copenlu/druid huggingface dataset:
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2021-08-09): Climate changes are occurring in every region and globally, according to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report. As the world’s latest and most rigorous scientific assessment of the physical basis of climate change, the report defines changes that are unprecedented in thousands if not hundreds of thousands of years. It emphasizes that there is still time to act, but it must happen immediately. Limiting climate change demands strong and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions from human activities such as burning fossil fuels. Press release. Secretary-General’s statement. Some of the world’s poorest countries spend more on debt repayments than on health, education and infrastructure combined, severely hampering their chances of developing their economies. At the Summit of the Future, reducing inequality and improving people’s lives by overhauling the entire international financial system will be high on the agenda. Can AI governance be harnessed to combat climate change? Read about emerging global policies and their potential for climate action in this piece by the United Nations University.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2021-08-09): IPCC climate report: Earth is warmer than it’s been in 125,000 years Landmark assessment says that greenhouse gases are unequivocally driving extreme weather — but that nations can still prevent the worst impacts. [...] The hard truths of climate change — by the numbers
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2024-10-04): The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is an intergovernmental body of the United Nations. Its job is to advance scientific knowledge about climate change caused by human activities.[1] The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) set up the IPCC in 1988. The United Nations endorsed the creation of the IPCC later that year.[2] It has a secretariat in Geneva, Switzerland, hosted by the WMO. It has 195 member states who govern the IPCC.[3] The member states elect a bureau of scientists to serve through an assessment cycle. A cycle is usually six to seven years. The bureau selects experts in their fields to prepare IPCC reports.[4] There is a formal nomination process by governments and observer organizations to find these experts. The IPCC has three working groups and a task force, which carry out its scientific work.[4] [...] - ^ "What is the IPCC?". Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit. 18 October 2021. Retrieved 8 November 2022.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2023-01-01): A. Current Status and Trends [...] A.2 Widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and biosphere have occurred. Human-caused climate change is already affecting many weather and climate extremes in every region across the globe. This has led to widespread adverse impacts and related losses and damages to nature and people (high confidence). Vulnerable communities who have historically contributed the least to current climate change are disproportionately affected (high confidence). {2.1, [...] B. Future Climate Change, Risks, and Long-Term Responses
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2017-08-10): The specific claim here–that the IPCC scientific reviews find no increase in extremes–is incorrect, as is the broader implication that there is no observational evidence for increasing meteorological extremes. The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risk of Extreme Events (SREX) directly contradicts the former claim, while a rapidly growing body of scientific research points toward a clear increase in certain types of extreme weather events–especially heat waves, droughts, and heavy downpours (e.g., Diffenbaugh et al. 2017)*. While it is certainly true that some of these extreme events would have occurred naturally (and that not all event types are increasing in all regions), human-caused global warming is exerting an increasingly substantial influence on the risk of global temperature and precipitation extremes. [...] This statement is not true. The IPCC does not say that "there has been no increase in extreme weather events". In the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report, in the Physical Science volume, the very first table of the summary document gives a comprehensive, careful and nuanced assessment of different types of extreme weather events and whether there has been an increase in them. The IPCC’s conclusion is that for some types of extreme weather event, such as hot days, heatwaves and heavy precipitation, there have been increases (with varying levels of confidence and likelihood attached to these conclusions, ranging from "very likely" to "medium confidence. For other types of extreme weather events, such as drought and tropical cyclones, there is low confidence in a global-scale trend but nevertheless increases in some more localized regions are likely to have occurred.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2019-03-08): Expertise: Atmospheric & climate dynamics, Tropical meteorology, Extreme weather [...] The science is clear, climate change is making extreme weather events, including tornadoes, worse. [...] Some extreme weather events are clearly becoming more common, in contrast to Lord Lawson’s claim
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2018-04-16): Confessions of a Former Environmental Skeptic [...] - Climate changes no matter what we do. [...] This article was first published in an edited volume as a Festschrift for David Suzuki by Greystone Books, Canada.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2003-07-29): IPCC Releases Third Assessment on Climate Change [...] In short, some parts of the IPCC process resembled a Soviet-style trial, in which the facts are predetermined, and ideological purity trumps technical and scientific rigor. [...] The IPCC Plays Hockey
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2013-08-24): JC summary: My position on extreme weather events and climate change is much more consistent with IPCC consensus as expressed by the SREX, than is Trenberth’s position. While Trenberth is quick to acknowledge the role of the multi-decadal oscillations in ocean heat storage, he neglects to consider that these same oscillations have a dominant control on the hemispheric weather patterns that influence extreme weather events. Scientists engaging in policy/politics [...] All of this is amplified by the consensus police and denial warriors surrounding the scientific community, including bloggers, the media, NGOs, politicians.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2021-10-27): You’re Wasting Valuable Time [...] Photo Credit: Peg Hunter under CC by NC 2.0. Image courtesy of Pexels Stock.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2020-05-04): Vulnerability: Threats to food security and health and increased exposure to extreme weather events (climate-impacts channel). [...] United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change [...] Warsaw International Mechanism on Loss and Damage Associated with Climate Change Impacts
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2024-06-09): The text in the dataset is in English, as found in real-world claims about climate-change on the Internet. The associated BCP-47 code is en. [...] "evidence": "\"Bear hunting caught in global warming debate\".", "entropy": 0.6931471805599453, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ] } [...] Thanks to @tdiggelm for adding this dataset.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2018-12-01): Advertising and Corporate Services [...] Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment and the Department of Law, London School of Economics and Political Science [...] Sign In or Create an Account
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2024-01-23): Source quality and comprehensiveness. [...] Abstracts of Scientific Literature on Climate Change (AbsCC): [...] Level of evidence and agreement: High
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2023-04-04): Broadcast regulator Ofcom upheld a complaint by prominent scientist Brian Cox and Jim Al-Khalili and the UK‘s Green Party about an interview on the BBC‘s flagship cultural affairs radio show, the Today programme. On the programme, Lawson said "all the experts say there hasn’t been" an increase in extreme weather events, and that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change "concedes" this, and that, according to official figures, "during this past 10 years […] average world temperature has slightly declined," the Guardian reported.22Mark Sweney. "BBC Radio 4 broke accuracy rules in Nigel Lawson climate change interview," The Guardian, April 9, 2018. Archived April 14, 2018. Archive URL: https://archive.li/xeMeB [...] Lawson: For example, he said that, er, there had been a growing increase, which had been continuing, in the extreme weather events. There hasn’t been. All the experts say there haven’t been. Extreme weather events have always happened. They come and go. And some kinds of extreme weather events of a particular time increase, whereas others, like tropical storms, diminish…
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2024-08-27): Financial Post commentary jumps to unsupported conclusions in claiming "climate change isn’t causing extreme weather" "This article is misleading since it confuses changes in climate change impacts with changes in climate and weather extremes and it subjectively selects examples that support its message. There is clear scientific evidence that many weather and climate extreme events increase in intensity and frequency due to anthropogenic climate change. Munich Re, for example, publishes data on global major extreme events in its annual reports."
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2020-01-14): in Forbes, by Robert Bradley Jr. [...] In popular video, Dan Peña falsely claims humans aren’t causing climate change [...] Some extreme weather events are clearly becoming more common, in contrast to Lord Lawson’s claim
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2017-08-11): Lawson: For example, he said that, er, there had been a growing increase, which had been continuing, in the extreme weather events. There hasn’t been. All the experts say there haven’t been. Extreme weather events have always happened. They come and go. And some kinds of extreme weather events of a particular time increase, whereas others, like tropical storms, diminish… [...] The table below summarises all the evidence then available to the IPCC on weather extremes. It shows the range of confidence that increases have occurred (first column), the assessment of human activity has contributed to observed changes (second column) and the likelihood of further change in future (third and fourth columns). [...] Lawson: No, it’s not happening. The reputable scientists, reputable experts, like Professor Pielke [Jr] and, as I’ve said, the IPCC, has confirmed that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. And as for the temperature itself, it is striking, he made his previous film 10 years ago, and according – again – to the official figures, during this past 10 years, if anything, mean global temperature, average world temperature, has slightly declined.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2019-10-18): Some extreme weather events are clearly becoming more common, in contrast to Lord Lawson’s claim [...] SOURCE: Nigel Lawson, BBC [...] Science shows that humans are primarily responsible for climate change, counter to EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt’s claim
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2012-12-10): Some climate researchers also worry that recent institutional changes could accentuate the organization's conservative bias in the fifth IPCC assessment, to be released in parts starting in September 2013. [...] Established in 1988 by the United Nations, the IPCC does no original climate science research. Its role is to review current science from around the world, then synthesize and summarize that data within comprehensive reports meant for policymakers. [...] IPCC's four assessments — massive, multi-tome volumes released in 1990, 1995, 2001 and 2007 — are considered the gold standard in climate science. The fourth report earned both intense criticism from climate skeptics and the honor of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, shared with former Vice President Al Gore.
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2010-05-05): More discussion in <=>Climatologists <=Public opinion Wexler & Bugaev, 1962 from WMO's history pages =>Public opinion = Milestone =>Keeling's funds =>Climate cycles <=Government <=>The ocean =>Models (GCMs) [...] Robert T. Watson, IPCC chair 1997-2002 <=Aerosols <=Rapid change <=Biosphere <=Government
Claim: The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events. (Nigel Lawson, 2017-10-08)
Evidence (2020-09-12): As is normal, the cities, as plaintiffs, were first to give presentations. Myles R. Allen, an Oxford University professor of geosystem science with over 120 peer-reviewed articles involving different aspects of atmospheric science, outlined the early history and research regarding climate science. Allen has worked for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for over 20 years as a lead author on the 3rd, 4th, and 5th assessments. The IPCC is an intergovernmental body of the United Nations that is dedicated to providing the world with objective, scientific information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of the risk of human-induced climate change; its natural, political, and economic impacts and risks; and possible response options. The assessments are status reports that provide an update on the knowledge of the scientific, technical, and socioeconomic aspects of climate change. Thousands of scientists from countries all over the world do the work of the IPCC.
Claim: Scientists predicted global cooling and were wrong, so they are wrong about global warming (Facebook users, 2023-12-19)
Evidence (2023-12-19): Some climate scientists in the 1970’s were concerned about the cooling effect of atmospheric aerosols and explored the hypothesis that it might lead to a cooling of the Earth. However, the majority of scientists at that time were actually forecasting global warming for the future. In fact, scientists have warned that elevated greenhouse gasses would cause global warming since the 19th century. Overwhelming observational evidence has resulted in the scientific consensus that global warming is real and human activities, primarily through the emissions of greenhouse gasses, is the main driver.
Claim: Scientists predicted global cooling and were wrong, so they are wrong about global warming (Facebook users, 2023-12-19)
Evidence (2016-06-07): One of the undying, zombie-like arguments against climate change is that you can’t trust climate scientists because they started out making doom and gloom claims about global cooling in the 1970s. But this, along with many other things comedian Dennis Miller has said on late night talk shows, needn’t be taken seriously. By the time fears of an ice age reached the public's attention, there was a long history of concerns about warming. The idea that burning fossil fuels would warm the planet can be traced back to an 1896 paper by Swedish scientist Svante Arrhenius. In the 1930s, Britain’s Guy Callendar concluded that global warming was already underway. So it seems a bit odd that anyone worried about cooling. What was really going on back in the '70s—both in science and in the media? [...] This was partly the result of some new fields that were opening to concerted exploration for the first time. Up-to-date estimates of global temperature were finally being maintained, and they were accompanied by ongoing atmospheric CO2 measurements, which had only started in 1958. The first punch-card-driven computer models of Earth’s climate system were being developed, giving researchers new tools to analytically attack questions about the physics of Earth's atmosphere. And we were just getting a handle on how sunlight-reflecting aerosol particles behaved in the atmosphere.
Claim: Scientists predicted global cooling and were wrong, so they are wrong about global warming (Facebook users, 2023-12-19)
Evidence (2024-09-02): Scientists increasingly predict warming, 1970s [edit]In the early 1970s, evidence that aerosols were increasing worldwide and that the global temperature series showed cooling encouraged Reid Bryson and some others to warn of the possibility of severe cooling. The questions and concerns put forth by Bryson and others launched a new wave of research into the factors of such global cooling.[59] Meanwhile, the new evidence that the timing of ice ages was set by predictable orbital cycles suggested that the climate would gradually cool, over thousands of years. [...] Such media coverage heralding the coming of a new ice age resulted in beliefs that this was the consensus among scientists, despite this not being reflected by the scientific literature. As it became apparent that scientific opinion was in favor of global warming, the public began to express doubt over how trustworthy the science was.[59] The argument that scientists were wrong about global cooling, so therefore may be wrong about global warming has been called "the "Ice Age Fallacy" by Time author Bryan Walsh.[79]
Claim: Scientists predicted global cooling and were wrong, so they are wrong about global warming (Facebook users, 2023-12-19)
Evidence (2024-10-04): Global cooling was a conjecture, especially during the 1970s, of imminent cooling of the Earth culminating in a period of extensive glaciation, due to the cooling effects of aerosols or orbital forcing. Some press reports in the 1970s speculated about continued cooling; these did not accurately reflect the scientific literature of the time, which was generally more concerned with warming from an enhanced greenhouse effect.[1] [...] The ice age fallacy [edit]A common argument used to dismiss the significance of human-caused climate change is to allege that scientists showed concerns about global cooling which did not materialise, and there is therefore no need to heed current scientific concerns about global warming.[54] In a 1998 article promoting the Oregon Petition, Fred Singer argued that expert concerns about global warming should be dismissed on the basis that what he called "the same hysterical fears" had supposedly been expressed earlier about global cooling.[55] [...] Call it the Ice Age Fallacy. ... global cooling was much more an invention of the media than it was a real scientific concern. A survey of peer-reviewed scientific papers published between 1965 and 1979 shows that the large majority of research at the time predicted that the earth would warm as carbon-dioxide levels rose – as indeed it has.
Claim: Scientists predicted global cooling and were wrong, so they are wrong about global warming (Facebook users, 2023-12-19)
Evidence (2019-11-25): Sometimes, scientists themselves make apocalyptic claims. "It’s difficult to see how we could accommodate a billion people or even half of that," if Earth warms four degrees, said one earlier this year. "The potential for multi-breadbasket failure is increasing," said another. If sea levels rise as much as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts, another scientist said, "It will be an unmanageable problem." [...] Climate scientists are starting to push back against exaggerations by activists, journalists, and other scientists. [...] I asked the Australian climate scientist Tom Wigley what he thought of the claim that climate change threatens civilization. "It really does bother me because it’s wrong," he said. "All these young people have been misinformed. And partly it’s Greta Thunberg’s fault. Not deliberately. But she’s wrong."
Claim: Scientists predicted global cooling and were wrong, so they are wrong about global warming (Facebook users, 2023-12-19)
Evidence (2021-10-25): This provides much-needed context to the current phase of warming. In fact, scientists estimate the Earth hasn't been this hot for about 125,000 years. [...] They reveal there would have been little global warming - and possibly some cooling - over the 20th and 21st Centuries, if only natural factors had been influencing the climate. [...] For many years, groups of so-called climate "sceptics" have cast doubt on the scientific basis of global warming.