This means that the hodo- graphs in the moist air do not look very threatening this morning. An obvious problem is the strength of the cap and it seems unlikely that the high CAPE shown in the 12Z FWD sounding will be tapped. With the backing of the low-level flow taking place in the dry air during the day, it seems that even if something gets going, it will not have a good profile to work with. As has been typical with the strong dynamics of this spring, the timing has been off and the next system to the west seems to fit that pattern. The potential might be tapped overnight, however, with any day- light convection develoing very late in the day and it may grow into an MCS overnight if it goes at all.
Tomorrow looks pretty dead, also.
The likely persistence of moisture and instability precludes really low probabilities but the models support the idea that tomorrow is not very promising.