But whether the region could be destabilized and a regional conflict triggered is debatable. Other means of transporting water, such as by sea, are also being studied before the region deteriorates into infighting over water resources. Critics say America should awaken to the importance of its natural allies in the region and be better prepared for future confrontations. Wihbey states that Turkey is the most important country in Eurasia. As described in Part I, Turkey is pressing its leadership role in the Caucasus and seeking support as it tries to be a unifying force between East and West.
Turkey can counterbalance Russia in ways that America can never do.
U.S. officials see the Russian leadership as preoccupied with internal and economic turmoil, and believe the Russian policy in the Caucasus reflects cultural traits and imperial nostalgia rather than a geopolitical campaign. The United States also maintains that if it were to actively oppose Russia in the Middle East and southern Eurasia, it would spur the rise of more anti-Western and authoritarian leaders. Certain analysts criticize this position and accuse the United States of following a policy of neglect. He has already stated that Western-style democracy is not suitable for Russia and that Russian society wants a restoration of a guiding and regulatory state. It is not certain whether he will be eager to pursue political, social and economic reforms but it is clear that he has given importance to a strong military at the center of his vision for Russia.