copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2022-10-07): There have been 173 homicides as of Oct. 3, according to the Milwaukee Police Department (MPD), putting the city on pace for a 20% increase compared to 2021. At the current rate, Milwaukee will shatter the record of 193 homicides that was set last year. A database created by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports that 91% of homicides were the result of firearms; 82% of the victims are Black and 77% of them are men. Though cities like New York and Chicago have had more murders so far this year and get more national media attention for crime, the homicide rate in Milwaukee is higher, at around 29 per 100,000 residents. New York’s homicide rate is around 4 per 100,000; Chicago’s is roughly 20. Before the pandemic crime surge, that would have put the city among the deadliest in America. However, with multiple cities, including Philadelphia; Columbus, Ohio; and Austin, hitting record highs in 2021, it’s unclear where the city now ranks. One thing is certain: something is happening in Milwaukee that all American cities could benefit from understanding.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2021-09-19): Milwaukee is in the grip of the worst violence in its modern history. There were 189 killings here last year, a 93% increase from 2019 and the most ever recorded. [...] The violence in Milwaukee follows familiar patterns, according to the city’s Homicide Review Commission. [...] Milwaukee police have solved 58% of the homicides committed last year, down from 68% in 2019. The rate so far this year is 34%.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2024-01-10): Even as homicides hit a record high for the third year in a row in the city of Milwaukee, other serious crimes — including robbery, auto thefts and theft — were collectively down 15 percent last year, according to numbers released Thursday by the Milwaukee Police Department. While the city saw a record 214 homicides in 2022 — an increase of 11 percent from the prior year — other violent crime in Milwaukee fell by 7 percent. [...] The homicide rate across the nation increased 30 percent between 2019 and 2020, according to a report from the Pew Research Center. But Milwaukee’s 95 percent increase during that time period dwarfs that spike.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2022-11-15): Wisconsin congressman correct about Milwaukee’s homicide rate nearly doubling in past two years [...] It is well known that Milwaukee is on pace for a third straight year of record homicides. But we wondered about the second part: Has the rate really nearly doubled in the past two years? [...] The Journal Sentinel’s homicide database recorded Milwaukee homicides in 2019 at 111. In 2020, the number rose to 204. In 2021, the figure climbed to 212 homicides. So Steil’s "nearly doubled" claim is on the mark.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2023-08-16): According to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel homicide tracker, the number of Milwaukee homicides in 2019 was 111. In 2020, the number rose to 204. 2021 saw 212 homicides, marking a 91% increase in the rate of homicides over two years. As of Oct. 21, the FBI reports there were 184 homicides in 2022 in Milwaukee — 24 more than last year at this time. [...] Urban Milwaukee: What’s Driving Milwaukee’s Homicide Rate Wisconsin Public Radio: Milwaukee on pace to break homicide rate record again this year
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2024-06-18): The former president’s perception of Milwaukee may be shaped by the rise in homicides while he was in office. The Milwaukee murder rate nearly doubled from 2019 to 2020 in Trump’s last year in office, when the mismanaged Covid-19 pandemic led to a nationwide spike in crime. But it’s a different story under the Biden administration. According to data from the Milwaukee Police Department, the number of homicides dropped 20 percent last year, and is down another 17 percent so far this year. [...] Of course, like any city in gun-saturated America, Milwaukee suffers from needless gun deaths.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2020-08-06): In Chicago, a 9-year old boy was one of 105 homicides in July alone. In Milwaukee, the homicide rate nearly doubled in the first half of 2020. Closer to home, in Memphis, Grind City has seen 18 more homicides this year compared to this time last year. What is behind the dramatic increase in the homicide rate? Like most things, it’s likely a combination of different factors, but according to some experts, gang violence is partly responsible.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2022-02-01): MILWAUKEE — The Milwaukee County Medical Examiner's Office (MCMEO) says Milwaukee County is on pace to record more than 300 homicides this year if trends from January continue. [...] Data from the Milwaukee Police Department (MPD) shows homicides this month doubled last January’s totals and nearly quadrupled January homicides each of the three previous years. [...] A deadly January in Milwaukee has the county on pace for 306 homicides this year, which would shatter last year’s record of 220 county-wide.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2024-10-01): Book Challenges Nearly Doubled From 2021
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2024-07-30): These atrocities made headlines across the nation and shocked our collective consciousness, but much less discussed is the regular, unrelenting toll that gun violence takes on Hispanic and Latino communities. On average, more than 13 Hispanic people die from gun violence every day.5 Almost half of all Latino youth in major US cities live less than a mile away from a gun homicide that occurred in the past year.6 And gun violence in the Hispanic community has been on the rise, nearly doubling since 2014.7 [...] Gun violence kills 4,900 Hispanic people in the US every year.16 However, in 2022, a record 5,853 Hispanic people died from gun violence.17 The Latino community, particularly Latino youth, has been disproportionately impacted by gun violence. Gun deaths among Hispanic people have increased at nearly twice the rate of gun deaths nationally. From 2014 to 2022, the number of Hispanic gun deaths nearly doubled; comparatively, national gun deaths rose 43%.18 Firearm homicides account for almost 60% of all Hispanic gun deaths.19 Firearm homicide deaths take a disproportionate toll on Hispanic Americans compared to many other racial and ethnic groups. In fact, the Hispanic firearm homicide rate is more than double the non-Hispanic white firearm homicide rate.20
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2022-05-21): That was back in March. On Friday, 21 people were injured in three shootings in the city’s downtown entertainment district. Milwaukee has seen record numbers of homicides in each of the past two years — double the rate from as recently as 2019 — and is on pace to break the record again this year. In January, six people were killed across the street from a home where Johnson grew up. "Milwaukee is in the midst of unsustainable and unacceptable violence," Johnson says. Milwaukee has other public safety problems. Vehicle thefts have doubled over the past couple of years to more than 11,000 annually, many ripped off by minors known as "Kia Boys" in reference to one of the preferred brands for break-ins. Milwaukee is a mostly flat city criss-crossed by long, broad, straight streets. If you’re driving 40 mph in a 30 mph zone, you will get passed. Last year, 65 people were killed in the city due to reckless driving. "It’s become a social contagion," says Jordan Morales, a resident of the Sherman Park neighborhood. "It’s not just teenaged kids in stolen cars."
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2024-01-02): The homicide rate is particularly alarming in black male teenagers, the CDC reported. Their homicide rate, already high, nearly doubled between 1984 and 1988 and in some areas exceeds the casualty rate among soldiers in Vietnam, Froehlke said. [...] Washington, D.C., is not alone in its soaring homicide rate. FBI crime statistics show that the increase in the homicide rate nationwide has continued at least through mid-1990, with an 8 percent rise in homicides this year. More than a dozen other large U.S. cities -- including New York, Dallas, San Antonio, Phoenix, Memphis, Milwaukee and Boston -- have already marked all-time high homicide totals in 1990. Homicide totals have declined this year in Detroit, Miami, Atlanta and Denver. [...] What caused the upward spiral in the homicide rate is a complicated question, and what to do about it is even more so. But the first step is a recognition of homicide as a public health crisis, experts agreed.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2024-05-30): Social Media stated on May 30, 2024 in a post: Under federal law, former President Donald Trump’s "felony convictions mean he can no longer possess guns." Bryan Steil stated on November 15, 2022 in Twitter: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." Everytown for Gun Safety stated on October 10, 2022 in an ad: "Kari Lake is opposed to red flag laws." A Better Wisconsin Together stated on September 12, 2022 in Campaign ad: Says Tim Michels "opposes closing the loophole that allows domestic abusers to buy guns." Levar Stoney stated on June 16, 2022 in a tweet.: "In Virginia, Black people are eight times (8X) more likely than white people to die of gun homicide." Cavalier Johnson stated on April 9, 2022 in TV interview: In a recent year, the Milwaukee Police Department "collected more guns per capita off the streets than in New York." Beth Wessel-Kroeschell stated on January 22, 2021 in public comments: "86% of Americans and 82% of gun owners support requiring all gun buyers to pass a background check." [...] Bryan Steil stated on November 15, 2022 in Twitter: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years."
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2016-09-30): Johns Hopkins Hospital also studied trauma outcomes and found that the fatality rate for patients with gunshot wounds nearly doubled from 9.5 percent between 2000 and 2003 to 18.3 percent for the period through March 2005. [...] On the streets in a number of cities, gunmen have increasingly aimed for the head. The number of fatal head shots in Milwaukee doubled in 2015 over the year before, and gunshot victims with three to seven bullet wounds jumped 150 percent. [...] Again, they found that gunshot victims stood out for falling behind. Their fatality rate jumped 6 percent — every two years.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2023-08-03): Data from the Milwaukee Homicide Review Commission shows that in 2016, 8 percent of homicide and nonfatal shooting victims in Milwaukee were under the age of 17. So far this year, that number has increased to 14 percent. The toll on younger victims has persisted even as Milwaukee’s homicide rate has been falling after hitting a record high last year, with the overall murder rate down 27 percent year-to-date compared to the same period in 2022. [...] Last year at this time, there were 15 juvenile homicides in Milwaukee, according to data from the Milwaukee Police Department. So far this year, there have been 14.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2015-10-23): Now, all these years later, I fear we are facing another wave of violent crime and homicide, and our communities are once again in trouble. And the trouble is complicated, layered, and painful. [...] In Washington, D.C., we’ve seen an increase in homicides of more than 20 percent in neighborhoods across the city. Baltimore, a city of 600,000 souls, is averaging more than one homicide a day—a rate higher than that of New York City, which has 13 times the people. Milwaukee’s murder rate has nearly doubled over the past year. Police chiefs say the increase is almost entirely among young men of color, at crime scenes in bad neighborhoods where multiple guns are being recovered.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2024-05-15): - Homicides have more than doubled (up 121%) and were higher in 2022 than in 2021. [...] Despite the decline in robberies, violent crime as a whole actually rose by nearly 16% from 2013 to 2022. That is largely due to a steep rise of 60% in aggravated assaults — an offense that by volume made up about three-fourths of violent crimes in Milwaukee in 2022. The most serious offenses, homicides and rapes, constitute only a tiny fraction, about 2%, of total serious crime even when they spiked in 2022. [...] These considerations aside, measures of serious violence are on the rise. Homicides have doubled from the two-decade average of 100 per year, reaching a record 214 killings in 2022. Non-fatal shootings have nearly doubled from 444 in 2019 to 877 in 2022. Combining the two, Milwaukee tallied at least 1,091 victims of murder or attempted murder (by gun) in 2022 compared to 541 in 2019 — 550 more victims, or a nearly 102% increase.
Claim: In Milwaukee, "The (homicide) rate has nearly doubled in the past two years." (Bryan Steil, 2022-11-15)
Evidence (2020-11-09): The overall gun death rates among youth doubled between 2013 and 2022. This rise is predominantly attributed to an increase in gun homicides across age subgroups, though suicide is also increasing among teens (ages 10-17) and emerging adults (ages 18-19). - Gun death rates doubled from 2013 to 2022 for children and teens (ages 1-17). - Gun homicides nearly doubled from 2013 to 2022 for both emerging adults (ages 18-19) and children (ages 1-9), increasing from 770 to 1,453 and from 87 to 172, respectively.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-07-21): Washington sent out ballots for its Aug. 6 statewide primary election, which does not include a presidential primary. It held its presidential primary earlier this year, on March 12. President Joe Biden won Washington’s Democratic presidential primary in March, according to the certified election results. Biden has since dropped out of the race and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris. Under Washington law, presidential candidates must be certified for the November ballot by Aug. 20, which falls before the Democratic nominee could be formally elected at the Democratic National Convention. Washington’s secretary of state will accept a letter from the Democratic National Committee attesting to the party’s alternate nominee, a spokesperson said.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-09-11): Washington, for instance, is one of the handful of states that conducts nearly all of its voting entirely by mail and will accept a mail-in ballot until results are certified in late November so long as it is postmarked by Election Day. [...] Eight of those states and Washington, DC, send a ballot automatically to all voters. Fourteen states, by contrast, require some kind of excuse for early or mail-in voting. These excuses can range from being required to work to volunteering at a polling place to caring for a sick relative. [...] Those figures could change this year. Some states will not be as accommodating of early or mail-in voting in 2024. And with the Covid-19 pandemic less of a factor, more voters may decide to vote in person instead of by mail.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-10-01): On Friday, U.S. authorities accused three Iranian men of stealing and leaking files from Trump’s 2024 campaign, the largest "hack and leak" election influence operation since Russia’s breach of Hillary Clinton’s campaign and Democratic organizations in 2016.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-10-01): Karen Brinson Bell, the executive director of the state’s election board, said Tuesday that 12 county election offices in the hard-hit western part of the state remain closed after the storm unleashed "unprecedented" damage. Absentee ballots, some of which already have been mailed to voters who requested them, also face obstacles, from U.S. Postal Service delays to road and residential damage that could render them undeliverable. The viability of early and Election Day voting sites remains unknown, she said. [...] What to know about the 2024 Election - Today’s news: Follow live updates from the campaign trail from the AP.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-10-01): Start of 18-day voting period (through Election Day). Ballots are mailed out and Accessible Voting Units (AVUs) are available at voting centers.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-10-06): The Presidential election is coming up on November 5, 2024. Stay informed with the latest voting information, key dates, primary results and more for Washington. [...] How Washington Voted in Past Presidential Elections [...] * The Decision Desk pre-election race ratings characterize the competitiveness of all U.S. House and Senate seats up in 2024, all gubernatorial elections in 2024, and the states and districts that comprise the 538 electoral votes in the presidential election. Several factors are taken into consideration in determining ratings, including various combinations of the analysis of historical electoral results, election polling, analysis of voter file registration data and early voting (when applicable), political advertising data as well as qualitative assessments of the specific candidates.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-03-01): Dates and Deadlines 2024
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-09-21): Tuesday, November 5, 2024 [...] Monday, November 11, 2024 Tuesday, November 26, 2024
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-10-05): The 538 team discusses whether early voting data is a good indicator of who will win the 2024 presidential election. [...] ABC News Chief Washington Correspondent Jonathan Karl explains how to make your predictions on the 2024 presidential race. [...] Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-08-23): Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks to supporters during a campaign event April 21, 2024, in Royal Oak, Mich. (AP)
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-02-23): WA presidential primary ballots sent. Here’s who’s on them [...] On the Republican side, the Washington ballot includes former President Donald Trump and Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor and former U.N. ambassador who is the last rival remaining on Trump’s path to the 2024 GOP nomination. [...] In 2020, Washington’s Democratic presidential primary ballot featured 13 candidates, chiefly Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders but also other rivals who had ended their campaigns before the vote count here, including billionaire and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Biden narrowly won the state’s primary.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-08-17): But navigating the complex web of deadlines and procedures can be tricky. Election calendars differ significantly from state to state, with some sending out mail-in ballots in early September while others will only start processing them closer to the election. [...] Voters in North Carolina will be the first to receive absentee ballots for the 2024 general election. The state will initiate the vote-by-mail process on Sept. 6, a full two months ahead of Election Day, by mailing ballots to eligible voters who have requested absentee ballots in advance. The rules differ by state for whether voters need to request mail-in ballots, need to provide an excuse in order to get one, or automatically receive one. [...] The House and Senate will certify the results of the 2024 presidential election in a joint session during which the electoral certificates for each state are counted and tallied.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-01-09): The 2024 Presidential Primary is a chance to participate in the nomination process for the office of U.S. President. Voters help the major political parties choose presidential nominees. Washington's Presidential Primary was first created in 1989 through a citizens' Initiative to the Legislature to include more voters in the process. This is the only election in which state law requires Washington's voters to mark and sign party declarations written by the major political parties. Every registered voter receives a mailed ballot packet after February 23. [...] Every registered voter will receive a ballot in the mail after February 23. Voters in Washington do not declare a party when registering to vote, but to help the parties choose a presidential nominee, voters must mark one party box and sign the declarations on the return envelope.
Claim: “The state of Washington has already sent out their ballots” for the 2024 presidential election. (Instagram posts, 2024-07-21)
Evidence (2024-01-01): To request an absentee ballot for 2024 elections, use the online absentee application, or one of downloadable applications below. [...] You can ask the election office that sent your ballot for a replacement ballot. If there is not enough time to get a new ballot, completely cross out the name of the candidate you accidentally marked. Then mark the candidate you prefer. Do not initial your corrections. [...] You can ask to cancel your ballot until the close of business 19 days before Election Day. After that time, you cannot cancel your ballot. To cancel your ballot, contact the election office that sent your ballot. Your options are to have a new ballot mailed; vote in person at your local election office; or vote at your polling place on Election Day.