The use of pattern matching techniques, tried particularly for long range prediction, fails for short periods as well. The idea that weather developments could be calculated dates back to the 1914-1918 War. It was then that a British scientist, L F Richardson, reasoned that the atmosphere was a fluid subject to the classical laws of fluid dynamics. We all know that pressure gradients lead to wind. But air pressure depends upon temperature.
Temperature depends on how the air is heated by the earth, itself heated by the sun.
Dry, sandy soils and man made large conurbation's heat up quickly and warm the air above them. Such areas also cool quickly at night. Oceans and forested areas heat up more slowly and, so, heat the air less. South facing slopes heat up while North facing ones stay cold. Winds move areas of warm and cold air around causing changes to the pressure patterns.