I believe we can discover those reasons, and use the knowledge to trade better. My approach to markets has been to study how they work, model them physically, develop mathematics for the model, and use the mathematics to compute an energy forecast. XGO computes the energy being received by a person or market from the universe. This is computed with my XGO software and is also available as XGO charts . This energy is the input to the market system.
Systems respond to markets as filters.
I use my Zero Delay filter to smooth the XGO into a longer term forecast. The ZD filter is featured in my Trading System Toolkit , and will be in the Chaos Trader EOD program. It forecasts the response of the market to its XGO energy input. It is basically a line and an arc. There are typically 7 moves in the Clamshell.