This is here just to preload the mouseover images. The Institutional Vulnerability Audit , and Morrison, Forbes and Wilkinson's Common Sense Management for Educational Leaders . It is a critical component of an effective strategic planning system. This seminar is designed to assist individuals to systematically factor the external environment into their decision making through developing and sustaining an environmental scanning system. It is a tool educational leaders may use to frame significant issues and forge proactive solutions.
Scenarios reveal the flow process of an evolving future.
They are holistic, combining social, technological, economic, environmental, and political trends and events. They focus our attention on the branching points of the future, the potential contingencies and discontinuities. By basing decisions on alternative futures, and by testing planning actions against the different conditions these scenarios present, we learn how to prepare for uncertainty and to ensure that our decisions can deal with contingencies, even those deemed unthinkable. And by having thought the unthinkable, we become better prepared to see the opportunities as well as the threats in any situation. This approach is described in Analyzing Environments and Developing Scenarios for Uncertain Times , and in the keynote paper, The Strategic Management Response to the Challenge of Global Change and the proceedings of a scenario-based planning seminar conducted at The Fifth Global Change Strategic Management Seminar, St Andrews University.