406,565 affected 52 dead newspaper reports higher, but no official figures as yet. Evacuation in the Zambezi Valley continues Registration of IDPs on-going. Centres are being amalgamated for better management. Information systems are being improved and lines of reporting from field well-established. From 13 to 21 March, a band of showers and storms are expected to spread into southern Mozambique, with further development over the immediate Zambezi catchment area.
Prolonged rain is possible towards the border with eastern Zimbabwe.
On 14 and 15 March, storm activity is liable to focus on the southern two thirds of Mozambique including the Zambezi region. Tropical disturbance northeast of Madagascar is deepening as it moves southwest over the following few days. The further outlook suggests this disturbance may track southeast over the northern portion of Madagascar, into the central Mozambique Channel by 21 March. Inflow to the Cahora Bassa lake was estimated to be about 8,750 cubic metres per second on 11 March. Reservoir at full capacity.