copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2023-12-18): - In August 2022, LucidTalk released polling results in which 41% of respondents said they were in favour of a United Ireland, compared with 48% who indicated a preference for the status quo. This represented a dip in support for unity and a boost for UK membership, compared with LucidTalk’s previous poll (42% UI and 47% remain). [...] Aside from the ARINS Project, each of these organisations have carried out several polls on support for a United Ireland over the past five years or so. Another notable pollster, Lord Ashcroft, also carried out polling, though none in the past year. [...] LucidTalk and Ashcroft polls have tended to indicate higher support for Irish Unity than the UL and NILTS surveys (and the one-off result from the ARINS Project).
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2024-09-25): United Ireland (Irish: Éire Aontaithe), also referred to as Irish reunification[1][2][3] or a New Ireland,[4][5][6][7][8] is the proposition that all of the island of Ireland should be a single sovereign state.[9][10] At present, the island is divided politically: the sovereign state of Ireland (legally described also as the Republic of Ireland) has jurisdiction over the majority of Ireland, while Northern Ireland, which lies entirely within (but consists of only 6 of 9 counties of) the Irish province of Ulster, is part of the United Kingdom. Achieving a united Ireland is a central tenet of Irish nationalism and Republicanism, particularly of both mainstream and dissident republican political and paramilitary organisations.[11] Unionists support Northern Ireland remaining part of the United Kingdom and oppose Irish unification.[12][13]
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2023-12-18): What is it about passionate nationalists that when they get less than a third of people in favour of their nationalist project, they still insist they are driving on to victory? That was the situation according to the second big Irish Times/Analysing and Researching Ireland North and South(ARINS) poll on Irish unity earlier this month, which showed 51% of those polled in Northern Ireland in favour of remaining in the UK (up 1% from last year) against 30% in favour of joining the Republic (up 3%).1 [In 2019 Catalan nationalists went so far as to declare independence after 39.5% of registered voters in a low turn-out voted in favour in an unconstitutional referendum]. [...] None of this stopped the political scientists overseeing the poll, led by Professor Brendan O’Leary of the University of Pennsylvania (an avowed nationalist), wheeling out the concept of ‘losers’ consent’: extraordinarily, the ‘losers’ in this case are the Northern Protestants who make up the great bulk of the majority who want to stay part of the UK (51% support) and the ‘consent’ is their willingness to acquiesce in an eventual united Ireland (30% support).
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2018-04-19): However, he says unionists should not be too alarmed because coming from a Catholic or Protestant community background does not necessarily equate with support for a United Ireland or for remaining in the UK. [...] It is likely there will be "more examination of what a United Ireland might mean," according to Dr Nolan. [...] Dismissing opinion polls declaring support for a united Ireland, Dr Nolan says the polls ask the wrong question.
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2022-07-12): Percentages are rounded to the nearest whole number, so some figures may not add up to 100. [...] - on average, the percentage of families receiving state support went down from 62% to 51% [...] Before 2019 to 2020, respondents from the Irish Travellers (NI) ethnic group in Northern Ireland were included in the White Other ethnic group. From 2019 to 2020, the reporting of this ethnic group was changed for all years presented to harmonise with published figures for the Family Resources Survey and Households Below Average Income, and the ONS harmonised output guidance. Irish Travellers (NI) ethnic group responses in Northern Ireland are now included in Other ethnic group.
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2021-04-20): In NI, 49% of people said if there was a border poll today they would vote to remain in the UK, with 43% backing a united Ireland and 8% undecided. [...] In the Republic of Ireland, where a vote would have to be held in parallel with any border poll in Northern Ireland, 51% said they would vote for a United Ireland, 27% would vote for Northern Ireland to stay in the UK and 22% were not sure. [...] The results from a number of other questions in the survey regarding what should happen to the Irish flag, national anthem, the Stormont Executive and the health service in the event of a United Ireland will be released on BBC Northern Ireland's political programme The View on Thursday night.
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2022-05-10): While 90% of people in Northern Ireland support organ donation, only 51% of people have registered their decision on the NHS Organ Donor Register.
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2024-01-12): Asked how they would vote in a referendum or "border poll" tomorrow, 49% said they would vote to stay in the UK, 41% said they would choose a united Ireland, and one in ten said they were undecided: a majority of 54% to 46% for the Union among those voting. While more than 19 out of 20 DUP and Sinn Féin voters backed the UK and unification respectively, SDLP backed a united Ireland by 56% to 12%, while nearly one in three saying they didn’t know. Four in ten Alliance voters were undecided, with the remainder backing Irish unification by 35% to 25%. Support for a united Ireland declined sharply with age: 71% of those aged 18 to 24 said they would choose unification with the Republic. [...] More than 6 in 10 (63%) said they thought Northern Ireland would vote to stay in the UK in a referendum tomorrow – but by 51% to 34%, they thought a border poll in ten years’ time would produce a majority for a united Ireland.
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2024-09-24): Mary C. Murphy, University College Cork, urges caution in linking Northern Ireland support for remaining in the EU with growing support for a united Ireland. [...] It is clear, therefore, that the referendum result entails change for Northern Ireland’s political institutions and for the governance of the region. However, the suggestion that this altered environment is synonymous with majority support for a united Ireland is disingenuous. It presupposes that, in the aftermath of the referendum, those unionists who voted to Remain are also likely to vote to leave the UK. It also assumes that nationalists will opt for a united Ireland on the back of an overall UK Leave vote (and that voters south of the border will do likewise). Recent opinion polls on Irish unity do not demonstrate anything close to majority support for a united Ireland among either unionists or nationalists. Clearly, voters may adjust their views in the aftermath of this referendum and for nationalists in particular, this vote may increase their support for a united Ireland. However, any modification in Unionist voter preferences vis-à-vis Irish unity following the EU referendum is unlikely to develop quickly, and maybe not even at all. Loyalty to Britain and to the UK state means that unionists will be better able to accept and respect the national UK vote to Leave.
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2022-05-01): As organ and tissue donation and transplantation saves and transforms hundreds of lives each year, the new law will help more people save more lives by making it easier for those who support organ donation to say ‘yes’ to giving the ‘gift of life’. This is because while 90% of people in Northern Ireland support organ donation, only 51% of people have registered their decision on the NHS Organ Donor Register.
Claim: There is 51% support for a united Ireland. (Sinn Féin, 2019-12-02)
Evidence (2021-12-09): The EU and the UK committed to continue the PEACE funding programme for Northern Ireland, a programme to "support peace and reconciliation and to promote economic and social progress in Northern Ireland and the Border Region of Ireland". You can find more information on this topic on the website of the Special EU Programmes Body, which manages the funding. [...] Polling company LucidTalk also carried out a survey following the agreement of the Windsor Framework, as did the Institute of Irish Studies at the University of Liverpool. There is also a broad range of views among political parties in Northern Ireland. You can view statements from NI’s political parties by following these links: DUP, Sinn Féin, Alliance, UUP, SDLP, TUV, PBPA.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2021-02-25): According to the most recent annual figures, Ireland has the highest annual rate of GDP growth (both as an absolute figure and if adjusted for the size of population) of the 19 countries in the Eurozone. However, Ireland is ranked lower if other economic measures, such as Gross National Income are considered.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2023-01-30): The Irish economy grew by a better-than-expected 12.2 per cent last year despite a severe cost-of-living squeeze and a significant slowdown in the global economy. This was significantly ahead of Government forecasts and made Ireland the fastest growing economy in Europe once again. [...] The fourth quarter figure meant GDP – on an annual basis – is estimated to have increased by 12.2 per cent, when compared with 2021. While this was marginally down on the 13.5 per cent growth recorded in 2021, it is the strongest growth figure registered by any euro zone member. [...] Goodbody economist Shaun McDonnell said the latest numbers meant Ireland was the fastest growing economy in Europe last year.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2023-08-15): The Irish economy will continue to outperform its EU peers, according to the Mastercard Economics Institute, as consumer fundamentals remain strong. [...] Ireland was once again the fastest growing economy in the eurozone in Q2-2023, expanding by 3.3% from Q1-2023. The rate of growth that was 11 times faster than that of the Eurozone as a block. It said the economy has been the fastest growing in the EU since the pandemic. Currently it is 33% larger than it was in Q4-19. This is compared to Eurozone’s post-pandemic expansion of only 3% and also significantly above the 11% expansion by second fastest growing economy, Poland.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2022-12-07): Ireland had the highest GDP growth in the eurozone for the third quarter of 2022, data from EU statistics agency, Eurostat has shown. In new data released today, Ireland saw economic growth increase by 2.3% between July and September 2022. [...] Ireland's GDP growth of 2.3% was the highest across the eurozone in Q3, followed by both Cyprus and Malta with GDP growing by 1.3%.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2018-03-15): Irish economy smiling as GDP growth beats eurozone rivals [...] Ireland has just been confirmed as the fastest-growing economy in the eurozone for the fourth consecutive year. Irish GDP grew in 2017 by 7.8%, up from 5.2% in 2016, with almost all parts of the economy growing strongly.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2023-01-30): Ireland’s turbocharged multinational sector keeps producing the goods – literally speaking. According to the Central Statistics Office (CSO), the economy here grew by a whopping 12.2 per cent in gross domestic product (GDP) terms last year on the back of multinational exports, primarily from the pharma and medtech sectors. The flash estimate of GDP for 2022 comes ahead of the official figure in March, but barring a major revision it will place Ireland among the global economic elite, in growth terms at least. [...] The Irish economy is at the vanguard of a new globalised world order, which has given birth to behemoth companies that are as big and as wealthy as whole countries and whose results ripple through the national accounts of small economies like mini tidal waves.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2023-01-31): The Irish economy grew by a better-than-expected 12.2 per cent last year despite a severe cost-of-living squeeze and a significant slowdown in the global economy. This was significantly ahead of Government forecasts and made Ireland the fastest growing economy in Europe once again. The figures show GDP, the standard measure of growth, grew by an estimated 3.5 per cent in Ireland in the final three months of last year compared with the previous quarter.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2018-01-23): Irish economy to be eurozone's fastest-growing through to 2024 Ireland is to be the fastest-growing economy in the eurozone out to 2024, PwC has forecast. The Irish economy is projected to show GDP growth of 3.5pc in 2018 and average growth of 2.8pc for the period 2020 to 2024, compared to eurozone average growth of 2.2pc and 1.6pc respectively for these periods.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2024-01-01): Eurozone economy returns to growth in second quarter as inflation falls was Dkr4188 now Dkr1999 for your first year, equivalent to Dkr166.58 per month. Make up your own mind. Build robust opinions with the FT’s trusted journalism. Take this offer before 24 October.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2022-03-02): According to the most recent annual figures, Ireland has the highest annual rate of GDP growth (both as an absolute figure and if adjusted for the size of population) of the 19 countries in the Eurozone. However, Ireland is ranked lower if other economic measures, such as Gross National Income are considered. The Institute of Irish Studies at the University of Liverpool has produced two videos as part of its Civic Space initiative that present both pro-Union and pro-unification arguments. This fact check investigates a claim in the pro-unity video (at 2:02), that states, "Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone." [...] The Institute of Irish Studies video is correct that according to the most recent annual figures, Ireland has the highest annual rate of GDP growth (whether measured overall or per person) of the 19 countries in the Eurozone.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2022-12-07): Euro zone gross domestic product (GDP) grew by slightly more than initially estimated, data from the European statistics agency Eurostat showed on Wednesday, with household spending and business investment propping up the economy. The Irish economy grew the most out of any euro zone member states. Eurostat said GDP growth in the third quarter was 0.3 per cent in the 19-country euro area in the July-September period from the previous quarter and 2.3 per cent year-on-year, above its flash estimates of 0.2 per cent and 2.1 per cent published in mid-November. [...] The strongest growth, of 2.3 per cent, was recorded in the Republic, with Malta and Cyprus both expanding at 1.3 per cent. The steepest declines were in Estonia, Latvia and Slovenia.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2022-04-19): The Irish economy looks set to be the fastest growing in the eurozone over the next two years, despite the huge inflation and war pressures wreaking havoc with the global recovery, according to new IMF forecasts. [...] In terms of economic growth, the Irish economy stands out, which may help soothe some concerns about the outlook for the Irish economy and for the foreign-owned multinationals based here to continue to export to world markets despite the global slowdown. Ireland’s GDP will grow 5.2% this year and by 5% in 2023, while inflation here will average 5.7% and 2.7% over the two years, the IMF forecasts.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2021-09-07): Irish economy growing at the fastest rate in EU [...] Last year, Ireland was the only EU country to register positive GDP growth (+3.4pc), largely down to multinational pharma and IT exports. [...] In June, the ESRI predicted the economy would grow by 11pc this year, a figure that was way up on Central Bank, European Commission and other institutions’ projections.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2023-07-31): Ireland recorded the highest increase in economic growth in the euro zone in the second quarter of this year, new figures from Eurostat show today. The country recorded GDP growth of 3.3% in the three months to the end of June, compared to the previous quarter. It was followed by Lithuania, which grew by 2.8%. On an annual basis, Ireland also saw the best rate of growth at 2.8%, followed by Portugal with growth of 2.3% and Spain at 1.8%.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2023-02-16): The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has published a preliminary estimate of Irish GDP growth for the first time. This is set to be published 30 days in advance of official national accounts data, which we will not receive until the end of February 2022. [...] The report suggests that Ireland experienced GDP growth of 12.2% year on year (yoy) in 2022, making Ireland the fast growing economy in Europe in GDP terms last year. Goodbody Stockbrokers say this comes on top of the remarkable pandemic performance which saw GDP growth of 13.6% yoy in 2021, bringing Ireland’s cumulative GDP growth to 33% since 2019, the last year the pandemic was not in the data.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2022-12-07): Irish economy fastest-growing in eurozone as region’s GDP revised up to 0.3% Figures released today show that Ireland’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 2.3 per cent between July and September, with Cyprus and Malta growing by 1.3 per cent
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2024-01-25): Buoyed by a slowly recovering domestic economy and a strong export sector, Ireland’s GDP increased by 16.6 percent in 2022, reinforcing its position as one of the best performing economies in the EU, albeit this growth was driven mainly by exports from foreign direct investment. Ireland’s economy should continue to be one of the strongest among the Eurozone countries due to the sizable concentration of technology, pharmaceutical, medtech, and other large multi-national enterprises (MNEs) in Ireland. This exponential export growth seen in the past few years has however moderated in 2023 as pharmaceutical and technology exports have fallen considerably. [...] Ireland has, for the past number of years, been the fastest growing economy in Europe. The outlook for Ireland’s economy is positive despite increasing inflation, rising energy prices, and continued global challenges. Ireland’s GDP growth forecast for 2023 is predicted to be in excess of five percent supporting a sustained demand for U.S. products, technologies, and services in the short to medium term.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2024-01-01): Ireland has really become a place where a lot of Europeans want to work and we've been very lucky in attracting great talent from all over Europe that are now working in Dublin [...] Ireland’s resilient economy made us one of the best performing advanced economies in the world, even during COVID-19. Our underlying structural strengths and capital investment plans mean we’re well positioned for future growth. Ireland consistently ranks among the top countries in the world in which to do business, supporting FDI growth. Successive governments have maintained this pro-business outlook: we favour green lights over red tape.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2024-07-03): Key insights - GDP of Ireland 2022 - 533.56bn USD Gross domestic product (GDP) in Ireland 2029 - Unemployment rate - 4.9% [...] Ireland: Growth rate of the real gross domestic product (GDP) from 2019 to 2029 (compared to the previous year)
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2024-01-01): For one of Europe’s smallest countries, Ireland continuously punches above its weight. It has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone and has the third highest real GDP per capita in the world. A slow starter in ecommerce user penetration, it has quickly caught up with its European neighbours. 72% of the population now shop online, predominantly for clothing and electronics. Payments in Ireland are dominated by credit and debit cards, with Visa leading the way. The average shopper holds 1-2 cards. Digital wallet adoption is on the rise with PayPal the most widely used.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2024-02-13): With a fast-growing economy, a strong labour market and falling inflation, the US has outpaced its counterparts in Europe and elsewhere. In terms of GDP, it posted a 3.3% gain in the fourth quarter of 2023, far exceeding economists' expectations of 2%. [...] That stimulus is still being credited with sustaining consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of economic activity. That capacity to spend despite high inflation has been a buoy.
Claim: Ireland has the fastest growing economy in the Eurozone. (University of Liverpool, 2021-02-25)
Evidence (2018-07-10): Ireland is the fastest growing economy in the European Union, growing at a rate three times faster than its European partners. With a GDP growth of 7.3% in 2017, Ireland is one of the most open, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) driven economies in the world. - 3% GDP growth year over year (European Commission) [...] Ireland’s strategic geographical location also positions the country as a gateway to Europe with access to a wider market of 740 million people. Upon the United Kingdom’s departure from the EU, Ireland will be the only country that is a member of the EU, Eurozone and English speaking.