Gain the buy-in to act on this understanding and experience. Such understanding and experience come from looking forward and responding to the potential discontinuities and surprises the company could face. The willingness to act comes from confidence in assumptions and potential outcomes, and buy-in from the full team of executives. Understanding the past is vital to good judgment about the future. But straight-lining a successful past into a senario of how the future may unfold, even with experts postulating events, has been the rocks and shoals on which many companies have run aground.
Scenarios are just informed guesses.
And my guess is as good as yours. That leaves us looking for a better way to experience the future before committing the company, its people, resources, and reputation to a course of action from which there is no turning back. Wargaming is that better way. To request a Viewpoint or study, please send your name, mailing address, and the exact title of the document to WCB Information Requests .