Trend following seeks superior returns from volatile and or uncertain markets. Don't try to predict trends. Entering the market at the exact bottom and exiting at the exact top is unrealistic. Prices eventually will reflect all relevant information. Everything is reflected in the price over time.
Trends usually last longer than most market players predict.
Prediction is folly. Don't be persuaded by short-term performance. Most people lose in the market by changing strategies. Disciplined and systematic rules allow changing market conditions to be handled without indecision. Check What's New Section .