Most of the decrease is related to the alternate bearing cycle. Drought conditions existed for parts of the state, however, moisture received during September benefitted the crop. Harvest had not yet begun as of October 1. Although lower yields are expected, quality is expected to be very good. The Texas production forecast is 30.0 million pounds, one-third of the 1999 production.
Some producers are unlikely to harvest native groves due to low yields.
Severe drought conditions have many growers concerned with possible tree loss. Arizona and Louisiana are both forecast at 17.0 million pounds, down from last year's levels. Dry conditions in both states combined with the alternate bearing cycle are prompting the lower expectations. The Alabama forecast, at 15.0 million pounds, is 2.0 million pounds higher than last year's crop. Trees have been recovering from Hurricane George in 1998.