The economic structure and production practices, as production can not cope with population growth that quadrupled over the past 40 years. Traditional development track of Kenya suffers from its dependence on exporting raw materials and agricultural products, inability to develop a competitive industrial sector, limited production of capital commodities used in industry and lack of trust on the part of local and foreign investors. This scenario is the road of neither political nor economic reform. It is the road that leads to a total breakdown of Kenya. This scenario is based on fanning the flames of ethnic animosity and the formation of ethnic militias.
Widespread corruption continues unabated.
Armed gangs emerge. The constitutional crisis deteriorates. Regional conflicts escalate and threaten to spread. The populace is no longer confident in the ability of the state to enforce the law. The state is rapidly losing its legitimacy.