I simply go to my sources, ask my questions, take down the answers and report what I've found out. Finally, I'd suggest it's very clear that polls do not lead opinion. In reality it doesn't happen. We've seen the race this year go from a big Bush to a little Gore lead to a tie and then back to a Bush lead. No bandwagon there.
Some polls use registered voters and others use likely voters.
The ones using likely voters seem more favorable to Bush. We do put out both sets of numbers, but likelies probably won't get really important until after Labor Day. Even then, it's worth looking closely to see what kind of turnout is anticipated by the likely voter scenario the poll uses. Ours is a nice tight screen, anticipating about 52 percent turnout. Other polls out the last couple of days had likelies as high as 62 percent of the voting-age population, which is much too big.