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Scenarios are graphic and dynamic, revealing the flow of an evolving future.
They are holistic, combining social, technological, economic, environmental, and political trends and events, the qualitative as well as the quantitative. We have all been educated to believe that if we are to make decisions about the future of an organization, we must first know what the future the organization will have to deal with will be like. On the face if it, that is a reasonable proposition. The further out the horizon of forecasting, the more unreasonable is the demand. But, even for the shorter term, the expectation of precision is a snare and a delusion.