Las Vegas has put odds on the contest for years. With the Internet, such punditry has been ratcheted up. The Web site uses a complex mathematical formula that factors a contender's pedigree, awards, reviews, press, promotional campaign and buzz. Julia Roberts can't lose. Steven Soderbergh's two nominations will split his vote.
Surprises can abound.
With that, pundits are left to grasp at straws, to nibble at portents. Yes, it's a lock for Best Foreign Film, and it's true that could dash its Best Picture chances. But I'm guessing this is the year the Academy will break out of the mold, do a little diversity dance and honor a foreign-language film. But it's a little too shaded and issue-oriented for the top prize. With its breathtaking blend of action and love story, it soars to new movie heights.