Economics depression as corrective mechanism post-scarcity economics 5. Trends are the things that change most frequently, paradigm shifts change the least frequently. Trends are the way to get close to a problem or to convert abstract futuring processes into something pragmatic and understandable by others. One must account for potential uncertainties, and focus more on those where the degree of uncertainty might be high or the potential impact significant. Probabilities can be assigned if you are inclined, but generally, just listing them will suffice.
Unknowns are extremely important.
Mike Marien coined the term gbgb, for great big glaring blind spots. These will occur, and must be accounted for. There, one needs to be flexible, and KNOW some unknowns will occur. We all have biases, due to training, employment type, or general outlook. A person dealing with foresight development must minimize these biases by reading widely, using varied opinions when possible, and constantly assessing the approach and information sources.