The fatigue would be tolerable if the markets were acting as they normally do. When the discrepancies come during such an important time, the stress is worse. Writing about successful ideas is much more fun. I have had positive outcomes in the last month as you will see below. I realize that it is hard to do.
Some basic things can make the difference between staying in business and disaster.
Most fundamental is that the government provides a free put option on all bushels produced. Like any marketing tool, it can be used correctly or unwisely. My philosophy is that eligibility should be maintained as long as possible. That means not forward pricing under the loan rate at least until the size of the crop is certain. It also means that once I take the LDP, I do not make any long term bets.