DisplaySearch has developed a new forecasting methodology, presented for the first time in this report, which ties pricing to the anticipated swings in supply and demand inherent in the Crystal Cycle. In this approach, large surpluses are quickly converted to large price reductions, which result in increased TFT LCD demand, particularly in the LCD monitor market. With the LCD monitor market more sensitive to display prices than the notebook PC market, DisplaySearch expects TFT LCD monitor modules to have wider pricing swings in the Crystal Cycle than TFT LCD notebook PC modules. TFT LCD-based notebooks are expected to be introduced in Q1'00 and Q3'00 respectively. The extension of the total PC and notebook PC demand forecasts through 2005.
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