This is based on the assumption that peace talks will soon resume between Syria and Israel, and that any agreement reached over Lebanon will entail disarming Hizbollah and committing all parties to preventing any paramilitary activity on either side of the border. So questions are being asked about the changes Hizbollah will go through while a Syrian-Israeli agreement is being negotiated and after it is signed.
Some analysts suggest it is already in the process of undergoing a major transformation.
In the 17 years since it was created under Iranian auspices, Hizbollah has turned into the most important and well-established fundamentalist organization in Lebanon, a vast political, military social and financial institution run under a complex set of political and administrative rules set jointly in Damascus, Tehran and the southern suburbs of Beirut. Since 1982, Hizbollah has undergone many changes imposed on it by the circumstances of the conflict in the region and especially in South Lebanon. Considerations of regional power-politics turned it into the forward line of defense of the strategic alliance between Syria and Iran. It won't signal the end of Hizbollah as a Shiite Islamist institution, but will have a fundamental impact on its political orientation, organizational structure and social institutions. Informed Lebanese observers point out that Hizbollah has been through difficult circumstances and junctures in the past and showed itself to be adept at side-stepping obstacles and adapting to changes.