A set of six treaties which, in effect, were statements of intent and were signed between April 1996 and December 1999, on the unification as well as on the creation of a confederation, and, finally, on the union between Belarus and Russia, demonstrates that Russia supports the illegitimate regime. The treaties also blunt the suffering of the Russian population caused by the war in Chechnya and economic hardships. The economy of Belarus is in crisis. The Belarusian ruble, with respect to the Russian ruble, dropped in value by 225 times. The statements issued by the regime about the rise of its GDP and the reduction in the number of people with the required minimum living income are nothing but a bluff.
Opinion polls confirm that there is a drop in confidence for the government.
The government bureaucracy also understands that the vain economic attempts made by the regime have no future. The bureaucracy does not feel that it is being protected. At the whim of the dictator any bureaucrat can be handcuffed or lose his job and all means for his survival. The regime promotes its international isolation and without any outside aid, Belarus will not be able to get out of the crisis. The majority of the government bureaucracy is, therefore, interested in the collapse of the dictatorship.