25% rise in people aged 65 and over Northern Ireland's population is expected to reach almost two million by 2026, with an explosion in the number of people aged over 65. [...] The number of people aged 65 and over is expected to increase by 25% across the region, with this proportion of the population set to outnumber children by 2028.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2022-05-24): Census 2021: population and household estimates for Northern Ireland [...] The statistics provide estimates of the Northern Ireland population by five-year age band and sex, residence type, and the Northern Ireland household count with average household size. Estimates in this release will be published in rounded form.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2023-02-01): Share of those aged 80+ almost doubled between 2002 and 2022 Over the period 2002-2022, the share of persons aged 65 and over increased in all Member States. At EU level, the increase was 5 percentage points (pp), from 16% to 21%. The highest increase was in Finland (8 pp) and the lowest in Luxembourg (1 pp). In 2022, Italy and Portugal (both 24%) and Finland and Greece (both 23%) had the highest shares, while Ireland and Luxembourg (both 15%) had the lowest. [...] Looking at the Member States, the pattern mentioned above is more visible. In all Member States, except Poland and Slovakia, the share of the working age population was higher in urban regions than in rural regions. The differences were highest in Denmark (64% in urban regions and 55% in rural regions), Finland (60% and 53%) and Sweden (59% and 53%). The shares of people aged 65 to 79 living in rural areas were highest in the Netherlands (20%), Portugal and Finland (both 19%). What is also interesting to note is the share of the population in urban and rural regions for those aged 80 and over in Spain: this age group represented 10% in rural regions (the highest share in all Member States) and 6% in urban regions.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2024-01-30): The UK population is projected to reach 70 million by mid-2026; this growth is faster than in the 2020-based projections released in January 2023 with the projected increase mainly resulting from international migration. [...] There will be an increasing number of older people; over the next 15 years the size of the UK population aged 85 years and over is projected to increase from 1.6 million (2.5% of the total population) to 2.6 million (3.5%). [...] Source: National population projections and migration statistics from the Office for National Statistics; Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA)
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2024-01-01): The older population – Ages 65 and over The older population (i.e. those aged 65 years and over) is projected to increase very significantly from its 2016 level of 629,800 persons to nearly 1.6 million by 2051 under the more positive M1 and M2 migration assumptions and to nearly 1.53 million under more conservative M3 migration scenario. See fig 2.10. [...] The older dependency ratio (the population aged 65 years and over expressed as a percentage of the population aged 15 - 64 years) was 20.3% in 2016. This is projected to increase steadily from 2016 onwards, rising by 3 - 4 percentage points every five years. By 2051 this ratio will be have doubled since 2016 except under M1F1 where it is just less than double and will range between 40.3% for the M1F1 scenario to 47.6% under the M3F2 scenario.
Claim: By 2026, 96% of the projected population growth in Northern Ireland will be represented by people aged 65 and over. (Spend it Like Stormont, 2019-06-12)
Evidence (2017-10-25): The UK population is projected to increase by 3.6 million (5.5%) over the next 10 years, from an estimated 65.6 million in mid-2016 to 69.2 million in mid-2026. [...] The UK population growth rate is slower than in the 2014-based projections; the projected population is 0.6 million less in mid-2026 and 2.0 million less in mid-2041. [...] Image .csv .xlsFocusing on the 10 years between mid-2016 and mid-2026 (Table 1), the total projected growth for the UK is 3.6 million, or 5.5%. This represents an average annual growth rate of 0.5%. Projected growth varies substantially between the four nations of the UK: England’s population is projected to grow 5.9% over this period; for Northern Ireland the figure is 4.2%, while for Scotland and Wales the figures are 3.2% and 3.1% respectively.