Unlike these approaches, scenarios present alternative images and possibilities. Thinking is a key because thought is powerful. It creates images, establishes what is possible and defines our realities and prospects. Learning organizations think collectively and scenarios can be a critical force in helping people understand how the currents and dynamics of each scenario would influence the future of public schools. As people think together, they must define their assumptions, evaluate them and establish a collective understanding and common language.
Scenarios do just that.
Success in the future goes to the leaders who can discern what is emerging, not simply reacting to what is already manifested and obvious. Leaders must discern what is beginning to unfold down the road because lightning-fast communication and instant and easy access to information is available to competitors and others. Scenarios, because they use linear, divergent and intuitive thought processes, can provide insight into what may emerge when the driving forces, predetermined elements and critical uncertainties converge. Deep knowledge and sensitivity to conditions allow intuition to surface. These are our hidden voices that inexplicably provide insight in a way that is different from linear logic.