The latest 3 day forecast shows that the center of Erin will stay about 320 miles from Antigua, and about 340 miles from St. There is another wave way out there, we'll see what that will do. Other than Erin, it's still really quiet. Here in St. Thomas, we had a T-Storm last night but the BVI's and St. John received the most rain. Still, better than nothing.
Today is great with plenty of sunshine and a brisk easterly breeze.
Unless something drastic happens, this system, soon to be named Tropical Storm Erin, will pass well north of the Leeward and Windward islands. Most computer models still predict a minimal hurricane within 48-72 hours as conditions remain favorable. Meanwhile, here in St. Thomas, a T-Storm just passed over in conjuction with an upper level trough. You couldn't really tell that though by looking at satellite imagery as it has lost considerable convection since yesterday. SST's are very favorable, upper level winds have lessened considerably, and sitting under an upper level ridge is enhancing favorable development status.