Much of the push for this war comes from the United States. This change is coming. Farmers in Bolivia and Pakistan who grow coca bushes and opium poppies will cease doing so if demand declines and other crops yield better returns on their investment of labor, time, and resources. Countries which participate in the war on drugs, often at the insistence of the United States, will become more reluctant to continue bearing what they feel is an unfair share of the burden. For example, the war against the drug cartels in Colombia has cost few American lives, but many Colombian judges, prosecutors, police officials, newspaper editors and journalists, and justice personnel, including the attorney general, two minsters of justice and eleven Supreme Court justices, have been assassinated by drug dealers.
Terrorism fluctuates by political events since it is a political act and statement.
It is hard to predict which events will inspire terrorism and how conditions that have been the breeding ground for terrorist acts will change. It is likely that criminal justice efforts to seek out and keep track of terrorists will become increasingly more sophisticated and successful. Acts which require much preparation and involve many people are less and less likely to succeed. Spontaneous acts of terror cannot be prevented, but they are a small percentage of terrorist acts. The incidence of state terror, in defensive or preemptive response to non-state terror, will likely increase.