The Republicans are confident that they will win three or four additional seats, bringing their total to 74 members. One answer is that this is just government math. You know, two and two equals four, but with a little compromise it could equal five. This would work if there were 146 seats in the House. But there are only 134, which in my mind is already way too many.
Someone is definitely wrong about the house elections, but who.
My bet is the Republicans will maintain control with about the same number of seats. There may be one or two races where a long time incumbent is defeated by a popular challenger, but not enough to switch control of the house. In a normal election year, ninety-four percent of all incumbents are reelected. This number holds pretty true for both state and national elections. I don t see any reason in Minnesota that this will not be the case this November.