Thus, it seems possible to have one or more isolated supercells in eastern CO today. Moisture is marginal and with the Gulf not open this morning it may be tough to get much more into the threat area by evening, so the weather will have to work with what moisture it has or can get from evapotranspiration. It appears that the SELS outlook agrees with this thinking, although it remains to be seen how far south the activity will get.
Tomorrow is likely to see an increase of moisture, so the severe threat looks slightly better.
Looking ahead, all the progs seem to increase the chances by Monday for targetable storms and keep them high through mid- week.