Prognostications are a lot like cotton candy.
Full of air. Not particularly positive for your health. Having written 6,000 newspaper sports columns, plus spending 3,000 days of my life in arenas of all sorts, you'd think I would be more savvy at picking winners. If my hits far outnumbered my misses, I'd retire and relocate to Las Vegas. My nature is to frequently skip the more obvious choices, unless there's a legitimate unbeatable, like Secretariat.