Well, the Caspian oil shouldn't be looked at as being primarily important to U.S. energy needs.
Oil is a global commodity.
Caspian oil won't necessarily flow to U.S. markets, its going to flow probably to European and Asia markets. The importance of Caspian oil is more as an additional source of oil supplies for the world's energy needs. If you look at what the world uses in terms of oil today, it's just under 75 million barrels a day, although in the fourth quarter this year its hitting up against 77 million a day, but for the total volume this year, its up about a million barrels a day from last year, which is smaller than was expected given the Asian crisis. I think where it comes from is the Caspian basin, in terms of the countries that the U.S. really focuses on Kazakstan Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan is sandwiched between Russia and Iran and Russia and Iran are two countries of strategic influence to the U.S. hence this region becomes strategically important. What is very interesting about this whole pipeline debates is that it did not start out as a pipeline that would completely exclude Russia it started off as you know the U.S. was favoring multiple lines when the first pipelines out of Azerbaijan were formulated you had a pipeline north to Russia and you had a pipeline west to Georgia and then back in next year when Iran suddenly became a factor in this picture because of the election of a new president in Iran who was a moderate and who suddenly started making amends to the west and western countries were listening that's when the U.S. really began to weigh in with the Caspian because it seemed like routs through Russia were okay, routes through Georgia were okay, but suddenly if Iran were part of the picture the U.S. was not ready for that yet.