The production rate peaks at 1.0 million barrels per day for the development of 400 million barrels per year case and at 1.35 million barrels per day for the 600 million barrels per year development case. The original oil in place corresponding to this recovery is at least 42.3 billion barrels. EIA scheduled production rates for postulated development rates of 600 and 800 million barrels per year. The production rate peaks at 1.55 million barrels per day for the development of 600 million barrels per year case and at 1.90 million barrels per day for the 800 million barrels per year development case. The production schedules for the low and high development rates are summarized in Figures 6 and 7 .
Many variables affect the rate of development and the production rates.
The isolated location and harsh environment of the area limits the number of wells that can be drilled efficiently. Supply, demand and oil prices will also control the rate at which development occurs. Each of the charts shows the range of potential rates based on the probability ranges examined. Comparing the two charts shows how the production would respond to the rate of development. Production peaks around 20-30 years after the onset of development in all cases.