By 2020, national relations are supplanted by far more complex, multi-layered relations. Initially warm at the elite level, gradually cooling as complexity curtails sovereign liberties. Mutual economic dependency has increased greatly by 2020. A major effort underway in 2020 to raise the game and to build working international institutions. Largely bilateral or unilateral interventions, set against a background of weak institutions.
Security concerns Environmental issues.
Theft of intellectual property is important. A desire to project power to make things right . The pre-occupations of a wealthy, elderly population projected on the rest of the world. Dangerous technologies, wars amongst middle-rank powers, public health problems, economic discontinuities, resource wars and environmental problems, tax evasion, remote crime.