A model of the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature climatology. Forced ocean and coupled ocean-atmosphere experiments. The forecasts of NINO3 SST anomalies from 1993 to present. The solid line indicates observations. The latest forecast starts from November 2000.
Vertical bars represent plus and minus one RMS error over the same forecast verification time span.
Fig. 2 . The mean for each lead month is removed as in Fig. Vertical bars indicate the same plus and minus one RMS error used in Fig. 1.